Best Bets for Saturday | MLB + UFC 318 + The Open + WNBA All-Star Game Picks + Predictions (7.19)

A winning Friday for host Matt Perrault sends him into the weekend feeling good about the week. Matt is spreading it around today with 4 bets for 4 sports on the Saturday episode of the Daily Juice. 

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday? Welcome in
to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me
Matt Perult. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we are back
after a winning Friday. I don't know how much yet
because the only bet so far we've gotten wrong the
Red Sox Toronto the play of the day, another cash

(00:36):
for our betting pros Daily Juice combination play of the
day that comes in easily. The Padres hit a grand
slam in the top of the ninth inning to cover
on the run line, so that came in where one
to zero one player of Props and Priester is going
right now for the Brewers, that is in the second
inning against the Dodgers. If he gives up less than

(00:58):
two earned or less than three or earned runs two
or one or none for earned runs will go too
and zero and we'll be up two units two point
zero five units on a Friday. If he loses, we're
up a unit. So winning day, good day on a Friday,
and we head towards a Saturday. Now for the card today,

(01:19):
I got four bets in four sports to give you guys,
this is sort of a retort, if you will, an
answer to a bunch of people who have been frustrated
by the fact that we have been betting baseball so much.
So I'm gonna give you a taste of what it
looks like to bet on everything. I don't know how
well it's going to go. I'm gonna be completely honest

(01:41):
with you, because I think betting baseball, while boring, has
been very profitable for us. But you guys don't like profit.
At least some of you guys don't like profit. You
want to be entertained. Okay, this is a podcast for entertainment. Okay,
it's for fun. So I'm going to give you four
different bets to make in four different sports. But if

(02:02):
we go one in three, I want you to remember
that you asked for me to do this by complaining
and whining, saying, you know, just all I thought this
was just I thought this wasn't just a baseball podcast.
I thought it was a bunch of different things. Okay,
you know how often I've whined about having to bet baseball,
but we've been good. You can't argue one again last

(02:22):
night with baseball. But it's a Baseball Saturday, and okay,
I'm gonna give you a bunch of things to bet
on here for for sports. Four different bets. You can
fade or follow if you would like. But here's are
bets I have made for the Saturday today for the card.
Before we do that, let's remind you about what's going
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(03:07):
twenty five dollars. Check it out now at Bettingpros dot
com slash juice. That's bettingpros dot com slash juice. Let's
start the conversation with UFC three eighteen, the headline event
the BMF belt Dustin Porier at home in New Orleans

(03:29):
saying goodbye to the sport of Mixed Martial Arts and
the UFC up against Max Holloway, a fighter he has
faced two times previously. Now mac to Holloway lost his
last fight. It was knocked out for the first time
in his career by Ilia Toporia. What will Max look like?
From a chim perspective, it is a five round fight

(03:50):
as after all, Dustin Porier is one of the most
likable fighters in the entire UFC. Dustin Pier is beloved
in New Orleans and in Louisiana for who he has
been in the sport, in what he represents. Dustin Poorier
is a tremendous fighter, and while I know Max Holloway

(04:14):
is a really tough opponent, it's hard not to see
Dustin Porier as a guy that should win this fight
against Max Holloway. Now, for the fight to go the
distance at Circus Sports in Las Vegas, it's minus one
fifty five to go the distance. I look at Circa's
numbers a lot because what do they think is going
to happen? So they're thinking the fight goes all five

(04:36):
rounds between Poorier and Holloway. Here's the thing. If you're
a judge, it's a BMF belt. I'm not saying the
judge a judge would be swayed by something like that,
but if it's a coin flip does it really matter
who wins? Poorier is retiring, going off into the sunset.

(04:56):
Max Holloway is at the tail end of his career.
Is not gonna do anything in the UFC, you know,
at least not anytime soon. From a belt perspective. Third
time these guys are fighting. Average fight time for Max
Holloway is sixteen oh five. Average fight time for Dustin
Poorier is one is or is ten seventeen. Reach advantage

(05:21):
favors Dustin Poorier. That's really interesting. Max is the taller guy,
but Poorie has got the reach advantage. If Holloway is
going to stand and bang with Porier, what's the chin
like when you get up in age and you start
getting older and you start getting into your thirties, When

(05:45):
your chin goes, it goes fast. Dustin Poier hits as hard,
if not harder, than Iliad Pooria. And if you want
to get into a firefight with this guy, I'm not
so sure that's a good idea. Now. He lost his
last fight. Porier did to Islam mackt Shift got submitted

(06:07):
in the fifth round late in that fight with a
dars choke. Heck of a fight. Lost to Gaichee lost
to Charles olivera beat Connor McGregor and back to back fights.
But this card, this fight might go to the cards,
and if it does go to the cards, I think
we see Dustin Poie get his hand raised because I'm

(06:28):
just if it's a coin flip, I'm gonna go with
the crowd. I'm gonna go with the energy, and I'm
gonna go with the better storyline for Dustin Poier to
get Lil Wayne, who will walk out with Porier to
put the belt, the BMF belt around his waist. Now
by ko is plus three fifty or higher for Dustin Poier.
I don't hate that a lot of money is coming

(06:51):
in on Max. In fact, I haven't seen anyone in
the gambling space or anybody in the media take Dustin
Poorier to win this fight. So maybe I'm on the
complete wrong side here, But I think Poorier could knock
out Holloway. I think Poorier could submit Holloway, and I

(07:11):
think Poorier could very well win a decision against against
us against Max Holloway after twenty five minutes. I think
the main event is going to be a hell of
a fight. I think it's going to be an awesome
awesome fight that I cannot wait to watch. Max Holloway
has been one of the best strikers in the UFC

(07:32):
and in this division for a very long time. I
just don't know about the chin the chins in question.
And I think if it came down to who hits
harder Illiot to Poorier or Dustin Poorier to Pooria, I
mean he's moving up in wait to get to one
fifty five. Okay, Like this is I mean, this is

(07:55):
a guy you know who's fighting at featherweight here. You know,
Max Holloway, never been fought, never been knocked out at featherweight,
and he winds up getting cracked and he gets knocked out.
Here we go with a one five fight again, and
I just I like Poorier here. Maybe it's being a softy,
maybe it's being a homer, maybe being a square, whatever

(08:17):
you want to call it. Everyone's talking about Max Holloway,
the thirty three year old to bounce back after his loss.
I don't know. I think Dustin Poorie has got something
to say here. I'll take him on the money line.
It's plus one twenty Dustin Poier plus one twenty to
win and just oops, just win. Why don't that load.
Just have him to win. I don't need him to

(08:37):
do anything else. There we go, just win Dustin Pourier
to win this fight at plus one twenty for one unit.
All right, let's talk golf. We've got two golf plays
alive right now. We've got a top twenty for Justin Rose.
He's currently tied for seventeenth. Justin Rose, by the way,

(08:58):
had a triple bogie on the second round. If he
didn't triple bowlgie the eleventh hole, he played really well
on Friday, made the cut at two hunder par. Now
Sepstraca is tied for fifty first. He is won over.
He's gone seventy two to seventy one. He needs to
get going. But I think he's gonna have a big round.
I think Sepstraca has gone a really big round here,

(09:19):
so I think he gets into contention. So we have
Rose and Sepstraca one unit a piece to come in
the top twenty with ties. I want to add to that.
Let's talk Keegan Bradley. Keegan Bradley top ten with ties.
It's important get this with ties for Keegan Bradley. But
he shot a thirty four with an eagle on the

(09:41):
second hole on Friday, two birdies. He didn't have a
bogie on Friday. He's playing some incredible golf at the moment.
Didn't play well at all on Thursday, but on Friday
he played tremendously well. Seventy two on Friday, but a
sixty seven for Keegan Bradley on Friday springboards him into

(10:02):
the weekend here at three under par, four under yesterday
for the round, but three under par for the tournament,
just outside the top ten at the moment, being tied
for twelfth. I just think link style golf favors those
who know what they're doing. I like Keegan Bradley's game.
I like where it is right now. I like how

(10:22):
he has played this year. Many people are talking about
the fact that he's probably going to be a playing
captain for the Ryder Cup, not just a captain for
the Ryder Cup. He came in tied for forty first
at the Rocket Mortgage, he won the Travelers, he was
tied for thirty third at the US Open, tied for
seventh at the Memorial, tied for eighth at Quail Hollow

(10:45):
for the PGA Championship, and that's all after missing the
cut at the Masters, which really springboarded this as to
where he's going. But I just think at Royalport Rush,
I think this sets up really well for Keing and Bradley,
and we got a good price on it. Keegan Bradley
tied for the tournament. If he's already teed off by
the time you watched this, it's okay. You should be

(11:05):
able to get this live or at least get this
going into Sunday for the final round. But we're gonna
jump on Keeck and Bradley top ten and plus two
thirty for one unit. To Baseball, we go with the
Rangers and the Tigers. This game, as we tape is
about to go final between the Tigers and the Rangers,

(11:25):
and it has yes gone final to nothing Texas. The
win Texas with two runs in the bottom of the
eighth inning on a double by Corey Seger to win
the game to nothing over the Detroit Tigers. Let's go
to today where we have Montero against Rocker. When you

(11:45):
look at Kumar Rocker for his numbers aren't great, but
his game logs at home three to two, two to one,
five to three, four to three for home starts for
Kumar Rocker. Montero has been kind of up and down,
but the Rangers again with last night, the Rangers are

(12:07):
the number one under team at home in Major League Baseball.
It's actually kind of crazy how often these games have
gone under for the Rangers. They're now thirty two and
fourteen to the under at home this year. Over the
last two years, that's over sixty four percent of their
games to go under at home. That is best in

(12:30):
the American League. With Rocker on the mound here and
the lack of offense yesterday, under eight and a half
is even money under eight and a half for the
Tigers and the Rangers here and even money for one unit.
And finally we go to the WNBA and the WNBA

(12:51):
All Star Game. No Caitlin Clark for Team Clark. Yes,
this game is being played in Indiana. The tickets were,
you know, prettysive to get into this game. But Team
Clark is loaded, Asia Wilson, Sabrina and Escu some great players.
But Colliers, I mean Callier is more stacked. I mean

(13:13):
they got Angel Reese, they got Paige Buckner's, they got
Skyler Diggins, they have Brandon Stewart, they have Alyssa Thomas
the numbers four and a half. Some books have already
moved it to five without Caitlin Clark being available for
Team Clark. The better team is Team Callier for the
WNBA All Star Game. Look jump in as lately as

(13:36):
you want on this, but I think it's kind of
fun to have something on the All Star Game. Overs
are always good for All Star games. But you know,
I'll just go ahead and lay the four and a
half points here, with Team Collier laying four and a
half up against Team Clark one point one units down
there on that for Team Collier to cover the minus

(13:57):
four and a half for the WNBA All Star Game.
All right, So our plays for today dust Emporiate on
the money line at plus one twenty to beat Max
Holloway in neither submission, knockout or by decision. I think
you can sprinkle knockout Bradley top ten to finish for
the Open Championship in over at Royalport Rush top ten

(14:17):
is plus two thirty for one unit, Rangers Tigers under
eight even money on that for one unit, and Team
Collier laying four and a half in the WNBA All
Star Game for one point one units. My name is
Matt Perraultz. You guys can follow me across all my
socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys
get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice