The Country 09/06/25: Phil Duncan talks to Jamie Mackay

Monday's resident weatherman previews Wednesday, Thursday and Friday at Fieldays.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
He's our weather man on the country on a Monday.
I'm not interested in Monday's Phil Duncan. I'm interested in Wednesday, Thursday, Friday,
and to a lesser degree, Saturday, because I'll be home
by then for field days. Let's start with the biggest
egg event of the year and the forecast for this week.

Speaker 2 (00:17):
Good afternoon, gooday, thanks for having me. There's some good news.
The good news is a week ago it looked as
though the Wednesday was going to be raining all day long.
Now it looks as though that's going to be a
lot more broken up, with some of it coming on
Tuesday night, So that's a positive thing overall. But there's
a very large low in the Tasman Sea and it's
going to be producing milder than usual conditions for field

(00:39):
days this year. But the downside is it's going to
come with a few thunderstorms and a few big downpours,
So don't worry about frost this year. It's more about
the downpours. Yeah.

Speaker 1 (00:49):
And the other good news is I looked at the
weather forecast for Hamilton for the rest of the week
and it's going to be sixteen seventeen eighteen degrees, so
not cold, not.

Speaker 2 (00:58):
Cold at all. Yeah, that's right. The cold air is
very much stuck in the lower quarter or the lower
one third of the South Island this week where it
barely barely shifts. But the top of the country, yes,
subtropical winds or northwesters and westerlies. That's why we've see
these thunderstorms today around the top of the country, and
they'll be off and on all week coming off the
Tasman Sea. As this low kind of moves in and

(01:20):
then kind of falls apart, it doesn't really move very
fast because there's actually a high pressure, very narrow high
pressure belt over the country tomorrow and then that'll be
east of New Zealand by Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, kind of
slowing down this low out in the Tasman it's not
going to get bigger and nastier. It's just going to
be sitting there and throwing us a few big gun
paurs as they move on through.

Speaker 1 (01:40):
Now the network TV channels, as they're prone to do
breathlessly reporting on shock, horror snow in June, but if
you're going to get snowy weather or hot, cold, horrible
weather like we've had in Dunedin June is the perfect
month for it, especially from a farming point of view.
Everything's locked down for the winter, and I'm talking about
the livestock farmers here. You want it now and in

(02:02):
early to mid July rather than you know, mid July onwards,
basically when we're getting into carving and lambing.

Speaker 2 (02:10):
I was here, You're right. I was actually looking at
your stomping ground around Gore Riversdale area the other day
and talking to you Andy Muir, and we were looking
at the temperatures and they are very low, like I mean,
the maximum temperatures, not so much the overnight loads, which
are sort of about normal, but the daytime highs a
number of days are only around five or six degrees

(02:31):
for ten days in a row. I haven't really seen
it that cold for a number of years from a
daytime point of view, over such a long stretch. So
will that be our coldest week of the year, because
sometimes it happens at the very start of winter. I
don't know, but certainly it's a cold, bleak week for
the Lower South Island. But the positive is you've got
the driest weather in the country. In fact, Therthern National Park,

(02:52):
our rainforest is going to be the driest place in
New Zealand this week along with Southland at Hawk's Bay.
So it's a little bit of a strange week this
week as far as the weather is concerned, and to
some degree to me it feels a little bit like
late autumn still. I mean not so much for you
in Donedin, but the general weather pattern overall where we're
getting thunderstorms and subtropical winds one day and then a

(03:14):
polar changed the deck. So yeah, it's a typical variety
that we get in New Zealand.

Speaker 1 (03:18):
Well well as you aladed to Osborn and Bred and
Inland South And I'd like to think I'm reasonably hardy,
getting a bit soft in my old age, but I
can tell you this weekend, just being in Dunedan with
highs of I think four or something each day was
as cold as I've ever felt. And I can't believe
I'm saying that I went through the big freeze of
the mid nineteen nineties down in south it was freezing.

(03:41):
It was a damp, cold fill it is that.

Speaker 2 (03:43):
I said last week that this will be this is
one of the coldest wind directions you can get from
coastal Otigo up to Bank's peninsula is a big southeasterly
because unlike inland areas like Alexander and Queenstown, at Twazl
where it can be very cold, the air is also
very dry there, whereas coastal Otago sea. You know that
breeze off the sea, that's a perfect recipe for you

(04:05):
to feel really cold. It's one of the reasons why
Autland has complained about it being cold. There's so much
sea around us that can be very very damp, and
you're not the sea obviously that's damp, but the airflow
coming in around.

Speaker 1 (04:16):
Come on, fell Auckland as don't know what cold is
fell Duncan. Thanks as always for your time on the
country on a Monday. I'm going to catch you at
field Days on Wednesday.

Speaker 2 (04:25):
Yes you will Wednesday, O Sinoon, looking forward to coming down.