E122: Victor Davis Hanson on What Trump Thinks of Zelensky and Predicting Geopolitics

In this Upstream episode, Erik Torenberg sits down with military historian Victor Davis Hanson. They discuss the future of Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan, the evolution of the American left, and Donald Trump's potential future legacy. 

—

📰 Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess 

🙏 Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse 

—

SPONSORS:

☁️Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at oracle.com/turpentine 

🎯 Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit adquick.com to start reaching your customers in the real world.

🕵️‍♂️ Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream

💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/  and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.

—

LINKS:

Official site: https://victorhanson.com/  

The Victor Davis Hanson podcast: https://victorhanson.com/podcasts/  

Hoover Institution - featured publications and videos: https://www.hoover.org/profiles/victor-davis-hanson 

Erik's substack: https://eriktorenberg.substack.com/ 

—

X / TWITTER:

@VDHanson

@eriktorenberg

@turpentinemedia

—

HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

• Trump's second term will likely be less chaotic due to appointees who align with his agenda.
• The Republican party is now more unified without "Never Trumpers."
• Trump expanded his coalition by winning significant portions of Hispanic and Black male votes.
• JD Vance is positioned as a strong 2028 candidate due to his background and communication skills.
• Europe will likely move politically rightward due to economic and defense inadequacies.
• Germany maintains trade surpluses while not meeting NATO defense spending requirements.
• The US-European relationship has become unbalanced with Europeans criticizing while depending on American defense.
• The Ukraine-Russia conflict will likely end with a DMZ rather than Ukraine reclaiming all territory.
• Putin invaded Ukraine because he perceived weakness in US leadership.
• Western interference in Ukrainian politics contributed to tensions.
• Trump's peace plan includes strategic investment in Ukrainian minerals near the DMZ.
• There's inconsistency in how the US approaches Ukraine versus Israel regarding civilian casualties.
• China is less likely to invade Taiwan compared to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
• Pacific allies are actively rearming against Chinese threats.
• New warfare technologies like drones may prove more effective for Taiwan's defense than traditional carriers.
• Israel struggles to con