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February 4, 2025 • 22 mins

Guam, a tiny island in the vast Pacific, has become a linchpin of American military power and a focal point in the escalating strategic competition with China. But this "spearhead" of U.S. forces is increasingly vulnerable, facing a growing barrage of Chinese missiles that could cripple its defenses and disrupt American power projection in the region.

In this episode, we delve into the critical strategic importance of Guam and the urgent challenges of defending it from a complex and evolving missile threat. Drawing on expert analysis and a report on China's missile capabilities, we'll examine why Guam matters, how China is targeting it, and what the U.S. can do to protect this vital outpost.

Join us as we explore:

  • Guam's Vital Role: Understand why Guam is a cornerstone of U.S. strategy in the Pacific, hosting critical air, naval, and Marine Corps assets, as well as a likely command and control hub in any conflict.
  • The "Guam Express": Learn about China's DF-26 intermediate-range ballistic missile, specifically designed to strike Guam, and the threat it poses to American forces.
  • Beyond Ballistic Missiles: Examine the full spectrum of China's missile threat, including air-launched and sea-launched cruise missiles, and the potential for future hypersonic weapons.
  • China's C4ISR Revolution: Discover how China is investing heavily in advanced intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities to support its long-range strike ambitions.
  • The Flawed Defense Plan: Analyze the criticisms of the current U.S. missile defense architecture for Guam, including concerns about its lack of an Aegis Ashore foundation, its dispersed nature, and its single point of failure.
  • A Call for Aegis Ashore: Hear why experts, like retired Rear Admiral Mark Montgomery, are advocating for a proven Aegis-based system as the core of Guam's defense.
  • A Phased Approach to Protection: Explore a proposed roadmap for building a more robust defense system, integrating existing technologies like THAAD, Patriot, and NASAMS, while incorporating new capabilities over time.
  • The High Cost of Inaction: Understand the potential consequences of failing to adequately defend Guam, including a weakened deterrent posture and increased risk of conflict in the region.
  • Beyond Guam: The Bigger Picture: Examine the broader implications of China's missile advancements for U.S. strategy in the Pacific, including the potential need to revisit the INF Treaty and invest in new strike capabilities.

We'll also discuss:

  • China's perception of Guam as part of a U.S. "encirclement" strategy.
  • The role of politics and inter-service rivalries in shaping defense decisions.
  • The urgent need for decisive action to protect Guam and maintain stability in the Pacific.

This episode is a deep dive into a critical security challenge facing the United States. Tune in to understand the growing threat to Guam, the flaws in the current defense plan, and the urgent need for a more effective and comprehensive approach to protecting this vital strategic hub.

Tags: Guam, Missile Defense, China, Military Strategy, National Security, Pacific, Aegis Ashore, THAAD, Patriot, NASAMS, DF-26, Cruise Missiles, Hypersonic Weapons, Indo-Pacific Command, INDOPACOM, C4ISR, Deterrence.

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