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August 11, 2025 63 mins

近几年,中国房价经历了从高位到下行的转折。很多人仍在犹豫:是现在出手,还是继续观望?在母亲的催促下,我也曾面临同样的选择。

我从2019年开始关注楼市走势,结合个人经历与公开数据,分析了房价下跌背后的多重原因:就业低迷、结婚率下降、出生率低迷、人口老龄化,以及消费疲软。这些因素叠加,让楼市的复苏之路更为艰难。

视频中,我还对比了美国次贷危机和日本“失去的三十年”,探讨房地产泡沫破裂后的长期影响。结合中国的房地产周期,我给出了自己对未来房价走势的判断——以及为什么我会选择暂时不买房。

这不仅是一份购房时机的分析,更是普通人在经济不确定时期的生活决策思考。或许,你也会从中找到属于自己的答案。

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