October 2, 2024 • 10 mins
WEATHER WEDNESDAY IS TODAY AT 12:30 So get your questions ready for Fox 31's Chief Meteorologist Dave Fraser to answer all of your questions.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Dave Fraser from Fox thirty one. I'm sorry, Dave Frasier.
I was discombobulated there for a moment, but now I'm back.
Speaker 2 (00:05):
How are you? I'm good?
Speaker 3 (00:07):
How are you?
Speaker 1 (00:08):
I am well now that I am back on the
show and a little bit toasty today.
Speaker 4 (00:13):
When are we getting our fall?
Speaker 1 (00:14):
Are we just going to go straight from ninety degrees
to snow?
Speaker 4 (00:18):
Because I feel like that's what's going to happen here.
Speaker 2 (00:21):
It could, Mandy. Honestly, the pattern we're in, I just
don't see any breaks coming for the next ten.
Speaker 3 (00:29):
To maybe thirteen.
Speaker 2 (00:30):
I think we could put at a ten percent chance
of a shower in our forecast, maybe a week from
this Saturday, which would be what the twelve thirteenth, Yeah,
so that weekend. So yeah, it's just that we've got
this persistent high. The jet stream with the storm track
is way too far north. There's just not a lot
going on. And sometimes in these patterns, what can happen
at this time of the year, days are getting shorter
(00:52):
as the cold there gets bottled up, and eventually it'll
break loose and come our way. But that's a building process.
So this dominant high just kind of keeping us dry, sunny,
and kind of ebbs and flows from warm to.
Speaker 3 (01:04):
Seasonal, from warm to seasonal.
Speaker 2 (01:06):
That's going to continue in the seven day and in
the ten day forecast with no change.
Speaker 4 (01:10):
So it sounds like I need to water my trees.
Speaker 2 (01:13):
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. We just did a We did
a story on that yesterday because people were asking, you know,
it's this time of the year where the conversation usually
would start with the cooler nights about length of the
appropriate time to blow out the sprinklers.
Speaker 3 (01:25):
But with the dry.
Speaker 2 (01:26):
Pattern we've been in September was you know.
Speaker 3 (01:28):
A little below normal for moisture.
Speaker 2 (01:30):
We really only had the one good weekend of rain.
October looks to be dry for the next ten days.
You're not going to get a lot of growth. So
in other words, you're launch is probably looking pretty good,
but it's not growing like it does in the summer.
So when you molway, you get the tiniest little clippings,
but your trees and your shrubs and stuff are definitely
gonna want that drink. You just don't need to water
as much. We talked with Denver Water and instead of
(01:52):
doing every three days, they're suggesting maybe every you know,
once a week or maybe twice a week just to keep.
Speaker 3 (01:58):
The moisture flow going.
Speaker 2 (02:00):
But overall, you shouldn't have to panic and run it
like you would in hype eat of some summer.
Speaker 1 (02:04):
You know, I understand that about the you know, about
watering just a couple of times a week, but for
those of us that live in neighborhoods to throw out
water restrictions, right, so it's like you have to water
on the right day or the water police are going
to come get you. Actually, we don't have water police,
but it's it is interesting that a more efficient way
would be the water a couple times a week and
(02:25):
then call it a day. But that's not what is
allowed in some situations.
Speaker 2 (02:31):
Yeah, I think, I think my personal you know, in
talking with people at Denver Water for twenty years. Listen,
we're semi arid climate. Water is a precious commodity anywhere
in the country, but certainly more so here in the West,
and we struggle with drought from times. We're dealing with
that now, so you know, to be fair, and everybody
you know wants to keep their lawn in their yard
looking great, every third day should be ample and it's
(02:54):
just a matter of everybody has different watering systems, so
some have sophisticated timing systems where they can set for
every third day to match whatever the schedule is for
the hoa or the neighborhood. Others they may only be
able to do it. Some have to do it manually.
But just if you can just do it every three days,
that's probably ample and you're going to save money. And
you pok a book too.
Speaker 3 (03:14):
All right, need to overwalk.
Speaker 4 (03:15):
So let me ask you a couple of questions.
Speaker 1 (03:17):
I was out walking the dog yesterday and today we
got some hazy skies.
Speaker 4 (03:21):
What's going on with that right now?
Speaker 2 (03:23):
So there was a fire just east of Salt Lake
City and a little bit of that smoke, not a lot,
A little bit of that smoke kind of got pulled
into the atmosphere, so as you were looking from a
great distance, you probably did nose a little bit of haze.
I can see it, hinted it today.
Speaker 3 (03:39):
It's just not the.
Speaker 2 (03:40):
Wildfire smoke we were dealing with earlier in the summer, where
the fires were just huge and massive and the smoke
was thick and made it all the way down and
there were health concerns. Just enough of the haze on
the horizon that you're right in your eye probably picked
it up.
Speaker 1 (03:52):
So I got a couple questions from listeners on the
text line now, and one of them came in some
time ago before I started talking about last night's debate.
Here it is where does Dave get the data to
determine the average high and low temperatures for a particular day.
Speaker 2 (04:09):
So the average records are kept by the National Weather Service.
You can find them on their website. It is a
record database that goes back to eighteen seventy two when.
Speaker 3 (04:19):
Records were first started.
Speaker 2 (04:20):
To be kept here in Denver. The official station has
moved four times during its history.
Speaker 3 (04:28):
It is now housed out at the Airport.
Speaker 2 (04:29):
Denver International, Orgain, depending on your preference. And so we
go through that record database and in there you can
find the daily records. You can look at months, you
can look at yearly.
Speaker 3 (04:40):
Records, you can look at streaks. There's all sorts.
Speaker 2 (04:43):
Of climatological data that is in there. So for instance, today.
Speaker 3 (04:47):
We're looking at two records.
Speaker 2 (04:49):
One is if we reach ninety degrees, which we think
we will between two and three o'clock we're sitting at
eighty six. We would set a new record high for
today October two, beating the old record which was set
back in two thousand and five. And if we hit
ninety degrees, it's the latest ninety degree temperature that Denver
(05:09):
has ever recorded in that record keeping history of eighteen
seventy two, gone all the way back to that time.
Speaker 3 (05:15):
The old record was yesterday.
Speaker 4 (05:17):
Oh there you go. So somebody's asking this question, when
are the leaves gonna fall?
Speaker 1 (05:24):
This is an interesting question because I just noticed yesterday
as I was driving around and really starting to see
in the metro, we're starting to see leaves change, right,
So this is like it happened so fast. And usually
when they get really pretty, that's when we get our
first snowstorm to knock all the leaves off. So we
have nice leaves for like ten minutes. That's not going
to happen this year. So somebody said, don't want a
(05:46):
ton of tree damage. Always seems like they hang on
just a couple of days too long. But we're not
in danger of having any snow or big weather knock
our leaves off this year.
Speaker 2 (05:55):
Yeah, those are the two things we look for. One
would be a wind event, which would clearly rip the
trees of their leaves, because they're getting to that point
where they're dropping. I mean the leaves are dropping out.
I'm looking on my window. Neighbor's tree is hanging over
my fence line, and the leaves are dropping a little
bit here and there. There's some neighborhood trees where you
can see they turn to red and you drive down.
Speaker 3 (06:14):
The streets and you can see the leader bee. So
they're already doing that.
Speaker 2 (06:16):
They're struggling a little bit with the drought, but the
trees and the grass and the you know, the natural
vegetation everything. Even though we're warm and dry, the cooler
nights of the signal to it too. It's that time
of the year to start thinking about going dorm it. Right,
They tend to shed their leaves and so we're going
to see that. The other thing would be like you're
talking about, we've had that happen in early October where
we will get a blast of cold there and the
(06:37):
trees have not leaped out, and that can cause damage.
In certainly a heavy wet snow if the trees are
still holding their leaves, would cause problems with broken branches.
So right now, you are correct. We just don't have
those threats, so just watch them gently fall and you know,
blow them up as you can.
Speaker 1 (06:54):
Got a couple of hurricane questions for you. Obviously, Helene
has been the big topic of conversation as it's done
just wrought incredible destruction in the Carolinas and in Tennessee.
This question is why do hurricanes move east to west
when the normal storms move west to east.
Speaker 2 (07:11):
So the flow where the hurricanes form in the Atlantic
South think of Florida, is in the opposite direction.
Speaker 3 (07:19):
You have to come north of Florida for the flow
to go the other way.
Speaker 2 (07:22):
So west to east is our dominant flow across the
country jet stream when we usually bring storms in from
the west or the Pacific northwest and then move them
in an easterly direction, sometimes southeasterly, sometimes northeasterly, but the
general flow in the mid latitude where the United States
sits is west to east. However, as you transition south
and get down, then you enter into a part of
(07:44):
the flow where you've between there like the tip of Florida,
Florida itself, and to the equator, where the flow goes
the other way. So the of the storms the hurricanes
form in the Atlantic. The flow is to bring them
towards to the west, towards Florida, into the Gulf of
next Ago, And as they turned towards the US, then
they get caught up in the predominant flow and turned
(08:05):
back to the east. And that's what happened with Helene.
Alene came up to.
Speaker 3 (08:08):
The Gulf across Florida.
Speaker 2 (08:10):
And then was pushed to the north and east and that's.
Speaker 3 (08:12):
Why it hit where it did across Asheville and parts
of Tennessee.
Speaker 4 (08:16):
Here's the question for you, Dave. Is the rain in
a hurricane salt water.
Speaker 2 (08:23):
Well, salt particulars helped to make it more efficient, but
the salt itself will be wrung out if you understand. So, yes,
salt water is fueling the hurricane. Remember we talked about
what's called condensation nuclei, smoke, dust particles, salt particles. They
allow the rain drops to adhere to those particles and grow.
(08:44):
So salt water is part of the machine that is
fueling it. But the rain falling has been purified as
the salt is being wrung out, Where does.
Speaker 4 (08:52):
The salt go?
Speaker 1 (08:54):
I mean, here's the thing, Like some of that moisture
is getting is evaporated.
Speaker 4 (08:58):
So what happens to the salt? I guess the salt
gets left behind. That's how they actually harvest salt dissolved yet.
Speaker 2 (09:05):
And listen, we're talking about microscopic party, right, we're talking.
Speaker 3 (09:08):
We're not talking about.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
Something's coming out of your salt shaker. Yeah, we're talking
about the finest of particles that are mixed in with
the atmosphere.
Speaker 1 (09:17):
For the person who asks, what am I going to
get rained for a wheat crop? Not anytime soon, right, Dave?
Speaker 3 (09:22):
Nope, Yeah, No.
Speaker 2 (09:23):
Unfortunately, I feel for anybody trying to do that late
season we cry out any of that kind of stuff.
Speaker 3 (09:29):
We just don't have it.
Speaker 2 (09:31):
Yep. Unfortunately, we're just stuck. We've got no big storm
coming down the west coast to bump this big high
pressure which is sitting to our south and west. We
need something to move in, powerful cold front, powerful storm center,
something to just move it along. And like I said,
the long range models, I can tell you I looked
at them. I do every time before you call me.
Speaker 3 (09:50):
The long range mode.
Speaker 2 (09:51):
Models for the month of October, seventy percent chance the
temperatures will be above normal and a sixty percent chance
that moisture will be below normal.
Speaker 4 (09:59):
All right, there we go.
Speaker 1 (10:00):
You can of course, see Dave's full forecast at Fox
thirty one.
Speaker 4 (10:04):
Our partner again. Great to talk to you. We'll talk
to again next week, my friend.
Speaker 3 (10:08):
Have a great weekend, all right.
Speaker 4 (10:09):
That is Dave Frasier
Dave Fraser from Fox thirty one. I'm sorry, Dave Frasier.
I was discombobulated there for a moment, but now I'm back.
Speaker 2 (00:05):
How are you? I'm good?
Speaker 3 (00:07):
How are you?
Speaker 1 (00:08):
I am well now that I am back on the
show and a little bit toasty today.
Speaker 4 (00:13):
When are we getting our fall?
Speaker 1 (00:14):
Are we just going to go straight from ninety degrees
to snow?
Speaker 4 (00:18):
Because I feel like that's what's going to happen here.
Speaker 2 (00:21):
It could, Mandy. Honestly, the pattern we're in, I just
don't see any breaks coming for the next ten.
Speaker 3 (00:29):
To maybe thirteen.
Speaker 2 (00:30):
I think we could put at a ten percent chance
of a shower in our forecast, maybe a week from
this Saturday, which would be what the twelve thirteenth, Yeah,
so that weekend. So yeah, it's just that we've got
this persistent high. The jet stream with the storm track
is way too far north. There's just not a lot
going on. And sometimes in these patterns, what can happen
at this time of the year, days are getting shorter
(00:52):
as the cold there gets bottled up, and eventually it'll
break loose and come our way. But that's a building process.
So this dominant high just kind of keeping us dry, sunny,
and kind of ebbs and flows from warm to.
Speaker 3 (01:04):
Seasonal, from warm to seasonal.
Speaker 2 (01:06):
That's going to continue in the seven day and in
the ten day forecast with no change.
Speaker 4 (01:10):
So it sounds like I need to water my trees.
Speaker 2 (01:13):
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. We just did a We did
a story on that yesterday because people were asking, you know,
it's this time of the year where the conversation usually
would start with the cooler nights about length of the
appropriate time to blow out the sprinklers.
Speaker 3 (01:25):
But with the dry.
Speaker 2 (01:26):
Pattern we've been in September was you know.
Speaker 3 (01:28):
A little below normal for moisture.
Speaker 2 (01:30):
We really only had the one good weekend of rain.
October looks to be dry for the next ten days.
You're not going to get a lot of growth. So
in other words, you're launch is probably looking pretty good,
but it's not growing like it does in the summer.
So when you molway, you get the tiniest little clippings,
but your trees and your shrubs and stuff are definitely
gonna want that drink. You just don't need to water
as much. We talked with Denver Water and instead of
(01:52):
doing every three days, they're suggesting maybe every you know,
once a week or maybe twice a week just to keep.
Speaker 3 (01:58):
The moisture flow going.
Speaker 2 (02:00):
But overall, you shouldn't have to panic and run it
like you would in hype eat of some summer.
Speaker 1 (02:04):
You know, I understand that about the you know, about
watering just a couple of times a week, but for
those of us that live in neighborhoods to throw out
water restrictions, right, so it's like you have to water
on the right day or the water police are going
to come get you. Actually, we don't have water police,
but it's it is interesting that a more efficient way
would be the water a couple times a week and
(02:25):
then call it a day. But that's not what is
allowed in some situations.
Speaker 2 (02:31):
Yeah, I think, I think my personal you know, in
talking with people at Denver Water for twenty years. Listen,
we're semi arid climate. Water is a precious commodity anywhere
in the country, but certainly more so here in the West,
and we struggle with drought from times. We're dealing with
that now, so you know, to be fair, and everybody
you know wants to keep their lawn in their yard
looking great, every third day should be ample and it's
(02:54):
just a matter of everybody has different watering systems, so
some have sophisticated timing systems where they can set for
every third day to match whatever the schedule is for
the hoa or the neighborhood. Others they may only be
able to do it. Some have to do it manually.
But just if you can just do it every three days,
that's probably ample and you're going to save money. And
you pok a book too.
Speaker 3 (03:14):
All right, need to overwalk.
Speaker 4 (03:15):
So let me ask you a couple of questions.
Speaker 1 (03:17):
I was out walking the dog yesterday and today we
got some hazy skies.
Speaker 4 (03:21):
What's going on with that right now?
Speaker 2 (03:23):
So there was a fire just east of Salt Lake
City and a little bit of that smoke, not a lot,
A little bit of that smoke kind of got pulled
into the atmosphere, so as you were looking from a
great distance, you probably did nose a little bit of haze.
I can see it, hinted it today.
Speaker 3 (03:39):
It's just not the.
Speaker 2 (03:40):
Wildfire smoke we were dealing with earlier in the summer, where
the fires were just huge and massive and the smoke
was thick and made it all the way down and
there were health concerns. Just enough of the haze on
the horizon that you're right in your eye probably picked
it up.
Speaker 1 (03:52):
So I got a couple questions from listeners on the
text line now, and one of them came in some
time ago before I started talking about last night's debate.
Here it is where does Dave get the data to
determine the average high and low temperatures for a particular day.
Speaker 2 (04:09):
So the average records are kept by the National Weather Service.
You can find them on their website. It is a
record database that goes back to eighteen seventy two when.
Speaker 3 (04:19):
Records were first started.
Speaker 2 (04:20):
To be kept here in Denver. The official station has
moved four times during its history.
Speaker 3 (04:28):
It is now housed out at the Airport.
Speaker 2 (04:29):
Denver International, Orgain, depending on your preference. And so we
go through that record database and in there you can
find the daily records. You can look at months, you
can look at yearly.
Speaker 3 (04:40):
Records, you can look at streaks. There's all sorts.
Speaker 2 (04:43):
Of climatological data that is in there. So for instance, today.
Speaker 3 (04:47):
We're looking at two records.
Speaker 2 (04:49):
One is if we reach ninety degrees, which we think
we will between two and three o'clock we're sitting at
eighty six. We would set a new record high for
today October two, beating the old record which was set
back in two thousand and five. And if we hit
ninety degrees, it's the latest ninety degree temperature that Denver
(05:09):
has ever recorded in that record keeping history of eighteen
seventy two, gone all the way back to that time.
Speaker 3 (05:15):
The old record was yesterday.
Speaker 4 (05:17):
Oh there you go. So somebody's asking this question, when
are the leaves gonna fall?
Speaker 1 (05:24):
This is an interesting question because I just noticed yesterday
as I was driving around and really starting to see
in the metro, we're starting to see leaves change, right,
So this is like it happened so fast. And usually
when they get really pretty, that's when we get our
first snowstorm to knock all the leaves off. So we
have nice leaves for like ten minutes. That's not going
to happen this year. So somebody said, don't want a
(05:46):
ton of tree damage. Always seems like they hang on
just a couple of days too long. But we're not
in danger of having any snow or big weather knock
our leaves off this year.
Speaker 2 (05:55):
Yeah, those are the two things we look for. One
would be a wind event, which would clearly rip the
trees of their leaves, because they're getting to that point
where they're dropping. I mean the leaves are dropping out.
I'm looking on my window. Neighbor's tree is hanging over
my fence line, and the leaves are dropping a little
bit here and there. There's some neighborhood trees where you
can see they turn to red and you drive down.
Speaker 3 (06:14):
The streets and you can see the leader bee. So
they're already doing that.
Speaker 2 (06:16):
They're struggling a little bit with the drought, but the
trees and the grass and the you know, the natural
vegetation everything. Even though we're warm and dry, the cooler
nights of the signal to it too. It's that time
of the year to start thinking about going dorm it. Right,
They tend to shed their leaves and so we're going
to see that. The other thing would be like you're
talking about, we've had that happen in early October where
we will get a blast of cold there and the
(06:37):
trees have not leaped out, and that can cause damage.
In certainly a heavy wet snow if the trees are
still holding their leaves, would cause problems with broken branches.
So right now, you are correct. We just don't have
those threats, so just watch them gently fall and you know,
blow them up as you can.
Speaker 1 (06:54):
Got a couple of hurricane questions for you. Obviously, Helene
has been the big topic of conversation as it's done
just wrought incredible destruction in the Carolinas and in Tennessee.
This question is why do hurricanes move east to west
when the normal storms move west to east.
Speaker 2 (07:11):
So the flow where the hurricanes form in the Atlantic
South think of Florida, is in the opposite direction.
Speaker 3 (07:19):
You have to come north of Florida for the flow
to go the other way.
Speaker 2 (07:22):
So west to east is our dominant flow across the
country jet stream when we usually bring storms in from
the west or the Pacific northwest and then move them
in an easterly direction, sometimes southeasterly, sometimes northeasterly, but the
general flow in the mid latitude where the United States
sits is west to east. However, as you transition south
and get down, then you enter into a part of
(07:44):
the flow where you've between there like the tip of Florida,
Florida itself, and to the equator, where the flow goes
the other way. So the of the storms the hurricanes
form in the Atlantic. The flow is to bring them
towards to the west, towards Florida, into the Gulf of
next Ago, And as they turned towards the US, then
they get caught up in the predominant flow and turned
(08:05):
back to the east. And that's what happened with Helene.
Alene came up to.
Speaker 3 (08:08):
The Gulf across Florida.
Speaker 2 (08:10):
And then was pushed to the north and east and that's.
Speaker 3 (08:12):
Why it hit where it did across Asheville and parts
of Tennessee.
Speaker 4 (08:16):
Here's the question for you, Dave. Is the rain in
a hurricane salt water.
Speaker 2 (08:23):
Well, salt particulars helped to make it more efficient, but
the salt itself will be wrung out if you understand. So, yes,
salt water is fueling the hurricane. Remember we talked about
what's called condensation nuclei, smoke, dust particles, salt particles. They
allow the rain drops to adhere to those particles and grow.
(08:44):
So salt water is part of the machine that is
fueling it. But the rain falling has been purified as
the salt is being wrung out, Where does.
Speaker 4 (08:52):
The salt go?
Speaker 1 (08:54):
I mean, here's the thing, Like some of that moisture
is getting is evaporated.
Speaker 4 (08:58):
So what happens to the salt? I guess the salt
gets left behind. That's how they actually harvest salt dissolved yet.
Speaker 2 (09:05):
And listen, we're talking about microscopic party, right, we're talking.
Speaker 3 (09:08):
We're not talking about.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
Something's coming out of your salt shaker. Yeah, we're talking
about the finest of particles that are mixed in with
the atmosphere.
Speaker 1 (09:17):
For the person who asks, what am I going to
get rained for a wheat crop? Not anytime soon, right, Dave?
Speaker 3 (09:22):
Nope, Yeah, No.
Speaker 2 (09:23):
Unfortunately, I feel for anybody trying to do that late
season we cry out any of that kind of stuff.
Speaker 3 (09:29):
We just don't have it.
Speaker 2 (09:31):
Yep. Unfortunately, we're just stuck. We've got no big storm
coming down the west coast to bump this big high
pressure which is sitting to our south and west. We
need something to move in, powerful cold front, powerful storm center,
something to just move it along. And like I said,
the long range models, I can tell you I looked
at them. I do every time before you call me.
Speaker 3 (09:50):
The long range mode.
Speaker 2 (09:51):
Models for the month of October, seventy percent chance the
temperatures will be above normal and a sixty percent chance
that moisture will be below normal.
Speaker 4 (09:59):
All right, there we go.
Speaker 1 (10:00):
You can of course, see Dave's full forecast at Fox
thirty one.
Speaker 4 (10:04):
Our partner again. Great to talk to you. We'll talk
to again next week, my friend.
Speaker 3 (10:08):
Have a great weekend, all right.
Speaker 4 (10:09):
That is Dave Frasier
The Mandy Connell Podcast News
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