Election Day Showdown: The Red Surge, the Blue Wall, and the Battle for Congress

Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
The math doesn't work. The Democrats are down one point
seven million early votes in the battleground states in urban areas.
They are down one point four million votes in the
battleground states among women voters. Rule voters have overperformed early
by three hundred thousand. Democrats have to win their races early.
Republicans generally win them on election day, and the margins

(00:23):
don't add up right now for the Democrats in any
of these battleground states.

Speaker 2 (00:27):
The math, so this is the big The big thing
is whether or not there is enough early voter like
the voting, the momentum on the Democrat side, whether or
not the early voting is if this is significant enough

(00:48):
to carry them because usually, as you guys know, Democrats
have been so good at early voting. That's like their thing,
that's their thing. It was to the point where, you know,
Republicans we were lamenting and and we were actually quite
upset with ourselves because it was, you know, we were
sort of falling by the wayside with it. So now

(01:09):
here we are, what is what's what does it mean?
That's what we're going to dive into, because welcome to
the jungle, everybody. We're kicking it off, and uh, it's
election day. We've we've lived how I mean, how many years?
How many years is this spent? I feel like I
can't believe we're already Did we make it? Are we here?

(01:31):
How many sleeps before election? All right? So I have
a packed show for you today. We're going to go
through everything. We're going to look at different electoral pathways.
We're going to look at the top ten races to
watch watch the Senate, the House. We're going to look
at some of the early voting. I'm going to correct
some arguments, we're going to totally trash some polling. And

(01:52):
then we're going to talk about two pathways after and
then we got a course election. Sheening agains. If you
have been paying attention, Lorraine's got a great piece up
right now over it, chapter and verse where she gets
into some of the election shenanigans that have been going
on today already. As you know, some of them are gliticius,
some of them are shenanigans. And she breaks all of
that down. So we have a lot to hit now again,
welcome your lovable crudgeon, Dana Lash here with you. No

(02:14):
matter what happens today, We're going to walk through it together,
and of course we have to observe some hilarity. I
have some cultural stories completely unrelated to the election, and
I've been waiting all day, literally all night, all day
to share one with you. So let's dive into all
of this all right. First and foremost, so, election day
and early voting has been good for Republicans, the states

(02:39):
and the battleground states. And we're going to talk a
lot about these battleground states, which include the Blue Wall.
And you guys know these battleground states. We've talked about
it quite a bit. Pennsylvania is chief amongst them. I mean,
you've got Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona. And
it has been all about turnout, getting these Republican voters out,

(03:04):
because Republican turnout has always been the issue. Now, I
want to pause here for a moment because I touched
on this yesterday, and I will caution people about comparing
the turnout, especially when you look at states like Pennsylvania
and some of these battlegrounds. I will caution you in
comparing turnout today to turnout of twenty twenty. And there

(03:28):
is a major reason why, actually two major reasons. First
and foremost, it was COVID. Secondly, Republicans were hell bent
against early voting in twenty twenty, to the point that
it actually depressed the overall vote on election day. I
spent about two hours deep diving through all my notes

(03:50):
at the time. This is a particular sore spot for
me because I traveled in twenty twenty to a few
of these battleground states and it was insane and the
good sweet people, many of them listen to the show,
and I love them, but they were hell bent against
early voting. They were not going to go do it.

(04:11):
And I was trying to caution people, look in the
areas where you can do it. If Democrats are going
to allow you the chance to run to score, then
go by all means do it. I understand the principle. Look,
I like voting on election day. My mother will fight
you to the death to vote on election day. Only
there are certain people like this. I have dear friends

(04:32):
of mine who are my age, and some of them
a couple of years younger, who are like, no, we
are only voting on election day. I get it, believe me,
but I want it. But in twenty twenty, it was
a different scenario. Republicans were just dominated by Democrats with
early voting, and they didn't especially in twenty twenty with

(04:52):
COVID and the concern over mail in ballots and everything
else there was, and Trump spoke against it. It's very
you don't want to measure early voting now to twenty
twenty because I feel like we're restoring behavioral norms, and
as a result of restoring behavioral norms, it's difficult for
me to say that that's a major gain when we're

(05:13):
going back to how it was normally. Right now, I
will say, if you're comparing them against two Democrats, Republicans
have been doing really well holding their own against Democrats
in with regard to early voting, and we're going to
dive into that now. One of the other things the
state to watch is going to be Pennsylvania. I've heard

(05:35):
a lot about early voting specifically in Pennsylvania, and like
I said, I think that's, you know, again, not entirely
representative of the whole story when you're restoring normal behavior.
But looking back, Trump won this state in twenty sixteen
by forty two hundred and ninety two votes. Biden won
the state by eighty five hundred and eighty two votes
in twenty twenty, so there's not a lot of room

(05:57):
by these margins. Now, as you know, Pennsylvania, together with
Wisconsin and Michigan, they formed that Blue Wall. That's the
wall that that Democrats love to hide behind, and it's
protected countless nominees except in twenty sixteenth Hillary Clinton and Wodocaucus.
It held in twenty twenty. Now the race is neck
and neck. Any polster who tells you what's going to

(06:18):
happen is lying to you. If they tell you, they
know they're aligned to you. It is so incredibly close.
I don't trust the theories about the shy voter. I
don't trust the theories about the hidden voter or any
of that, because none of that stuff panned out in
twenty twenty. And I was looking at a lot of surveys,
a lot of pulling down in twenty twenty, and what

(06:38):
I was hearing wasn't adding up with the numbers that
I was seeing. So I'm super cautious going into this
to the point of a supercynic. Not to be a fatalist,
but I want to be realistic because I don't think
that it helps aside to bolster an argument or say
that you don't need help when really you do, and
maybe that could be the difference between winning or losing.

(06:58):
Now in Pennsylvania a couple of things, because I hear
people say there's troubling signs that emerge, but there's also
some really good things. So I don't want people to
focus on like a lot of this early vote. One
of the things you can tell with early voting is
you know how many registered Democrats, how many registered Republicans, men, women,
et cetera, et cetera, the ages, But you don't know
where those votes are going to because they're not going

(07:19):
to be counted. It's not going to start until today.
So in Pennsylvania, voters over the age of sixty five
have already cast half of the early ballots. Registered Democrats
were fifty eight percent of those votes cast by seniors
compared to thirty five percent for Republicans. And that's despite
both parties having roughly equal numbers of registered voters aged
sixty five and older. More women than men have early voted,

(07:40):
with women tending to skew Democrat. And I hope that
the campaign because we started seeing this trend to merge
a couple of weeks ago, and so I hope the
campaign and I feel like it did maneuvered on the
ground to combat that a little bit, to realize, oh,
here's where we got a leak, let's fix it, or
this is where we have a leak, let's fix it.
And I feel like at that point there was enough
movement on the ground where they targeted those issues. But

(08:04):
one of the problems with these trends is that a
lot of the trends about voting and these discernible patterns,
they don't emerge until the votes start being counted, and
a lot of the stuff that you hear about previous elections,
these are patterns that were only able to be seen
after the votes came in, if that makes sense, so
that I don't. This is one of those things that

(08:27):
underscores the need to completely swamp the vote. And again,
I think you also have to consider a lot of
Republicans still, especially in some of these states, they like
to go on the day of but not all signs
indicate trouble. There's a lot of encouraging things too. Republicans
are leading early voting for the first time ever in
North Carolina. This has never happened before. I think it

(08:49):
has to do with North Carolina's absolutely abysmal response to
everything that's happened in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene, and
the GOP has been reversing the party's long held position
against early voting. Now here's another thing. We're going to
talk about a lot of these Senate races, but let
me just give you a thirty thousand foot view to
start the show. Bernie moreno I said this yesterday, pulled

(09:09):
point four ahead of Scharrod Brown and Ohio. Right, McCormick
and Casey are tied in Pennsylvania. The better measure of
Harris versus Trump, if you want a more accurate representation
than what you're getting from these national surveys, is to
watch what happens in those races. Watch what happens in
these battleground races between these from state lawmakers that are

(09:33):
just tied. This is significant. Now, Trump is also pulling
incredibly well in Ohio, so that's part of it. But
in Pennsylvania, he and Harris are tied, and so McCormick
and Casey. Casey has been reversing a lot of his positions.
He's been trying to run to the center. He's invoked
Trump's name and ads, which we've talked about last week.
I think this is a better measure of the health

(09:54):
of the Senate. I said to you last night, if
you subscribe to my newsletter in chapter and verse, I
believe I feel like at least Republicans will take the
Senate with fifty one seats. That is my estimation. Now
that could actually go significantly higher. You could go up
to fifty five seats because you have a number of
these other races, which we're going to talk about here
coming up, races to watch, and we're going to dive

(10:17):
into the house here coming up. Dicksville Notch is the
first town. This is in New Hampshire. They vote at midnight.
What do they have, like a whole six people? A
whole six people? Can I just say, how are you
your own town with six people? That's like me saying
I'm going to form a micro nation here in my backyard, right.
I don't like what anyway, So in twenty sixteen, I

(10:41):
can't remember what it was, was it forty two Trump?
And then it ended up being tied or no, not tied.
I think Biden edged him out with like five one
or something like that. In twenty twenty, bottom line is
it was three to three. They literally are tied in Dixville,
Notch first town to vote three for Harris Trump. And

(11:02):
the funny thing is is all these people Democrats and Republicans,
it's a tiny six people. They use it as a
narrative for the rest of the day, like at least
until what cain like eleven or twelve o'clock. That's the narrative.
And then you know they were pulling their hair out
when they saw those come in. I thought that was hysterical.
Last night, I gotta say I thought it was pretty funny.
So this is I mean, we got a pack show

(11:23):
and we're going to dive into the house races house
is you know, this is where I got a little concern.
I have some concern we're going to talk about Nevada.
Nevada could be an issue of candidate quality coming up.
I know people don't like to have that conversation. I'm
specifically looking at the Senate where you have the Democrat
pulling ahead. We're gonna look at the other battlegrounds. We're
going to look too at that seat. That what I

(11:44):
think might be a fifty one seat majority. Cruise is seat. Now,
you got to remember Joe Manchin, who's retiring. That's all
baked into this. Ted Cruz his race for some reason,
even though he's over plus four of Alrid and it's
probably the closest race that he's been in. And I
feel like the campag should learned some lessons after Beto
O'Rourke beat him by over two thousand and three hundred

(12:05):
something votes in the most conservative red county, the last
big urban red county that's conservative in the United States.
But I feel like there were lessons that weren't learned there.
But Cruiz's seat is plus four. It's labeled as a
toss up. It's not going to be a toss up.
He's gonna win, but it's gonna be close. That's my forecast.
We're also going to talk Trump grew coattails. Now, you

(12:25):
can't say that he did not have them in twenty twenty.
I'll fight you on to the death on that. I'm
not saying this as a pejorative. I'm telling you this
as a form of encouragement. He grew coattails. This is
evident in Ohio, in Pennsylvania, it's evident in Wisconsin there
are some We're gonna look at this that is very
interesting and it foretells if he wins, some good things

(12:47):
to come from midterms. So we've got a lot to hit.
We also have to catch up on the Daniel pennycase.
We also have to talk about that dude who said
he was a chick who is an Olympic boxer, but
then they discovered that he had lady balls. I don't know.
We got to talk about all of that as well.
We've got to get into the non major party voters.
They are the plurality now makes it harder for both sides,

(13:10):
but then in some ways it's easier. So we got
to hit all of that stuff and more. We got
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Speaker 3 (14:17):
And now all of the news you would probably miss,
it's time for Dana's Quick five.

Speaker 2 (14:23):
I'm not gonna lie. I feel like of all the
stupid things I would buy, it would be this. This
Italian beautiful Italian vacation spot is selling cans of its air.
This is some spaceball stuff. It's called lake Como air.
It's air from Lake Como. You know, somebody just farted
in a can and then just like sold it. That's
all it was. It says, empty cans containing air from

(14:44):
Lake Como are being sold to gullible tourists for like
almost ten dollars a can four hundred milliliters. They're being
sold at a bookshop, at a restaurant on the lake,
as well as two other popular destinations nearby. And it's
they have an aerial image of a motor boats speeding
across the idyllic Italian lake. That's actually hysterical and I'm

(15:05):
really I'm sad that I didn't come. You know what
we need to have like East Saint Louis air, right
and just put it in a can or Washington, DC,
you know by the by Union Station air.

Speaker 4 (15:17):
So the air tenos eleven dollars.

Speaker 2 (15:21):
Us, Why didn't I do this? I am so mad.

Speaker 4 (15:24):
But it's still like only eight dollars for a beer.

Speaker 2 (15:27):
At the Yes, but this is the air, I mean,
it's actual Italian air, you know, from the Lake Gomo,
You know what I mean? Nay? Anyway, I feel like
I like I want to make fun of it, but
at the same time, I am not gonna lie. There's
ten percent of me that goes, oh, I want that.
That's Lake Homo air. Farmers are no. This is the

(15:51):
headline I do not want. Today. Farmers are sounding the
alarm about the future of potato chips in America. We're
gonna riot because potatoes getting harder to grow in places
like Pennsylvania, which has the most potato chip makers of
any states in the US. Save the taties, Save them
taty chips. No, the best kind of barbecue and Sultan vinegar.

(16:11):
I'll fight you. I mean, I think it's like the
third time I've said that today and we're not even enough.
Now we're in I'm just fighting everything today Kamilonomics. The
average age of the US home buyer has jumped to
fifty six. Fifty six years old. That's like when I
was younger. Isn't that the age of people would retires

(16:32):
fifty six? Yeah? Vote accordingly, guys. We got a lot
more on the way, races to watch Battlegrounds, and more
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Speaker 5 (18:14):
Did you know eight out of the last eleven created
jobs never really existed. Over the course of the past year,
the Labor Department has revised the jobs report by over
a million jobs. In case you forgot, the Federal Reserve
was using this info and making their policy decisions. Check
out the Watchdog on Wall Street podcast on Apple, Spotify,
wherever you get your podcasts.

Speaker 6 (18:35):
Keep your finger on the pulse with a Dana Show
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Speaker 2 (18:47):
Is there a better intro to a song than gnr's
Welcome to the jungle. Nay, there is not. You got
to keep it going just for a second. Oh my gosh.
It is literally the best intro to any song ever.
I mean, I'm just saying it's divinely inspired. And there
is no better song to describe a general election day

(19:08):
than Welcome to the jungle. Welcome back to the program.
You're in the jungle now, baby, Dan'll last here with you,
your lovable cromudgeon A little less cromudgeonly today. Even though
I've got like a nervous I just got a yeah,
we're all the same way right, We're all like right now.
But there's something about the pageantry and the process of

(19:28):
voting that is so distinctly American that I just love
it to bits. I don't care if I'm nervous about
it or afraid. Even if I were losing, I'm still like, Yeah,
it's just some about it that's I love. It's so
uniquely American. And I also have to say I am
trying really hard to not flirt with schadenfreude because the

(19:51):
New Testament speaks against that. And I am a very
I will only say this once. I am a very
superstitious person, insanely so like to the point if the
Cardinals baseball game is on, I literally cannot watch until
the second inning because I feel like I jinx it.
I'm not even it's weird. I have a bunch of
weird things that it's weird. I don't know. I feel

(20:12):
like I get weirder as they get older, and when
i'm if there's something that I want to happen, or
I just I don't want to. How do I say
this celebrate any nervousness or misfortune or fear of my
opposition when it's so close and it really could go either,

(20:34):
you know, I just so, I'm trying so hard not
to flirt with schaden freude. However, it was a chilli morning,
Texas today, and I didn't need a jacket. You know
why I didn't need a jacket Because the nervousness and
fear and paranoia and just outright anxiety that is being
demonstrated by the left on the cable news networks and

(20:56):
on social media and on blogs and on everything all
across the United States is enough to warm my black
and bitter heart. Audio sound by twelve Josh Shapiro, who
didn't get picked because he was Jewish let's be real,
Josh Shapiro would be the VP candidate and he wasn't
because Democrats are anti They're I mean, pretty damn anti Semitic.

(21:19):
I'll share with you a conversation I had with a
dear friend of mine coming up. But Josh Shapiro, this
was his contribution, I guess his last minute Hail Mary
contribution audio sun by twelve.

Speaker 7 (21:29):
It was here in Philly, just down the street, that
we declared our independence from a king. And hear me
on this, we are not going back to a king
in this country.

Speaker 8 (21:42):
No, we're not.

Speaker 2 (21:45):
So wait a minute, I'm really confused. Who said that
we're going back to a king? And you know what,
we're also not going back to tight rolling our genes.
That is also not going to happen. Literally, no one
said this. Can we just say things that we don't
want that no one has proposed. We are not going
to disco five the national anthem. I don't care how

(22:07):
many people wanted, It's not gonna happen. That's Josh Shapiro.
I I just sort of feel like he's along for
the ride and do whatever he needs to do just
to get through this election cycle. So I had a
conversation with a dear friend of mine who also represents
me a big agency.

Speaker 9 (22:27):
And.

Speaker 2 (22:29):
My friend is, well, I'm just gonna it learned for years,
and he is like your like, he's like the avatar
of your Jewish New York liberal right, Manhattan's got the accent,
every the manners and everything like Manhattan liberal through and

(22:50):
through Jewish family. And I remember when I first met him,
he just could not get over the fact that I
was I had no part album carrying a gun. It
was and I was explaining to him it's a cultural difference,
like if you grow up in Manhattan, you're used to
writing the subway when you're like nine years old. I
think that's insane, Like going by yourself getting on the

(23:12):
subway you're nine, ten years old, that's nuts. All everybody
I knew who grew up in Manhattan they're like, yeah,
that's like normal. I think it's bonkers. They could not
get over the fact that, yeah, you know, just take
a BB gun, run out of the woods, start with
a BB gun, and then you know, you go up
from there. They just that was something that they could
not understand. And I was in my conversations with my friend,
I was telling him over and over, you know, this

(23:34):
is a cultural thing. You're not actually posed to firearms.
You're not opposed to the Second Amendment, you're not opposed
to concealed carrying. Not a posed to these things. You're
just unfamiliar with them because of how you grew up.
And over time and over the years, as things happened
and with constant pressure by me, things changed. And he

(23:59):
said he went for the first time ever a couple
of years ago to a range in upstate New York
where that's where the America starts around New Manhattan is
upstate New York. He went to a range there and
he like made mention that you know, he works with me,
and he couldn't believe it. He was like, they were
so nice. They waved his rental fees so he could
shoot whatever he wanted and try it whatever he wanted.

(24:21):
He didn't have to pay for the range. He said
that everybody was so nice. I told him, I like,
what did you think they were going to do, like,
you know, eat your brains like zombies, Like, what did
you think was going to happen? It just cracked me up.
But their kindness made him feel so comfortable that he
really got into shooting. And then when all the anti
Semitic attacks began happening, especially in New York and especially
around where he lived, he was very nervous about this

(24:43):
and I was like, my gosh, what is happening. Fast
forward to yesterday and we had a conversation and he
I told him, just out of the bloe, I said,
you know, I go, I'm really glad that Kamala Harris
picked this fud from Minneso, not just because he's so
easy to make fun of and him and his wife

(25:04):
provide for me hours of content. I said, I really
feel like this race would be different had she picked Shapiro,
because they would have locked in Pennsylvania and then they
would have locked in the more moderate independent vote. And
I said, and they would have dispelled any kind of,
you know, accusations of anti Semitism for the most part.
I said. The reason that they didn't was because he's Jewish.

(25:27):
And I go, I guess that's the party now, and
he goes, He's like he told me, he goes, there's
no way they would have picked a Jewish vice president. Now,
this is a lifelong Democrat New Yorker. He's like there's
no way they would have picked a Jewish vice president.
No way. And I go your party and he goes, yes,
I guess my party. And I'm like, you guess your party?

Speaker 1 (25:46):
What?

Speaker 2 (25:47):
And I'm like, I told him, I said, you, so
you recognize that it that Democrats have any anti Semitism problem.
He's like yes, He's like, I don't think you realize
how many anti Semites are Democrats. And we had this
stunning realization where we both looked down and saw that
we were standing upon the same square rhetorically speaking. And

(26:08):
I told him, I said, my friend, I said his name,
I go, you're a conservative his hesitancy, And this is
what floored me. I felt like he was being more
transparent in this moment than ever. And he had said,
he goes, you know, when I break it down, I
like a lot of he goes, I like a lot
of the policies from the Trump camp. My friend just

(26:30):
doesn't like him personally. And he's like, and I know,
he goes, you're supposed to look over that when you
go and vote, and he's like, I think, but that's
kind of the problem for me. He goes, I want
a Republican party that I feel is a refuge from
where I'm coming from, from the Democrats, and I'm like, my, dude,
you are a conservative. You just admitted to me that

(26:51):
you want these policies. Oh my, I couldn't get past
anything else. I'm like, oh my gosh. Now keep in mind,
when I first met him, he was like a ghast.
It was almost the agent that I had had, who
was a very well known agent, retired, and when I
was introduced to my new friend and we started working together,

(27:16):
I almost felt like he was kind of watching me
and testing me because my agent that retired was a
lot older. He'd been in the business and he built people,
and he was like very he knows everybody. He was
able to get my number and call me out of
the blue one time, like you know, over a decade ago.
Was crazy, and I felt like with my friend and
my rep now that he was sort of like testing

(27:36):
me to see if this is going to work. And
it is amazing. From our conversation last night to the
first time we met, my jaws on the floor because
he is dude, you can't tell me he did not
vote Republican. He stopped right before because I don't think
he could admit to himself, dude, he did. He totally did.
I would bet everything on it. I'm not a betting

(27:57):
part I would bet everything on it. And the thing
that did it for him was the economy, and not
even just the raging anti semitism that he saw on
the left, but the fact that the whole party moved
to accommodate it without question and without apology. To him,

(28:21):
the fact that so many people were able to excuse
this and just sort of gloss over it was a
terrifying thing. And that's true.

Speaker 1 (28:36):
You know.

Speaker 2 (28:36):
I made mention of this last night of my piece
over at substat how it's this has just been the craziest, craziest,
most unpredictable general elections, actually the last three in American history.
And I said too that Democrats' ability to roll over

(29:00):
on principle and fet a candidate chosen for them by
their ideological betters while bitching about losing democracy as a
circus unlike anything the Romans could have ever imagined. But Americans,
i wrote, are constantly besieged on all fronts by politics
and the creation of entertainment politics as a coping mechanism

(29:20):
is both understandable and also the reason why everything is
even more unpredictable. We're in weird times and going I mean,
it's close, I really feel, and I'm sure that you
know tomorrow and the days after people are going to
dice this up. It shouldn't be this close. I'm so

(29:42):
glad that she didn't pick Josh Shapiro, but it shouldn't be
this close. Hopefully the deluge of turnout is going to
remedy any kind of situation that may bubble up in
the margins. Now, a few other things. The state of

(30:03):
the race. Non major party voters are the plurality. Now,
I've seen some estimates saying that they're probably about thirty
percent of the electorate. I thought this was fascinating. I
was looking at some of the final swing state poles
out from Emerson last night and it's I mean, it's
still super close. It's still super close. I mean, I

(30:27):
think most people believe that coming up we will be controlled.
The Republicans will control the Senate. We only have to
flip what two seats. Two seats is all it takes
to take control, and if you win the White House,
you only need one. So we're gonna look at some

(30:49):
of these races because in Ohio you have Republican Bernie
Moreno going up against Sharrod Brown. Trump is doing well
in Ohio. This is helping to propel Moreno. Trump is not.
He's not an anchor on the jackets of these candidates.
In twenty twenty was tougher, twenty twenty two was tough.

(31:11):
It's different. And then the part of it is because
Democrats have run one of the worst campaigns I've ever seen.
I can I just ask why do people keep saying
it's one of the best one campaigns ever? For real,
I am shocked smart people are saying this were they paid.
But the other thing too, is that Shard Brown in Ohio,

(31:37):
she's Sharrod Brown is overperforming Kamala Harris, who last survey
was like eleven points almost twelve points behind Trump. Shard
Brown is overperforming, is overperforming Kamala Harris. To that effect,
Trump's double digit lead in the state is propelling Bernie Moreno. Hmm.

(32:01):
Moreno has been leading of the last six polls, what
five four to five? Moreno has led very interesting Pennsylvania.
This is going to be I think the race that
is the thermometer. Bob Casey, the Democrat incumbent Republican David McCormick.

(32:26):
The challenger forty seven to forty seven, was six percent undecided,
and McCormick since October has only increased his support by
one point. Casey stayed static. Very interesting. Now, of the polls,

(32:47):
they've mostly showed them dead, you know, tide. Maybe McCormick
has a slight lead. Only two of them have shown that.
But these are also two polar polsters that have been
kind of accurate, Atlas into Well and Trafflger. They travel
go to a pretty good in twenty sixteen. Atlas Intel's
pretty solid. Interesting, So this is another Senate race to

(33:09):
watch coming up. We're gonna talk about the House, and
we're also going to get into some of these other
battlegrounds and what to watch for tonight, and then coming
up the electoral pathways forward. There's a handful of them.
We're going to explore every single one of them. There's
about five six total. Harris has a couple more pathways

(33:30):
than Trump, but two of them are a lot harder
and I don't think that they're feasible really for her.
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Speaker 6 (34:51):
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your podcast.

Speaker 4 (35:02):
Like SAMs through the al Glands.

Speaker 3 (35:05):
So are the days of the United States?

Speaker 10 (35:10):
Well, oh, you want to say the door knobkay?

Speaker 11 (35:22):
You?

Speaker 2 (35:36):
This is so awkward. It's so awkward. Look at the
start gist. It's so awkward because she's just so pretty.
Kamala Harris. Who's I guess trying to door Knox. She
was in Pennsylvania all day yesterday. Oh I'm just saying, yeah,

(35:57):
it's everything is staged with her. I'll never forget when
they were in the gas station and a slappity mcslap
face em Hoff brought her those Dorito's and she's like, hmm, Dorito's,
thanks what I needed. Like, no one moves and acts
like that, You're like an alien. What is the stop
coming up? The media narrative about carnage America braces for carnage.

(36:21):
White house is barricaded, stores board up. It's the boarding
up the businesses. They act like there's gonna be violence
on the right. So they now paid attention when happened
in twenty sixteen, what happened in the midterms. Stick with
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(37:45):
self defense. It's by r NA dot com slash Dana
for ten percent off. Who'd you vote for you today?

Speaker 12 (37:51):
I voted for Kamala Harris.

Speaker 2 (37:52):
Why is that?

Speaker 12 (37:54):
I have three daughters, four children overall, and women's rights,
it's pretty important to them and my daughters.

Speaker 4 (38:02):
Sorry, I'm emotional about that.

Speaker 2 (38:04):
Interesting that I was going to do that. But on
top of their.

Speaker 12 (38:08):
Bodies, their choice, type of mentality, you know, I want
them to grow up in a world that's welcoming to everybody.
So yeah, that's why.

Speaker 2 (38:15):
Why does he sound like he's going a ball? Oh
my gosh, if I was his wife, i'd feel ashamed.
I think I'd start divorce proceedings. That's horrible. I'm not joking.
I'm not joking. I'm not trying to be funny. That's
I find that just so he's this dude is talking
about protecting his daughter's right to abort his grandchildren. Can

(38:39):
I just talk about how messed up it is that
that's your first thought is about you sexualize the vote. Well,
it needs to be about I want to make sure
that women if they end up engaging in recreational sex,
as if there's any other kind, and when they engage
in this, because we all know sidebar that rape and
sist counts for less than one percent, and that's plan

(39:00):
parenthods own statistics, which is made public on the Internet
by an institute called the Gootmacher Institute. So you know,
let's move on. I just want to make sure that
you know they can, you know, get rid of the
baby after they have the sex and they can see
that's my only you. I just find that a perverted
view of your vote. Why does everything have to go

(39:23):
back to sex and baby killing. It's weird like that
You're a grown man and your response is to sexualize
the vote in the context of protecting it for your daughters?
Does any am I overreacting to that? I find that
really weird. You guys find it weird. And he's like,

(39:44):
I'm sorry, I'm just getting I'm just getting emotional. It's like,
it's not even your vagina, dude, Like, what in the world.
You're getting emotional because you're talking about aborting your future grandchildren,
or you're emotional because you're just realize how sick it
sounds to be sexualizing the vote through the perspective of
your daughter's an abortion. See, we are not the same, y'all.

(40:06):
We are not the same. Welcome back to the program,
Daniel Lash here with you top of the second hour.
It's election day and we've been going through everything and
I'm going to take you through these electoral pathways right now.
If you're watching on this simul class channel forty forty
seven Direct TV or listening on a station around the country,
we get the chat over at Rumble as well. So

(40:27):
what could happen we were going through the Senate. I'm
projecting the couple of the races to watch. I mean, really,
the Republicans only have to flip two seats, and if
we take the White House, it only has to be one,
but I think it actually could go beyond that. But
the other thing is two quick things. The Atlas until
survey looks like it's going to be a long night

(40:48):
for Kamala Harris, and it just doesn't look I mean,
they're just they're tied. But she is also struggling with
Hispanic voters, she's struggling with men, and she's also struggling
with i mean, blackman voters. I mean, it's just this

(41:09):
is just it's kind of wild. Uh, the pathways forward
And I'm pulling up all my notes on this, and
I talked a little bit about this in the newsletter
that I sent out last night. So you know that
you have to get in the electoral College. You have
to get to the magical two seventy, right, magical two

(41:30):
seventy where it stands right now. So if I'm just looking,
for instance, let me just look at rcp's ratings. RCP
has it right now. And this is just not going
by votes tabulated, obviously, it's going by polling in certain
states that you know we're going to be blue and
certain states that you know are going to be read.
They have it at two eleven to two nineteen in

(41:50):
favor of Trump fans, both one hundred and eight toss ups.
So you have Nevada, Arizona, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia,
a lot of question marks over those. Now here's some
pathways forward. And I was again, I've been talking about
this in the newsletter, and we've you know, we made
We've discussed at least a couple of ways maybe before.

(42:14):
So the first one is the famed blue wall, right,
it's the flame, the famous blue wall. This is honestly
her most likely path. There's a caveat though. Imagine you
have a big, big blue wall and the bricks of
this wall are Wisconsin, in Michigan and Pennsylvania. And then

(42:43):
you have like a congressional district in Omaha, because Nebraska
does a mix of statewide votes and congressional districts. It's
I think Maine is also one of the states that
does this, so it's a little weird. So Omaha is
like its own thing.

Speaker 13 (42:56):
And.

Speaker 2 (42:58):
You have these these blue wall states. She doesn't have to.
You have blue wall, you have sun Belt, you have
rust belt, right, you know, the sun belt, the southern
states where it's supposedly Sunny. Your blue wall is these
states that have always been Democrat except in twenty sixteen
when they weren't because that's when Trump rushed through like

(43:20):
the kool Aide man, and then with Ducaucus, and then
that's it. It's been Democrat the entire time. If she
keeps the blue Wall, she doesn't have to worry about
any of the Sun Belt states. Remember I told you
before Harris was substituted, one of the Biden's strategies was
to make a play for Georgia, the Sun Belts, right,

(43:42):
make a play for Georgia. That was going to be
a backup in the event that one of the bricks
of the blue Wall fell, you could replace it with Georgia.
And Harris seems to have kind of abandoned that strategy.
It seems that theirs is just blue wall. She spent
an inordinate amount of time in Pennsylvania and in Michigan

(44:04):
and in Wisconsin so she could keep the blue Wall
and not have to win any of the Sun Belt
states if she keeps the blue Wall, and this is
one of the things to watch. If she keeps the
blue Wall, she will get to two seventy. Now I
may look at the map on this. So if you

(44:24):
have I mean, even if you just take out everything else,
Let's just make Michigan lean DEM. Let's make Wisconsin lean DEM.
Let's make Pennsylvania lean DEM. Without Minnesota, without North Carolina,
without Georgia, Arizona or Nevada, She's at two fifty five
to two nineteen right there, right there. Minnesota, you know,

(44:44):
is going to be lean DEM. That takes her to
two sixty five. Now you see why Pennsylvania is so
important to the Trump camp. They got to win it.

Speaker 12 (44:55):
Uh.

Speaker 2 (44:55):
I think Georgia will likely lean Republican. That puts it
giving Georgia to them, that puts it two thirty five
to two sixty five electoral vote wise. So without even
factoring in Nevada, Arizona, although I think New Hampshire. New
Hampshire I think is gonna lean them, even though she's struggling.
That puts her to two sixty nine to two thirty five.
Even without North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, she's at two sixty

(45:18):
nine there at two thirty five. That is the significance
of Pennsylvania's nineteen electoral votes. They had twenty, but after
the twenty twenty census, they lost one, so it was
twenty now it's nineteen. So if she takes Pennsylvania, I
mean you have to have Trump has to absolutely take

(45:44):
Here's where it gets very interesting. He could take North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada,
and that puts it at two sixty nine to two
sixty eight. And then of course you have that Nebraska.
Remember what I told you the Omaha. Guess who's favored
to win there, and then that puts her to seventy.

(46:06):
That's the pathway that they're trying to make happen. That
is the pathway. So it's called Nebraska District too, is
what they call it. So it looks like any two
that's the Omaha thing where you get one vote there,
she's favored to win that. So this is her strategy.
So that's the first pathway, and this is her very clearly.

(46:27):
This is her what they're trying to make happen. So
even if you have if she takes Pennsylvania, that doesn't
leave Trump with a lot of options. Pennsylvania they need
to take it, They have to take it. Georgia has
sixteen electoral votes, Pennsylvania has nineteen. And then even if

(46:48):
you were to take Arizona and Nevada. I mean, I mean,
you're going up against the amount of votes that Pennsylvania has,
So that makes it that's that's a possibility. That is
a possibility. Now, let's say that he wins Pennsylvania, North Carolina,
and Georgia. So let's look at the map on this

(47:08):
and I'm actually filling this in myself on my desktop.
So he takes Pennsylvania, and we're going to start, by
the way, we're going to start with the baseline where
everything is now, which is two eleven to two nineteen,
with the states that we know, we're going to be
inarguably Democrat and Republican. So you would have if he
takes Pennsylvania, you make that lean Republican. You make North
Carolina and I say lean Republican light red because it's

(47:31):
it's close. You give him on top of that baseline Pennsylvania,
North Carolina. That puts him at two fifty four to
two eleven. Right, Let's say let's say that she takes Nevada.
She can take Nevada, that puts her two seventeen still
to two fifty four, without even allocating in Arizona and
the other blue wall, like you can give her the
blue Wall. We'll go ahead and give her. We'll go
ahead and give her the blue Wall, because I think

(47:52):
some of those a couple of the states may hold.
At least that puts her two forty two to two
fifty four. So and then I think Georgia will go
He takes Georgia on top of it, and that puts
him at two seventy, and you would still have twenty
six toss ups even if she were to take I
think she's going to do this. Let me hit this.
This is going to be New Hampshire is going to

(48:13):
be probably the Democrat give her a New Hampshire. That
puts her up. Put in Minnesota, it's two fifty six
still to two seventy toss ups or twelve. I mean,
it's still even still even with Arizona, she's still not there,
still not there. So if he were to take Pennsylvania

(48:33):
and then he because I think Georgia's going to go
his way in North Carolina, then he's got it, and
then he will be at two he'll be at two
seventy and she'll be at two sixty eight. Now, remember
what I told you about replacing that brick. If you
look at the blue wall and you factor in even
if she were to lose Pennsylvania, she could replace it

(48:54):
with Georgia. If she loses Wisconsin or Michigan, she could
replace it at Georgia. She could take North Carolina too.
So that's a lot harder because you're talking about nineteen
electoral votes. That's a lot harder. She would have to
win Georgia or North Carolina, and she would have to
take either. She would have to take Arizona or Nevada.

(49:16):
You have to make those numbers up now. If she loses,
if she doesn't take the blue wall at all, let's
say she doesn't take Wisconsin or Michigan or whatever, she
would have to win all the Sun Belt states, which
is not going to happen. There's a lot of discussion
about the red wall. In twenty sixteen, Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan,

(49:37):
and Pennsylvania. He did not in twenty twenty. If he
takes Michigan and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, he can lose North Carolina,
he can lose Nevada, and he can lose Georgia. He
would just need Arizona has eleven electoral votes. He would
just need Arizona and he would win. So she has

(50:04):
a couple of more pathways, but hers are so hard.
The alternative pathways she has besides the two most obvious,
are pretty much it's just pretty much inconceivable. I offer
them up because it, I mean, it is a pathway.
But I just don't think that she's I'm sorry, she's
not gonna win all the sun Belt states. That's stupid,

(50:25):
especially when she's underperforming in some of these battleground states
what Clinton and Biden have done. Now, I will caution you,
a lot of these exit poles are trash. Don't pay
attention to any of them because these remember the exit
poles were so wrong in twenty twenty and they were
so wrong, Oh my gosh. In twenty sixteen they were
kinda all right, and twenty two. So you gotta just

(50:51):
you don't need, like I said, you don't need that
insight because they're just gonna be distracting and it's gonna
be noise. It really will be. I know, we gotta
get moving, but those are some of the pathways for
we gotta talk about the house to come still. Ready
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Speaker 3 (52:09):
And now all of the news you would probably miss.
It's time for Data's quick five.

Speaker 2 (52:15):
All right. So the housing market is apparently mirroring two
thousand and seven, according to a new report, not good
obviously and uh making people nervous. National Association of Realders
found that the share of new homes purchased in twenty
twenty four increased slightly to fifteen percent, but existing home
purchases declined to eighty five percent. This reflects the exact

(52:37):
same housing market that existed in seven, when new home
purchases made up roughly fifteen percent of the market share
and existing homes were about eighty five percent. So, oh,
stop it. You know what, I'm gonna put up my
Christmas decorations tomorrow. I'm just gonna do it. I'm I'm
gonna pause to come and do the show. If it

(52:59):
goes sideways, That's what I'm gonna do. If not, then
I'm gonna be a brat tomorrow anyway. Uh no, spray
on sneakers. This is nasty made. This is Wall Street
Journal made in three minutes, and it feels like a sock,
which is not how sneakers should feel. Our spray on
sneakers the future. No, they're disgusting. It's a Swiss brand

(53:19):
and they literally spray them on like a mold and
then that's it. Or no, it's supposed to be your foot.
I don't know. It looks weird and I don't like it.

Speaker 4 (53:29):
So you spray your shoes on your foot.

Speaker 2 (53:31):
You spray like a mold, and I guess I don't even.

Speaker 4 (53:34):
Say mold, like it's actually mold.

Speaker 2 (53:36):
I just want like an old fashioned shoe. Stop trying
to reinvent the wheels. Weird. I like it the uh
weird headline. Hunt is on for the scum who stole
Britain's largest inflatable planetarium. It's large. They're investigating. It's the

(53:57):
largest mobile inflatable planetarium. It's been a regular feature at schools.
It looks like a weird It looks like a goth
I glue. I'm not gonna lie like if Vikings made igglus.
This is what it looked like, and it has some
drackler curtains in there. They're well on showing you got
them drackler curtains in there. Local police issued the alert
after the inflatable was stolen, and the couple thinks that

(54:18):
they also intended to take the trailer restored in rather
than the dome itself, so they're on the lookout and okay.
A South Carolina hunter fatally shoots a woman that he
thought was a deer. Christopher MacDonald was apparently illegally hunting
at night. He fired off three rounds from a shotgun

(54:38):
and struck a couple, killing the woman. And he was
hunting at night. It was eight fifteen pm. I guess
the couple were out walking in the woods. I don't know.
I just were they quiet? Like do you not know
what a deer sounds like? I just like, if you
hear people walking in like human noises, it's probably not
a deer. He turned himself in and he confessed that

(54:59):
illegally hunt. But man, that's wild, what a crazy story.
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Speaker 6 (56:24):
Makes some common sense of the crazy headlines. With a
Dana Show podcast, You're on the go guide for getting
up to speed on today's most important stories. Subscribe on YouTube,
Apple or your favorite podcast platform.

Speaker 4 (56:37):
Get out the vote, Let's get out the vote.

Speaker 2 (56:40):
Let's get out the vote. Let's get out the vote.
Let's get out the vote. Let's win. Hmm, that was cringe.
They were chanting and then she hijacked it and ruined it.
So it's like the second time this has happened. She's horrible.

Speaker 11 (57:00):
This.

Speaker 2 (57:00):
Do not let her in your chance. She's horrible. Welcome
back to the program, Dana Lash with you. We're at
the top of this or bottom of the second hour,
and a lot of stuff to focus on. The House races.
Excuse me to watch on election night tonight. You have
a few. You have the seventh district in Virginia, that's

(57:23):
the Venmin one. I'm not a Vinmin fan. You guys
know him, his brother and the military secrets and all
that stuff. Democrat Eugene Vinman, Republican Derek Anderson. These are
the guys that are battling and it's tilting Democrat. But
it's not safe. You have Nebraska's second district has been
This is what is a what they call crossover districts.

(57:47):
Crossover districts are districts that have as their rep one
member of a party and then it was carried by
the president of the presidential of the opposite party, and
then the part the authority or influence of the party

(58:08):
holder or the seat holder their party is in decline.
And there are like nineteen or twenty of these districts,
and a lot of this they had their lines redrawn
after midterms. So this is one of these. This is
the second district in Nebraska. It's considered a Biden crossover.

(58:29):
Biden would have won this four years ago. This is
a guy who's a retired Air Force officer. He flipped
the district in twenty sixteen. He defeated the Democrat brat
Ashford by like barely a point, and so he is
going up against Democrat Tony Vargas. This guy's a forty
year old state senator. He's trying to be the first
Latino member of Congress from Nebraska and he in twenty

(58:53):
twenty two, this Representative Don Bacon, who's the centrist Air
Force guy, he defeated him by less than three points.
And so it looks the district look looks like it's
leaning for Harris, but this but Bigan is leading Vargas.

(59:13):
So it's kind of it's a weird one to watch.
And you have a trunk crossover seat in main second district. Uh,
and then you've got a Trump backed guy, a thirty
year old state rep. Former NASCAR driver, Uh, and then
he's going out. Gun control is a big issue there
because the guy, the Democrat who's running, Jared Golden, who

(59:35):
is the Democrat Rep. He's the incumbent. He tried to
become more moderate and he's a big gun control guy
and he's been kind of waffling on his support for
a second Amendment. Right, So this has been a bit
big issue in that race. Michigan's seventh District is an
open seat Republican and Democrat, thirty seven million dollars in

(59:55):
need spending that for that race. And then you have
Colorado eighth district. You have two freshmen going up against
each other. Pennsylvania is their tenth district is tilting Republican.
Now the Colorado eight district is a toss up. Michigan
seventh district tilts Republican, Pennsylvania's tenth district goes tilt's Republican.

(01:00:16):
And you've I mean, I think it'll probably and that
one only to go republican. New York's nineteenth district that
tilts Democrat. Forty fifth district in California is considered a
toss up. North Carolina's first district that's a redistrict, redistricted
district that is leaning Democrat. Then you have Iowa's third

(01:00:36):
district leaning Republican. So there are a number of these
House races, and five of them, it's considered there's going
to be like five of them are going to be
the races to watch that are going to be the
determining factor in controlling the House. And one of those
is that Virginia seventh seat, that's that Vinman race. Then

(01:00:58):
you've got the New York's seventeenth district, that's the lawlor
he went up against Mahoney Nebraska's second district. We just
talked about New Mexico's second district, which is that one
is apparently like abortion and immigration are the biggest issues there.
It's a rematch between a Democrat incumbent and a former

(01:01:19):
Republican rep. And then you have Alaska has an at
large district. So those are the five races that are
ultimately a lot are saying that are going to determine
the control of the House. Now in terms of excuse me,
in terms of who's going to we're projected, I think
that Republicans are going to keep the Senate at fifty

(01:01:39):
one seats, although they could I think take more of them.
They could actually end up getting more than just the
fifty one seats. But for I think Republicans may there's
a lot of toss ups, a lot of toss up rates.
Ten are Democrats, there are twelve Republican toss up races.

(01:02:03):
You have more toss up and lane Democrat races than
you do Republicans, so they definitely have a lot more
ground that they have to defend. But it's there's a possible.
I mean, we could take the House in the Senate,
and we could take the White House. All of that's
going to depend on how well Trump performs and what
the turnout is going to be.

Speaker 9 (01:02:21):
Like.

Speaker 2 (01:02:22):
If you have crushing, huge, crushing, huge Republican turnout and
you have all like, for instance, and you have in
Pennsylvania that Senate race Casey, if he's defeated, that's a
very interesting sign. I mean, there's a really there's a change.
You could sweep all three. There's a chance that this

(01:02:44):
could be, in terms of the amount of seats taken,
more of a victory for Trump than in twenty sixteen,
or it could be like twenty twenty. I know, super
helpful in it. It's so close, guys. That's what happened
when it's this close and everything's decided in the margins.
It's when it's this close, and when you have the

(01:03:05):
plurality of voters that are non major party voters, meaning
they're not hardcore Republicans, they're not hardcore Democrats, that's a
huge issue. So two odds and ends, steel workers been
showing it for Trump and Pittsburgh bucking the union that
endorsed Terris. This is a political piece. Not the first
time that something like this has happened. Someone said he

(01:03:26):
saved us once with tariffs. Interesting. Yeah, the union bosses
that supported her, but the union workers would not. And
then a survey that came out and this is actually
a decent survey. I looked at this last night before
choosing to include this today. It's from Axios and swing
state college students. She's leading, now, that's fine. She can
lead as much as she wants to with swing state

(01:03:47):
college students. They don't turn out to vote as much
as older voters do, so kind of interesting. I want
to switch gears here. One cultural touchstone you need to
know about this update. Do you guys remember the alge
and boxer and main Kielf khalif, a main khalif. Remember
that boxer who wanted to fight women and a main

(01:04:10):
kliff Algerian French. And they were saying that no, no, no,
he's a she, and I mean he was beating the
hell out of the female opponents. And then they tried
to say that, oh no, no, he she has a
They were calling her sheet and saying that, oh, well,
you know he has a very unique health. Uh uh differentiation.

(01:04:31):
You know, the the chromosomes, all this stuff. Well, apparently
Khalif has lady balls. Uh there's a this, no, no, no,
French media got the medical report revealing that he has
quote testicles. I know you're shocked. He won a gold
medal in women's boxing at Paras Olympics. He's a man.

(01:04:52):
He has testicles. I'm saying factual, scientific words, Kane. He
had giant amounts of testosterone. Okay, huge amounts of testosterone. Yeah,

(01:05:12):
because he's got lady balls. So they said that he
has also and I'm gonna try it, Okay, five alpha
reduct taste deficiency. It's a disorder. It's sexual development disorder,
only uniquely singularly found in biological males. Hmm, so he's

(01:05:39):
a dude. Remember the Olympic committee was like no, no, no.
He said he's a dude, and he looked down his
pants and we trust him. He's bigger, he hits harder.
I mean he's a dude. He has testosterone. I mean
his game meets were functioning his Yeah, so I don't

(01:06:02):
know how Like, does that mean he has to give
up his gold medal? What does that mean? Hmm? Does
he have to give up his gold medal. I mean,
he's proven a dude, So I'm curious. I don't know
what that means. I don't know how that works. I'm
not gonna pretend that I know it works, but I
just feel like, you know, he this all was proven,

(01:06:26):
so there should be an apology. Because all of the
women who were complaining about this, they were called bigots
and name called and all this stuff. So now turns
out that this he's actually dude. Fortunate knew that they
had a I remember what remember when the International Boxing
Association hold a press conference and they were trying to
like shame everyone into shutting up, and then they they

(01:06:48):
said that they confirmed repeatedly the IBA that Khalif had
faced failed multiple chromosomal tests, but they couldn't release they
weren't able to release it, uh from the because of
the Algerian Olympic Committee. So the Algerian, the AOC, the
Algerian interesting Olympic Committee was trying to hide all this stuff.
They knew. They all knew they let a dude go in.

(01:07:08):
They knew it. This was not a secret. So coming
up a couple of things. Nevada's early voting is interesting too,
so far, Republicans are out performing Democrats, and the Democrats,
though their mail in ballots are starting to swamp Republicans

(01:07:33):
mail in ballot ballots. Republicans will win unless Harris wins
over the independence. She has to have a huge number
of independence. They're not breaking for her. That's the other
interesting thing. Like the day, the voters that are voting
that didn't vote in twenty twenty are not breaking for Harris,

(01:07:53):
so that's going to be interesting as well. So we're
gonna watch all of this, and we have some of
the latest news from actual pulling places and the shenanigans
that are taking place sys some things to watch for.
We're going to get into all of that and more.
We have Florida Man on the way as we move

(01:08:14):
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Speaker 4 (01:09:12):
It's his life mission to make bad decisions. It's time
for Florida man.

Speaker 2 (01:09:22):
Mmm, so this guy a Florida. A Florida man threatened
a state trooper with a gun and a bomb place
hed to send out traffic alerts for residents to stay
away from the area. Thirty nine year old man threatened
a state trooper at a local wah wah saying, quote,

(01:09:42):
he better back up because I got a gun and
a bomb. Did he have either though.

Speaker 5 (01:09:48):
Uh.

Speaker 2 (01:09:48):
The Port Saint Lucy police arrived. The guy tried to
drive to the wah Wah off a tradition parkway.

Speaker 1 (01:09:53):
Uh.

Speaker 2 (01:09:53):
He crashed into two officers and troopers attempted to block
him in. They did immobilize him and they did take
him into custody. He did not have a bomb. He
laed gone in a bomb like everything I can think
of just to stop getting arrested. A Florida man slimmed
into a telephone pole where I running from deputies who
busted him for drugs during a traffic stop. Spring Hill Man.

(01:10:17):
He smacked into a telephone pole while running away from
a car filled with drugs, so they pulled him over.
His name is Scott Schweerian and Heidi Reynolds were pulled
over by deputies and they saw a rolled cigar containing
most pot. Then they found a pillbox literally with the

(01:10:38):
word Xanax written on it that had I don't even
know what this pill is. I don't know how alpha
alfraz lamb oh Black Betty alf razzle lamb the lamb.
I don't even know what it is. Two separate baggies
with fentanyl residue inside. So they were trying to detain them,
and there was a scuffle and then they found syringes

(01:10:59):
filled with than all kinds of stuff and the guy
tried to run away. Yeah, he did not literally run
into with a with a car. He ran into it
with his person with his legs. He ran right into
a telephone pole and it knocked him down and they
were able to detain him. Makes it funnier, doesn't it,

(01:11:19):
Because it went in a car. He ran right into
a telephone pole. How do you run like physically into
a telephone pole? Like was he? I don't know. He
got charged with more things than I'm going to read.
And the bond is like a thirty thousand dollars. Yeah,
there you go. Uh, let's hear. Oh man, let's see
that's heavy. Let's do uh you know, we got the

(01:11:40):
guy who's been by a shark. Oh, we can talk
about the woman who stole seven thousand dollars in returns
from the Dollar General that she used to work out.
How do you seven thousand? Isn't that like a whole
Dollar General store is seven thousand dollars? So that's what
this She looks like one too. Lee County Sheriff's Office
her name is Dominique mccurty. Kine. How do you spell dominique.

Speaker 4 (01:12:06):
Do o am i in.

Speaker 2 (01:12:09):
Rown kine Dominique McCarty. Here her name is do o
m y n k in q ueie oh domia niku mccurty.
She used fake refunds and applied them to her debit
cards over the course of I am going to make
fun of that spelling of that name, absolutely, I am,
I mean good night. She said she needed the money

(01:12:30):
for an upcoming move and was finance and the future
costs associated with it, and so they said that she
would scan. They have a fifty dollars toy at the
Dollar General, a toy called Squeaky Dino multiple times to
make the returns. She was charged with larceny and defrauding
to obtain property valued at less than twenty thousand dollars.

(01:12:53):
That's crazy. Yeah, her name, I mean, I wouldn't guess
that she was gonna be a criminal with a spelling
of her name, but you know, good heavens uh this.
Let's see, a Florida man threatens to kill everybody, like
literally everyone, but then he decided to break them up
into you know, more organized demographics. Nathaniel James Holmes, fifty one.

(01:13:16):
He threatened to kill the children of one victim and
all of their Jewish friends and all of their African
American friends online good night, Jacksonville, Florida. This fifty one
year old Nathaniel Holmes, he got charged with four kinds
of transmitting interstate threats to injure people and he could
face twenty years in prison. So apparently he got I

(01:13:37):
guess he got into a fight with somebody online and he,
you know, very or in an organized fashion, threatened to everybody.
So he was this was like that Clint East would like,
I'm gonna, you know, if anybody starts beating up any
more of these wars, I'm gonna come after you. And
what is it kill your family and your dog too.
So he was like, I'm gonna go after your children
and all your Jewish friends and also your African American friends.

(01:14:00):
So you say something that's like racist and anti Semitic,
but then you used African America. You're very careful about
your language. Like people are confusing. This dude is confusing
to me. Anyway, he could go to jail for a
long time because you can't make death threats digitally, and
Florida has a special different applications of law over it.
So our third hour is on the way and coming up.

(01:14:24):
My friend Glenn Reynolds aka instapundent law professor, what happens
after the election, We're gonna talk stick with us.

Speaker 10 (01:14:33):
If we don't show up tomorrow, it is entirely possible
that we will not have the opportunity to ever cast
a ballot.

Speaker 2 (01:14:43):
Oh my gosh, this is so stupid. That's just one
of the dumbest things that I've ever heard. This language
that Democrats are engaging in whenever they go out there
and try to scare people into voting is just asinine.
That's Oprah Wimfrey, who was there campaigning with Kamala Harris
last night. It was a late night in Pennsylvania, and
it showcases that Kamala Harris her we talked about this

(01:15:04):
last hour. If you want to go back into the
podcast archives to look or to listen, she's clearly trying
to make a play for that, for the blue Wall,
for the electoral College. She wants to shore up Michigan
and Wisconsin. She wants to shore up Pennsylvania, where Trump
has only had a point three lead going into it.
They're trying to bank all those early votes so that

(01:15:25):
they can withstand the deluge of same day Republican voting.
And I don't know if it helps her to have
these celebrities out there, especially in like Pennsylvania, to have
celebrities and people like Oprah Winfrey out there to campaign
for her. I just don't know if that's helpful for
her to have. And I also think that this language
is asinine. I mean, he was president before, so why

(01:15:48):
didn't he do that? Trump was literally in the White
House for four years. Why didn't he do it? Then? Kamala,
he's going to do something that he didn't do when
he was president the first time. He's never gonna let
you vote again. Do you see? This is asinine? But
they're worried. She spent a lot of time in Pennsylvania
and that wasn't Democrats had to do a U turn

(01:16:08):
because when it was Biden, Biden's play, as I was explaining,
for his electoral pathway he was going to go for,
I mean going to he had a blue wall. He
took the blue wall in twenty twenty, but he underperformed
Democrats previously in those states. Trump busts through the blue
wall like the Kool aid Man. Back in twenty sixteen,
Biden underperformed. I think that they were anticipating Biden doing

(01:16:30):
poorly in those states, so they were going to try
to make a play for Georgia. But then they swapped
them out. Harris is going to have a harder time
in Georgia, so they were trying to She was performing
better in Pennsylvania than in Georgia, So they were going
to make that play and have that blue wall and
hope that that holds. And I was telling you what
the different and I don't want to go through it
all again, but you can go back in the archives

(01:16:50):
and listen in minute detail what that would look like
if she even were to be successful. But it all
comes down to turnout. All of this comes to to turnout.
At this point, Republicans have done a really, really good job.
I wish they would have started earlier. As my only complaint,
and you guys know this because I've talked about it
for a year and a half now. They going into

(01:17:11):
twenty twenty, Democrats had a six hundred thousand plus advantage
of registered voters over Republican registered voters. Republicans have whittled
that down to half. So there I think it was
something like three hundred almost three hundred thousand additional registered
voters for Republicans. So they cut the deficit for that,

(01:17:35):
So hopefully everybody gets out in votes now going into
election day. In twenty twenty, Joe Biden had over a
million dollar a million dollars, sorry, he had over a
million votes going into election day, so he banked over
a million votes and had that advantage going into election day.

(01:17:58):
The margin in New Hampshire, well, the margin, and I'm
trying to think because in these states looking at the
sover and over're gonna in pennsyl So in Pennsylvania, I
was trying to think he had like a few thousand
advantage in Michigan a few and and it didn't materialize

(01:18:20):
for him. In Pennsylvania it was over a million, but
he only ended up with like eighty thousand. He won
that state by a little over eighty and twenty twenty
I wrote about this if you follow along on Substack,
the newsletter. I got into some of that because in
twenty twenty, I'm going back there with me. Got a

(01:18:42):
lot of stuff here. So in twenty twenty, it was
eighty thousand, five hundred and eighty two approximately, That was
how much Biden won the state. Now, the reason I'm
saying this is because I'm looking at early voting here
and the registered registered Democrats that have voted, but or not.
You just you just note that these are Democrats that

(01:19:03):
have voted. You're not noting who they're voting for. He
carried a one point one million vote advantage going into
election day in twenty twenty, but he literally only won Pennsylvania,
the Keystone state, by eighty thousand, five hundred eighty thousand,
five hundred and eighty two votes. Think about that for
a moment again, A million registered voters one point one

(01:19:26):
million had that advantage going into election day. Democrats that
Pennsylvania was previously a stronghold, Philly was a stronghold, but
the margin was eighty barely over eighty thousand. And the
reason I bring this up again, Harris is going into

(01:19:49):
election day with four hundred and twelve thousand compared to
Biden's one point one million. So that's almost a million
fewer votes that she's going into election day with. So
in Philly for her to be successful, I mean, they

(01:20:10):
have to have a get out the vote unlike anything
they've ever seen in Philly. I don't know. And that's yeah,
that's where d Stephen Notes's where the Oprah rally was.
It is really hard to get a massive amount of

(01:20:31):
same day voting out of an area that has already
shown it is not going to turn out heavy for
early voting. So I don't know how Democrats are going
to score a win with that. And again this is

(01:20:52):
after Republicans have whittled that deficit, the six hundred thousand
registered from twenty twenty down to three hundred and something thousand.
For instance, in Philly, they're not coming out in droves.
They didn't come out in droves or early voting. Democrats
did not. Uh, that's a problem. This is why she's

(01:21:13):
like living in Philly right now. This is why now
what you're going to hear from Democrats. And I heard
this a lot. I heard it in twenty sixteen, I
heard it in twenty eighteen, I heard it in twenty twenty,
I heard it in twenty two the cannibalization of same
day votes. So you have, you know, brand new Republicans
and then they and then they don't come out and vote.

(01:21:36):
And by and I had a friend that I was
talking to a friend of mine who was saying, well,
and this is a great point. By definition, they're brand
new Republican voters if they've just been registered, so they're
not the traditional type of Republican. They're already considered a
low propensity voter because they're brand new Republican voter. And

(01:22:02):
it is also hard for brand new registered voters. It
is not as difficult, but it is still kind of
a fight to also get a high level turnout from
that demo. So I'm just giving you the lay of
the lamb what Republicans have to deal with and what
Democrats have to deal with, to give you it's harder

(01:22:23):
to be Harris in Pennsylvania. Oh, believe that a hell
of a lot harder. I'm already told you before that
you need to entirely ignore exit pulls. Their trash. They
are trash, absolute trash. The whole purpose of a stupid exepolese.
You're collecting data about what voters are worried about, what

(01:22:46):
is motivating voters, and you're looking at what demo is
turning out here and all of this and it's supposed
to be useful and helping to determine why the outcome
was the way that it was. But they don't really
tell you what the outcome is. They just tell you
why it is, and then they always correct them after
the facts. So it's garbage. It's absolutely garbage, and they're meaningless.

(01:23:07):
So just ignore them. You already know going in, and
they get less accurate as we get, as the closer
we get. I will say, let's see a couple of things.
There's a lot of gains that Trump has made a
lot of gains. I know that it's neck and neck.
I know that it's in some battleground states Trump is

(01:23:30):
like leading within a point and in some she's leading
within a point, so they're like virtually tied. But I will,
I'll keep saying that I still think it's way better
to be Trump than it is Harris by far by
far So no one knows, like I said, And this

(01:23:52):
is how I started the piece last night. Not as
single person knows what's going to happen right now. It's
that close. Even the most honest polsters out there. I
think Dave Wasserman over at Cook is phenomenal. Nate silver
Will says at least transparent. They're even saying they're acknowledging
how close it is. It all comes down to turnout.

(01:24:14):
Turnout is always factored into every major Republican loss. Turnout
was the reason that the the and the Tea Party
was instrumental in this getting voters out to take back
the House in twenty ten. It was they were instrumental.
They were instrumental in helping take back the House this
last time. Coming out, you know, a deluge of Republican voters.

(01:24:37):
Whenever Republicans turn out, the wins are undeniable. This is
the rights election to lose. Democrats can't do any more
than they've already done. They can't, they cannot, They cannot
do any more than they've already done. It is the

(01:24:57):
rights to lose. So so it comes down to enthusiasm.
And you measure this by how many people are coming
off early voting, what are some of the how are
some of the state the down ballot races performing. And
this is where it gets real tricky for Democrats in Pennsylvania.
I'm focusing a lot on Pennsylvania because I ultimately think

(01:25:19):
that that's the key. Clearly, you know that Democrats are
making that their last stand because Harris is spent an
inornanate amount of time there. And that's what you know.
You can't rely on the exit polling, but you can
rely on where the candidates are going. She's obviously terrified
that she's not going to be able to keep up
that blue wall. She is trying to hold that wall. Now,

(01:25:45):
one of the things that I think is accurate is
that the this is kind of it's like anecdotal, but
in heavily blue areas and in heavily red areas, the
turnout is high. You've got to measure who's higher. Yeah,
that's that'll come up. But I think that the motivation

(01:26:10):
is enthusiasm on the right and discord on the left. Now,
think about that, they're not the same. Are you more
motivated if you're really enthusiastic about going and casting that ballot,
or if you're like, I hate this person so I
gotta I just I have to vote against them. What
motivates you more? Think about it? I mean it's psychological.

(01:26:38):
Let's see, New Hampshire is a nothing burger. Sorry if
you're there, but you know, I don't really can I
don't really see it as being anything. Determination determining the competitiveness.
I don't believe in the shy Trump voter thing. I
don't believe that's a narrative everybody's. It's like polsters are
going back and forth on it, and that all comes
down to Nate cone Over at the New York Times,

(01:27:00):
who had said, oh, Trump voters that are less likely
to talk to me than Harris voters. He came up.
I mean, it's basically from his stuff that people are
taking the shy Trump thing, don't. I don't want people
to take that and think it's a real thing, because
I feel like it gives people an excuse to be
to relax a little bit, and I don't want people
to relax every I mean, there needs to be a
nervous deluge at the polls. So it's again when the

(01:27:26):
ballot ballots are counted, that's what matters. Now. Speaking of that,
we got to talk about some Shenanigans. Lorraine has a
piece up right now Election Shenanigan. She's got two pieces
of up, part one and part two. Because you and
she gets into the FCC stuff. She also gets in
the voting lines in Philly, gets into some of the

(01:27:47):
packs with the with the television ads, and then lawsuits
everywhere in Pennsylvania over the ballot and going to vote.
In all of that, there was a video where she
was saying that it was a guy who's claiming to
be Haitian who was saying that he voted in Georgia.
But she was like sussing that out and saying that
she thinks it's a troll, and she goes into a

(01:28:08):
deep dive into why she thinks it's actually not a
real video. But there are issues in Georgia. There have
been lawsuits, as she notes, and filed in Fulton and
other counties because they've been accepting absentee balance that like
drop off locations over the weekend, and that doesn't go along.
I mean, I don't know how that Georgia changed their law.
And remember when they did it, I was super critical.

(01:28:30):
I'm like they changed it because of COVID and I
actually think they made it more relaxed. And so there's
a lot of argument over whether or not the Republican
Party understood the terminology and the reading of those election
procedures in Georgia as so is that an offense or not.
But you need to go and read this piece because
she gets into the Colorado stuff with the password thing
and all of it. So there are some things that

(01:28:51):
are happening. That's why the turnout has to You have
to overcome margin of error and margin of fraud.

Speaker 3 (01:28:59):
And now all of the news you would probably miss.
It's time for Dana's Quick five.

Speaker 2 (01:29:07):
So the Fed is considering again, Federal Reserve is looking
to cut rates while facing a hazy post election outlook.
Are they going to cut rates again? Are they? Though?
It's not doing anything because they once stop spunting. They
said that their move two days after the election. With inflation,
they say, inflation's cooling, and so the Fed is set

(01:29:29):
to cut interest rates for a second time this year,
which makes sense to cut the rates. If inflation's gone, right,
it's going away, so let's cut the rates again. It
makes all the sense in the world, doesn't it. That's
what one does, you know, when the inflation's cooling. I
just I feel like all these people missed the economics
class that we were all required to take as college freshmen,
but maybe not so. And they keep trying to say, well,

(01:29:50):
you know, if the economy's struggling right now, it's because
of Trump's proposals for tariffs, et cetera. I don't believe
that that's a whole other topic two on tariff that's
separate from this. And no, this is not the effect
that they're No. Let's see, so a US soldier who
is injured during a Gaza peer operation has passed away.
I know that's what we did it as an Brighten

(01:30:12):
did it as a vanity exercise. And so now this
soldier who is in critical condition, he suffered non combat
injuries while supporting the military's peer off of Gaza, and
remember it was attacked by terrorists, and so now he's
passed away. According to the US military, this happened yesterday,
suffered critical injuries while supporting these operations. I mean, this
is another Biden Harris soldier of fatality coming up, Glenn Reynolds,

(01:30:34):
what happens after the election, we'll talk Stick with Us.

Speaker 6 (01:30:38):
The Danish show podcast You're fast, funny and informative news
companion for those always on the move. Subscribe on YouTube,
Apple or wherever you get your podcasts.

Speaker 2 (01:30:49):
I wish all of our candidates were like Alice Cooper
in this video. I want to be elected. That would
just make it so much more fun, would it not?
It would be so great? What like a glam goth
like old Rock election that we welcome back Dania last
year with you. You can listen coast to coast watch
US on Channel three forty seven Direct TV as well.
So I read, I mean, I know, yes, I know
it's election day, but you also kind of have to

(01:31:10):
think a couple of days ahead, right, So not only
we have to think about election day, we got to
think what happens you know, after we get after we
get the football, what happens you know, Charlie Brown gets
a football then what So we we kind of have
to think, like what are we going to do with
all of that, you know, with the consent of the voters. Now,

(01:31:31):
I liked one of the things that I thought was,
you know, I like that Malai down in Argentina. He
went in and like took a machette and started slashing
rhetorically everything. And I was thinking to this literally right
when this hit my inbox. It's called thoughts on the
post election. My friend Glenn Reynold's the great esteemed instapundent
lord of all social media, even though he left it

(01:31:52):
because he hates it, and rightfully so I thought this
was a I thought he needs to actually advise. If
the Trump campaign gets in there, just call Glenn and
I have him tell you what to do, because he
lays it all out in this. You can find him
at instapundent dot subsect dot com and we'll throw the
link down there as well. But Glenn joins us now
via Skype. My good friend Knoxville, Knoxville, Tennessee, law professor.

(01:32:12):
He's a scholar, he's a man of many talents. It's
good to see you. I like what you what you
put here. I would love for him to go m
a lifestyle and just cut and slash and then bring
in Elon Musk two trillion cut. What would the toadys,
what would the bureaucrets do if that happened.

Speaker 13 (01:32:30):
Well, the beauty is they probably would be caught on
the back foot because they're not good at moving fast.
They're good at moving sort of undercover undetectively as they
undercut you. And I think you just have to get
inside their decision loop and just you know, shock.

Speaker 8 (01:32:46):
It all all the way. And I think when Trump.

Speaker 13 (01:32:48):
Came in last time, after he'd been in for several months,
I wrote just a little post on my blog where
I said, you know, he's losing position because they're not
moving fast enough. They should have had bills delivering on
campaign promises lined up like airplanes.

Speaker 8 (01:33:06):
On a runway.

Speaker 13 (01:33:07):
Instead, you know, they focused on that one tax bill
that the GOP establishment liked, and that was a mistake
because once they passed that, the establishment didn't really need
him anymore was free to start stabbing him in the back.

Speaker 8 (01:33:18):
So he needs to be more strategic. He needs to
basically just.

Speaker 13 (01:33:22):
Overwhelm the media and the bureaucracy with change, change, change,
before they can react. It's sort of like you know,
saturating the targeting system on missiles or something. Just have
so many things incoming at once that they can't react
and just move super fast. And I'm kind of encouraged.

(01:33:42):
I mean, I think he was very naive in twenty sixteen.
He thought that because he was the Republican president, the
Republican Party would just basically support him, and he could
put Republican stalwarts in his office holders and they would
support him, and of course that turned out not to
be true. I think he knows better now, and I
think turning elon he's a very good sign. Uh, and

(01:34:02):
Elon is actually very good at thinking strategically. And he's
got a lot of other people now on his side
who are very good at thinking strategically, and I expect it,
including Jade Vans and Vivac and so on, and I
think he's gonna unleash them all.

Speaker 2 (01:34:17):
Yeah, you make a really good point talking with our
friend Glenn Reynolds, who's a best selling author and of
course the famed instapundit about his piece over at Substack
and what to expect after election, that you make a
really good point about moving fast because I felt like,
and I go back to Malai in Argentina, because it
felt like that's what he did. He worked so fast
the headlines couldn't keep up with him. We all here

(01:34:37):
in the United States, we're watching it, like every day
he's cutting, like you know, and here's another billion and
another billion. Here, Oh it's been two hours. He's cut
twenty billion dollars and that's I mean, it only does
it seem it seems massive, like massive amounts of money
to us, but only in you know, government bureaucracies. Is
it actually you know, considered small. But this is of course, Glenn,

(01:34:59):
we he gets into the White House without a lot
of issue the inauguration in twenty sixteen. I mean the destruction,
the fires, the assault, everything that was taking place. I
mean they I think the left actually kind of likes
it when they lose because they love writing. They love
cheating and writing. And we saw, and I know you've seen,

(01:35:21):
they've been boarding up businesses. Our friend Ben Shapiro said
it was like Trump passover, Like these businesses are like
putting up the boards and like, please don't come and
get us. You know, I mean, do you if he wins,
do you expect number one, that widespread kind of destruction
and number two is anybody in DC left to move
to counter it.

Speaker 13 (01:35:42):
I do think that will happen again. I mean, you know,
I was one of my friends who was sort of
depressed about the election. I was trying to cheer up
and I was like, well, look, they're not boarding up
DC because they think Kamla is gonna win. So I
think that although given the way the left is nowadays,
they righted any excuse, I guess, but yeah, I think
that Frankly, all these riots and blue communities help Republicans

(01:36:06):
and hurt Democrats. I mean, they make certain democratic constituencies
feel good about themselves. But in overall, if Trump wins
this time, as seems likely, it's going to be no
small part in reaction to all this lawlessness. And even
a lot of people who live in blue communities who
are initially sort of supportive of it are over it now.
I actually talk to a Democrat friend the other day

(01:36:28):
who said that if Trump wins, it's going to be
because of what she calls the CBS effect, where everybody's
sick of going into drug stories and seeing everything locked
up because of you know, untrammeled shoplifting and stuff. So
there's that now, there may be some resistance in Congress.
There's a tweet going around now, which is which Jamie
Raskin claims is fate, where he said you can vote

(01:36:48):
for Trump if you want, but we're not going to
certify him for the election. And that's dated like yesterday. However,
he said more or less the same thing back in August,
and it was reported all over in Politico and stuff. Uh,
if it's a super close election, the Democrats may try
to pull some sort of you know, insurrection fourteenth Amendment
claim to block Trump. Now, if that happens, there are

(01:37:10):
two things that you could do. One is Trump could
ask his followers to just all come to d C
and he could probably have two or three million people
in d C in very short order. And I think
the establishment would back down on that, and I call
that the yeltsin on a tank strategy. The flip side
of it is he can also just say, okay, fine,
you know your new president is now jd. Vance and

(01:37:32):
by the way, he's eligible for two terms and I'll
be his advisor.

Speaker 8 (01:37:36):
So is that what you want, Jamie.

Speaker 2 (01:37:39):
That's actually it's really it's a.

Speaker 13 (01:37:41):
Stupid idea, which I mean, I think is being touted
mostly to satisfy some not very bright democratic constituencies, which,
to be fair, is mostly Raskin's constituency. But I mean
it would be moronic and counterproductive for them to do it.
So if they want to try, they can live with
the results.

Speaker 2 (01:38:01):
Yeah, I feel like they're already trying to put the
wheels in motion if there is a Trump victory, like
especially in Kenaan and I talked about it before, and
we've had a Charles pain On, We've talked about the economy.
I just I'm waiting for the debt bomb. You've written
about this. I'm waiting for this like economic eruption, and
they're going to turn around and be like, well, see
we told you elected Trump. It's all his fault.

Speaker 8 (01:38:22):
See, they can do that.

Speaker 13 (01:38:23):
But I just want to remind you what Rob Emmanuel says,
which is, never let a crisis go to waste. If
you're looking to cut the federal government by say sixty percent,
a debt collapse is the perfect time to do it.
You just have to tell people, yeah, we've defaulted, we're broke.
You know, all these people who are squealing about us
abolishing the Department of Education, moving the FBI headquarters to

(01:38:44):
an abandoned warehouse in Plattsburgh, New York, and stuff like that.

Speaker 8 (01:38:49):
Sorry, there's no money, you guys spent it all. We're
just having to clean up the mess now.

Speaker 13 (01:38:53):
And I can tell you from the university setting that
the only time you can successfully cut budgets at a
university as will, you're in a financial crisis. And I
think that's probably true for the US government too, that
a financial crisis is actually the only time you can
release slash budgets. And that's actually what Melle did. I mean,
that's that's his excuse or his you know, opportunity is

(01:39:14):
they were broke, they were defaulting. The previous administration had
once again spent them into bankruptcy, and so he's like,
I got to clean up this mess, and the public supported.

Speaker 8 (01:39:24):
Him, and you know, I don't know.

Speaker 13 (01:39:26):
I've written about the debt bomb pretty recently on my
substack as well, and as I've said, people have been
saying it's going to explode on us any day now
for literally as long as I've been alive. But something
that can't go on forever won't, and it can't go
on forever. It's getting steadily worse. My wife is suspicious
that the Federal Reserve is just waiting to pull the

(01:39:46):
trigger and have everything collapse after Trump's elected.

Speaker 2 (01:39:50):
I kind of maybe I might, doctor Helen. I think
might beyond is something I'm I identify with some of
that Tiger there friend Glenn Reynolds. Last thing for you, Glenn,
who I know, it's like reading a crystal ball at
this point, or like a magic eight ball or something
that you can just shake him peer into. I don't know.
I mean, it's so close, but I feel like there

(01:40:13):
are some signs that after the fact, we're gonna look
back and go, why didn't we know? Oh, that makes sense,
we should have known that it was a victory there
or whatever. What do you think is gonna happen to night?

Speaker 8 (01:40:23):
I mean, I you know, I'm not a good predictor.

Speaker 13 (01:40:27):
My gut says Trump's gonna win, and he's gonna win
pretty soundly. I put a little graphic at the top
of my substack, and it wasn't very serious, but I
just went through an election calculator and sort of picked
all the states I thought Trump had a chance of
waiting significantly, and I even left a couple out that
would be sort of a long shot that I wouldn't
roll out completely, and that had him been like three

(01:40:48):
point forty one, it looks pretty convincing.

Speaker 8 (01:40:50):
Will he get that? Who knows?

Speaker 13 (01:40:52):
I will say in twenty sixteen, I was a lot
less optimistic than this, and this election feels more to
me like twenty sixteen. Then it feels like twenty twenty. Yeah,
And in twenty twenty, the Democrats claim was we'll bring
things back to normal after all the chaos of Trump,
which of course was chaos they mostly created. But now
they can't say that because they could even more chaos

(01:41:14):
when they're in power.

Speaker 8 (01:41:15):
Now Trump looks like the normal guy.

Speaker 2 (01:41:17):
Yeah, that's how bad Democrats are. They hated him so
bad they made him look like more normal compared to them.
I don't it's going to be interesting either way. So
hopefully nothing will burn Tonight. We'll see Glenn Reynolds o
instapundon at substack, because that'll be another essay that I read.
Always going to sue my friend, thank.

Speaker 8 (01:41:33):
You, thank you.

Speaker 6 (01:41:36):
Subscribe to the Dana Show podcast because who says you
can't make fun of people while staying informed on your
own personal time? Subscribe on YouTube, Apple, or wherever you
get your podcast.

Speaker 2 (01:41:48):
I still maintain that the biggest realization and the you know,
really the epitaph of Kamala Harris's political career is going
to be not picking Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania. What they
did in that selection has done more to divide and

(01:42:08):
splinter their own side than anything that Republicans could have
ever done. And I honestly do not think that the
full measure of that has will be has been felt.
I don't think this election will be the last measure
of it either. I really do believe that they are
going to and it's not because he was like you

(01:42:30):
know some you know, super kid, super governor, superman guy,
you know, like in the party. It's because it clearly
was an opposition to him being Jewish. That's why he
wasn't selected. And there are so many people who that
really hit in the Democrat Party. And like I said,

(01:42:53):
that full measure is still to come. Now we have
gone over electoral college. You need to go to sub
stack Lorraine Hash She's been following the Shenanigans over there
at different polling sites and there is a lot they're
gonna be false claims about different machines and things like that.

(01:43:16):
Be very careful what you believe because a lot of
stuff that comes out today is just it's there are
there are some agitators on the right then you that's
most of the left. So much of it is going
to be pure propaganda. Just keep a singular focus. You
did your part. If you haven't, you better go do it,
and you better make sure that sounded like a parent lucturing.

(01:43:38):
I don't mean descent, but yeah, you better go do it.
And then you better make sure that everyone you know
has voted, everybody that you know has voted, and then
after that you just need to keep focus and then
just keep a clear head and be cool. Just that's
all you gotta That's all you gotta do. Uh. But
you know, ultimately, hopefully, I'm it's so close, and I'm

(01:44:05):
it's so close that I don't even want a forecast.
I will say I think we'll take the Senate. I
feel pretty confident in that, and I didn't feel confident
about the House a couple of months ago. I feel
a lot better about the House tonight. But it's the
White House that's very close. And I know you also
have to be cautious in yes, use down ticket to

(01:44:27):
measure the health at the top of the ticket. But also,
what is the other thing, the last thing that I've
told you about too, split ticket voting. It's not one
hundred percent to look at down ballot to give you
an indication of top a ticket. You got to keep
that in mind. Split ticket voting. All of these trends
usually emerge, of course, after the ballots are counted. So

(01:44:49):
I'm going to be on the notes section of substack tonight.
I'll be popping in it out on Facebook and on
X and I have I'll be up on the first
a couple of things, and obviously we're going to recap
everything tomorrow in minute detail, but you know, just remember
you should not feel and I don't want anyone if

(01:45:12):
there isn't a victory. I don't want people to feel
crestfallen in or to feel despair, because so long as
you have in this republic good people who want to
do good things and stand for good values. As long
as you have people willing to do that, then you

(01:45:32):
have a republic, and you have a republic worth saving.
Nothing is soever far gone unless you allow it to
be so. And remember this is a generational fight. You're
not going to solve all of the nation's problems in
one night, So don't take too much up on yourself
and give yourself a little bright relax, exhale, because no

(01:45:54):
matter what, there are options. Hopefully it's a victory tonight.
It's very close, so just pray about it. So I
just don't want people to be like I because I
have friends who are texting me. They're like, oh my gosh,
where are you at? And I'm like talking texting my
friends and like walking them back off the cliff. I'm like, Okay,
chill out, chill out come on. Let's just be now.
I will say I'm not going to promise not to

(01:46:15):
be an insufferable brat tomorrow if things go a certain way.
You know, I'm just saying. I'm not saying I'm trying
so hard not to tempt fate with shottenfreude. But you
know what I mean. Okay, today's stupidity came. There was
so much to choose from today, like so you can't
play it all at once.

Speaker 14 (01:46:34):
I can't play it all at once, but I thought
we'd go ahead and decide. Wisconsin's Democrat party chair his
name is Benjamin Wickler. He says, look, guys, yeah, we're
underperforming right now.

Speaker 4 (01:46:47):
But now listen to this.

Speaker 9 (01:46:50):
The absentee ballots and the end person watching day votes.
So that means that you're going to see a red
mirage where it seems like Trump is doing better than
he actually is associated because they haven't counted and reported
those absentee ballots yet. And then the blueshift when those
those ballots are introduced to add to the totals that
could be in the middle of the night.

Speaker 2 (01:47:09):
It certainly was, and that's not how this works.

Speaker 4 (01:47:12):
To prepare everyone for a big steal, but it's not.

Speaker 2 (01:47:16):
Happening, so dumb. Yeah, that was that one's folks that
does it for us this election day, Go and vote
because your country depends on it. We're going to recap
all of this tomorrow. Find us on Substack, on YouTube,
on Facebook, on x God bless go vote, do it

(01:47:37):
for the country back tomorrow

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