They could get there with the Greens, but their absolute majority would be over. The big winners are ACT, jumping 4.2 per cent to 11.1; National is stagnant, up just 1.7 per cent to 28.7 percent.
That must be a worry for Judith Collins although she told NewsHub they were just being silly when they pushed her on Seymour popularity over hers.
And to a certain extent she's right.
It would still be a centre-left government, Jacinda Arden would still be the prime minister if an election was held tomorrow.
If, would be, could be - we're a long way to an election but according to David Seymour, there are promising signs for centre right and right leaning parties in the poll.
A glimmer of hope that voters are becoming dissatisfied with Labour's management on a number of issues.
Labour strategists would be concerned by the drop in the polls but surely not unduly so.
Yes, support for Labour is falling but support for a centre left government has not.
Jacinda Ardern is still the preferred prime minister and in the absence of a viable alternative for the swinging centre voters, they'll still stick with the devil they know.
But David Seymour is right to be upbeat and optimistic about his party's chances to capitalise on Labour's urgency to push through reforms while they can.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Popular Podcasts
Las Culturistas with Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang
Ding dong! Join your culture consultants, Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang, on an unforgettable journey into the beating heart of CULTURE. Alongside sizzling special guests, they GET INTO the hottest pop-culture moments of the day and the formative cultural experiences that turned them into Culturistas. Produced by the Big Money Players Network and iHeartRadio.
On Purpose with Jay Shetty
I’m Jay Shetty host of On Purpose the worlds #1 Mental Health podcast and I’m so grateful you found us. I started this podcast 5 years ago to invite you into conversations and workshops that are designed to help make you happier, healthier and more healed. I believe that when you (yes you) feel seen, heard and understood you’re able to deal with relationship struggles, work challenges and life’s ups and downs with more ease and grace. I interview experts, celebrities, thought leaders and athletes so that we can grow our mindset, build better habits and uncover a side of them we’ve never seen before. New episodes every Monday and Friday. Your support means the world to me and I don’t take it for granted — click the follow button and leave a review to help us spread the love with On Purpose. I can’t wait for you to listen to your first or 500th episode!
Crime Junkie
Does hearing about a true crime case always leave you scouring the internet for the truth behind the story? Dive into your next mystery with Crime Junkie. Every Monday, join your host Ashley Flowers as she unravels all the details of infamous and underreported true crime cases with her best friend Brit Prawat. From cold cases to missing persons and heroes in our community who seek justice, Crime Junkie is your destination for theories and stories you won’t hear anywhere else. Whether you're a seasoned true crime enthusiast or new to the genre, you'll find yourself on the edge of your seat awaiting a new episode every Monday. If you can never get enough true crime... Congratulations, you’ve found your people. Follow to join a community of Crime Junkies! Crime Junkie is presented by audiochuck Media Company.