The Weekly Trend

The Weekly Trend

The Weekly Trend is a conversation on various publicly-traded markets, seen through the eyes of technical analysis.

Episodes

November 20, 2021 48 min

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the confirming strength in Large Cap Growth stocks, the strong US Dollar, and the "million dollar" question: Will the retest hold for the Russell 2000? Also, Crude is revisiting an important level. Where can we look outside of Tech? All these topics and more on this week's episode!

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In this week's episode, Ian and David discuss the breakout in the US Dollar, precious metals and miners, Retail, and Solar. Ian covers the recent winners and losers in regards to relative strength. Dave gives his thoughts on year-end seasonality. What's going on under the surface in Industrials? Is 'window dressing' real? All these topics and more on this week's episode of 'The Weekly Trend'!

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November 6, 2021 47 min

In this week's episode, Ian and David discuss the upside resolution we have seen from Small Caps, the reversal in Treasuries, and inflation. Dave gives his thoughts on Moderna and the potential news that may be coming. Ian covers the crypto landscape.

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In this weeks episode, Ian and David discuss the emerging strength in Mega and Large Cap Growth, Solar stocks, and both the good and bad sides of breadth. Ian discusses the mindset of taking each chart on it's own merit. Dave gives his thoughts on Monthly candles. 

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October 23, 2021 33 min

In this week's episode, Dave and Ian are joined by friend and fellow CMT Dan Gorghuber. The three discuss recent areas of strength, including Banks and Transports. Ian covers some of the most important topics from his client presentation, and Dave gives his thoughts on the new Bitcoin ETF that was launched this week and what it could mean for that asset class.

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October 15, 2021 52 min

In this weeks episode, Ian and David discuss the recent surge in breath that could finally push markets “over the hump”,  interest rates stalling, and the surge in cryptocurrencies. Ian covers the spotty strength overseas. David gives his thoughts on the strength from base metals. Plus, what does it mean when the “should happen” doesn’t happen? 



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October 9, 2021 35 min

In this week's episode, David and Ian cover the drawdowns seen in individual stocks over the last few months, Cyclical sectors, and stats behind the compression we have seen out of Small Caps. Will interest rates keep rising with the Dollar? Will Growth bring the market down? Plus, hot takes on the NLDS between the Brewers and Braves. 

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October 2, 2021 43 min

In this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the recent uptick in market “noise”, surging Commodity prices, and similarities to 2011. In the second portion of the podcast, they discuss September Monthly candles, the VIX in the late 1990s, and end of year seasonality.

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September 18, 2021 45 min

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss how it's more of the same from small caps, breadth, rates, and the Dollar. They also discuss how materials and industrials look the weakest, steel stocks, and the Satoshi Statue in Hungary. 

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September 11, 2021 38 min

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss how small caps are still within a trading range, the compression in treasuries/rates, lack of movement from Banks, and Japanese equities. They also discuss the most recent crypto tantrum and the 20th anniversary of 9/11. 

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September 4, 2021 44 min

In this week’s episode, David and Ian highlight the improved participation of stocks overall, demand for risk-on instruments, and the potential Dollar tailwind for many asset classes, including Crypto. David discusses a forgotten commodity and Ian reviews important Fibonacci extension concepts. This pre-Labor Day Weekend episode is one you won't want to miss.

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August 28, 2021 41 min

In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued focus on the US Dollar, Cybersecurity stocks, the Gambling industry, and Small Cap Growth. Ian gives his thoughts on the “impossibilities” of predictions and David points to some bullish hints from the Fixed Income space.    

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August 21, 2021 42 min

In this week’s episode, Ian and David discuss the continued indecision in equity markets, the recent resurgence in cryptocurrencies, and the US Dollar. Emerging Markets continue their decline, while Utilities could be on the verge of a new relative uptrend. Also, we ask the question: Why are investors moving towards Mega Cap names? 

All this, and more, on this week’s episode of “The Weekly Trend”!   

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August 14, 2021 51 min

In this episode, Ian and Dave give Commodities their due time. Base Metals. Industrial Metals. Precious Metals. Energy. Grains. Not all commodities are the same. They discuss how markets and access have changed for the better over past generations. Ian talks about a potential re-emergence of an old theme from 2020. Dave talks about the importance of finding strength during corrections. And informative price levels are identified in...

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August 6, 2021 20 min

In this week’s episode, Ian discusses the continued lagging performance from Value stocks, the strength from Semiconductors, a potential resurgence in Cryptocurrencies, and where we can look within the Industrials sector for relative strength. Ian also explains what some of the equal-weighted indices might be telling us, along with what areas outside of the US look good. Are credit spreads and the lack of strength from High Yield b...

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July 31, 2021 43 min

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss market breadth, all time highs for the S&P 500 and the Dow, with a lacking participation from the Russell 2000 and international equities. Ian discusses how important it is to keep an open mind, how you must be willing to change your mind when it comes to markets, and the power of relative strength. David and Ian also discuss the weakening dollar and recent strength from commodi...

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July 17, 2021 59 min

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued build-up of red flags, Utilities and Staples, and 2nd half seasonality. Dave gives examples of pair trades that have worked in previous market corrections and VIX/VVIX. Ian shares his thoughts on the “HODL” mindset and the evidence of weakness amongst reverse- and equal-weighted indices.

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July 10, 2021 43 min

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss weakness in Foreign stocks, Mega Caps, longer-term views of the major indices, and precious metals. 

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In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the thin market and participation we are seeing, foreign stocks, FAATMAN, and Q3 seasonality. David takes a deep dive into MA breadth and Ian gives his thoughts on Mega Caps. Also, what is VIX telling us? There are lots of mixed signals in the market, maybe the most since 2015. So, where do we go from here? Let's talk about it!

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June 26, 2021 49 min

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss investor sentiment, stealth corrections, Crude Oil doing its own thing, and the behavioral fallacies around stubbornness in trading. Dave covers High Beta and Low Volatility stocks. Ian discusses what messages we are getting from a grouping of “risk off” assets. Both give their thoughts on why today’s environment is similar, but also different, from early 2020.

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