The Weekly Trend

The Weekly Trend

The Weekly Trend is a conversation on various publicly-traded markets, seen through the eyes of technical analysis.

Episodes

September 23, 2023 52 mins

In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the weak Seasonality in September and the directional amplification of October. In addition, the highlight the year-to-date returns of most stocks in comparison to the S&P 500. Extensive coverage is given to the most recent breakdown in Treasuries and potential impacts of weak credit going forward.

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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss important levels (areas of interest) on the trade-weighted dollar, trade-weighted yen, long-term treasuries, volatility (VIX), home construction (ITB), Semiconductors, Energy, Apple, and more. While risk-on measurements such as CCC credit spreads and junk bond/intermediate bond ratios remain positive, seasonality indicates further weakness heading in to October.

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September 9, 2023 32 mins

In this week’s episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the S&P and Nasdaq remaining within its recent range, while the Russell 2000 is failing to keep up. They also discuss how large cap tech is still pulling a large amount of the weight, with energy starting to participate more. Also, Oil above $85, the continuing rise of the U.S. Dollar and what that means for international areas. 

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August 26, 2023 49 mins

In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss work by Louis Spector on Dollar strength and weakness. They also discuss ongoing market weakness including, Q4 2021 necklines, international areas, and sector performance in August. 

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August 19, 2023 44 mins

In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss overhead supply, seasonal performance, international equities, the VIX, and other important price levels within the market. 

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August 12, 2023 23 mins

In this week’s episode, Dave discusses the importance of 16000 on the NYSE composite as well as the normal nature of corrective markets this time of year. He also touches base on important developments in international equities, rates, and the US Dollar.

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July 29, 2023 47 mins

In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss the continued uptrend in stocks and the important 4600 price area for the S&P 500. They also discuss the bearish engulfing candle witnessed Thursday and how the Dow continues to move higher. 

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July 15, 2023 45 mins

In this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the continued rally in stocks, what we could see moving forward over the next few weeks, and the relatively strong areas of the market.

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July 8, 2023 43 mins
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July 1, 2023 46 mins

In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss maintaining trade above 4180 and the 200 DMA for the S&P 500. They also discuss the strongest and weakest performing sectors in June, AAPL and MSFT, Homebuilders, and how many charts are showing potential moves out of multi-year bases. 

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June 23, 2023 8 mins
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June 17, 2023 30 mins

In this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the continued rally in equities, important levels to watch on the major indices, and what we can expect over the coming months.

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June 10, 2023 38 mins

In this week’s episode, Dave, David, and Kevin discuss the end of the bear market, recent improvements in breadth and participation, the relationship between small caps and tech, equal weight versus cap-weighted indices, and which international areas are still showing strength. 

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June 3, 2023 31 mins

In this week’s episode, Dave and Ian discuss the S&P 500 finally moving back above 4180 and the bullish breadth that developed on Friday. Both US bonds and foreign stocks continue to struggle. While the Nasdaq 100 has lead for a few months now, we certainly could see rotation back into Small Caps. 

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May 27, 2023 34 mins

On this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the up and down week and that we may be close to confirming a break above the infamous 4180 level. Nasdaq and Growth stocks continue to lead. International stocks have fallen off recently. Treasuries have also moved out of their range to the downside, as rates begin to rise again. Have a wonderful Memorial Day Weekend!

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May 20, 2023 35 mins

In this week’s episode, Dave, David, and Kevin discuss the S&P 500 closing above 4180 on Thursday, the strength from technology, consumer discretionary, and communications, along with the possibility for a potential rotation into more value areas. They also discussed weakness from real estate, staples, healthcare and utilities, and what they are seeing from the U.S. Dollar, rates, commodities, and international equities. 

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May 13, 2023 36 mins

In this week’s episode, Dave and Ian discuss weekly charts on the major indices, a follow up on Banks and new FinTech as well. Foreign stocks are still holding strong, but a new leader has taken the forefront. Bitcoin failing at its respective AVWAPs. What’s going on with Biotech? And a Happy Mother’s Day shoutout to all our favorite moms!

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May 6, 2023 48 mins

In this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the fact that stocks and bonds are still range bound, as they have been for months. The same goes for the dollar, and most commodities. Breadth is also weak and the seasonality of "the best 6 months" have come to an end.

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April 22, 2023 26 mins
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April 7, 2023 18 mins

In this week’s episode, Dave and Ian discuss the important horizontal price levels of the S&P 500, Small Caps, Bonds, and Bitcoin in relation to their past ranges. In addition, they discuss commodities, rates, and the US Dollar along with International Equities.

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