In this episode, Minh and Debbie analyse Barwon Investments' May SDA data report, drawn from the latest NDIS quarterly report (as of 31 March 2025).
Moving beyond stats, they examine key trends reshaping the SDA market's current landscape.
Risk of Unsuitable SDA Properties Requiring Divestment:
A portion of newly developed SDA properties may become unsuitable due to oversupply in certain regions, poor access to care providers, or suboptimal design. This could force their sale into the mainstream market, causing investor losses and failing to meet participant housing needs.
Challenges in Phasing Out Group Homes:
Following the NDIS review’s goal to phase out group homes, new developments in this category have dropped sharply (5% of pipeline vs. 13% of current enrolled). However, insufficient supply of New Build dwellings for 1-3 residents in key locations risks undermining participant choice and policy objectives.
Lack of Granular Data & Strategic Investment:
State-level SDA supply data hides regional imbalances; oversupply in areas like Melbourne West and South East, Adelaide North, Logan and Ipswich contrasts with undersupply in NSW, regional Victoria, and WA. Without detailed insights, investment remains misdirected, worsening market distortions.
Critical Supply-Demand Imbalance & Unused Funding:
SDA supply is growing 2.4x faster than participant demand, with ~29,000 places projected for under 25,000 participants. Oversupply (especially in houses) risks vacancies and investor losses, while $131M (24%) of approved funding goes unused due to mismatched housing availability.
Access the Barwon data report
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SDA ADVISORY SERVICES
https://www.sdaadvisory.com.au
SDA RESEARCH REPORTS
https://ndis.property/reports
EBOOKS:
www.robustdesign.com.au
www.highphysicalsupport.com.au
www.improvedliveability.com.au
www.fullyaccessible
NDIS PROPERTY AUSTRALIA:
Our team conducts thorough research on Specialist Disability Accommodation (SDA) and provides appropriate technical advice through premium and strategy-based solutions. We also use complex feasibility calculation spreadsheets to help investors understand the expected annual income of an SDA dwelling, the timeline stages of construction of their property, as well as revealing the hidden costs. By staying up-to-date with the latest SDA data and pricing payments information, we help clients make better-informed decisions and achieve their investment goals.
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