October 3, 2024 • 35 mins
Manaia & ACC Head G Lane are back to chat with Karl from the TAB pore over the weekend's odds, opportunities and omens. From the NRL (00:00), the UFC (08:03), the NFL (13:25) and the Mega Millions is coming (15:49)!
Then this week's 'Grab A Pen' (22:43) and 'Stats To Impress The Ladies' (26:43).
Plus, the latest ThreeWay (30:30)...
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Life the Next World Be Again Studio. This is the
a SEC Sports Book powered by the tab.
Speaker 2 (00:05):
Acc Sports Book.
Speaker 3 (00:07):
Thanks to the tab.
Speaker 1 (00:09):
And welcome back and Carlos good I, Cal, how are
you getting on, Matte good Fellas?
Speaker 3 (00:14):
Good Man?
Speaker 4 (00:15):
The studio is looking flash.
Speaker 5 (00:17):
Yep, yeah, we got a Not only do we go
on a bender, but while we went on on a bender,
they rebuild our studio.
Speaker 2 (00:23):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (00:24):
I have to apologize for the two carcasses sitting in
the studio, but the studio itself does look better and
it looks incredible as the last week and a half
of your life been, carl.
Speaker 3 (00:35):
I'll be honest, I've missed this. This is probably the
highlight of my week at the end of a way.
I mean, just just sitting in my little Wednesday studio,
but my little room here, just talking to myself for
an hour every Friday.
Speaker 2 (00:49):
Have you still been going through it? It's still been
going through the motions.
Speaker 4 (00:52):
Yet to keep you got to keep form somehow.
Speaker 1 (00:56):
That's right up towards the end of this podcast, because
it is the NRL Grand Final this weekend, I need
to try and wrap my head around where we're at
in the three way stakes.
Speaker 5 (01:04):
So wow, we've got an update on cal and I
we'll discuss it with you maybe when we get to that.
Speaker 2 (01:10):
Okay, okay, worrying, but I said that.
Speaker 1 (01:14):
As I said, the NRL Grand Final is on this weekend,
no all blacks, so I think everyone's focus has turned
to the NRL Granny this weekend nine to thirty pm.
Speaker 2 (01:24):
It's a late one.
Speaker 1 (01:24):
By the time they kick off, it'll be ten to
be honest, but how are the punters looking at this one?
Coloreds some juicy power plays on there. I've seen already
the cleary or ques and their team to win. I
like those ones.
Speaker 3 (01:37):
Yeah, I'm very excited about this game. It's going to
be such a good matchup. Well it should be such
a good matchup, but be a real shame it was
a flop. So the punters so far sixty three percent
of the money with the storm elm Storm dollar eighty seven.
The Panthers are a dollar ninety eight in the head
to head market. Any guesses who our worst result would
(01:59):
be for the first trice scorer, I'll give you a tip.
He's in the forward pack.
Speaker 2 (02:02):
Oh yol was no? Yell ya elias a cuteur.
Speaker 4 (02:11):
No, I'll have another tip. He's come into the lars
next year.
Speaker 2 (02:14):
Oh James fushair hair as Wow, Oh that's funny.
Speaker 3 (02:18):
Sixty seven dollars he's paid for first try scorer. So
I mentioned there's probably a couple of Seco Warriors fans
is looking for for a for a go, and yeah,
he's a worse result. Jerome Hughes best backed in the
anytime market at three dollars thirty He scored three two
heterricks in his last three starts. Oh yeah, followed by
(02:41):
Bryan Tore and Ali Katour the most backed power play
and Munster first second or third try scorer, and Ryan
Peppenhausen anytime try scorer at twenty three dollars.
Speaker 2 (02:55):
Jeez.
Speaker 1 (02:55):
I think if you swapped those two a round, I'd
probably take a bite. I don't know about months the
first or third I think that's aggressive.
Speaker 5 (03:02):
Yeah, so you reckon thus it's going to score a
try if he walks on the field, right.
Speaker 3 (03:07):
I think we've had two nine hundred dollar bet on
the Storm at two dollars ninety a three and a
half thousand dollars bet on the Panthers at two dollars.
Had a two thousand dollar bet on the Storm at
a dollar ninety two.
Speaker 1 (03:26):
It's good that it's pretty even, you know, for the
Grand Final this year, it's very very even. I would
say at the start of the season, if you told
me these were going to be the two finalists, that
I would have put the house on the Panthers. But
just the way these last few weeks have shaken out,
as as you said, the Storm, the ependulum is swinging
up and like we looked at yesterday and Lane you
(03:48):
were saying, Oh, the Panthers must be the favorites, and
you were shocked to find out they weren't.
Speaker 2 (03:51):
I just presumed they were. Yeah, but they're not interesting
four p B.
Speaker 1 (03:55):
Yeah, like you said, punters struggling to split them as well.
Speaker 3 (04:00):
Okay, can we put out can you put your balls
on the line? Who are you gonna who're tipping?
Speaker 2 (04:04):
Yeah, well, I'll go the Panthers.
Speaker 1 (04:07):
I just think, and it's going to be a stupid
thing to say, because the Melbourne Storm have won so
many camps as well. I just feel like the championship
pedigree with that Panthers team, unless Cleary goes out there
and blows his shoulder in the first five or ten minutes,
I think they're going to eke it out.
Speaker 3 (04:24):
Yeah.
Speaker 5 (04:26):
Like I said yesterday, I just presumed they were favorites,
so they're going to take it out. Interesting with these
two teams, are they anyone's second favorite team?
Speaker 1 (04:35):
I think there's a lot of key with who Melbourne
is their second favorite team? Really, Yeah, I don't really
know why Melbourne and the Raiders seem to be the two.
Speaker 2 (04:42):
I think that because I.
Speaker 3 (04:44):
Was thinking about this in the shower this morning, because
I often do think about gambling in the shower. Yeah,
Melbourn's Storm. I remember watching the two thousand and six
Grand Final against the Broncos Melbourne Storm Broncos, and I
hated the Storm, absolutely hate it.
Speaker 4 (04:57):
But I quite like them now, like their their spine is.
They're all likable guys.
Speaker 3 (05:04):
They're all a couple of kiwis, Like it's just kind
of goes swings and roundabouts.
Speaker 2 (05:10):
Yeah, and they've always had a lot of keywis in
that Melbourne Storm team. I think that's why I can't.
Speaker 1 (05:16):
I can't go them, to be honest, no can I.
I don't know what it is about them that pisses
me up. The salary cap bridges.
Speaker 2 (05:23):
I think it's just the ped degree as well, it's
same with the Panthers. That's why I can't stand it.
Speaker 5 (05:26):
They've been winning too much, which you know, it's like
it's like you can't support the Auckland and PC team
of the eighties and early nineties because they won everything.
Speaker 1 (05:33):
Yeah, I'm kind of the Yeah, I know, I don't.
I feel like with the Panthers has been a bit
more organic. You know, all those boys played for the
Panthers junior clubs, the Melbourne Storm, and half of them
were playing in Wellington a few years ago.
Speaker 6 (05:46):
You know.
Speaker 3 (05:47):
Yeah, what so this is the panthers fifth Grande Fine
on a row. Yeah, they go for their third title
in a row. But in the last twelve years Melbourne
have also won three titles. So whoever gets this will
be the first that in that period four titles in
(06:07):
the last twelve years.
Speaker 4 (06:08):
It's just pretty incredible.
Speaker 2 (06:11):
What about you, Carl, What are you learning? You Panthers?
Speaker 4 (06:13):
I'm all over this and I'm all over the Storm here.
Speaker 3 (06:15):
Yeah right. I feel like the way their spines clipped
in the last few weeks and kind of culminated in
that game last week against the Roosters, I just got
of seen something that they offer a bit more an
attack than the Panthers do, and they're going to need
that to get through the Panthers defense. But I like
the storm.
Speaker 1 (06:35):
Yeah, I don't want that either, But yeah, that is
the biggest thing happening this week here in the Grand Final.
Speaker 2 (06:40):
Long way to go until the Grand Final.
Speaker 5 (06:42):
Yeah, I've speaking of punting. I know you talk about
You've talked about people kind of where they put their money.
I've gone onto the Grand Finals. I don't I've got
no interest in either team. I'm ambivalent towards both teams.
Speaker 2 (06:55):
Got no favorites.
Speaker 5 (06:57):
Maybe it's maybe it's Penrith because of Clear being born
in New Zealand and Ivan Clear and all that carry on.
But I've gone into the same game Maltese and just
gone into the favorites and I've just gone down there
and I've just sprinkled five dollars on some of these
Maltis and they're paying.
Speaker 2 (07:14):
Some of them are paying sixty two dollars.
Speaker 5 (07:16):
Another one hears about seventy dollars, another seventy five. And
it's around like Brian to or anytime Nathan clearly more
than four points, Nick many more than four points. Poppenhausen
anytime under forty and a half. Will Warbrick anytime try
to score a paining seventy five bucks.
Speaker 2 (07:32):
I don't mind that.
Speaker 5 (07:33):
I'm I'm just going I'm just going along as good.
I need to make this game interesting for myself, so
I'm just going along and just with it. I'm just
saltbaying all of the favorites.
Speaker 2 (07:41):
I don't need your little bingo shit in front of
you and you watch it.
Speaker 5 (07:43):
The best thing about it is on the app at
ticks as it happens, so I'm like, oh shit, I'm
in with this one.
Speaker 3 (07:49):
I've got about four hundred grand Final related stats for
later on the piece, and they all revolve around betting,
so you might find something in there.
Speaker 2 (07:58):
I've still got money on my account, so it has paid.
I'm due to reinvest. Moving on the UFC is on
this weekend as well.
Speaker 1 (08:07):
UFC three oh seven Alex Pereira versus Khalil Roundtree is
the headline of that main card. Khalil Roundtree is one
of my favorite fighters in the UFC because his fighting
style is basically street fight.
Speaker 2 (08:22):
He it looks like he he looks like he's outside
of nightclub in Hamilton. Right.
Speaker 1 (08:26):
Is the way he fights. There is no technique for
anybody that you know. There's always this argument about UFC.
Is it a sport or is it just like cage
fighting in their undies? You know, there's some dudes like
Israel and Sonya. He's an argument for it being a sport.
Khalil Roundtree is an argument for it not being a sport.
Speaker 2 (08:43):
And he is just a brute. Yeah, he is a brute.
Speaker 1 (08:47):
It's like it's everything that people who don't like UFC
would point to and be like, this is why it's
not a sport, and that's why I love him.
Speaker 2 (08:54):
So I don't know. I don't know what way the
punds going here.
Speaker 1 (08:57):
Cal.
Speaker 2 (08:57):
I was having a look this morning.
Speaker 1 (08:59):
Is there a way you bit on like the double
chance where you don't know who, but someone's getting knocked out?
That must be an option either man by ko because
I want to put that house on that.
Speaker 4 (09:13):
It's it's not an option I can see, but it
should be an option.
Speaker 1 (09:17):
Yeah, because that's happened. It'll be paying a dollar oh one,
someone's getting double.
Speaker 2 (09:23):
Double Ko.
Speaker 3 (09:25):
I don't mean the double either either, k Yeah, I
thought we're talking at the same time.
Speaker 2 (09:34):
No, I'm saying option too. I'm saying, I don't know who,
but someone's going to sleep.
Speaker 3 (09:39):
Yeah. Well, and the head to head market seventy percent
of the money, with Alex Pernetta at a dollar twenty caliver,
round Tree at four or sixty, and the myths it's
we're kind of all over the show here. And the
method of victory round Tree by KO is the most
(09:59):
back which is a thousand different options, so is at
six six dollars.
Speaker 5 (10:08):
But the.
Speaker 4 (10:11):
Worst result for US is panera by submission. It's seventeen dollars.
Speaker 3 (10:17):
And the method slash round combo round tree by Ko
TKO in the second round is the worst result. However,
Panera by KO or t K in round two is
the best backed.
Speaker 1 (10:31):
Right, I would say it is possible for a UFC
fighter to submit to punches, so that would be the
only way I could say submission out of this fight.
Speaker 2 (10:42):
Did you know if you scream, that's considered a tap out?
Speaker 3 (10:46):
So can you tap out?
Speaker 5 (10:47):
Well, because I have only ever seen a tap out
during submission on the on the on the turf, Yeah,
yeah you can.
Speaker 2 (10:54):
So you get a punch to the face and just
what do you do. It's more like when.
Speaker 1 (10:58):
You're getting round and pounded. Sometimes you pitting me in
the face. You can tap them where you can tap yourself. Also,
a scream of tira is considered a submission like that
would be me favored at UFC. I'd go touch gloves.
Speaker 2 (11:17):
Jelen has tapped out without a punch thrown in.
Speaker 3 (11:20):
The masky, especially against someone like Alex Pata. He looks
like one scary mf oh.
Speaker 2 (11:27):
Yeah, oh yeah, anything else people are jumping on there.
Speaker 1 (11:30):
I think most people are beyond prayer by Ko having
seen what he did is and so many others.
Speaker 3 (11:37):
Ten thousand dollars bit on panta head to head and
a dog twenty and then a two hundred and fifty
dollars bit on round tree of four dollars sixty. But
those are the kind of the two biggest bits which
said ten thousand yeah and a dollar twenty Yeah. Now
I'm terrible at math. What are we talking that?
Speaker 2 (11:55):
You're going to make two grand just over twelve hundred?
Speaker 1 (11:59):
Ye?
Speaker 5 (12:00):
Right?
Speaker 2 (12:01):
Is it worth it? I don't know, I don't I
don't know if i'd be doing that.
Speaker 4 (12:07):
Just give the old heart rate monitor on that person, yeah.
Speaker 2 (12:10):
God ship, way to lose grand? Yeah, two grand?
Speaker 3 (12:13):
I don't know, pacing, the pacing, the lounge, yeah.
Speaker 1 (12:15):
Yeeah, full noise, anything else around the three or seven traps.
I can't imagine too many people are dabbling in the
undercard A sorry, yeah, I.
Speaker 3 (12:27):
Say, seventy five percent of the money on Paynia over
Pennington and the Comaine, and there's one thousand dollars bet
on Paynia head to hit it two dollars fifty.
Speaker 2 (12:37):
Okay, and I see old jose Eldos on there as well.
It should be a good card. Actually, now that I
look at it, mind, ouldn't mind round Tree at six dollars.
Speaker 1 (12:48):
Like I said, love the way fights and when you're
when you're dealing with two dudes who can knock anyone out,
it's worth it.
Speaker 2 (12:54):
It's worth a sprinkle.
Speaker 1 (12:55):
It's also one of the most fun bets and sports
to win a knockout bet, because when it happens, it's
already like oh shit.
Speaker 2 (13:01):
And then you're like, wait, I've just financially benefited from this.
Speaker 3 (13:05):
Are you trying to talk us into it or convince
yourself to take it on drugs? It sounds like you
you're already there.
Speaker 2 (13:10):
I've convinced myself yet one hundred percent.
Speaker 1 (13:14):
What about the National Football League That one is getting underway,
And as we've said on this podcast a couple of times,
it feels like people in New Zealand really getting them
behind the NFL this season and last year as well.
Speaker 3 (13:25):
Yeap, yeah, what have we got Bucks Falcons this afternoon?
Sixty percent of the money on the Bucks. First touchdown
scorer Bacon Mayfield is our worst result, followed by at
thirty four dollars, followed by Bucky Irving at nine to
seventy five anytime. Drake London is the best back to
two ninety five, followed by Chris Goodwin and Mike Evans.
(13:49):
Chris Goodwill had yeah.
Speaker 1 (13:51):
Former producer for The Man Jerry Show, Godwin, Sorry, Oh,
it's gonna say bang bang good ones out there at
that catch catch in TDS it I was wondering where
we went after the metten Jerry Show, Tampa Bay, was it.
Speaker 4 (14:08):
We've got three three reasonable bets on this game.
Speaker 3 (14:11):
There's a fifteen hundred dollar bet on the Falcons minus
zero point five in the first half out a dollar
ninety two, so Falcons to be up by one or more. Yep,
there is a thousand dollar bet on the Bucks minus
seven and a half at four forty and there is
a one thousand, three hundred and eighty eight dollars and
(14:33):
eighty nine cent bet on the over total points, which
is forty four at a dollar ninety.
Speaker 2 (14:40):
That bet screams to me they've just hit something and
they're doubling down. Oh it's an accounting dear. What kind
of account do you have where you will you get
down to thirteen hundred dollars? You're like, oh, fuck it,
this is spangt.
Speaker 1 (14:54):
You What would you have had to have before then
for thirteen hundred dollars to be your account emptier?
Speaker 4 (15:00):
It's like, I know, now we've got a syndicate and
I always like to be on on round numbers.
Speaker 3 (15:06):
Yeah, yeah, I'm saying, yeah, so maybe it's something like that.
Speaker 2 (15:09):
Yeah, that makes sense.
Speaker 4 (15:10):
It's a lot of money to get to a round number.
Speaker 1 (15:12):
But yeah, we don't know how much they're playing with,
you know, it's all exactly how much good? So anything
else for the National Football League or is it basically.
Speaker 3 (15:24):
The Vikings Jets on Monday morning and London eighty six
and half percent of the money on the Vikings Early
support for Jordan Addison and Alan Laizard in the first
touchdown market.
Speaker 4 (15:40):
Winning margin. The worst result for US as Vikings by
fourteen or more.
Speaker 1 (15:44):
Yeah, I might say if I can get on finn
Caddy first touchdown scorer for that one as well. You
sent through something about the Mega Millions. You want to
test our test what we've learned over these last few weeks.
Speaker 3 (15:58):
Yeah, So for punters don't know, we run a competition,
and we're running a competition for the Everest which is
on October nineteen. It's called the Mega Millions. And what
you've got to do is select there's twelve runners in
the race. You've got to select them in the perfect order,
one through twelve. If you do that, you win a
(16:20):
share of ten million dollars. If you're the only person
to do that, you will win ten million dollars. Some
some bloke won it last year ESZ Odds odds of
four hundred and something million to one.
Speaker 2 (16:35):
So you're paying the unders really with ten million. Though
if it's four hundred million to one.
Speaker 3 (16:40):
Well, that's not for me to comment on. Mike.
Speaker 2 (16:44):
That's a good point. That's a very good point. Shouldn't
there be a part of four hundred million dollars?
Speaker 3 (16:51):
Someone may have to fact check those out, but it's
a stupid like that.
Speaker 5 (16:55):
So all twelve runners with through ninety short here and
I looked into this, and I talked to a few
mates at the pub the other day and I was like,
there's ten million bucks up for grabs. You just got
to pick the order, and they're like, let's just work
out an algorithm where we pick every single one. I'm like,
I think he's a small little catch and it's like
one account holder, one guess, so we can't start up
(17:16):
four hundred million accounts.
Speaker 1 (17:17):
Also, yeah, it's like when that guy on Mega Mind
went missing and they were offering a reward for finding her,
and I was going to try train an AI model
to take a thousand guesses at where he was and
send them all into the cops try and claim the reward.
Speaker 2 (17:34):
America over Mega Mind.
Speaker 3 (17:35):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (17:36):
Generally, generally there's safeguards in place. So yeah, so there's
no there's no hack here, is there. You're just going
to try and pick it.
Speaker 3 (17:43):
That's correct. Yeah, So it opens in twelve days. I
think when the barrier draws done for the Everest midweek
and that and that we're leaning up to the race
that opens and you can get your picks, and you
can you can pick the one twig yourself, or you
can do a random generator and will do for you.
Speaker 5 (18:00):
Surely you'd get Surely, I mean, I'm I'm not experent here,
but you would get the top four or five favorites
when you and then just have a go at that
top five and then do random generator for the remaining.
Speaker 2 (18:13):
Six or seven. Wouldn't you?
Speaker 5 (18:14):
Is that you wouldn't You wouldn't just go for total
random generator because then you have a rank outsider coming first.
But yeah, I mean, I don't know, does it shorten
your chances if you're putting the favorites in the first five.
Speaker 1 (18:27):
I'd be inclined to just go chalk, just go odds
from lowest highest as it's rudden.
Speaker 4 (18:36):
It wasn't far from memory, It wasn't far off that
last year.
Speaker 3 (18:39):
There was kind of one or two or three in
the middle and the sort of sort of two to
six range, and then the rest of it was kind
of ass.
Speaker 1 (18:47):
Because like what you're saying, look, you'd try and look
up like who's done the most research into this? I
would say the tab has done the most researcher and
they will tell you who they think is going to win,
so I'll go with them.
Speaker 5 (18:58):
So it's because I was like, oh, yeah, this is
then of a chance here ten million. I've only got
to get twelve horses right in a row. And then
I thought back, as I can't even pick fucking one
horse like in the last couple of weeks.
Speaker 2 (19:10):
So it's like I've got no chance of twelve in
a row.
Speaker 5 (19:14):
And then I got a I got a Cornelle yesterday
and I celebrated like I was, I'd run the Mega millions, but.
Speaker 2 (19:22):
I've got to get ten more yeah to do that.
But I'm hold on, I'm in a training exercise for us, Carl.
Speaker 3 (19:29):
I think we should I think we'll cram. We've got
three weeks, okay, two weeks plus every week, let's do
a little cram session. I found a race on Saturday.
I think it is totally a race one. Yeah, there's
five runners on this race. Okay, I thought we could
put ours together. We could we can do it individually,
(19:51):
or we can do it as a team. Yeah, and
let's check back next week to see if we can
get five. Okay, then say next week we'll go to
eight or nine, and then twelve.
Speaker 5 (20:00):
It's a great call, but can we I'm looking at
Manaia and I don't trust him. You don't trust him, no,
because if he doesn't write it down, give it to someone,
or actually place the bet, he's going to come back
next week and go ma I.
Speaker 2 (20:12):
Picked two, five, seven, three and four.
Speaker 3 (20:14):
I got it right.
Speaker 2 (20:15):
That's your problem. So I think we need to maybe Adam,
we need to give our picks to Adam, or we
actually just bet on it. I think we do this
all together in the interest of simplicity, so it's easy
to keep tracks.
Speaker 4 (20:26):
Yeah, small, small update. I've just refreshed the race and
we're down to four runners.
Speaker 2 (20:30):
Who's gone, who's out?
Speaker 4 (20:32):
Russian Blues has been scratched.
Speaker 2 (20:34):
Okay, well we know that ip Bossom is going to win.
Speaker 3 (20:37):
Yes, I agree with you.
Speaker 2 (20:39):
On a deer to plus year, and then I'm going.
Speaker 3 (20:48):
Think it's to be I think it's got to be
the one Vegas lucky.
Speaker 2 (20:51):
And then I'm going to go with the jockey with
Narah John Palmer on board, which means Luminance is coming
last year. So I'm going I concur one two three four,
so we're going two one four three three.
Speaker 3 (21:07):
So basically we'll flipped the favorite and then we're in order.
Speaker 1 (21:11):
Yeah, and that is and that's straight off the back
of We recognize Opie Boston's name, correct, and not Vannie Colgan.
Speaker 2 (21:18):
No, I hate Vanny Colgan and I liked him. I
can't got. I don't know what it is.
Speaker 3 (21:24):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (21:24):
Yeah, same, it's just the name Vinnie. You know, just
call yourself Vincent.
Speaker 3 (21:30):
It's very nice. Runners. Surely, surely we can do that.
Speaker 5 (21:32):
Yeah, Okay, Well that's a good that's a good training exercise.
Actually so, and then doesn't put us in good stead
if we miss a four. Yeah, and then we're going
to jump up to twelve. But well, we'll work our
way up. Maybe we'll go fire.
Speaker 2 (21:42):
Runners next week.
Speaker 3 (21:44):
We should absolutely put a same race multi on us too.
Speaker 5 (21:46):
Yes, hey, speaking to which Carl the Everest coming up.
I wish I wish I wish we could win. I
wish I would win, wish I could.
Speaker 3 (21:53):
I wish I went.
Speaker 2 (21:54):
I wish I went with the big horse last year.
Wasn't it in the years who we got this year?
Speaker 3 (22:00):
I wish our win is running it back for us,
going back back for more. Yep, so he ran in
the Manicato Group by Manicato Steaks last Friday at Mooney Valley. Yep,
flew home for third. I think hit the line very strong.
So everyone seems very happy with how I wish I
win is tracking for the Everest in a.
Speaker 2 (22:21):
Couple of weeks, and that the only Kiwi horse in
the Everest.
Speaker 3 (22:25):
There is another one running out of the Chris Wallace
stable called Jolly Starr Julie Starr.
Speaker 2 (22:32):
All right, well we will, we'll keep tabs on that
over the next couple of weeks.
Speaker 1 (22:35):
But we've got our we've got our training underway for
the Mega millions. All right, let's take a quick break
and we'll come back with grab a pen.
Speaker 2 (22:47):
Pause the podcast now and grab a pen for the
hottest tips from around the tab office.
Speaker 1 (22:53):
This is your chance to get a tip from the
tipsters at the tab. Carl has had his ears to
the train tracks. Have people been saying around the office
this week?
Speaker 3 (23:03):
Just real quickly, two weeks ago people won't remember, but
we had two thirds, a winner, a fifth and a sixth.
Ain't that? Yeah?
Speaker 2 (23:11):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (23:13):
This week our harness guy who who won a couple
of weeks ago, he's gone to meth find on Sunday,
Race three, Rock and Roll Down. I haven't got a
price yet. The price is about soon. And he gave
me a blub about the runner, but all I saw
was the driver and trainer. It's called Bob Butt and
(23:33):
Bob but is in fine form.
Speaker 1 (23:35):
Bob but Bob but Bob But's running at med find
this this harness sicko that you've got down there, who
is probably living somewhere around the mid Canibury area and
just just loves the hobbyist, doesn't he he's from a
tago Yeah right, but yeah, anytime you've got as a
myth specialist though, isn't he he's a specialists methins. Yeah,
(23:59):
it does a lot, a lot of powerful work around
the myth, a lot of powerful work around the around
the butt.
Speaker 2 (24:04):
This week, shout out to Bob out Bob all.
Speaker 3 (24:09):
Right, I've got a fee here total and Race three
tomorrow number fourteen mayaka Bell three ninety and a dollar
forty hardware to Race nine number eight Herbert six fifty
and two forty five. Oh Jessey, you love this one.
Speaker 4 (24:29):
Flemington Race one number five Moby.
Speaker 2 (24:32):
Dick, Yeah, I'm on it.
Speaker 4 (24:34):
Turtle's fifteen sixty already.
Speaker 1 (24:37):
I can already see right now I'm probably going dick
into butt, and that's probably how I'm playing it this week.
Speaker 2 (24:44):
Grow up, just a little two legger, dick into butt
and we're away, I think. But we may have more
on a know.
Speaker 7 (24:52):
Next horse bulls deep out of I'm going let me,
I'm going full day shaking the bat.
Speaker 3 (25:06):
I'm not sure I can be a part of that.
It's too late.
Speaker 2 (25:10):
We've lost that shirt.
Speaker 3 (25:12):
Blimington Race three, number four, Lavilia eight dollars and two
dollars fifty. There was a Flimting Race three, Flimington Race four,
Dick clicky boulevard. Excuse me, the clickie.
Speaker 2 (25:28):
Dick licky into bat?
Speaker 6 (25:31):
Clear you're going to open with dick clicky then you
go click? Is that how you're playing always, always, every
Friday night into me? You would not, you wouldn't want
to do it the other way round.
Speaker 3 (25:47):
I should have thought this through the clicking boulevard thirty
dollar twenty four and ran Race seven Bellona Bettina to
ninety and a dollar twenty.
Speaker 2 (25:58):
Oh nice.
Speaker 5 (26:00):
That the good news forever one and myself included. As
I broke down the first one harness smith Bean raised
three rock and roll don I lost track of all
the rest of it and makes the dick chat. But
luckily for you, we're going to put it up on
the Instagram stories for the grab a pen well in
time for you to follow that in yeah so and
me included yeah on.
Speaker 1 (26:22):
Hopefully no one that gives you these tips listens to
this podcast. It might be the last lot of tips
that they ever get. The Harness does He'll come back
though I know who he is. He'll come back.
Speaker 2 (26:33):
He'll brilliant. Thank you very much for one of the
more entertaining rounds of grain. And now it's time for
stats to impress the ladies.
Speaker 3 (26:46):
All right, guys, As I said, I've got a lot
of Grand Final stuff here. I'm going to start with
some try score of stuff. So in the last decade
there's been fifty six tries in the Grand Final, forty
two of those scored by the backs by Ford's and
two by the bench players. Ooh, only two edge back
rowers have scored a try in the Grand Final last decade? Really,
(27:11):
one lock and three hookers is that it? In the
last ten years, two of those.
Speaker 4 (27:16):
Hookers have been first try scorer, though, oh, props.
Speaker 3 (27:22):
Have scored six. And then in the backs we've got wingers,
we've got fourteen centers, have got thirteen six each for
the full back, and five eighths and three for the
half back. Nathan Cleary has two of those three half
back tries.
Speaker 5 (27:42):
Yeah, that's the I mean, we've That's how that was
our hunch, our gender hunch, wasn't it was Cleary to
score Panthers to win six to twenty Yeah, six to
twenty five.
Speaker 2 (27:52):
Yeah boasted.
Speaker 3 (27:53):
Yeah, nice first try scorer. It's been five wingers, three
centers and two hookers. Last try scorer. Four wingers, two
half backs, two full backs.
Speaker 1 (28:09):
Again clear he would have been that one of those
last try scorers, probably two of.
Speaker 3 (28:14):
Them and a center has scored a try and nine
of the last ten Grand finals. Okay, a couple of
stats here around the henh. So they've split the last
sixteen games eight inch between these two Penrith are seven
(28:38):
and one against the spread and the finals over the
last three years.
Speaker 4 (28:43):
So they are I think they're one and a half
point outsider the moment.
Speaker 2 (28:50):
So they're going to win. That's good will draw.
Speaker 3 (28:54):
We'll lose by one. They have only led in more
than two points in one of the last ten finals
games the Panthers. They are twenty one and eleven against
the spread against top four teams in their last thirty
two games and nine and three against the spread starting
(29:16):
at a dollar eighty or longer.
Speaker 2 (29:19):
Okay, so it's all leading Panthers is what I'm hearing.
Speaker 3 (29:23):
Wow, teams, So this is this is where the Storm
come into a Teams are off scoring forty eight or
more cover the spread at sixty four percent in the
last four years, the Storm are nineteen and nine against
the spread after scoring thirty six or more, and the
(29:45):
Storm are twenty four and twelve against the spread off
winning thirteen plus. So they've got a very good Basically,
when they're hot, they run hot and they can back
it up. So I don't know, basically, pick aside and
side with some stats and go from there.
Speaker 1 (30:01):
That was basically like the presidential debate. It just confirmed
the candidate I already wanted.
Speaker 2 (30:05):
To vote for.
Speaker 3 (30:07):
Basically, the bookies are pretty good at their job, and yeah,
they've got.
Speaker 2 (30:10):
It right, Yeah, brilliant. Yeah.
Speaker 1 (30:15):
Like I said, I think it's just confirmed all of
the things I think are going to happen. Will Warbrook
keeps sticking out of my head, his first try scorer.
Speaker 2 (30:21):
I don't know why.
Speaker 1 (30:22):
Just because he lived, because he led the hacker at
the Dali M's on Wednesday. That's probably the only reason.
But that's as good a reason as any for the
three way now, I think. So we had a Cicco
go back, and his name is Muddy here he worth
from Flavor, go back and count up where we're at.
What's at stake? As around the golf the loser has
(30:43):
to carry the bags. I believe I was charging back
up the ladder, I think. Did I finish before we
went overseas? It was one behind you?
Speaker 5 (30:51):
Yeah, you were, Yeah, And but we said we were
going to do it until the end of the NRL season. Yes,
and then we had a golf tournament scheduled for November.
Speaker 2 (31:00):
This was the news.
Speaker 5 (31:00):
We wanted to tell you that that golf tournament has
been put off till January. Oh so does that mean
that potentially with the three way, do we extend it
to the end of the calendar year before we decide
who carries It also gives us a chance to haul
down Carl as well, who's got a massive lead on us.
Yeah you do.
Speaker 2 (31:19):
Actually, I've got the most of game board.
Speaker 5 (31:22):
And you know the worst part of it is that
the of course we're on is absolute goat track this tournament' sign,
So carrying the bags for that one is going to
be brutal, but it allows us to carry the three.
Speaker 2 (31:35):
One a bit a bit longer. So an agreement with that.
Just mute Carl's mike, just and yep, we're an agreement.
Speaker 3 (31:43):
In the spirit of punting.
Speaker 2 (31:45):
All right. So you're one behind me. Carl's about four ahead.
I think maybe five ahead of us. I don't know
if it was quite that much.
Speaker 3 (31:56):
I feel like I had a winner last one.
Speaker 2 (31:58):
Yeah, he got a bit fruity on it and came through.
I'll start. I'll start this week's three way if you want.
Speaker 5 (32:02):
I'm delving into the NPC and I looked at these
odds and I thought it was a good eating. It's
it's Auckland versus Bay of Plenty. Bay are plenty of
the favorites. But they're playing at Auckland Grammar. The Auckland
MPC team have gone back grass roots. They're playing at Grammar.
It's going to be a festival of rugby. I think
it's going to be an amazing crowd. I think Auckland
(32:23):
are going to step up and they're paying two fifty
your head on that, So I'm going Auckland over Bay
a plenty at Grammar.
Speaker 2 (32:28):
I'll add that to the bed slip. Two fifty juicy.
Speaker 1 (32:32):
I probably wouldn't be venturing that far away from the
dollar aidy minimum with this on the line.
Speaker 2 (32:36):
I see, but totally in January. Now, are you going
to go back to the South can every well? Are
you your big massive puss? I may do, Carl, what
are you looking at?
Speaker 3 (32:49):
I am very born here as I am every week.
I really want to take Jack Howarth to score and
for the storm, but I'll take our man, maybe Dick
when at two dollars fifteen it's Flemington Race one.
Speaker 1 (33:11):
Okay, I'm going to try the search function here. Flemington
Race one. Maybe Dick on the tip dollar hang on,
stop it.
Speaker 3 (33:22):
Two dollars fifteen, two.
Speaker 2 (33:23):
Dollars fifteen, Yes, yep, we're going to add that to
the bed slip.
Speaker 3 (33:28):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (33:29):
And at the stage when I is searching odds half
for a.
Speaker 1 (33:33):
Dollar championship, South Canterbury playing West Coast, good god, this
is going to be an absolute bloodbath. The lines at
a dollar eighty So sorry, it's it twenty four and
a half. I want to go South Canterbary minus twenty
four and a half against West Coast at a dollar
eighty two. And look, it's not about filling the kiddy here.
(33:55):
This is just about winning, all right. So I'm going
to I'm standing very close to that minimum there. We
put that together into a multi. It's nine dollars seventy eight,
so we're paying nine hundred and seventy eight bucks back
and I'll put that on right now so we can
keep track of that throughout.
Speaker 2 (34:13):
The weekend if anyone else has got anything else otherwise. No,
And he's got a table booked at Prago. Very weak class,
very grassroots, isn't it.
Speaker 1 (34:27):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (34:27):
It was his last show today car at the Hiddacky Breakfast.
Speaker 5 (34:31):
So it's been a very and we're in the same
kind of sere, in the same office, and it's just
a distinct smell of Margarita's everywhere.
Speaker 3 (34:39):
Very nice, very nice. Hey, just quickly before we go,
I need to mention last Saturday, some person had a
five hundred dollars four leg multi.
Speaker 4 (34:52):
That returned one hundred and six thousand dollars.
Speaker 2 (34:56):
Shit. Yeah, this is what keeps us pundum. What was
that on there?
Speaker 3 (35:01):
It was four four different races, races one through fort Rickedon. Yeah,
they had a top three at two seventy, a three
dollars fifty winner, a dollar fifty winner, and a fifteen
dollar winner.
Speaker 2 (35:16):
It was at the last race.
Speaker 3 (35:18):
That was the last one.
Speaker 2 (35:21):
That's a hard stop of that one.
Speaker 5 (35:23):
Imagine the celebrations. I hope that punter was at the
race where it happened. I hope he was in Rickadon,
the name of the horse too much.
Speaker 2 (35:33):
It's written in the star, and the star is brilliant.
That's enough to keep me on the hook.
Speaker 1 (35:37):
That's the that's the one drive off the aighteenth t
that'll keep me coming back next week. Thanks very much, Carl,
Enjoy your weekend, enjoy the Grand Final, and we'll talk
to you next week.
Speaker 3 (35:46):
Cheers boys, go b Cheers back the ACC Sports thanks
to the TAB
Life the Next World Be Again Studio. This is the
a SEC Sports Book powered by the tab.
Speaker 2 (00:05):
Acc Sports Book.
Speaker 3 (00:07):
Thanks to the tab.
Speaker 1 (00:09):
And welcome back and Carlos good I, Cal, how are
you getting on, Matte good Fellas?
Speaker 3 (00:14):
Good Man?
Speaker 4 (00:15):
The studio is looking flash.
Speaker 5 (00:17):
Yep, yeah, we got a Not only do we go
on a bender, but while we went on on a bender,
they rebuild our studio.
Speaker 2 (00:23):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (00:24):
I have to apologize for the two carcasses sitting in
the studio, but the studio itself does look better and
it looks incredible as the last week and a half
of your life been, carl.
Speaker 3 (00:35):
I'll be honest, I've missed this. This is probably the
highlight of my week at the end of a way.
I mean, just just sitting in my little Wednesday studio,
but my little room here, just talking to myself for
an hour every Friday.
Speaker 2 (00:49):
Have you still been going through it? It's still been
going through the motions.
Speaker 4 (00:52):
Yet to keep you got to keep form somehow.
Speaker 1 (00:56):
That's right up towards the end of this podcast, because
it is the NRL Grand Final this weekend, I need
to try and wrap my head around where we're at
in the three way stakes.
Speaker 5 (01:04):
So wow, we've got an update on cal and I
we'll discuss it with you maybe when we get to that.
Speaker 2 (01:10):
Okay, okay, worrying, but I said that.
Speaker 1 (01:14):
As I said, the NRL Grand Final is on this weekend,
no all blacks, so I think everyone's focus has turned
to the NRL Granny this weekend nine to thirty pm.
Speaker 2 (01:24):
It's a late one.
Speaker 1 (01:24):
By the time they kick off, it'll be ten to
be honest, but how are the punters looking at this one?
Coloreds some juicy power plays on there. I've seen already
the cleary or ques and their team to win. I
like those ones.
Speaker 3 (01:37):
Yeah, I'm very excited about this game. It's going to
be such a good matchup. Well it should be such
a good matchup, but be a real shame it was
a flop. So the punters so far sixty three percent
of the money with the storm elm Storm dollar eighty seven.
The Panthers are a dollar ninety eight in the head
to head market. Any guesses who our worst result would
(01:59):
be for the first trice scorer, I'll give you a tip.
He's in the forward pack.
Speaker 2 (02:02):
Oh yol was no? Yell ya elias a cuteur.
Speaker 4 (02:11):
No, I'll have another tip. He's come into the lars
next year.
Speaker 2 (02:14):
Oh James fushair hair as Wow, Oh that's funny.
Speaker 3 (02:18):
Sixty seven dollars he's paid for first try scorer. So
I mentioned there's probably a couple of Seco Warriors fans
is looking for for a for a go, and yeah,
he's a worse result. Jerome Hughes best backed in the
anytime market at three dollars thirty He scored three two
heterricks in his last three starts. Oh yeah, followed by
(02:41):
Bryan Tore and Ali Katour the most backed power play
and Munster first second or third try scorer, and Ryan
Peppenhausen anytime try scorer at twenty three dollars.
Speaker 2 (02:55):
Jeez.
Speaker 1 (02:55):
I think if you swapped those two a round, I'd
probably take a bite. I don't know about months the
first or third I think that's aggressive.
Speaker 5 (03:02):
Yeah, so you reckon thus it's going to score a
try if he walks on the field, right.
Speaker 3 (03:07):
I think we've had two nine hundred dollar bet on
the Storm at two dollars ninety a three and a
half thousand dollars bet on the Panthers at two dollars.
Had a two thousand dollar bet on the Storm at
a dollar ninety two.
Speaker 1 (03:26):
It's good that it's pretty even, you know, for the
Grand Final this year, it's very very even. I would
say at the start of the season, if you told
me these were going to be the two finalists, that
I would have put the house on the Panthers. But
just the way these last few weeks have shaken out,
as as you said, the Storm, the ependulum is swinging
up and like we looked at yesterday and Lane you
(03:48):
were saying, Oh, the Panthers must be the favorites, and
you were shocked to find out they weren't.
Speaker 2 (03:51):
I just presumed they were. Yeah, but they're not interesting
four p B.
Speaker 1 (03:55):
Yeah, like you said, punters struggling to split them as well.
Speaker 3 (04:00):
Okay, can we put out can you put your balls
on the line? Who are you gonna who're tipping?
Speaker 2 (04:04):
Yeah, well, I'll go the Panthers.
Speaker 1 (04:07):
I just think, and it's going to be a stupid
thing to say, because the Melbourne Storm have won so
many camps as well. I just feel like the championship
pedigree with that Panthers team, unless Cleary goes out there
and blows his shoulder in the first five or ten minutes,
I think they're going to eke it out.
Speaker 3 (04:24):
Yeah.
Speaker 5 (04:26):
Like I said yesterday, I just presumed they were favorites,
so they're going to take it out. Interesting with these
two teams, are they anyone's second favorite team?
Speaker 1 (04:35):
I think there's a lot of key with who Melbourne
is their second favorite team? Really, Yeah, I don't really
know why Melbourne and the Raiders seem to be the two.
Speaker 2 (04:42):
I think that because I.
Speaker 3 (04:44):
Was thinking about this in the shower this morning, because
I often do think about gambling in the shower. Yeah,
Melbourn's Storm. I remember watching the two thousand and six
Grand Final against the Broncos Melbourne Storm Broncos, and I
hated the Storm, absolutely hate it.
Speaker 4 (04:57):
But I quite like them now, like their their spine is.
They're all likable guys.
Speaker 3 (05:04):
They're all a couple of kiwis, Like it's just kind
of goes swings and roundabouts.
Speaker 2 (05:10):
Yeah, and they've always had a lot of keywis in
that Melbourne Storm team. I think that's why I can't.
Speaker 1 (05:16):
I can't go them, to be honest, no can I.
I don't know what it is about them that pisses
me up. The salary cap bridges.
Speaker 2 (05:23):
I think it's just the ped degree as well, it's
same with the Panthers. That's why I can't stand it.
Speaker 5 (05:26):
They've been winning too much, which you know, it's like
it's like you can't support the Auckland and PC team
of the eighties and early nineties because they won everything.
Speaker 1 (05:33):
Yeah, I'm kind of the Yeah, I know, I don't.
I feel like with the Panthers has been a bit
more organic. You know, all those boys played for the
Panthers junior clubs, the Melbourne Storm, and half of them
were playing in Wellington a few years ago.
Speaker 6 (05:46):
You know.
Speaker 3 (05:47):
Yeah, what so this is the panthers fifth Grande Fine
on a row. Yeah, they go for their third title
in a row. But in the last twelve years Melbourne
have also won three titles. So whoever gets this will
be the first that in that period four titles in
(06:07):
the last twelve years.
Speaker 4 (06:08):
It's just pretty incredible.
Speaker 2 (06:11):
What about you, Carl, What are you learning? You Panthers?
Speaker 4 (06:13):
I'm all over this and I'm all over the Storm here.
Speaker 3 (06:15):
Yeah right. I feel like the way their spines clipped
in the last few weeks and kind of culminated in
that game last week against the Roosters, I just got
of seen something that they offer a bit more an
attack than the Panthers do, and they're going to need
that to get through the Panthers defense. But I like
the storm.
Speaker 1 (06:35):
Yeah, I don't want that either, But yeah, that is
the biggest thing happening this week here in the Grand Final.
Speaker 2 (06:40):
Long way to go until the Grand Final.
Speaker 5 (06:42):
Yeah, I've speaking of punting. I know you talk about
You've talked about people kind of where they put their money.
I've gone onto the Grand Finals. I don't I've got
no interest in either team. I'm ambivalent towards both teams.
Speaker 2 (06:55):
Got no favorites.
Speaker 5 (06:57):
Maybe it's maybe it's Penrith because of Clear being born
in New Zealand and Ivan Clear and all that carry on.
But I've gone into the same game Maltese and just
gone into the favorites and I've just gone down there
and I've just sprinkled five dollars on some of these
Maltis and they're paying.
Speaker 2 (07:14):
Some of them are paying sixty two dollars.
Speaker 5 (07:16):
Another one hears about seventy dollars, another seventy five. And
it's around like Brian to or anytime Nathan clearly more
than four points, Nick many more than four points. Poppenhausen
anytime under forty and a half. Will Warbrick anytime try
to score a paining seventy five bucks.
Speaker 2 (07:32):
I don't mind that.
Speaker 5 (07:33):
I'm I'm just going I'm just going along as good.
I need to make this game interesting for myself, so
I'm just going along and just with it. I'm just
saltbaying all of the favorites.
Speaker 2 (07:41):
I don't need your little bingo shit in front of
you and you watch it.
Speaker 5 (07:43):
The best thing about it is on the app at
ticks as it happens, so I'm like, oh shit, I'm
in with this one.
Speaker 3 (07:49):
I've got about four hundred grand Final related stats for
later on the piece, and they all revolve around betting,
so you might find something in there.
Speaker 2 (07:58):
I've still got money on my account, so it has paid.
I'm due to reinvest. Moving on the UFC is on
this weekend as well.
Speaker 1 (08:07):
UFC three oh seven Alex Pereira versus Khalil Roundtree is
the headline of that main card. Khalil Roundtree is one
of my favorite fighters in the UFC because his fighting
style is basically street fight.
Speaker 2 (08:22):
He it looks like he he looks like he's outside
of nightclub in Hamilton. Right.
Speaker 1 (08:26):
Is the way he fights. There is no technique for
anybody that you know. There's always this argument about UFC.
Is it a sport or is it just like cage
fighting in their undies? You know, there's some dudes like
Israel and Sonya. He's an argument for it being a sport.
Khalil Roundtree is an argument for it not being a sport.
Speaker 2 (08:43):
And he is just a brute. Yeah, he is a brute.
Speaker 1 (08:47):
It's like it's everything that people who don't like UFC
would point to and be like, this is why it's
not a sport, and that's why I love him.
Speaker 2 (08:54):
So I don't know. I don't know what way the
punds going here.
Speaker 1 (08:57):
Cal.
Speaker 2 (08:57):
I was having a look this morning.
Speaker 1 (08:59):
Is there a way you bit on like the double
chance where you don't know who, but someone's getting knocked out?
That must be an option either man by ko because
I want to put that house on that.
Speaker 4 (09:13):
It's it's not an option I can see, but it
should be an option.
Speaker 1 (09:17):
Yeah, because that's happened. It'll be paying a dollar oh one,
someone's getting double.
Speaker 2 (09:23):
Double Ko.
Speaker 3 (09:25):
I don't mean the double either either, k Yeah, I
thought we're talking at the same time.
Speaker 2 (09:34):
No, I'm saying option too. I'm saying, I don't know who,
but someone's going to sleep.
Speaker 3 (09:39):
Yeah. Well, and the head to head market seventy percent
of the money, with Alex Pernetta at a dollar twenty caliver,
round Tree at four or sixty, and the myths it's
we're kind of all over the show here. And the
method of victory round Tree by KO is the most
(09:59):
back which is a thousand different options, so is at
six six dollars.
Speaker 5 (10:08):
But the.
Speaker 4 (10:11):
Worst result for US is panera by submission. It's seventeen dollars.
Speaker 3 (10:17):
And the method slash round combo round tree by Ko
TKO in the second round is the worst result. However,
Panera by KO or t K in round two is
the best backed.
Speaker 1 (10:31):
Right, I would say it is possible for a UFC
fighter to submit to punches, so that would be the
only way I could say submission out of this fight.
Speaker 2 (10:42):
Did you know if you scream, that's considered a tap out?
Speaker 3 (10:46):
So can you tap out?
Speaker 5 (10:47):
Well, because I have only ever seen a tap out
during submission on the on the on the turf, Yeah,
yeah you can.
Speaker 2 (10:54):
So you get a punch to the face and just
what do you do. It's more like when.
Speaker 1 (10:58):
You're getting round and pounded. Sometimes you pitting me in
the face. You can tap them where you can tap yourself. Also,
a scream of tira is considered a submission like that
would be me favored at UFC. I'd go touch gloves.
Speaker 2 (11:17):
Jelen has tapped out without a punch thrown in.
Speaker 3 (11:20):
The masky, especially against someone like Alex Pata. He looks
like one scary mf oh.
Speaker 2 (11:27):
Yeah, oh yeah, anything else people are jumping on there.
Speaker 1 (11:30):
I think most people are beyond prayer by Ko having
seen what he did is and so many others.
Speaker 3 (11:37):
Ten thousand dollars bit on panta head to head and
a dog twenty and then a two hundred and fifty
dollars bit on round tree of four dollars sixty. But
those are the kind of the two biggest bits which
said ten thousand yeah and a dollar twenty Yeah. Now
I'm terrible at math. What are we talking that?
Speaker 2 (11:55):
You're going to make two grand just over twelve hundred?
Speaker 1 (11:59):
Ye?
Speaker 5 (12:00):
Right?
Speaker 2 (12:01):
Is it worth it? I don't know, I don't I
don't know if i'd be doing that.
Speaker 4 (12:07):
Just give the old heart rate monitor on that person, yeah.
Speaker 2 (12:10):
God ship, way to lose grand? Yeah, two grand?
Speaker 3 (12:13):
I don't know, pacing, the pacing, the lounge, yeah.
Speaker 1 (12:15):
Yeeah, full noise, anything else around the three or seven traps.
I can't imagine too many people are dabbling in the
undercard A sorry, yeah, I.
Speaker 3 (12:27):
Say, seventy five percent of the money on Paynia over
Pennington and the Comaine, and there's one thousand dollars bet
on Paynia head to hit it two dollars fifty.
Speaker 2 (12:37):
Okay, and I see old jose Eldos on there as well.
It should be a good card. Actually, now that I
look at it, mind, ouldn't mind round Tree at six dollars.
Speaker 1 (12:48):
Like I said, love the way fights and when you're
when you're dealing with two dudes who can knock anyone out,
it's worth it.
Speaker 2 (12:54):
It's worth a sprinkle.
Speaker 1 (12:55):
It's also one of the most fun bets and sports
to win a knockout bet, because when it happens, it's
already like oh shit.
Speaker 2 (13:01):
And then you're like, wait, I've just financially benefited from this.
Speaker 3 (13:05):
Are you trying to talk us into it or convince
yourself to take it on drugs? It sounds like you
you're already there.
Speaker 2 (13:10):
I've convinced myself yet one hundred percent.
Speaker 1 (13:14):
What about the National Football League That one is getting underway,
And as we've said on this podcast a couple of times,
it feels like people in New Zealand really getting them
behind the NFL this season and last year as well.
Speaker 3 (13:25):
Yeap, yeah, what have we got Bucks Falcons this afternoon?
Sixty percent of the money on the Bucks. First touchdown
scorer Bacon Mayfield is our worst result, followed by at
thirty four dollars, followed by Bucky Irving at nine to
seventy five anytime. Drake London is the best back to
two ninety five, followed by Chris Goodwin and Mike Evans.
(13:49):
Chris Goodwill had yeah.
Speaker 1 (13:51):
Former producer for The Man Jerry Show, Godwin, Sorry, Oh,
it's gonna say bang bang good ones out there at
that catch catch in TDS it I was wondering where
we went after the metten Jerry Show, Tampa Bay, was it.
Speaker 4 (14:08):
We've got three three reasonable bets on this game.
Speaker 3 (14:11):
There's a fifteen hundred dollar bet on the Falcons minus
zero point five in the first half out a dollar
ninety two, so Falcons to be up by one or more. Yep,
there is a thousand dollar bet on the Bucks minus
seven and a half at four forty and there is
a one thousand, three hundred and eighty eight dollars and
(14:33):
eighty nine cent bet on the over total points, which
is forty four at a dollar ninety.
Speaker 2 (14:40):
That bet screams to me they've just hit something and
they're doubling down. Oh it's an accounting dear. What kind
of account do you have where you will you get
down to thirteen hundred dollars? You're like, oh, fuck it,
this is spangt.
Speaker 1 (14:54):
You What would you have had to have before then
for thirteen hundred dollars to be your account emptier?
Speaker 4 (15:00):
It's like, I know, now we've got a syndicate and
I always like to be on on round numbers.
Speaker 3 (15:06):
Yeah, yeah, I'm saying, yeah, so maybe it's something like that.
Speaker 2 (15:09):
Yeah, that makes sense.
Speaker 4 (15:10):
It's a lot of money to get to a round number.
Speaker 1 (15:12):
But yeah, we don't know how much they're playing with,
you know, it's all exactly how much good? So anything
else for the National Football League or is it basically.
Speaker 3 (15:24):
The Vikings Jets on Monday morning and London eighty six
and half percent of the money on the Vikings Early
support for Jordan Addison and Alan Laizard in the first
touchdown market.
Speaker 4 (15:40):
Winning margin. The worst result for US as Vikings by
fourteen or more.
Speaker 1 (15:44):
Yeah, I might say if I can get on finn
Caddy first touchdown scorer for that one as well. You
sent through something about the Mega Millions. You want to
test our test what we've learned over these last few weeks.
Speaker 3 (15:58):
Yeah, So for punters don't know, we run a competition,
and we're running a competition for the Everest which is
on October nineteen. It's called the Mega Millions. And what
you've got to do is select there's twelve runners in
the race. You've got to select them in the perfect order,
one through twelve. If you do that, you win a
(16:20):
share of ten million dollars. If you're the only person
to do that, you will win ten million dollars. Some
some bloke won it last year ESZ Odds odds of
four hundred and something million to one.
Speaker 2 (16:35):
So you're paying the unders really with ten million. Though
if it's four hundred million to one.
Speaker 3 (16:40):
Well, that's not for me to comment on. Mike.
Speaker 2 (16:44):
That's a good point. That's a very good point. Shouldn't
there be a part of four hundred million dollars?
Speaker 3 (16:51):
Someone may have to fact check those out, but it's
a stupid like that.
Speaker 5 (16:55):
So all twelve runners with through ninety short here and
I looked into this, and I talked to a few
mates at the pub the other day and I was like,
there's ten million bucks up for grabs. You just got
to pick the order, and they're like, let's just work
out an algorithm where we pick every single one. I'm like,
I think he's a small little catch and it's like
one account holder, one guess, so we can't start up
(17:16):
four hundred million accounts.
Speaker 1 (17:17):
Also, yeah, it's like when that guy on Mega Mind
went missing and they were offering a reward for finding her,
and I was going to try train an AI model
to take a thousand guesses at where he was and
send them all into the cops try and claim the reward.
Speaker 2 (17:34):
America over Mega Mind.
Speaker 3 (17:35):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (17:36):
Generally, generally there's safeguards in place. So yeah, so there's
no there's no hack here, is there. You're just going
to try and pick it.
Speaker 3 (17:43):
That's correct. Yeah, So it opens in twelve days. I
think when the barrier draws done for the Everest midweek
and that and that we're leaning up to the race
that opens and you can get your picks, and you
can you can pick the one twig yourself, or you
can do a random generator and will do for you.
Speaker 5 (18:00):
Surely you'd get Surely, I mean, I'm I'm not experent here,
but you would get the top four or five favorites
when you and then just have a go at that
top five and then do random generator for the remaining.
Speaker 2 (18:13):
Six or seven. Wouldn't you?
Speaker 5 (18:14):
Is that you wouldn't You wouldn't just go for total
random generator because then you have a rank outsider coming first.
But yeah, I mean, I don't know, does it shorten
your chances if you're putting the favorites in the first five.
Speaker 1 (18:27):
I'd be inclined to just go chalk, just go odds
from lowest highest as it's rudden.
Speaker 4 (18:36):
It wasn't far from memory, It wasn't far off that
last year.
Speaker 3 (18:39):
There was kind of one or two or three in
the middle and the sort of sort of two to
six range, and then the rest of it was kind
of ass.
Speaker 1 (18:47):
Because like what you're saying, look, you'd try and look
up like who's done the most research into this? I
would say the tab has done the most researcher and
they will tell you who they think is going to win,
so I'll go with them.
Speaker 5 (18:58):
So it's because I was like, oh, yeah, this is
then of a chance here ten million. I've only got
to get twelve horses right in a row. And then
I thought back, as I can't even pick fucking one
horse like in the last couple of weeks.
Speaker 2 (19:10):
So it's like I've got no chance of twelve in
a row.
Speaker 5 (19:14):
And then I got a I got a Cornelle yesterday
and I celebrated like I was, I'd run the Mega millions, but.
Speaker 2 (19:22):
I've got to get ten more yeah to do that.
But I'm hold on, I'm in a training exercise for us, Carl.
Speaker 3 (19:29):
I think we should I think we'll cram. We've got
three weeks, okay, two weeks plus every week, let's do
a little cram session. I found a race on Saturday.
I think it is totally a race one. Yeah, there's
five runners on this race. Okay, I thought we could
put ours together. We could we can do it individually,
(19:51):
or we can do it as a team. Yeah, and
let's check back next week to see if we can
get five. Okay, then say next week we'll go to
eight or nine, and then twelve.
Speaker 5 (20:00):
It's a great call, but can we I'm looking at
Manaia and I don't trust him. You don't trust him, no,
because if he doesn't write it down, give it to someone,
or actually place the bet, he's going to come back
next week and go ma I.
Speaker 2 (20:12):
Picked two, five, seven, three and four.
Speaker 3 (20:14):
I got it right.
Speaker 2 (20:15):
That's your problem. So I think we need to maybe Adam,
we need to give our picks to Adam, or we
actually just bet on it. I think we do this
all together in the interest of simplicity, so it's easy
to keep tracks.
Speaker 4 (20:26):
Yeah, small, small update. I've just refreshed the race and
we're down to four runners.
Speaker 2 (20:30):
Who's gone, who's out?
Speaker 4 (20:32):
Russian Blues has been scratched.
Speaker 2 (20:34):
Okay, well we know that ip Bossom is going to win.
Speaker 3 (20:37):
Yes, I agree with you.
Speaker 2 (20:39):
On a deer to plus year, and then I'm going.
Speaker 3 (20:48):
Think it's to be I think it's got to be
the one Vegas lucky.
Speaker 2 (20:51):
And then I'm going to go with the jockey with
Narah John Palmer on board, which means Luminance is coming
last year. So I'm going I concur one two three four,
so we're going two one four three three.
Speaker 3 (21:07):
So basically we'll flipped the favorite and then we're in order.
Speaker 1 (21:11):
Yeah, and that is and that's straight off the back
of We recognize Opie Boston's name, correct, and not Vannie Colgan.
Speaker 2 (21:18):
No, I hate Vanny Colgan and I liked him. I
can't got. I don't know what it is.
Speaker 3 (21:24):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (21:24):
Yeah, same, it's just the name Vinnie. You know, just
call yourself Vincent.
Speaker 3 (21:30):
It's very nice. Runners. Surely, surely we can do that.
Speaker 5 (21:32):
Yeah, Okay, Well that's a good that's a good training exercise.
Actually so, and then doesn't put us in good stead
if we miss a four. Yeah, and then we're going
to jump up to twelve. But well, we'll work our
way up. Maybe we'll go fire.
Speaker 2 (21:42):
Runners next week.
Speaker 3 (21:44):
We should absolutely put a same race multi on us too.
Speaker 5 (21:46):
Yes, hey, speaking to which Carl the Everest coming up.
I wish I wish I wish we could win. I
wish I would win, wish I could.
Speaker 3 (21:53):
I wish I went.
Speaker 2 (21:54):
I wish I went with the big horse last year.
Wasn't it in the years who we got this year?
Speaker 3 (22:00):
I wish our win is running it back for us,
going back back for more. Yep, so he ran in
the Manicato Group by Manicato Steaks last Friday at Mooney Valley. Yep,
flew home for third. I think hit the line very strong.
So everyone seems very happy with how I wish I
win is tracking for the Everest in a.
Speaker 2 (22:21):
Couple of weeks, and that the only Kiwi horse in
the Everest.
Speaker 3 (22:25):
There is another one running out of the Chris Wallace
stable called Jolly Starr Julie Starr.
Speaker 2 (22:32):
All right, well we will, we'll keep tabs on that
over the next couple of weeks.
Speaker 1 (22:35):
But we've got our we've got our training underway for
the Mega millions. All right, let's take a quick break
and we'll come back with grab a pen.
Speaker 2 (22:47):
Pause the podcast now and grab a pen for the
hottest tips from around the tab office.
Speaker 1 (22:53):
This is your chance to get a tip from the
tipsters at the tab. Carl has had his ears to
the train tracks. Have people been saying around the office
this week?
Speaker 3 (23:03):
Just real quickly, two weeks ago people won't remember, but
we had two thirds, a winner, a fifth and a sixth.
Ain't that? Yeah?
Speaker 2 (23:11):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (23:13):
This week our harness guy who who won a couple
of weeks ago, he's gone to meth find on Sunday,
Race three, Rock and Roll Down. I haven't got a
price yet. The price is about soon. And he gave
me a blub about the runner, but all I saw
was the driver and trainer. It's called Bob Butt and
(23:33):
Bob but is in fine form.
Speaker 1 (23:35):
Bob but Bob but Bob But's running at med find
this this harness sicko that you've got down there, who
is probably living somewhere around the mid Canibury area and
just just loves the hobbyist, doesn't he he's from a
tago Yeah right, but yeah, anytime you've got as a
myth specialist though, isn't he he's a specialists methins. Yeah,
(23:59):
it does a lot, a lot of powerful work around
the myth, a lot of powerful work around the around
the butt.
Speaker 2 (24:04):
This week, shout out to Bob out Bob all.
Speaker 3 (24:09):
Right, I've got a fee here total and Race three
tomorrow number fourteen mayaka Bell three ninety and a dollar
forty hardware to Race nine number eight Herbert six fifty
and two forty five. Oh Jessey, you love this one.
Speaker 4 (24:29):
Flemington Race one number five Moby.
Speaker 2 (24:32):
Dick, Yeah, I'm on it.
Speaker 4 (24:34):
Turtle's fifteen sixty already.
Speaker 1 (24:37):
I can already see right now I'm probably going dick
into butt, and that's probably how I'm playing it this week.
Speaker 2 (24:44):
Grow up, just a little two legger, dick into butt
and we're away, I think. But we may have more
on a know.
Speaker 7 (24:52):
Next horse bulls deep out of I'm going let me,
I'm going full day shaking the bat.
Speaker 3 (25:06):
I'm not sure I can be a part of that.
It's too late.
Speaker 2 (25:10):
We've lost that shirt.
Speaker 3 (25:12):
Blimington Race three, number four, Lavilia eight dollars and two
dollars fifty. There was a Flimting Race three, Flimington Race four,
Dick clicky boulevard. Excuse me, the clickie.
Speaker 2 (25:28):
Dick licky into bat?
Speaker 6 (25:31):
Clear you're going to open with dick clicky then you
go click? Is that how you're playing always, always, every
Friday night into me? You would not, you wouldn't want
to do it the other way round.
Speaker 3 (25:47):
I should have thought this through the clicking boulevard thirty
dollar twenty four and ran Race seven Bellona Bettina to
ninety and a dollar twenty.
Speaker 2 (25:58):
Oh nice.
Speaker 5 (26:00):
That the good news forever one and myself included. As
I broke down the first one harness smith Bean raised
three rock and roll don I lost track of all
the rest of it and makes the dick chat. But
luckily for you, we're going to put it up on
the Instagram stories for the grab a pen well in
time for you to follow that in yeah so and
me included yeah on.
Speaker 1 (26:22):
Hopefully no one that gives you these tips listens to
this podcast. It might be the last lot of tips
that they ever get. The Harness does He'll come back
though I know who he is. He'll come back.
Speaker 2 (26:33):
He'll brilliant. Thank you very much for one of the
more entertaining rounds of grain. And now it's time for
stats to impress the ladies.
Speaker 3 (26:46):
All right, guys, As I said, I've got a lot
of Grand Final stuff here. I'm going to start with
some try score of stuff. So in the last decade
there's been fifty six tries in the Grand Final, forty
two of those scored by the backs by Ford's and
two by the bench players. Ooh, only two edge back
rowers have scored a try in the Grand Final last decade? Really,
(27:11):
one lock and three hookers is that it? In the
last ten years, two of those.
Speaker 4 (27:16):
Hookers have been first try scorer, though, oh, props.
Speaker 3 (27:22):
Have scored six. And then in the backs we've got wingers,
we've got fourteen centers, have got thirteen six each for
the full back, and five eighths and three for the
half back. Nathan Cleary has two of those three half
back tries.
Speaker 5 (27:42):
Yeah, that's the I mean, we've That's how that was
our hunch, our gender hunch, wasn't it was Cleary to
score Panthers to win six to twenty Yeah, six to
twenty five.
Speaker 2 (27:52):
Yeah boasted.
Speaker 3 (27:53):
Yeah, nice first try scorer. It's been five wingers, three
centers and two hookers. Last try scorer. Four wingers, two
half backs, two full backs.
Speaker 1 (28:09):
Again clear he would have been that one of those
last try scorers, probably two of.
Speaker 3 (28:14):
Them and a center has scored a try and nine
of the last ten Grand finals. Okay, a couple of
stats here around the henh. So they've split the last
sixteen games eight inch between these two Penrith are seven
(28:38):
and one against the spread and the finals over the
last three years.
Speaker 4 (28:43):
So they are I think they're one and a half
point outsider the moment.
Speaker 2 (28:50):
So they're going to win. That's good will draw.
Speaker 3 (28:54):
We'll lose by one. They have only led in more
than two points in one of the last ten finals
games the Panthers. They are twenty one and eleven against
the spread against top four teams in their last thirty
two games and nine and three against the spread starting
(29:16):
at a dollar eighty or longer.
Speaker 2 (29:19):
Okay, so it's all leading Panthers is what I'm hearing.
Speaker 3 (29:23):
Wow, teams, So this is this is where the Storm
come into a Teams are off scoring forty eight or
more cover the spread at sixty four percent in the
last four years, the Storm are nineteen and nine against
the spread after scoring thirty six or more, and the
(29:45):
Storm are twenty four and twelve against the spread off
winning thirteen plus. So they've got a very good Basically,
when they're hot, they run hot and they can back
it up. So I don't know, basically, pick aside and
side with some stats and go from there.
Speaker 1 (30:01):
That was basically like the presidential debate. It just confirmed
the candidate I already wanted.
Speaker 2 (30:05):
To vote for.
Speaker 3 (30:07):
Basically, the bookies are pretty good at their job, and yeah,
they've got.
Speaker 2 (30:10):
It right, Yeah, brilliant. Yeah.
Speaker 1 (30:15):
Like I said, I think it's just confirmed all of
the things I think are going to happen. Will Warbrook
keeps sticking out of my head, his first try scorer.
Speaker 2 (30:21):
I don't know why.
Speaker 1 (30:22):
Just because he lived, because he led the hacker at
the Dali M's on Wednesday. That's probably the only reason.
But that's as good a reason as any for the
three way now, I think. So we had a Cicco
go back, and his name is Muddy here he worth
from Flavor, go back and count up where we're at.
What's at stake? As around the golf the loser has
(30:43):
to carry the bags. I believe I was charging back
up the ladder, I think. Did I finish before we
went overseas? It was one behind you?
Speaker 5 (30:51):
Yeah, you were, Yeah, And but we said we were
going to do it until the end of the NRL season. Yes,
and then we had a golf tournament scheduled for November.
Speaker 2 (31:00):
This was the news.
Speaker 5 (31:00):
We wanted to tell you that that golf tournament has
been put off till January. Oh so does that mean
that potentially with the three way, do we extend it
to the end of the calendar year before we decide
who carries It also gives us a chance to haul
down Carl as well, who's got a massive lead on us.
Yeah you do.
Speaker 2 (31:19):
Actually, I've got the most of game board.
Speaker 5 (31:22):
And you know the worst part of it is that
the of course we're on is absolute goat track this tournament' sign,
So carrying the bags for that one is going to
be brutal, but it allows us to carry the three.
Speaker 2 (31:35):
One a bit a bit longer. So an agreement with that.
Just mute Carl's mike, just and yep, we're an agreement.
Speaker 3 (31:43):
In the spirit of punting.
Speaker 2 (31:45):
All right. So you're one behind me. Carl's about four ahead.
I think maybe five ahead of us. I don't know
if it was quite that much.
Speaker 3 (31:56):
I feel like I had a winner last one.
Speaker 2 (31:58):
Yeah, he got a bit fruity on it and came through.
I'll start. I'll start this week's three way if you want.
Speaker 5 (32:02):
I'm delving into the NPC and I looked at these
odds and I thought it was a good eating. It's
it's Auckland versus Bay of Plenty. Bay are plenty of
the favorites. But they're playing at Auckland Grammar. The Auckland
MPC team have gone back grass roots. They're playing at Grammar.
It's going to be a festival of rugby. I think
it's going to be an amazing crowd. I think Auckland
(32:23):
are going to step up and they're paying two fifty
your head on that, So I'm going Auckland over Bay
a plenty at Grammar.
Speaker 2 (32:28):
I'll add that to the bed slip. Two fifty juicy.
Speaker 1 (32:32):
I probably wouldn't be venturing that far away from the
dollar aidy minimum with this on the line.
Speaker 2 (32:36):
I see, but totally in January. Now, are you going
to go back to the South can every well? Are
you your big massive puss? I may do, Carl, what
are you looking at?
Speaker 3 (32:49):
I am very born here as I am every week.
I really want to take Jack Howarth to score and
for the storm, but I'll take our man, maybe Dick
when at two dollars fifteen it's Flemington Race one.
Speaker 1 (33:11):
Okay, I'm going to try the search function here. Flemington
Race one. Maybe Dick on the tip dollar hang on,
stop it.
Speaker 3 (33:22):
Two dollars fifteen, two.
Speaker 2 (33:23):
Dollars fifteen, Yes, yep, we're going to add that to
the bed slip.
Speaker 3 (33:28):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (33:29):
And at the stage when I is searching odds half
for a.
Speaker 1 (33:33):
Dollar championship, South Canterbury playing West Coast, good god, this
is going to be an absolute bloodbath. The lines at
a dollar eighty So sorry, it's it twenty four and
a half. I want to go South Canterbary minus twenty
four and a half against West Coast at a dollar
eighty two. And look, it's not about filling the kiddy here.
(33:55):
This is just about winning, all right. So I'm going
to I'm standing very close to that minimum there. We
put that together into a multi. It's nine dollars seventy eight,
so we're paying nine hundred and seventy eight bucks back
and I'll put that on right now so we can
keep track of that throughout.
Speaker 2 (34:13):
The weekend if anyone else has got anything else otherwise. No,
And he's got a table booked at Prago. Very weak class,
very grassroots, isn't it.
Speaker 1 (34:27):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (34:27):
It was his last show today car at the Hiddacky Breakfast.
Speaker 5 (34:31):
So it's been a very and we're in the same
kind of sere, in the same office, and it's just
a distinct smell of Margarita's everywhere.
Speaker 3 (34:39):
Very nice, very nice. Hey, just quickly before we go,
I need to mention last Saturday, some person had a
five hundred dollars four leg multi.
Speaker 4 (34:52):
That returned one hundred and six thousand dollars.
Speaker 2 (34:56):
Shit. Yeah, this is what keeps us pundum. What was
that on there?
Speaker 3 (35:01):
It was four four different races, races one through fort Rickedon. Yeah,
they had a top three at two seventy, a three
dollars fifty winner, a dollar fifty winner, and a fifteen
dollar winner.
Speaker 2 (35:16):
It was at the last race.
Speaker 3 (35:18):
That was the last one.
Speaker 2 (35:21):
That's a hard stop of that one.
Speaker 5 (35:23):
Imagine the celebrations. I hope that punter was at the
race where it happened. I hope he was in Rickadon,
the name of the horse too much.
Speaker 2 (35:33):
It's written in the star, and the star is brilliant.
That's enough to keep me on the hook.
Speaker 1 (35:37):
That's the that's the one drive off the aighteenth t
that'll keep me coming back next week. Thanks very much, Carl,
Enjoy your weekend, enjoy the Grand Final, and we'll talk
to you next week.
Speaker 3 (35:46):
Cheers boys, go b Cheers back the ACC Sports thanks
to the TAB
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On Purpose with Jay Shetty
I’m Jay Shetty host of On Purpose the worlds #1 Mental Health podcast and I’m so grateful you found us. I started this podcast 5 years ago to invite you into conversations and workshops that are designed to help make you happier, healthier and more healed. I believe that when you (yes you) feel seen, heard and understood you’re able to deal with relationship struggles, work challenges and life’s ups and downs with more ease and grace. I interview experts, celebrities, thought leaders and athletes so that we can grow our mindset, build better habits and uncover a side of them we’ve never seen before. New episodes every Monday and Friday. Your support means the world to me and I don’t take it for granted — click the follow button and leave a review to help us spread the love with On Purpose. I can’t wait for you to listen to your first or 500th episode!