This week, we focus on the House elections. Republicans are favored by all the pundits to flip the lower chamber of Congress. But will this be a red wave or a red ripple? We discuss Kevin McCarthy's Commitment to America, we look at a Hail Mary Biden is throwing to lower gas prices, and we examine 12 House swing districts that could go either way.
00:00 Intro
05:18 Kevin McCarthy’s Gingrich-esque “Commitment to America”
22:52 Biden's Hail Mary to Save the House for Democrats
36:23 Eric covers five races Republicans could flip
37:02 TX-34, Gonzalez vs Flores
45:18 OH-09, Kaptur vs Majewski
54:55 CA-27, Smith vs Garcia
01:01:55 CA-45, Chen vs Steel
01:03:41 CA-22, Salas vs Valadeo
01:14:22 Jacob covers five races Republicans could flip and two tight ones they need to hold
01:15:07 OR-06, Salinas vs Erickson
01:17:07 OR-05, McLeaod-Skinner vs Chavez-DeRemer
01:19:41 NJ-07, Malinowski vs Kean
01:21:52 RI-02, Magaziner vs Fung
01:24:32 MI-07, Slotkin vs Barrett
01:27:42 NE-02, Vargas vs Bacon
01:28:36 CA-41, Rollins vs Calvert
SHOWNOTES
Kevin McCarthy’s Gingrich-esque “Commitment to America:” https://www.republicanleader.gov/commitment/
Kevin McCarthy does not support impeaching Joe Biden: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/19/mccarthy-impeachment-biden-gop-midterms/Restaurant
Vox sounding increasingly bearish on Dems’ chances: https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2022/10/19/23408788/midterms-2022-polls-republicans-forecast
Biden releasing another 15 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves to reduce gas prices: http://www.whec.com/business/facing-tough-midterms-biden-releasing-oil-from-us-reserve/
Intelligencer article including an anecdote about how the GOP is throwing money away on Mayra’ Flores’ re-election bid: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/how-the-border-went-maga/ar-AA133oxh
Trump-backed House candidate in Ohio’s 9th J.R. Majewski allegedly exaggerated his service in Afghanistan: https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-afghanistan-ohio-campaigns-e75d2566635f11f49332bd1c46711999
FiveThirtyEight’s handy guide on how congressional districts changed after the 2022 redistricting process: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/
How California may once again determine a House majority: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/10/california-congressional-races-nancy-pelosi
Jacob’s blog article on midterms 100 years ago that flipped 77 House seats
https://historyhowithappened.com/throwback-to-1922-midterm-elections/
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