Reuters Morning Bid

Reuters Morning Bid

Everything you need to know to start your trading day. Unfiltered markets news and analysis straight from the Reuters newsroom.

Episodes

Too many Cooks?

August 10, 2026 • 9 mins
President Trump gives Fed Governor Lisa Cook three weeks to answer mortgage fraud allegations, with the deadline falling just before the September FOMC meeting - raising fresh questions about Fed independence under Chair Kevin Warsh. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy shed 23,000 jobs in July in a surprise miss, though a falling unemployment rate and solid construction gains tempered the reaction. All eyes now turn to Wednesday's CPI prin...
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The jobs verdict

August 7, 2026 • 6 mins
A closely watched U.S. jobs report could shape expectations for the Fed's next move on interest rates. Plus, markets are adjusting to a Federal Reserve that is saying less and letting investors do more of the guessing. And, SpaceX weathered a major lockup export without the sell-off many had expected. Today's recommended read: AI could end Wall Street's EPS obsession by Marty Fridson Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠...
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Strait stakes

August 6, 2026 • 8 mins
A proposed Iran deal that would give Tehrangreater control over shopping in the Strait of Hormuz is keeping oil below $80 a barrel. Gold has posted its biggest one-day gain in six months as investor reassess the outlook for inflation and interest rates. Meanwhile, Wall Street is cautious after weak chip-sector earnings and ahead of a pivotal U.S. jobs report. Today's recommended read: US-Japan action undercuts G7's historic FX rol...
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SpaceX lands hard

August 5, 2026 • 8 mins
SpaceX and AMD beat earnings estimates but saw their shares stumble, even as the Dow and S&P 500 hit fresh records and oil prices slide. Plus, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent vows to do "whatever it takes" to help Japan defend the yen. Today's recommended read: Three midweek thoughts - AI job losses, Fed's White knight and K-shaped inflation by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ an...
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Manufacturing rebounds

August 4, 2026 • 8 mins
U.S. manufacturing just posted its strongest growth in four years, adding to signs of economic resilience. Meanwhile, oil traders try to make sense of conflicting signals over potential Iran talks. And markets are questioning whether efforts by Tokyo and Washington will be enough to keep the yen afloat. Today's recommended read: U.S. economy is overstimulated - and bond markets fear it by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morn...
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Yen intervention

August 3, 2026 • 9 mins
The yen jumps after a historic U.S.-Japan currency intervention. Wall Street profits are tracking their strongest growth outside a recession. Plus, oil tumbles as hopes rise for renewed U.S.-Iran talks. Today's recommended read: Iran war ushers in oil refining golden era. It won't last by Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Prod...
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AI's trillion-dollar bet

July 31, 2026 • 7 mins
Big Tech's spending on AI has now topped a trillion dollars and investors want to returns. Anthropic's Claude AI hacked three companies during testing. Plus, the yen remains under pressure despite intervention. Today’s recommended read: Europe makes trillion-euro bet to revive its battered industry by Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Intere...
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The Fed's family fight

July 30, 2026 • 8 mins
The Fed held interest rates steady, but three officials broke ranks and voted for a hike, delivering the "family fight" Chair Kevin Warsh said he wanted. Meanwhile, oil prices climbed after fresh U.S. strikes on Iranian targets. And Big Tech earnings split investors, with Meta and Qualcomm disappointing while Microsoft impressed. Today’s recommended read:⁠⁠⁠ The world's $1.8 quadrillion balance sheet has a simmering problem...
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An unpredictable Fed

July 29, 2026 • 8 mins
SK Hynix's profits surged sixfold and its stock still dropped 10%. The Fed is poised to make its more unpredictable rate decision since 2018. Plus, Microsoft and Meta earnings are up tonight. Today’s recommended read:⁠ Three midweek thoughts - cresting capex, Burnham bounce and Ukraine-Iran by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠. Read mo...
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Chip rout

July 28, 2026 • 8 mins
A global chip sell-off rattles tech markets, while oil prices retreat despite tensions in the Middle East. And central banks confront fresh inflation pressures. Today’s recommended read:Central banks can't 'see through' this many inflationary risks, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠newsletter,⁠⁠and check out his columns on⁠⁠Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠. Read more from⁠⁠Amanda Cooper⁠⁠and⁠⁠Anna Szymanski⁠⁠. P...
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Made in China

July 27, 2026 • 8 mins
Chinese memory chipmaker CXMT soared 500% on its Shanghai debut to become the country's most valuable company at over half a trillion dollars. Meanwhile, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta prepare to report as cash burn concerns weigh on AI's biggest spenders, and the Fed meets Wednesday with oil retreating nearly $10 from above $100 a barrel after a pause in U.S.-Iran strikes. Today’s recommended read: Crude oil futures ar...
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Trump's tariff wall

July 24, 2026 • 7 mins
Trump imposed new duties on 60 trading partners overnight using a forced labor justification, oil is surging past $100 on Red Sea chaos, the Fed heads into next week's meeting more divided than its been in years, and Intel just shattered Wall Street expectations on the back of the AI boom. Today’s recommended read:⁠ Who is funding America’s widening debt with the rest of the world?, Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mi...
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Alphabet's AI bill

July 23, 2026 • 9 mins
Alphabet's cloud revenue grew more than 80% year on year and the stock still dropped 3%. Tesla burned cash too, positing its first negative free cash flow in over two years. And with Houthi militants now forcing Saudi tankers to turn around in the Red Sea, oil is pushing toward $100 a barrel - giving the ECB a headache it wasn't expecting today. Today’s recommended read:⁠ America's 'mass affluence' is bigger than you think, ...
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Yen at 40-year lows

July 22, 2026 • 8 mins
Japan's yen hits a 40-year low above 163 per dollar, putting Tokyo on intervention watch. Alphabet reports earnings after the bell tonight, kicking off hyperscaler earnings season. And Brent crude climbs again as fighting continues in the Gulf, Saudi tankers are turned back and the U.S. confirms the conflict has cost over $37 billion. Today’s recommended read:⁠Three midweek thoughts - jobs, Fed targets and volatility, Mike D...
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Canada's tariff surprise

July 21, 2026 • 8 mins
Ten days into what was already supposed to be a ceasefire reports emerge of a push to mediate yet another 10-day ceasefire in U.S.-Iran hostilities - leaving markets struggling to keep up. In the UK, bond markets stay relatively calm under new Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who has committed to keeping UK debt stable over time, appointing John Healey as finance minister. And tariffs are back, with U.S. President Donald Trump levying...
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Oil above $90

July 20, 2026 • 8 mins
Crude tops $90 a barrel for the first time since early June as U.S. strikes on Iran enter their ninth day and two tankers are hit in the Strait of Hormuz. Markets are also watching Alphabet's Wednesday earnings, the first of the major hyperscalers to report. Plus, Andy Burnham is formally named Britain's new prime minister and investors wait to learn who will fill the key role of Finance Minister. Today’s recommended read: F...
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Chip dip

July 17, 2026 • 7 mins
Japanese chip stocks lead a broad sell-off in Asian trading as investors question whether the AI spending cycle has peaked. China's Moonshot unveils what it calls the world's largest open-source AI model as President Xi Jinping hosts a global AI cooperation conference in Beijing. And Netflix shares fall after a second consecutive quarter of disappointing sales growth. Today’s recommended read: Trump could get a lesson o...
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SpaceX grounded

July 16, 2026 • 8 mins
SpaceX has fallen back below its $135 listing price and sits more than 30% off its post-listing peak, with insiders expected to begin selling as lockup periods expire over the coming months. The company has yet to confirm a date for its first earnings report. TSMC's record 77% profit jump offers some relief to chip investors after a rocky week. Plus, the British pound climbs to a one-year high against the euro on UK finance ministe...
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Bank on it

July 15, 2026 • 8 mins
Europe's ASML raises its full-year revenue forecast, steadying sentiment around AI infrastructure spending after IBM logged its worst single-day stock drop on record. U.S. core CPI posts its first monthly decline in over six years, easing pressure on the Fed. And volatile markets and a busy IPO pipeline hand the big banks a bumper quarter. Today’s recommended read: China's latest 'shock', German auto pain and the euro/y...
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Blockade and a hard place

July 14, 2026 • 8 mins
A fresh escalation in the Gulf, with Iranian missile attacks on shipping and a U.S. blockade declaration, pushes oil sharply higher and overshadows today's U.S. inflation report. Headline CPI had been forecast to fall below 4%, but with oil re-accelerating, that backward-looking relief may already feel like a moot point. Fed Governor Christopher Waller says core inflation is simply "too high," and markets are now pricing almost a 5...
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