December 13, 2024 • 52 mins
Colin reacts to the Rams outlasting the 49ers in a sloppy, rainy Monday Night Football game!
He points out that Brock Purdy proves to be just “a guy” when the Niners don't have their full compliment of weapons to injuries, and when contrasted with Matt Stafford… doesn’t have the same franchise quarterback appeal (3:45). He also shovels dirt on the 49ers season and explains why the team needs a rebuild.
He explains why he believes that Bill Belichick will only coach one year at UNC after it was revealed his contract buyout is only $1 million dollars after year one (10:45).
Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network and host of “The Favorites” podcast, joins Colin for a round of “Sharp or Square,” to help provide Colin with the sharpest betting advice for week 15 of the NFL slate plus a look ahead at college football! Then the pod goes completely off the rails with some UFO talk!
22:15 - Bills vs Lions
25:30 - Steelers vs Eagles
28:30 - Broncos vs Colts
32:00 - Packers vs Seahawks
34:00 -Bears vs Vikings
36:00 - Titans vs Bengals
38:00 - Browns vs Chiefs
45:00 - Ohio State vs Tennessee
47:45 - Belichick’s outlook at UNC
55:00 - UFO Theories
Follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates!
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See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
The volume.
Speaker 2 (00:04):
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(01:15):
instant reaction. We have all sorts of stuff I'm gonna
give you about twelve to fifteen minutes on the Rams Niners,
and some Belichick thoughts something was uncovered tonight. That's fascinating.
Chad Millman, Sharper Square. We're gonna also talk Belichick and UFOs.
You know why not. So the Rams beat the forty
nine ers twelve to six. So the first thing is
(01:36):
I did I stayed away from this game. I wouldn't
touch it. I could have done a DraftKings bet, I said,
I there's too many injuries, weather, it's shaky, and the
Rams just played a flawless football game against Buffalo. Then
you got to get on a plane Wednesday, flight to
arrival division game like added no what? I just I
knew the Rams were gonna be off. You cannot play
(01:58):
a game against a team like Buffalo, a high stakes
game and be flawless, even with men. This isn't college.
But to go on the road against your rival Green
Laws back Bosa played. So they won and you have
to be healthy. But they won and you have to
be happy. But here's the thing. So all these wide receivers,
(02:18):
do you know Tyreek Hill, Jamar Chase, and Deebo Samuel's
record this year seventeen and twenty three. Top five rushing
teams are all right now in the playoffs, you gotta
be careful with DIVA wide receivers. Deebo wants the ball.
Oh Debo can't catch the ball tonight on an underneath
(02:40):
route where he had a chance to peel off a
huge play, potentially a touchdown, and they settled for a
field goal. You could clearly see the Niners trying to
appease Debo and get in the ball and force it.
I like him better as a running back than a
receiver anyway. I think his yards after the catch and
his running ability is much greater than his separation ability.
(03:02):
I think he's become sort of a banged up poor
man's and Kwon Bolden that you know doesn't separate. But
he's physically tough and a nice player. But this is
so you have young brock Purdy, you know, doesn't want
to lose Debo. Ayyuk's already out for the year. Trent Williams,
Christian McCaffrey hurt. So Deebo picks the worst time to,
you know, be high maintenance because you know pretty's young.
(03:26):
He doesn't have Ayyuk. You know, Kittle is tremendous, but
a lot of teams now are taking him out and
spending a lot of coverage on him. So they forced
a debo and this is what you get. Biggest game
of the year for the Niners, one hundred and ninety
seven total yards. You know it, brock pretty in thirteen starts.
Everybody talks about him getting paid big money. It's a
(03:47):
big mistake. I don't buy it. I never have. Doesn't
have Christian McCaffrey, doesn't have Trent Williams in thirteen starts
this year, fifteen touchdowns, nine picks, and you want to
pay him fifty five million dollars the minute you take
away his best players. He is a guy. He didn't
get passed by everybody in this draft. You know, during
(04:09):
Tom Brady's run, there were more sleepers. You find occasional sleepers,
but scouting departments now are much more sophisticated. You know,
in Brady's era, you didn't have all the YouTube stuff.
You didn't have the ability to see some of these
college games. They're all on television. Now, it's just really
hard to hide people. Staffs are bigger, Scouting departments are bigger.
(04:32):
There's just more sophistication. You know, Rock Purty dropped to
the seventh round. He's small, he doesn't have a big arm.
He's athletic but not special. Hands are a bit small,
you know, And you're watching a guy that when you
lose people, what do you get? And conversely, tonight, Matt
Stafford very very rough first half. I mean it was
(04:52):
like the Niners defense had the Rams playbook. They knew
where he was. He was just trying to beg in
to throw an interception. And yet he showed exactly why
he's a real franchise player on those big drives late third,
early fourth quarter, using his feet two or three times
ducking out of stuff, really big third down throw. I
wrote this big third down throw to Colby Parkinson late
(05:16):
whereas pretty previously in the fourth quarter had a really
really ugly end zone pick. You saw the real separation
here Rams, short week of a highly emotional game on
the road division rival. Neither team has their fastball. Stafford
in the second half after a shaky first really made
(05:39):
all the big throws. And because the coaches are both great,
the offensive lines are good, not great, And that's the
separation between the two. Yeah, I'm looking at this two
big drives Stafford in the second half. That's the ball game.
And you know, people, people think I'm anti Purty no,
but somebody's got to pop the balloon on this nonsense.
(06:03):
I think Pretty is a less athletic Dak. Now, Dak
after a second surgery here is going to be even
less athletic. He lost mobility after his first surgery. He'll
be less athletic. You're seeing what it's doing to Aaron Rodgers.
You're saying what it's doing to Kirk Cousins. He's younger,
but he won't be the same. And this is what
holds the Cowboys back. They're paying a B quarterback A
(06:24):
plus money. If you pay Pretty A minus money, he's
a he's a B quarterback. You just still want to
get into that space. Pittsburg will probably pay Russell Wilson.
They're going to pay him B quarterback money. Darnold could
be franchise tag for forty million, forty one million, but
that's B quarterback money. And I've said this, I wrote
the Niners obituary three or four weeks ago. I don't
(06:47):
think this is a tweak. I don't think it's a tweak.
I think I both Ayuk and Deebo are now pretty verbal.
Don't neither seems terribly happy. Kittle's horrific, but he's a
tight end. He is aging. Trent Williams doesn't have much
left on the tires, so I think they have to
(07:07):
rebuild both offensive lines. And conversely, the Rams are really
well coached. I said, outside of the Lions, I'm not
sure there's a team in the league that has a
better offensive head coach, quarterback, star running back, and two
elite receivers. And they're doing it without Tyler higgsby their
(07:28):
top tight end, who is coming back soon. So is
the Rams. Offensive line has gotten healthier over the last month.
Stafford's been exceptional. You noticed it tonight. He had better protection.
Now they're getting their tight end back to go along
with Colby Parkinson and David Allen, So all of a sudden,
now the Rams are healthy down the stretch, and I
(07:50):
think they can play with anybody. Now. They're defense, they're
a little like the Packers. They feel like they're a
tad young. The Packers are young on offense. The Rams
feel a little young on defense, and they still need
a number one corner in the draft. But this is
a real RAMS team, and I think they solidified their
playoffs tonight. It's a quarterback coach league, and nothing against Shanahan,
but he's got pretty and Stafford and McVeigh are another level.
(08:14):
So congratulations. So I want to add this because this
came down tonight. So Chad Melbourne and I talks in Belichick,
but I didn't have this information. So I made the
prediction today on FS one. I said, my take is
Bill Belichick, easy schedule Carolina. It's going to win eight
or nine games and maybe get to the playoff, but
(08:34):
get to a big Bowl. But I don't necessarily think
he'll coach in that bowl. I think Belichick is going
to get irritated. His coaching and his structure and the
personnel with Mike Lombardi will be fine. I don't think
those guys are long term fits at the college level.
They've got a very Charlie weissfield but even more blunt,
(08:54):
and Belichick's got so much power, and because Lombardi's his friend,
Lombardi's got power. I think they'll it could be pretty rough.
They're pretty terse, blunt, you know, outspoken guys, both very
very talented. I know Mike Lombardi is very talented guy,
and I wish him both well. But it comes out tonight.
(09:14):
Belichick Steele has a buyout of only one million dollars
and he can leave after June first this year. Now,
he's not going to duh and nobody hires a coach
after June first, obviously, But I said today, I think
he's going to coach one year and go back and
(09:36):
get an offer in the NFL. And I think he's
going to hand it over to his son. So there's
some things that will come out in the contract. And
I do think Bill wanted the Bear's job. They're not interested.
I think he's really interested in the Jacksonville job. They're
not interested. Mike Rabel. By the way, and I talked
to Mike Brabel for about fifteen minutes this morning, and
(09:58):
I'm not going to give a lie details of that,
but you know, one of the things I told Mike,
I said, you're now the number one candidate. I'm just
not sure there are any jobs worthy of your coaching ability.
I think next year is a much more interesting year.
If you look at Zach Taylor Cincinnati, I think he'll
retain his job. I'm not sure if he'll retain it
(10:20):
if the Bengals have another season like this, keep your
eye on that. I think Mike McCarthy will keep his
job potentially, and so will Brian Dable. But both the
Giants with a Shador Sanders at quarterback and the Cowboys
could have openings. I think the openings this year too
many impulsive odd ownership executive areas Jets, Bears, Jacksonville. But
(10:44):
Belichick say it again. I said it on the air today.
I think he'll stay one year in Bolt his contract.
He could bolt after June first this year. He's not
going to. But my prediction he'll leave after one year.
And Bill Parcells twice broadcasting Bolted told people I'm going
to stay at Bolted. Bill's a coach. Sean Payton stayed
(11:04):
for a year, loved it. I mean, Sean really loved
working as an analyst. He left Bill Belichick's coach, and
I do think he'll I mean, I saw and talked
at length today about the schedule at North Carolina. The
a SEC is so bad. I mean, he gets Clemson
at home. They're not another game that he can't win.
Syracuse on the road could be little dicey, but so
(11:28):
it's just interesting. In order for that to be in
the contract, Bill Belichick demanded that it was in the
contract because, as I told you, Jimmy Sexton, the top
agent in college football, he's not sending his top clients there.
And Belichick's not represented by Jimmy Sexton. So this is
not a very highly coveted job because the push and
(11:49):
pull between kind of academics and football. The chancellor, I
think it's always been a little bit of a sleeping giant,
but it's had some good years with mac Brown the
first time and mac Brown the second time. But to
get that in the contract, you wanted it in the
contract and demanded it be in the contract. Okay, I've
never seen a contract stipulation like that that he could
(12:11):
leave basically after June first, and again, he's not leading
this year. That's never what I said, but I do
my prediction he will leave after one year. He would
deny that, obviously, But college football is I mean, you're
seeing on a weekly basis guys that love college football,
young coaches talk about how frustrating the portal, the lack
(12:35):
of regulations, and the NIL is. I still contend the
NIL should have about an eighteen million dollars salary cap.
NFL's got one. Otherwise you're going to get a separation
of Texas Band forty million and spending three I just
it will be. It will be, you know, even the
disparity between the top and the bottom will be even
greater than it is now. And it's pretty great now.
(12:58):
So that's the latest. Congrats to the Rams, gutt you win,
Stavord and McVeigh. That's why you pay him the big bucks.
Belichick's deal, that is a very interesting clause, one that
he wanted or he wouldn't have fought for it, and
one that North Carolina agreed with. North Carolina is telling you, hey,
just bringing you on campus, getting the publicity, elevating our
(13:22):
nil from four million to eighteen to twenty million, adding
a professional structure to our program. Hey, we appreciate it.
We need that the world's changing and we're not ready
for it. And if you're willing in one year, give
us at least one full year. And I think even
though that's in the contract, I think it's understood. Bill
wouldn't bolt June second. Nobody's hiring coaches. Then all right,
(13:45):
Chad Millman, here we go. Well, It's the most wonderful
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Speaker 2 (15:12):
Right time for another edition. We released this on Thursday
night and the YouTube channel or Friday on the podcast
Sharper Square. Chad Millman co host of the Favorites. All
of our odds provided by DraftKings, So last week a
lot of favorites were in favor for me and didn't
necessarily do well. I'm still surprised how the Rams played
(15:33):
perhaps the most flawless half too game of offensive football
by any team on the season. I was just watching
some clips of it today and they did everything right.
Nobody dropped a pass, ball, never hit the turf, no holding.
It was a thing of art. And it's interesting because
(15:54):
now this week you get the Bills getting two and
a half at the Lions, and I like the Bills here,
use they're getting Kincaid, the tight end is healthy, they're
getting Coleman back. It was almost as if it was
this Sandwich game, even though it's McVeigh and Stafford. You know,
Buffalo travels west. They know half the stadium is going
(16:16):
to be theirs. They're looking at that Detroit game even
though it's not an AFC or a divisional game. And
they had a couple of guys on the cusp that
could play or not, and they elected not, and they
got caught flat footed when the Rams played a flawless game.
So I like Buffalo plus two and a half now
sharper square.
Speaker 4 (16:36):
Well, the line has moved from one and a half
Detroit to two and a half Detroit. And I will
tell you that the majority of betting tickets have been
coming in on the Buffalo Bills. So when you see
a line move that goes in the direction of one
side that is opposite where the betting tickets are, that's
(17:00):
a reverse line move, and that sizes you. The professional
betters are on the Lions, and they've been on the
Lions at one and a half and two at two
and a half. You start to see the pressure point
you'll find an equal number who still like the Lions
at two and a half, and they take it up
to three, and you'll find the number of wise guys
who are coming in at two and a half on
the Bills and liking the Bills because they like Josh Allen.
(17:23):
I will tell you I'm a Lions backer. In this game,
I bettered at one and a half, I bettered at two.
As healthy as the Bills are starting to get with
players coming back, this may be the healthiest the Lions
have been in eight weeks. They could get a lot
of guys back on the defensive line that has just
been decimated over the past three to four weeks. Also,
(17:45):
the Lions haven't played on the road since November twenty
fourth at the Colts. They haven't played period for ten days.
You talk about the Bills, they just had a gauntlet, right,
They had the Chiefs, they had the Niners. Those were
massive games for them, getting over huge humps. They go
(18:06):
on the road, have an intense, nearly perfect game that
just isn't perfect enough against the Rams. Now they got
to go on the road again against what might be
the best team in the NFL, and they could face
them in the Super Bowl. So you know you're not
wrong by betting the Bills at two and a half.
But if you said I like the Lions, you'd be
(18:26):
on the sharp side too. It's a pretty even split
at this number. Just at this number.
Speaker 2 (18:32):
Okay, Steelers getting five and a half at the Eagles.
And the reason I like this is because Pittsburgh's mostly
been a pretty good team against the run. If you
look at what the Eagles have decided to do since
the buy, it is throw the ball less. Green Bay's
doing this too. They are a run first team, as
they should be. Their best player is Saq One. Their
second best player is AJ Brown. I think Pittsburgh can
(18:54):
have some vulnerabilities against the pass, but I don't think
Jalen hurts from the hocket. I mean, AJ Brown's not
happy he's only getting six and a half targets. Mike
Tomlin is the best underdog coach in the league. Four
and a half points. These two don't play very often.
It feels like a lot of points to a very
(19:15):
good roster. Even if Pittsburgh lost, If Pickens plays, they
have enough big play ability to back door cover. The
line seems out of whack. I'll take the Steelers Sharper square.
Speaker 1 (19:30):
Yeah, it's sharp.
Speaker 4 (19:31):
And this is what we talked about on the Favorites
podcast was why isn't this number three? Why isn't this
number three and a half? When the number is so
out of whack, you either are being asked to do
something that is too easy, which the books never do,
or you feel like you're missing something. I don't know
what we're missing here. Like you just mentioned, Tomlin is
(19:52):
the best underdog coach in the league. Tomlin is the
best underdog coach in a generation. Let's put this in perspective.
You win fifty three percent of your bets. You're an
incredible sports better, right, that's what you're looking for. So
when we talk about trends, and we talk about analytics
on certain opportunities and metrics and betting, if we can
(20:15):
find a trend that is fifty six percent against the
spread over in historically relevant period of time, you tend
to want to play that if all the other factors
are in your direction. Tomlin, he's sixty plus percent in
just about every category. As an underdog, you say, all right,
between three and seven two key numbers, sixty seven percent,
(20:37):
you say on the road, as a dog sixty four percent,
like you can't name a category where he's not sixty
plus percent. And then if you look at the matchup too,
you mentioned Saquan right, the Eagles are the only team
in the NFL that is running the ball at a
higher percenters and they're passing the ball, and I would
not think, oh my god, Jalen Hurts and AJ Brown
(20:58):
there's you know, strife and now they're getting along again.
Doesn't mean that Kellen Moore is going to change this
offense and all of a sudden try to make it so.
AJ Brown is getting more and more touches. This is
who they are. Jalen Hurst has throwing the fewest passes
in the NFL this year, So I would expect a
little scoring game wise. Guys are expecting a little scoring
game that plays to the advantage of the team that
(21:20):
is more than a field goal underdog.
Speaker 1 (21:22):
So yeah, that's the sharp side.
Speaker 2 (21:29):
I like the Broncos minus four, both teams off a bye.
I think Denver's got a really good defense now again,
Jamis Winston. I think you can beat it down the field.
That's not really what the Colts do. I think there
are ways to score on virtually every team in this league,
and I think Cleveland is one of those weird bad
(21:49):
teams that can be highly productive throwing the ball down
the field. But it should be noted in that game
denverly Denver eventually got picked sixes and turn the game
around with their defense. Is I think Anthony Richardson is
struggling with Shane steikn Look what Shane Steiken did with
Gardner Minshew Okay, Shane Steiken as a rookie with Justin
(22:13):
Herbert set records made Jalen Hurts an MVP level player
and he's pretty average from the pocket. That passing game
is limited, and I think it's limited because Anthony Richardson
may not be a pro starting quarterback. I get an
experience coach an excellent defense at home against a Dome team.
(22:36):
You know, I love the number four. It's probably square,
but I like Denver. Here, give me Sean Payton, Shanahan,
McVeigh read extra time, Sharper square.
Speaker 4 (22:47):
Yeah, you know the answer, It's totally square. The wise
guys love the Colts here. It's been bet down. It
was at four and a half, it's at four. It'll
probably go down to three and a half. If you
want to bet the Colts, get it now, because it's
only going.
Speaker 1 (23:03):
To go in their direction.
Speaker 4 (23:06):
You're right about the Broncos coming off a bye, and
there is a lot of public sentiment on the Broncos
right now. The last time anyone saw them, they were
winning in dramatic fashion against the Browns, right they were
getting two pick sixes, they were covering with a miracle
and interception in the end zone. The Broncos are covering
(23:27):
by five points per game. Historically, teams that are covering
by five points per game over the course of the
season once we get past Week five only covered about
a forty four percent clip against the spread. So there's
one trend to help the cause of the cults. But also,
I don't know that wise guys agree with you about
(23:48):
Anthony Richardson. I think there's a little bit of Bryce
Young sort of in the way he's come back from
being benched. Since he's come back, eighth rated passer to
Pro Football Focus, fourth in big plays according to Pro
Football Focus, big play throws according to Pro Football Focus.
(24:09):
So it's not as bad as you would think. And
I do think there's something key here. Remember what happened
with the Browns against the Broncos on that in that
primetime game, they didn't have Riley Moss at cornerback. They
had William Vance. Will In Vance he might have still
he might still be giving up touchdowns to Jerry Judy
as we speak, like he was getting torched in that game.
(24:31):
Riley Moss is the only guy who didn't practice this
week for the Broncos. So if he's not playing, I
think that's a severely diminished defense and it impacts what
they can do all across the board. So there's trend reasons.
There's inflation reasons. The line is just too high the
wise guys think uh. And there's some matchup reasons.
Speaker 2 (24:52):
Packers Seahawks is a really interesting game. Packers, like the Eagles,
have taken passing attempts away from Jordan Love in the
last this month. They're now a power run team that
makes far fewer mistakes. But Green Bay is like a
younger version of Philadelphia. They have just decided we're a
power run team. We do have weapons over the top,
but we're not going to let our quarterback throw more
than like twenty two to twenty four times, and we're
(25:14):
going to reduce the errors and when green Bay does
reduce the errors. They're really really good football team. I
like Seattle. I still don't think they're an elite team.
I think they're I think they're a playoff team, maybe
in a OK division. I think green Bay is absolutely
a playoff team in an excellent division. I like green
(25:36):
Bay minus two and a half Sharper.
Speaker 4 (25:38):
Square one sharp at two and a half, if it
gets to three is a pass.
Speaker 1 (25:44):
And if it gets to three.
Speaker 4 (25:46):
You know, the wise guys will probably want to bet
on Seattle. But at two and a half, it's one
hundred percent the Packers for the reasons you just stated,
and the most important thing, it's like playing SEC in
the mad right. The Packers are losing really close games
and winning really close games in the best division in football.
(26:09):
They are battle tested every single week. The Seahawks, they're
winning a flukey game against the Cardinals a few weeks ago,
then they're getting the Cardinals in a class at Kyler
Murray game last week, And they won a miraculous game
against the Jets, which they should have lost, but they
got Leonard Williams running a pick six back for you know,
(26:30):
ninety something yards, So they're much better teams since the
buy and credit to their coaching staff and everything they've done,
and they've improved their defense significantly and their offense. By
the way, you know Zach Charbiney and what he did
last week was a great match for how they want
to build their running scheme. But the wise guys like
the Packers here just so it's a better team. And
(26:51):
by the way, Matt Lafleor is a wizard when it
comes to covering the spread. It's very possible when fifteen
years if Matt laflour is still coaching the Packers, he's
got Mike Tomlin like stats as a favorite and as
an underdog covering the spread.
Speaker 2 (27:06):
Okay, game, I want you to tell me where to go?
Is Bears plus six and a half at the Viking.
So Minnesota is a really good team. But that game
with Atlanta was tied going into the fourth quarter. I've
seen them against teams like the Jags go zero for
five in the red zone. It's a good team with
a quarterback having a great year, but six and a
half is a lot. It's a divisional game, and the
(27:27):
Bears before that disaster in the Bay Area, which was
probably easier to predict than I would have admitted. I
do think they'll get back on track. I do think
they have a very good roster. This is again seems
out of whack six and a half. I mean, I
think it's I honestly see it as a go either
way game in the fourth quarter. Probably take the better
coaching staff, but sharper square Bears plus the points.
Speaker 4 (27:49):
So the Bear it's it's the sharp ish play only
because and we talk about this all the time in
the show, you want to get the best of the number.
Twenty four hours ago, this game was seven and a half,
and then it went down to seven, and now it's
down to six and a half.
Speaker 1 (28:04):
That alone tells you, Colin, that.
Speaker 4 (28:06):
You're on the sharp side if you're betting the Bears.
The number has been moving in their direction. The line
is way too inflated, and you're getting a very bilo
on the Bears. Sell high on the Vikings spot. The
Bears were a train wreck. They couldn't have looked any worse.
They were out of it against the Niners in the
(28:28):
first half, right, they had four total yards and they
had five punts, and the Niners had three hundred and
nineteen yards, whereas the Vikings. You're right, that game was
tied and they really blew it open in the fourth
quarter because of a couple bad plays and turnovers on
the part of the Falcons, not because of anything magical
that the Vikings did to run away with it, even
though Sam Darnold had an incredible game, But they have
(28:50):
had their hiccups. Brian Flor's defense has not been as
good in the second half of the year as it
was in the first half of the year. So yes,
you're on the sharp side, but it's a caution. Know
that if you're playing this number, you've given away some value.
Speaker 2 (29:04):
So I think the Titans getting four and a half
with the Bengals. Of my prediction is that's the ugly game.
I ask you every week for a game that I've missed.
My guess is the Titans a pretty good defensive team
at home, playing with pride against the Cincinnati team. You
can just move the ball. I mean, if not for
a gaff by the Cowboys special teams, We're going to
(29:27):
overtime against a very mediocre Dallas team with Cooper Rush
is Tennessee plus four and a half. The side here
is that the game I'm missing, well, certainly it's a
side like it was at five and it's come down.
Speaker 4 (29:40):
So that tells you the wise guys are betting on
the Titans, because certainly the public isn't going to be
betting on the Titans. It's a really tricky game. I
haven't touched this game one hundred percent. The value is
on the Titans. It's not the game I was going
to talk to you about. But the challenge here, You've
basically got a one dimensional Bengals team, right. All they
(30:01):
can really do is throw the ball to Higgins and
Chase Joe Burrow. Higgins, Joe Burrow's Chase. That's their game plan.
They can't really run the ball, they don't have a
screen game, they don't really have play action to speak of.
All of those things that could slow down a better
than average defense in the Titans, and they have no
defense to speak of. The problem is Will Levis. He's
(30:26):
not any better than Cooper Rush. Right, He's got a
better arm. Maybe he can fling it downfield further, but
he couldn't even beat up on the Jaguars at home
last week despite so many opportunities. So you're kind of
banking on the fact you're hoping that when there's an opening,
Will Levis can convert. You're going to take the Titans,
because if you're a better that's what you do.
Speaker 1 (30:46):
You bet.
Speaker 4 (30:47):
You bet the number, but know that you're you're playing
with fire here because you're not just betting the number
and you're betting Will Lews.
Speaker 2 (30:54):
All right, tell me the game I missed.
Speaker 4 (30:56):
You didn't talk about Cleveland and Kansas City. Bridge dropped
from six and a half to four and a half.
Speaker 2 (31:04):
So the Browns are the side.
Speaker 4 (31:06):
The Browns have been the side. The Browns are the
side until it gets to about three and a half.
Speaker 1 (31:11):
And this one.
Speaker 4 (31:12):
You know, in the betting community, there's two things that
are sort of scary right now. It's the frequency and
regularity with which you can count on fading Patrick Mahomes
when he's a favorite of more than three, and the
frequency and regularity with which you can count on betting
Mike Tomlin as an underdog. I said, percentage wise, if
(31:37):
something is happening six out of ten times, which is
basically what is happening with both of those categories, Tomlin
is a dog, Mahomes is a favorite of more than three,
it manages that four times those bets are going to
lose this year that they haven't been losing at all,
And so wise guys know in this spot, the spot
(31:58):
is to play Cleveland. But it's a little bit scarier
because you keep waiting for the other shoot to drop.
A lot of guys, including myself, about what happened last
week against the Chargers.
Speaker 1 (32:07):
No JK.
Speaker 4 (32:08):
Dobbins, no Lad McConkey, and it looked like it was
going to and then again the Chiefs kind of fell
apart because they have no protection in the offensive line.
So the Browns pressure the ball, pressure the quarterback more
than the Chargers and are better at it. And meanwhile
the Chiefs now they're sending guys off the street to
play in the defensive backfield. And if you want to
(32:31):
talk about a quarterback who could have a good time
slinging it against a wonky defensive backfield, let's talk about jams. Now,
are you potentially going to suffer a pick six that
can ruin it for you? Sure, but the wise guys
are willing to literally make that bet. So they're playing Cleveland.
Speaker 2 (32:57):
You know, I know the games a couple of weeks away,
but I I think it's really interesting the Ohio State
hosting Tennessee first round playoff game to me is one
of the more fascinating games ever. So you take a
warm weather team from Knoxville and everybody's having to wait
for the playoff to start. That means the weather's getting uglier.
(33:19):
My wife was in Chicago to the day and she's like,
it is cold. So you take a warm weather SEC
team up to a superior roster. I believe in Ohio State.
You get an Ohio State team that's got a little
insecurity and lack of identity off a historically bad loss,
so they'll play with incredible intensity and focus. You know,
(33:41):
Ohio State really is coming with their hair on fire. Yeah,
and now Ohio State's O line is the weak unit
on their roster, and the D line for the volunteers
is the strength of their roster. The weather could play
aff factor. Ohio State's greatest asset is their vertical nature.
(34:02):
On the perimeter. It could be thirty eight degrees and windy.
I looked at the forecast. Now it's fourteen days out
or twelve days or ten days. I looked at it
about four days ago and I'm like, oh, it's going
to be forty one degrees and wet. How does the
betting community or have they looked at that game?
Speaker 4 (34:18):
Well, right now the number is seven and a half.
People have been talking about it. I think there's a
lot of circumstances still to go. I'm looking in the
app right now, not a ton of action on the
game at this point, and like this is so early
you can't really take anything of it. Majority of money
(34:40):
and tickets are on Tennessee. I also think a week
spot for the for Ohio State is their quarterback, Like
he's not sort of an elite passer who can take
advantage of the talent they have, the elite talent, you know,
top round, first round draft pick talent they have at
Ohio State. You and I have talked about Ohio State
(35:03):
a lot and Ryan Day. The AD came out today
and said he supports Ryan Day.
Speaker 1 (35:09):
He wants Ryan Day to be back as the head coach.
Speaker 4 (35:13):
Like I think there's so much tension inside that community
right now about not just beating Tennessee, but the having
to advance that his teams have shown up and played
type in big games.
Speaker 1 (35:29):
They play type.
Speaker 4 (35:31):
So if you're seeing the early numbers come in on Tennessee,
I think it's partly a fade of Ryan Day's ability
to have his team play loose and take full advantage
of the talent that they have on their roster.
Speaker 2 (35:44):
Let's talk about Belichick. I saw today an incredibly weak schedule.
Next year they have Clemson at home and then Syracuse
on the road, but it screams ten wins. They don't
have a quarterback, the old line's a bit of a mess.
He's bringing in Mike Lombardi to be like his GM.
They're going to use a pro model. I don't think
high school recruiting will be I don't even think they're
(36:05):
going to fake it. I think it's going to be
an eighty twenty transfer portal team. I don't even think
they're going to fake it because I don't really think
this is a long term proposition. In fact, I wouldn't
be shocked if after a year Belichick moves back to
the Pro League and his son takes over. I really
don't see this as a long term proposition. I think
the administration, the transfer portal, the fluid nil the needy donors,
(36:32):
clueless administrators, angry lacrosse coach who's not getting attention. I
could see Belichick after a year saying, guys, I got
nine wins, ten wins, I'm back to the NFL over
under six and a half I thought was like and
generally I bet unders on future bets like this year,
I took Denver in the over. Last year I took
(36:53):
Rams in the over. I think there's about one gem.
Three years ago I took Minnesota. They became thirteen and three.
Got those right. I also like Washington, but generally there's
about one great over a year, and then I just
bet unders. Is the betting community reacting to all six
and a half seems in a really really weak conference,
(37:14):
seems weirdly low.
Speaker 4 (37:17):
Well, look, we're hours into this. There's no real reaction
if we're talking about North Carolina season wind totals at
six and a half because of Bill Belichick. I agree
with your theory. I agree with your premise. The one
thing I would say is I think it's fascinating that
(37:37):
he's doing this and the way he's talking about it
as a treating it like a professional program and bringing
GMS in. He's basically getting the old band back together
right from the Patriot circa, you know, two thousand and five.
I think it's it's fundamentally brilliant because he's going to
(38:00):
run it the way he said the other day on McAfee,
like he's going to run it like it's a professional organization,
which is what's driving a lot of the college coaches out.
So this is a huge advantage for him. He's managing
a salary cap. He's trying to bring in the best
possible talent that are free agents within the college football community. Like,
(38:21):
this is what the guy has been doing for years,
and he will be able to do it in a
way that, at least for a year or two, will
have the shine of Bill Belichick, greatest coach ever, and
there will be so many people who are high profile
players who are going to be interested in seeing what
that experience is like. Can he bradify anybody? I think
it's great. So as a fun flyer, for sure, I
(38:44):
would take over six and a half.
Speaker 1 (38:47):
You know.
Speaker 2 (38:47):
It's what's really interesting about this transfer portal. Deon Sanders,
Brian Kelly, and Lincoln Riley have found this out. You
could improve the talent near roster, but it's very hard
to improve chemistry when you're basically hiring one year to
the pro players. Oregon what's really interesting. Oregon got away
(39:10):
with it, but almost lost to Idaho and Boise State
early now by, and this is a program with excellent
high school recruiting and a great staff. But if you
go back to the first two games for Oregon, they
were awful because they were moving around offensive line pieces.
They just on sheer talent got away with it. LSU
(39:31):
and USC did not. Colorado did not eventually, So the
transfer portal, even for the teams that win with it,
I mean Ohio State, Will Howard's not as good as
they thought. He was passing against big twelve teams. What
do you know, Big ten defenses are better, Big ten
stadiums are louder, Big ten defensive coaching staffs are better.
(39:54):
Will Howard looks really ordinary. He didn't at Kansas State.
I watched them and thought it was a great pickup.
So it's interesting the transfer portal. Belichick, though, has dealt
with pro athletes, and that's essentially like Ole Miss. They
just went and bought a pro team and Lane Kiffin,
by the way, that's why it's worked because he's got
pro experience. So my guess is the personal and coaching
(40:15):
will work. I think the personality fit. You know, he's
kind of a terse Northeast, confrontational guy. And you know
these colleges, I forget the word woke. You know, they're
a little PC and people they're very tribal. People have
their territory and you go, you walk in. It's not
(40:36):
just the professors who are tenured. You have decade old administrators.
He does not care about that. He's not going to
any volleyball galas. He doesn't care. So I can see
that really wearing him and UNC out in eighteen months.
Speaker 4 (40:53):
So Seth Wickersham, who you've had on your show A ladder.
He's great, brilliant right our ESPN. He's a great story
on ESPN dot com today with a little bit of
insight and insight info on the process and what the
NFL was thinking about Belichick, and you know, he did
an amazing story. When Belichick didn't get any jobs about
it seemed like gms and owners were kind of dancing on.
Speaker 1 (41:14):
Belichick's grave a little bit.
Speaker 4 (41:17):
And the fact that he didn't get any offers and
the Falcon saying he wasn't even in their top three
of candidates at the end of the day after the
interview process. So to me, this feels like and he
pointed out Belichick has a reverence for teaching. And you
know the book that Haberstam wrote, David Harberstam wrote about
(41:39):
Belichick and Seth wrote all about this. I'm just cribbing
from his story was called The Education of the Coach.
His dad was essentially his professor, right, And so I
do think there was something for Belichick about going to
college and being able to shape people from the beginning. Remember,
he was drafting guys that he could turn into Super
(42:03):
Bowl champions, Chuck Knowle, the Chuck no Way was draft
guys who you can mold, who can turn into the
players you want them to be, who don't have bad habits.
I wrote a whole book about this, about the Steelers
and the Cowboys rivalry, and Chuck Noll was brilliant at this.
So Belichick going to college, even if he's getting guys
(42:23):
from a transfer portal, if you're going to play for Belichick,
you want a certain style of coaching and you want
to know what it takes to get the NFL. You
are going to be listening to what bell Belichick and
whoever he puts on staff with him will be saying
you will be moldable, you will be coachable. And I
think if you're North Carolina, you know what you're getting
(42:43):
and you're staying out of the way. And if it's
a year, if it's two years, whatever it is, you're
not going to get gruff from ten yured professors. You're
not going to get gruff from people who don't care
about football and are annoyed at the attention he's getting.
You know what you're getting with Bill Belichick, and you're
going to suck it up and accept it, and he's
going to bring you victories and shine to your football
program until he decides to go back the NFL and
(43:05):
get down Shower's record.
Speaker 2 (43:08):
By the way, before we go, there's been a lot
of UAP and UFO sidings in New Jersey, so I
always have I don't believe in UFOs. What I do
believe is that our government lies to us often to
protect us from adversaries or to hide suppress information, to
(43:30):
hide technology. They did this with a stealth for years,
So I basically think these are super drones that we're
experimenting with, our government is experimenting with, and they put
him in a high a location with a lot of
media by the water and to see the reaction from
people and see how they look, how people react. They're
(43:52):
super drones, drones that our government's been working on, and
they probably one hundred and fifty miles offshore, probably release them,
you know, one of our you know, giant jets goes
out there, government jets and releases ten into the sky
and they you know, they play around for a while
and then they come back go back offshore. That's my
(44:14):
guess on what it is. If you had to guess,
is the world ending or is it some international or
government program.
Speaker 4 (44:23):
There's a lot to unpack there and believe it or not.
I have so many theories. I think about this so much.
Number one, I am essentially a p doomer. I do
believe that there is a point in the not too
distant future, one hundred years, two hundred years, I don't know,
in which the world will come to an end because
(44:45):
of some catastrophic whether it's technological, environmental moment right number one.
Number two, I also agree the government oftentimes will be
screwing around with us in some kind of program. I'm
not like a you know, deep government, dark government conspiracy
(45:08):
theorist I don't believe there are people who are actively
trying to manipulate outcomes and all those kinds of things.
I am I one hundred percent believe there is alien life,
and there is intelligent life that is working at a
higher capacity, with more intellectual capacity than humans. And for
(45:33):
all we know, they could already be here. It could
be sharks. Right, How arrogant do you have to be
to not think that there could be somebody higher on
the intellectual food chain than us. We have explored so
little of the galaxies to understand what intelligent life is.
(45:58):
And like I, Carl Sagan is one of the most
brilliant people who ever lived. He believed that there would
be some form of intelligent life and that there is
some form of intelligent life outside of known humanity. If
he believes that, I believe in.
Speaker 2 (46:16):
But how do we know they're smarter? I think there's
something out there, But how do we know they don't
have the IQ equivalency of like the Jersey Shore cast.
Speaker 4 (46:25):
Well, number one, don't don't discount those Jersey Shore folks
because they have made a killing like they are killing
figured out how to be bankable number one. Number two,
we don't know that, But then you have to ask
the other question, how do we know they're not smarter?
Speaker 1 (46:40):
And I think it's a.
Speaker 2 (46:41):
Better story that they're super geniuses it I think it's
I think it's a better story.
Speaker 1 (46:47):
Well, it also could be true, like we want to
believe like that. You're right.
Speaker 4 (46:52):
The narrative, the science fiction of it all, is that
they're out there, they're smarter, They're going to come to Earth.
They will attack us, they will destroy us, they will
use us as puppets. You know, all the independence to
the philosophies, all that kind of stuff. Here's what I'm
saying to you. Are they here already? That's the question.
(47:17):
Why are we so arrogant is to believe that they're
not already here? How do we know they're not sharks?
Speaker 2 (47:24):
I don't think it's arrogant. I think if we saw them,
or we had things that led us to believe they
were here, that we would believe it. But I think
there are so many there's so many grifters on the
Internet that are bored out of their mind, and there's
been so many obviously inauthentic or fake UFO videos that
(47:47):
most people are appropriately cynical. I am I think I'm
appropriately cynical. There are more videos now than ever. I
have seen some in the last two or three weeks.
There was the Pentagon video the TikTok based tic Tac
(48:07):
basically over the Pacific, which is, you know, it's hard
to explain. And those were really genuinely perplexed fighter pilots,
you know, and they're up in the sky, so that
stuff's you know, that's obviously something could be China. And
I've this stuff in New Jersey. I mean, you can
tell when somebody's faking it, and you can tell when
it's a husband and a wife having a margarita and
(48:28):
they're like, what the f is that and they're just laughing.
You know, you can tell when it's real and when
it's posers. But I tend to go back to I
think it's a government plane one hundred and fifty miles
off shore, releasing super drones and just looking for the reaction.
How visible, How does our government track them? I think
I think our government does a lot of testing, Our
(48:50):
military does testing, The Pentagon does testing, and they just
don't tell us.
Speaker 4 (48:53):
Yeah, but I don't I agree it could be super
drones and things like that. I don't think it's because
they're trying to test for a reaction. And I think
they're probably trying to test for whatever militaristic use there
is for something like this and how they can be deployed.
That is separate from there is some kind of alien
life probably living among us right now.
Speaker 1 (49:15):
I just I believe it.
Speaker 4 (49:18):
And if it's not here yet, it's out there somewhere,
and it could be more intelligent than us might not be.
I don't mind listening to your theory and subscribe to
that either. But I'm telling you, we're not alone, Colin.
We're just that, we're just not alone. And I'm okay
with it. I'm totally okay with it. I'm like, there's
plenty of room. Like I don't subscribe to the theory
(49:41):
that they have to be after us and they want
to be controlling us. We can all peacefully coexist. I
love love, Why can't we all just get along?
Speaker 2 (49:50):
Listen? I was there's a man that has died three
separate times and come back to life. He's all over
the internet, you know, and his he goes again against
the grain and says, there is no hell. I've experienced
it three times. What you do is go through the
moments of your life and your bad interactions and when
(50:11):
you were rude and when you were mean, and that
is the hell that you have to revisit, those situations
when you were unkind and unwelcoming. There is no fiery pit.
It's a series of confrontations looking back at yourself and
the moments you misstepped. And that is punishment and it's painful.
(50:33):
And I hear that, and I think now that seems
much more realistic to somebody who's died, been unconscious three
different times and come back to life. So one of
the things I've always thought about, if there is life
beyond us, I think they would enter. I think they
would enter and house themselves in the water, because it's
(50:53):
the one part of this planet. First of all, it's
the largest part, it's the most unexplored part. There's not
as many telescopes facing down is up, and it is
basically uninhabited. It's easier to hide and you can travel
very well. You know, submarines everywhere. So I always thought
(51:14):
if there was another society, that's where you'd hide. And
that's so when I see videos, they're often near the water.
You don't see you see them so often on coastlines,
and Virginia's in New Jerseys, in California's in Mexico. And
it's like, what's the theme. You don't see them in Ottawa,
you see them near water. You don't see them in
(51:37):
ye I mean you really don't. You don't see them
in Kansas very much. So that leads me to believe
there is some water connection.
Speaker 1 (51:44):
I got two things to say to you.
Speaker 4 (51:45):
Number One, what that guy on the internet is talking
about how Die three times one hundred percent in alien
Number two, i'm telling you underwater I agree it's the sharks.
I'm just saying the sharks they could just be alien
life forms.
Speaker 2 (52:04):
I'm gonna have to sleep on that one, Okay.
Speaker 1 (52:07):
Get back to me.
Speaker 2 (52:08):
Sharper Sharper square chatted Melmane could see anybody?
Speaker 1 (52:11):
All right, brother, I'll talk to you later.
Speaker 3 (52:16):
The volume
The volume.
Speaker 2 (00:04):
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(01:15):
instant reaction. We have all sorts of stuff I'm gonna
give you about twelve to fifteen minutes on the Rams Niners,
and some Belichick thoughts something was uncovered tonight. That's fascinating.
Chad Millman, Sharper Square. We're gonna also talk Belichick and UFOs.
You know why not. So the Rams beat the forty
nine ers twelve to six. So the first thing is
(01:36):
I did I stayed away from this game. I wouldn't
touch it. I could have done a DraftKings bet, I said,
I there's too many injuries, weather, it's shaky, and the
Rams just played a flawless football game against Buffalo. Then
you got to get on a plane Wednesday, flight to
arrival division game like added no what? I just I
knew the Rams were gonna be off. You cannot play
(01:58):
a game against a team like Buffalo, a high stakes
game and be flawless, even with men. This isn't college.
But to go on the road against your rival Green
Laws back Bosa played. So they won and you have
to be healthy. But they won and you have to
be happy. But here's the thing. So all these wide receivers,
(02:18):
do you know Tyreek Hill, Jamar Chase, and Deebo Samuel's
record this year seventeen and twenty three. Top five rushing
teams are all right now in the playoffs, you gotta
be careful with DIVA wide receivers. Deebo wants the ball.
Oh Debo can't catch the ball tonight on an underneath
(02:40):
route where he had a chance to peel off a
huge play, potentially a touchdown, and they settled for a
field goal. You could clearly see the Niners trying to
appease Debo and get in the ball and force it.
I like him better as a running back than a
receiver anyway. I think his yards after the catch and
his running ability is much greater than his separation ability.
(03:02):
I think he's become sort of a banged up poor
man's and Kwon Bolden that you know doesn't separate. But
he's physically tough and a nice player. But this is
so you have young brock Purdy, you know, doesn't want
to lose Debo. Ayyuk's already out for the year. Trent Williams,
Christian McCaffrey hurt. So Deebo picks the worst time to,
you know, be high maintenance because you know pretty's young.
(03:26):
He doesn't have Ayyuk. You know, Kittle is tremendous, but
a lot of teams now are taking him out and
spending a lot of coverage on him. So they forced
a debo and this is what you get. Biggest game
of the year for the Niners, one hundred and ninety
seven total yards. You know it, brock pretty in thirteen starts.
Everybody talks about him getting paid big money. It's a
(03:47):
big mistake. I don't buy it. I never have. Doesn't
have Christian McCaffrey, doesn't have Trent Williams in thirteen starts
this year, fifteen touchdowns, nine picks, and you want to
pay him fifty five million dollars the minute you take
away his best players. He is a guy. He didn't
get passed by everybody in this draft. You know, during
(04:09):
Tom Brady's run, there were more sleepers. You find occasional sleepers,
but scouting departments now are much more sophisticated. You know,
in Brady's era, you didn't have all the YouTube stuff.
You didn't have the ability to see some of these
college games. They're all on television. Now, it's just really
hard to hide people. Staffs are bigger, Scouting departments are bigger.
(04:32):
There's just more sophistication. You know, Rock Purty dropped to
the seventh round. He's small, he doesn't have a big arm.
He's athletic but not special. Hands are a bit small,
you know, And you're watching a guy that when you
lose people, what do you get? And conversely, tonight, Matt
Stafford very very rough first half. I mean it was
(04:52):
like the Niners defense had the Rams playbook. They knew
where he was. He was just trying to beg in
to throw an interception. And yet he showed exactly why
he's a real franchise player on those big drives late third,
early fourth quarter, using his feet two or three times
ducking out of stuff, really big third down throw. I
wrote this big third down throw to Colby Parkinson late
(05:16):
whereas pretty previously in the fourth quarter had a really
really ugly end zone pick. You saw the real separation
here Rams, short week of a highly emotional game on
the road division rival. Neither team has their fastball. Stafford
in the second half after a shaky first really made
(05:39):
all the big throws. And because the coaches are both great,
the offensive lines are good, not great, And that's the
separation between the two. Yeah, I'm looking at this two
big drives Stafford in the second half. That's the ball game.
And you know, people, people think I'm anti Purty no,
but somebody's got to pop the balloon on this nonsense.
(06:03):
I think Pretty is a less athletic Dak. Now, Dak
after a second surgery here is going to be even
less athletic. He lost mobility after his first surgery. He'll
be less athletic. You're seeing what it's doing to Aaron Rodgers.
You're saying what it's doing to Kirk Cousins. He's younger,
but he won't be the same. And this is what
holds the Cowboys back. They're paying a B quarterback A
(06:24):
plus money. If you pay Pretty A minus money, he's
a he's a B quarterback. You just still want to
get into that space. Pittsburg will probably pay Russell Wilson.
They're going to pay him B quarterback money. Darnold could
be franchise tag for forty million, forty one million, but
that's B quarterback money. And I've said this, I wrote
the Niners obituary three or four weeks ago. I don't
(06:47):
think this is a tweak. I don't think it's a tweak.
I think I both Ayuk and Deebo are now pretty verbal.
Don't neither seems terribly happy. Kittle's horrific, but he's a
tight end. He is aging. Trent Williams doesn't have much
left on the tires, so I think they have to
(07:07):
rebuild both offensive lines. And conversely, the Rams are really
well coached. I said, outside of the Lions, I'm not
sure there's a team in the league that has a
better offensive head coach, quarterback, star running back, and two
elite receivers. And they're doing it without Tyler higgsby their
(07:28):
top tight end, who is coming back soon. So is
the Rams. Offensive line has gotten healthier over the last month.
Stafford's been exceptional. You noticed it tonight. He had better protection.
Now they're getting their tight end back to go along
with Colby Parkinson and David Allen, So all of a sudden,
now the Rams are healthy down the stretch, and I
(07:50):
think they can play with anybody. Now. They're defense, they're
a little like the Packers. They feel like they're a
tad young. The Packers are young on offense. The Rams
feel a little young on defense, and they still need
a number one corner in the draft. But this is
a real RAMS team, and I think they solidified their
playoffs tonight. It's a quarterback coach league, and nothing against Shanahan,
but he's got pretty and Stafford and McVeigh are another level.
(08:14):
So congratulations. So I want to add this because this
came down tonight. So Chad Melbourne and I talks in Belichick,
but I didn't have this information. So I made the
prediction today on FS one. I said, my take is
Bill Belichick, easy schedule Carolina. It's going to win eight
or nine games and maybe get to the playoff, but
(08:34):
get to a big Bowl. But I don't necessarily think
he'll coach in that bowl. I think Belichick is going
to get irritated. His coaching and his structure and the
personnel with Mike Lombardi will be fine. I don't think
those guys are long term fits at the college level.
They've got a very Charlie weissfield but even more blunt,
(08:54):
and Belichick's got so much power, and because Lombardi's his friend,
Lombardi's got power. I think they'll it could be pretty rough.
They're pretty terse, blunt, you know, outspoken guys, both very
very talented. I know Mike Lombardi is very talented guy,
and I wish him both well. But it comes out tonight.
(09:14):
Belichick Steele has a buyout of only one million dollars
and he can leave after June first this year. Now,
he's not going to duh and nobody hires a coach
after June first, obviously, But I said today, I think
he's going to coach one year and go back and
(09:36):
get an offer in the NFL. And I think he's
going to hand it over to his son. So there's
some things that will come out in the contract. And
I do think Bill wanted the Bear's job. They're not interested.
I think he's really interested in the Jacksonville job. They're
not interested. Mike Rabel. By the way, and I talked
to Mike Brabel for about fifteen minutes this morning, and
(09:58):
I'm not going to give a lie details of that,
but you know, one of the things I told Mike,
I said, you're now the number one candidate. I'm just
not sure there are any jobs worthy of your coaching ability.
I think next year is a much more interesting year.
If you look at Zach Taylor Cincinnati, I think he'll
retain his job. I'm not sure if he'll retain it
(10:20):
if the Bengals have another season like this, keep your
eye on that. I think Mike McCarthy will keep his
job potentially, and so will Brian Dable. But both the
Giants with a Shador Sanders at quarterback and the Cowboys
could have openings. I think the openings this year too
many impulsive odd ownership executive areas Jets, Bears, Jacksonville. But
(10:44):
Belichick say it again. I said it on the air today.
I think he'll stay one year in Bolt his contract.
He could bolt after June first this year. He's not
going to. But my prediction he'll leave after one year.
And Bill Parcells twice broadcasting Bolted told people I'm going
to stay at Bolted. Bill's a coach. Sean Payton stayed
(11:04):
for a year, loved it. I mean, Sean really loved
working as an analyst. He left Bill Belichick's coach, and
I do think he'll I mean, I saw and talked
at length today about the schedule at North Carolina. The
a SEC is so bad. I mean, he gets Clemson
at home. They're not another game that he can't win.
Syracuse on the road could be little dicey, but so
(11:28):
it's just interesting. In order for that to be in
the contract, Bill Belichick demanded that it was in the
contract because, as I told you, Jimmy Sexton, the top
agent in college football, he's not sending his top clients there.
And Belichick's not represented by Jimmy Sexton. So this is
not a very highly coveted job because the push and
(11:49):
pull between kind of academics and football. The chancellor, I
think it's always been a little bit of a sleeping giant,
but it's had some good years with mac Brown the
first time and mac Brown the second time. But to
get that in the contract, you wanted it in the
contract and demanded it be in the contract. Okay, I've
never seen a contract stipulation like that that he could
(12:11):
leave basically after June first, and again, he's not leading
this year. That's never what I said, but I do
my prediction he will leave after one year. He would
deny that, obviously, But college football is I mean, you're
seeing on a weekly basis guys that love college football,
young coaches talk about how frustrating the portal, the lack
(12:35):
of regulations, and the NIL is. I still contend the
NIL should have about an eighteen million dollars salary cap.
NFL's got one. Otherwise you're going to get a separation
of Texas Band forty million and spending three I just
it will be. It will be, you know, even the
disparity between the top and the bottom will be even
greater than it is now. And it's pretty great now.
(12:58):
So that's the latest. Congrats to the Rams, gutt you win,
Stavord and McVeigh. That's why you pay him the big bucks.
Belichick's deal, that is a very interesting clause, one that
he wanted or he wouldn't have fought for it, and
one that North Carolina agreed with. North Carolina is telling you, hey,
just bringing you on campus, getting the publicity, elevating our
(13:22):
nil from four million to eighteen to twenty million, adding
a professional structure to our program. Hey, we appreciate it.
We need that the world's changing and we're not ready
for it. And if you're willing in one year, give
us at least one full year. And I think even
though that's in the contract, I think it's understood. Bill
wouldn't bolt June second. Nobody's hiring coaches. Then all right,
(13:45):
Chad Millman, here we go. Well, It's the most wonderful
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Speaker 2 (15:12):
Right time for another edition. We released this on Thursday
night and the YouTube channel or Friday on the podcast
Sharper Square. Chad Millman co host of the Favorites. All
of our odds provided by DraftKings, So last week a
lot of favorites were in favor for me and didn't
necessarily do well. I'm still surprised how the Rams played
(15:33):
perhaps the most flawless half too game of offensive football
by any team on the season. I was just watching
some clips of it today and they did everything right.
Nobody dropped a pass, ball, never hit the turf, no holding.
It was a thing of art. And it's interesting because
(15:54):
now this week you get the Bills getting two and
a half at the Lions, and I like the Bills here,
use they're getting Kincaid, the tight end is healthy, they're
getting Coleman back. It was almost as if it was
this Sandwich game, even though it's McVeigh and Stafford. You know,
Buffalo travels west. They know half the stadium is going
(16:16):
to be theirs. They're looking at that Detroit game even
though it's not an AFC or a divisional game. And
they had a couple of guys on the cusp that
could play or not, and they elected not, and they
got caught flat footed when the Rams played a flawless game.
So I like Buffalo plus two and a half now
sharper square.
Speaker 4 (16:36):
Well, the line has moved from one and a half
Detroit to two and a half Detroit. And I will
tell you that the majority of betting tickets have been
coming in on the Buffalo Bills. So when you see
a line move that goes in the direction of one
side that is opposite where the betting tickets are, that's
(17:00):
a reverse line move, and that sizes you. The professional
betters are on the Lions, and they've been on the
Lions at one and a half and two at two
and a half. You start to see the pressure point
you'll find an equal number who still like the Lions
at two and a half, and they take it up
to three, and you'll find the number of wise guys
who are coming in at two and a half on
the Bills and liking the Bills because they like Josh Allen.
(17:23):
I will tell you I'm a Lions backer. In this game,
I bettered at one and a half, I bettered at two.
As healthy as the Bills are starting to get with
players coming back, this may be the healthiest the Lions
have been in eight weeks. They could get a lot
of guys back on the defensive line that has just
been decimated over the past three to four weeks. Also,
(17:45):
the Lions haven't played on the road since November twenty
fourth at the Colts. They haven't played period for ten days.
You talk about the Bills, they just had a gauntlet, right,
They had the Chiefs, they had the Niners. Those were
massive games for them, getting over huge humps. They go
(18:06):
on the road, have an intense, nearly perfect game that
just isn't perfect enough against the Rams. Now they got
to go on the road again against what might be
the best team in the NFL, and they could face
them in the Super Bowl. So you know you're not
wrong by betting the Bills at two and a half.
But if you said I like the Lions, you'd be
(18:26):
on the sharp side too. It's a pretty even split
at this number. Just at this number.
Speaker 2 (18:32):
Okay, Steelers getting five and a half at the Eagles.
And the reason I like this is because Pittsburgh's mostly
been a pretty good team against the run. If you
look at what the Eagles have decided to do since
the buy, it is throw the ball less. Green Bay's
doing this too. They are a run first team, as
they should be. Their best player is Saq One. Their
second best player is AJ Brown. I think Pittsburgh can
(18:54):
have some vulnerabilities against the pass, but I don't think
Jalen hurts from the hocket. I mean, AJ Brown's not
happy he's only getting six and a half targets. Mike
Tomlin is the best underdog coach in the league. Four
and a half points. These two don't play very often.
It feels like a lot of points to a very
(19:15):
good roster. Even if Pittsburgh lost, If Pickens plays, they
have enough big play ability to back door cover. The
line seems out of whack. I'll take the Steelers Sharper square.
Speaker 1 (19:30):
Yeah, it's sharp.
Speaker 4 (19:31):
And this is what we talked about on the Favorites
podcast was why isn't this number three? Why isn't this
number three and a half? When the number is so
out of whack, you either are being asked to do
something that is too easy, which the books never do,
or you feel like you're missing something. I don't know
what we're missing here. Like you just mentioned, Tomlin is
(19:52):
the best underdog coach in the league. Tomlin is the
best underdog coach in a generation. Let's put this in perspective.
You win fifty three percent of your bets. You're an
incredible sports better, right, that's what you're looking for. So
when we talk about trends, and we talk about analytics
on certain opportunities and metrics and betting, if we can
(20:15):
find a trend that is fifty six percent against the
spread over in historically relevant period of time, you tend
to want to play that if all the other factors
are in your direction. Tomlin, he's sixty plus percent in
just about every category. As an underdog, you say, all right,
between three and seven two key numbers, sixty seven percent,
(20:37):
you say on the road, as a dog sixty four percent,
like you can't name a category where he's not sixty
plus percent. And then if you look at the matchup too,
you mentioned Saquan right, the Eagles are the only team
in the NFL that is running the ball at a
higher percenters and they're passing the ball, and I would
not think, oh my god, Jalen Hurts and AJ Brown
(20:58):
there's you know, strife and now they're getting along again.
Doesn't mean that Kellen Moore is going to change this
offense and all of a sudden try to make it so.
AJ Brown is getting more and more touches. This is
who they are. Jalen Hurst has throwing the fewest passes
in the NFL this year, So I would expect a
little scoring game wise. Guys are expecting a little scoring
game that plays to the advantage of the team that
(21:20):
is more than a field goal underdog.
Speaker 1 (21:22):
So yeah, that's the sharp side.
Speaker 2 (21:29):
I like the Broncos minus four, both teams off a bye.
I think Denver's got a really good defense now again,
Jamis Winston. I think you can beat it down the field.
That's not really what the Colts do. I think there
are ways to score on virtually every team in this league,
and I think Cleveland is one of those weird bad
(21:49):
teams that can be highly productive throwing the ball down
the field. But it should be noted in that game
denverly Denver eventually got picked sixes and turn the game
around with their defense. Is I think Anthony Richardson is
struggling with Shane steikn Look what Shane Steiken did with
Gardner Minshew Okay, Shane Steiken as a rookie with Justin
(22:13):
Herbert set records made Jalen Hurts an MVP level player
and he's pretty average from the pocket. That passing game
is limited, and I think it's limited because Anthony Richardson
may not be a pro starting quarterback. I get an
experience coach an excellent defense at home against a Dome team.
(22:36):
You know, I love the number four. It's probably square,
but I like Denver. Here, give me Sean Payton, Shanahan,
McVeigh read extra time, Sharper square.
Speaker 4 (22:47):
Yeah, you know the answer, It's totally square. The wise
guys love the Colts here. It's been bet down. It
was at four and a half, it's at four. It'll
probably go down to three and a half. If you
want to bet the Colts, get it now, because it's
only going.
Speaker 1 (23:03):
To go in their direction.
Speaker 4 (23:06):
You're right about the Broncos coming off a bye, and
there is a lot of public sentiment on the Broncos
right now. The last time anyone saw them, they were
winning in dramatic fashion against the Browns, right they were
getting two pick sixes, they were covering with a miracle
and interception in the end zone. The Broncos are covering
(23:27):
by five points per game. Historically, teams that are covering
by five points per game over the course of the
season once we get past Week five only covered about
a forty four percent clip against the spread. So there's
one trend to help the cause of the cults. But also,
I don't know that wise guys agree with you about
(23:48):
Anthony Richardson. I think there's a little bit of Bryce
Young sort of in the way he's come back from
being benched. Since he's come back, eighth rated passer to
Pro Football Focus, fourth in big plays according to Pro
Football Focus, big play throws according to Pro Football Focus.
(24:09):
So it's not as bad as you would think. And
I do think there's something key here. Remember what happened
with the Browns against the Broncos on that in that
primetime game, they didn't have Riley Moss at cornerback. They
had William Vance. Will In Vance he might have still
he might still be giving up touchdowns to Jerry Judy
as we speak, like he was getting torched in that game.
(24:31):
Riley Moss is the only guy who didn't practice this
week for the Broncos. So if he's not playing, I
think that's a severely diminished defense and it impacts what
they can do all across the board. So there's trend reasons.
There's inflation reasons. The line is just too high the
wise guys think uh. And there's some matchup reasons.
Speaker 2 (24:52):
Packers Seahawks is a really interesting game. Packers, like the Eagles,
have taken passing attempts away from Jordan Love in the
last this month. They're now a power run team that
makes far fewer mistakes. But Green Bay is like a
younger version of Philadelphia. They have just decided we're a
power run team. We do have weapons over the top,
but we're not going to let our quarterback throw more
than like twenty two to twenty four times, and we're
(25:14):
going to reduce the errors and when green Bay does
reduce the errors. They're really really good football team. I
like Seattle. I still don't think they're an elite team.
I think they're I think they're a playoff team, maybe
in a OK division. I think green Bay is absolutely
a playoff team in an excellent division. I like green
(25:36):
Bay minus two and a half Sharper.
Speaker 4 (25:38):
Square one sharp at two and a half, if it
gets to three is a pass.
Speaker 1 (25:44):
And if it gets to three.
Speaker 4 (25:46):
You know, the wise guys will probably want to bet
on Seattle. But at two and a half, it's one
hundred percent the Packers for the reasons you just stated,
and the most important thing, it's like playing SEC in
the mad right. The Packers are losing really close games
and winning really close games in the best division in football.
(26:09):
They are battle tested every single week. The Seahawks, they're
winning a flukey game against the Cardinals a few weeks ago,
then they're getting the Cardinals in a class at Kyler
Murray game last week, And they won a miraculous game
against the Jets, which they should have lost, but they
got Leonard Williams running a pick six back for you know,
(26:30):
ninety something yards, So they're much better teams since the
buy and credit to their coaching staff and everything they've done,
and they've improved their defense significantly and their offense. By
the way, you know Zach Charbiney and what he did
last week was a great match for how they want
to build their running scheme. But the wise guys like
the Packers here just so it's a better team. And
(26:51):
by the way, Matt Lafleor is a wizard when it
comes to covering the spread. It's very possible when fifteen
years if Matt laflour is still coaching the Packers, he's
got Mike Tomlin like stats as a favorite and as
an underdog covering the spread.
Speaker 2 (27:06):
Okay, game, I want you to tell me where to go?
Is Bears plus six and a half at the Viking.
So Minnesota is a really good team. But that game
with Atlanta was tied going into the fourth quarter. I've
seen them against teams like the Jags go zero for
five in the red zone. It's a good team with
a quarterback having a great year, but six and a
half is a lot. It's a divisional game, and the
(27:27):
Bears before that disaster in the Bay Area, which was
probably easier to predict than I would have admitted. I
do think they'll get back on track. I do think
they have a very good roster. This is again seems
out of whack six and a half. I mean, I
think it's I honestly see it as a go either
way game in the fourth quarter. Probably take the better
coaching staff, but sharper square Bears plus the points.
Speaker 4 (27:49):
So the Bear it's it's the sharp ish play only
because and we talk about this all the time in
the show, you want to get the best of the number.
Twenty four hours ago, this game was seven and a half,
and then it went down to seven, and now it's
down to six and a half.
Speaker 1 (28:04):
That alone tells you, Colin, that.
Speaker 4 (28:06):
You're on the sharp side if you're betting the Bears.
The number has been moving in their direction. The line
is way too inflated, and you're getting a very bilo
on the Bears. Sell high on the Vikings spot. The
Bears were a train wreck. They couldn't have looked any worse.
They were out of it against the Niners in the
(28:28):
first half, right, they had four total yards and they
had five punts, and the Niners had three hundred and
nineteen yards, whereas the Vikings. You're right, that game was
tied and they really blew it open in the fourth
quarter because of a couple bad plays and turnovers on
the part of the Falcons, not because of anything magical
that the Vikings did to run away with it, even
though Sam Darnold had an incredible game, But they have
(28:50):
had their hiccups. Brian Flor's defense has not been as
good in the second half of the year as it
was in the first half of the year. So yes,
you're on the sharp side, but it's a caution. Know
that if you're playing this number, you've given away some value.
Speaker 2 (29:04):
So I think the Titans getting four and a half
with the Bengals. Of my prediction is that's the ugly game.
I ask you every week for a game that I've missed.
My guess is the Titans a pretty good defensive team
at home, playing with pride against the Cincinnati team. You
can just move the ball. I mean, if not for
a gaff by the Cowboys special teams, We're going to
(29:27):
overtime against a very mediocre Dallas team with Cooper Rush
is Tennessee plus four and a half. The side here
is that the game I'm missing, well, certainly it's a
side like it was at five and it's come down.
Speaker 4 (29:40):
So that tells you the wise guys are betting on
the Titans, because certainly the public isn't going to be
betting on the Titans. It's a really tricky game. I
haven't touched this game one hundred percent. The value is
on the Titans. It's not the game I was going
to talk to you about. But the challenge here, You've
basically got a one dimensional Bengals team, right. All they
(30:01):
can really do is throw the ball to Higgins and
Chase Joe Burrow. Higgins, Joe Burrow's Chase. That's their game plan.
They can't really run the ball, they don't have a
screen game, they don't really have play action to speak of.
All of those things that could slow down a better
than average defense in the Titans, and they have no
defense to speak of. The problem is Will Levis. He's
(30:26):
not any better than Cooper Rush. Right, He's got a
better arm. Maybe he can fling it downfield further, but
he couldn't even beat up on the Jaguars at home
last week despite so many opportunities. So you're kind of
banking on the fact you're hoping that when there's an opening,
Will Levis can convert. You're going to take the Titans,
because if you're a better that's what you do.
Speaker 1 (30:46):
You bet.
Speaker 4 (30:47):
You bet the number, but know that you're you're playing
with fire here because you're not just betting the number
and you're betting Will Lews.
Speaker 2 (30:54):
All right, tell me the game I missed.
Speaker 4 (30:56):
You didn't talk about Cleveland and Kansas City. Bridge dropped
from six and a half to four and a half.
Speaker 2 (31:04):
So the Browns are the side.
Speaker 4 (31:06):
The Browns have been the side. The Browns are the
side until it gets to about three and a half.
Speaker 1 (31:11):
And this one.
Speaker 4 (31:12):
You know, in the betting community, there's two things that
are sort of scary right now. It's the frequency and
regularity with which you can count on fading Patrick Mahomes
when he's a favorite of more than three, and the
frequency and regularity with which you can count on betting
Mike Tomlin as an underdog. I said, percentage wise, if
(31:37):
something is happening six out of ten times, which is
basically what is happening with both of those categories, Tomlin
is a dog, Mahomes is a favorite of more than three,
it manages that four times those bets are going to
lose this year that they haven't been losing at all,
And so wise guys know in this spot, the spot
(31:58):
is to play Cleveland. But it's a little bit scarier
because you keep waiting for the other shoot to drop.
A lot of guys, including myself, about what happened last
week against the Chargers.
Speaker 1 (32:07):
No JK.
Speaker 4 (32:08):
Dobbins, no Lad McConkey, and it looked like it was
going to and then again the Chiefs kind of fell
apart because they have no protection in the offensive line.
So the Browns pressure the ball, pressure the quarterback more
than the Chargers and are better at it. And meanwhile
the Chiefs now they're sending guys off the street to
play in the defensive backfield. And if you want to
(32:31):
talk about a quarterback who could have a good time
slinging it against a wonky defensive backfield, let's talk about jams. Now,
are you potentially going to suffer a pick six that
can ruin it for you? Sure, but the wise guys
are willing to literally make that bet. So they're playing Cleveland.
Speaker 2 (32:57):
You know, I know the games a couple of weeks away,
but I I think it's really interesting the Ohio State
hosting Tennessee first round playoff game to me is one
of the more fascinating games ever. So you take a
warm weather team from Knoxville and everybody's having to wait
for the playoff to start. That means the weather's getting uglier.
(33:19):
My wife was in Chicago to the day and she's like,
it is cold. So you take a warm weather SEC
team up to a superior roster. I believe in Ohio State.
You get an Ohio State team that's got a little
insecurity and lack of identity off a historically bad loss,
so they'll play with incredible intensity and focus. You know,
(33:41):
Ohio State really is coming with their hair on fire. Yeah,
and now Ohio State's O line is the weak unit
on their roster, and the D line for the volunteers
is the strength of their roster. The weather could play
aff factor. Ohio State's greatest asset is their vertical nature.
(34:02):
On the perimeter. It could be thirty eight degrees and windy.
I looked at the forecast. Now it's fourteen days out
or twelve days or ten days. I looked at it
about four days ago and I'm like, oh, it's going
to be forty one degrees and wet. How does the
betting community or have they looked at that game?
Speaker 4 (34:18):
Well, right now the number is seven and a half.
People have been talking about it. I think there's a
lot of circumstances still to go. I'm looking in the
app right now, not a ton of action on the
game at this point, and like this is so early
you can't really take anything of it. Majority of money
(34:40):
and tickets are on Tennessee. I also think a week
spot for the for Ohio State is their quarterback, Like
he's not sort of an elite passer who can take
advantage of the talent they have, the elite talent, you know,
top round, first round draft pick talent they have at
Ohio State. You and I have talked about Ohio State
(35:03):
a lot and Ryan Day. The AD came out today
and said he supports Ryan Day.
Speaker 1 (35:09):
He wants Ryan Day to be back as the head coach.
Speaker 4 (35:13):
Like I think there's so much tension inside that community
right now about not just beating Tennessee, but the having
to advance that his teams have shown up and played
type in big games.
Speaker 1 (35:29):
They play type.
Speaker 4 (35:31):
So if you're seeing the early numbers come in on Tennessee,
I think it's partly a fade of Ryan Day's ability
to have his team play loose and take full advantage
of the talent that they have on their roster.
Speaker 2 (35:44):
Let's talk about Belichick. I saw today an incredibly weak schedule.
Next year they have Clemson at home and then Syracuse
on the road, but it screams ten wins. They don't
have a quarterback, the old line's a bit of a mess.
He's bringing in Mike Lombardi to be like his GM.
They're going to use a pro model. I don't think
high school recruiting will be I don't even think they're
(36:05):
going to fake it. I think it's going to be
an eighty twenty transfer portal team. I don't even think
they're going to fake it because I don't really think
this is a long term proposition. In fact, I wouldn't
be shocked if after a year Belichick moves back to
the Pro League and his son takes over. I really
don't see this as a long term proposition. I think
the administration, the transfer portal, the fluid nil the needy donors,
(36:32):
clueless administrators, angry lacrosse coach who's not getting attention. I
could see Belichick after a year saying, guys, I got
nine wins, ten wins, I'm back to the NFL over
under six and a half I thought was like and
generally I bet unders on future bets like this year,
I took Denver in the over. Last year I took
(36:53):
Rams in the over. I think there's about one gem.
Three years ago I took Minnesota. They became thirteen and three.
Got those right. I also like Washington, but generally there's
about one great over a year, and then I just
bet unders. Is the betting community reacting to all six
and a half seems in a really really weak conference,
(37:14):
seems weirdly low.
Speaker 4 (37:17):
Well, look, we're hours into this. There's no real reaction
if we're talking about North Carolina season wind totals at
six and a half because of Bill Belichick. I agree
with your theory. I agree with your premise. The one
thing I would say is I think it's fascinating that
(37:37):
he's doing this and the way he's talking about it
as a treating it like a professional program and bringing
GMS in. He's basically getting the old band back together
right from the Patriot circa, you know, two thousand and five.
I think it's it's fundamentally brilliant because he's going to
(38:00):
run it the way he said the other day on McAfee,
like he's going to run it like it's a professional organization,
which is what's driving a lot of the college coaches out.
So this is a huge advantage for him. He's managing
a salary cap. He's trying to bring in the best
possible talent that are free agents within the college football community. Like,
(38:21):
this is what the guy has been doing for years,
and he will be able to do it in a
way that, at least for a year or two, will
have the shine of Bill Belichick, greatest coach ever, and
there will be so many people who are high profile
players who are going to be interested in seeing what
that experience is like. Can he bradify anybody? I think
it's great. So as a fun flyer, for sure, I
(38:44):
would take over six and a half.
Speaker 1 (38:47):
You know.
Speaker 2 (38:47):
It's what's really interesting about this transfer portal. Deon Sanders,
Brian Kelly, and Lincoln Riley have found this out. You
could improve the talent near roster, but it's very hard
to improve chemistry when you're basically hiring one year to
the pro players. Oregon what's really interesting. Oregon got away
(39:10):
with it, but almost lost to Idaho and Boise State
early now by, and this is a program with excellent
high school recruiting and a great staff. But if you
go back to the first two games for Oregon, they
were awful because they were moving around offensive line pieces.
They just on sheer talent got away with it. LSU
(39:31):
and USC did not. Colorado did not eventually, So the
transfer portal, even for the teams that win with it,
I mean Ohio State, Will Howard's not as good as
they thought. He was passing against big twelve teams. What
do you know, Big ten defenses are better, Big ten
stadiums are louder, Big ten defensive coaching staffs are better.
(39:54):
Will Howard looks really ordinary. He didn't at Kansas State.
I watched them and thought it was a great pickup.
So it's interesting the transfer portal. Belichick, though, has dealt
with pro athletes, and that's essentially like Ole Miss. They
just went and bought a pro team and Lane Kiffin,
by the way, that's why it's worked because he's got
pro experience. So my guess is the personal and coaching
(40:15):
will work. I think the personality fit. You know, he's
kind of a terse Northeast, confrontational guy. And you know
these colleges, I forget the word woke. You know, they're
a little PC and people they're very tribal. People have
their territory and you go, you walk in. It's not
(40:36):
just the professors who are tenured. You have decade old administrators.
He does not care about that. He's not going to
any volleyball galas. He doesn't care. So I can see
that really wearing him and UNC out in eighteen months.
Speaker 4 (40:53):
So Seth Wickersham, who you've had on your show A ladder.
He's great, brilliant right our ESPN. He's a great story
on ESPN dot com today with a little bit of
insight and insight info on the process and what the
NFL was thinking about Belichick, and you know, he did
an amazing story. When Belichick didn't get any jobs about
it seemed like gms and owners were kind of dancing on.
Speaker 1 (41:14):
Belichick's grave a little bit.
Speaker 4 (41:17):
And the fact that he didn't get any offers and
the Falcon saying he wasn't even in their top three
of candidates at the end of the day after the
interview process. So to me, this feels like and he
pointed out Belichick has a reverence for teaching. And you
know the book that Haberstam wrote, David Harberstam wrote about
(41:39):
Belichick and Seth wrote all about this. I'm just cribbing
from his story was called The Education of the Coach.
His dad was essentially his professor, right, And so I
do think there was something for Belichick about going to
college and being able to shape people from the beginning. Remember,
he was drafting guys that he could turn into Super
(42:03):
Bowl champions, Chuck Knowle, the Chuck no Way was draft
guys who you can mold, who can turn into the
players you want them to be, who don't have bad habits.
I wrote a whole book about this, about the Steelers
and the Cowboys rivalry, and Chuck Noll was brilliant at this.
So Belichick going to college, even if he's getting guys
(42:23):
from a transfer portal, if you're going to play for Belichick,
you want a certain style of coaching and you want
to know what it takes to get the NFL. You
are going to be listening to what bell Belichick and
whoever he puts on staff with him will be saying
you will be moldable, you will be coachable. And I
think if you're North Carolina, you know what you're getting
(42:43):
and you're staying out of the way. And if it's
a year, if it's two years, whatever it is, you're
not going to get gruff from ten yured professors. You're
not going to get gruff from people who don't care
about football and are annoyed at the attention he's getting.
You know what you're getting with Bill Belichick, and you're
going to suck it up and accept it, and he's
going to bring you victories and shine to your football
program until he decides to go back the NFL and
(43:05):
get down Shower's record.
Speaker 2 (43:08):
By the way, before we go, there's been a lot
of UAP and UFO sidings in New Jersey, so I
always have I don't believe in UFOs. What I do
believe is that our government lies to us often to
protect us from adversaries or to hide suppress information, to
(43:30):
hide technology. They did this with a stealth for years,
So I basically think these are super drones that we're
experimenting with, our government is experimenting with, and they put
him in a high a location with a lot of
media by the water and to see the reaction from
people and see how they look, how people react. They're
(43:52):
super drones, drones that our government's been working on, and
they probably one hundred and fifty miles offshore, probably release them,
you know, one of our you know, giant jets goes
out there, government jets and releases ten into the sky
and they you know, they play around for a while
and then they come back go back offshore. That's my
(44:14):
guess on what it is. If you had to guess,
is the world ending or is it some international or
government program.
Speaker 4 (44:23):
There's a lot to unpack there and believe it or not.
I have so many theories. I think about this so much.
Number one, I am essentially a p doomer. I do
believe that there is a point in the not too
distant future, one hundred years, two hundred years, I don't know,
in which the world will come to an end because
(44:45):
of some catastrophic whether it's technological, environmental moment right number one.
Number two, I also agree the government oftentimes will be
screwing around with us in some kind of program. I'm
not like a you know, deep government, dark government conspiracy
(45:08):
theorist I don't believe there are people who are actively
trying to manipulate outcomes and all those kinds of things.
I am I one hundred percent believe there is alien life,
and there is intelligent life that is working at a
higher capacity, with more intellectual capacity than humans. And for
(45:33):
all we know, they could already be here. It could
be sharks. Right, How arrogant do you have to be
to not think that there could be somebody higher on
the intellectual food chain than us. We have explored so
little of the galaxies to understand what intelligent life is.
(45:58):
And like I, Carl Sagan is one of the most
brilliant people who ever lived. He believed that there would
be some form of intelligent life and that there is
some form of intelligent life outside of known humanity. If
he believes that, I believe in.
Speaker 2 (46:16):
But how do we know they're smarter? I think there's
something out there, But how do we know they don't
have the IQ equivalency of like the Jersey Shore cast.
Speaker 4 (46:25):
Well, number one, don't don't discount those Jersey Shore folks
because they have made a killing like they are killing
figured out how to be bankable number one. Number two,
we don't know that, But then you have to ask
the other question, how do we know they're not smarter?
Speaker 1 (46:40):
And I think it's a.
Speaker 2 (46:41):
Better story that they're super geniuses it I think it's
I think it's a better story.
Speaker 1 (46:47):
Well, it also could be true, like we want to
believe like that. You're right.
Speaker 4 (46:52):
The narrative, the science fiction of it all, is that
they're out there, they're smarter, They're going to come to Earth.
They will attack us, they will destroy us, they will
use us as puppets. You know, all the independence to
the philosophies, all that kind of stuff. Here's what I'm
saying to you. Are they here already? That's the question.
(47:17):
Why are we so arrogant is to believe that they're
not already here? How do we know they're not sharks?
Speaker 2 (47:24):
I don't think it's arrogant. I think if we saw them,
or we had things that led us to believe they
were here, that we would believe it. But I think
there are so many there's so many grifters on the
Internet that are bored out of their mind, and there's
been so many obviously inauthentic or fake UFO videos that
(47:47):
most people are appropriately cynical. I am I think I'm
appropriately cynical. There are more videos now than ever. I
have seen some in the last two or three weeks.
There was the Pentagon video the TikTok based tic Tac
(48:07):
basically over the Pacific, which is, you know, it's hard
to explain. And those were really genuinely perplexed fighter pilots,
you know, and they're up in the sky, so that
stuff's you know, that's obviously something could be China. And
I've this stuff in New Jersey. I mean, you can
tell when somebody's faking it, and you can tell when
it's a husband and a wife having a margarita and
(48:28):
they're like, what the f is that and they're just laughing.
You know, you can tell when it's real and when
it's posers. But I tend to go back to I
think it's a government plane one hundred and fifty miles
off shore, releasing super drones and just looking for the reaction.
How visible, How does our government track them? I think
I think our government does a lot of testing, Our
(48:50):
military does testing, The Pentagon does testing, and they just
don't tell us.
Speaker 4 (48:53):
Yeah, but I don't I agree it could be super
drones and things like that. I don't think it's because
they're trying to test for a reaction. And I think
they're probably trying to test for whatever militaristic use there
is for something like this and how they can be deployed.
That is separate from there is some kind of alien
life probably living among us right now.
Speaker 1 (49:15):
I just I believe it.
Speaker 4 (49:18):
And if it's not here yet, it's out there somewhere,
and it could be more intelligent than us might not be.
I don't mind listening to your theory and subscribe to
that either. But I'm telling you, we're not alone, Colin.
We're just that, we're just not alone. And I'm okay
with it. I'm totally okay with it. I'm like, there's
plenty of room. Like I don't subscribe to the theory
(49:41):
that they have to be after us and they want
to be controlling us. We can all peacefully coexist. I
love love, Why can't we all just get along?
Speaker 2 (49:50):
Listen? I was there's a man that has died three
separate times and come back to life. He's all over
the internet, you know, and his he goes again against
the grain and says, there is no hell. I've experienced
it three times. What you do is go through the
moments of your life and your bad interactions and when
(50:11):
you were rude and when you were mean, and that
is the hell that you have to revisit, those situations
when you were unkind and unwelcoming. There is no fiery pit.
It's a series of confrontations looking back at yourself and
the moments you misstepped. And that is punishment and it's painful.
(50:33):
And I hear that, and I think now that seems
much more realistic to somebody who's died, been unconscious three
different times and come back to life. So one of
the things I've always thought about, if there is life
beyond us, I think they would enter. I think they
would enter and house themselves in the water, because it's
(50:53):
the one part of this planet. First of all, it's
the largest part, it's the most unexplored part. There's not
as many telescopes facing down is up, and it is
basically uninhabited. It's easier to hide and you can travel
very well. You know, submarines everywhere. So I always thought
(51:14):
if there was another society, that's where you'd hide. And
that's so when I see videos, they're often near the water.
You don't see you see them so often on coastlines,
and Virginia's in New Jerseys, in California's in Mexico. And
it's like, what's the theme. You don't see them in Ottawa,
you see them near water. You don't see them in
(51:37):
ye I mean you really don't. You don't see them
in Kansas very much. So that leads me to believe
there is some water connection.
Speaker 1 (51:44):
I got two things to say to you.
Speaker 4 (51:45):
Number One, what that guy on the internet is talking
about how Die three times one hundred percent in alien
Number two, i'm telling you underwater I agree it's the sharks.
I'm just saying the sharks they could just be alien
life forms.
Speaker 2 (52:04):
I'm gonna have to sleep on that one, Okay.
Speaker 1 (52:07):
Get back to me.
Speaker 2 (52:08):
Sharper Sharper square chatted Melmane could see anybody?
Speaker 1 (52:11):
All right, brother, I'll talk to you later.
Speaker 3 (52:16):
The volume
Hosts And Creators
Colin Cowherd
Jason McIntyre
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