Episode Transcript
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SPEAKER_00 (00:05):
Hey everybody, we
have a brand new D Sportsbook
Sharps for you here.
I am your host Andy and happyHalloween to everybody.
Uh in celebration of theHalloween week, we gave you a
spooky bad gambling week.
We went three and five on theweek.
I missed my lock for only thesecond time all season.
(00:27):
San Francisco looked horrible.
So I am going to refocus, lockin, and rethink everything I
think I know about football andmy lock this week, and I will
give you a great lock at the endof the week.
Or at the end of the episodehere for this weekend.
Also, the NFL graced us with aspooky bad weekend.
(00:52):
Here's a fun stat for you.
Just one of the 11 Sunday gameswere decided by single digits in
week eight.
This is the lowest percentage ofgames decided by single digits
on a Sunday in the regularseason since week 14 of 1970,
which only had one of 12.
(01:12):
Just an absolutely dreadfulSunday.
Um just so bad.
Um yeah.
So look, we're gonna refocus.
We've got some good locks here,I think, this week that I've
seen so far come in.
We don't have them all in yet,uh, but we'll we'll get to that
(01:34):
in a moment.
I'm gonna go jump straight intothe stave frosty.
Big update, if you recall lastweek, I said Brian Kelly of LSU
should stay Frosty, put him upon the Frosty throne, boom!
Sunday, before the NFL gameswere even over, I think before
even the one o'clock games wereover, it was their rumors were
(01:55):
already swirling that he wasgonna get fired.
Uh, it couldn't happen to aworse guy.
So I am so glad he's gone.
He's a scumbag of a human.
If you need to know anythingabout what a terrible, awful
person he is.
Like personally, I look,coaching, you can be a bad
coach, whatever, that's onething.
But to be an absolute piece ofgarbage human like he is,
(02:17):
there's just stories everywhereabout players.
Uh just search Brian Kelly,terrible human, and you'll get
so many stories from formercoaches, former players.
There was one story aboutcoaches that um I forget what
school it was at one of thesmaller schools that he was at
um when he before he gotstarted, but they thought they
(02:39):
were getting invited to like hisholiday party, they show up, and
he has them park cars the entirenight long for all the other
guests that were invited to theparty.
So he invited assistant coachesto park cars uh and didn't make
that clear to them uh when theywere invited.
Uh he's had players get injureduh and like have career-ending
(02:59):
injuries and stuff, and there'sjust families of the player and
players commenting about how youknow you'd hear from Brian Kelly
all the time when you wereplaying and performing for him,
but the moment that you stoppedbeing any value to him at all,
he just cut all communications,didn't go see kids in the
hospital, things like that.
Uh, there was a story, and it'sa conflicting story.
(03:22):
Um about uh a player that had uhwhat was the story now?
I don't have it in my notes.
I don't know, just look it up.
Um there's another story abouthow he um was at a recruit when
he was at Notre Dame uh the lastyear that he was there.
(03:44):
He was at a recruit's house, uhstepped away for a little bit
and took a phone call and cameback and finished like eating.
The parents said uh that he cameback and had three plates of
barbecue.
This is an actual store newsarticle I found.
Came back to the end of thehouse after apparently when he
stepped out, he was talkingabout the LSU job and accepted
(04:05):
it.
Came back in, still kind oftalked to the family and ate
food and then dismissed himself.
And then they said later thatday they saw on the news that he
was heading to LSU.
So it's just incredible.
Uh, I'm glad he's gone.
The list is so long this year,uh, but they got steamrolled.
I, you know, I said it on StayFrosty last week.
(04:27):
I thought I thought he couldlose this game and lose to
Alabama and still have his job,but just be fired at the end of
the year with four losses.
Um, you know, I thought maybethey'd give him a chance to see
if he could upset AM, see if hecould upset Alabama.
Apparently they're just donewith him because they lost 49 to
25 at home, and the boo birdswere going.
(04:50):
Um everything.
So, yeah.
Uh so that uh but anyway, sothis week I am putting up a
unique one here on Stave Frosty.
I am putting up, and I'm notgonna get the name right, Patar
Pitaro, James Pitaro, who is thechairman of ESPN Incorporated.
(05:14):
That's right.
The head of the mothership isgoing up on Stay Frosty.
Listen, people in Bristol,you're catching the frosty
throne here.
He's getting put up because asof 11 or so last night, uh the
I'm recording this on Friday, 11or so on Thursday night, the
(05:36):
deal with YouTube TV and ESPNand ABC and the family of ABC
networks has ceased.
So if you have YouTube TV, youcan no longer watch ABC, ESPN,
FX Movie, FXX, FX, all thesedifferent channels.
I I think there's a list of like15 or 18 channels that you lose.
(05:58):
That's an important one.
ESPN, uh kind of a big deal inthe sports world.
This is a sports gamblingpodcast, so it makes it a little
hard to watch college football.
I have YouTube TV, obviously,that's why I'm putting him up.
Uh, many people in my familyhave YouTube TV.
This is such an annoyance.
I cannot believe they didn'tstrike a deal.
(06:20):
I I we've been talking about itin the gambling group, Greg and
and some of the others.
Matt, I think, chimed in a fewthings on it.
We do think this is like a ploy.
They just announced that theywere raising their ESPN price to
$30 for the ESPN streaming.
We think this is trying to pushpeople to that new app that they
(06:42):
just launched recently.
Uh, but rumors are next year,sometime, that app might go up
to$60 a month, might double inprice because of all the stuff
they're buying and putting onit.
Look, I don't know what I payfor YouTube TV.
Somewhere between uh I thinklike$80 to$90 a week or a month,
(07:02):
a month, something like that.
I will never pay$60 for justESPN.
That is insane.
I'm I I've talked many times onthis program about how I'm tired
and sick of being nickel anddimed.
You want to watch the NHL, yougotta have HBO Max because
there's a bunch of games onthere.
Uh the NBA this year is toonumerous to name uh Peacock.
(07:26):
Uh you know, Peacock's a bigone.
Peacock gets you a lot of thingsat least.
You get college football withthe Big Ten, you get college
basketball with the Big Ten.
Um, and I don't think Peacock'sall that expensive.
I think it's 12 or 15 bucks amonth.
But some of these other ones aregetting way up there in price,
but you gotta you gotta haveNetflix for a few things, you
(07:47):
gotta have Peacock for a fewthings, you gotta have HBO Max
now for a few things.
Like it just keeps going andgoing.
Prime, you gotta have Prime fora few things.
It's just it's too complicated.
I talked last week about how theMLS made a huge mistake of
putting all their product onApple TV.
Uh baseball, they used to, Idon't know if they did it this
(08:08):
year or not.
Uh again, we don't really watchApple hardly ever.
Um, but there for a while theywere doing Friday night
baseball, a free game, and thenI think you could pay for
baseball games.
I don't even know how thatworks.
Um, but it's just toocomplicated.
And the and the worst thing isbetween all these different
apps, like if I'm especially oncollege football Saturday, I
(08:32):
want to be able to flip aroundon commercial breaks.
So, like, even with multipleTVs, the main TV, you know, if
we're watching a big game, Iwant to be able to flip it.
You know, there's usually adozen or plus college games on
it, and it annoys me to no endwhen we put some of the side TVs
on an app like ESPN Plus orsomething, because it takes for
(08:54):
or Peacock to it takes foreverto back out of the app, go to
the home menu on your uhwhatever, you use a Fire stick
or I think our basement we usethe Roku's.
Go to that menu, find the item,find the right area, find how to
search in it to find the game orwhatever, and even remembering
what one it's on is difficult.
(09:16):
That's why I always likedYouTube TV.
We've had it for a few yearsnow.
It surfaces the games at the topwhen you go to find channels.
A lot of times we don't evenhave to know what game the
channel channel the game is onbecause right at the top of
YouTube TV, they'll list like 15games, and you just scroll left
to right, pick the one you want,whatever.
Now I'm like pulling up a phone,I gotta find what channel it's
(09:39):
on.
Oh, it's on ESPN.
That means I need the ESPN app.
Oh, that TV was never loggedinto the ESPN app before, or
timed out, or whatever.
It's gotta do a push code to myphone.
Oh, it's not my phone, it pushedit to my wife's phone.
My wife's not here right now,she's out doing something else.
Now I gotta call my wife.
Hey, you got a six-digit code,can you read that code off?
Oh, it's been 16 minutes insteadof 15.
(10:01):
Now the code's expired.
Now I gotta send another code.
Hold on the line, I'm sendingyou another code, send me the
code.
Do you hear how insane that is?
We just want to watch sports onTV.
We had it so good with cable, wedidn't even realize it.
I think I'd rather go back tothe 90s and early aughts before
(10:21):
all this streaming stuff, andjust get like eight games and
just be happy with I that I haveeight games for the cost of a
cable subscription.
I we have more options now, butat what cost?
We've lost the convenience,we've lost uh sometimes they're
fighting like this.
This is not even the first timethis football season that
YouTube has fought withsomebody.
(10:42):
They almost lost Fox rightbefore the Big Ten uh college
football kickoff season inAugust.
I was looking through my old uhnotes and tweets and stuff.
We we almost lost Fox and allthe Fox FS1 and all those
channels in in August, but theysettled right before the
football season, so we neverlost anything.
But yeah, the wife and I lastnight, we got home, we were
(11:05):
watching Grey's Anatomy, andlike halfway through the Gray's
Anatomy episode, all of a suddenit just said, boom, this
content's not available.
And I'm like, well, that'sweird.
So we rebooted it or whatever.
Thought maybe the Echo of the wehad one of those Amazon Echo or
uh device things.
Um thought maybe it neededrebooted, whatever.
(11:27):
We pull up the YouTube app, werestart it, or whatever.
No, they just straight up pulledevery single item you ever had
recorded, anything.
They they pulled it in themiddle of watching the episode.
They pulled it down.
It was the episode from Thursdaynight at 8 o'clock or 9 o'clock,
whenever it recorded.
We got home, tried to watch theepisode, got half more than
(11:47):
halfway through, and then all ofa sudden they just poop pulled
it, and then the YouTube sendsme an email at like midnight
last night that says, Hey, wedidn't reach an agreement, so we
pulled all the content,including all your library and
DVR saved items.
So they just need to figure itout.
ESPN is a part of the DisneyCorporation.
(12:07):
This is a multi-billion dollarcorporation.
They don't need to try andsqueeze another couple bucks out
of us.
It was disgusting.
They had all their mediapersonalities last night
regurgitate the same talkingpoint on all their social media
things about how we should callin, click this link to go sign
this petition to make YouTubesign this deal, whatever.
(12:29):
No, you know what?
I'm tired of the price ofeverything going up.
This is the one I'm taking astand on, ESPN.
Like, you don't want me to watchyour product on YouTube?
Fine.
Screw you.
I'm not paying for ESPN appthing.
I'm just not gonna watch SECgames.
Okay?
(12:49):
Well, fine, whatever.
I'll watch the Big Ten.
Uh, I don't know what I'm gonnado Monday night.
My Cowboys are on ESPN.
I guess I'll check the score andsee if they won.
I I am not breaking and buying a$30 app because they want to
fight with that, and I don'twant YouTube to break and start
charging me an extra eight ornine bucks a month because they
(13:10):
had to carry ESPN channels more.
They don't want to be a part ofmy life, then maybe it's time to
move on from the mothership andESPN, and for that reason, James
Patero, stay frosty.
That's also gonna wrap in.
That's my old man yells at cloudabout all that stuff.
Uh, so I'm not gonna do an oldman yells at cloud this week.
(13:31):
I think I've yelled enough.
Uh, we're barely 10 minutes intothe podcast here, and I'm
already losing my voice.
I've been so I'm so agitatedwith this whole ESPN thing.
Uh, but let me give you somerecaps here from last week.
We're not gonna do too much,we're not even gonna recap the
NFL deck was such a disgustingdisplay.
So I'm gonna skip over the NFL,but I do want to call out a few
(13:52):
things that I hope you listen tothis podcast.
Uh maybe you maybe you have yourphone out and you have your
little gambling apps open, ormaybe you have a little pad and
a pen, but I hope you're takingnotes because even though I
didn't get my lock last week, Igave you some good college
football ones, and I'm gonnarecap those that I gave you last
week.
I think I called this my ratline of the week.
(14:15):
Iowa State was hostingundefeated BYU, Iowa State minus
two and a half.
I said to you last week, I wasconfused.
I don't understand why anundefeated team, I know it's a
road game, but an undefeatedteam going in to Iowa State, and
uh Iowa State's best win was avery mediocre Iowa team.
(14:35):
I told you that.
I said you've got to take BYU inthe points.
Hammer, I said, do not sprinkle,but hammer the BYU money line.
BYU won by 14, called it.
I mean, what a what a stinkyline.
I I don't know who set thatline.
I I don't understand that one atall, and I and I delivered it to
(14:57):
you, so I hope you followed me,tailed me on it.
I needed some winners last weekbecause the gambling group did
not give me money.
Uh, I also told you Mizoo atVandy.
I said Mizoo's not very good.
I don't know why this is only atwo and a half point spread.
I told you you should probablyback Vandy there.
I wasn't as confident as the BYUone.
I didn't tell you to hammer it,but I did tell you I liked Vandy
(15:19):
there.
Vandy covers by seven.
And then the last one, I and wealready talked about this, so I
don't have to belabor it.
I said LSU plus two and a half.
I know they're at home, butthey're against Texas AM.
Texas AM's looked really, reallygood this year.
LSU is not.
They already had two losses.
They've been in close games.
Uh I told you, I know I thoughtBrian Kelly would lose this one.
(15:43):
I thought he'd lose the Bama oneand then eventually be fired if
he lost to Oklahoma at the endof the season.
They lost by 24 LSU.
And they were only two and ahalf point underdogs.
I I did not understand that oneat all.
Uh yeah.
So those are the ones I want togive you.
(16:03):
Alright, now I'm gonna get in tothe games for this week.
Let me pull up the college here.
I thought I had it ready here,but I'm pulling up my notes.
Uh yeah, we're just I'm justgonna give you some here that
you should definitely get on.
Uh, first one up.
Uh this one, first one up for mebecause it's one of one of my
(16:27):
teams or whatever, but it's notin order.
Usually I go in order of thekickoffs at noon and stuff like
that, but I'm seeing Michiganminus 21 hosting Purdue.
Uh, Purdue is very, very bad atfootball.
They are not going to win a BigTen game this year for the
millionth season in a row.
Um, you should hammer Michiganminus 21.
(16:53):
Purdue is so bad at footballthis year.
I uh I had hope.
They won two games,non-conference games.
I thought maybe they could win.
I didn't think necessarily theywere going to a bowl game.
They kind of had an easier BigTen schedule this year, but it's
just it's it's it's a badseason.
So uh they'll look to regroupnext year.
(17:16):
It'll be the second year uh ofthe coach, so whatever.
Um let's see, let's talk about.
Oh no, I'm not gonna talk aboutthis one.
I was gonna talk a little bitabout Miami SMU, but I can't
watch it.
It's on uh it's on ESPN, so Iguess I won't talk about that
one.
Uh let's talk about Vandy,Texas.
(17:38):
Oh, can't talk about that oneeither.
It's on ABC.
I don't know.
That channel doesn't exist inthis house, so I don't know what
to say about that game.
Um let's look at uh oh, rankedNotre Dame.
Oh no, that's that's on ESPN.
I can't talk about that oneeither.
I'm not gonna be able to watchit.
So uh oh Florida's not very goodthis year.
(18:00):
They're hosting Georgia.
Oh, mmm, no, that's on ABC.
I can't talk about that one.
Um I'll give you one here.
Texas Tech, Kansas State.
Uh that's on Fox.
That's at 3:30 on Fox.
Uh, Texas Tech rolls.
Kansas State is so bad thisyear.
I know they're 4-4.
That's a fake 4-4.
(18:20):
Be aware, be alert.
Whoop, whoop, the alarm's goingoff.
That is a non-conference 4-4right there for Kansas State.
They are not very good thisyear.
The line is 7.
You will want to take Texas Techminus 7 and thank me later.
Oh, for Pete's sake.
This game is saying it is onCBS, but it is also available on
(18:44):
Paramount Plus.
When I went through my rantearlier, I totally forgot that
some sporting events are onParamount Plus as well.
That's another streaming one.
I just, it's incredible to me.
Uh, this is Indiana, Maryland.
Uh, we're gonna get to thislater.
That's somebody's lock, so I'llI will skip over part of that,
my thoughts on that for now.
Umlahoma.
(19:09):
This is a ranked matchup here.
Oklahoma at Tennessee.
Uh, good old Rocky Top minusthree.
Oh, but the game is on ABC.
I don't know what that channeleven is.
Uh sure.
I'm sure it'll be a game offootball.
But I won't see it, so I don'tcare.
And I'm not gonna bet it.
If I can't watch it, I'm notgonna bet it.
(19:30):
Uh USC at Nebraska.
USC minus four and a half.
Nebraska's not very good.
I don't know if Matt, I don'tknow if Matt Rule is like
already looking ahead, gettingcalls from Penn State to go take
that job.
I don't know what's happened,but they uh I don't think
(19:52):
Nebraska's I don't think thefocus is there.
I like USC minus four and ahalf.
Don't don't what don't lay thehouse on it.
I mean, it's in Nebraska.
It could be uh you know, withthe travel and everything.
It is at 7.30 at night, sothat's a little better for USC.
I know the USC likes to boohooabout how they signed up to be
in a conference where they haveto travel to Piscataway, but you
(20:14):
know what?
Maybe don't blow up the Pac-12,and then you don't have to worry
about it.
But uh, I do like them there atminus four and a half, so I'll
give you that one.
Ah, this one breaks my heart.
Cincinnati, who's having afantastic season, is going out
to Utah, 10.15 at night.
But it's on ESPN, so I can'twatch it.
(20:37):
I mean, I just I guess I forgotthe Big 12 is also on ESPN.
This is a bummer because they'reon FS1 and some other channels.
I think they're on TNT.
I think I've seen that ad uhwith the sports and stuff that
they host the Big 12 ones, butbut yeah, so that's uh that's
gonna do it for the collegegames this time.
(20:59):
Um boy, I wish I hope theystrike a deal.
Maybe they'll strike a dealduring game day tomorrow or
something and and get us thechannels back, and then then
maybe I'll bet some of thesegames, but uh, just disgusting.
Uh the NFL this week.
We got uh four teams on bye.
We got two really bad teams.
(21:20):
We got the Browns and the Jets.
Uh, although the Jets with thatmiraculous win last week to be
the last team to get a win onthe season, uh, and then catch a
bye right after.
That's kind of a bummer forthem.
But uh, I mean they're not gonnawin many more games.
They can only play the Bengalsonce a year, so they'll probably
end with one win this season.
(21:41):
I mean, they're just absolutelydreadful.
If they didn't play the Bengals,I think they probably could have
went 0-17.
But uh we'll see.
We'll see how their season goesthe rest of the time.
But uh and then the Bucs andEagles are on a bye.
Uh, so I'm gonna give you somefor this week.
Uh uh first one up here, Seattleat Washington.
Now I know they don't uh this iswhat time is this game?
(22:04):
Is this an early game?
One second, I'm looking at this.
No, that's Sunday night.
Why do they put that?
I don't know why they put thatin my app.
My app's a little scrammy thisweek.
Uh usually, I again I go inorder.
I usually do one o'clock's4:30s, then Sunday and night,
and then Monday night if I talkabout them.
(22:25):
But uh look, you need the thisis Sunday night football.
We'll see what Poochie does.
Poochie's pretty good this year.
I think he's only got threelosses.
He did miss this past week.
Um But I you need to hammer theSeahawks here.
The last two Washington games,they've been rolled.
Uh last week they only scoredseven Washington against the
Chiefs.
(22:46):
They are not a very goodfootball team.
Uh, yeah, you need to you needto load up on this one.
Uh Seattle minus three.
That's what my advice is to you.
Uh Minnesota at Detroit.
Detroit eight and a half pointfavorite.
This was not my lock of theweek, but it is lock adjacent.
This was almost my lock.
(23:07):
I I I sat here and I thought andI thought, and and for a very
long time, I was like, oh.
So I'm gonna bet both of thesemy lock in this one.
But I I really wanted this uh tobe my lock, but I I just I think
I have a slightly better lock.
So we'll see.
We'll see what you people think.
(23:28):
But uh JJ McCarthy is back.
He stinks.
He is so bad at football.
Uh he's only played in a couplegames, but my Uncle Mike went to
the game in Atlanta.
Or was it in Atlanta?
It was in Minnesota, maybe, butit was against Atlanta.
Anyway, it doesn't matter whereit was.
They stunk in that game.
(23:49):
He stunk against the Bears.
If it wasn't for that fourthquarter on that Monday night
football, they they wouldn'thave a win.
Uh, he only had one good quarterof that entire game.
Uh, the whole way they'vehandled the Minnesota Vikings,
this Carson Wentz injury isdisgusting.
I cannot believe they marchedthis man out there the last
(24:09):
couple of weeks.
He he's if you haven't heard, hehad a separated shoulder, uh,
something broken with theshoulder, and a collarbone or
something.
I don't know.
All the I don't remember all thedetails of it, but he is out for
the season.
Out for the season.
He played the last couple ofgames, injured, and is out for
the season.
Uh their head coach, KevinO'Connell, was almost my Stay
(24:31):
Frosty.
He probably would have been ifit wasn't for this whole ESPN
debacle.
Although, actually, maybe not.
After the Bengals lost to theJets, I did say I was gonna make
Zach Taylor.
Like, as I was watching thegame, I was like, oof, Zach
Taylor.
I know you've been up on StayFrosty before, but it's time
again to be up.
But no, uh, so so maybe KevinO'Connell wouldn't be there.
(24:52):
But boy, Kevin O'Connell's seatis getting mighty icy.
Uh they are not having a verygood season this year.
So that is why I'm telling you,Detroit minus eight and a half.
Uh Detroit's gonna kill him.
They're gonna murder him.
Uh JJ McCarthy, and they mayhave to scrape him up off the
Ford Dome or whatever thatthing's called up there.
(25:15):
This is gonna be a very uglygame.
Uh, it won't even be close tothe eight and a half.
Uh I'm gonna also give youCarolina plus 13 and a half at
Green Bay.
Uh, the pack doesn't destroyteams, with the exception if you
throw out week one, where theyplayed Detroit, they do not
(25:36):
destroy teams.
Bryce is back for the Panthers,replacing Andy Dalton, who
backed them up the last coupleof games.
I love the Panthers here.
This is uh this is almost mylock.
Like, I had three that I wastossing around.
I was juggling three games, anduh, this was another one that I
was juggling.
I'm like, oof.
(25:57):
Almost two full touchdowns.
I know it's at Green Bay, butthe Panthers are frisky, they're
four and four.
This is not your Panthers teamfrom you know the last couple of
years where they'll win one ortwo games a year or whatever.
They're very frisky, this thisPanthers team.
Um I I like them to cover 13 anda half here.
(26:17):
Now, by no means do I think youshould take them to win.
Uh, but I think they cover twotouchdowns.
13 and a half's a lot of points.
Uh Denver plus one and a half atHouston.
Another one where this was very,again, not as close as the
others.
But this one, I don't get thisline at all.
(26:38):
I uh Houston just beat SanFrancisco and Mac Jones, but Mac
Jones, who?
Mac Jones.
Um I Denver's defense is legit.
I think it's one of the best inthe NFL.
Um I think Denver wins thisoutright and moves to 7-2.
I I don't get the Denver plusone and a half.
(26:59):
Take the money line.
Don't bother with points.
Points, points are unnecessaryin this game.
You want Denver money line.
That's what you want for thisone.
I know they haven't, theiroffense hasn't looked as sharp
on the road when they played inLondon.
I'm counting that one as a roadgame, too.
It hasn't looked as sharp, butyou know what they did?
They won in London.
So they're dogs.
(27:20):
So they'll find a way to win.
Houston's not very good.
Yeah, I I they'll move to 7-2.
But Denver wins this game.
Take them in the money line.
San Francisco minus two and ahalf of the New York Giants.
Uh, we saw last week what theGiants are without Cam Scadabo.
(27:41):
They lost by 18 to an Eaglesteam that they had already beat
on Thursday night football.
This Giants team is a bad team.
This is a stinky bad team.
Uh you went San Francisco minustwo and a half here.
That's that's what I'm tellingyou to do.
Chargers minus nine and a halfat Tennessee.
You the ban has been lifted.
(28:02):
I said that last week.
They've covered a spread.
You now have my permission tobet the Chargers, and you should
this week.
Tennessee is one of the leastcompetitive teams I have ever
seen.
They're terrible, they stink.
You need to be all over theChargers on this one.
(28:23):
And then I'm gonna get into thebet what I think is the best
game of the week.
Kansas City minus one and a halfat Buffalo.
This is my stay away game of theweek.
I it's every now and then.
I don't always do a stay awaygame.
I you could flip a coin on thisone.
I have no idea who's gonna evenwin this game, let alone cover.
I I don't know how it's gonnago.
(28:43):
This is gonna be very good.
I don't I wish they could haveflexed this into Monday night
instead of putting the CowboysArizona on.
I wish they could have flexedthis into Sunday night instead
of giving us Seattle atWashington.
This is gonna be the best gameof the week.
This is at 4.25.
This should be the one that mostof America gets at 4.25.
This is gonna be a very goodgame.
(29:04):
I think Kansas City wins, but Iit wouldn't surprise me at all
if Buffalo wins.
So uh this is an outstandinggame.
Uh so enjoy that one on Sunday.
We didn't get very many goodgames last week.
I hope this stays a close gameand we don't get a blowout.
Um, I don't think it will turninto a blowout.
So all right, let's talkgambling group.
(29:26):
We got four plus nine so farthis week.
We're missing three.
So I'm gonna give you Greg'sPenn State at Ohio State.
Ohio State minus 20 and a half.
The line's actually moved sinceGreg put the lock in early in
the week.
You can now get OSU at minus 18and a half.
I thought it was a buy at minus20 and a half, it's a steal at
(29:46):
minus 18 and a half.
I went in the app and beddedimmediately when I saw it and
shifted two points.
I Penn State's not very good.
Uh Ohio State rolls them.
It's at home.
Ohio State just destroys.
Penn State this year.
There, no, no.
This very good luck, Greg.
Ethan, minus three Colts at theStollers.
(30:09):
Now, I gave you all these statslast week about the Steelers.
Mike Tomlin against Green Baywhen he's underdog, home
underdog.
He's, I don't remember what thenumbers were.
27 and 12 or something, and allthis stuff, frame rate.
And I and I hyped it up.
I said, I like this one.
Um, that was Greg's lock lastweek.
I'm like, oh, I love it.
This, that, and the next thing.
All these stats in favor of it.
(30:30):
They got destroyed by Green Bay.
They the whole Rogers thing isnot working out.
Their defense is not very good.
They can't get stops, they can'tget turnovers.
I I don't know what's going onin the Steel City right now, but
uh I the Colts have only lostone game all year.
(30:52):
They've looked like an absolutejuggernaut.
Indiana Jones is playing out ofhis mind.
There are people talking aboutDaniel Jones being the MVP this
year.
Uh they want to give himcomeback of the player of the
year award, which which makes melaugh because he wasn't injured.
He's just coming back from beingon a bad Giants team.
Like, I guess that's a comebacknow.
I I don't know.
(31:12):
It kind of makes me laugh.
Um, but the Colts are very good.
I I I don't know.
The way that the Steelers lookedon Sunday night, I don't know
how you don't take the Coltshere.
I like this lock, Ethan.
I like Colts minus three.
Uh speaking of teams that lookvery good, Indiana University,
(31:33):
Maryland playing Maryland.
Uncle Mike has given us over 50and a half.
Somebody, I think it was Scott,gave us the over in the IU game
last week.
IU hit it on their own.
IU is a wagon.
I they are gonna finish theseason undefeated and make the
college football playoffs.
They're gonna make a Big Tenchampionship game.
(31:54):
Uh, as a Purdue fan, itabsolutely disgusts me to say
this, but they are top-notch.
I they truly are the number twoteam in all the land.
I don't care, you little SECpeople in your little ESPN
channel, you can go and talk toyourself all day about how you
think Alabama should be numbertwo.
The the the the SEC online fansare some of the worst in the
(32:18):
world.
They're doing hypotheticals.
Oh, if Bama played IU'sschedule, if if uh if IU played
Bama's schedule this last fiveweeks, they'd at least have one
loss, all this stuff.
The the king of hypotheticalsituations, the SEC online fan,
um I saw they were giving outdouble-digit hypothetical
victories now, and then not onlyenough that the SEC fans say
(32:40):
that this team would beat thisteam and this and that.
Now they're saying they'd beatthem by at least 10, they'd beat
them by 20, all this stuff.
So we've evolved from being justhypothetical victories to
hypothetical double-digitvictories.
So at least the SEC online fanis evolving.
But uh, yeah, Indiana killsMaryland here.
I they probably hit the overagain on their own.
(33:02):
They're just scoring so manypoints.
That offense is a lot of fun.
Uh yeah, I like that over.
Good uh good over.
My Uncle Mike with the OversClub, I think this is his fifth
over pick of the season.
He's three and one inover-unders this year.
Uh so he's he sees theover-unders he likes and he goes
for them.
I like that.
(33:23):
Uh, and then Steve.
Oh, poor maligned Steve here.
Uh Steve's had a rough seasonthis year.
I think he's only got two winson the year.
But I do like this one.
He gave us MSU at Minnesota,Minnesota minus three and a
half.
Row the boat.
I love to row the boat.
It's fun to say row the boat.
(33:43):
Uh Michigan State's very badthis year.
For a Michigan State team,they're very bad.
I think they have three wins onthe year.
Uh, they're not very good.
So I like this lock, Steve.
I hope you get another victoryhere.
I'll bet it.
I'll row the boat with you.
Let's get in the boat.
Everybody jump in the boat.
We're gonna go row the boat atMinnesota.
And uh, I think they covered thethree and a half.
(34:05):
It's at home.
I I like it.
Alright, now we got my lock.
And I said, uh, you know, I gaveyou a bunch of NFL games I
liked.
I like the NFL slate this week.
But my lock of the week thisweek, I am giving you.
I'm jumping in with Uncle Mikehere.
I'm taking an over.
My first over of the season.
(34:26):
I'm giving you Cardinals atCowboys over 53 and a half.
Now I know hopefully you weresitting down when you heard that
number.
53 and a half is a lot ofpoints.
You may be sitting there at homedriving your car, wherever.
You're saying, oh my, 53 and ahalf, that's a lot of points.
That is a lot of points.
But you know what?
(34:46):
The Cowboys defense gives up alot of points.
This season, the Cowboys on theover-underline, they are six and
two on overs.
Six and two.
Out of their eight games, six ofthem have gone over.
I got some stats for you here.
I always like to back up, butlike I I people may think I just
like pick these off a tree andsay, oh, I like this one, I like
(35:10):
that one, give me some of thatone.
You know, I'm in a buffet ofsports games and I'm just
scooping onto my plate, like, Iwant some of that, I want some
of that.
No, no, no.
I take time, I research thesethings, I look into it.
I watch a lot of football.
I know when teams are good andwhen teams are bad, but it's
always good.
Like, I know, like watching theCowboys, you can just see it.
(35:33):
Their defense is atrocious, butwhen I look the numbers up, I
love it when the stats and thenumbers and my eyes all align,
and I'm like, ooh.
So I'm not, it's not a mirage.
Their defense is truly horrific.
I'm gonna give you some statshere to back up why it's one of
the worst in the NFL.
Their defense, the Cowboys.
(35:55):
They are 32nd on stopping thirddown conversions.
They are 32nd on allowing firstdowns in a game.
29th.
Now remember, the NFL only has32 teams, so that means those
first two stats, they are deadlast.
They are 29th on red zoneefficiency, so basically, you
get in the red zone, you'regonna score against the Cowboys.
(36:17):
Uh they are 31st in passingyards allowed per game.
That means only one team'sworse.
Uh 29th in rushing yardsallowed, which is truly
remarkable because usually it'sone or the other, right?
Like, usually you can stop therun, can't stop the pass, can't
stop the run, but you can stopthe pass.
(36:38):
All these, like you usually seta defense to stop one or the
other.
Like you go into it with a gameplan, you say, I'm gonna, we're
gonna, this team's got a reallygood running back, we're gonna
stop the run.
No.
The Cowboys, I don't think theyhave any defensive plan.
I think they show up.
I think the defensive plan is wecannot have more than 11 players
on the field.
Find me 11 people and get themon the field.
(37:00):
That's the defense.
Just put 11 warm bodies outthere.
Just remarkable.
Uh, I'm not even done with thebad stats.
I had to do a little asidethere.
Uh, they are 31st in uh yardsper play.
Yards per play.
31st in points and 27th inturnovers.
(37:20):
Now, the turnover, that'ssometimes a little lucky stat.
You get in the right place atthe right time.
But like you would think atleast, like, okay, they're
really bad at everything ondefense.
You know, at least maybe like31st in passing yards, but maybe
their corners are like jumpingthe routes and trying to get an
interception all the time orwhatever.
No.
(37:40):
No, the corners and the safetiesaren't even just jumping the
routes, they just are missingassignments.
I mean, you can see it in thesecondary.
They're just it's so bad.
Um and then the Cowboys to go infavor of the over-under here,
the Cowboys offense is numberone in passing yards and number
two in points scored per game.
(38:01):
Um, because they know, like theteam knows, the offense,
especially, that if they everstand a chance of winning a
game, they have to score atleast 32 points and uh hope that
they timed it just right, thatthe clock runs out when they
score the 32nd point.
Otherwise, they're gonna givethe ball back, and the other
team's gonna score their 33rd ormore point and they're gonna
lose the game.
So the Cardinals, the ArizonaCardinals, are four and three on
(38:24):
overs this year, but they'vegone over in three straight
games.
Um, and then just two weeks ago,the Cowboys hit an over of, if
you're if you're sitting therethinking, like, ooh, 53 and a
half, though, that's a lot ofpoints.
You know, you're giving me allthese stats about how bad their
defense is, but 53 and a half isa lot for an over.
No, no, no.
Just two weeks ago, the Cowboyshit an over of 55 and a half.
(38:46):
Uh, and then last week, theyeasily cleared the over of 51
and a half.
It wasn't even close.
I think the total was 60something, almost 70 points
scored.
So, like, it's it's not eventhat they're historically bad at
defense, but the the pointsallowed are just through the
roof.
This is not a situation whereyou'll be sitting there in the
(39:08):
fourth quarter, like, oh, I needI need two more scores or
whatever.
No, no, no.
You'll probably you'll probablyhave your 53 and a half before
the fourth quarter.
And if not, don't you worry, theCardinals will probably just
throw one ball up to uh MarvinHarrison Jr.
and uh boom, a touchdown,70-yard touchdown or something.
Uh, some of those touchdownslast week against Denver were
(39:29):
just ridiculous.
They're just so long.
I just couldn't even believe.
I was like, oh, that was a70-yard run.
Like, oh, that makes sense.
Uh teams, isn't that normal?
Teams often give up 70 yardruns, right?
I mean, it's just disgusting.
Cowboys were never competitivein that Denver game.
It made me very sad last week,Cowboys.
And for that reason, I'm makingmy lock of the week this week.
(39:52):
Cardinals at Cowboys over 53 anda half.
Now, the side bet I wish I coulddo on this, will I be able to
watch this game?
Because Monday, this is a Mondaynight football game, and that is
on the ESPN channel, which Icurrently don't get.
So, will I be going to a bar?
Maybe bet that.
(40:12):
Will Andy be at a bar Mondaynight with his wife?
Perhaps.
Uh, will they be watching thison their phone, just watching
the score?
I don't know.
Maybe.
Maybe we'll just do somethingelse Monday night.
I don't know.
But uh we'll see.
We'll see.
Hopefully, ESPN comes to theirsenses and makes an agreement
with YouTube by then.
(40:33):
But uh that's my lock this week.
Cowboys, Cardinals over 53.5.
Oh, and the Cowboys, I don'thave the stat on here.
3-0 at home on the overs.
And this is at home.
So I you gotta hammer this one.
This I'm back.
I'm back, baby.
I'm back.
I made a mistake.
I trusted Mac Jones last week.
No mistakes made this week.
(40:55):
Cowboys defense, stinky bad.
Over.
Over, over, over.
It was always the Cowboys over.
53 and a half.
That's gonna do it for thisweek's show.
Remember, we do have the doglocks on TikTok.
Follow us at TSS Gambling,subscribe to the podcast, uh,
anywhere you listen to podcasts,Apple, Spotify, anywhere you do
(41:17):
it, Buzz Sprout, which is whereI post the thing.
However, you want to subscribeto it, subscribe, follow, like,
give us feedback, give uscomments, whatever.
At TSS Gambling on Twitter, atTSS Gambling on TikTok, that's
where you can find us.
Good luck gambling, everybody.