The Run-Up

The Run-Up

“The Run-Up” is your guide to understanding the 2024 election. Host Astead W. Herndon talks to the people whose decisions will make the difference. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Listen to this podcast in New York Times Audio, our new iOS app for news subscribers. Download now at nytimes.com/audioapp

Episodes

November 21, 2024 49 mins

A year ago, Astead took “The Run-Up” listeners home for Thanksgiving.

Specifically, he convened a focus group of family and friends to talk about the election and the question of Black people’s changing relationship to the Democratic Party.

This year, he got the group back together for a different mission.

The question was: What happened? What can Democrats learn from their defeat in 2024?

On today’s show: an autopsy conducted not by c...

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President-elect Trump’s cabinet nominees and major appointments — which have arrived quickly in the days since he won the election — are more than just a list of allies. The roster is a window into how he sees the mission of a second term.

One priority will be immigration and border control, and, more specifically, Trump’s campaign promise of “mass deportations.”

On Sunday night, Trump announced the person he was putting in charge of...

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November 7, 2024 19 mins

For more than two years, we’ve been asking pretty much everyone we meet a version of the same question:

Who are you going to vote for and why?

And on Wednesday morning, we had the answer to that question. Or at least the first part.

Donald Trump easily won the electoral vote, and as of early Thursday, he’s on track to win the popular vote too.

The second part of the question — the why of 2024 — is a little more complicated. It will tak...

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For months now, “The Run-Up” has been traveling around the country talking with people, trying to ensure that when today came, whatever happened wouldn’t feel like a surprise.

So as people go to the polls to cast their vote for Kamala Harris, Donald Trump or someone else, we wanted to return to the place where we started almost exactly a year ago.

Clallam County, in the northwest corner of Washington State.

It’s the last true bellweth...

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One phenomenon that’s been getting a lot of attention during this election is the growing gender gap among young people.

Young men are leaning right, and young women are moving left.

In recent national surveys from The New York Times and Siena College, young women favored Kamala Harris by 42 percentage points and young men favored Donald Trump by 12 points.

And Trump has made explicit appeals to men — or at least his version of mascul...

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November 1, 2024 29 mins

For most of this year, we’ve been focused on the race for president, the messages coming from both parties’ nominees and their reception among voters.

But that’s not all that’s on the ballot this November, and so much of what any president can do in the White House depends on who’s in Congress.

So before Election Day, we wanted to take a look at the down-ballot landscape of 2024.

Who will control the House and the Senate? And what can...

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October 31, 2024 49 mins

There’s no state more likely to tip the election than Pennsylvania.

It has the most electoral votes of any swing state, with 19, and its flip from red to blue in 2020 helped secure the win for Joe Biden.

For Kamala Harris to prevail there this year, she needs to win over moderates, even Republicans, who are turned off by Donald Trump. And she has to drive up enthusiasm among the Democratic base, including Black voters in urban center...

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Here’s what makes North Carolina, with its 16 Electoral College votes, unique among the electoral battlegrounds this year.

Come election night, it will be one of the first of the closely fought states where the polls will close, giving the campaigns, and the public, early clues on where the night is headed.

The state is probably the best opportunity for Democrats to win a state this year that they didn’t win in 2020, and the party — ...

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October 17, 2024 91 mins

On Tuesday night, with three weeks to go until Election Day, Donald Trump was in Georgia.

In 2020, he lost the state by around 12,000 votes, and Georgia became central to his claims that the election had been stolen. After his defeat, he went after Republican state officials and voting machines.

At his rally on Tuesday, he was doing something different. He was encouraging people to vote early, to participate in a system his party had...

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October 10, 2024 42 mins

We are less than a month from Election Day.

That means our polling colleagues are busy. And that they are well positioned to help answer some of the biggest questions we have at this stage in the race.

Like: Who has the advantage between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?

What’s the most important battleground state?

And what are the chances we actually know the final result on election night?

On today’s show, we do our best to get answers...

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October 3, 2024 51 mins

Tim Walz, a former high school football coach from a tiny town, has folksy sayings and a camo cap. JD Vance shot to fame with “Hillbilly Elegy,” aiming to speak for parts of rural America that felt left behind.

Both parties — especially with their vice-presidential candidates — are trying to convey to rural Americans that they are not forgotten.

This comes after Democrats have seen significant erosion of support in rural areas.

How ha...

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At one point, he supported the presidential aspirations of Donald Trump, a fellow reality TV star and businessman.

But now Mark Cuban — perhaps best known for his longtime ownership of the Dallas Mavericks and his perch as a “Shark Tank” shark — has taken on a surprising new role.

He is a prolific and vocal supporter of Kamala Harris. Especially when it comes to his view of what a Harris administration would mean for the economy.

So, ...

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This year, Democrats and Republicans are both fighting to convince voters that their party alone can fix what both parties say is a big problem: the Southern border.

And public sentiment on the issue is shifting. According to Gallup, 55 percent of Americans want to curb immigration, the highest recorded total since 2001.

With that in mind, we wanted to talk with people who actually live and work near the border. So we traveled to El ...

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There’s a message that Kamala Harris and the Democrats are trying to send in these final weeks: The Democrats are patriots too.

It was all over the place at the Democratic National Convention, in the chants of “U.S.A.!” that broke out on the convention floor, in the vice president’s speech and in a speech by Wes Moore, the governor of Maryland.

This effort to reclaim patriotism can be seen as a way to reclaim more white rural voters....

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September 12, 2024 42 mins

For the people still on the fence about 2024, Tuesday night’s debate was an important data point.

How would Vice President Kamala Harris differentiate herself from President Biden? How would former President Donald Trump come across when facing a new opponent? Would this matchup, the first time these candidates met, be enough to help these undecided voters make a decision?

On today’s “Run-Up,” we look at how they are thinking after t...

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September 10, 2024 18 mins

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris will face off in Philadelphia on Tuesday night for the second presidential debate of 2024. It will be the first time the two candidates meet on a debate stage.

They enter the debate in a neck-and-neck race, with Mr. Trump leading Ms. Harris, 48 percent to 47 percent, according to the latest national polling from The New York Times and Siena College.

That means the people ...

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Former president Trump frequently takes credit for helping to overturn Roe v. Wade.

But in recent weeks, he has posted on Truth Social, his social media site, that his administration would be “great for women and their reproductive rights.” He suggested that he might vote for a Florida ballot measure allowing abortion up to around 24 weeks, before reversing his position. And he floated the idea that under a Trump administration, in ...

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This election, like a lot of elections before it, may come down to which candidate voters think might help them with their grocery bills and housing costs — the essential stuff of everyday economics.

That’s what people around the country say — and what they tell pollsters too.

But the fact that life feels expensive right now is not just something voters are talking about.

Campaigns are too.

Kamala Harris just released an ad focused on ...

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On the final night of the Democratic National Convention, Vice President Kamala Harris took the stage and formally accepted her party’s nomination.

After the balloons fell, Astead Herndon and his colleagues Maya King and Jennifer Medina broke down the moments that stood out to them from the night — from people touched by gun violence telling their stories to the way Ms. Harris talked about Israel and the war in Gaza to how she told ...

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Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at the Democratic National Convention tonight, formalizing her rapid ascent to the top of the Democratic ticket and capping a very unusual path to the nomination.

No primary. No serious opposition. No real robust sense of what her legislative priorities might be.

On today’s show, a quest to answer this question: Is a Harris-led Democratic Party substantively different than the Democratic Party of J...

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