Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Fox thirty one chief meteorologist Dave Frasier. Dave, good to
hear from you, my friend from beautiful sunny San Juan,
Puerto Rico.
Speaker 2 (00:08):
How you doing up there? Freezing? You took us off.
Speaker 3 (00:12):
I heard you at the top of the newscasting. I
don't want to rub it in, Yes you do.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
No, I really don't.
Speaker 1 (00:19):
I feel a little guilty coming down here right now
as the big arctic blast hit over the weekend.
Speaker 2 (00:25):
But it looks like.
Speaker 1 (00:26):
Things are a little more back to normal and it's
just cold. Although I can tell it's been cold because
one of the first questions I have on the text
line is Mandy, what is Dave's outlook for early spring?
Speaker 2 (00:37):
Can we expect a snowy March? So people are done
after this past weekend?
Speaker 3 (00:43):
Yeah, I mean this was a prolonged period of cold
that moved in Friday night. We calculated it at ninety hours,
which is three and three quarter days under freezing. However,
to get on a record list for consecutive days under freezing,
we would have beat it and doubled that. Eight days
is the lowest on the list of days we're up
(01:05):
below freezing. So it was a prolonged cold period, there
was a silver lining. Each day Friday night, Saturday, Sunday, Monday,
we picked up measurable snow, not a lot. Each day
was around an inch. I think Saturday was the most
at one point seven. So for the month of January
rerectually more than nine inches, we've surpassed the average of
six point six. As far as the outlook, to to
(01:27):
your listener's question, I was looking at long range models
I always do before this phone call, and it's very typical.
The long range models show above normal temperatures and below
normal precipitation. But of course it showed that for January,
and we're ahead break January for moisture and we are
below normal by about eight degrees. Even though we have
had a day you may not remember it. It was
(01:49):
a little bout a week ago that we were at
sixty one. But you know, the long range models, again,
they don't paint the picture of day to day, and
sometimes they're dead on and sometimes they're not. So they're
not I'm terribly reliable, but they can give you kind
of an overviewab WHATY point might be coming.
Speaker 2 (02:05):
How do we do in snowpackwise?
Speaker 4 (02:07):
Overall fantastic, The san Juans, the Southwest River, the river
basins in the southwest are running at about seventy seventy
two percent.
Speaker 3 (02:18):
They're pulling the average for the state down. But everything
in the central Mountains, the northern Mountains, the southeast corner,
and here along the Front Range especially is doing the
best at one hundred and two percent. So I think
the state assue is around ninety one ninety two. But
the biggest basin that we always concern ourselves with is
the Front Range, the South Platte, and it's doing really,
(02:40):
really well, and obviously that number is probably going to
go up given the snow we picked up over the
last few days.
Speaker 1 (02:46):
Right, this question is kind of interesting, How did this
texture ask?
Speaker 2 (02:50):
How do I calculate the feels like temperature?
Speaker 1 (02:53):
Isn't this the temperature with the Dee point factored in
there to tell us what it feels like?
Speaker 2 (03:01):
Is that how you do it?
Speaker 3 (03:03):
Yeah, there's actually a chart. If you google wind chill
chart you can see it's already laid out at the
mathematical equation. Basically, it takes into consideration the air temperature
and wind speed and what it feels like on exposed skin.
So obviously the colder the temperature the stronger, the wind
that feels like temperature is much much lower. And then
(03:25):
of course there are thresholds for how long exposed skin
can be exposed before it freezes, so you know, thirty
minutes or ten minutes. They did recalculate the wind Child
chart years ago because it was too cold, so they
wanted a little more realistic and this year, I'm glad
your listener brought this up. This year, we have a
(03:46):
new product. The National Weather Service got rid of wind
chill advisories and other things, so what we have now
is cold weather advisories and extreme cold mornings, and they're
based on temperature. Whether it's a wind chill temperature or
near temperature, it doesn't matter. So we had this the
last couple of days where the mountains in southeast Colorado
(04:08):
were an extreme cold warning because the temperatures were calculated
to be from twenty five degrees or lower minus twenty
five or row, where an advisory is minus fifteen to
minus twenty five, and that's what Denver had, although we
were close to the threshold a few times with wind
chills down to our temperatures down. For instance, Monday night,
(04:30):
the temperature got down to fourteen below. So you're right
there at the threshold. So those are new terms that
we're using this year, and you'll hear about in the
coming winters.
Speaker 1 (04:38):
It does seem like is that just because things get
more refined, you know what I mean.
Speaker 2 (04:43):
It's like, I mean, I remember when I was a
kid and the.
Speaker 1 (04:46):
Guy stood in front of the felt board with the
sunshine and he'd smack it up there and then put
cloud over it.
Speaker 2 (04:51):
Yeah. So is it just because the.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
Technology is allowing you guys to get more specific?
Speaker 3 (04:56):
Yes, yeah, I mean obviously, Yeah, we can be a
little more detailed. We can be a little more you know,
we can create thresholds that are a little more reasonable, practical, understandable.
For instance, the you know, growing up, we had the
tornado scale, the the you know, the Fajita scale. Uh.
And then it changed to now call the enhanced GETA scale.
And what they did is they went back and they
(05:17):
looked at what was you know, an F zero and
F one and F two, and they enhanced those numbers
to an E F one and e F two and
e F three as it relates to the speed and
the damage caused by tornadoes, and they recalculated the speed,
so the speed's kind of changed a little bit. The
window of what what is an e F one, what
is an e F two? And what should we expect
for damage? And so you know, those scales were built back,
(05:40):
you know, a long time ago, and they've been refined,
if you will, in current times. So I have to
ask you, you're you know, you're from Florida. The cold,
the snow, New Orleans, eight inches of snow, snow covering
the beach in DestinE, snow down to Tampa. Can you
remember the time growing up.
Speaker 1 (06:00):
In the early seventies, we had measurable snowfall in the
town in North Florida that I lived in. It didn't
really stick to the roads, but it stuck to like
windshields and stuff like that. And it was it was
such fat, like fat wet snow, you know.
Speaker 2 (06:17):
You know what I mean. But that was really it.
Speaker 1 (06:19):
I actually have a couple of questions on the on
the text line right now.
Speaker 2 (06:23):
Is that a sign of global warming? If not? Why not?
If yes, how.
Speaker 3 (06:29):
So the answer to that is yet, you know, the
better term, I think, the safer term so you don't
get into arguments, is climate change.
Speaker 5 (06:38):
Yes, it is a.
Speaker 3 (06:39):
Thing, right, And yes, what it can do is it
can cause you know, rain is rained, snow and snow.
We still left the forecast, and we still have to
talk about how much, how deep, how cold, how warm.
Those parameters are still there. But what you see is
wild swings and things like that that you wouldn't normally expect.
For instance, Anchorage, Alaska, I think this month has had
(07:00):
zo point eight inches of snow. New Orleans got eight.
It was records. Yeah, so I'm not talking about an
upside down world. I'm talking about things shifting and changing
and maybe being a little more exaggerated. So hurricanes, do
we get more or less of them? It's going to
depend on the season, but sometimes maybe the more of
them could be more powerful, more frequent, more damaging, you know,
(07:22):
and snow going all the way to the deep South
makes to scratch your head and wonder, you know, should
I have winter dear, if I live in Tampa or destined?
Should I have a shovel? You know? Those are questions that, yes,
as the climate changes, we need to be conscious of
that what we think of in an area may not
always be that way.
Speaker 1 (07:41):
And well, in all honesty, in the South, no, they
will not get winter closer shovels because they're not leaving
their house if there's snow on the ground outside. I'm
just letting you know that. So it doesn't matter, Mandy,
Isn't it true? Windshield only has an effect on living skin.
That's kind of creepy way that's written.
Speaker 5 (07:58):
But yeah, it was calculated as it feels like temperature
to the skin. Yeah, it doesn't have a bearing on
your car or your automobile or anything like that.
Speaker 3 (08:09):
The cold is what can cause problems, you know, people
at this time of the year, when we get into
these deep freezes. You know the battery. You'll find out
quickly that your battery was maybe towards the end of
its life cycle because it will struggle in the cold.
But yet, the reality is the wind chill is just
for us, Dave.
Speaker 1 (08:28):
I'll leave you with this from a text or Mandy,
feels like only applies to weather. I got pulled over
by CSP He said I was going ninety one. I said,
it feels like seventy five. Put them bump chick. There
you go, David, Pleasure. As always, I'll talk talk to
you next week when I join you.
Speaker 2 (08:44):
Back in the cold.
Speaker 3 (08:46):
All right, enjoying your time on the beach. And by
the way, they got a rip current advisory out. I
would not suggest getting into the ocean today.
Speaker 1 (08:53):
I already did today, but I didn't go out very far,
and it is quite the rip current today. So I
did go out, but only up, only up far enough
where I felt like I wasn't gonna get swept away.
All right, Dave, we will talk to you later.
Fox thirty one chief meteorologist Dave Frasier. Dave, good to
hear from you, my friend from beautiful sunny San Juan,
Puerto Rico.
Speaker 2 (00:08):
How you doing up there? Freezing? You took us off.
Speaker 3 (00:12):
I heard you at the top of the newscasting. I
don't want to rub it in, Yes you do.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
No, I really don't.
Speaker 1 (00:19):
I feel a little guilty coming down here right now
as the big arctic blast hit over the weekend.
Speaker 2 (00:25):
But it looks like.
Speaker 1 (00:26):
Things are a little more back to normal and it's
just cold. Although I can tell it's been cold because
one of the first questions I have on the text
line is Mandy, what is Dave's outlook for early spring?
Speaker 2 (00:37):
Can we expect a snowy March? So people are done
after this past weekend?
Speaker 3 (00:43):
Yeah, I mean this was a prolonged period of cold
that moved in Friday night. We calculated it at ninety hours,
which is three and three quarter days under freezing. However,
to get on a record list for consecutive days under freezing,
we would have beat it and doubled that. Eight days
is the lowest on the list of days we're up
(01:05):
below freezing. So it was a prolonged cold period, there
was a silver lining. Each day Friday night, Saturday, Sunday, Monday,
we picked up measurable snow, not a lot. Each day
was around an inch. I think Saturday was the most
at one point seven. So for the month of January
rerectually more than nine inches, we've surpassed the average of
six point six. As far as the outlook, to to
(01:27):
your listener's question, I was looking at long range models
I always do before this phone call, and it's very typical.
The long range models show above normal temperatures and below
normal precipitation. But of course it showed that for January,
and we're ahead break January for moisture and we are
below normal by about eight degrees. Even though we have
had a day you may not remember it. It was
(01:49):
a little bout a week ago that we were at
sixty one. But you know, the long range models, again,
they don't paint the picture of day to day, and
sometimes they're dead on and sometimes they're not. So they're
not I'm terribly reliable, but they can give you kind
of an overviewab WHATY point might be coming.
Speaker 2 (02:05):
How do we do in snowpackwise?
Speaker 4 (02:07):
Overall fantastic, The san Juans, the Southwest River, the river
basins in the southwest are running at about seventy seventy
two percent.
Speaker 3 (02:18):
They're pulling the average for the state down. But everything
in the central Mountains, the northern Mountains, the southeast corner,
and here along the Front Range especially is doing the
best at one hundred and two percent. So I think
the state assue is around ninety one ninety two. But
the biggest basin that we always concern ourselves with is
the Front Range, the South Platte, and it's doing really,
(02:40):
really well, and obviously that number is probably going to
go up given the snow we picked up over the
last few days.
Speaker 1 (02:46):
Right, this question is kind of interesting, How did this
texture ask?
Speaker 2 (02:50):
How do I calculate the feels like temperature?
Speaker 1 (02:53):
Isn't this the temperature with the Dee point factored in
there to tell us what it feels like?
Speaker 2 (03:01):
Is that how you do it?
Speaker 3 (03:03):
Yeah, there's actually a chart. If you google wind chill
chart you can see it's already laid out at the
mathematical equation. Basically, it takes into consideration the air temperature
and wind speed and what it feels like on exposed skin.
So obviously the colder the temperature the stronger, the wind
that feels like temperature is much much lower. And then
(03:25):
of course there are thresholds for how long exposed skin
can be exposed before it freezes, so you know, thirty
minutes or ten minutes. They did recalculate the wind Child
chart years ago because it was too cold, so they
wanted a little more realistic and this year, I'm glad
your listener brought this up. This year, we have a
(03:46):
new product. The National Weather Service got rid of wind
chill advisories and other things, so what we have now
is cold weather advisories and extreme cold mornings, and they're
based on temperature. Whether it's a wind chill temperature or
near temperature, it doesn't matter. So we had this the
last couple of days where the mountains in southeast Colorado
(04:08):
were an extreme cold warning because the temperatures were calculated
to be from twenty five degrees or lower minus twenty
five or row, where an advisory is minus fifteen to
minus twenty five, and that's what Denver had, although we
were close to the threshold a few times with wind
chills down to our temperatures down. For instance, Monday night,
(04:30):
the temperature got down to fourteen below. So you're right
there at the threshold. So those are new terms that
we're using this year, and you'll hear about in the
coming winters.
Speaker 1 (04:38):
It does seem like is that just because things get
more refined, you know what I mean.
Speaker 2 (04:43):
It's like, I mean, I remember when I was a
kid and the.
Speaker 1 (04:46):
Guy stood in front of the felt board with the
sunshine and he'd smack it up there and then put
cloud over it.
Speaker 2 (04:51):
Yeah. So is it just because the.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
Technology is allowing you guys to get more specific?
Speaker 3 (04:56):
Yes, yeah, I mean obviously, Yeah, we can be a
little more detailed. We can be a little more you know,
we can create thresholds that are a little more reasonable, practical, understandable.
For instance, the you know, growing up, we had the
tornado scale, the the you know, the Fajita scale. Uh.
And then it changed to now call the enhanced GETA scale.
And what they did is they went back and they
(05:17):
looked at what was you know, an F zero and
F one and F two, and they enhanced those numbers
to an E F one and e F two and
e F three as it relates to the speed and
the damage caused by tornadoes, and they recalculated the speed,
so the speed's kind of changed a little bit. The
window of what what is an e F one, what
is an e F two? And what should we expect
for damage? And so you know, those scales were built back,
(05:40):
you know, a long time ago, and they've been refined,
if you will, in current times. So I have to
ask you, you're you know, you're from Florida. The cold,
the snow, New Orleans, eight inches of snow, snow covering
the beach in DestinE, snow down to Tampa. Can you
remember the time growing up.
Speaker 1 (06:00):
In the early seventies, we had measurable snowfall in the
town in North Florida that I lived in. It didn't
really stick to the roads, but it stuck to like
windshields and stuff like that. And it was it was
such fat, like fat wet snow, you know.
Speaker 2 (06:17):
You know what I mean. But that was really it.
Speaker 1 (06:19):
I actually have a couple of questions on the on
the text line right now.
Speaker 2 (06:23):
Is that a sign of global warming? If not? Why not?
If yes, how.
Speaker 3 (06:29):
So the answer to that is yet, you know, the
better term, I think, the safer term so you don't
get into arguments, is climate change.
Speaker 5 (06:38):
Yes, it is a.
Speaker 3 (06:39):
Thing, right, And yes, what it can do is it
can cause you know, rain is rained, snow and snow.
We still left the forecast, and we still have to
talk about how much, how deep, how cold, how warm.
Those parameters are still there. But what you see is
wild swings and things like that that you wouldn't normally expect.
For instance, Anchorage, Alaska, I think this month has had
(07:00):
zo point eight inches of snow. New Orleans got eight.
It was records. Yeah, so I'm not talking about an
upside down world. I'm talking about things shifting and changing
and maybe being a little more exaggerated. So hurricanes, do
we get more or less of them? It's going to
depend on the season, but sometimes maybe the more of
them could be more powerful, more frequent, more damaging, you know,
(07:22):
and snow going all the way to the deep South
makes to scratch your head and wonder, you know, should
I have winter dear, if I live in Tampa or destined?
Should I have a shovel? You know? Those are questions that, yes,
as the climate changes, we need to be conscious of
that what we think of in an area may not
always be that way.
Speaker 1 (07:41):
And well, in all honesty, in the South, no, they
will not get winter closer shovels because they're not leaving
their house if there's snow on the ground outside. I'm
just letting you know that. So it doesn't matter, Mandy,
Isn't it true? Windshield only has an effect on living skin.
That's kind of creepy way that's written.
Speaker 5 (07:58):
But yeah, it was calculated as it feels like temperature
to the skin. Yeah, it doesn't have a bearing on
your car or your automobile or anything like that.
Speaker 3 (08:09):
The cold is what can cause problems, you know, people
at this time of the year, when we get into
these deep freezes. You know the battery. You'll find out
quickly that your battery was maybe towards the end of
its life cycle because it will struggle in the cold.
But yet, the reality is the wind chill is just
for us, Dave.
Speaker 1 (08:28):
I'll leave you with this from a text or Mandy,
feels like only applies to weather. I got pulled over
by CSP He said I was going ninety one. I said,
it feels like seventy five. Put them bump chick. There
you go, David, Pleasure. As always, I'll talk talk to
you next week when I join you.
Speaker 2 (08:44):
Back in the cold.
Speaker 3 (08:46):
All right, enjoying your time on the beach. And by
the way, they got a rip current advisory out. I
would not suggest getting into the ocean today.
Speaker 1 (08:53):
I already did today, but I didn't go out very far,
and it is quite the rip current today. So I
did go out, but only up, only up far enough
where I felt like I wasn't gonna get swept away.
All right, Dave, we will talk to you later.
The Mandy Connell Podcast News
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