Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday
morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is
Matt Perrelt. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials at Sports Talk. Matt the backward hat is staying.
It's three in a row, three straight winning days. We
are on a roll. It's been a pretty good month
of June so far. We are three and oho for
(00:36):
winning days in the month of June. The prop bet sorry,
the betting pros play of the day also is three
and oh. The Links get there easily, like I thought
they destroyed Phoenix, Blue Jays, Phillies. Well, it got there fast,
and then it stopped at eight and it got a
little scary there until the game went way over with
(00:57):
a couple of late home runs for us. So we
got that Red Sox in the Angels that game back
to back days. I'm gonna say this, that should have
gone over. I mean the Red Sox had numerous base
runners and they couldn't score in the first five. They
scored two runs in the sixth in thing, so if
we played first six, that went over five runs. But
(01:18):
we couldn't get that big hit for the Red Sox
for them to tie the game up to have it
wind up going over five or even pushing on five. Instead,
it was a three to one final a three to
one after five Red Sox lost the game to the Angels.
Have lost the first two games of that series to
the Angels. So two win one record up one unit,
so three one in one. We're up five units for
(01:41):
the week so far. Here for the Deal Juice podcast.
That is very good news. Now at the time of taping,
it is currently ten to fifteen Pacific time. The A's
in the Twins just wrapped up their game. The Twins
won the game ten to three. I bet the over.
So here are some stats, just FYI because it is bonkers.
(02:03):
The A's now have lost to the Twins. They've lost
eight straight games. They've lost nineteen of their last twenty.
They've been outscored ninety seven by ninety seven runs during
that twenty game stretch. That's an average of four point
eighty five runs per game. They're in danger of matching
(02:23):
the nineteen forty three Philadelphia A's that had a one
in twenty four stretch eighty two years ago in August
of nineteen forty three. This is an unbelievably bad baseball team,
but the games keep on going over. And since the
(02:44):
games keep on going over, I mean the A's their
pitching staff is awful, but they can score. I mean
they're not completely anemic scoring either. They scored three runs
ten to three final. So looking at the numbers, I
don't know what the books you're gonna hang from a
total perspective. But let's go back to the start of
(03:08):
this ridiculous, awful stretch. Okay, these are the last twenty
final scores. Okay, you tell me how many of these
games have gone under? It started nine three nineteen two
nine one. Those are three overs one nothing, three two four,
three unders, seven five ten, five ten, five all overs
(03:32):
four to three under nine six five four, eleven one
five three twelve nothing, eleven seven, eight, seven, eight, four, ten,
four ten three. I mean we're talking about one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,
(03:52):
eight nine ten straight games to go over. I mean,
you know, get you guys know A love beiting streaks,
twins a's over. I don't know what the total is
going to be. Are they bold enough to hang in eleven?
That's the question. And then what's the team total for
the Twins because the Twins are throwing Zebbi Matthews. Zebbi
is a young kid twenty five years old who is
(04:15):
not that good on the road seven point two zero ERA,
zero to one, ten innings pitched, eight earned runs, given
up a posing batting average of two to eighty two.
No boino. Last time out on the road at Seattle,
seven innings, four earned runs in a twelve to six
final score. Twins are scoring. Why well, their offense is
(04:36):
alive and well the a stink Jeffrey Springs is gonna go.
He's five and four with a four point seven to
two ERA. He in his last start lasted two innings
against the Blue Jays on the road. He threw two innings,
six earned runs, six hits, one home run, six walks,
eleven to seven final there In the start before that,
(04:58):
at home against Philadelphia nine six, he went six innings,
gave four or sorry three earned runs four runs in total.
At the Giants it was a three to two loss,
but against Dodgers it was an eleven to one win.
Seven innings, one e on run. He pitched half foy
decent and they scored a bunch of runs for him.
I mean, I'm betting over, but I don't know what
the number is, so I can't tell you what to
(05:21):
bet because the books have not hung a number yet.
So if I add, which is very possible, I may
add officially the over here in this game for the
A's and the Twins on the Discord channel bettingpros dot
Com slash chet to get into there, I will post
it in the Discord channel. If I'm going to take
a number, if it's ten or lower auto fire, not
(05:42):
even blinking an eye, nine and a half ten auto fire.
Do they hang at ten and a half or an eleven?
I don't know. We've talked about this, but Sacramento the
A's are an over machine. I believe now it's twenty
and ten to the over so far this year for Sacramento.
At some point it was going to get the cores
Field treatment, where we'd see eleven and twelves from a
(06:04):
total perspective. We may have reached that part of the summer.
But I don't mind you using the Twins as a
money line and parlay piece. And I mean the A's
are just absolutely historically bad. I mean, this is a really,
really bad baseball team. So crazy, by the way, the
Rockies finally won a series. They won the first two
games against the Marlins on the road. They finally won
(06:25):
a road series, first time since twenty four. Twenty twenty
four last year was the last time the Rockies one
a series on the road, three to two win over Miami.
How bad are the Marlins? I mean, my goodness, gracious
are the Marlins pathetic to lose that to that team,
to the Colorleldo Rockies. The now have five wins on
(06:47):
the road for Colorado. Okay, so I got three bets,
one in hockey, two in baseball, maybe an ad on
Major League Baseball. We're doing well, so we can push
our luck here a little bit and out of fourth
play depending what the number is for the A and
the Twins. Check with me on the Discord channel in
the morning for that. You guys went gaga for this,
and I'm just gonna remind you in case you missed
(07:08):
the podcast yesterday. Our jersey for the month of June
is a Paul pierced Paul Pierce sign Celtics jersey. To
win this, it's easy. Subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube
channel and leave a comment on this Daily Juice video
that's it. You're in. When we contact you, you're gonna
have to prove that you are a subscriber to the
Betting Pros YouTube channel. But go ahead subscribe to the
(07:29):
YouTube channel, jump in comment, and you are entered into
the contest to win a Paul Pierce signed jersey. We
will give that away in the beginning of July thanks
to our friends at Pristineauction dot com. And don't forget
about the Playoff prop contest. It gets back going tomorrow
when the return of the NBA Finals. Game one of
(07:51):
the NBA Finals. This is free. You make player prop
picks and compete for signed NBA jerseys. This jersey, well,
the grand prize is a Allan Iverson autographed jersey. We're
giving away a finals prize for a Janis Antetakoupo signed
Bucks jersey. Every round it's free. This round we're giving
(08:13):
away a Yannis jersey signed. The grand prize is an
Allen Iverson sixers jersey signed. To enter, go to Bettingpros
dot com slash Playoffs or go play on the Betting
Pros app. Both places. It's free to play, all right,
Let's start with the Stanley Cup tonight Florida on the
road taken on Edmonton. So this is going to be
(08:37):
an incredibly tight series. I don't know what to do
with the series, to be quite honest. The Panthers are
defending champs and the Panthers are dogs here in this series,
and that is somewhat shocking that that's the case. We
normally don't see that. So a couple of things. And
(09:00):
one of the best reads in the sports gambling space
is Evan Abrams of the Action Network, and he does
this for college football in the NFL every week. We
talk about it every week because the guy just writes
an incredible article with just so much information. But he
wrote one on the Cup Finals, and I found this
is pretty interesting as to what we are seeing. Series
(09:20):
favorites in the Stanley Cup Final are eighteen and four
over the last twenty two years and eleven and two
over the last thirteen. The series favorite has won five
Cups in a row. The Oilers would be considered a
toss up champion kind of since nineteen ninety, but like
(09:42):
they're favored right now, they're legitimately favored, so they've had
They were plus one oh five in the first round.
They were minus one oh five in the semi finals.
They were minus one twenty in the conference finals. Now
they're misus won twenty five mice one twenty in the
Stanley Cup. No team, according to the Action Network in
that span, has entered a Stanley Cup Final having four
(10:03):
straight series of a price under one thirty in each series.
The Oilers would be just the fourth Cup champion since
nineteen ninety not to be listed at minus one fifty
or longer in any series, joining the eighteen Capitals, the
fifteen Blackhawks, and the ninety five Devils. To give you
an idea of like the books, like Edmonton, but they
(10:26):
don't love Edmonton. The numbers are in favor of Edmonton,
but they are such a short, short favorite because the
Panthers are so live to win this thing, I mean,
repeating in the NHL is not that rare. We saw
it in twenty and twenty one with the Lightning, the
Penguins in sixteen and seventeen. I mean, this has happened.
(10:48):
The Oilers did it in eighty seven and eighty eight.
To my Boston Bruins, It's happened. The Panthers are listed
as a series underdog as defending champs if they win,
they would owing just the Red Wings in nineteen ninety
seven and ninety eight as being an underdog in either
Cup final going for a repeat. Detroit was plus one
(11:09):
fifteen and ninety seven to the Penguins before being a
massive dog or sorry, massive favorite the year later at
minus three p thirty. So that's just a long way
of me saying that I don't know what to do
with the series. Okay, I think the Panthers win. My
head says the Panthers. My heart says Edmonton, because it's
been nine since nineteen ninety three since the Canadian teams
(11:30):
have won a Cup. And this is Connor McDavid's time
to get this check this box to go. You know,
to be one of the all time great you gotta
win the Stanley Cup. So this could be the time,
and why not now making it in back to back years.
Let's go win it right now. So my heart says Edmonton,
my head says Florida. My wallet says keep the dollars
in my pocket and not make a play. Instead, let's
(11:53):
talk about the total. I can't buy this Stuart Skinner
that we are seeing. The total is six. He played
out of his mind. Against Dallas. I just don't think
this is the real guy, at least not early in
the series. These two teams played two times during the
regular season, and the games flew over six' five in
(12:15):
four to three total is. Six there's a good push.
Potential iobrabovski's, great but The oilers at home so much.
Energy they're twenty five thirteen and three this year at
their home ice on their home. Ice panthers are twenty
nineteen and two on the, road so they haven't been.
Awesome they've been equally very good at. Home the only
(12:37):
THING i know want to play is the over over
six in this game offense four to two final at
worst four three three three going into the third, period
we maybe get an overtime, game five to two finals
somewhere in that. RANGE i just think we see. Offense
someone's gonna have a bad, game one of the two
goaltenders will have a bad. GAME i kind of lean
(12:57):
towards it being, skinner BUT i don't. KNOW i, mean
we know what this offense is capable, of we know
for both. Sides but we know that with a lead The,
panthers if they got up by two, goals it's a
rap they don't lose games up by two, goals Like
it's been a long time since they've blown a two goal.
Lead so if they go up by two, goals the
(13:19):
worst case scenario Is florida goes up to nothing in this.
Game that's the worst case. Scenario they will sit on
the on, it AND i don't think we'll in the
underwall play the underwall. Hit so we Want edmonton to score,
first we Want florida to tie. It i'd love to
see a one to one score after the first, period
watch the second period kick, in you, know two to
two after two and then three to, two open, net
(13:41):
four to two or three to. Three we go to,
overtime somewhere in that. Range BUT i think the only
real safe play in game, one sit back and watch
it over six at minus one. Twenty, right that's the
juice THAT i paid on, it, right minus one fifteen
one point one five. Units NOW i told you about
the two baseball. Play with the one baseball, PLAY i
do have two official plays THAT i want to. Make
(14:03):
so let's talk first about The giants and The. Padres
padres can't, hit, okay they they can't hit to save their.
LIFE i don't know what happened to. THEM i don't
know where their offense, went but their offense is completely south.
Now you look at their final scores recently against The
pirates and The giants three, two, five six to, four one,
(14:26):
nothing three to. Two they've won for of those five,
games so it's not like they're not it's not like
they're they're losing these. Games they're just not scoring three
to two final on the, road one, nothing three to.
Two the books have come back with a seven and
a half here for this, game And i'm really kind
of surprised that they've come back with a seven and
a half and not a six and a. Half Kyle
(14:46):
harrison's an opener going for The, giants but, Again padres can't,
hit So i'm not worried about an opener. Here kid
has not been that. Bad left handed Pitcher Nick pavetta
going for The. Padres he's six and two with a
two point seven to. Four on the, road he's been
a little shaky four point three, two one to, two
record twelve earned runs and twenty five innings worth of,
(15:08):
work opposing betting average of two forty. Five he's been
much better at, home but he hasn't been awful at
The braves six, innings one earned. Run at The, rockies
he was bad four innings and six earned, runs but
the time for that was against The yankees five, innings
two earned runs Against detroit seven, innings zero earned. Runs
So i'm not worried About paveta going here and pitching
(15:28):
well in a pitcher's ballpark against The giants team that. Will,
frankly their offense has been pretty much as anemic as
we have seen here with The. Padres they haven't been scoring.
Either they're seventeen and. Eleven they've scored two zero four
zero two three one one three zero four over the
(15:50):
last two. Weeks they don't score. Either under seven and a.
Half giants and The. Padres we're gonna keep on rolling
here under seven and a half and mins twenty for
one point two units and The reds at home Against.
Milwaukee this is the scary bet of the, day all.
Right not gonna lie first two games of this series three,
(16:13):
two four to two under, Under gonna play a streak
here and hope that we see another under between these. Two,
now Dl hall is Going he has a one to
oh record with a one point six y NINE. Era
he's gone three and two and a. Third he's a
one time through the lineup, guy six to two final
(16:36):
win At, philadelphia three to two final win At boston
FOR Dl. Hall so he's been pretty. Good you hope
he comes one time through the. Rotation Andrew, abbott on
the other, side has been really good at home For
cincinnati one point zero FIVE, era a three to oh,
record opposing batting average of two oh, seven three earned
(16:58):
runs in twenty five and two thirds innings worth of.
Work he's been phenomenal last time out at home against The.
CUBS a six to four win five and two, thirds
ONE urn run Against, cleveland a three to one win five,
innings NO urn runs against The White, sox a five
to one loss in extra innings six, innings ONE urn
(17:20):
run Against Saint, LOUIS a nine to one, win four,
innings NO urn. Runs in the month Of, May Andrew
abbott has been absolute nails nails for The, reds And
i'm not gonna. Lie this is always dangerous taking an
under In cincinnati because that ballpark does not normally play
to the. Under that's a home run hitting, ballpark that
(17:42):
is an over ballpark in most, days but The brewers
haven't really been. Scoring their offense has gone somewhat. Cold
that's being red. Hot they're fifteen to nineteen on the.
Road they still have a losing record on the. Road but,
again this is a team that has been, winning even
though they just lost four to two and had their
winning streak. Snapped they had one seven in row, right, one, two, three, four, five, six,
(18:06):
seven eight in a, row having eight in a row.
Snapped SO i don't mind you come back and take
The brewers here. Today if you don't like the, under
you want to take The brewers to win the. Game
don't hate that at. All it's The brewers are actually.
Dogs it's even money for, them red your favorite at
minus one. Twenty SO i don't mind taking the dog
With milwaukee and saying they're gonna bounce. BACK i just
(18:27):
don't see this game being high, scoring and these game
is going to be a low scoring. Game So i'm
gonna bet the under here under nine at minus one
ten for one point one. Units, okay so the a's
in the twins could be added depending on the. Number
when the books hang that, number we find out who's
pitching That if it's ten or, under automatic over bet
blindly bet, it but if it's ten and a half or,
(18:49):
higher check with. Me let's do some research and some
numbers here on The twins and The. A's maybe we'll
play A twins team total and stay away from the
game total if it's too. High But Oilers panther over,
Six Giants padres under seven and a, Half Brewers reds
under nine here for us on A. Wednesday let's see
(19:10):
what we can do. Here let's see if we can
keep it. Going winning day On, sunday Winning day On,
monday Winning day On. Tuesday three winning days so far
in the month Of. June let's see if we make it.
Four my N's Matt. Parolt you guys can follow miracros
all of my socials At Sports Talk matt every single
morning wherever you guys get your. Podcasts it is The Daily.
Juice