The NZ Property Market Podcast

The NZ Property Market Podcast

Brought to you by cotality, formerly CoreLogic. Each week co-hosts Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson will bring you all the latest news, stats and insight to keep you up to date with everything to do with the NZ residential property market. Including sales volumes, house price indices, buyer activity, interest rates, loan-to-value ratio restrictions and all of the macro economic factors that influence our largest asset class. Contact us on twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL

Episodes

November 25, 2025 14 mins

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As expected the RBNZ cut the OCR to 2.25% today, and also signalled that this may be the last cut in the cycle.

In this reactionary episode of the podcast, Nick and Kelvin run through the reasons for the latest decision, and also what the RBNZ forecasts look like in 2026 and beyond - for GDP, employment, house prices, inflation, and the OCR itself.

A house price upturn looks lik...

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This week, following the publication of the latest Monthly Chart Pack, Nick and Kelvin discuss the latest trends in sales volumes, the implications of a proposed capital gains tax, and with the final MPS of the year this week, the outlook for monetary policy.  

They explore how these factors influence the housing market and investor sentiment.

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November 16, 2025 29 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin delve into the latest insights from the first home buyer report, migration trends, and retail spending data. 

They discuss the resilience of first home buyers in the current market, the tentative signs of a turnaround in migration, and the cautious optimism surrounding retail spending. 

The conversation also touches on the importance of community engage...

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This special guest episode launches the latest joint research by Cotality and Westpac, looking at first home buyers.

Kelvin Davidson, Chief Property Economist at Cotality, is joined by Westpac's Senior Economist, Satish Ranchhod to discuss the latest report, including the broader macroeconomic and interest rate environment.

They then move into the detail of FHB activity, in...

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November 10, 2025 29 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the latest trends in mortgage lending, interest rates, and the labour market. 

They explore the rise in mortgage lending activity, the implications of interest-only lending, and the slight increase in the unemployment rate. 

The conversation also covers the recovery in building consents and the overall economic outlook, highlighting the importan...

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With Nick away on holiday across the ditch, in this episode Kelvin Davidson is joined by Eliza Owen, Cotality's Head of Research for Australia.

First Kelvin discusses the recent Cotality Home Value Index results for NZ, as well as a look ahead to this week's Financial Stability Report and key labour market figures for Q3 - both out on Wednesday.

Then Kelvin and Eliza k...

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October 27, 2025 38 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the announcement from the Labour party about a proposed Capital Gains Tax. The conversation delves into the implications of a new 28% tax on the net sale of residential and commercial properties which could take effect on July 1, 2027. 

It discusses the details surrounding the tax, including what types of properties are affected, the valuation ...

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October 19, 2025 33 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the current state of the property market, focusing on construction costs (CCCI report for Q3), government policies, net migration, rental market dynamics, Reserve Bank policies, and inflation. 

They explore the implications of these factors on the housing supply and the overall economy, providing insights into future trends and market sentiment...

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October 12, 2025 33 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the current state of the property market, focusing on investor trends, the role of first home buyers, and the impact of economic policies. 

They analyse recent data, including the rise of multiple property owners and the record share of sales to first home buyers in September. 

The conversation also touches on the implications of monetary policy...

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October 7, 2025 14 mins

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In this episode Nick and Kelvin discuss the recent 50 basis point cut to the OCR, exploring its implications for the New Zealand economy. 

They delve into the concept of spare capacity, its effects on inflation, and the housing market's future. 

The conversation highlights the importance of consumer confidence and economic indicators in shaping monetary policy decisions, ul...

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October 5, 2025 29 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the recent trends in the property market, including a slight increase in home values for the first time in six months. 

They analyse the Reserve Bank's lending data, economic indicators, and the implications for the Official Cash Rate (OCR). The conversation also touches on attracting first home buyers from Australia following a listener q...

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the latest trends in the property market, including the recent Mapping the Market data release, lending statistics, and the implications of a new Reserve Bank Governor. 

They explore the current state of house prices, the impact of lending practices on first home buyers, and the anticipated changes in monetary policy under the new governor. 

Sig...

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September 21, 2025 29 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the recent GDP contraction of 0.9% in Q2, its implications for monetary policy, and the potential for interest rate cuts. 

They explore the current state of the property market (courtesy of the latest monthly chart pack), including mortgage lending dynamics and buyer behaviour, while emphasising the need for collaboration between monetary and f...

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September 14, 2025 26 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the recent trends in the property market, focusing on the balance between population growth and housing supply

They analyse data from 2019 to 2024, highlighting how different regions have experienced varying levels of demand and supply. The conversation also touches on the complexities of housing demand, the impact of net migration, and the c...

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In this episode of the New Zealand Property Market Podcast, Nick Goodall interviews Geoff Christopher, co-founder of Afterburner, an AI-driven automation platform designed to enhance productivity for financial advisors. 

They discuss Geoff's background, the origin of Afterburner, and how it addresses common pain points in the mortgage application process. The conversation ...

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September 8, 2025 22 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the current state of the property market, focusing on the Cotality Home Value Index for August. They analyse trends in property values, particularly in Auckland, and compare the New Zealand market to Australia. 

The conversation also covers the impact of economic factors on property prices, recent mortgage lending trends, and the implications o...

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August 31, 2025 25 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the latest affordability report, highlighting improvements in housing affordability due to plateauing house prices and falling interest rates. 

They explore regional differences in affordability, the economic context affecting the property market, and trends in lending, particularly among first home buyers. 

The conversation also touches on sign...

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August 24, 2025 28 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the current state of the property market, piggy-backing off the latest Cotality monthly chart pack focusing on first home buyers and investor activity as well as the split in value change by the different tiers of the market.

They then explore the implications of last week's Monetary Policy Statement from the Reserve Bank and government pl...

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August 20, 2025 13 mins

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In this episode Nick and Kelvin discuss the recent decision by the Reserve Bank to cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 3%. 

They delve into the implications of this decision, including forecasts for inflation, GDP growth, and the housing market. 

The conversation highlights the anticipated further cuts to the OCR and the overall economic outlook, emphasising t...

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August 17, 2025 26 mins

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This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the latest Pain and Gain report for Q2, highlighting the decline in resale profits and the overall sluggishness of the property market. 

They delve into the economic indicators affecting the market, including inflation and interest rates, and preview the upcoming monetary policy statement.

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