As Florida processes its votes (more quickly than virtually all the so-called 'swing' states, by the way), Ryan notices a trend that could be a harbinger of things to come on Election Night - Donald Trump is outperforming his 2020 performance in every single county in the Sunshine State. Stunningly, he appears to have swung Miami-Dade 18 points - from a 7-point loss vs. Joe Biden to an 11-point win over Kamala Harris.
Dan shares his breakdown and thoughts on what this could portend for the night ahead.
Dan shares his breakdown and thoughts on what this could portend for the night ahead.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is Dan Caplis and welcome to today's online podcast
edition of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to
give us a five star rating if you'd be so kind,
and to subscribe, download, and listen to the show every
single day on your favorite podcast platform. Election Day. What
a gift from our founders and all the men and
women who have fought and died for this nation that
(00:20):
we can do this on election day and settle our
differences peacefully at the polls. We're all lottery winners. And
that's not hyperbole. I mean, think of all the people
in human history who did not have this opportunity. And yeah,
I understand a lot of people are on edge as
we get into these results because it's real right now.
(00:40):
I mean, we've been doing our best to dissect like
that lab frog, you know, Kentucky and Indiana, but now
it gets real. It gets really real with Georgia just
closing about six minutes ago, as well as Virginia. So
we'll start to get some of those returns and they'll
be a lot. I think that we're able to read
into those now. At five point thirty mins, we'll have
(01:01):
North Carolina closing, in Ohio and even though Ohio's sure
thing for Trump will be looking at that Senate race,
the first of the big Senate races to come up,
that Ohio closing at five thirty. So we'll dive into that.
Exit polls. Yeah, you know, it's kind of hard to
resist because they're out there and there's something I think
they're historically unreliable. But when we like the outcome of
(01:23):
the exit polls, we really like to talk about those.
We ended the last hour playing exit poles sound from CNN,
which had you know, the lefties on CNN pretty sad
as it just talked about the kind of the doom
and gloom attitude in America right now toward the current
state of affairs.
Speaker 2 (01:40):
And Florida has really gotten their act together since the
two thousand fiasco and the hanging Chad's Dan. They've already
got thirty percent of their votes counted and the polls
just closed Donald Trump with a narrow lead though fifty
one forty eight. He leads one point seven plus million
to one point six plus million. Again, that's with thirty
percent of the vote in and he's up over Harris
(02:01):
in Florida.
Speaker 1 (02:02):
Yeah, it's going to be a bigger margin than that
I would expect. Now, the full steak doesn't close until
six Mountain, right, I think the full the panhandle the
pants read okay, okay, and yeah, on those Florida totals
at this point were not clear on where everything's coming from.
Speaker 2 (02:17):
Right, and I can let me just clarify. There are
two big Harris counties you would expect. One of those
is Broward, traditionally blue, and that's between Miami Dade County
and Paul Beach County. No surprise here, Harris is up
sixty one, thirty nine and seventy percent of the vote
in there. Then Orange County, that's where Orlando is also
a blue county, and Harris is up fifty eight to
(02:37):
forty one there.
Speaker 1 (02:39):
Yeah, and you know how interesting it is to sit
here and talk about Trump only up one or two
or three in Florida. It wasn't that long ago, right,
It wasn't that long ago where you would have killed
to have the Republican up by half a point in Florida. So, yeah,
to your point about how things have changed, So we'll
keep an eye on Florida.
Speaker 3 (03:00):
Quick.
Speaker 1 (03:01):
Florida very important a lot of electoral votes.
Speaker 2 (03:03):
That percentage is actually slightly behind Harris in that pace.
In both Broward, which is just north of Miami, in Orlando,
which is Orange County, Harris is trailing the Biden pace
by just a touch in both of those.
Speaker 1 (03:15):
You know, which is nice to hear. And I come
back to this key point that I would apply to
every state that's not a swing state. They have not
been barraged with all of these ads that show who
Harris truly is ideologically and how crazy, wild, psycho far
left she is ideologically. Keep in mind, it's just those
(03:36):
seven swing states. Now, the other states have picked up
some of the national ads during football games, etc. Talking
about some of her really kind of insane radical stuff
like taxpayer money for sex change operations for prisoners. Yeah,
so there's been some of that for all of us,
but the relentless pounding on her craziness that's been in
(03:56):
the swing states. So, whether it's Kentucky, Indiana, Florida, if
they had had that steady diet of this is who
Kamala Harris really is, you can bet her numbers would
be lower there. So, yeah, we will keep an eye
on Florida. We're not seeing any results yet out of Virginia.
Or Georgia. But we'll bring those to you as soon
as we get them.
Speaker 4 (04:16):
Now.
Speaker 1 (04:16):
Colorado, Hey, we all know how it works in Colorado, right,
if you're listening here, you know that mail ballots counted first.
And that's the case. Do you don't happen? No, Ryan,
in Florida? Is it mail ballots counted first or last
in Florida?
Speaker 2 (04:31):
Different states do it different way because that would account
for the number that they've already got in.
Speaker 1 (04:35):
Yeah. No, that's an excellent point and would also probably Yeah,
and then you look at Colorado, mail ballots counted first.
So what happens here in Colorado if you're new to
the state, welcome, And what happens is it'll be seven
fifteen to seven point thirty when all of a sudden
there's a really big percentage of the vote announced, and
then you'll get the election day votes a bit later.
(04:57):
And I'm over generalizing here, but that's the normal flow
of things. So in Colorado we know a lot early.
We don't know everything early, but we know a lot early.
Speaker 2 (05:07):
There's ABC reporting here, which we are affiliated with obviously
over this sadly, I know, but can we end that well,
I don't know this might lend itself to an interesting tidbit.
It says ABC News is warning of quote severe cracks
unquote in the Democrat voter base in Michigan today. Traditional
Democrat strongholds such as Wayne County, that's where Detroit is
are seeing huge amounts of black and Arab voters jumping
(05:30):
to Trump.
Speaker 1 (05:32):
Well, that's good news. That may be the first good
news to ever come out of ABC for Trump. Yeah,
or Michigan at least today. Yeah, eight five or serah
five eight two five five the number. I want to
get to some text as well, Dan, I honestly don't
have any faith in the voting process because of how
many things just didn't seem right with the last election.
I'm hoping this election is not being fixed. O Hair
(05:52):
somehow wins. I would love to ask this Texter, did
you vote? I assume you did. I hope you did,
because anybody who doesn't vote because they don't have confidence
in the system, you are part of the problem. So
and I understand you. Look at the polls. You've got
an enormous number of people who who don't have confidence
in the system. And that's one thing I wanted to
get to at some point Ryan is. We saw the
(06:13):
exit polls nationally and this is this is general, but
about eighty percent of the folks nationally in the exit polls,
you know, had real confidence in the integrity of the
election system. But then, as we are touching on this,
this excellent survey done out of American Politics Research Lab
at the University of Colorado, and it's very detailed. You
(06:34):
can see their methodology. You get into that and you
don't have that same level of confidence. So, you know,
questions such as will you consider the winner to be legitimate?
This is a Colorado poll question. Only sixty percent of
Independence were willing to say yes today, you know, things
(06:56):
like that. Here's another one. We'll get to some of
those others. But yeah, it's really concerning. And I come
back to what I've been saying for a very very
long time. Elections in Colorado will be conducted fairly and accurately.
This is the CU Boulder poll question that was put
out statewide. In a scientific poll. Only sixty percent of
(07:19):
Independence were willing to say that elections in Colorado will
be conducted fairly and accurately. Only sixty one percent could
agree with that. And I come back to the hyperpartisanship
of Jenna Griswold. They've been talking about that for a
long time now. I personally believe that there should be
zero tolerance for any any kind of fraud, any kind
(07:41):
of irregularity, et cetera. With that set, I personally believe
the elections in Colorado are overall safe and fair and reliable,
and that the problems we as the GOP have been
having Republican candidates conservatives, you know, those are caused by
other things, and we've got to be honest about that
in order to be able to go out and win.
(08:03):
But with that said, when you have such a hyper
partisan Secretary of State who, in the interest of democracy,
tries to ban the leading candidate from the ballot in
Colorado so voters don't even have the option to vote
for that person, and then all the other junks she does,
and that's even before the six hundred passwords released online
and then the real offense in my mind, deciding deciding
(08:26):
not to tell the clerks and the public. Yeah, that's
going to undermine confidence, which is ironic and said, because
I think overall elections in Colorado are very well run.
I think we've got to find a way to win.
But yeah, so she just she is the biggest threat.
She is the biggest threat for her hyperpartisanship and her
mistakes ryan to confidence in Colorado elections.
Speaker 2 (08:50):
And there's some question about confidence in Georgia elections. They've
tightened up their voting laws there. But a couple of
good early indicators for Kamala Harris and two Kaler counties
around it Atlanta, Douglas County with seventy one percent of
the vote, she is outpacing Joe Biden there, She's up
sixty six thirty four. Biden won that county sixty two
thirty seven. Another color county, Rockdale County, sixty eight percent
(09:12):
of the vote in Harris is up seventy six twenty
four and Biden won that county over Trump just seventy
to twenty nine. So outperforming Trump in those two counties,
outperforming Biden in those two counties. Kamala Harris around Atlanta so.
Speaker 1 (09:25):
Far, Yeah, and we're just starting to get these votes
in out of Georgia. But then of course we get
to Trump's strongholds and we get to the rural votes
out of Georgia. And we've known all along that Trump
will need explosive turnout and support there certainly showed very
well in the early voting, and so we'll see as
the actual votes come in where we're at on that,
(09:46):
so probably a good chance to take a break here.
By the time we get back, we'll have more votes
out of Georgia, and then we have North Carolina closing
at five point thirty. You're on the Dankpla Show and
now back to the Dan Taplas show pot cast. It
is on now starting to get returns from Georgia, for example, Virginia,
where just a handful of returns out of Virginia as
(10:09):
substantial returns. Indiana and Kentucky those less valuable, right because
if you're not a swing state, you haven't been seeing
all these Kamala Harris ads which tend to drive down
her support. Six o'clock Mountain. Of course, Pennsylvania closes along
with the entire state of Florida. We have very healthy
Florida returns at this point. And Ryan, you picked up
(10:29):
on Miami Dad.
Speaker 2 (10:30):
Of course, incredible really when you look at Joe Biden
winning Miami Dade County, this is the most populated county
in Florida. Joe Biden won it by seven point three,
fifty three point four to forty six point one.
Speaker 1 (10:42):
Donald Trump has.
Speaker 2 (10:43):
Flipped the script with seventy seven percent of the vote
in He's up eleven on Kamala Harris in Miami Dade
County fifty five forty four. Damn, that's an eighteen point
swing to Trump from twenty twenty eight.
Speaker 1 (10:54):
And where are we statewide now? In Florida, we'll get
those latest numbers.
Speaker 2 (10:58):
They'll state five second with fifty nine percent of the
vote in Florida. And they're doing a remarkable job of
counting one of the most populated states in the Union.
But Pennsylvania, Michigan can't do it. Fifty three forty six.
Trump is up by about four hundred and fifty thousand
votes three point five million to about three point one million.
Speaker 1 (11:15):
Yeah, it is so funny because I can picture myself
sitting in this same chair, going back to if my
memory serves me right, it's been a minute, but was
it two thousand and four? And then the two thousand
and eight election in Florida? Always so so very close,
And how nice now that it's a little more comfortable there.
But checking with Don in Fort Collins, you're on the
(11:37):
Dan kaplis, sho'll welcome Don.
Speaker 4 (11:40):
Hey, Dan, certainly have our fingers crossed for this evening. Yeah,
And I think the only thing that can derail Trumps
at this point is some mischief using the voting machines
and some of the mischief that took place in twenty twenty.
Other than that, I think things are certainly looking in
his favor.
Speaker 1 (12:00):
And Donald at this point. What leaves you believing that
there's no way other than than theft for him to lose. Listen,
I'm the guy who's been predicting all along. I predicted
Biden would be deposed, they'd get a different nominee. I've
predicted that that Trump would then rise up again in
the polls. Not to be a jerk, but I think
(12:21):
I've called this thing correctly for a very long time,
and I've predicted for a long time that Trump would win,
and I believe, in the end win comfortably, and I
pray to God that's true. But can't you see any
legitimate scenario where he might lose? No? Okay, all right, well,
I love that. I love hearing that, my friend, Thank you.
(12:44):
You know, Unfortunately, and obviously I don't expect this to happen.
I've been predicting the opposite, but unfortunately that there is
a scenario not involving theft, where President Trump could lose.
It'd be disastrous for this nation. I literally pray it
doesn't happen. But when you have a strong personality like
President Trump and then you have him assaulted, viciously assaulted
(13:08):
in the way that he has been relentlessly from the left,
including their media arm from the Russia hoax, through law fairs,
through all of these other scurllless attacks they've launched against him,
and then throw in, like any human, a few unforced
errors here and there. Then yeah, there's a scenario where
a country, a nation, just like people can, a country
(13:29):
could make a mistake and could decide they're done with
him and go with the alternative, even if the alternative
is as unqualified as Kamala Harris. I that could happen.
I'm the guy who's been saying all along, it's not
America is not going to elect a far left San
Francisco radical, right.
Speaker 2 (13:46):
Well, I think this is just really important. I know
Florida isn't considered a swing state, but it has been,
and Donald Trump only defeated Joe Biden by three point
three percent last time around. He is cruising. He's up seven,
and the league continues to grow. They haven't even got
the Panhandle and Dan. How about this for a shocker.
So far, I've measured every single county that's turning in
results in Florida. That includes Leon County where Tallahassee is
(14:09):
Florida State University and the government with the state capitol,
Duval County where Jacksonville is, Panellas County, where Saint Pete is,
Hillsborough County, where Tampa is, Orange County, where Orlando is Dan.
He is outperforming his numbers against Joe Biden in every
single county in Florida so far against Kamala.
Speaker 1 (14:26):
Harris, which is fantastic considering that they haven't been bombarded
with these Harris ads that the negative but truthful adds
against Kamala Harris. So so impressive there. And you know,
my hope, I've talked about it for a long time. A.
We need Trump to win, right but B if he can,
the more he can win by, the more he can
win by, the better it's going to be for America
(14:48):
in so many different ways. Get back to the text
for a second, and we'll get some calls. Ah Dan
hilarious about Amy leaving the country. I hope it works
again for twenty four of that from Alexa. Yeah, no,
it's we did this in twenty sixteen. Amy and I
I like to think that just the greatest marriage imaginable.
And I know she'd agree with that, but we disagree
(15:08):
on politics. So in twenty sixteen she literally left the
country for election day. She actually went. She was playing
baseball then and she went with him to Dominican Republic
for a tournament. And this year, yep, she got on
a plane this morning and she'll beyond another continent for
the results. So that is a very healthy thing for
(15:30):
certain marriages such as ours and which which phrases another
topic crying, And I don't know full of time to
get into it tonight, but I wish we would. Let's
say we get what we've been predicting and what we
so desperately hope and pray for, and that is a
Trump victory. You know, what will be the correct approach
(15:51):
tomorrow toward those we may know, those we may be
married to, those we may work with, et cetera, all
of us to those who feel just as strongly the
opposite way, and as hard as that is for us
to understand, if we are blessed with this great victory tonight,
what is the proper approach tomorrow? Act like winners okay,
(16:13):
and what does that look like?
Speaker 2 (16:15):
My friend magnanimous, I think you know that the American
people made the right choice, and we build a better
America from that day forward. I think Donald Trump is
gonna keep to his promise. I believe that he will
win tonight, and I believe he'll be handed a Republican
Senate and House, and for two years they're going to
be able to get things done like maybe federal voter
law reform and other things that Donald Trump can do
(16:37):
on day one, like he said to start to drill
for oil and to close down the board.
Speaker 1 (16:41):
Order Yeah, yeah, and men out of women's sports to
the extent you can do that, yeah, by executive constitutionally.
Of course, we're we're not counting chickens here. We're just well,
like to look ahead. If we get the victory we've
been predicting and desperately want tonight, then then you know,
how do you handle that Tomorrow's back. My father always said,
grown up, I'm sure yours said something similar, Ryan, And
(17:04):
in fact, he said it in a toast at our wedding,
and he was a great college basketball player. That there's
an enormous difference between somebody who prevails and a winner, right,
and being a winner. Being a winner is shaped by
how you handle that success and what you do with it.
So let's hope we have that challenge tomorrow. But it
(17:25):
is it's all about it's about first you got to win, right,
save the country, but then hopefully by margins that allow
the country to step forward in that first little baby
step towards unity. And then the way that if we're
blessed with this great victory, you know, just the way
it's handled by the victors. I think, you know, should
(17:46):
Donald Trump, as we've been predicting, win tonight, I think
it becomes the most important speech of his life, the
most important speech of his life, at least as it
pertains to this nation and this nation moving forward. So
we'll talk about all that. We're starting to get some
meaningful numbers out of Georgia, a few, yeah, trickling in
out of Virginia. We'll give you the latest that coming
(18:09):
up at five thirty six eight five five. Where's your
A five eight two five five texts Dan five seven
seven three nine. You're on the Dankapla Show. You're listening
to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast. So great to see
Trump running it up in Florida the way that he is.
Hopefully that's a sign of good things to come in
(18:30):
the surrounding states. So when you look at the numbers
coming in from Georgia right now, though Trump is up
state wide, you look at some of the key counties
and Harris appears to be doing pretty well there compared
to where Biden was at. But again it's very early,
and Trump appeared to be at least Republican returns very
positive in the early vote in Georgia as well. Let's
(18:52):
go to beautiful Wisconsin, where I've spent quite a bit
of time, the critical swing state many think behind Pennsylvania.
You're on the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 5 (19:01):
Welcome, Hi Dan, This is Cynthia. Just a couple of comments.
My grandson goes to the University of Wisconsin and Stephen's
point and Tim Walsh was there yesterday and they went
to different classrooms and I guess asking them who they're
(19:21):
going to vote for or are they going to vote
for Harris or Trump, and only one person raised their
hands for Harris, and the classes abrount, Yes, who's.
Speaker 1 (19:35):
This guy you mentioned? Waltz? Who is that guy? I mean,
they've kind of buried him late in the campaign, haven't they.
I saw a clip today where somebody asked a reporter
asked him if he talked to Harris, and he said
he hasn't talked to her in a couple of days.
So hell, they've kind of banished AI a little bit.
But that's great news. I love that kind of anecdotal stuff.
(19:57):
What's your prediction for Wisconsin?
Speaker 5 (20:00):
Oh gosh, I'm just praying. I'm praying so hard man
that that that President Trump takes Wisconsin. And I'm listening
to you every day even though I'm over here coaching
in a pole Kill school. My daughter's seven children all attend,
and yes, and they're doing quite well. But I'm just
praying that President Trump takes with continent.
Speaker 1 (20:22):
Me too, well. Cynthia, thank you for the calling. That
nice encouraging story there, and and you know, hey, not
to get all pretty or anything, but I'm glad to
hear Cynthia talk about praying because you know, it's just me,
but it's you may do the same thing. It's just
something I remind myself of constantly in situations like this, is,
you know, the long view, God's in charge, God wins
(20:45):
in the end. I remain very confident that Trump will
win tonight. But if there's some kind of curveball, some
kind of surprise, I just I just believe that when
crazy things like that and there's a reason for it.
But yeah, so I just think that perspective, at least
for me, is very helpful and very true. Eight five
(21:09):
five for zero five A two five five text d
A N five seven seven three nine. Obviously, you know,
if you have the same kind of view I do
about God and faith, we're supposed to do our part here,
and I think lots of people have been doing that
very well to try to stop the left from taking
over America in this election, and hopefully we see U,
(21:30):
we see us succeed tonight. Let's go to Eerie. My
kind enough to join us on election Eve. We appreciate that, Mike,
welcome to the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 3 (21:41):
Well, thank you, Dan that I appreciate that. I don't
know if Cynthia and Don are representative of your Most
of your listeners are not that it proves that map
is hard. I get that. Hey, I'm just kind of
curious from you. What's the what's the latest betting line
on when Trump is going to declare victory? I heard
it's eleven o'clock. I'm going with you under how about you?
Speaker 1 (22:03):
I think he'll de clear victory when it's clear he's
going to win.
Speaker 3 (22:08):
Well, it's already clear he's gonna win. He's got it right.
There's no other way. Something nefarious or mischiefus would have
to happen for him to lose. Is according to Dawn.
Speaker 1 (22:18):
Mike, who did what to your whedies today?
Speaker 3 (22:24):
I just get sick of they don't know how man.
It's coming down to seven stakes. The seventh stakes are
within a point and a half. It's it's the map
could go either way. For them to say it's mischief
is the only way he's going to lose. He's got
the people.
Speaker 1 (22:37):
Bring who's the day Kimasabi? Who's the day Kimasabi? Because
as much as you want him to have said that,
President Trump has not said that.
Speaker 3 (22:48):
Oh for crying out loud, Dan for a man who
says he believes in truth.
Speaker 1 (22:53):
No, Mike, back it up or packet up. This is
what Mike does when he says something that isn't true,
and then I asked him to back it up. So
back it up, Mike. Give me that quote where Donald
Trump said the only way he loses his mischief.
Speaker 3 (23:07):
He has said that incessively beautiful.
Speaker 1 (23:10):
I'm just asking you for one. Then, I'm so easy.
I just want one because I heard him twice today.
I heard him say once through Jonathan carl and ABC,
and once directly that the chure bad things can happen.
He could lose this race. So please give me your quote,
my man. And you know what what I think is
so encouraging to me. You've got him.
Speaker 3 (23:32):
Seventeen four on NBC, he said it, give.
Speaker 1 (23:36):
Us a quote, Please give Dan? Oh, Michael, Michael, have
you tried.
Speaker 3 (23:41):
DCAF danse Okay, Michael.
Speaker 1 (23:46):
All I want is the quote. All I want to.
Speaker 3 (23:48):
Say, so gullible, Michael, gullible. I don't understand whether.
Speaker 1 (23:52):
Michael, it's isn't it hard to live life this angry
because it interferes with your brain function?
Speaker 5 (23:59):
Yeah?
Speaker 1 (24:00):
Poor Mike.
Speaker 2 (24:01):
Yeah, he doesn't still sound very confident in his common Harris.
Speaker 1 (24:05):
No, no, and if if yeah, if he had that quote,
I have to imagine we would have heard that quote
eight five five. Was there a five eight two five
five then number. I know you hate it, Dan, but
I got to throw it out there.
Speaker 2 (24:18):
The polymarket betting odds are skyrocketing now at sixty four
point five percent for Trump to just thirty five point
eight percent for Harris. Trump has shot up six percent
in the last fifteen minutes.
Speaker 1 (24:28):
I wish you had told me the opposite and the
reason the reason for that, because I sat there. I'll
show you the lazy You have sat in that very
lazy boy, the platform with the tape on it. It's
great you have sat in that very lazy boy. And
I sat there. And I sat there in two tenty twenty,
and I was so excited, and the betting nods had
just gone over eighty five percent for Trump and brit
(24:50):
Hume was talking about that on Fox and I just
don't trust those betting No.
Speaker 2 (24:55):
But you know, twenty twenty was an anomaly for so
many reasons.
Speaker 1 (24:58):
I guess I get it, yes, I just and I
get it that it's real money that people are betting, etc.
But you know, there can be a lot of stupid money.
Bet Listen, I'm the guy like you. I've been sitting
here on the show doing the hard work day after
day for years now, talking about why I believe Trump
is going to win tonight. But that's been based on
(25:18):
all sorts of different things, a mix of data and
common sense and this and that, and yeah, so I
just I'm not going to bet on a bunch of
people I don't know bet money. Did you see that
Wall Street Journal's on the guy who bet thirty million
on Trump? Whoa? And then Wall Street Journal and the
news pages are hard left leaning editorial pages still good,
(25:39):
but they were trying to say that he was a
Trump shill who was meant to alter those odds in
Trump's favor. And he did the interview to say, I'm
not that at all. I'm just a guy. I got
a lot of money, and I like betting, and I
look at and his basic premise was that they always
underpoll Trump's support and that Trump supporters aren't going to
talk to post Is often, and so that's why he
(26:02):
bet his thirty million. But five four zero five e
two five five, Ryan, by the way, we'll host the
coverage any fifty Koa Denver the blowtorch tonight and do
his usual great job. I assume you go straight from
here to there six o'clock tonight. It'll literally be a
bee line that I'm there between the two studios. Yeah,
I look forward to that coverage very very much. Georgia.
(26:23):
I hesitate to even give you these numbers because they're
meaningless at this point, because there are a handful of
votes in but sixty forty Trump in Georgia, just as
these numbers are meaningless in North Carolina seventy thirty Harris.
But that's with we got more people in the studio
now than votes they have cast.
Speaker 2 (26:39):
Still waiting on Fulton County, which is Atlanta, which is
of course the big city, and it's going to go
heavily for Harris.
Speaker 1 (26:45):
But how much that's the question.
Speaker 2 (26:46):
Yeah, they're still waiting on account from Athens, that's a
college town, Uga, Augusta. Still waiting on that in Richmond County, Columbus, Georgia,
and they're just coming in in Savannah.
Speaker 1 (26:55):
So all those will likely favor Harris. Yeah, way, way
way too, our ladies. Same thing in Virginia right now,
with relatively few votes in and Harris up sixty forty. There.
I don't think anybody has been counting on Virginia, right,
You're just looking at Virginia as maybe an indicator of
where the race stands as the.
Speaker 2 (27:13):
Hole, because that's gone down to fifty six forty theropy
and like you said, a lot of the votes still
out and the northern Virginia counties which are all going
to go heavily for Harris, those seem to be being
counted first.
Speaker 1 (27:24):
Interesting because it's always such a tease in Virginia, right,
It's like you have every time, oh wow, we might get yeah,
but no. And again I come back to this critical dynamic,
which is it's only the swing states that are getting
hammered with all of these ads that show who Kamala
Harris really is. Ideologically it's her. It's on video, the
(27:46):
words coming out of her own mouth, and that's what
is driven down her support so much and boosted Trump.
So any state that hasn't been barraged with those ads,
you know, you got to take with a grain of salt.
But then you look at Florida. Yeah, and to be
cruising to what maybe eight or nine point victory, one.
Speaker 2 (28:03):
Quick tidbit too I used to live in Chesterfield County, Virginia.
That's southwest of Richmond. It's a Bellweather county. It went
for Biden in twenty twenty by about seven points. Trump's
currently leading there.
Speaker 1 (28:12):
Nice. And then we're gonna what do you know how
much in there by the way, what percentage in that
county yet, probably don't have that credit quarter. Yeah okay,
And then you know, we're going to Ohio I think
is closing in a few rats here, and then we'll
get into the first of the Senate races, first of
the big Senate races. And yeah, cross your fingers, say
a prayer in that speaking which Colorado, you can still
(28:33):
get out and vote. If you haven't already, vote against
seventy nine, vote for Gabe Evans if you're in CD
j Eff Ford, if you're in CD three, and of
course great Republicans everywhere. You're on the Dan Capla Show
and now back to the Dan Kaplass Show podcast. I
love the fact we actually have some returns right now now,
obviously the first of the swing states starting to come in.
(28:54):
Two few votes to make anything out of it. At
this point, you've got to like what happened in Florida, right,
swing state? How cool to be able to say that
Florida not a swing state anymore. Remember just holding our
breath on Florida, you know, cycle after cycle, but looks
like Trump.
Speaker 2 (29:09):
But he's eleven there now eleven Dan, His lead is
almost one million votes in.
Speaker 1 (29:15):
Florida, Lord, four point eighty five to three point nine three.
Just you just hope that carries over. So interesting now
as we look at the first few percentages of votes
to come in, not meaningless numbers. I mean we're talking
about a total of maybe you know, six hundred thousand,
eight hundred thousand votes, but you look at early votes
in North Carolina that that have Harris way way up,
(29:36):
so you wonder where those came out of. And same
thing in Ohio. Now we know Trump's going to win
Ohio and to expect that'll win North Carolina.
Speaker 2 (29:45):
Yeah, pay no attention to the North Carolina numbers. That
first one is Wait County, that's Raleigh, that's where NC
state's a college town and whatever.
Speaker 1 (29:51):
Yeah. Yeah, so so far, I think the best way
to sum it up. And then Ryan will have the
coverage in eight fifty koa literally five steps across the
hall starting at six o'clock mountain time tonight. Let me
say one quick thing though, truly, one of the great
people in Colorado I think in Colorado history is Alfred Williams,
who's worked across the hall from us at Kawai for
(30:14):
about four or five years now. Just one of the best,
one of the best humans, one of the best talents,
obviously one of the best athletes, and he has now
left the station group and we will very very much
miss out for just a great, great person. Getting back
to the politics, look at tomorrow obviously, when we sit
here tomorrow four o'clock mountain, we're going to be talking
(30:34):
about a dramatically changed world and we're going to be
talking about a crossroads moment in American history, no question
about that. And so we'll be looking at, Okay, where
does America go from Colorado the world? And I know, Colorado,
we don't have the governor's areas, we don't have the
Senate race this year, but we have some really important stuff.
You can still get out and vote if you happen
(30:55):
to be in CD eight for Gabe Evans up there,
and I hope you do. That race could be decided
by a few hundred votes, same with Jeff Hurd down
in CD three. That one was decided by five hundred
last time. So if you live in those districts, please
anywhere in Colorado, if you haven't voted yet, you can
still do the right thing, the moral thing, on every
level and go out and vote against that hideous Amendment
(31:16):
seventy nine. And there's still time to do that, and
that could be close because the pro abortion movement needs,
the radical pro abortion movement needs fifty five percent to
put that in the constitution, so so important to defeat
that if we can so right now in Georgia, and
again this misleading because Fulton County hasn't come in, but
(31:37):
Trump up sixty two to thirty seven. But again, you know,
Fulton County hasn't come in, and we've all seen in
the past what effect that can have. Ohio, we're starting
to get some of those votes right now, really hoping
for that GOP pick up there with Moreno. But again
they've just got twenty two percent of the votes in,
so nothing we can read into it, even though Moreno
(31:58):
has about a nine point lead right now, Ryan, we
got a couple of minutes left before the end of
the show, Big picture predictions. I'll give you mine and
then we'll look ahead to your coverage tonight.
Speaker 2 (32:09):
Forty nine to forty seven popular vote win for Trump.
He sweeps all seven swing states that we've discussed, and
I think he grabs a surprise either Virginia, New Hampshire, Minnesota,
one of those three, maybe all of those three.
Speaker 1 (32:20):
Anything you've seen in the returns so far that either
support or contradict that Florida is amazing.
Speaker 2 (32:26):
Just the margin in Florida, every single county, Harris is
underperforming Biden, every single county in Florida. That is my
numbing And so far he looks really good in Georgia.
We got to watch him wait for this to play out.
But I believe Florida and the trend line there that
you always talk about, Dan, I think this has enormous
implications for the country at large.
Speaker 1 (32:48):
Yeah, and listen, I mean, I've the guy who's been
saying on air for a long long time now that
Trump is going to win, and that Trump is going
to win comfortably. I still believe that to be true.
I can absolutely see looking at everything, you know, the
relatively small chance the opposite could happen. I could see
that I think America's had a hunger for a female president.
(33:09):
But again, I think people can see this person, regardless
of gender, is not the right person Kamala Harris to
be president of the United States. And Donald Trump did
so well in that first term, you know, the drill
and Americans were better off and they lived that, and
they experienced that, and they saw in that moment that
can never be rehearsed, how he handled, you know, being
(33:29):
shot in that Pennsylvania field and just the presence of
mind and the strength and the courage, and Americans know
we live in a dangerous world and the world's been
on fire since Harris and Biden have been in office.
And even if they don't like Trump, they want him
on that wall. So I think there are so many
reasons to believe that Donald Trump is going to win,
and I pray wins, but also that he wins comfortably,
(33:51):
because that then can be that first baby step toward unity,
toward America moving forward together, not a silver bullet magic fix,
an important first step. And then we need the Senate,
right then we need the Senate. We need the GOP
to have more than a one vote margin in the
Senate and really start to get things going in the
right direction. I can't wait to join you at four tomorrow.
(34:12):
Look forward to hearing your coverage tonight. Ryan Schuling will
be on NEED fifty KOWA in Denver. Thank you, Kelly
for your help, and again, just hope everybody takes a
deep breath, says a prayer. God's in charge, have faith,
and hopefully we'll get to celebrate soon
This is Dan Caplis and welcome to today's online podcast
edition of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to
give us a five star rating if you'd be so kind,
and to subscribe, download, and listen to the show every
single day on your favorite podcast platform. Election Day. What
a gift from our founders and all the men and
women who have fought and died for this nation that
(00:20):
we can do this on election day and settle our
differences peacefully at the polls. We're all lottery winners. And
that's not hyperbole. I mean, think of all the people
in human history who did not have this opportunity. And yeah,
I understand a lot of people are on edge as
we get into these results because it's real right now.
(00:40):
I mean, we've been doing our best to dissect like
that lab frog, you know, Kentucky and Indiana, but now
it gets real. It gets really real with Georgia just
closing about six minutes ago, as well as Virginia. So
we'll start to get some of those returns and they'll
be a lot. I think that we're able to read
into those now. At five point thirty mins, we'll have
(01:01):
North Carolina closing, in Ohio and even though Ohio's sure
thing for Trump will be looking at that Senate race,
the first of the big Senate races to come up,
that Ohio closing at five thirty. So we'll dive into that.
Exit polls. Yeah, you know, it's kind of hard to
resist because they're out there and there's something I think
they're historically unreliable. But when we like the outcome of
(01:23):
the exit polls, we really like to talk about those.
We ended the last hour playing exit poles sound from CNN,
which had you know, the lefties on CNN pretty sad
as it just talked about the kind of the doom
and gloom attitude in America right now toward the current
state of affairs.
Speaker 2 (01:40):
And Florida has really gotten their act together since the
two thousand fiasco and the hanging Chad's Dan. They've already
got thirty percent of their votes counted and the polls
just closed Donald Trump with a narrow lead though fifty
one forty eight. He leads one point seven plus million
to one point six plus million. Again, that's with thirty
percent of the vote in and he's up over Harris
(02:01):
in Florida.
Speaker 1 (02:02):
Yeah, it's going to be a bigger margin than that
I would expect. Now, the full steak doesn't close until
six Mountain, right, I think the full the panhandle the
pants read okay, okay, and yeah, on those Florida totals
at this point were not clear on where everything's coming from.
Speaker 2 (02:17):
Right, and I can let me just clarify. There are
two big Harris counties you would expect. One of those
is Broward, traditionally blue, and that's between Miami Dade County
and Paul Beach County. No surprise here, Harris is up
sixty one, thirty nine and seventy percent of the vote
in there. Then Orange County, that's where Orlando is also
a blue county, and Harris is up fifty eight to
(02:37):
forty one there.
Speaker 1 (02:39):
Yeah, and you know how interesting it is to sit
here and talk about Trump only up one or two
or three in Florida. It wasn't that long ago, right,
It wasn't that long ago where you would have killed
to have the Republican up by half a point in Florida. So, yeah,
to your point about how things have changed, So we'll
keep an eye on Florida.
Speaker 3 (03:00):
Quick.
Speaker 1 (03:01):
Florida very important a lot of electoral votes.
Speaker 2 (03:03):
That percentage is actually slightly behind Harris in that pace.
In both Broward, which is just north of Miami, in Orlando,
which is Orange County, Harris is trailing the Biden pace
by just a touch in both of those.
Speaker 1 (03:15):
You know, which is nice to hear. And I come
back to this key point that I would apply to
every state that's not a swing state. They have not
been barraged with all of these ads that show who
Harris truly is ideologically and how crazy, wild, psycho far
left she is ideologically. Keep in mind, it's just those
(03:36):
seven swing states. Now, the other states have picked up
some of the national ads during football games, etc. Talking
about some of her really kind of insane radical stuff
like taxpayer money for sex change operations for prisoners. Yeah,
so there's been some of that for all of us,
but the relentless pounding on her craziness that's been in
(03:56):
the swing states. So, whether it's Kentucky, Indiana, Florida, if
they had had that steady diet of this is who
Kamala Harris really is, you can bet her numbers would
be lower there. So, yeah, we will keep an eye
on Florida. We're not seeing any results yet out of Virginia.
Or Georgia. But we'll bring those to you as soon
as we get them.
Speaker 4 (04:16):
Now.
Speaker 1 (04:16):
Colorado, Hey, we all know how it works in Colorado, right,
if you're listening here, you know that mail ballots counted first.
And that's the case. Do you don't happen? No, Ryan,
in Florida? Is it mail ballots counted first or last
in Florida?
Speaker 2 (04:31):
Different states do it different way because that would account
for the number that they've already got in.
Speaker 1 (04:35):
Yeah. No, that's an excellent point and would also probably Yeah,
and then you look at Colorado, mail ballots counted first.
So what happens here in Colorado if you're new to
the state, welcome, And what happens is it'll be seven
fifteen to seven point thirty when all of a sudden
there's a really big percentage of the vote announced, and
then you'll get the election day votes a bit later.
(04:57):
And I'm over generalizing here, but that's the normal flow
of things. So in Colorado we know a lot early.
We don't know everything early, but we know a lot early.
Speaker 2 (05:07):
There's ABC reporting here, which we are affiliated with obviously
over this sadly, I know, but can we end that well,
I don't know this might lend itself to an interesting tidbit.
It says ABC News is warning of quote severe cracks
unquote in the Democrat voter base in Michigan today. Traditional
Democrat strongholds such as Wayne County, that's where Detroit is
are seeing huge amounts of black and Arab voters jumping
(05:30):
to Trump.
Speaker 1 (05:32):
Well, that's good news. That may be the first good
news to ever come out of ABC for Trump. Yeah,
or Michigan at least today. Yeah, eight five or serah
five eight two five five the number. I want to
get to some text as well, Dan, I honestly don't
have any faith in the voting process because of how
many things just didn't seem right with the last election.
I'm hoping this election is not being fixed. O Hair
(05:52):
somehow wins. I would love to ask this Texter, did
you vote? I assume you did. I hope you did,
because anybody who doesn't vote because they don't have confidence
in the system, you are part of the problem. So
and I understand you. Look at the polls. You've got
an enormous number of people who who don't have confidence
in the system. And that's one thing I wanted to
get to at some point Ryan is. We saw the
(06:13):
exit polls nationally and this is this is general, but
about eighty percent of the folks nationally in the exit polls,
you know, had real confidence in the integrity of the
election system. But then, as we are touching on this,
this excellent survey done out of American Politics Research Lab
at the University of Colorado, and it's very detailed. You
(06:34):
can see their methodology. You get into that and you
don't have that same level of confidence. So, you know,
questions such as will you consider the winner to be legitimate?
This is a Colorado poll question. Only sixty percent of
Independence were willing to say yes today, you know, things
(06:56):
like that. Here's another one. We'll get to some of
those others. But yeah, it's really concerning. And I come
back to what I've been saying for a very very
long time. Elections in Colorado will be conducted fairly and accurately.
This is the CU Boulder poll question that was put
out statewide. In a scientific poll. Only sixty percent of
(07:19):
Independence were willing to say that elections in Colorado will
be conducted fairly and accurately. Only sixty one percent could
agree with that. And I come back to the hyperpartisanship
of Jenna Griswold. They've been talking about that for a
long time now. I personally believe that there should be
zero tolerance for any any kind of fraud, any kind
(07:41):
of irregularity, et cetera. With that set, I personally believe
the elections in Colorado are overall safe and fair and reliable,
and that the problems we as the GOP have been
having Republican candidates conservatives, you know, those are caused by
other things, and we've got to be honest about that
in order to be able to go out and win.
(08:03):
But with that said, when you have such a hyper
partisan Secretary of State who, in the interest of democracy,
tries to ban the leading candidate from the ballot in
Colorado so voters don't even have the option to vote
for that person, and then all the other junks she does,
and that's even before the six hundred passwords released online
and then the real offense in my mind, deciding deciding
(08:26):
not to tell the clerks and the public. Yeah, that's
going to undermine confidence, which is ironic and said, because
I think overall elections in Colorado are very well run.
I think we've got to find a way to win.
But yeah, so she just she is the biggest threat.
She is the biggest threat for her hyperpartisanship and her
mistakes ryan to confidence in Colorado elections.
Speaker 2 (08:50):
And there's some question about confidence in Georgia elections. They've
tightened up their voting laws there. But a couple of
good early indicators for Kamala Harris and two Kaler counties
around it Atlanta, Douglas County with seventy one percent of
the vote, she is outpacing Joe Biden there, She's up
sixty six thirty four. Biden won that county sixty two
thirty seven. Another color county, Rockdale County, sixty eight percent
(09:12):
of the vote in Harris is up seventy six twenty
four and Biden won that county over Trump just seventy
to twenty nine. So outperforming Trump in those two counties,
outperforming Biden in those two counties. Kamala Harris around Atlanta so.
Speaker 1 (09:25):
Far, Yeah, and we're just starting to get these votes
in out of Georgia. But then of course we get
to Trump's strongholds and we get to the rural votes
out of Georgia. And we've known all along that Trump
will need explosive turnout and support there certainly showed very
well in the early voting, and so we'll see as
the actual votes come in where we're at on that,
(09:46):
so probably a good chance to take a break here.
By the time we get back, we'll have more votes
out of Georgia, and then we have North Carolina closing
at five point thirty. You're on the Dankpla Show and
now back to the Dan Taplas show pot cast. It
is on now starting to get returns from Georgia, for example, Virginia,
where just a handful of returns out of Virginia as
(10:09):
substantial returns. Indiana and Kentucky those less valuable, right because
if you're not a swing state, you haven't been seeing
all these Kamala Harris ads which tend to drive down
her support. Six o'clock Mountain. Of course, Pennsylvania closes along
with the entire state of Florida. We have very healthy
Florida returns at this point. And Ryan, you picked up
(10:29):
on Miami Dad.
Speaker 2 (10:30):
Of course, incredible really when you look at Joe Biden
winning Miami Dade County, this is the most populated county
in Florida. Joe Biden won it by seven point three,
fifty three point four to forty six point one.
Speaker 1 (10:42):
Donald Trump has.
Speaker 2 (10:43):
Flipped the script with seventy seven percent of the vote
in He's up eleven on Kamala Harris in Miami Dade
County fifty five forty four. Damn, that's an eighteen point
swing to Trump from twenty twenty eight.
Speaker 1 (10:54):
And where are we statewide now? In Florida, we'll get
those latest numbers.
Speaker 2 (10:58):
They'll state five second with fifty nine percent of the
vote in Florida. And they're doing a remarkable job of
counting one of the most populated states in the Union.
But Pennsylvania, Michigan can't do it. Fifty three forty six.
Trump is up by about four hundred and fifty thousand
votes three point five million to about three point one million.
Speaker 1 (11:15):
Yeah, it is so funny because I can picture myself
sitting in this same chair, going back to if my
memory serves me right, it's been a minute, but was
it two thousand and four? And then the two thousand
and eight election in Florida? Always so so very close,
And how nice now that it's a little more comfortable there.
But checking with Don in Fort Collins, you're on the
(11:37):
Dan kaplis, sho'll welcome Don.
Speaker 4 (11:40):
Hey, Dan, certainly have our fingers crossed for this evening. Yeah,
And I think the only thing that can derail Trumps
at this point is some mischief using the voting machines
and some of the mischief that took place in twenty twenty.
Other than that, I think things are certainly looking in
his favor.
Speaker 1 (12:00):
And Donald at this point. What leaves you believing that
there's no way other than than theft for him to lose. Listen,
I'm the guy who's been predicting all along. I predicted
Biden would be deposed, they'd get a different nominee. I've
predicted that that Trump would then rise up again in
the polls. Not to be a jerk, but I think
(12:21):
I've called this thing correctly for a very long time,
and I've predicted for a long time that Trump would win,
and I believe, in the end win comfortably, and I
pray to God that's true. But can't you see any
legitimate scenario where he might lose? No? Okay, all right, well,
I love that. I love hearing that, my friend, Thank you.
(12:44):
You know, Unfortunately, and obviously I don't expect this to happen.
I've been predicting the opposite, but unfortunately that there is
a scenario not involving theft, where President Trump could lose.
It'd be disastrous for this nation. I literally pray it
doesn't happen. But when you have a strong personality like
President Trump and then you have him assaulted, viciously assaulted
(13:08):
in the way that he has been relentlessly from the left,
including their media arm from the Russia hoax, through law fairs,
through all of these other scurllless attacks they've launched against him,
and then throw in, like any human, a few unforced
errors here and there. Then yeah, there's a scenario where
a country, a nation, just like people can, a country
(13:29):
could make a mistake and could decide they're done with
him and go with the alternative, even if the alternative
is as unqualified as Kamala Harris. I that could happen.
I'm the guy who's been saying all along, it's not
America is not going to elect a far left San
Francisco radical, right.
Speaker 2 (13:46):
Well, I think this is just really important. I know
Florida isn't considered a swing state, but it has been,
and Donald Trump only defeated Joe Biden by three point
three percent last time around. He is cruising. He's up seven,
and the league continues to grow. They haven't even got
the Panhandle and Dan. How about this for a shocker.
So far, I've measured every single county that's turning in
results in Florida. That includes Leon County where Tallahassee is
(14:09):
Florida State University and the government with the state capitol,
Duval County where Jacksonville is, Panellas County, where Saint Pete is,
Hillsborough County, where Tampa is, Orange County, where Orlando is Dan.
He is outperforming his numbers against Joe Biden in every
single county in Florida so far against Kamala.
Speaker 1 (14:26):
Harris, which is fantastic considering that they haven't been bombarded
with these Harris ads that the negative but truthful adds
against Kamala Harris. So so impressive there. And you know,
my hope, I've talked about it for a long time. A.
We need Trump to win, right but B if he can,
the more he can win by, the more he can
win by, the better it's going to be for America
(14:48):
in so many different ways. Get back to the text
for a second, and we'll get some calls. Ah Dan
hilarious about Amy leaving the country. I hope it works
again for twenty four of that from Alexa. Yeah, no,
it's we did this in twenty sixteen. Amy and I
I like to think that just the greatest marriage imaginable.
And I know she'd agree with that, but we disagree
(15:08):
on politics. So in twenty sixteen she literally left the
country for election day. She actually went. She was playing
baseball then and she went with him to Dominican Republic
for a tournament. And this year, yep, she got on
a plane this morning and she'll beyond another continent for
the results. So that is a very healthy thing for
(15:30):
certain marriages such as ours and which which phrases another
topic crying, And I don't know full of time to
get into it tonight, but I wish we would. Let's
say we get what we've been predicting and what we
so desperately hope and pray for, and that is a
Trump victory. You know, what will be the correct approach
(15:51):
tomorrow toward those we may know, those we may be
married to, those we may work with, et cetera, all
of us to those who feel just as strongly the
opposite way, and as hard as that is for us
to understand, if we are blessed with this great victory tonight,
what is the proper approach tomorrow? Act like winners okay,
(16:13):
and what does that look like?
Speaker 2 (16:15):
My friend magnanimous, I think you know that the American
people made the right choice, and we build a better
America from that day forward. I think Donald Trump is
gonna keep to his promise. I believe that he will
win tonight, and I believe he'll be handed a Republican
Senate and House, and for two years they're going to
be able to get things done like maybe federal voter
law reform and other things that Donald Trump can do
(16:37):
on day one, like he said to start to drill
for oil and to close down the board.
Speaker 1 (16:41):
Order Yeah, yeah, and men out of women's sports to
the extent you can do that, yeah, by executive constitutionally.
Of course, we're we're not counting chickens here. We're just well,
like to look ahead. If we get the victory we've
been predicting and desperately want tonight, then then you know,
how do you handle that Tomorrow's back. My father always said,
grown up, I'm sure yours said something similar, Ryan, And
(17:04):
in fact, he said it in a toast at our wedding,
and he was a great college basketball player. That there's
an enormous difference between somebody who prevails and a winner, right,
and being a winner. Being a winner is shaped by
how you handle that success and what you do with it.
So let's hope we have that challenge tomorrow. But it
(17:25):
is it's all about it's about first you got to win, right,
save the country, but then hopefully by margins that allow
the country to step forward in that first little baby
step towards unity. And then the way that if we're
blessed with this great victory, you know, just the way
it's handled by the victors. I think, you know, should
(17:46):
Donald Trump, as we've been predicting, win tonight, I think
it becomes the most important speech of his life, the
most important speech of his life, at least as it
pertains to this nation and this nation moving forward. So
we'll talk about all that. We're starting to get some
meaningful numbers out of Georgia, a few, yeah, trickling in
out of Virginia. We'll give you the latest that coming
(18:09):
up at five thirty six eight five five. Where's your
A five eight two five five texts Dan five seven
seven three nine. You're on the Dankapla Show. You're listening
to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast. So great to see
Trump running it up in Florida the way that he is.
Hopefully that's a sign of good things to come in
(18:30):
the surrounding states. So when you look at the numbers
coming in from Georgia right now, though Trump is up
state wide, you look at some of the key counties
and Harris appears to be doing pretty well there compared
to where Biden was at. But again it's very early,
and Trump appeared to be at least Republican returns very
positive in the early vote in Georgia as well. Let's
(18:52):
go to beautiful Wisconsin, where I've spent quite a bit
of time, the critical swing state many think behind Pennsylvania.
You're on the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 5 (19:01):
Welcome, Hi Dan, This is Cynthia. Just a couple of comments.
My grandson goes to the University of Wisconsin and Stephen's
point and Tim Walsh was there yesterday and they went
to different classrooms and I guess asking them who they're
(19:21):
going to vote for or are they going to vote
for Harris or Trump, and only one person raised their
hands for Harris, and the classes abrount, Yes, who's.
Speaker 1 (19:35):
This guy you mentioned? Waltz? Who is that guy? I mean,
they've kind of buried him late in the campaign, haven't they.
I saw a clip today where somebody asked a reporter
asked him if he talked to Harris, and he said
he hasn't talked to her in a couple of days.
So hell, they've kind of banished AI a little bit.
But that's great news. I love that kind of anecdotal stuff.
(19:57):
What's your prediction for Wisconsin?
Speaker 5 (20:00):
Oh gosh, I'm just praying. I'm praying so hard man
that that that President Trump takes Wisconsin. And I'm listening
to you every day even though I'm over here coaching
in a pole Kill school. My daughter's seven children all attend,
and yes, and they're doing quite well. But I'm just
praying that President Trump takes with continent.
Speaker 1 (20:22):
Me too, well. Cynthia, thank you for the calling. That
nice encouraging story there, and and you know, hey, not
to get all pretty or anything, but I'm glad to
hear Cynthia talk about praying because you know, it's just me,
but it's you may do the same thing. It's just
something I remind myself of constantly in situations like this, is,
you know, the long view, God's in charge, God wins
(20:45):
in the end. I remain very confident that Trump will
win tonight. But if there's some kind of curveball, some
kind of surprise, I just I just believe that when
crazy things like that and there's a reason for it.
But yeah, so I just think that perspective, at least
for me, is very helpful and very true. Eight five
(21:09):
five for zero five A two five five text d
A N five seven seven three nine. Obviously, you know,
if you have the same kind of view I do
about God and faith, we're supposed to do our part here,
and I think lots of people have been doing that
very well to try to stop the left from taking
over America in this election, and hopefully we see U,
(21:30):
we see us succeed tonight. Let's go to Eerie. My
kind enough to join us on election Eve. We appreciate that, Mike,
welcome to the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 3 (21:41):
Well, thank you, Dan that I appreciate that. I don't
know if Cynthia and Don are representative of your Most
of your listeners are not that it proves that map
is hard. I get that. Hey, I'm just kind of
curious from you. What's the what's the latest betting line
on when Trump is going to declare victory? I heard
it's eleven o'clock. I'm going with you under how about you?
Speaker 1 (22:03):
I think he'll de clear victory when it's clear he's
going to win.
Speaker 3 (22:08):
Well, it's already clear he's gonna win. He's got it right.
There's no other way. Something nefarious or mischiefus would have
to happen for him to lose. Is according to Dawn.
Speaker 1 (22:18):
Mike, who did what to your whedies today?
Speaker 3 (22:24):
I just get sick of they don't know how man.
It's coming down to seven stakes. The seventh stakes are
within a point and a half. It's it's the map
could go either way. For them to say it's mischief
is the only way he's going to lose. He's got
the people.
Speaker 1 (22:37):
Bring who's the day Kimasabi? Who's the day Kimasabi? Because
as much as you want him to have said that,
President Trump has not said that.
Speaker 3 (22:48):
Oh for crying out loud, Dan for a man who
says he believes in truth.
Speaker 1 (22:53):
No, Mike, back it up or packet up. This is
what Mike does when he says something that isn't true,
and then I asked him to back it up. So
back it up, Mike. Give me that quote where Donald
Trump said the only way he loses his mischief.
Speaker 3 (23:07):
He has said that incessively beautiful.
Speaker 1 (23:10):
I'm just asking you for one. Then, I'm so easy.
I just want one because I heard him twice today.
I heard him say once through Jonathan carl and ABC,
and once directly that the chure bad things can happen.
He could lose this race. So please give me your quote,
my man. And you know what what I think is
so encouraging to me. You've got him.
Speaker 3 (23:32):
Seventeen four on NBC, he said it, give.
Speaker 1 (23:36):
Us a quote, Please give Dan? Oh, Michael, Michael, have
you tried.
Speaker 3 (23:41):
DCAF danse Okay, Michael.
Speaker 1 (23:46):
All I want is the quote. All I want to.
Speaker 3 (23:48):
Say, so gullible, Michael, gullible. I don't understand whether.
Speaker 1 (23:52):
Michael, it's isn't it hard to live life this angry
because it interferes with your brain function?
Speaker 5 (23:59):
Yeah?
Speaker 1 (24:00):
Poor Mike.
Speaker 2 (24:01):
Yeah, he doesn't still sound very confident in his common Harris.
Speaker 1 (24:05):
No, no, and if if yeah, if he had that quote,
I have to imagine we would have heard that quote
eight five five. Was there a five eight two five
five then number. I know you hate it, Dan, but
I got to throw it out there.
Speaker 2 (24:18):
The polymarket betting odds are skyrocketing now at sixty four
point five percent for Trump to just thirty five point
eight percent for Harris. Trump has shot up six percent
in the last fifteen minutes.
Speaker 1 (24:28):
I wish you had told me the opposite and the
reason the reason for that, because I sat there. I'll
show you the lazy You have sat in that very
lazy boy, the platform with the tape on it. It's
great you have sat in that very lazy boy. And
I sat there. And I sat there in two tenty twenty,
and I was so excited, and the betting nods had
just gone over eighty five percent for Trump and brit
(24:50):
Hume was talking about that on Fox and I just
don't trust those betting No.
Speaker 2 (24:55):
But you know, twenty twenty was an anomaly for so
many reasons.
Speaker 1 (24:58):
I guess I get it, yes, I just and I
get it that it's real money that people are betting, etc.
But you know, there can be a lot of stupid money.
Bet Listen, I'm the guy like you. I've been sitting
here on the show doing the hard work day after
day for years now, talking about why I believe Trump
is going to win tonight. But that's been based on
(25:18):
all sorts of different things, a mix of data and
common sense and this and that, and yeah, so I
just I'm not going to bet on a bunch of
people I don't know bet money. Did you see that
Wall Street Journal's on the guy who bet thirty million
on Trump? Whoa? And then Wall Street Journal and the
news pages are hard left leaning editorial pages still good,
(25:39):
but they were trying to say that he was a
Trump shill who was meant to alter those odds in
Trump's favor. And he did the interview to say, I'm
not that at all. I'm just a guy. I got
a lot of money, and I like betting, and I
look at and his basic premise was that they always
underpoll Trump's support and that Trump supporters aren't going to
talk to post Is often, and so that's why he
(26:02):
bet his thirty million. But five four zero five e
two five five, Ryan, by the way, we'll host the
coverage any fifty Koa Denver the blowtorch tonight and do
his usual great job. I assume you go straight from
here to there six o'clock tonight. It'll literally be a
bee line that I'm there between the two studios. Yeah,
I look forward to that coverage very very much. Georgia.
(26:23):
I hesitate to even give you these numbers because they're
meaningless at this point, because there are a handful of
votes in but sixty forty Trump in Georgia, just as
these numbers are meaningless in North Carolina seventy thirty Harris.
But that's with we got more people in the studio
now than votes they have cast.
Speaker 2 (26:39):
Still waiting on Fulton County, which is Atlanta, which is
of course the big city, and it's going to go
heavily for Harris.
Speaker 1 (26:45):
But how much that's the question.
Speaker 2 (26:46):
Yeah, they're still waiting on account from Athens, that's a
college town, Uga, Augusta. Still waiting on that in Richmond County, Columbus, Georgia,
and they're just coming in in Savannah.
Speaker 1 (26:55):
So all those will likely favor Harris. Yeah, way, way
way too, our ladies. Same thing in Virginia right now,
with relatively few votes in and Harris up sixty forty. There.
I don't think anybody has been counting on Virginia, right,
You're just looking at Virginia as maybe an indicator of
where the race stands as the.
Speaker 2 (27:13):
Hole, because that's gone down to fifty six forty theropy
and like you said, a lot of the votes still
out and the northern Virginia counties which are all going
to go heavily for Harris, those seem to be being
counted first.
Speaker 1 (27:24):
Interesting because it's always such a tease in Virginia, right,
It's like you have every time, oh wow, we might get yeah,
but no. And again I come back to this critical dynamic,
which is it's only the swing states that are getting
hammered with all of these ads that show who Kamala
Harris really is. Ideologically it's her. It's on video, the
(27:46):
words coming out of her own mouth, and that's what
is driven down her support so much and boosted Trump.
So any state that hasn't been barraged with those ads,
you know, you got to take with a grain of salt.
But then you look at Florida. Yeah, and to be
cruising to what maybe eight or nine point victory, one.
Speaker 2 (28:03):
Quick tidbit too I used to live in Chesterfield County, Virginia.
That's southwest of Richmond. It's a Bellweather county. It went
for Biden in twenty twenty by about seven points. Trump's
currently leading there.
Speaker 1 (28:12):
Nice. And then we're gonna what do you know how
much in there by the way, what percentage in that
county yet, probably don't have that credit quarter. Yeah okay,
And then you know, we're going to Ohio I think
is closing in a few rats here, and then we'll
get into the first of the Senate races, first of
the big Senate races. And yeah, cross your fingers, say
a prayer in that speaking which Colorado, you can still
(28:33):
get out and vote. If you haven't already, vote against
seventy nine, vote for Gabe Evans if you're in CD
j Eff Ford, if you're in CD three, and of
course great Republicans everywhere. You're on the Dan Capla Show
and now back to the Dan Kaplass Show podcast. I
love the fact we actually have some returns right now now,
obviously the first of the swing states starting to come in.
(28:54):
Two few votes to make anything out of it. At
this point, you've got to like what happened in Florida, right,
swing state? How cool to be able to say that
Florida not a swing state anymore. Remember just holding our
breath on Florida, you know, cycle after cycle, but looks
like Trump.
Speaker 2 (29:09):
But he's eleven there now eleven Dan, His lead is
almost one million votes in.
Speaker 1 (29:15):
Florida, Lord, four point eighty five to three point nine three.
Just you just hope that carries over. So interesting now
as we look at the first few percentages of votes
to come in, not meaningless numbers. I mean we're talking
about a total of maybe you know, six hundred thousand,
eight hundred thousand votes, but you look at early votes
in North Carolina that that have Harris way way up,
(29:36):
so you wonder where those came out of. And same
thing in Ohio. Now we know Trump's going to win
Ohio and to expect that'll win North Carolina.
Speaker 2 (29:45):
Yeah, pay no attention to the North Carolina numbers. That
first one is Wait County, that's Raleigh, that's where NC
state's a college town and whatever.
Speaker 1 (29:51):
Yeah. Yeah, so so far, I think the best way
to sum it up. And then Ryan will have the
coverage in eight fifty koa literally five steps across the
hall starting at six o'clock mountain time tonight. Let me
say one quick thing though, truly, one of the great
people in Colorado I think in Colorado history is Alfred Williams,
who's worked across the hall from us at Kawai for
(30:14):
about four or five years now. Just one of the best,
one of the best humans, one of the best talents,
obviously one of the best athletes, and he has now
left the station group and we will very very much
miss out for just a great, great person. Getting back
to the politics, look at tomorrow obviously, when we sit
here tomorrow four o'clock mountain, we're going to be talking
(30:34):
about a dramatically changed world and we're going to be
talking about a crossroads moment in American history, no question
about that. And so we'll be looking at, Okay, where
does America go from Colorado the world? And I know, Colorado,
we don't have the governor's areas, we don't have the
Senate race this year, but we have some really important stuff.
You can still get out and vote if you happen
(30:55):
to be in CD eight for Gabe Evans up there,
and I hope you do. That race could be decided
by a few hundred votes, same with Jeff Hurd down
in CD three. That one was decided by five hundred
last time. So if you live in those districts, please
anywhere in Colorado, if you haven't voted yet, you can
still do the right thing, the moral thing, on every
level and go out and vote against that hideous Amendment
(31:16):
seventy nine. And there's still time to do that, and
that could be close because the pro abortion movement needs,
the radical pro abortion movement needs fifty five percent to
put that in the constitution, so so important to defeat
that if we can so right now in Georgia, and
again this misleading because Fulton County hasn't come in, but
(31:37):
Trump up sixty two to thirty seven. But again, you know,
Fulton County hasn't come in, and we've all seen in
the past what effect that can have. Ohio, we're starting
to get some of those votes right now, really hoping
for that GOP pick up there with Moreno. But again
they've just got twenty two percent of the votes in,
so nothing we can read into it, even though Moreno
(31:58):
has about a nine point lead right now, Ryan, we
got a couple of minutes left before the end of
the show, Big picture predictions. I'll give you mine and
then we'll look ahead to your coverage tonight.
Speaker 2 (32:09):
Forty nine to forty seven popular vote win for Trump.
He sweeps all seven swing states that we've discussed, and
I think he grabs a surprise either Virginia, New Hampshire, Minnesota,
one of those three, maybe all of those three.
Speaker 1 (32:20):
Anything you've seen in the returns so far that either
support or contradict that Florida is amazing.
Speaker 2 (32:26):
Just the margin in Florida, every single county, Harris is
underperforming Biden, every single county in Florida. That is my
numbing And so far he looks really good in Georgia.
We got to watch him wait for this to play out.
But I believe Florida and the trend line there that
you always talk about, Dan, I think this has enormous
implications for the country at large.
Speaker 1 (32:48):
Yeah, and listen, I mean, I've the guy who's been
saying on air for a long long time now that
Trump is going to win, and that Trump is going
to win comfortably. I still believe that to be true.
I can absolutely see looking at everything, you know, the
relatively small chance the opposite could happen. I could see
that I think America's had a hunger for a female president.
(33:09):
But again, I think people can see this person, regardless
of gender, is not the right person Kamala Harris to
be president of the United States. And Donald Trump did
so well in that first term, you know, the drill
and Americans were better off and they lived that, and
they experienced that, and they saw in that moment that
can never be rehearsed, how he handled, you know, being
(33:29):
shot in that Pennsylvania field and just the presence of
mind and the strength and the courage, and Americans know
we live in a dangerous world and the world's been
on fire since Harris and Biden have been in office.
And even if they don't like Trump, they want him
on that wall. So I think there are so many
reasons to believe that Donald Trump is going to win,
and I pray wins, but also that he wins comfortably,
(33:51):
because that then can be that first baby step toward unity,
toward America moving forward together, not a silver bullet magic fix,
an important first step. And then we need the Senate,
right then we need the Senate. We need the GOP
to have more than a one vote margin in the
Senate and really start to get things going in the
right direction. I can't wait to join you at four tomorrow.
(34:12):
Look forward to hearing your coverage tonight. Ryan Schuling will
be on NEED fifty KOWA in Denver. Thank you, Kelly
for your help, and again, just hope everybody takes a
deep breath, says a prayer. God's in charge, have faith,
and hopefully we'll get to celebrate soon
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