June 22, 2025 • 19 mins
A great 4-0 bounce-back Saturday for host Matt Perrault has put him position to have a winning week. Matt is back with 5 bets in 3 sports including GM 7 of the NBA Finals for the Sunday episode of the Daily Juice.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys, How are you happy? Sunday? Welcome in
to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name
is Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all
of my socials. And sorry for the roller coaster up
and down, up and down. It's been a crazy week,
really has. But we will take the four and oh Mark,
we bounced back. Lao goes off for us. Here's the thing.
(00:40):
I was changing the price and I was using the
day beforece price should have just used what I was using.
I apologize. That is the correct what I bet, that's
the correct price there. So we wound up up point
eighty three units on the RBI point appoint five to
(01:00):
five units on the run. Rays and Tigers flew over,
and then we had the easy, easy, easy bet of
the day, which was the under one nothing LSU wins
the first game of the College World Series. More in
that game here in just one second. It is a Sunday,
and so I went and did some accounting. We're up
for the week, which I was surprised. I didn't think
(01:21):
that was the case. But we're up about three units
for the week, so that's good. We are down for
the month of June for the whole month. We're down
about one and a half units for the month of June,
so we have a lot of time left. I mean
it's the twenty second so we still have quite a
bit of days left to go here and bets to
place before we get into it. But the NBA ends today.
(01:42):
If you are like me and you have a ticket
on OKAC, I would hedge. Okay, there's two ways of hedging.
You can take the points at plus seven and hope
that OKAC wins but doesn't cover. But I would say
if OKC is going to fail to cover the seven,
OKAC is going to lose the game outright. So I
(02:04):
think it's a better bet to bet OKC. Sorry to
bet Indiana on the money line at about plus two forty,
so I have a plus one ten, they have about
three units at plus one ten. I will bet coming
back here on the Pacers. Now, when will I do that,
I don't know. I haven't determined how I'm going to
do that yet. Who do I think is going to
(02:25):
win Oka? See, so I very well might wait until
the game tips off, But you play the whole year
for game seven, and I think that the thunder literally
punted Game six knowing they're going to win Game seven.
Let's see if that burns them. But I think they're
pretty confident at home. In Game seven's fifteen and four
(02:45):
teams in the NBA Finals when they're at home in
Game seven, they're fifteen and four. So this is now
the twentieth game, and if they win it, it would be,
you know, pretty impressive here in terms of basically eighty
percent of the time the teams at home win. So
I am leaning towards I'm not picking the Thunder to
win the game, but I'm not going to be dumb.
(03:07):
I do believe in risk management, so I will make
sure I'm not losing money on that play for the
Thunder to win the championship. But I just when am
I going to hedge? I don't really know as of yet.
As a win, I'm going to hedge. Okay, I have
one College World Series bet and I have four player
props for you guys, two in baseball, two in basketball.
This is the end of the NBA season, so I
(03:29):
have two full unit plays for US in NBA prop betting.
I have two half unit plays or to win a
half unit plays for Major League Baseball both or all
four were found by using the prop bet cheat sheet.
Have you done this yet? If you haven't, well you
can go and download the Betting Pros app. It's free, okay.
(03:51):
You can sync your sports books to the app to
track all your bets picks in place. Additionally, you can
use Betting pros Premium, which gives you full access to
everything with the prop bet analyzer and the prop bet
cheat sheet for free, simply by using the code Juice
for that seven day trial on the upgrade screen after
(04:12):
you download the Betting Pros app. So this is where
I get my bets. This is how I have been
cashing sixty five percent in the NBA this season for
player props now Major League Baseball. We've got some good trends,
we've got some good we've identified, you know, Brandon Lao
for one thing. We're back on him again today. So
(04:34):
we've id'd that from the prop bet cheat sheet. So
seven days free Betting Pros app. Download it now, sink
your sportsbooks. Use the code juice for a seven day
free trial of Betting pros Premium. So you guys can
get involved and see how I use the prop bet
cheat sheet WNBA prop bet cheat sheet. But as I
told you, I'm going to stay away from the w
(04:55):
for a while. So if you like betting the WNBA,
perfect time to go use the WNBA prop bet cheat
sheet and use it for that. So that's how we're
gonna do it. Let's get into it. Let's start with
Major League Baseball, and then we will get into it
here with the College World Series, and then we'll end
it with Game seven. Brandon Lao, Well, he's been hot,
(05:17):
like nuclear hot. If you want to bet him to
score a run today, I don't mind it, don't mind
it at all. Runs scored. He scored one run yesterday.
He scored zero against Detroit on Friday, zero against Baltimore
on Thursday, but that snapped a streak in which he
scored two one one one, two one one all the
(05:39):
way back to the eleventh of June. If you want
to bet Brandon Law to score a run today, I
don't hate the play at all. In fact, I think
it's a good bet. Okay to go ahead and make it.
I think it's a good bet. However, the prop bet
cheat sheet is identifying a different play, and the prop
bet cheat sheet is looking at total basis for Brendan Lao. Now, now, look,
(06:01):
there's always some concern here when it comes to total
basis simply because one hit does not get it done.
You need a double. So if you go by what
has happened here for Brandon Lao, yesterday, Brandon Lao was productive,
but he was one for four, scored a run, drove
in or run, but didn't get two bases. He went
(06:25):
under one and a half total basis. He also went
under one and a half total bases on Friday, and
he went under two bases on Thursday. On Wednesday, though,
he hit a home run and that got us there.
On Tuesday he had two hits and that got us there.
On Monday he had two hits and that got us there.
(06:46):
So the prop bet Chichi is projecting two for Brandon Lao.
Two bases. If he gets a double, we got it.
A triple, we got it, hits a home run, we
got it. I mean, Brandon Lao has been one of
the best hitters here and the over for this game.
I don't hate it. Casey Mice is going though for
the Tigers, and Casey Mice on the road a three
(07:08):
point eight two era, a three to two mark posting
betting average two seventy four, is given up sixteen earned
runs in thirty seven and two thirds innings worth of work,
and he'll be going up against Zach Lettel, who hasn't
been awful at homes. Okay, three point five seven ERA
two and four record two sixty of posting betting average,
(07:29):
eighteen earned runs, forty five innings worth of work. Like
I told you yesterday, I like the Yankees on the
run line. They won nine to nothing. I like this
game to go over. I mean the Tigers are the
number one team to overs so far, and it is
I mean, the Tigers are due to have a big
game today. Offensively, they have scored eight and three, but
they've given up a whopping twenty two runs to this
(07:52):
Ray's offense. So it's Sunday and wonky things can happen.
So I'm not recommending. I'm not making an official, but
if you want to play the old in this game,
I don't hate the over. This is an early start
time in Tampa, but I mean eight and a half
again slightly juiced to the over. I mean again, it
was eight and a half yesterday. It flew over. I
think you're gonna go eight and a half. Again, let's
(08:13):
just keep betting the rate. The Tigers on the road
here and Tigers against its Rays offense that are simply
on fire. But the official play is going to be
over one and a half total bases for Brandon Lao
brought bet chee sheet likes it to basically go with two.
It's a five star play. It's a plus twenty five
(08:34):
ev play, not the highest it can be. But the
only thing that concerns me touch is that he hasn't
been all that consistent with this with two bases, but
a double and we're good. So Lao gets a double,
Low hits a triple, hits a home run, we get there.
He hits two singles, we get there. But I'd rather
have the double for Brandon Lao. We're gonna play it
(08:56):
for to win a half a unit. It is plus
money at plus one fifteen. Brandon Lau over one and
a half bases today up against the Tigers. Second prop
and this is the number one prop and a highly
highly recommended play here by the prop bit cheat sheet.
Arizona Diamondbacks first baseman in dh Josh Naylor. Josh Naylor
(09:19):
one and a half total basis prop bet cheat sheets
projecting three and a half. That is the number one
largest differential from the prop bet to the actual projection
on the board. It's a thirty percent positive ev Play
five star rated and it's a little expensive. It's minus
one forty. But Josh Naylor has been pretty productive, and
(09:43):
it's against the Rockies. Like whenever you're going up against
the Rockies, will look to back it. And the Diamondbacks
obviously have won the first two games of this series
fourteen to eight and five to three. They go for
the sweep. Here Brandon fat on the mound against Antonio Sensatela,
and we faded Sensatela a ton at home. He is
(10:03):
a seven point five to one eer, a one in
five mark, a three forty seven at posing batting average,
came up thirty two earned runs in thirty eight and
a third innings worth of work, fifty nine hits and
six home runs. Senzila's give it up just at home,
just at home, fifty four hits on the road on
top of that, so I mean we're talking about his
(10:24):
whip not great for walks hits allowed here for Antonio Sinzdela.
This is obviously a matchup of the prop bit cheat
sheet really likes. We're gonna bet it to win a
half a unit. Put a half unit down on it
to win a half unit at Mie one forty for
over one and a half bases for a Josh Nayler
(10:46):
prop today. So two baseball plays Brandon Lau over one
and a half total bases and Josh Naylor over one
and a half total basis. It's Sunday. I always tell
you Sunday wonky. So I don't love betting baseball on Sundays,
but you know, it's just it is. It is what
it is in terms of, you know, betting today, I
(11:08):
don't mind betting the Sunday night baseball game. And that's
the Phillies and the Mets. What's up with the Mets?
You want to get involved with the Mets? I kind
of don't. The Mets won eleven to four yesterday and
snap their losing streak, so they bounce back today. It's
Lizardo against Peterson. It feels like it under, but you know,
(11:29):
ten to eleven four you want to play the under
in Philadelphia. I don't feels like an under, but I
don't think it's I mean, I'm not betting it, so
I lean toward the under nine and a half for
the Mets and the Phillies on Sunday Night baseball. But
let's talk Game two College World Series. So we were
dead right betting the under. Okay, win was a big
deal with that okay, wind all over the place. You
(11:51):
watched the Cub game yesterday, My god, it was a
softball game. So the wind blowing in in Omaha. I
knew that someone had tipped me off saying the wind's
gonna blow in Omaha. Won nothing. Unbelievable pitching performance. I mean,
Kate Anderson kids going number one? Okay, any questions about
him being the first pick in the draft, much like
last year, you know, or two years ago when we
watched you know, the other LSU great pitcher go in
(12:13):
in mowdown players in Paul Skeens. Well, Anderson's the next guy,
so he'll be the first pick in the draft. He
threw one hundred and seventeen pitches whatever it was, in
a complete game. It was insane what he threw. So
that was awesome. Leave him out there, let him knock
it down. Win the game one nothing win for the
LSU Tigers. Coastal is countering today with their version of
(12:35):
Kate Anderson. Now he's not ads good, but he's damn good.
Jacob Morrison. He made headlines before game one when he
was asked about what does he admire about LSU baseball
and he said, quote, not a whole lot, and that
got people's attention. But this kid is really good. I mean,
this is a kid who is going to be up
(12:57):
for the moment, and I think this is a kid
that's going to allow the team to bounce back. The
sophomore season for Morrison Sun Belt Picture of the Year.
He's twelve and zero. He has a two point eight
ERA one hundred and two strikeouts in one hundred and
four innings in eighteen and two third innings. In the
(13:17):
NCAA tournament, He's allowed six earned runs in eighteen strikeouts.
This is exactly who you want on the mound in
a must win situation for Coastal, and I do think
Coastal is going to score today. Yes, the pitchers for
LSU are great, but this is the guy that you
want on the mound for Coastal, and I thought LSU
games wins Game one, Coastal wins Game two, and then
(13:41):
Game three it's kind of all hands on deck, and
who can pitch for either team for the College World Series.
I like Coastal today slight dog, not plus money, but
most books have it at minus one to eight or
minus one ten for Coastal. I like the Chan Deschanta
clears to bounce back here and even up the series
at one game apiece. We're playing a game three. I'll
(14:02):
take Coastal on the money line at minus one ten.
All right, tonight, we've got Game seven, cool baby, Game
seven NBA Finals. I want to go out betting on
the most profitable thing that we have bet all season
off the prop betche sheet. Points rebounds and assists under
(14:26):
Alex Caruso a sixty six percent cover probability. It's only
a twenty three percent expected value play, but it's a
five star play under fifteen and a half points rebounds
and assists for Alex Caruso. In Game six he had five.
In Game five he had six. He's just not getting
(14:47):
a ton of action, all right. It was seventeen and
a half, it was sixteen and a half. Now it's
fifteen and a half. Because he's sort of fallen out
of favor. He went one for eight. In Game five
he went over two from the field, oh for one
from behind the three point line. In Game six he
had three rebounds in two assists. He's just not really
(15:09):
part of the rotation at the moment. Now. Could that
change tonight for Game seven? Maybe, But I think you're
gonna see the starters play a lot here. Rick Carlisle
is a really good coach, and Rick Carlile is in
the heads of the coaching staff and Dagna Mark Dagnall company.
This is his first Game seven in the finals. Okay,
(15:29):
this guy has coached scared at certain points of this season,
and I think there's a big coaching mismatch. I think
Caruso is a guy that wasn't used in Game six.
I don't think he'll be used much in Game seven.
Prop bet Chichet likes this under. We're gonna follow it
under fourteen and a half. By the way, it opened
at at fourteen and a half. It was bet up
(15:50):
to fifteen and a half, simply because I think the
other prop bets, you know, all year has been fourteen
and a half, fifteen and a half or sixteen and
a half, and he's gone over that. But the last
two game at seventeen and a half in sixteen and
a half, Alex Caruso has not been there. We have
been very good with points, rebounds and assists this year
off the prop bet cheat sheet. Let's follow it. Alex
(16:10):
Caruso under fifteen and a half points, rebounds and assists.
And finally, and there have been bets where I have
looked at the prop bet cheat sheet and I'm gone,
really wow, this is one of them. But the prop
bet cheat sheet, I followed it most of the year
(16:30):
and it's been great. The favorite play. The only five
star play for Tyree's Halliburton on the board is over
two and a half made threes for Tyree's Halliburton. This
is a plus one forty bet. So the books think
he's going to hit two, but if you look at
(16:50):
the way that Halliburton has played, this is a fifty
eight percent cover probability, which isn't great. Thirty eight percent
expected value play though, which is great in a five
star play. On top of that, he has gone he
hit three last game in game six zero in the
game that he was hurt in game five one in
(17:13):
game number four, and then four, three and two from
games three, two and one, so over in game six,
over in game three, over in game two, under in
game one for Terry's Halliburton over two and a half
made threes. If this game goes the way most people think,
(17:37):
and that would be up tempo, and that would be okay,
see potentially getting a big lead at some point, Haliburton's
gonna need to shoot threes. And the way he played
in game six, it's hard not to see him replicate
the three for seven from behind the arc shooting. He's
gonna put up the threes. We know he's gonna put
up a ton seven or eight attempts. That's happened for Haliburton.
(17:58):
I'll take the flyer for our life. Last game in
the NBA prop at cheat sheet likes it. Let's trail
it at plus one forty Terry's Halliburton over two and
a half made threes tonight for game seven. All right,
so are plays for today? Brandon Lau over one and
a half total basis, Josh Naylor over one and a
half total basis in Major League Baseball. Bet those two
(18:20):
win a half a unit Coastal money Line Game two
College World Series for them to even up their best
of three against LSU and Mius one oh eight for
one point zero eight units, Alex Caruso points, rebounds and
assists under fifteen and a half today for one point
one to five units, and Terry's Haliburton over two and
a half made threes at plus one forty that for
(18:43):
a unit. To wrap up the NBA season for US
here today. My name is Matt Perolt. You guys can
follow me across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt
every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is
the Daily Juice
What's up, guys, How are you happy? Sunday? Welcome in
to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name
is Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all
of my socials. And sorry for the roller coaster up
and down, up and down. It's been a crazy week,
really has. But we will take the four and oh Mark,
we bounced back. Lao goes off for us. Here's the thing.
(00:40):
I was changing the price and I was using the
day beforece price should have just used what I was using.
I apologize. That is the correct what I bet, that's
the correct price there. So we wound up up point
eighty three units on the RBI point appoint five to
(01:00):
five units on the run. Rays and Tigers flew over,
and then we had the easy, easy, easy bet of
the day, which was the under one nothing LSU wins
the first game of the College World Series. More in
that game here in just one second. It is a Sunday,
and so I went and did some accounting. We're up
for the week, which I was surprised. I didn't think
(01:21):
that was the case. But we're up about three units
for the week, so that's good. We are down for
the month of June for the whole month. We're down
about one and a half units for the month of June,
so we have a lot of time left. I mean
it's the twenty second so we still have quite a
bit of days left to go here and bets to
place before we get into it. But the NBA ends today.
(01:42):
If you are like me and you have a ticket
on OKAC, I would hedge. Okay, there's two ways of hedging.
You can take the points at plus seven and hope
that OKAC wins but doesn't cover. But I would say
if OKC is going to fail to cover the seven,
OKAC is going to lose the game outright. So I
(02:04):
think it's a better bet to bet OKC. Sorry to
bet Indiana on the money line at about plus two forty,
so I have a plus one ten, they have about
three units at plus one ten. I will bet coming
back here on the Pacers. Now, when will I do that,
I don't know. I haven't determined how I'm going to
do that yet. Who do I think is going to
(02:25):
win Oka? See, so I very well might wait until
the game tips off, But you play the whole year
for game seven, and I think that the thunder literally
punted Game six knowing they're going to win Game seven.
Let's see if that burns them. But I think they're
pretty confident at home. In Game seven's fifteen and four
(02:45):
teams in the NBA Finals when they're at home in
Game seven, they're fifteen and four. So this is now
the twentieth game, and if they win it, it would be,
you know, pretty impressive here in terms of basically eighty
percent of the time the teams at home win. So
I am leaning towards I'm not picking the Thunder to
win the game, but I'm not going to be dumb.
(03:07):
I do believe in risk management, so I will make
sure I'm not losing money on that play for the
Thunder to win the championship. But I just when am
I going to hedge? I don't really know as of yet.
As a win, I'm going to hedge. Okay, I have
one College World Series bet and I have four player
props for you guys, two in baseball, two in basketball.
This is the end of the NBA season, so I
(03:29):
have two full unit plays for US in NBA prop betting.
I have two half unit plays or to win a
half unit plays for Major League Baseball both or all
four were found by using the prop bet cheat sheet.
Have you done this yet? If you haven't, well you
can go and download the Betting Pros app. It's free, okay.
(03:51):
You can sync your sports books to the app to
track all your bets picks in place. Additionally, you can
use Betting pros Premium, which gives you full access to
everything with the prop bet analyzer and the prop bet
cheat sheet for free, simply by using the code Juice
for that seven day trial on the upgrade screen after
(04:12):
you download the Betting Pros app. So this is where
I get my bets. This is how I have been
cashing sixty five percent in the NBA this season for
player props now Major League Baseball. We've got some good trends,
we've got some good we've identified, you know, Brandon Lao
for one thing. We're back on him again today. So
(04:34):
we've id'd that from the prop bet cheat sheet. So
seven days free Betting Pros app. Download it now, sink
your sportsbooks. Use the code juice for a seven day
free trial of Betting pros Premium. So you guys can
get involved and see how I use the prop bet
cheat sheet WNBA prop bet cheat sheet. But as I
told you, I'm going to stay away from the w
(04:55):
for a while. So if you like betting the WNBA,
perfect time to go use the WNBA prop bet cheat
sheet and use it for that. So that's how we're
gonna do it. Let's get into it. Let's start with
Major League Baseball, and then we will get into it
here with the College World Series, and then we'll end
it with Game seven. Brandon Lao, Well, he's been hot,
(05:17):
like nuclear hot. If you want to bet him to
score a run today, I don't mind it, don't mind
it at all. Runs scored. He scored one run yesterday.
He scored zero against Detroit on Friday, zero against Baltimore
on Thursday, but that snapped a streak in which he
scored two one one one, two one one all the
(05:39):
way back to the eleventh of June. If you want
to bet Brandon Law to score a run today, I
don't hate the play at all. In fact, I think
it's a good bet. Okay to go ahead and make it.
I think it's a good bet. However, the prop bet
cheat sheet is identifying a different play, and the prop
bet cheat sheet is looking at total basis for Brendan Lao. Now, now, look,
(06:01):
there's always some concern here when it comes to total
basis simply because one hit does not get it done.
You need a double. So if you go by what
has happened here for Brandon Lao, yesterday, Brandon Lao was productive,
but he was one for four, scored a run, drove
in or run, but didn't get two bases. He went
(06:25):
under one and a half total basis. He also went
under one and a half total bases on Friday, and
he went under two bases on Thursday. On Wednesday, though,
he hit a home run and that got us there.
On Tuesday he had two hits and that got us there.
On Monday he had two hits and that got us there.
(06:46):
So the prop bet Chichi is projecting two for Brandon Lao.
Two bases. If he gets a double, we got it.
A triple, we got it, hits a home run, we
got it. I mean, Brandon Lao has been one of
the best hitters here and the over for this game.
I don't hate it. Casey Mice is going though for
the Tigers, and Casey Mice on the road a three
(07:08):
point eight two era, a three to two mark posting
betting average two seventy four, is given up sixteen earned
runs in thirty seven and two thirds innings worth of work,
and he'll be going up against Zach Lettel, who hasn't
been awful at homes. Okay, three point five seven ERA
two and four record two sixty of posting betting average,
(07:29):
eighteen earned runs, forty five innings worth of work. Like
I told you yesterday, I like the Yankees on the
run line. They won nine to nothing. I like this
game to go over. I mean the Tigers are the
number one team to overs so far, and it is
I mean, the Tigers are due to have a big
game today. Offensively, they have scored eight and three, but
they've given up a whopping twenty two runs to this
(07:52):
Ray's offense. So it's Sunday and wonky things can happen.
So I'm not recommending. I'm not making an official, but
if you want to play the old in this game,
I don't hate the over. This is an early start
time in Tampa, but I mean eight and a half
again slightly juiced to the over. I mean again, it
was eight and a half yesterday. It flew over. I
think you're gonna go eight and a half. Again, let's
(08:13):
just keep betting the rate. The Tigers on the road
here and Tigers against its Rays offense that are simply
on fire. But the official play is going to be
over one and a half total bases for Brandon Lao
brought bet chee sheet likes it to basically go with two.
It's a five star play. It's a plus twenty five
(08:34):
ev play, not the highest it can be. But the
only thing that concerns me touch is that he hasn't
been all that consistent with this with two bases, but
a double and we're good. So Lao gets a double,
Low hits a triple, hits a home run, we get there.
He hits two singles, we get there. But I'd rather
have the double for Brandon Lao. We're gonna play it
(08:56):
for to win a half a unit. It is plus
money at plus one fifteen. Brandon Lau over one and
a half bases today up against the Tigers. Second prop
and this is the number one prop and a highly
highly recommended play here by the prop bit cheat sheet.
Arizona Diamondbacks first baseman in dh Josh Naylor. Josh Naylor
(09:19):
one and a half total basis prop bet cheat sheets
projecting three and a half. That is the number one
largest differential from the prop bet to the actual projection
on the board. It's a thirty percent positive ev Play
five star rated and it's a little expensive. It's minus
one forty. But Josh Naylor has been pretty productive, and
(09:43):
it's against the Rockies. Like whenever you're going up against
the Rockies, will look to back it. And the Diamondbacks
obviously have won the first two games of this series
fourteen to eight and five to three. They go for
the sweep. Here Brandon fat on the mound against Antonio Sensatela,
and we faded Sensatela a ton at home. He is
(10:03):
a seven point five to one eer, a one in
five mark, a three forty seven at posing batting average,
came up thirty two earned runs in thirty eight and
a third innings worth of work, fifty nine hits and
six home runs. Senzila's give it up just at home,
just at home, fifty four hits on the road on
top of that, so I mean we're talking about his
(10:24):
whip not great for walks hits allowed here for Antonio Sinzdela.
This is obviously a matchup of the prop bit cheat
sheet really likes. We're gonna bet it to win a
half a unit. Put a half unit down on it
to win a half unit at Mie one forty for
over one and a half bases for a Josh Nayler
(10:46):
prop today. So two baseball plays Brandon Lau over one
and a half total bases and Josh Naylor over one
and a half total basis. It's Sunday. I always tell
you Sunday wonky. So I don't love betting baseball on Sundays,
but you know, it's just it is. It is what
it is in terms of, you know, betting today, I
(11:08):
don't mind betting the Sunday night baseball game. And that's
the Phillies and the Mets. What's up with the Mets?
You want to get involved with the Mets? I kind
of don't. The Mets won eleven to four yesterday and
snap their losing streak, so they bounce back today. It's
Lizardo against Peterson. It feels like it under, but you know,
(11:29):
ten to eleven four you want to play the under
in Philadelphia. I don't feels like an under, but I
don't think it's I mean, I'm not betting it, so
I lean toward the under nine and a half for
the Mets and the Phillies on Sunday Night baseball. But
let's talk Game two College World Series. So we were
dead right betting the under. Okay, win was a big
deal with that okay, wind all over the place. You
(11:51):
watched the Cub game yesterday, My god, it was a
softball game. So the wind blowing in in Omaha. I
knew that someone had tipped me off saying the wind's
gonna blow in Omaha. Won nothing. Unbelievable pitching performance. I mean,
Kate Anderson kids going number one? Okay, any questions about
him being the first pick in the draft, much like
last year, you know, or two years ago when we
watched you know, the other LSU great pitcher go in
(12:13):
in mowdown players in Paul Skeens. Well, Anderson's the next guy,
so he'll be the first pick in the draft. He
threw one hundred and seventeen pitches whatever it was, in
a complete game. It was insane what he threw. So
that was awesome. Leave him out there, let him knock
it down. Win the game one nothing win for the
LSU Tigers. Coastal is countering today with their version of
(12:35):
Kate Anderson. Now he's not ads good, but he's damn good.
Jacob Morrison. He made headlines before game one when he
was asked about what does he admire about LSU baseball
and he said, quote, not a whole lot, and that
got people's attention. But this kid is really good. I mean,
this is a kid who is going to be up
(12:57):
for the moment, and I think this is a kid
that's going to allow the team to bounce back. The
sophomore season for Morrison Sun Belt Picture of the Year.
He's twelve and zero. He has a two point eight
ERA one hundred and two strikeouts in one hundred and
four innings in eighteen and two third innings. In the
(13:17):
NCAA tournament, He's allowed six earned runs in eighteen strikeouts.
This is exactly who you want on the mound in
a must win situation for Coastal, and I do think
Coastal is going to score today. Yes, the pitchers for
LSU are great, but this is the guy that you
want on the mound for Coastal, and I thought LSU
games wins Game one, Coastal wins Game two, and then
(13:41):
Game three it's kind of all hands on deck, and
who can pitch for either team for the College World Series.
I like Coastal today slight dog, not plus money, but
most books have it at minus one to eight or
minus one ten for Coastal. I like the Chan Deschanta
clears to bounce back here and even up the series
at one game apiece. We're playing a game three. I'll
(14:02):
take Coastal on the money line at minus one ten.
All right, tonight, we've got Game seven, cool baby, Game
seven NBA Finals. I want to go out betting on
the most profitable thing that we have bet all season
off the prop betche sheet. Points rebounds and assists under
(14:26):
Alex Caruso a sixty six percent cover probability. It's only
a twenty three percent expected value play, but it's a
five star play under fifteen and a half points rebounds
and assists for Alex Caruso. In Game six he had five.
In Game five he had six. He's just not getting
(14:47):
a ton of action, all right. It was seventeen and
a half, it was sixteen and a half. Now it's
fifteen and a half. Because he's sort of fallen out
of favor. He went one for eight. In Game five
he went over two from the field, oh for one
from behind the three point line. In Game six he
had three rebounds in two assists. He's just not really
(15:09):
part of the rotation at the moment. Now. Could that
change tonight for Game seven? Maybe, But I think you're
gonna see the starters play a lot here. Rick Carlisle
is a really good coach, and Rick Carlile is in
the heads of the coaching staff and Dagna Mark Dagnall company.
This is his first Game seven in the finals. Okay,
(15:29):
this guy has coached scared at certain points of this season,
and I think there's a big coaching mismatch. I think
Caruso is a guy that wasn't used in Game six.
I don't think he'll be used much in Game seven.
Prop bet Chichet likes this under. We're gonna follow it
under fourteen and a half. By the way, it opened
at at fourteen and a half. It was bet up
(15:50):
to fifteen and a half, simply because I think the
other prop bets, you know, all year has been fourteen
and a half, fifteen and a half or sixteen and
a half, and he's gone over that. But the last
two game at seventeen and a half in sixteen and
a half, Alex Caruso has not been there. We have
been very good with points, rebounds and assists this year
off the prop bet cheat sheet. Let's follow it. Alex
(16:10):
Caruso under fifteen and a half points, rebounds and assists.
And finally, and there have been bets where I have
looked at the prop bet cheat sheet and I'm gone,
really wow, this is one of them. But the prop
bet cheat sheet, I followed it most of the year
(16:30):
and it's been great. The favorite play. The only five
star play for Tyree's Halliburton on the board is over
two and a half made threes for Tyree's Halliburton. This
is a plus one forty bet. So the books think
he's going to hit two, but if you look at
(16:50):
the way that Halliburton has played, this is a fifty
eight percent cover probability, which isn't great. Thirty eight percent
expected value play though, which is great in a five
star play. On top of that, he has gone he
hit three last game in game six zero in the
game that he was hurt in game five one in
(17:13):
game number four, and then four, three and two from
games three, two and one, so over in game six,
over in game three, over in game two, under in
game one for Terry's Halliburton over two and a half
made threes. If this game goes the way most people think,
(17:37):
and that would be up tempo, and that would be okay,
see potentially getting a big lead at some point, Haliburton's
gonna need to shoot threes. And the way he played
in game six, it's hard not to see him replicate
the three for seven from behind the arc shooting. He's
gonna put up the threes. We know he's gonna put
up a ton seven or eight attempts. That's happened for Haliburton.
(17:58):
I'll take the flyer for our life. Last game in
the NBA prop at cheat sheet likes it. Let's trail
it at plus one forty Terry's Halliburton over two and
a half made threes tonight for game seven. All right,
so are plays for today? Brandon Lau over one and
a half total basis, Josh Naylor over one and a
half total basis in Major League Baseball. Bet those two
(18:20):
win a half a unit Coastal money Line Game two
College World Series for them to even up their best
of three against LSU and Mius one oh eight for
one point zero eight units, Alex Caruso points, rebounds and
assists under fifteen and a half today for one point
one to five units, and Terry's Haliburton over two and
a half made threes at plus one forty that for
(18:43):
a unit. To wrap up the NBA season for US
here today. My name is Matt Perolt. You guys can
follow me across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt
every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is
the Daily Juice
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