The Country 25/02/25: Phil Duncan talks to Jamie Mackay

Monday's WeatherWatch guru makes a belated Tuesday appearance but the news is no better when it comes to rainfall prospects. Put short, if it’s dry where you are now then chances are it will be even drier in a week!

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Not killing us softly with the song, but he's killing
us slowly with his weather forecast. Fur live note from
your press release where the watch excellent forecaster you are.
You've put out a press release this morning saying put
in short, if it's dry where you are now, then
chances it will be even drier in a week's time.
That's not very good for the dry regions.

Speaker 2 (00:21):
Mate, No it's not, and it's something I said actually
a few weeks ago when we kicked off this month,
that dryer weather was on the way. We've had a
lot of high pressure, and it's not just high pressure
that's cracking over us, but the strength of that high
pressure ten thirty something hectic pascals. So these highs are
stretching from down towards Antarctica up to the subtropics. So

(00:42):
that's protecting us and protecting is not maybe the right word,
but from those tropical rainmakers from coming down our way.
So we've got a very dry forecast for the next
week or two ahead some rain and too for Judland
and Westland and maybe Southland and a few other areas
might get some downpours around the North Island. If you
get a thunderstorm you'll be happy, but that'll be a

(01:04):
minority of people. Most people are going to be seeing
a drier than average week ahead, which is why yeah,
next week will be dry than where we are.

Speaker 1 (01:10):
Now all warned, us fore armed. When do we see
or do we see some sort of change in the
weather pattern, especially for the dry parts of the North Island.
I'm assuming something's going to have to come from the
tropics to break their dry slash drought.

Speaker 2 (01:25):
Yes, so in the next week that We've got three
tropical cyclones at the moment, or sorry two two named,
one north of New Zealand and one in the middle
is not named yet. These loads producing a huge amount
of rain are trapped by the high pressure belt in
the New Zealand Tasman area. So they come down and
they flirt sort of like they're going to bring all

(01:45):
this rain to us, and then they stop short and
doesn't happen. So we are not expecting yet any of
these tropical cyclones to come our way. In fact, our
headline and our video today is to get the cyclones.
It's all about anti cyclones because we've got these highs
coming through. It's bringing route to Victoria, South Australia. Parts
of New South Wales, and I think you know, if
we don't get rain in the next two weeks in

(02:06):
New Zealand, we may start to hear a lot more
about that that dreaded d world.

Speaker 1 (02:10):
Yeah, I've got a mate in West Australia. They're having
one of their worst routs on record.

Speaker 2 (02:15):
Yes, very dry, although if you're inland in parts of
Western Australia they've got some rain on the way in
the next week, more so than the tropical parts of Queensland,
which is kind of unusual.

Speaker 1 (02:24):
Okay, Phil, thank you very much for your time today
on the country. Always appreciate it. Mate An apologies for
not getting time for you yesterday. People can go to
your website where the watch dot co dot nz and
have a look at that latest press really