November 4, 2024 • 34 mins
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-CT) tires to downplay devastating Trump ad focusing on Kamala supporting taxpayer-funded gender reassignment surgeries for illegals in detention and prison inmates convicted of felonies.
David Axelrod, long-time Obama adviser expresses concern over depressed voter turnout in blue cities within swing states. Is this an indicator of where this election is headed?
David Axelrod, long-time Obama adviser expresses concern over depressed voter turnout in blue cities within swing states. Is this an indicator of where this election is headed?
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is Dan capless and welcome to today's online podcast
edition of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to
give us a five star rating if you'd be so kind,
and to subscribe, download and listen to the show every
single day on your favorite podcast platform. Let's continue a
proud tradition that I started in twenty sixteen. We'll do
it a day early, Ryan, because you may remember, though
(00:22):
you were just a newborn then in twenty sixty, if
you woke up that morning of Election Day twenty sixteen,
you woke up to headlines talking about insiders in the
Trump campaign playing the blame game and explaining why Donald
Trump was going to lose. So I did a morning
show back then, and I took to the air and
(00:42):
at ten am, I sat there and I looked our
listeners in the microphone, and I just went through all
the reasons Donald Trump was going to win and said
that this is my best memory of it. But I
spent that show being optimistic, talking about all the reasons
he was going to win. And remember back then, it
looked pretty darn gloomy. You had just had the access
(01:05):
Hollywood tapes, you had all the challenges he was up against.
His popularity was absolutely in the tank approval rating. I
should sang the polls, and obviously Donald Trump won, and
it was one of the most enjoyable professional nights of
my life handling that election night coverage.
Speaker 2 (01:23):
Were you getting mocked earlier in the day, though mocked
is the understatement of the millennium.
Speaker 1 (01:30):
Mocked, yeah, and ridiculed, abused, abused in every imaginable way.
And I remember when I was dry and this leads
to a point here in a second, believe it or not,
but as I was driving over to do the election
night coverage, it was a coverage started at seven, so
about six forty five mountain time, it still looked pretty
(01:50):
grim for Trump. And then I remember it started turning
just about seven mountain time and turned into one of
the most beautiful nights any of us can remember. So
I am going to dedicate myself to that same mission
today and tomorrow. Now we have lots more to talk about, right,
We're always trying to look three or four steps ahead,
(02:11):
but we do need to talk about all the reasons
to believe Donald Trump will win. And as we've talked
about from beginning, hey, it's a human endeavor, right, Anything
is possible, but I think the temptation is to get
buried in the minutia because you know, if you listen
to a show like this, you probably care so much
about this, like I do. You want to look for
every bit of evidence you can, so you start to
(02:33):
get down to that fine detail, you can get lost
in there. You got to step back, look at the
big picture, look at the basics. And there are so
many basics and Trump's faf but I got to start
with this one. Ryan. I know you're working hard back there,
so you didn't have a chance to see this. What
do you make of this headline? Now keep in mind
this just popped up on CNN. What do you make
of this headline? After a relentless effort by the left
(02:57):
over the past week to pull this sy up on
America and convince America that the race has turned in
kamalis favor so that Trump voters will stay home because obviously,
Donald Trump's secret sauce is getting a whole bunch of
people who normally vote don't vote to turn out for them,
and so the left is obviously thinking, hey, if we
convince them that Trump's going to lose, nobody wants to
(03:18):
be associated with a loser. It's not worth their time
to vote. They normally don't vote. That's been the whole
play from the left for a week. So how do
we then, my friend run into this headline that just
pops up? Now, remember this prime time back east right now,
and that's where CNN is really focused. So at seven
three Eastern they put this headline up sources Harris campaign
(03:44):
c sign on whether Harris can win. That's the lead
headline seven pm newscast East Coast time on CNN. Why
did they run that headline? And then the next headline,
Harris advisor mandate is to heap heads down mobilized voters.
What an interesting headline.
Speaker 2 (04:05):
Yeah, little doomlut right there. And I don't want to
get cocky or over confident. I think I was a
little shocked by how twenty twenty turned out. We don't
need to get into the reasons why, but this one,
I'm a lot more confident about Dan. I'm far more
confident in twenty twenty four than I was in twenty twenty,
and then I certainly was in twenty sixteen. I did
not share your optimism that Trump would win. But these
(04:26):
national polls all coming in dan NBC News Emerson New
York Post all tied national popular vote.
Speaker 1 (04:32):
I'm talking about this rural turnout. It's hard to gauge.
Speaker 2 (04:35):
New York Times even admitted that they undersampled Trump voters.
I predict he's going to win the national popular vote
by two and he will win all seven swing states.
Speaker 1 (04:43):
And as we well, tell us what you really think.
But I just did just get a warm, tingly failing
when I hear that. But here's the point, then, I
want to get to our gam lines. We're going to
know very early tomorrow night. And this was the first
big clue for me in sixteen. You're going to get
these Republican states that he's serving to win, coming in
(05:04):
early that people tend to ignore. You'll get Indiana. I
think we may get Indiana while we're still on air, correct,
and Kentucky while we're still on air, et cetera. But obviously,
what we're looking for are the margins. We're looking at
the turnout. We're looking to see if Trump gets that
explosive turnout, those huge margins that are a true indicator
(05:26):
normally of what is to come. That was the first
sign in sixteen. And then we're going to know from
these East Coast states, right you talk about North Carolina,
you talk about Georgia. Obviously, start to get the Pennsylvania returns.
I think we're going to know pretty early, especially since
the voter registration increases in the swing states up and
(05:47):
down the East Coast have been so good for Trump.
The early returns from what you can tell from the
outside of the envelope party affiliation, male, female, have been
overall very good for Trump. I think we're going to
know early. You know, if it is as I fully expect,
a Trump victory, it's likely to be a larger Trump victory.
Let's start in beautiful Boulder, Kevin, you're on the dan
(06:07):
Kaplas you'll welcome.
Speaker 3 (06:10):
I have a theoretical scenario which I'm sure you will
deny as being even possible. Right now, I believe it's
fifty percent likely. But that's the left. If they considered
it or will consider it, would one hundred percent agree
(06:31):
that it's a viable option for them. You know how
the alphabet agencies have been weaponized against Trump for the
last eight years, and how they criticized him for attempting
to re certify the votes. I believe if Trump. I
believe it's possible if Trump, this whole thing is going
to go on for years. It's not going to end
(06:52):
tomorrow if he's elected. But if Trump wins and Harris
cannot get the votes recertified in her favor to make
her win, and if the Electoral College does not give
her enough of Trump's votes to make her win, that
(07:12):
in the next ten weeks, most likely a week or
so before the before Jan twenty, Biden or Harris, whoever's president,
will declare Trump to be an extreme danger to the
national security of the United States and will refuse to
(07:34):
let him become president, and they will deny any Supreme
Court rulings in his favor.
Speaker 1 (07:40):
Yeah, Kevin, very much appreciate the call. I will bet
everything I own, have ever owned, will ever own, that
that does not happen. But very much appreciate the call. Now,
very fair question, obviously, and I open the show with
it as we go to Jim in Denver as to Okay,
you know, assuming Trump does win, what do we see
(08:01):
from the left then, And I think that's a very
fair and important question. Jim, Welcome to the show.
Speaker 4 (08:07):
Hey Dan, thanks for having me on. There hasn't been
hardly any discussion of foreign policy during this campaign, I
think from either side, but I am concerned when I
hear John on two things. I hear John Bolton say
that he predicts that Trump will withdraw from NATO if
(08:28):
he's reelected. And the other thing is Victor Orbond telling
Hungarian TV that Trump's basically going to cut off Ukraine
and tell them to make a deal.
Speaker 1 (08:43):
You know the beautiful thing here, my friend, you can
take that head of yours and rested peacefully on the
pillow tonight. You know why, because the guy was president
for four years. We saw what he did when it
came to the rest of the world. And what did
we see, Jim, We saw a lot more peace. Didn't
see Putin going into Ukraine. We didn't see our great
(09:04):
ally Israel being descended upon by these monsters like this.
We know what's coming because we saw it before. Jim.
You're great. I hope you call us every day. Lines
of jam want to get there. Let's go to Fort
Collins Don. You're on the Dan Kaplis Show.
Speaker 5 (09:18):
Welcome, Hey, Dan, good evening. I hope everyone got out
and voted, and certainly we all hope that they the
ballot initial to put abortion on the Colorado Constitution goes
down in.
Speaker 1 (09:36):
Flight seventy nine. It must be defeated.
Speaker 5 (09:39):
Yes, it must be defeated at all costs.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
Hey, don do me a favor. Sorry, I just want
to make sure I give you enough time. I got
to pop this break when we come back. Fascinating sound
from around the country today and Liz Cheney. Liz Cheney,
you know, I do wonder sometimes not to get too personal,
but I do wonder sometimes people who publicly say they
(10:01):
believe in God and that that that is their north
star and that's how they they determine their actions. You
gotta wonder about Liz Cheney when she said what she
did on the view today. Do you think she had
any of that in mind? You're on the Dankpla Show
(10:24):
and now back to the Dan Kaplas Show podcast, Senator
Chris Murphy. Then I'll just know why I'm playing this.
Speaker 6 (10:31):
What's interesting to me is that, you know, estimates are
that like for of all of Trump's ads are about
transgender kids, as if that's the biggest threat to this country.
I mean, I heard folks on your previous segment talking.
Speaker 1 (10:46):
About wait a second, that is so key and then
I'll get back to the phone lines. But here's the point.
You're having this Saya pulled by the left right now,
trying to convince America that Harris has turned it around,
that she's winning. Hey, no sense bothering to go out
to vote for Trump blow propensity voters and normally don't
vote in presidential elections because he's going to lose anyway.
You don't want to be associated with winner. That's the
(11:06):
game with the loser. That's the game the left is
playing right now. And and you know, there are so
many reasons to believe that Trump is on his way
to victory. Guaranteed, No, it never is. You know, could
he lose it, sure, But so many big picture reasons
and hard data reasons to believe he's on his way
(11:27):
to victory, and potentially a very large victory. But here's
why I just played Chris Murphy, this far left Democrat
senator from Connecticut. You can hear, you can hear how
ticked he is, and he's probably right. Probably forty percent
of the Trump ads have been the ad that we've
been talking about on this show so much. It was
the very first bit of sound of Kamala Harris that
(11:48):
I played on this show after she was installed, the
sound of her before it was turned into a Trump
at bragging about how Attorney General of California she had
made sure that these inmates could have taxpayer funded sex
change operations. Well, that ad is driving the left crazy.
And the reason it's driving the left crazy is because
(12:09):
what it might do to suburban women. That's why I
played that there. Because the left is prancing around right
now talking about these polls that show this huge gender
gap with women so favoring Trump, and so many more
female ballots have been returned than male ballots at this point.
But here's the point. Just like Harris is running this
ad that suggests that Republican women and treats him as
(12:33):
some kind of idiots, you know, you can go ahead
and vote for Harris. You don't have to tell your
husband or anybody else. I think there's a very good chance,
and this is why Murphy and the left so upset
with this ad. There's a very good chance that you're
going to have a significant number of these suburban moms
who would never in a million years admit publicly they
(12:54):
were voting for Trump, but they will vote for Trump
because they don't want a man in their daughter's locker room,
they don't want a man playing sports against their daughter,
and they'll never admit they voted for Trump. But above all,
what do you care about? No matter who you are,
no matter what party you are, no matter where you live,
First and foremost, you care about your children. And I
(13:17):
just believe that you're going to have that sleeper vote
for Trump, who will never admit it, and he'll come
from suburban moms, It'll come from women across the country,
and it'll come from some guys too who normally support Democrats.
Sate five for zero five eight two five five plus
Harris's completely extreme support for all of that craziness just
(13:39):
also shows who she really is, right, she is a
far left San Francisco radical, and I just don't see
America electing a far left San Francisco radical. Bill was
kind of told he had called to encourage people to
vote against seventy nine, which obviously I agree with. We've
been pounding that on the show. Every vote may matter
here because the left and big abortion need to put
(14:02):
this monstrosity in the constitution. So this is one where yeah,
every vote could matter. Bill, go ahead, Oh, you got me, Dan,
I sure hope so Bill and Broomfield.
Speaker 7 (14:16):
Yeah, Dan, I was calling actually about about the election
and the fevery that that you talked about. But seventy
nine has got to go down in plains hopefully, and
you know, have some morality in our conscience. But but
then I talked to you the other week and it
(14:38):
was strictly about he told me that I'm worried about
the election being stolen me and you disagree. You talk
to about your friend who told you there that that
he was worried about it being stolen. Now, now I'll
just tell you a couple of things. You know, the
state of Texas, they were trying to get dominion systems
(14:59):
in the state of Texas. Turned that down. I did
see Atlanta had that water break at about you know
Tim thirty on when they were counting the elections. And Dan.
One thing about the left. They will cheat, they will
lie and swear by it. The only thing that I
don't know a scarier is if they know their lion, Dan,
(15:21):
or they believe it.
Speaker 4 (15:22):
Well.
Speaker 1 (15:23):
The scariest Bill, let me ask you a key question, my friend,
that the scariest thing would be if there was a
single Trump voter who failed to vote because they were
concerned that vote the election would be stolen. So you
have voted, right, and you're gonna vote, and you're encouraging
everybody else to vote.
Speaker 7 (15:38):
And you know what, Dan, and I am hoping, and
you know what, and I'm kind of believing where you're
at that that Trump's gonna win tomorrow. And I've been
praying about it. I want it, and I've been encouraging
everybody to get out there and vote, and I will
do my part.
Speaker 1 (15:56):
Well, I sure appreciate that, my friend. Thank you. And again,
so many Americans, so many very good Americans. You look
at the polls, very large numbers are concerned about election
integrity and whether the election will be fairly counted. And
so Bill is not alone. But there are so many
reasons to have confidence right now. I mean, the GOP
(16:18):
just won another big victory in Georgia. Yeah, it was
over three thousand votes in Cobb County, but they went
to court. They won another big victory, and those votes
will only be counted if they're received by the end
of election night. You know, there had been a ruling
that they could be received up to three days later.
You saw the big win in the US Supreme Court
in Virginia that you know against the Biden administration, wanting
(16:42):
people had checked a box saying they could not legally
vote here to stay on voter rolls. You saw another
big win in Pennsylvania where you know, the left apparently
shut down these polling places No. Two thirty in the afternoon,
you can't get in line anymore. GOP went to court
and won there. So you see this very determined effort
(17:03):
to make sure that things are done properly. And I
do want to get into that CU poll on Colorado
as well, pretty striking numbers as to how many Colorado's
across party lines have concerns about election integrity, So we'll
dive into that after the break as well. We also
have the new Atlas Intel poll and that is considered
(17:24):
to be I think in twenty twenty it was the
most accurate polster, very very highly regarded Polster just out
with their new Swing state poll as well. Eight five
five or zero five A two five to five. We
have tremendous texts coming in da N five seven, seven,
three nine. Again, we'll review a lot of the big
picture and some of the micro reasons to believe that
(17:45):
Trump is going to win, and we'll look ahead to Okay,
what happens next. I really want to look ahead to
election night because this will be this time tomorrow. It'll
be about seven p thirty Eastern, and I think we're
going to know a surprising amount by seven thirty Eastern.
And I think that I think we're going to know
(18:05):
fairly early in the evening. So all of that to
look forward to eight five five or zero five eight
two five five text d An five seven seven three nine.
You're on the Dankplas Show.
Speaker 2 (18:19):
You're listening to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast.
Speaker 8 (18:22):
Millions of Americans sincerely love Donald Trump.
Speaker 1 (18:27):
They love him in spite of.
Speaker 8 (18:28):
Everything they've heard. They love him often in spite of himself.
They love Donald Trump because no one else loves them.
What the country their ancestors fought for over hundreds of
years has left them to die in their unfashionable little towns,
mocked and despised by the sneering half wits with finance
degrees but no actual skills who seem to run everything
(18:49):
all of a sudden. Whatever Donald Trump's faults, he is
better than the rest of the people in charge. Donald Trump,
in other words, is and has always been a living
indictment of the people who run this country. That was
true when Trump came out of nowhere to win the presidency,
and it's every bit as true right now. Trump rose
(19:10):
because they failed.
Speaker 1 (19:12):
It's as simple as that.
Speaker 8 (19:13):
If the people in charge had done a halfway decent
job with the country they inherited, Donald Trump would still
be hosting celebrity Apprentice, but they didn't. Instead, they were
incompetent and narcissistic and cruel and relentlessly dishonored. They wrecked
what they didn't build, they lied about it, They hurt
anyone who told.
Speaker 1 (19:33):
The truth about what they were doing. That's true.
Speaker 8 (19:35):
We watched America is still a great country, the best
in the world, but our ruling class is disgusting. A
vote for Trump is a vote against them. That's what's
going on in this country.
Speaker 1 (19:50):
Wow, so many great Trump ads and so encouraging to me.
What's fascinating. We keep two big screens on in here,
one on CNN and one on Fox, and on both
and both at the same time. Today during this show,
I've seen Trump ads on both at the same time.
So my guess is that that Trump's either been the
(20:13):
campaigns has been saving a bunch of money for this
final push right before election day, or they got a
bunch of additional money. And these are really good ads
that are up, so so many more Trump ads than
Harris ads, at least during the show today on both
CNN and Fox. Very interesting to see the Trump campaign
spending that kind of money on CNN. What does that
(20:35):
tell you? Eight five five four zero five A two
five five text d an five seven, seven through nine.
I mentioned earlier that prime time seven o'clock Eastern, the
headline CNN opened the newscast with was Harris campaign se
sign on whether Harris can win? That was the headline
they opened with at at seven oh five Mountain five
(20:57):
seven oh five Eastern, five oh five Mountain Harris campaign
Sea sign on whether Harris can win? And then they've
had some stuff favorable to Harris. But here's the headline
that just popped up. Pennsylvania voter thinks Trump is going
to win in a landslide. So they put that up
on CNN. So you got a bunch of people on
(21:18):
the left kind of hedging their bets. At the same time,
you've got this syop that the left and its media
arm has been working trying to convince low propensity Trump
voters ain't no sense voting, Harris says, all the momentum
she's going to win, you don't want to be associated
with the loser. It's been it's been a confirming thing
to watch. The media is so openly in the tank
(21:39):
for Harris. And I know that isn't news. I get it.
You know that's true, but it's also but it's also
a sign of and another confirmation of some of the
things so deeply wrong in America right now that really
need to be fixed. The good news is, though, right
that very very very few Americans trust the media well.
Speaker 2 (21:59):
And part of that Nate Silver, a guy you and
I both have a lot of respect for, I think,
and he was one of the guys that was kind
of Canary and the coal Mine in twenty sixteen that
maybe Trump had more of a chance than he was
being given. But now he's done this, Dan, he's gone
from a pretty consistent about a fifty five to forty
five split of Trump more likely to win the Harris
he comes out today, you know what, it's fifty forty
(22:20):
nine or whatever. It's a toss up. It's a coin
toss and I was like, what kind of analysis is that?
Why did he back off of that?
Speaker 1 (22:26):
And not to be that guy, but I said it
when he had Harris up sixty forty. I said it
when he had a Trump up sixty forty. Nate will
bring it back to about a fifty to fifty in
the end. He's a businessman, right, he'll bring it back
to about a fifty to fifty. And I don't want
to get tu wonky and pole stuff right now. Actually
I do, but I won't because I don't think you'd
be interested in that. But I know there's a lot
(22:47):
of attention being paid right now to this Seltzer pole
out of Iowa, which shows Harris up four and if
that poll is correct, might bode poorly for Trump and
surrounding states such as Wiscon But two quick things on that. First,
I don't believe for a second Harris is up in Iowa.
(23:07):
As you know, there are a bunch of other polsies
saying she isn't. Second what Anne Seltzer did, and listen,
I can respect it. It's different than what other pollsters do.
But she's got a real good track record what she
did was she did not base her polling on you know,
past performance, who usually turned out in twenty, who usually
turned out in sixteen. She just took it fresh with
(23:30):
the group. I think it was eight sixty four, might
have been twelve sixty four. She took it with the
group she happened to poll, and she just based her
poll result on who among that group said they were
going to turn out. And if she had followed the
model most pollsters follow of let's see what the electric
really looked like in sixteen and really looked like in
(23:51):
twenty really looked like in twenty two. If she had
followed that model, then then certainly Trump would be up.
But here's the other big point that just doesn't get
talked about. Wait a second, Trump's going to win Iowa.
But but the fact it may be closer, his margins
may be smaller in some of these non swing states.
(24:12):
You shouldn't read anything into that regarding nearby states that
are truly swing states. The reason for that is, obviously
the Trump campaign has been saturating the swing states and
not many other states, saturating the swing states with these
ads that remind people or inform them. For the first
time as to who Kamala Harris really is, and their
(24:35):
video of Kamala Harris saying things in her own words.
So if you live in a swing state and you're
getting bombarded with those ads, then obviously your view of
Kamala Harris is going to be infinitely more dim than
if you're living in a surrounding state and you don't
know these truths about her or you haven't been reminded.
So another reason why I'm so confident Trump's going to
(24:57):
win is because Harris is just that bad and the
people in the Swing states have been constantly reminded of
that in her own words. Eight five five two five
to five the number. I've got to get to some
of these texts. I want to get to some of
these texts. Dan Pervivic quote, we are all going to
be thrilled when Trump is announced the winner, but the
(25:18):
happiest person of all will be Joe Biden. That from
Alexa Boy. We all know that's true, right, and he
has done his part to help Trump win, I mean,
including putting the Trump on right. But the garbage thing
last week which Trump turned around beautifully, Dan, in the
light about the voting machines being Internet accessible more fraud.
(25:39):
At this point, listen, I think we all know that
Jenna Griswold cannot stay in that job. I mean, for
the sake of the state confidence in our elections, she
cannot stay in that job. And I think the Left's
going to force her out for the good of the left.
Dan the passcodes were released and she wasn't going to
tell anyone fraud. Fraud, fraud. Yeah, that's the biggest indictment
(26:02):
of all because when you've got six hundred of these
bios passwords, and you you know, if somebody has bad intentions,
they can do an awful lot with these bios passwords.
When you've got six hundred sitting on the Internet for
months and only the Colorado GOP busted them on that,
you know, that's one thing. And at this point, is
it likely that there was any fraud engineered, you know,
(26:25):
by those bios passwords being online. We don't know the
answer to that yet. The fact that they were sitting
online for months. I haven't seen any proof yet that
led to any kind of tampering with machines. But it's
a very fair question as to whether it did. My
own gut, is it in the end we'll probably find
out that that as as incredibly reckless and incompetent as
(26:47):
it was to put those passwords up. In the end,
my guess is we'll find out that it did not
lead to tampering. But here's the point. While that may
have been an accident to post them online, and we
need to get all of that nailed down through a
truly independent investigation, and we'll be talking about that more later.
This nonsense of Griswold now saying she's hired an outside
(27:11):
law firm to conduct a quote independent investigation. Wait a second,
she chose the law firm. She won't even tell us
which law firm it is. It may very well be
a law firm that if we ever know the name,
I would tell Yeah, that's a really good law firm.
I don't know because she won't tell us, So how
can you have any confidence in that?
Speaker 9 (27:27):
Right?
Speaker 1 (27:28):
We need a special prosecutor, special prosecutor. While at this
point I doubt that there were crimes committed, there might
have been, and with something this serious we need the
full truth. We need a special prosecutor who has a
legion of forensic experts who are able to get to
the bottom of all this and report the full truth
to the public. There's no indication at this point that
(27:51):
that is actually going to happen. Dan, One thing for sure.
If Trump loses, we're one step closer to hell and
the return of Dan Too Big to rig Uh. Dan
Rosskominsky is advocating ranked choice voting. Please tell me he
is a kook. I can tell you on equivocally, Ross
(28:14):
Kominsky is not a kouk. He's the furthest thing from
a kook. Now, whether I agree with him on ranked
choice voting, that's a different issue. Hey, got to hit
this brake here when we come back. Also going to
pay tribute to a tremendous figure, one of the greatest
Calraaden's ever who has now departed from this station group
and will be sorely missed. You're on the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 2 (28:38):
And now back to the Dan Kapla Show podcast.
Speaker 10 (28:41):
The watchword of the day is humility here when you
have poles that are this close, and I'm sitting next
to one of the great pollsters if you and I
think she would tell you when you have polls this close,
you're not sure of anything, and it really matters who
shows up because these poles are not precise. So what
I'm worried about is how are you're counting on some
(29:01):
women who are independent Republican women to come out and
vote for Harris? Is that going to materialize? Is the
gender gap going to be what you need it to be?
Our minority voter is going to come out in the
numbers of African American voters in particular, And are you
going to get the margins that you want there? So
(29:23):
there are a lot of open questions and they're obviously
working it hard right now. There are feet on the
street and they're doing the kind of work that you
do in a race like this, but this race is
filled with uncertainty today.
Speaker 1 (29:36):
Yeah, that's David Axelrod. Yeah. How about this one from
Jim Messino, Obama's former campaign manager, said today, quote, the
early vote numbers are a little scary. Yeah, I'd say so,
and listen, that doesn't guarantee anything, but it's just one
of so many good signs that Donald Trump is in
a great position to win and potentially win big. No, obviously,
(29:58):
it comes down to turn out tomorrow because even though
half the voter more is in in America, that means
almost half the vote is still out, and we've talked
about it from the jump. It's always been the case
her President Trump's secret sauce is getting a whole lot
of people who don't normally vote to come out and
vote for him and get those you know, in those
categories that do normally vote, to vote explosively for him.
(30:20):
And so in the end that's going to turn an
election day. But to this point, to do all of
the tangible signs, like the hard data that people have
already voted, does all of that look very good? You
bet it does. But it's going to be wasted without
that explosive turnout tomorrow. And my bet is we're going
to get that explosive turnout tomorrow, I think, an intensely,
(30:43):
ferociously enthusiastic turnout for him tomorrow, and not so enthusiastic
for her. But it's obviously all about tomorrow. It's one
of the many reasons I'm excited for tomorrow's show because
by this time tomorrow, we're going to have some hard
returns in that really matter, and they'll start to give us,
I think, a pretty good indication of where everything is going.
(31:06):
For those who I didn't get to today, For example,
we have so many texts. These will be evergreen tomorrow
and I'll do my very best to get to those
tomorrow as well. Let me try to squeeze in. Oh,
we lost Brian from Arvada. How about Marty and Denver.
You're on the dan Kaplas.
Speaker 7 (31:22):
She'll welcome hi down.
Speaker 9 (31:24):
Hey, I've got to excuse my voice as Raspy here today,
but I just heard the Pennsylvania early voters. They discount,
they're throwing away, they're not counting one hundred and fifty
thousand votes because they put the wrong vice president on there.
(31:46):
And where's that at, Marty, Pennsylvania.
Speaker 1 (31:49):
Let me look that up. I haven't seen that story,
and I've been on top of a lot of different
successful challenges by the Trump team where they've actually been
winning in court. Great to see. So you say there
are one hundred and fifty thousand they had the wrong
vice president? By the way, who they have as vice president?
Speaker 9 (32:06):
I don't know.
Speaker 1 (32:07):
Yeah, yeah, I'll look that story up. Thank you, my friend,
for the heads up on that. Do take care of
your voice there, Thank you. We'll continue to follow this
Jenna Griswold story. My bet is that she is not
long for that job, nor should she be right. I mean,
as I've been talking about for a long time on
this show, her hyper partisanship, let alone her mistakes. And
(32:28):
this is before the GOP and Colorado did a great
job of outing her on these very important passwords being
online for months. But I've been saying for many, many,
many months that she undermines confidence in Colorado elections through
her hyper partisanship. I mean, this great SEU study and
we'll get polled done out of CEU. We'll get into
(32:49):
it in more detail tomorrow. Colorado election fairness. This poll,
scientifically conducted, pole being reported nationally, asked, you know, do
you believe the elections in Colorado will be conducted fairly
and accurately? Independence? Ryan, what percentage of independence? We're not
(33:14):
willing to agree. We're not willing to agree that elections
in Colorado will be conducted fairly and accurately. We're talking
indis here, brother, Fifty eight percent think no, forty percent
we're unwilling to say. Sixty one willing to say that
(33:34):
elections in Colorado will be conducted fairly and accurately sixty
one percent. Sixty one percent agreed they would be, but
think how low that number is. Twenty one percent of
independence disagreed with that eighteen percent not sure. But when
you can get only sixty percent of independence in the
state of Colorado to say they agree the elections will
(33:55):
be conducted, I don't try fairly indaccurately. You know you've
got a propect here. I'm not saying that you've got
a problem in terms of whether they will be conducted
fairly and accurately. Obviously they've been some mistakes, but that
people can't have confidence.
Speaker 2 (34:09):
She's either inept or corrupt or both. She cannot run
our elections. Dan, I have a lot of doubts myself
right now.
Speaker 1 (34:16):
Well, her hyperpartisanship at the very least undermines confidence, and
then you get these monumental mistakes on top of it.
Will stay on that story. Thank you, Ryan, your usual
tremendous job. Don't miss Ryan Show in the Denver Market
two to four every afternoon. Kellyhuman Sunshine. Can't wait for
tomorrow Election Day finally here. Please join us then on
the Dan Kapla Show.
This is Dan capless and welcome to today's online podcast
edition of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to
give us a five star rating if you'd be so kind,
and to subscribe, download and listen to the show every
single day on your favorite podcast platform. Let's continue a
proud tradition that I started in twenty sixteen. We'll do
it a day early, Ryan, because you may remember, though
(00:22):
you were just a newborn then in twenty sixty, if
you woke up that morning of Election Day twenty sixteen,
you woke up to headlines talking about insiders in the
Trump campaign playing the blame game and explaining why Donald
Trump was going to lose. So I did a morning
show back then, and I took to the air and
(00:42):
at ten am, I sat there and I looked our
listeners in the microphone, and I just went through all
the reasons Donald Trump was going to win and said
that this is my best memory of it. But I
spent that show being optimistic, talking about all the reasons
he was going to win. And remember back then, it
looked pretty darn gloomy. You had just had the access
(01:05):
Hollywood tapes, you had all the challenges he was up against.
His popularity was absolutely in the tank approval rating. I
should sang the polls, and obviously Donald Trump won, and
it was one of the most enjoyable professional nights of
my life handling that election night coverage.
Speaker 2 (01:23):
Were you getting mocked earlier in the day, though mocked
is the understatement of the millennium.
Speaker 1 (01:30):
Mocked, yeah, and ridiculed, abused, abused in every imaginable way.
And I remember when I was dry and this leads
to a point here in a second, believe it or not,
but as I was driving over to do the election
night coverage, it was a coverage started at seven, so
about six forty five mountain time, it still looked pretty
(01:50):
grim for Trump. And then I remember it started turning
just about seven mountain time and turned into one of
the most beautiful nights any of us can remember. So
I am going to dedicate myself to that same mission
today and tomorrow. Now we have lots more to talk about, right,
We're always trying to look three or four steps ahead,
(02:11):
but we do need to talk about all the reasons
to believe Donald Trump will win. And as we've talked
about from beginning, hey, it's a human endeavor, right, Anything
is possible, but I think the temptation is to get
buried in the minutia because you know, if you listen
to a show like this, you probably care so much
about this, like I do. You want to look for
every bit of evidence you can, so you start to
(02:33):
get down to that fine detail, you can get lost
in there. You got to step back, look at the
big picture, look at the basics. And there are so
many basics and Trump's faf but I got to start
with this one. Ryan. I know you're working hard back there,
so you didn't have a chance to see this. What
do you make of this headline? Now keep in mind
this just popped up on CNN. What do you make
of this headline? After a relentless effort by the left
(02:57):
over the past week to pull this sy up on
America and convince America that the race has turned in
kamalis favor so that Trump voters will stay home because obviously,
Donald Trump's secret sauce is getting a whole bunch of
people who normally vote don't vote to turn out for them,
and so the left is obviously thinking, hey, if we
convince them that Trump's going to lose, nobody wants to
(03:18):
be associated with a loser. It's not worth their time
to vote. They normally don't vote. That's been the whole
play from the left for a week. So how do
we then, my friend run into this headline that just
pops up? Now, remember this prime time back east right now,
and that's where CNN is really focused. So at seven
three Eastern they put this headline up sources Harris campaign
(03:44):
c sign on whether Harris can win. That's the lead
headline seven pm newscast East Coast time on CNN. Why
did they run that headline? And then the next headline,
Harris advisor mandate is to heap heads down mobilized voters.
What an interesting headline.
Speaker 2 (04:05):
Yeah, little doomlut right there. And I don't want to
get cocky or over confident. I think I was a
little shocked by how twenty twenty turned out. We don't
need to get into the reasons why, but this one,
I'm a lot more confident about Dan. I'm far more
confident in twenty twenty four than I was in twenty twenty,
and then I certainly was in twenty sixteen. I did
not share your optimism that Trump would win. But these
(04:26):
national polls all coming in dan NBC News Emerson New
York Post all tied national popular vote.
Speaker 1 (04:32):
I'm talking about this rural turnout. It's hard to gauge.
Speaker 2 (04:35):
New York Times even admitted that they undersampled Trump voters.
I predict he's going to win the national popular vote
by two and he will win all seven swing states.
Speaker 1 (04:43):
And as we well, tell us what you really think.
But I just did just get a warm, tingly failing
when I hear that. But here's the point, then, I
want to get to our gam lines. We're going to
know very early tomorrow night. And this was the first
big clue for me in sixteen. You're going to get
these Republican states that he's serving to win, coming in
(05:04):
early that people tend to ignore. You'll get Indiana. I
think we may get Indiana while we're still on air, correct,
and Kentucky while we're still on air, et cetera. But obviously,
what we're looking for are the margins. We're looking at
the turnout. We're looking to see if Trump gets that
explosive turnout, those huge margins that are a true indicator
(05:26):
normally of what is to come. That was the first
sign in sixteen. And then we're going to know from
these East Coast states, right you talk about North Carolina,
you talk about Georgia. Obviously, start to get the Pennsylvania returns.
I think we're going to know pretty early, especially since
the voter registration increases in the swing states up and
(05:47):
down the East Coast have been so good for Trump.
The early returns from what you can tell from the
outside of the envelope party affiliation, male, female, have been
overall very good for Trump. I think we're going to
know early. You know, if it is as I fully expect,
a Trump victory, it's likely to be a larger Trump victory.
Let's start in beautiful Boulder, Kevin, you're on the dan
(06:07):
Kaplas you'll welcome.
Speaker 3 (06:10):
I have a theoretical scenario which I'm sure you will
deny as being even possible. Right now, I believe it's
fifty percent likely. But that's the left. If they considered
it or will consider it, would one hundred percent agree
(06:31):
that it's a viable option for them. You know how
the alphabet agencies have been weaponized against Trump for the
last eight years, and how they criticized him for attempting
to re certify the votes. I believe if Trump. I
believe it's possible if Trump, this whole thing is going
to go on for years. It's not going to end
(06:52):
tomorrow if he's elected. But if Trump wins and Harris
cannot get the votes recertified in her favor to make
her win, and if the Electoral College does not give
her enough of Trump's votes to make her win, that
(07:12):
in the next ten weeks, most likely a week or
so before the before Jan twenty, Biden or Harris, whoever's president,
will declare Trump to be an extreme danger to the
national security of the United States and will refuse to
(07:34):
let him become president, and they will deny any Supreme
Court rulings in his favor.
Speaker 1 (07:40):
Yeah, Kevin, very much appreciate the call. I will bet
everything I own, have ever owned, will ever own, that
that does not happen. But very much appreciate the call. Now,
very fair question, obviously, and I open the show with
it as we go to Jim in Denver as to Okay,
you know, assuming Trump does win, what do we see
(08:01):
from the left then, And I think that's a very
fair and important question. Jim, Welcome to the show.
Speaker 4 (08:07):
Hey Dan, thanks for having me on. There hasn't been
hardly any discussion of foreign policy during this campaign, I
think from either side, but I am concerned when I
hear John on two things. I hear John Bolton say
that he predicts that Trump will withdraw from NATO if
(08:28):
he's reelected. And the other thing is Victor Orbond telling
Hungarian TV that Trump's basically going to cut off Ukraine
and tell them to make a deal.
Speaker 1 (08:43):
You know the beautiful thing here, my friend, you can
take that head of yours and rested peacefully on the
pillow tonight. You know why, because the guy was president
for four years. We saw what he did when it
came to the rest of the world. And what did
we see, Jim, We saw a lot more peace. Didn't
see Putin going into Ukraine. We didn't see our great
(09:04):
ally Israel being descended upon by these monsters like this.
We know what's coming because we saw it before. Jim.
You're great. I hope you call us every day. Lines
of jam want to get there. Let's go to Fort
Collins Don. You're on the Dan Kaplis Show.
Speaker 5 (09:18):
Welcome, Hey, Dan, good evening. I hope everyone got out
and voted, and certainly we all hope that they the
ballot initial to put abortion on the Colorado Constitution goes
down in.
Speaker 1 (09:36):
Flight seventy nine. It must be defeated.
Speaker 5 (09:39):
Yes, it must be defeated at all costs.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
Hey, don do me a favor. Sorry, I just want
to make sure I give you enough time. I got
to pop this break when we come back. Fascinating sound
from around the country today and Liz Cheney. Liz Cheney,
you know, I do wonder sometimes not to get too personal,
but I do wonder sometimes people who publicly say they
(10:01):
believe in God and that that that is their north
star and that's how they they determine their actions. You
gotta wonder about Liz Cheney when she said what she
did on the view today. Do you think she had
any of that in mind? You're on the Dankpla Show
(10:24):
and now back to the Dan Kaplas Show podcast, Senator
Chris Murphy. Then I'll just know why I'm playing this.
Speaker 6 (10:31):
What's interesting to me is that, you know, estimates are
that like for of all of Trump's ads are about
transgender kids, as if that's the biggest threat to this country.
I mean, I heard folks on your previous segment talking.
Speaker 1 (10:46):
About wait a second, that is so key and then
I'll get back to the phone lines. But here's the point.
You're having this Saya pulled by the left right now,
trying to convince America that Harris has turned it around,
that she's winning. Hey, no sense bothering to go out
to vote for Trump blow propensity voters and normally don't
vote in presidential elections because he's going to lose anyway.
You don't want to be associated with winner. That's the
(11:06):
game with the loser. That's the game the left is
playing right now. And and you know, there are so
many reasons to believe that Trump is on his way
to victory. Guaranteed, No, it never is. You know, could
he lose it, sure, But so many big picture reasons
and hard data reasons to believe he's on his way
(11:27):
to victory, and potentially a very large victory. But here's
why I just played Chris Murphy, this far left Democrat
senator from Connecticut. You can hear, you can hear how
ticked he is, and he's probably right. Probably forty percent
of the Trump ads have been the ad that we've
been talking about on this show so much. It was
the very first bit of sound of Kamala Harris that
(11:48):
I played on this show after she was installed, the
sound of her before it was turned into a Trump
at bragging about how Attorney General of California she had
made sure that these inmates could have taxpayer funded sex
change operations. Well, that ad is driving the left crazy.
And the reason it's driving the left crazy is because
(12:09):
what it might do to suburban women. That's why I
played that there. Because the left is prancing around right
now talking about these polls that show this huge gender
gap with women so favoring Trump, and so many more
female ballots have been returned than male ballots at this point.
But here's the point. Just like Harris is running this
ad that suggests that Republican women and treats him as
(12:33):
some kind of idiots, you know, you can go ahead
and vote for Harris. You don't have to tell your
husband or anybody else. I think there's a very good chance,
and this is why Murphy and the left so upset
with this ad. There's a very good chance that you're
going to have a significant number of these suburban moms
who would never in a million years admit publicly they
(12:54):
were voting for Trump, but they will vote for Trump
because they don't want a man in their daughter's locker room,
they don't want a man playing sports against their daughter,
and they'll never admit they voted for Trump. But above all,
what do you care about? No matter who you are,
no matter what party you are, no matter where you live,
First and foremost, you care about your children. And I
(13:17):
just believe that you're going to have that sleeper vote
for Trump, who will never admit it, and he'll come
from suburban moms, It'll come from women across the country,
and it'll come from some guys too who normally support Democrats.
Sate five for zero five eight two five five plus
Harris's completely extreme support for all of that craziness just
(13:39):
also shows who she really is, right, she is a
far left San Francisco radical, and I just don't see
America electing a far left San Francisco radical. Bill was
kind of told he had called to encourage people to
vote against seventy nine, which obviously I agree with. We've
been pounding that on the show. Every vote may matter
here because the left and big abortion need to put
(14:02):
this monstrosity in the constitution. So this is one where yeah,
every vote could matter. Bill, go ahead, Oh, you got me, Dan,
I sure hope so Bill and Broomfield.
Speaker 7 (14:16):
Yeah, Dan, I was calling actually about about the election
and the fevery that that you talked about. But seventy
nine has got to go down in plains hopefully, and
you know, have some morality in our conscience. But but
then I talked to you the other week and it
(14:38):
was strictly about he told me that I'm worried about
the election being stolen me and you disagree. You talk
to about your friend who told you there that that
he was worried about it being stolen. Now, now I'll
just tell you a couple of things. You know, the
state of Texas, they were trying to get dominion systems
(14:59):
in the state of Texas. Turned that down. I did
see Atlanta had that water break at about you know
Tim thirty on when they were counting the elections. And Dan.
One thing about the left. They will cheat, they will
lie and swear by it. The only thing that I
don't know a scarier is if they know their lion, Dan,
(15:21):
or they believe it.
Speaker 4 (15:22):
Well.
Speaker 1 (15:23):
The scariest Bill, let me ask you a key question, my friend,
that the scariest thing would be if there was a
single Trump voter who failed to vote because they were
concerned that vote the election would be stolen. So you
have voted, right, and you're gonna vote, and you're encouraging
everybody else to vote.
Speaker 7 (15:38):
And you know what, Dan, and I am hoping, and
you know what, and I'm kind of believing where you're
at that that Trump's gonna win tomorrow. And I've been
praying about it. I want it, and I've been encouraging
everybody to get out there and vote, and I will
do my part.
Speaker 1 (15:56):
Well, I sure appreciate that, my friend. Thank you. And again,
so many Americans, so many very good Americans. You look
at the polls, very large numbers are concerned about election
integrity and whether the election will be fairly counted. And
so Bill is not alone. But there are so many
reasons to have confidence right now. I mean, the GOP
(16:18):
just won another big victory in Georgia. Yeah, it was
over three thousand votes in Cobb County, but they went
to court. They won another big victory, and those votes
will only be counted if they're received by the end
of election night. You know, there had been a ruling
that they could be received up to three days later.
You saw the big win in the US Supreme Court
in Virginia that you know against the Biden administration, wanting
(16:42):
people had checked a box saying they could not legally
vote here to stay on voter rolls. You saw another
big win in Pennsylvania where you know, the left apparently
shut down these polling places No. Two thirty in the afternoon,
you can't get in line anymore. GOP went to court
and won there. So you see this very determined effort
(17:03):
to make sure that things are done properly. And I
do want to get into that CU poll on Colorado
as well, pretty striking numbers as to how many Colorado's
across party lines have concerns about election integrity, So we'll
dive into that after the break as well. We also
have the new Atlas Intel poll and that is considered
(17:24):
to be I think in twenty twenty it was the
most accurate polster, very very highly regarded Polster just out
with their new Swing state poll as well. Eight five
five or zero five A two five to five. We
have tremendous texts coming in da N five seven, seven,
three nine. Again, we'll review a lot of the big
picture and some of the micro reasons to believe that
(17:45):
Trump is going to win, and we'll look ahead to Okay,
what happens next. I really want to look ahead to
election night because this will be this time tomorrow. It'll
be about seven p thirty Eastern, and I think we're
going to know a surprising amount by seven thirty Eastern.
And I think that I think we're going to know
(18:05):
fairly early in the evening. So all of that to
look forward to eight five five or zero five eight
two five five text d An five seven seven three nine.
You're on the Dankplas Show.
Speaker 2 (18:19):
You're listening to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast.
Speaker 8 (18:22):
Millions of Americans sincerely love Donald Trump.
Speaker 1 (18:27):
They love him in spite of.
Speaker 8 (18:28):
Everything they've heard. They love him often in spite of himself.
They love Donald Trump because no one else loves them.
What the country their ancestors fought for over hundreds of
years has left them to die in their unfashionable little towns,
mocked and despised by the sneering half wits with finance
degrees but no actual skills who seem to run everything
(18:49):
all of a sudden. Whatever Donald Trump's faults, he is
better than the rest of the people in charge. Donald Trump,
in other words, is and has always been a living
indictment of the people who run this country. That was
true when Trump came out of nowhere to win the presidency,
and it's every bit as true right now. Trump rose
(19:10):
because they failed.
Speaker 1 (19:12):
It's as simple as that.
Speaker 8 (19:13):
If the people in charge had done a halfway decent
job with the country they inherited, Donald Trump would still
be hosting celebrity Apprentice, but they didn't. Instead, they were
incompetent and narcissistic and cruel and relentlessly dishonored. They wrecked
what they didn't build, they lied about it, They hurt
anyone who told.
Speaker 1 (19:33):
The truth about what they were doing. That's true.
Speaker 8 (19:35):
We watched America is still a great country, the best
in the world, but our ruling class is disgusting. A
vote for Trump is a vote against them. That's what's
going on in this country.
Speaker 1 (19:50):
Wow, so many great Trump ads and so encouraging to me.
What's fascinating. We keep two big screens on in here,
one on CNN and one on Fox, and on both
and both at the same time. Today during this show,
I've seen Trump ads on both at the same time.
So my guess is that that Trump's either been the
(20:13):
campaigns has been saving a bunch of money for this
final push right before election day, or they got a
bunch of additional money. And these are really good ads
that are up, so so many more Trump ads than
Harris ads, at least during the show today on both
CNN and Fox. Very interesting to see the Trump campaign
spending that kind of money on CNN. What does that
(20:35):
tell you? Eight five five four zero five A two
five five text d an five seven, seven through nine.
I mentioned earlier that prime time seven o'clock Eastern, the
headline CNN opened the newscast with was Harris campaign se
sign on whether Harris can win? That was the headline
they opened with at at seven oh five Mountain five
(20:57):
seven oh five Eastern, five oh five Mountain Harris campaign
Sea sign on whether Harris can win? And then they've
had some stuff favorable to Harris. But here's the headline
that just popped up. Pennsylvania voter thinks Trump is going
to win in a landslide. So they put that up
on CNN. So you got a bunch of people on
(21:18):
the left kind of hedging their bets. At the same time,
you've got this syop that the left and its media
arm has been working trying to convince low propensity Trump
voters ain't no sense voting, Harris says, all the momentum
she's going to win, you don't want to be associated
with the loser. It's been it's been a confirming thing
to watch. The media is so openly in the tank
(21:39):
for Harris. And I know that isn't news. I get it.
You know that's true, but it's also but it's also
a sign of and another confirmation of some of the
things so deeply wrong in America right now that really
need to be fixed. The good news is, though, right
that very very very few Americans trust the media well.
Speaker 2 (21:59):
And part of that Nate Silver, a guy you and
I both have a lot of respect for, I think,
and he was one of the guys that was kind
of Canary and the coal Mine in twenty sixteen that
maybe Trump had more of a chance than he was
being given. But now he's done this, Dan, he's gone
from a pretty consistent about a fifty five to forty
five split of Trump more likely to win the Harris
he comes out today, you know what, it's fifty forty
(22:20):
nine or whatever. It's a toss up. It's a coin
toss and I was like, what kind of analysis is that?
Why did he back off of that?
Speaker 1 (22:26):
And not to be that guy, but I said it
when he had Harris up sixty forty. I said it
when he had a Trump up sixty forty. Nate will
bring it back to about a fifty to fifty in
the end. He's a businessman, right, he'll bring it back
to about a fifty to fifty. And I don't want
to get tu wonky and pole stuff right now. Actually
I do, but I won't because I don't think you'd
be interested in that. But I know there's a lot
(22:47):
of attention being paid right now to this Seltzer pole
out of Iowa, which shows Harris up four and if
that poll is correct, might bode poorly for Trump and
surrounding states such as Wiscon But two quick things on that. First,
I don't believe for a second Harris is up in Iowa.
(23:07):
As you know, there are a bunch of other polsies
saying she isn't. Second what Anne Seltzer did, and listen,
I can respect it. It's different than what other pollsters do.
But she's got a real good track record what she
did was she did not base her polling on you know,
past performance, who usually turned out in twenty, who usually
turned out in sixteen. She just took it fresh with
(23:30):
the group. I think it was eight sixty four, might
have been twelve sixty four. She took it with the
group she happened to poll, and she just based her
poll result on who among that group said they were
going to turn out. And if she had followed the
model most pollsters follow of let's see what the electric
really looked like in sixteen and really looked like in
(23:51):
twenty really looked like in twenty two. If she had
followed that model, then then certainly Trump would be up.
But here's the other big point that just doesn't get
talked about. Wait a second, Trump's going to win Iowa.
But but the fact it may be closer, his margins
may be smaller in some of these non swing states.
(24:12):
You shouldn't read anything into that regarding nearby states that
are truly swing states. The reason for that is, obviously
the Trump campaign has been saturating the swing states and
not many other states, saturating the swing states with these
ads that remind people or inform them. For the first
time as to who Kamala Harris really is, and their
(24:35):
video of Kamala Harris saying things in her own words.
So if you live in a swing state and you're
getting bombarded with those ads, then obviously your view of
Kamala Harris is going to be infinitely more dim than
if you're living in a surrounding state and you don't
know these truths about her or you haven't been reminded.
So another reason why I'm so confident Trump's going to
(24:57):
win is because Harris is just that bad and the
people in the Swing states have been constantly reminded of
that in her own words. Eight five five two five
to five the number. I've got to get to some
of these texts. I want to get to some of
these texts. Dan Pervivic quote, we are all going to
be thrilled when Trump is announced the winner, but the
(25:18):
happiest person of all will be Joe Biden. That from
Alexa Boy. We all know that's true, right, and he
has done his part to help Trump win, I mean,
including putting the Trump on right. But the garbage thing
last week which Trump turned around beautifully, Dan, in the
light about the voting machines being Internet accessible more fraud.
(25:39):
At this point, listen, I think we all know that
Jenna Griswold cannot stay in that job. I mean, for
the sake of the state confidence in our elections, she
cannot stay in that job. And I think the Left's
going to force her out for the good of the left.
Dan the passcodes were released and she wasn't going to
tell anyone fraud. Fraud, fraud. Yeah, that's the biggest indictment
(26:02):
of all because when you've got six hundred of these
bios passwords, and you you know, if somebody has bad intentions,
they can do an awful lot with these bios passwords.
When you've got six hundred sitting on the Internet for
months and only the Colorado GOP busted them on that,
you know, that's one thing. And at this point, is
it likely that there was any fraud engineered, you know,
(26:25):
by those bios passwords being online. We don't know the
answer to that yet. The fact that they were sitting
online for months. I haven't seen any proof yet that
led to any kind of tampering with machines. But it's
a very fair question as to whether it did. My
own gut, is it in the end we'll probably find
out that that as as incredibly reckless and incompetent as
(26:47):
it was to put those passwords up. In the end,
my guess is we'll find out that it did not
lead to tampering. But here's the point. While that may
have been an accident to post them online, and we
need to get all of that nailed down through a
truly independent investigation, and we'll be talking about that more later.
This nonsense of Griswold now saying she's hired an outside
(27:11):
law firm to conduct a quote independent investigation. Wait a second,
she chose the law firm. She won't even tell us
which law firm it is. It may very well be
a law firm that if we ever know the name,
I would tell Yeah, that's a really good law firm.
I don't know because she won't tell us, So how
can you have any confidence in that?
Speaker 9 (27:27):
Right?
Speaker 1 (27:28):
We need a special prosecutor, special prosecutor. While at this
point I doubt that there were crimes committed, there might
have been, and with something this serious we need the
full truth. We need a special prosecutor who has a
legion of forensic experts who are able to get to
the bottom of all this and report the full truth
to the public. There's no indication at this point that
(27:51):
that is actually going to happen. Dan, One thing for sure.
If Trump loses, we're one step closer to hell and
the return of Dan Too Big to rig Uh. Dan
Rosskominsky is advocating ranked choice voting. Please tell me he
is a kook. I can tell you on equivocally, Ross
(28:14):
Kominsky is not a kouk. He's the furthest thing from
a kook. Now, whether I agree with him on ranked
choice voting, that's a different issue. Hey, got to hit
this brake here when we come back. Also going to
pay tribute to a tremendous figure, one of the greatest
Calraaden's ever who has now departed from this station group
and will be sorely missed. You're on the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 2 (28:38):
And now back to the Dan Kapla Show podcast.
Speaker 10 (28:41):
The watchword of the day is humility here when you
have poles that are this close, and I'm sitting next
to one of the great pollsters if you and I
think she would tell you when you have polls this close,
you're not sure of anything, and it really matters who
shows up because these poles are not precise. So what
I'm worried about is how are you're counting on some
(29:01):
women who are independent Republican women to come out and
vote for Harris? Is that going to materialize? Is the
gender gap going to be what you need it to be?
Our minority voter is going to come out in the
numbers of African American voters in particular, And are you
going to get the margins that you want there? So
(29:23):
there are a lot of open questions and they're obviously
working it hard right now. There are feet on the
street and they're doing the kind of work that you
do in a race like this, but this race is
filled with uncertainty today.
Speaker 1 (29:36):
Yeah, that's David Axelrod. Yeah. How about this one from
Jim Messino, Obama's former campaign manager, said today, quote, the
early vote numbers are a little scary. Yeah, I'd say so,
and listen, that doesn't guarantee anything, but it's just one
of so many good signs that Donald Trump is in
a great position to win and potentially win big. No, obviously,
(29:58):
it comes down to turn out tomorrow because even though
half the voter more is in in America, that means
almost half the vote is still out, and we've talked
about it from the jump. It's always been the case
her President Trump's secret sauce is getting a whole lot
of people who don't normally vote to come out and
vote for him and get those you know, in those
categories that do normally vote, to vote explosively for him.
(30:20):
And so in the end that's going to turn an
election day. But to this point, to do all of
the tangible signs, like the hard data that people have
already voted, does all of that look very good? You
bet it does. But it's going to be wasted without
that explosive turnout tomorrow. And my bet is we're going
to get that explosive turnout tomorrow, I think, an intensely,
(30:43):
ferociously enthusiastic turnout for him tomorrow, and not so enthusiastic
for her. But it's obviously all about tomorrow. It's one
of the many reasons I'm excited for tomorrow's show because
by this time tomorrow, we're going to have some hard
returns in that really matter, and they'll start to give us,
I think, a pretty good indication of where everything is going.
(31:06):
For those who I didn't get to today, For example,
we have so many texts. These will be evergreen tomorrow
and I'll do my very best to get to those
tomorrow as well. Let me try to squeeze in. Oh,
we lost Brian from Arvada. How about Marty and Denver.
You're on the dan Kaplas.
Speaker 7 (31:22):
She'll welcome hi down.
Speaker 9 (31:24):
Hey, I've got to excuse my voice as Raspy here today,
but I just heard the Pennsylvania early voters. They discount,
they're throwing away, they're not counting one hundred and fifty
thousand votes because they put the wrong vice president on there.
(31:46):
And where's that at, Marty, Pennsylvania.
Speaker 1 (31:49):
Let me look that up. I haven't seen that story,
and I've been on top of a lot of different
successful challenges by the Trump team where they've actually been
winning in court. Great to see. So you say there
are one hundred and fifty thousand they had the wrong
vice president? By the way, who they have as vice president?
Speaker 9 (32:06):
I don't know.
Speaker 1 (32:07):
Yeah, yeah, I'll look that story up. Thank you, my friend,
for the heads up on that. Do take care of
your voice there, Thank you. We'll continue to follow this
Jenna Griswold story. My bet is that she is not
long for that job, nor should she be right. I mean,
as I've been talking about for a long time on
this show, her hyper partisanship, let alone her mistakes. And
(32:28):
this is before the GOP and Colorado did a great
job of outing her on these very important passwords being
online for months. But I've been saying for many, many,
many months that she undermines confidence in Colorado elections through
her hyper partisanship. I mean, this great SEU study and
we'll get polled done out of CEU. We'll get into
(32:49):
it in more detail tomorrow. Colorado election fairness. This poll,
scientifically conducted, pole being reported nationally, asked, you know, do
you believe the elections in Colorado will be conducted fairly
and accurately? Independence? Ryan, what percentage of independence? We're not
(33:14):
willing to agree. We're not willing to agree that elections
in Colorado will be conducted fairly and accurately. We're talking
indis here, brother, Fifty eight percent think no, forty percent
we're unwilling to say. Sixty one willing to say that
(33:34):
elections in Colorado will be conducted fairly and accurately sixty
one percent. Sixty one percent agreed they would be, but
think how low that number is. Twenty one percent of
independence disagreed with that eighteen percent not sure. But when
you can get only sixty percent of independence in the
state of Colorado to say they agree the elections will
(33:55):
be conducted, I don't try fairly indaccurately. You know you've
got a propect here. I'm not saying that you've got
a problem in terms of whether they will be conducted
fairly and accurately. Obviously they've been some mistakes, but that
people can't have confidence.
Speaker 2 (34:09):
She's either inept or corrupt or both. She cannot run
our elections. Dan, I have a lot of doubts myself
right now.
Speaker 1 (34:16):
Well, her hyperpartisanship at the very least undermines confidence, and
then you get these monumental mistakes on top of it.
Will stay on that story. Thank you, Ryan, your usual
tremendous job. Don't miss Ryan Show in the Denver Market
two to four every afternoon. Kellyhuman Sunshine. Can't wait for
tomorrow Election Day finally here. Please join us then on
the Dan Kapla Show.
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