April 9, 2026 • 5 mins
Monday’s weather man backing up on a Friday - One rare red and 22 orange rain and wind alerts have been issued across the North Island, as the “multi-hazard”, potentially life-threatening Cyclone Vaianu approaches New Zealand. The red alert is a severe strong wind warning for Coromandel and Great Barrier Island from 5am to 6pm on Sunday, with wind gusts expected to hit 140km/h.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Listen
Watch
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Weather on the country with Fiji, where happiness comes naturally. Yes, Fiji,
well they've just had cyclone Vayanu go through and it's
given them a bit of a battering. So it'll be
nice and safe to go to Faiji now. But we
have to worry about this weekend. Phil Duncan and what's
going to happen in New Zealand. I've heard lots of
(00:22):
commentary and some people are saying we're over egging this,
but it's better to be safe than sorry.
Speaker 2 (00:29):
Yeah, it's a pretty serious storm at the moment. You know,
the air pressure today is still in the nine sixty
Hector Pascal range and it'll be still down to about
that point nine sixty eight nine seventy by tonight, and
by tomorrow night it might have weakened a small amount,
but it's still going to be, you know, the nine
seventy Hector Pascal range, and that's low air pressure, especially
(00:52):
for northern New Zealand. It's low pressure for anywhere in
New Zealand, but especially the top of the country. Normally
that sort of air pressure is down over the southern Ocean,
so seeing that in the north is why this is serious.
But it is going to be moving through very quickly,
so some areas might only have a few hours of
damaging weather, others might have twelve to eighteen hours with
those gale force winds and heavy rain. And it looks
(01:14):
as though Corimandal Peninsula and Bay of Plenty may be
the most exposed, but obviously Auckland and Waikato, Central Plateau
and right up towards Gismond and East Cape, all of
those areas are exposed to having heavy winded rain, along
with even the southern part of the North Island for
a time going into Monday.
Speaker 1 (01:31):
Yeah. Well, the difference between this one on cyclone, Gabrielle,
it was much more slow moving. It just plumped itself
over New Zealand and emptied out as were. This one's
going to go through quickly, which means we've got lots
of wind and wind at a high velocity, so it's
likely to be for instance, slips, trees getting blown over
(01:52):
and all that sort of stuff. Are roofs off buildings.
That's going to be perhaps the main concern.
Speaker 2 (01:58):
Yeah, about all of that. And it is different to cycling,
gabriel I mean the air pressure is going to be higher,
so that's a good thing, and it's definitely moving fast.
I mean when this storm arrives, we think the center
of it comes in around Auckland to Corrimandal Peninsula area
about lunchtime on Sunday. By lunchtime on Monday, twenty four
hours later, it's southeast of Dunedin. It moves the length
(02:22):
of New Zealand in twenty four hours. That is very fast.
Gabrielle did not move anywhere near that fast, which is
why it lingered longer and caused more flooding, caused longer
wind damage. So moving fast is a good thing. The
only downside is that it doesn't weaken the storm much.
So it moved through the whole North Island with that
low air pressure. But it morphs into a new system
(02:44):
as it goes over the North Island on Sunday evening
and that will change the flow behind it all. But
it is one of those situations where a lot of
places will have gaale force easterlyes or southeasterlies in the
morning on Sunday at the top of the country, and
by the end of the day you'll have gale force
west from the opposite direction.
Speaker 1 (03:01):
Any chance we could miss it or it could scoot
off to the side of the North Island.
Speaker 2 (03:06):
I don't think there's a chance that it will miss
New Zealand. I think the modeling is pretty consistent that
it will come in. It could go further east, which
would delay when what we call landfall. When the middle
of the storm crosses land, it goes east of the
Corimandel Peninsula, goes all the way down the Bay of Plenty,
so it takes longer. That's possible. I haven't seen any
modeling that has it missing New Zealand, but I have
(03:28):
seen some modeling that suggested in the last twenty four
hours that it doesn't look as intense as it did,
say two days ago when we were looking at the forecast.
So that's something we'll be watching really closely going into tomorrow.
Is the modeling suggesting it it will go fast and
be a little bit weaker or is that just a
little temporary blip in the modeling for today. So tomorrow's
(03:49):
updates will be critical at kind of locking in those
warnings that the Met Service have now already issued.
Speaker 1 (03:54):
And the irony of the situation, Phil Duncan, is that
many parts of the North Island are going to welcome
the right.
Speaker 2 (04:01):
Yeah, I mean the rainfall numbers in some areas. You know,
I'm seeing Hamilton with you know, sixty millimeters forecast in
several hours. That's a lot of rain for Whitetto in
that amount of time. A lot of the areas can
cope with that, but yeah, the rain will be heavy.
They'll be sort of sixty to one hundred millimeters averages
around large parts of the North Island. And then you've
(04:22):
got those bigger totals in the mountains and ranges and
a lot of our ranges, the hills of the mountains,
those will be the areas that get the heaviest rain
and the strongest winds from this event. Lower lying areas
may not be quite as intense, but anywhere near the
center of that storm has a chance of some sort
of damage from this event.
Speaker 1 (04:40):
Hey, Phil Duncan, thanks very much for stepping up to
the batter's box today to fill in for Chris Brandolin.
Are you weather men are a very collegial bunch, can
I say that?
Speaker 2 (04:49):
Yeah?
Speaker 1 (04:50):
I think so good on your fill and I hope
and I know you're based in Auckland there your folks
are in the White Gatto region. I hope it blows
over quickly for you guys.
Speaker 2 (05:00):
Thank you appreciate it.
Speaker 1 (05:01):
There we go, Pell Duncan, great man. Mondays were a
man on a Friday, just because we can
Weather on the country with Fiji, where happiness comes naturally. Yes, Fiji,
well they've just had cyclone Vayanu go through and it's
given them a bit of a battering. So it'll be
nice and safe to go to Faiji now. But we
have to worry about this weekend. Phil Duncan and what's
going to happen in New Zealand. I've heard lots of
(00:22):
commentary and some people are saying we're over egging this,
but it's better to be safe than sorry.
Speaker 2 (00:29):
Yeah, it's a pretty serious storm at the moment. You know,
the air pressure today is still in the nine sixty
Hector Pascal range and it'll be still down to about
that point nine sixty eight nine seventy by tonight, and
by tomorrow night it might have weakened a small amount,
but it's still going to be, you know, the nine
seventy Hector Pascal range, and that's low air pressure, especially
(00:52):
for northern New Zealand. It's low pressure for anywhere in
New Zealand, but especially the top of the country. Normally
that sort of air pressure is down over the southern Ocean,
so seeing that in the north is why this is serious.
But it is going to be moving through very quickly,
so some areas might only have a few hours of
damaging weather, others might have twelve to eighteen hours with
those gale force winds and heavy rain. And it looks
(01:14):
as though Corimandal Peninsula and Bay of Plenty may be
the most exposed, but obviously Auckland and Waikato, Central Plateau
and right up towards Gismond and East Cape, all of
those areas are exposed to having heavy winded rain, along
with even the southern part of the North Island for
a time going into Monday.
Speaker 1 (01:31):
Yeah. Well, the difference between this one on cyclone, Gabrielle,
it was much more slow moving. It just plumped itself
over New Zealand and emptied out as were. This one's
going to go through quickly, which means we've got lots
of wind and wind at a high velocity, so it's
likely to be for instance, slips, trees getting blown over
(01:52):
and all that sort of stuff. Are roofs off buildings.
That's going to be perhaps the main concern.
Speaker 2 (01:58):
Yeah, about all of that. And it is different to cycling,
gabriel I mean the air pressure is going to be higher,
so that's a good thing, and it's definitely moving fast.
I mean when this storm arrives, we think the center
of it comes in around Auckland to Corrimandal Peninsula area
about lunchtime on Sunday. By lunchtime on Monday, twenty four
hours later, it's southeast of Dunedin. It moves the length
(02:22):
of New Zealand in twenty four hours. That is very fast.
Gabrielle did not move anywhere near that fast, which is
why it lingered longer and caused more flooding, caused longer
wind damage. So moving fast is a good thing. The
only downside is that it doesn't weaken the storm much.
So it moved through the whole North Island with that
low air pressure. But it morphs into a new system
(02:44):
as it goes over the North Island on Sunday evening
and that will change the flow behind it all. But
it is one of those situations where a lot of
places will have gaale force easterlyes or southeasterlies in the
morning on Sunday at the top of the country, and
by the end of the day you'll have gale force
west from the opposite direction.
Speaker 1 (03:01):
Any chance we could miss it or it could scoot
off to the side of the North Island.
Speaker 2 (03:06):
I don't think there's a chance that it will miss
New Zealand. I think the modeling is pretty consistent that
it will come in. It could go further east, which
would delay when what we call landfall. When the middle
of the storm crosses land, it goes east of the
Corimandel Peninsula, goes all the way down the Bay of Plenty,
so it takes longer. That's possible. I haven't seen any
modeling that has it missing New Zealand, but I have
(03:28):
seen some modeling that suggested in the last twenty four
hours that it doesn't look as intense as it did,
say two days ago when we were looking at the forecast.
So that's something we'll be watching really closely going into tomorrow.
Is the modeling suggesting it it will go fast and
be a little bit weaker or is that just a
little temporary blip in the modeling for today. So tomorrow's
(03:49):
updates will be critical at kind of locking in those
warnings that the Met Service have now already issued.
Speaker 1 (03:54):
And the irony of the situation, Phil Duncan, is that
many parts of the North Island are going to welcome
the right.
Speaker 2 (04:01):
Yeah, I mean the rainfall numbers in some areas. You know,
I'm seeing Hamilton with you know, sixty millimeters forecast in
several hours. That's a lot of rain for Whitetto in
that amount of time. A lot of the areas can
cope with that, but yeah, the rain will be heavy.
They'll be sort of sixty to one hundred millimeters averages
around large parts of the North Island. And then you've
(04:22):
got those bigger totals in the mountains and ranges and
a lot of our ranges, the hills of the mountains,
those will be the areas that get the heaviest rain
and the strongest winds from this event. Lower lying areas
may not be quite as intense, but anywhere near the
center of that storm has a chance of some sort
of damage from this event.
Speaker 1 (04:40):
Hey, Phil Duncan, thanks very much for stepping up to
the batter's box today to fill in for Chris Brandolin.
Are you weather men are a very collegial bunch, can
I say that?
Speaker 2 (04:49):
Yeah?
Speaker 1 (04:50):
I think so good on your fill and I hope
and I know you're based in Auckland there your folks
are in the White Gatto region. I hope it blows
over quickly for you guys.
Speaker 2 (05:00):
Thank you appreciate it.
Speaker 1 (05:01):
There we go, Pell Duncan, great man. Mondays were a
man on a Friday, just because we can
Popular Podcasts
Stuff You Should Know
If you've ever wanted to know about champagne, satanism, the Stonewall Uprising, chaos theory, LSD, El Nino, true crime and Rosa Parks, then look no further. Josh and Chuck have you covered.
Dateline NBC
Current and classic episodes, featuring compelling true-crime mysteries, powerful documentaries and in-depth investigations. Follow now to get the latest episodes of Dateline NBC completely free, or subscribe to Dateline Premium for ad-free listening and exclusive bonus content: DatelinePremium.com
The Bobby Bones Show
Listen to 'The Bobby Bones Show' by downloading the daily full replay.