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June 24, 2025 22 mins

In this episode, Alex McFadyen of Flow Mortgage Co. addresses whether Canada is heading for a real estate and recessionary crisis, acknowledging that many Canadians are struggling with rising rents and mortgage costs. He breaks down the CMHC Home Affordability Report, which confirms severe housing supply issues, noting an annual shortfall of 200,000 new homes and that a 2030 timeline for resolution is no longer realistic. McFadyen also clarifies misconceptions about interest rates, explaining that fixed rates are trending upwards due to sticky inflation and surging oil prices, indicating rate cuts are not imminent. Despite headlines suggesting a crisis, he points out that over the past five years, real estate values are up across the country, and he emphasizes that affordability cannot be fixed without addressing the supply issue. Ultimately, Alex advises listeners to prepare for the market rather than trying to time it, as waiting could prove more costly, and he highlights that smart investors are actively seeking opportunities in the current climate.

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