Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
Wand up, guys, how are you a happy Sunday? Welcome
into another episode of the Daily Juice podcast on a
master's Sunday. My name is Matt Perrault. You guys can
follow me across all of my socials at Sports Talk
met We got a bunch of stuff to get today
to you today for a Sunday. I have an NFL
(00:36):
Draft prop that I've been waiting and waiting and waiting,
and I am finally going to give it out because
the juice is moving and I don't want it to
move any more than it already is. So we're going
to get in on that today. I've got a final
round strategy bet to give you guys here, I have
a head to head in the Masters. And then I
(00:56):
have an NBA player prop and an NBA parlay to
give to you on the last day of the NBA
regular season. So we are sprinkling. We're all over the
place today on a Sunday. Starting next week we're going
to pick back up with the Sunday Sessions where we're
going to go through some of the things with the
betting pros app some things you can design. But since
today is a master's Sunday, and there's a lot of
(01:18):
things to talk about. There's not really the time to
do it today, so we're gonna do it next week
for the Sunday Sessions. But yesterday we unfortunately have another
losing day, back to back losing days. The Mets did
not go over unfortunately for us, that blew the day.
Because Volganovsky gets the money line, we did sort of
hedge ourselves. Patty by knockout was covered by the Patty
(01:42):
money line play. But unfortunately Patty by submission does miss,
so we won a half a unit, but also lost
to half a unit. Campbell got smoked by Homa, so
we wound up going one and two, fading Max Homa
there down a unit, so two and three on the day,
down one point zero five unit on the day. So
still a winning week. And while we head to Sunday
(02:05):
and there are a lot to get to coming up
on Sunday, a lot of good things to talk about
and break down coming up on Sunday. Looking forward to
all of them here for the Daily Juice. So before
I give you some picks and plays, a couple of
quick things to remind you guys as to what's going
on here. For us with where does that go? Hold
on one second, there, it is the sign jersey for
(02:26):
Penny hardaway that is still available. We're counting down the
days here that will be available coming up until March
the second. You must subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube
channel and leave a comment on a Betting Pros Daily
Juice video in order to be entered into said podcasts
or said giveaway. Rather a lot of you guys are
(02:48):
really excited about that, so keep on doing it. Make
sure that you guys are subscribed and make sure you
are leaving comments and videos and that enters you into
the contest. And it's always good to see when you
guys are dropping things in. So also the Betting Pros app.
If you guys haven't downloaded yet, I'd recommend that you
do so you guys can download it for free for app,
(03:11):
for iOS or for Android for the apps. With Sportsbooks Sink,
you can automatically track your bets across all major sports
books in one place, in one spot, easily monitor your
bet performance by sport and bet type, including game pix,
props and parlays. You can create custom betting systems to
find winning trends and profitable opportunities and get a seven
(03:32):
day free trial for the Betting Pros app by logging
onto bettingpros dot com slash apps, use the code Juice
in the upgrade screen and that gets you your free
seven days of Betting Pros premium. Great time to use
it for the NBA Playoffs. Juice is the code after
you download the Betting Pros app and you go to
(03:55):
the upgrade screen to activate your seven day trial. Okay,
so I'm not going to go in depth too much here,
but let me just talk about Bryson versus Rory. There
are a million stats about why Rory will win this tournament,
and I'm not saying he won't win this tournament. I'm
just saying that Bryson should not be a plus two
(04:16):
point fifty dog, so in particular when we have in
game betting available. So here's what I'm doing. I'm taking
a position here with Bryson. I'm not saying that nobody
else can win this tournament, but it feels like nobody
else can win this tournament. But Rory and Bryson they're
(04:38):
not playing. You know, this is not a Skins game,
this is not match play. This is a tournament. So
there are more golfers out there that who could potentially
rise up and who could potentially win the Green Jacket today.
It's not impossible, but you look at just where these
golfers are and where we are from a leaderboard perspective,
(05:02):
we have Rory at twelve, Bryson at ten, Corey Connors
at eight. Then we have Patrick Red at six, Ludwig
Olberg at six, Jason Day at five, Shane Lowry at five,
Scotty Scheffler at five, and Justin Rose at five. That's
your top ten. Zach Johnson is t ten at minus four.
(05:25):
You got a bunch of golfers who at four, but
really top nine. Can anyone else besides Rory, Bryson and
Corey Connors win this thing? I really don't think so.
If you want to sprinkle on Corey Connor's eighteen to
one to win this thing, not a bad bet, worther sprinkle, Okay,
Corey Connor's top five is minus three sixty, so not
(05:49):
a lot of value there. But Bryson has defeated Rory
the last time we saw this at the US Open.
Rory has never won the green jacket. Would complete the
Grand Slam Rory had a lead in twenty eleven, the
fifty six hole lead. He had it going into Sunday.
He then finished tied for fifteenth. He imploded, is that
(06:15):
going to happen here today? No, I don't think that's
gonna happen here today. However, I picked Bryson on Friday
to win this tournament, and so I think there's value
with taking Bryson days Chambeau right now at plus two
fifty to win the tournament, and then at some point,
at some point, if Bryson is tied with Rory or
(06:37):
Rory is behind Bryson, we take plus money on Rory
and we go plus plus. So this is more of
a position play more than anything else. To put a
flag down, take the plus two point fifty knowing that
in game I'm gonna want to come in and I
want to want to bet on Rory McElroy to win
(06:59):
the green jacket. So Bryce and Dave Schambeau plus two
point fifty to win the pe to win the Masters
for one unit, knowing that we're going to try to
play off of it as the round on folds now
one head to head that I like a lot, As
I mentioned, can Corey Connors win this tournament. Yeah he can.
(07:19):
He's in a head to head up against Shane Lowry
yet Circa Sports, and I know not everybody has access
to Circa, but go and try to find a Corey
Connor's head to head and I think it's a great
way of playing Corey Connors. I have him to come
in the top ten at plus two eighty that I
bet earlier. I bet pre flop on Wednesday, but I'm
(07:40):
gonna come in with Corey Connors here on a head
to head because it's not that expensive. Corey Connors is
playing some really good golf. He birdied one birdy ten
on the back and part the rest just steady eddie, Okay.
He is eight under sixty eight seventy seventy. For Shane Lowry,
(08:02):
he shot seventy one sixty eight seventy two. He is
three strokes back of Corey Connors. And while Shane Lowry
I think could have a decent Sunday, I like Corey
Connors to really be a conversation piece here. So I'm
gonna take Corey Connors in the head to head up
against Shane Lowry at minus one fourteen for one point
(08:25):
four units. Okay, so our plays for today and the Masters,
and look it, I'm gonna do the full recap. I
know that we've got a bunch. We lost the Homa,
so we're down over two units for the Masters here.
But let's see if we can make a dad to
That is probably going to be a losing Masters, but
let's see if we can make a little dent in
this with the winner of this tournament and also with
(08:47):
the head to head. So we're going Bryson to win
the Masters at plus two fifty for one unit, Corey
Connors over Shane Lowry round four head to head at
minus one fourteen for one point five four units. Now
two NBA plays to give you guys, prop bet cheat sheet.
Let's do one more. All right, it's the end of
(09:08):
the regular season. Why not betting over Anthony Edwards points
in rebounds. It's said at twenty nine and a half.
Minnesota must win today. This is a must win game.
T Wolves win, they clinch a playoff spot. They don't
have to play in the play in They are minus
twenty three, minus twenty three, twenty three point number twenty
(09:33):
three against the Utah Jazz today. That is ridiculous. They're
minus forty five hundred favorites. T Wolves are winning today
and when that happens. Offense scoring, Anthony Edwards did not
go over this number against Brooklyn, but that snapped a
sixth game in a row streak where he finished with
more than twenty nine and a half points and rebounds.
(09:57):
Didn't do it last game because it was the third teen.
But forty nine thirty two, thirty nine, thirty three, forty four,
thirty one for points in rebounds for Anthony Edwards going
all the way back to the end of March, for
Anthony Edwards numbers twenty nine and a half at minus
one twenty. We're going over points in rebounds for Anthony
(10:20):
Edwards in a must win game for the Timberwolves. We're
taking that for one point two units. Whar we're taking
it for a half a unit, so point six to
win a half a unit. Now three leg money line parlay.
As I mentioned, t Wolves have to win. Denver clinches
a playoff spot with a win or a loss by
(10:41):
the Warriors or Timberwolves. Timberwolves are not going to win, okay,
so you can cross that off. These teams are all
playing at the same time. By the way, so you
have to worry about like any like questionable scoreboard watching.
They're all playing at the same time, which I think
is really smart for the NBA with the Eastern Conference
going early and the Western Conference going late. So they're
(11:04):
all playing at the same time. They're all tipping off
at three thirty Eastern time. On the West, So Denver Houston, La,
Golden State, and the Jazz at the Timberwolves all tipping
off at twelve thirty. Okay, so Denver at Houston. Denver
(11:25):
is a nine and a half point favorite against Houston.
Houston is already locked into their playoff spot. Denver is
gonna win that game. Minnesota is a twenty three point favorite.
They're winning at home against Utah. The question is going
to be in the Clippers. The Clippers are on the
road at the Warriors. They are two and a half
point dogs. But this is a playoff game essentially for
the LA Clippers, and I think the Clippers are a
(11:46):
sneaky team here in the West. They're a sneaky team
that might wind up winning the West. They clinch a
playoff spot with a win. The Nuggets and the Tea
Wolves have to lose. Just told you I think the
Nuggets win and I think the Tea Wolves win. So
for that reason, the Warriors, sorry, the Clippers, have to win.
(12:07):
Clippers go to Golden State Clippers money line get they
get a win. That is a plus one eighty three
money line parlay. We're gonna see the other half a
unit from the player prop and we're betting on that,
all right, Anthony Edwards points and rebounds over twenty nine
and a half. Minnesota Denver Clippers moneyline parlay is a
(12:29):
plus one eighty three parlay. Half a unit down on that.
To give us some action here for the Western Conference,
all three of those teams need to win to secure
playoff berths. We're gonna group them together moneyline parlay, with
Minnesota Denver in the LA Clippers money line at plus
one eighty three. Finally, man, I've been sitting on this.
(12:54):
So Derek Brown Debro as we call him here with
betting Pros and I have been talking about Jackson ever
since the betting pros folks came to Vegas for our
team weekend. I'm a big fan of Jackson Dart been
watching him at O Mess for a while. I really
like his game. I think it translates really well to
(13:15):
the NFL. And I've been talking about Shador Sanders and
cam Ward and just the quarterback class as a whole,
and how I have not been impressed with the quarterback class.
And so when I start looking at the NFL draft
order and start looking at the players that should be available,
I agree with Todd McShay who believes that Jackson Dart
(13:35):
at number nine would be a gigantic pick. When Debro
came back from the Senior Bowl, he and I were
sitting down and I asked him, I said, where are
you seeing Jackson Dart? Like, what do you think Jackson
Dart winds up? And he said there are teams that
he spoke to that believe that Jackson Dart is going
(13:55):
to be a top ten pick. Quarterbacks always go higher
than they're supposed to. And you have a quarterback who
is a big body, who can move and run with
a big arm. Kellen Moore has had that in almost
every spot he has been at, whether it be Dallas, Philadelphia.
(14:16):
He said, a big arm quarterback who's very very mobile
at nine for New Orleans is a very interesting spot.
Pittsburgh picks at number twenty one, that's another interesting spot
in a potential trade up spot. Jackson darts number is
twenty one and a half for his draft position. It
(14:37):
was even money twenty one and a half last week
and that's when I bet it. But it's MIAs one
twenty five now, and that's where I'm going to give
it out to you guys, because I think now is
the time to jump in on it. There are teams
that probably would like to move back now. I don't
think Jackson Dart's a top five pick, but he could
(14:58):
be a top ten pick pretty easy. Carolina could trade down.
San Francisco could trade down quarterback needy teams could go
up to get their quarterback for the future, and it
very well could be Jackson Dark cam Ward appears to
be going number one. Shoud or Sanders might go two,
might go three, might go six to Vegas, or might drop.
(15:22):
And New Orleans very well might sit there and they
may take Shad or Sanders. But Shador is a smaller
quarterback than Jackson Dart. He's not as mobile as Jackson Dart.
He doesn't use his legs as much as Jackson Dart does.
I've just been a fan of his. I'm a fan
of ole Miss. I'm a fan of SEC quarterbacks have
(15:44):
been very kind of unfortunately like ripped on from the
SEZ for a while. But Jalen Hurts wins the Super Bowl.
I think Jackson Dark goes inside the top twenty. He
might even wind up going inside the top ten. Under
twenty one and a half is minus one twenty five
from a draft from a draft position, there's your first
NFL draft bet for the upcoming NFL draft Jackson Dart
(16:08):
under twenty one and a half. Caesars has this at
minus one twenty five. All right, so are plays for today?
Brighton to win the Masters at plus two fifty for
one unit. We're taking a position there looking to get
Rory or someone else at plus money as well. I
do think sprinkling on Corey Connor's eighteen to one is
also a good idea. Taking Connors over Sant Lowry in
(16:32):
a round four head to head at minus one fourteen
Jackson Dart to go before pick number twenty two in
the NFL draft and minus one twenty five Anthony Edwards
points and rebounds over twenty nine and a half and
on Minnesota Denver LA Clippers moneyline parlay for today and
the last day of the NBA regular season is a
(16:52):
plus one eighty three money line parlay. Throw a half
unit down on that, minus Matt Parol to following me
across all of my socials at Sports Stuck Matt every
single morning. Wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is
the Daily Juice.