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March 13, 2025 2 mins
Stop gambling with your investments! Chris Markowski proves time is your edge, using S&P 500 odds: 38% chance of losing money in a month, but only 0.2% over 15 years. www.watchdogonwallstreet.com
Mark as Played
Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
The Watchdog on Wall Street podcast explaining the news coming
out of the complex worlds of finance, economics, and politics
and the impact it we'll have on everyday Americans. Author,
investment banker, consumer advocate, analyst, and trader Chris Markowski.

Speaker 2 (00:16):
Oh, don't let your investments turn into gambling. Don't gamble
your money?

Speaker 1 (00:21):
Way?

Speaker 2 (00:21):
How do you avoid that? Well, you use time And
I'm going to prove it to you. We're going to
play a little game odds first and foremost. I don't gamble, Okay,
I don't. You need to look at your time horizon
when it comes to anything. So what we're going to do,

(00:42):
we're going to use the S and P five hundred.
We're gonna use the S and P five hundred right here.
We're going to take a look at the odds of
losing money if you invested in the S and P
five hundred a month ago. Uh oh, you're down. You're down.
You've lost money. And in fact, if you pulled your

(01:06):
money out, you went in, I pull your money out again.
You you fell into that lost money character category. Your
odds of losing money if you invest over a one
month period of time. And we'll just use the S
and P thirty eight percent. Your odds of making money
are sixty two percent. Still don't want better than any

(01:26):
damn casino. You're gonna go Tollet's push this down the road.
Let's go a year. Your odds of losing money twenty
five percent. Your odds of making money seventy five percent,
five years losing money eleven percent, making money eighty nine percent,

(01:48):
ten years losing money five percent, odds of making money
ninety five percent, fifteen years point two percent. There's your
chance of losing money ninety nine point eight percent making money?
Does it really matter? Let the markets have done over

(02:09):
the past month. Now watchdog on Wall street dot com
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