In this episode, conservative pundit Sabrina and economist Mike Moffatt speak with David Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data, to explore the evolving landscape of Canadian election polling. They discuss the impact of recent policy changes, particularly the carbon tax, on voter sentiment and the shifting dynamics of affordability issues. The conversation delves into the trends among young voters, particularly young men, and the gender dynamics influencing voting behavior. The discussion also highlights the scarcity mindset surrounding housing and the rising favorability of Mark Carney as a political figure.
Chapters
00:00 Introduction, David Coletto
01:12 Who gets credit for axing the tax?
04:34 What happened to the affordability issue?
07:20 Young voters, trends and influences
11:41 Gender dynamics in voting behavior
13:25 Scarcity mindset and housing concerns
16:11 Rise of Liberals or collapse of the NDP?
17:28 Canadian national unity
18:50 Mark Carney's rising favorability
22:02 Expectations and the bandwagon effect
24:17 Reflections on a pivotal election
Three numbers tell the story of the election this week, and none of them looks good for Poilievre
Why Are Young Men Shifting Right? A Trend I’ve Been Tracking for a While
"Carbon Tax Carney" gets the credit for axing the tax
Abacus Data Poll: Liberals lead by 4
Guest:
David Coletto
https://abacusdata.ca/team/david-coletto/
https://davidcoletto.substack.com/
Hosts:
Sabrina Maddeaux https://x.com/SabrinaMaddeaux
Mike Moffatt https://twitter.com/MikePMoffatt https://bsky.app/profile/mikepmoffatt.bsky.social
Producer: Meredith Martin https://twitter.com/meredithmartin https://bsky.app/profile/meredithmartin.bsky.social, https://www.linkedin.com/in/meredith-martin-21108165/
This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation https://neptis.org/
Brought to you by the Missing Middle Initiative https://www.missingmiddleinitiative.ca/
Hosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux
Produced by Meredith Martin
This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.
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