Best Bets for Thursday | College Football Picks + Predictions (7.17)

It's the most dead day for sports of the year. There is literally nothing going on for games. So, host Matt Perrault is looking ahead to the fall and the college football season. Matt has 3 futures to give you on the Thursday episode of the Daily Juice. 

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys, Happy Thursday. Welcome in to another episode
of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perraultz. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk. Matt and I am taping and I don't
know what happened last night. Now we are trending to
go under for Vegas in Dallas as we start the
fourth quarter, but this bet is still undetermined, so I

(00:35):
don't know. We're either up a unit or down one
point one units for the day. Doesn't matter all that
much because this is the desert for sports. There is
no Major League Baseball today, there is no WNBA today,
it's the All Star break. There's nothing to bet on
besides I guess Summer League. We've already bet the Open Championship.

(00:57):
We did that yesterday, so we already have bets live
for today. But I'm not going to add anything for
the opening round today because it's going to begin at
three o'clock in the morning Eastern time, so that's not
really what I want to be doing for a morning
podcast on Thursday. So we already have two bets going
for the tournament. We'll have some more that will bet
later in the tournament. But right now we've got two

(01:18):
bets rolling. If you miss those bets, go back and
watch yesterday's Daily Juice podcast to get those plays for
the Open Championships. So what does that leave us today?
How about college football? Let's get into it. I've been
doing some work in the lab. I got three bets
I like. It actually involves three of the bigger teams
going into the twenty five season. Bets that I like.

(01:40):
You can bet as much as you want, like I've
said before, but I'm going to bet one unit on
these plays for us. And it involves some of the
blue bloods, some of the teams that will have a
lot of attention, a lot of spotlights on them coming
up in this college football season. But before we do that,
let's talk a little bit about our offer that we
have available for betting Pros Premium. It is seven days

(02:02):
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(02:25):
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(02:46):
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five dollars discount on your first coin purchase. Okay, college football,

(03:10):
I love betting it. I love betting it every week,
I love watching it. I love talking about it. So
I want to talk about three schools. I want to
talk about Ohio State, I want to talk about Penn State,
and I want to talk about Texas. So we're not
taking sorry Ohio State Penn State in Georgia. Sorry, Texas
is another one, but we'll get to text later. Three

(03:32):
different bets. Let's start with Ohio State. Their win total
is set at ten and a half. Now, to help
us have this conversation, I'm going to put up on
the screen if you're listening to the podcast, I apologize
if you're watching on YouTube. On your screen are the
three schedules for Penn State, Georgia, and Ohio State. Focus
on the right side of your screen at the moment.

(03:54):
With Ohio State, all right, the buck guys open the
year at home against Texas. I act think they're going
to lose that game. I think Texas will beat Ohio
State because I do think Texas is a bit further ahead.
You have a new quarterback with Ohio State, and I
know walking in to the horseshoe is not easy to do.

(04:14):
I just think Texas has a lot of talent they're
walking in there, and I think Texas will wind up
winning that game. If Ohio State wins the game, it's
not a bad thing for the bet that I'm going
to tell you about here. Okay, Ohio State then plays
Grambling in Ohio and I do think they win those
games easily. They're on the road at Washington, not an

(04:35):
easy place to play, but Ohio State by the time
they get there, all their youth, their inexperienced quarterback and
everything else. Ryan Day should have that team ready to go.
When they play Washington on the road, they should win
that game. They play Minnesota at home, at Illinois, and
at Wisconsin. That is not an easy three game stretch.

(04:56):
I'm not going to sit there and tell you that
they can't lose one of those games. Think they could,
but I don't think they will. Then they play Penn State.
Penn State plays Iowa before they play Ohio State. There's
a chance they lose to both Iowa and to Ohio State.
They drop both games for Penn State Ohio State at home.

(05:18):
Until I see it more on Penn State here in
just one second, but until I see James Franklin do it,
I can't believe it. At Purdue, when UCLA Rutgers, and
then if they run the table, or hypothetically if Ohio
State loses to Texas and then they run the table
all the way to the game against Michigan, we will

(05:40):
have a hedge opportunity and we'll have a chance to
go up against and get out of this bet or
bett it in game for Ohio State in Michigan, because frankly,
they've got to win that game. Ryan Day has got
to win that game. If Ohio State loses to Texas
and then they run the table the rest of the way,

(06:00):
Ohio State goes over ten and a half wins, it's
plus money. There's a chance that Ohio State goes undefeated.
Given the talent that they've got on this roster. Their
quarterback is the number one question, and I think they're
gonna be fine in that position with Ryan Day and
his ability to develop quarterbacks. I think they did a

(06:20):
great job last year with Howard, and I think they'll
continue to do well and have the quarterback not be
the problem. Have the quarterback just be someone who can
help Ohio State over ten and a half wins. At
plus money, we have to take that because if they
beat Texas, they're gonna run the table all the way
to Michigan. If they lose that game, they're gonna be

(06:41):
pissed off and they're gonna run the table all the
way to Michigan. Yes, Penn State is a tough game,
but Penn State's at home. Let's talk about Penn State.
The last two years for national champions have come out
of the Big ten. Last two years, coaches have taken
the proverbial monkey and then drop kicked it. Two years

(07:02):
ago it was Jim Harbaugh Michigan. Can he win the
Big One? Mister Kaki pants? Can you actually do what
you've said you were going to do, which was return
Michigan to the top of the college football world. What
did Harbad do? He beat Ohio State won the national championship.
The next year, Ryan Day, can you win the Big One? Ryan?
You lost again to Michigan. Oh my gosh, people want

(07:25):
you fired. You go and win the national championship. You
win the first ever college football Playoff expanded. Could James
Franklin be the third No? My answers no, And the
reason is a schedule. Look, I think Drew Aller's a
really good player. I think they have the best running

(07:48):
attack in college football. I think their defense is littered
with seniors NFL talent all over the place. Okay, there's
no debate. This is James Franklin most This is his
most talented team. If James Franklin is going to do it,
he's gonna do it now. This is the year for
James Franklin to do it. Here's the problem. It's their schedule.

(08:08):
Penn State, Nevada, FIU, Villanova all wins, but Oregon comes
to town. I'm not so sure Oregon they win that game.
That's gonna be a night game. I don't think it
will be a whiteout game, but it's gonna be a
ridiculous atmosphere. But I think Oregon's team speed could be
a real problem. Hell of a game out in Eugene
between Penn State and Oregon. This is the return, but

(08:31):
I think Oregon can win the game. Ucla on the
road is no cup of tea. They should win that game,
but that's a cross country trip after the Oregon game. Yikes.
That's a danger spot right there. Northwestern to win. Then
they play Iowa on the road the week before they
play Ohio State. They could lose to Oregon. Iowa and

(08:55):
Ohio State, Indiana, Michigan State on the road, Nebraska and
at Rutgers all should be w's. But at Rutgers is
one of those games I would be a little concerned about.
But here's the problem. The win totals ten and a half.
The over is plus money, the under ten and a
half is minus one thirty five, and we're gonna take it.

(09:20):
We're gonna take under ten and a half wins for
Penn State. They can still win ten games. They can
go ten and two, make the playoffs and still win
the national championship, but it lose two games. I think
there's three losses potentially on the schedule for Penn State.
I think they could go nine and three. Drew Allerd's
gonna have to play perfect football, and we saw it

(09:41):
in the playoffs. I mean, he just makes mistakes. He does.
He makes mistakes, makes bad reids, throws really bad interceptions.
He had whole I mean some really bad picks in
the playoffs. I don't think that stops here for this year.
So for that reason, under ten and a half win
for Penn State. Ohio State over Penn State, under for

(10:04):
ten and a half wins. Third bet for college football.
Let's talk about Georgia. Georgia to win the SEC. So
let's look at their schedule. Georgia hasn't lost a home
game in forever. They could lose to Florida, though Florida
the outdoor cocktail party I'll always call it that. In
Jacksonville they play Marshall and Austin p and then they're

(10:26):
on the road at Tennessee. Really tough game. They played
Tennessee in Alabama and back to back weeks, one on
the road, one at home. But Georgia, I'm sorry, I
talked about it last year with Georgia. I'm a Gunner
Stockton fan. I like this kid a lot. I think
he's gonna do wonders for this offense and him playing

(10:49):
last year, I think it's going to be tremendous. It's
a challenging schedule, but I think the Dogs have such
an incredible amount of NFL talent. They lost thirteen players
of theft and they're just you know, they lost Carson
Beck to transfer. Don't think that's that big of a deal,
to be quite honest. I mean, look, they're gonna go
to Tennessee. I think it would be a hard fought game.

(11:11):
I think that they'll win the game. They could lose
to Alabama. That's really possible. I mean, losing on the
road is is you know, that's possible. But I think
if you look at the way this team plays at home,
I mean at home, they haven't lost a game in
thirty one home games. So you think Bama goes in
there and win, maybe, but maybe not at Auburn. Tough

(11:35):
place to play, oh Miss, tough game, Florida. We talked
about Tennessee Texas at home. I think they go one
in one with the Alabama and Texas game. They'll win
one and lose one and they'll go seven and one
in conference in the SEC. That's good enough for Georgia
to get into the SEC championship game and go seven

(11:56):
and one was the record last year for Texas, Okay,
and they were in the championship game. If they go
seven and one and be in the SEC, they're going
to get in. I mean Alabama went five and three
in the SEC and they almost got in seven and one,
six and two, So you can get two conference losses
and make it to the SEC championship game. And the
game's in Georgia. I mean games in Georgia. Huge chances

(12:18):
to go and win that game, huge chance to go.
And you have your home fans there and you're sure
or could be Alabama, could be Tennessee, could be somebody
else that you play that has a great, big fan base.
Do you got to worry about that you have to
contend with. But I think Georgia, with Gunner Stockton, with
the fact that he's going to be back with more experience,

(12:38):
them to win the SEC. They're the second option. They're
an option behind Texas, which is somewhat surprising, to be
quite honest. To see Georgia not be favored to win
the SEC is a little bit surprising. If you ask me,
you don't normally see that out of Georgia. And there's
a lot of hype. Okay, there's a lot of hype.

(13:01):
They beat Texas in the playoffs. You know, they lost
to Notre Dame in the Sugar Bowl last year in
the playoffs, which was somewhat surprising for Georgia to lose
to Notre Dame twenty three to ten. But Stockton had
to play and he didn't look good. Rush got hurt. Look,
I think that there's a lot of really exciting things

(13:23):
that are good Kugawan this year. But Georgia in the
SEC Championship game beat Texas last year. It could be
Georgia in Texas again. I'll take the Dogs to win
the SEC Championship and if it gets there. We had
Joff of it. It's plus three sixty one unit. Give
me Georgia to win the SEC Championship, to win the
championship game, most likely against Texas, maybe against Alabama, but

(13:47):
at plus three sixty I don't think we're going to
get anything close to that if they get to that game.
And I think the schedule works out really well for
Georgia again. Tennessee on the road's tough, Alabama's at home,
Auburn on the road is tough, Florida is going to
be tough in the cocktail party, Texas at home, all
tough games, but I do think that they can go

(14:09):
seven and one. I do think they go six and
two at worst, but seven and one is most likely,
and they go seven and one, they'll be in the
SEC Championship game, and we can go ahead and bet
off of it again. You can bet more than one
unit if you want. I generally do bet more than
one unit on these futures, but for the purpose of
the podcast, we're just gonna come in here and bet
it so again in the place. Ohio State over ten

(14:30):
and a half wins at plus one, twenty penn State
under ten and a half wins at minus one. Thirty
five and Georgia to win the SEC at plus three sixty.
Tomorrow on our Friday, We're back to Betton Baseball. Looking
forward to seeing and hearing all you guys coming up tomorrow.
Mineus Matt Perrel to following me across all my socials
at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get
your podcasts, it is the Daily Juice