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January 27, 2025 39 mins
Jean-Christophe Spilmont compares Orlov's analysis of the 5 stages of social collapse in the USSR to contemporary decline in US financial, commercial, political, social, and cultural institutions. Dmitry Orlov documented by 40% drop in GDP, a 50% increase in mortality rates, 40% decrease in birth rates, a poverty rate exceeding 50% of the population, and inflation of 2500% during the collapse of the Soviet Union. Today in the United States, homelessness, poverty, inflation, and our national debt have all increased dramatically. The value of the dollar is down 20% since 2020, and our national is up from $26 to $36 trillion during the same period of time. Are these warning signs of impending collapse, and if so, how soon? Is the United States on the edge of a catastrophic collapse like the Soviet Union, or are we in a prolonged period of social decline similar to the Roman Empire? The collapse of the USSR allowed rapid restructuring of the government and economy leading to the modern Russian Federation, whereas ancient Rome's decline led to centuries of social & economic hardship. What is the optimal scenario for the United States to minimize long-term hardship? Jean-Christophe Spilmont is a business strategist, futurist, and thought leader in digital transformation and strategic intelligence. Over the last two decades, he has assisted multi-billion dollar companies in their digital transitions, and he currently serves as the Global Head of Strategic & Industry Marketing at a large IT group in Europe and Global Head of Portfolio for its Big Data & Security Division. Jean-Christophe has an MBA in International Economy & Management from ESSEC, an executive MBA in Strategy & Competitive Intelligence from Ecole de Guerre Economique, a Masters in Biotechnology Engineering from ENSAIA, and studied in the Abundance Digital Executive Program at Singularity University. LINKS & RESOURCES: The 5 Stages of Collapse: On the Edge of the Breaking Point? https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/5-stages-collapse-edge-breaking-point-jean-christophe-spilmont-nkz3e Jean-Christophe Spilmont (LinkedIn) https://www.linkedin.com/in/jeanchristophespilmont/
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