Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Thursday morning
episode of the Daily Juice podcast.
Speaker 2 (00:18):
My name is Matt Perrelt.
Speaker 1 (00:19):
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sports Talk Matt, and it's just kind of been
one of those weeks. After a two and two day, unfortunately,
it's another losing day. We're down point three to three units.
Obi Toppin was the play of the day and that
goes down. So unfortunately we dropped to eight and three
in the month of June for the play of the day,
(00:41):
Obi Toppin points and rebounds got there over thirteen and
a half. That was the bet that should have been
the official play. I went points and assists thinking he
was going to score at least ten points. He missed
a bunch of layups. He had eight points in one assist.
If he had hit hit those layups, we would have
(01:01):
been good. You would have had ten points in one
assist and we would have gone over. Lou Dort went
over in the first quarter for us, so that was easy.
Pacers in the first quarter goes down. They were down big,
but they rally to win the game and take a
two games to one lead over the Oklahoma City Thunder
and the Giants run line was an absolute miracle to
(01:22):
get that to come in. They were losing six to
three and they won the game ten to seven. I'll
take it because it completely saved the day. Should have
been one in three. Remember that the next time I'm complaining,
because that should have been a much bad, worse day
for us in terms of what I was down down
point three to three units. That's fine. We're still down
(01:42):
on the week. Obviously we need to rally here. But
we have Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Got four days
left to get ourselves right here. So we're still down,
still in a hole, but let's see we can dig
ourselves out of it, because I think it's like three
units after I think that's right what we're down on
the week, which is not impossible to overcome. It's not
a great spot to be. Let me just check and
(02:05):
see here. Because obviously we're down four units the other day,
so that was a killer. Yeah, we were up point
eight two on Monday, down four and then down three
point three, so you know four point three minds yeah,
three three and a half. So we're down about three
and a half units for the week, so we got
to get going here. That factors into my place here
(02:25):
by the way, Okay, that factors into what I am
betting today for us. So three bets, three sports. I'll
explain the plays. I'll give you some extra plays, kind
of like the Obi top end play that we gave
out yesterday.
Speaker 2 (02:37):
If you wanted to play some an extra.
Speaker 1 (02:39):
I'll give you a couple exture options as to what
to jump in on here for tonight's place. But first
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Speaker 1 (03:06):
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(05:02):
guys can get with Betting Pros Premium and if you'd
like the prop bet cheat sheet and the low door
easy cash. Now, obviously the play of the Day with
Toppen didn't hit, but we came right there point and rebounds.
You get seven days for free of betting co Pros Premium.
You can check out the prop bet cheat sheet for
the WNBA, for Major League Baseball and for the NHL.
(05:23):
A lot of you guys wrote some really cool things
when I asked you to give me some feedback about
what you want on the Daily Juice. I'm still going
through all of those posts and making some notes about
what to do this summer, but a lot of you
were asking for other things, other types of plays, other
options for prop bets in Major League Baseball and WNBA
plays and things other unique betting opportunities you could make
(05:45):
them yourself with Betting Pros Premium. Download the Betting Pros
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Pros Premium. Okay, let's start with hockey game four tonight.
This feels like the game that's gonna go under. It
really does. It really feels like this is the game
(06:05):
to bet under. But I told you before, I'm not
betting under. It's heavily juiced. Six and a half under
is heavily juiced. The books are making you pay for
it because everyone's saying this is the game. It was
six to one last time. Barbrovski was tremendous. He was
absolutely tremendous. And Bobrovsky because he was so good, I
think people are saying he'll be as good he could be.
(06:26):
He might be, he might not be. It's hard to
bet under. I'm just gonna say it. It's really hard
to bet under. Game three should have gone under. It
went over. How many goals will Skinner give up? He
gave up five, he got pulled. Picard came in, gave
up one. It's hard. I'm telling you right now, it's
really difficult to say. This game's not gonna go under,
(06:48):
and if it goes over, it goes over.
Speaker 2 (06:50):
It's gonna be most likely a win for the Oilers.
So I'm not really comfortable here.
Speaker 1 (06:55):
I don't know who wins. I'm gonna be honest. I
lean to Florida. I think the Panthers are most like
they're gonna win this game. They're pretty good favorites. Mice
won fifty favorites to go up three games to one
on the Oilers. But Edmonton needs it right. Two to
two is a whole different series than three to one.
They get home ice back, and then Game five is
going to be back in Edmonton, so you know you're
gonna get the best effort.
Speaker 2 (07:15):
You know you're getting.
Speaker 1 (07:16):
Everything the kitchen sink if you will, You're getting everything
from Edmonton here tonight to go out there and go
So if I was betting the game, I probably would
say bet Edmonton, but I want to watch. I want
to see who scores first. I want to see what prize,
what price I get. I want to see what a
live total. The only thing I will tell you I
will bet the Panthers to win the second period.
Speaker 2 (07:35):
Okay, whatever that is.
Speaker 1 (07:36):
I will bet that that hit that's been hitting second period,
over one and a half goals second period, money line Panthers,
all that second period. I'm on the Panthers, but that's
an end game play that really you can't. You can
bet a pregame, but I don't recommend it because the
pricing is all out of whack. So you get to
watch the first period first and then bet the second period.
But I do like money line second period Panthers and
(07:58):
over one and a half goals in the second period,
if in particular it was only one goal that scored
in the first period. I love that for the second period,
but I don't want to make it official because I
don't love it. What I do know is that the
Oilers are going to be flying around throwing pucks at Bobrovski.
I'm betting the same thing we've bet in all three games,
(08:20):
one hook. So the books are making you pay serious
juice one forty five, one fifty, one, fifty five and
one sixty to bet over twenty six and a half
goals for the game, including overtime. FanDuel has it in regulation.
Now this game could go overtime. It could absolutely go
(08:42):
to overtime. First two games did Game four absolutely could
go back to the overtime trend. But Babrovsky has gone
over twenty six and a half saves in regulation in
all three games. Bibrovski averaged thirty three and a half
saves in the regular season, and most of the those
games were in regulation where he had thirty or more saves.
(09:05):
I think he gets thirty or more saves in regulation.
So I'm not gonna and I'm gonna risk it a
little bit.
Speaker 2 (09:12):
You don't have to.
Speaker 1 (09:12):
If you want to bet the juice and include overtime,
go ahead, But because of the week I'm having, I'm
not interested in laying one point fifty. Like, if I'm
wrong about Bribrovski, I'd rather lose, and even if it
wins an overtime, I'd rather just lose it in regulation.
I'd rather lose it and not have it be expensive.
(09:34):
So it's minus one twelve. FanDuel has this. All three
bets tonight were made at fandel. This is a FanDuel play, Okay,
So now every book's offering this, so hopefully you have
FanDuel available. Most of you in the audience have FanDuel
avail available. Instead of complaining about this, I'm gonna take
advantage of it. I'm gonna say, okay, I'll take your wager.
(09:55):
Ribrovski over twenty six and a half saves in regulation
is minus one twelve. Now look at that number, okay,
and you might say, wow, Matt, he's gone from twenty
four and a half to twenty five and a half
to twenty six and a half. We're really starting to
jump up here in terms of saves. This is getting
to be really kind of expensive here for Verbroski. Okay,
(10:16):
it is, but he's hit it every time. They're going
up by one. Twenty four and a half was too low,
twenty five and a half was too low, twenty six
and a half. I mean, at some point the books
are gonna say, okay, uncle, we're hitting that number. But
I'm gonna keep betting it over. We're three and oh
so far in this series. Let's keep betting it over.
Vibroski over twenty six and a half saves at minus
(10:36):
one twelve in regulation, no overtime, so it's got to
have it in regulation. I'nna take a shot if you
want to play the one forty five, the one fifty,
the one sixty.
Speaker 2 (10:46):
Juice be my guest.
Speaker 1 (10:47):
But like I said, if I'm wrong, I think I'm
gonna be wrong in regulation as well as being wrong
in overtime. So I don't know if I'm gonna need overtime.
If that happens, so be it. I'll take my lumps.
I'll lose the one point one two units on it
and be frustrated, but I'm gonna take it because of
the juice. I don't want to lay the type of
number that we're being asked to lay here for twenty
six and a half saves for sir Gey Barbrovski over
(11:10):
twenty six and a half in regulation at minus one twelve.
Make sure it's in regulation. You will not get it
at this price if it's not in regulation. Okay, second
bet of the day, Let's go to Major League Baseball
Giants and the Rockies. We got so lucky, I mean
(11:32):
we got so lucky. Red Sox are off, so we
don't have to worry about that. But the Giants had
beat the Padres in the final two games of their series,
beat the Braves by three, and they beat they won
the Rocky beat the Rockies are the first two games
of this series. One game left here on a Thursday.
They won every game except last night on the money
(11:53):
line sixty five three two five four three two four
three sixty five, so six games in a row by
one run. And then last night we got lucky. And
I'm talking lucky on the run line. I'm not looking
to tempt fate here again with this Giants team. Bird
Song is pitching up against sen Sateela. I like the
(12:14):
Giants run line, and you can bet it if you
want a bit run lined. But bird Song's era is
three point seven to one on the road, two seven
opposing batting average.
Speaker 2 (12:24):
He's been good.
Speaker 1 (12:25):
He's won his last two teams one's last two starts
two innings, so two earned runs in one aren run
in the last two starts, a five to four win
over Atlanta and a four to two win on the
road over in Miami. Lost the Tigers three to one,
beat the Case Royals three to two in five innings.
He gave up no earn runs in that game. So
they've won three of the last four games in which
he has started. But I just I'm not in love
(12:48):
with laying this number here for the Giants. Sent to
Tela is not great, Okay, In fact, he's awful. The
team has lost one, two, three, four, five, six seven,
eight games in a row in which he has started
on the run line. Of those eight losses, one two, three, four, five, six,
(13:08):
seven of.
Speaker 2 (13:09):
The eight, we're on the run line. Okay, So I
don't mind it.
Speaker 1 (13:12):
But I just feel like we've tempted fate here so
much that it's safer to bet money line and find
a dance partner and go back to the two leg
money line parlays that I was doing.
Speaker 2 (13:25):
And I think it's.
Speaker 1 (13:26):
Okay to bet the Tigers today. Tigers lost ten to
one yesterday to the Orioles. They won the first game
five to three. It's schoolble day to reach Schooble.
Speaker 2 (13:36):
Against this Orioles team. Yet they can hit but Schooble.
Speaker 1 (13:40):
If they're not pitching against the Royals, Schoobble beats everyone.
Speaker 2 (13:44):
Okay.
Speaker 1 (13:45):
The team has lost four games all year in which
he has pitched, but dating all the way back to
the second of April.
Speaker 2 (13:52):
It's only been the Royals that.
Speaker 1 (13:54):
Have beaten This team beaten the Tigers with Schooble pitching.
He beat the Baltimore Orioles back on the twenty seventh
of April, seven to nothing. He went six innings, zero
earned runs. That was at home. Mind you, this is
on the road. But Schooble is the American League signing
an award winner, and on the road he is one in
(14:14):
two with a two to five opposing batting average thirty
six and a third innings worth of work eleven earned
runs just given up in that one. He has given
up five home runs on the road in a one
and two record. But I expect a good game out
of school Ble. I expect the Tigers to win two
leg money line parlay. Giants Tigers is a plus one
twenty four two leg money line parlay Giants to complete
(14:37):
the sweep. Tigers to win on Schoolble Day plus one
twenty four for one unit. I don't think that that's
crazy at all. Bob over twenty six and a half
saves in regulation. Giants Tigers money line parlay at plus
one twenty four. Now, the last bet here was put
on the Discord channel, and I hope you guys are
listening to this early enough to put this bet in.
(14:59):
But I put it on the Discord channel for this
reason because everyone is teeing off pretty early at the
US Open. All right, this is going to be a
bet that at I mean my time, Okay, West Coast time.
The first tee time is three forty five in the morning.
Three forty five in the morning for the US Open. Okay,
(15:21):
hello for Xander's Schoffle and for uh for Rory McElroy,
they're having it a little bit later in terms of
their times for when they're going to tee off. So
hopefully you guys can get this bet in, but it's
still going to be an early day for most of
these golfers here. I personally will look to fade brooks Kopka.
(15:45):
I think brooks Kopka will miss the cut at the
US Open. I think a lot of these live guys
may miss the cut at the US Open. So to
miss the cut, there's some interesting prices. You can shop
around try to find the best price. But we did
on my other show, The ball Tony Versus the Book,
we had a guy at Oakmont literally show us the
rough and he had walked a practice round with Dustin Johnson.
(16:06):
He said, eight over that will be the cut line.
Eight over to the winning score will be over par
So you want to bet that it'll be over and
to fade Scotti Scheffler, that somebody else besides Scotty Scheffler
will will win this thing because everyone everyone's betting Scotty Scheffler, everyone,
and so it's a good thing. De fade it because
(16:29):
it's just not really a good play to make when
you run with everybody to miss the cut.
Speaker 2 (16:34):
Where is our.
Speaker 1 (16:35):
Friend, mister brooks Kopka. Where is that price? I saw
that earlier today? There it is even money. Her Brooks
kept going to miss the cut. Okay, I think that's
a good bet, her brooks Kopka to miss the cut?
What I am betting officially, however, and this comes from
my guest on my other show, Xander schoffle Xander Schaffle.
He likes him a lot. He likes his game on
(16:57):
this golf course. And every one who is quote unquote
in the sharp world, they're fading Ry McElroy why he
was horrible in Canada last week. He has been talking
about trying to find motivation after winning the Masters. He
just isn't really clicked in. Xander Schoffley is teeing off
at seven thirty Eastern time. Okay, seven thirty am so
(17:22):
hopefully you guys are getting this or on the Discord
channel you went to FanDuel and got this bet because
he goes.
Speaker 2 (17:27):
Off super super early.
Speaker 1 (17:31):
If you want something extra from a top twenty perspective,
I'm gonna bet more.
Speaker 2 (17:35):
They's official after the cut.
Speaker 1 (17:37):
You guys know, I tend to get involved officially with
a lot of these bets for the US Open for
Golf after the cut. But I think Rory isn't gonna
be around for a while. So Rory could very well
blow up pretty quickly here.
Speaker 2 (17:49):
In the first round.
Speaker 1 (17:50):
So I'm gonna jump on a first round head to
head Xander Schaffley over Rory McElroy and Roy's mis one forty.
Speaker 2 (17:58):
I can't believe the price.
Speaker 1 (18:00):
It's plus one oh five, Like that's stunning to me
on this just given what we've seen from a game
perspective for Rory McElroy.
Speaker 2 (18:09):
And they've they've tried.
Speaker 1 (18:10):
I mean, Rory's threesome is like you know exactly who
he'd want to play with, and Shane Lowry's in his
threesome like he's got his best buds with him to
go play golf here. I don't think it's gonna matter
all that much, just because I don't think Rory his
game is up to snuff for the level of golf
we're talking about.
Speaker 2 (18:25):
His tea time is.
Speaker 1 (18:26):
At four forty Pacific, seven to forty Eastern, so his
inn shofleg goes up at seven twenty nine, seven forty
for Rory McElroy. So early in the morning, I'll get
up and get to see this bet and see what happens.
But Xander over Rory for plus one oh five for
one unit in the round one head to head here
(18:47):
for today at the US Open. All right, so you
guys have got three bets in three sports. But Brovski
over twenty six and a half saves in regulation at
mis one twelve. Xander over Rory in round one at
plus one oh five. Giants Tigers money line parlay at
plus one twenty four, trying to get claw back a
little bit and get us back. We go three to
no today. We're sitting good here, get some plus money,
(19:10):
make a big dent in what we've had happen to
us this week. My min's Matt parrelt Followmeric goes all
my socials at sports Doc Matt every morning. Wherever you
guys get your podcasts, It is the Daily Juice,