本文通过印度、尼泊尔、菲律宾、印尼、马来西亚、巴基斯坦、斯里兰卡与缅甸的案例,归纳出亚洲民主与联邦主义的四种关系模式:民主与联邦的契合与张力、民主化下的准联邦化、威权型联邦主义及失败的联邦主义。研究发现,亚洲经验既有制度创新,也有失败与逆转,挑战了西方学界关于二者天然互补的假设。文章进一步提出中国必须警惕多数主义和族群化联邦的双重陷阱,尤其是 “ 汉族主导型民主 ” 的风险;威权联邦主义虽脆弱,但可能成为过渡性路径。最后,作者强调发展嵌入联邦体制的审议民主,以缓和冲突、提升合法性,作为中国未来处理多样性与民族事务的借鉴。
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