Sports, Strategy, Edges & Steam Moves - Sharp Betting Unpacked With Dylan From Pinnacle Odds Dropper
In the latest SBC Podcast episode, I sit down again with Dylan, co-founder of Pinnacle Odds Dropper, to take a deep dive into sharp betting, market efficiency, and the results of our detailed August 2025 review of POD.
We explore how the software helps advantage bettors track steam moves, why Pinnacle remains the barometer for bookmakers, and the lessons from analysing 345,000+ logged bets. Dylan and I also share insights on CLV, market limits, niche sports, and the growing challenges facing US bettors under new tax rules.
HOW POD WORKS & WHY IT MATTERS
- The evolution of Pinnacle Odds Dropper as a top-down “chasing steam” alert service
- How the in-built bet tracker has logged over 450,000 bets since launch
- Why tracking results and filters is critical for advantage bettors
- Independent SBC review: 345,000-bet dataset reveals where edges really lie and on what sports
WHICH SPORTS DELIVER THE BIGGEST EDGES
- Basketball’s “killer combo” of ROI and strike rate
- Soccer’s vast sample size, overs vs unders trends, and higher ROI on away sides
- Tennis as a two-outcome sport and why sharp bettors gravitate toward it
- High ROI surprises in baseball and volleyball vs the pain of betting NFL
CLOSING LINE VALUE & MARKET LIMITS
- Why CLV is the best early indicator of profitability
- Analysis: positive CLV bets returned +7.7% ROI vs –8.38% on negative CLV bets
- How Pinnacle market limits act as a proxy for confidence and edge significance
- Should you apply filters or follow Franco’s “bet everything” approach?
SHARP BOOKS & MARKET EFFICIENCY
- Is Pinnacle still the sharpest? Latest data says yes, within 0.24% of perfect efficiency
- Where rivals like FanDuel and Circa are catching up in niche sports
- Why bettors should map out which books are sharp for which markets
- The occasional reality of market manipulation and how to handle it
PRACTICAL BETTING STRATEGIES
- Using POD with soft books, exchanges, and even in-person kiosks
- Case study: a hedge fund manager using POD to manage exchange exposure
- How successful users treat betting as volume-driven and sport-agnostic
- Why bankroll growth depends on embracing variance, not avoiding it
FUTURE TECH & REGULATION
- The role AI might play in pricing, advantage betting, and POD’s future
- Why sharp players need to keep experimenting with new tools and markets
- US betting tax changes under Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” and the risk of pushing players offshore
- How bettors adapt to regulatory friction, from crypto books to PPH's
Dylan also shares why Pinnacle still leads the way for sharp betting, how bettors can avoid leaving money on the table, and why adaptability is the hallmark of long-term winners.
You can also support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150
For more on Dylan & POD
- Website: https://pinnacleoddsdropper.com
- Twitter/X: https://x.com/pinnacleoddsdrop
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