November 1, 2019 • 40 mins
Another week and another winning weekend for Ben Maller as he sails into Week 9 with a full head of steam. All the fun was kicked off by Arizona coming from behind to backdoor a double digit spread that San Francisco maintained for the majority of the game. There's a lot to chew on this weekend with New York traveling down to Miami in one of the least publicized games in league history.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome players, You're welcome. Are It's time now Benny Versus
the Penny? That it is. It is week nine in
the NFL. You're gambling analysis here on the Magic podcast
Box and its entirety Benny versus the Penny. Now we
(00:22):
will not talk about the Cincinnati Bengals, the Atlanta Falcons,
the Los Angeles Rams, or the New Orleans Saints. They
are all on a bye week. But everyone else either
has played like that Thursday night game earlier this week
with Santa Clara and Arizona UH, and a bunch of
games obviously coming up Sunday and Monday as well. And
(00:43):
the Penny is represented by Gascon David Gascon. And before
we look ahead, we must look back. Gascon, another winning
week for me, another plus week against the spread picking
NFL games. I believe I one no. Nine, that is correct,
nine games. You won nine. And I have to ask,
(01:05):
because this has been on the front of my mind
the last couple of weeks, but has this been the
best start you've ever had in Benny Versus the Penny? Uh?
You know you've asked me that before. I know you
have asked me that pretty much every week. You asked
me the same question because you have nothing else to ask.
But I, I, uh, I am very enthusiastic that I
(01:26):
have done this well. I am flattered. I feel like
I've finally figured it out after all these years. But
I have to say that it is my most sustained
success that I have enjoyed handicapping NFL games. I just
want to point out again I want to remind people
as a disclaimer, Gaston, since gambling is happening more and
(01:48):
more here that the way this works, I give advice
on every game. I'd spend a lot of time, way
too much time. It's one of my hobbies handicapping these games.
So the way I I designed the po podcast here
is if you you should do your own homework, and
then if you agree with what I say, if we
were on the same page and I think that's a game,
you should probably better. Um. But as with everything, money
(02:10):
management is very important. Try to avoid the sucker bets.
A lot of people love the sucker bets with the
parlay you know, seven team parlay's and all that stuff,
but I I generally do not. And so anyway, that's
that's my advice. All right, all right, we got we've
got plenty of games. I know the Santa Clara Arizona
game last night. Yeah, so let's do this thing, all right,
(02:32):
let's do it. We'll do it. We'll start with Houston
five and three at Jacksonville four and four. This is
a London game at Wembley Stadium in London, and it
will start at nine thirty in the morning Eastern Standard Time,
which means on the West Coast where we broadcast from
six thirty in the morning. Sweet baby Jesus, I hope
(02:53):
that game goes well. I will not be watching. Uh.
And it's it's not on the networks. They used to
put these games on the networks. But it's on NFL network,
not on a you know, CBS, Fox or NBC. Uh No,
it is on the NFL network. They're flying over Rich Eisen,
Kurt Warner, Steve Mariucci, and Michael Irvin. It takes four
people to brought a four man booth for Houston and Jacksonville. Now,
(03:17):
the Texans opened up a three point favorite. They're favored
by one. It's gonna be cloudy in fifty three degrees
at kickoff at Wembley Stadium in London, and the pick
is in. I'm gonna take Jacksonville this game. I feel
like the wrong team is favorite here. The Texans have
been an up and down team, but more importantly, they
have been ripped apart at their soul with injury. I'm
(03:42):
talking about not only J. J. Watt, who's out for
the year yet again stopped me if you've heard that before,
but there's other players in the second year they are
also dinged up. And and I'm looking out at Gardner
Minshew Mania and this has a set up for jackson
with the public is loading up on Houston like they're
(04:02):
the Patriots or something like that, and they're not. Uh,
Jacksonville is being underappreciated here. And you know they often
say that matchups make fights, right, Jacksonville's defensive front against
the revolving doors of the Houston Texans offensive line. You
toss in Deshaun Watson, who's like a bad water heater.
(04:23):
The water you don't know whether the hot water is
cold or hot, and it goes from hot to cold
and cold. I mean, it's just it's a week to week.
And let's not forget last time he played Jacksonville, he
passed for a hundred and fifty nine yards and lost
two fumbles and Jacksonville would have won the game on
a two point conversion they didn't convert at the end.
In addition to that, if you saw the World serious
(04:44):
this week, Deshaun Watson was invited to Game seven. He
couldn't move, couldn't go to the game. Why his eye
was so mutilated when he got stepped on in the
game against the Raiders that he had to cancel that
World Series appearance to treat his wounded eye. Good luck
on that. And it's a London game. I know, weird
things happen in London, but Jacksonville goes there every year.
(05:05):
That's their one of the home stadiums. Jags twenty four
or actually Jacks twenty six, Texans twenty Ben Penning's going
the other way, going with Houston. Yeah, it's a bad pick.
I mean one an old boom gune for me. I
don't know about that. Be sure to catch live editions
of The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern
(05:28):
eleven pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I
Heart Radio app al Right next up Washington one in
seven at Buffalo five and two, It's on Fox. Do
you want to play the Dick Stockton game. Since you
brought it up? Is this the Dick Stockton game? No,
it is not the Stockton Yeah, Chris Myers and Darryl
(05:50):
Moose Johnston have the call my former colleague are Fox
Sports Radio? No Christian? Christian? I know that now you don't? Yeah?
I forgot. And Bills opened up a ten point favorite,
their favorite by nine and a half. It'll be cloudy
in thirty nine degrees at kickoff at New Era of
Field and Orchard Park, New York. And I figured we're
getting into November this weekend. What are we a couple
(06:13):
of weeks away from possible blizzard lake Lake effects snow
hitting a Bill's home game always fun. I don't know
it's about to dip below seventy here in Los Angeles.
So I've got my jacket about you, all right, I'm
gonna take the Redskins in this game. And here's why.
First of all, the Bills to me get downgraded a
couple of notches after a rather las a fair pathetic
(06:35):
effort on all fronts against the Eagles. So contender pretender
this debate. I have them more in the pretender category.
And how many terrible games does this Josh Allen have
to play before his fair game to highlight his quarterback
in competence. Allen's the twenty eight ranked quarterback in the NFL.
(06:56):
Only Baker Mayfield has been worse among quarterbacks that have
start at all season. Now, the saving graces for Buffalo
has been the defense, and the Bills have held opponents
to under four undred yards going back nineteen consecutive games,
so that obviously predates this season, last couple of years
for that Buffalo defense, just the longest active streak in
the NFL. And we know the Redskins have some issues.
(07:18):
And the Redskins haven't even generated four hundred yards of
offense in twenty three straight games. I believe that is
the longest for that franchise in like fifteen plus years
or something like that. But anyway, I am taking the
Redskins here, and this game is about running backs. You know,
the game is not at that attractive when the marquis
says that this is gonna this game is gonna pick
(07:39):
two of the top six rushers all time in NFL history,
Frank Gore and Adrian Peterson. This is the first time
in NFL history that two players over thirteen thousand, five
hundred career rushing yards have gone head to head. Uh,
and that tells you there's nothing else to talk about.
But as long as case Keenom's playing, and the word
is he's going to play from what I heard, So
as long the Keendom's playing over the compass, I'll take
(08:03):
him over the compass, Rose Josh Allen uh. And so
all the Redskins have to do is kind of keep
it close. The Bills aren't gonna score a lot of
points even against a bad Redskins defense. The Redskins have
actually been playing better of late than the team in Buffalo.
Think about that for a second. I mean they won one. Uh,
they did beat the Dolphins, but they played the forty
(08:25):
niners and even though it's a rain game, they only
lost that game nine and nothing. That the Vikings were
the appointed last week, the Redskins matched them punch for
punch until case Keendom got hurt, and that was in Minnesota.
So I'm gonna take the road team Buffalo. I love
getting the points. Certainly in this spot, you gotta take it.
(08:46):
Bills will win, but they won't cover. Bills twenty, Redskins thirteen.
Penny's going with the Bills. Here we go, Buffalo, Here
we go Buffalo. All right, NFC four and four at
Carolina four and three. It's on CBS with Greg Gumble
(09:06):
and Trent Green on the call. The Panthers opened a
four and a half point favorite. They are favored by
three and a half. This game will be played at
Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. It will be sunny
in fifty five degrees in the Carolinas at kickoff. I'm
gonna take the home team here, Carolina, and I don't
love it because of the hook, but I'm gonna take Carolina.
(09:26):
The Panthers, I would think, are still suffering from PTSD
after that horror show against the forty Niners last week.
It was a death plunge off a cliff of of
competition and they were right there in the slaughterhouse for
Kyle Allen to be that baffle. I know the Niners
have a good defense, but Kyle Allen was completely thunderstruck
(09:50):
in that game. That is I mean, that was his chance.
That was a chance. Now, I believe this week for
Carolina this is a redemption situation in the Titans are
not that great. They're an average NFL team. If Carolina
is an average NFL teams, I think there's an even matchup.
The Panthers have had nine touchdown drives that have lasted
under two minutes this season. That's that's more than any
(10:12):
other team in the NFL, which shows you are able
to quickly move the ball. They've also had some benefit
of turnovers, so it certainly helps when you don't have
to take that much time off the clock and go
down to score. Now, Tennessee got a gift a couple
of weeks ago against the Chargers when Melvin Gordon fumbled
at the goal line. And I understand they're not as
wretched with Ryan Tannehill under center. But let's not call
(10:36):
him some kind of virtuoso, some kind of genius quarterback.
He does not tip the scales from me. He's had
some beginner's luck against the Chargers and Buccaneers. You would
think Carolina is gonna be a more difficult game here.
I expect Kyle Allen to bounce back. I don't trust Tannehill.
It's gonna be a close game. I realized the Panthers
(10:58):
of the favorite here, but I say they get a
late touchdown and that's enough. Panthers Titans one Penny going
with Caroline as well. Be sure to catch live editions
of The Ben Miller Show weekdays at two am Eastern
eleven pm Pacific. Spenny Versus the Penny. Next up, Chicago
(11:19):
three and four at phil Delphia four and four. Alright,
guess n we're playing the Dick Stockton game. Is this
the Dick Stockton game? No, I don't think he Oh,
he can't be on this game? Is that your final
answer is? Yeah, it's my final answers. Not on this game.
You have failed the Dick stoctor. Dick Stockton and Mark
slay Wrath have the call on Fox from Philly, and
(11:41):
so Stockton will be eating a tasty cake in one
hand and a cheese steak and the other checking this
game out. The Eagles opened a three point favorite. You
see what the line is now, Yes, it's not it's
not pretty. It's well, it's gone up. It's if Philly
is favored by five? Why I know it mostly sunny
fifty one degrees at kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday.
(12:03):
I I'm taking the Bears here. I don't I don't
get this line. This is no. One of those points spreads.
I look at us and what they have for these people? Think? Now,
I understand Mitch Drabinsky is deep in the in the
weeds here and he's he's so upside down that did
you see the story the other day? He's decided to
study his game tape from the TV broadcast rather than
the All twenty two, which they normally watch. Maybe it's
(12:25):
because he wants to listen to a guy like Tony
Romo who's predicting plays and assignments, and he needs some
some extra help along the way. Shouldn't every quarterback know
that stuff? I mean, isn't that If you're a pro quarterback,
you should know that right thing? But there are certain
quarterbacks in the NFL that need the extra help. Well,
you do not have to be Adam Schefter, J Glazer
any in any other NFL insider to know that. This
(12:46):
tells you how out of whack the Bears quarterback is.
And Matt Naggy who gets shots thrown at him deservedly so,
and the rest of that Bears team they deserve better.
That franchise traded a hunch to get Mr Dbiski as
he highly ranked quarterback, and he has not lived up
to his end of the bargain. He is not. Now
(13:07):
that said, the reason, the real reason I'm taking the
Bears here is that defense, the defense of the real deal.
And Philadelphia. Here's a fun fact about the Eagles. Eagles
are four and oh this season. When they score at
least thirty points, they're oh and four when they don't
get to that mark. Do you think they're gonna score
thirty against the Chicago Bears. I do not. I do not.
And and and then there's also a lot of money on
(13:29):
Philly and I generally, when I can, I like to
be on the side of the bookmaker. I like to
be the side of the house. I think it's a
better side to be on. And the Eagles, I don't
trust them. They have been one of these teams so
far the five hundred. They'll take a step forward, take
two steps back, take two steps forward, take two steps back.
Helter skelter underperformers. He played spineless football against the Cowboys.
(13:51):
Then they come back to the thrown haymakers against the Bills.
It's been that kind of a jitterbug for them all
season long. So my theory is that they cannot handle
any prolonged sustained success. Uh you have a lot of
noise from the locker room. Carson wains is the he's
a better quarterback, but that in this Chicago's defense kind
(14:13):
of equals that out. Plus, this is a revenge you
look at the mental part of game. This is a
revenge spot for Chicago. How did they their season end
last year? They lost to Philadelphia in a double joint
kick in the playoffs. So there's a chance a little redemption.
Uh So I'm gonna take the Bears plus the points.
I think the Eagle's actually win it, but I'm gonna
take the Bears and the points. Eagles twenty seven, Bears
(14:34):
twenty six. This goes against everything you mentioned the earlier
podcast about momentum. There's no such thing. Pain is going
with the Philadelphia Eagles. Book it. Okay, you want to
bet like between us is men. Yeah we can like
the Bears plus five done Philidel Philadelphia wins. You owe
(14:56):
me a Phillip cheesteak. Yeah, all right, you coming to
the Mallar Mansion. No no, no no, no, no, no, I
actually want like something edible, something that's dead, not alive.
Let me tell something stupid. Okay, let me tell something
My homemade Philly cheese steak is better than a restaurant
Philly cheese. I don't live in South Philly, but I
(15:16):
have mastered you on many YouTube videos. I've watched people
making cheese steak authentic places in Philly. I will challenge
my cheese steak against any man, woman, or child in
the kitchen. So I would have to drive to Siberia
to Arizona to eat a Philly cheese steak. No, what's
wrong with that? I'll even give you one in a
(15:36):
doggie bag. No, you like dog food, We'll do you
Philly cheese steak from Fat Seals. How about that? Ye
wad like you just lost your bets? Wow. Fox Sports
Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation.
Catch all of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot
(15:58):
com and when in the I Heart Radio app, search
f s R to listen live. Wow. Wow. Alright, Minnesota
six and two at Canesa City five and three's on Fox.
You better watch. Kevin Burkhardt and Charles Davis, the voice
of Madden, have the call now. The Chiefs opened up
(16:18):
a three and a half point favorite. They are favorite
by two at this time. Kansas City, Everybody two it's
at Arrowheads, Sonny and fifty two kickoff in one of
my favorite cities, can Is City. So first of all,
I'm I'm gonna take the Vikings. This is a week
for Dalvin Cook to star, to be the leading man
the Chiefs run defense. To say it's bad isn't understand.
(16:40):
It's an abomination. Kansas City is thirtieth in yards allowed
per carry, So I would imagine since Mike Zimmer is
not a moron and at Dingleberry, he's gonna mix and
match a balanced offense, but a lean towards the running game.
And the Vikings have had some extra time to get
They played last Thursday against Washington, so a couple extra
(17:03):
days to get those cracks out of the body and
all that. It was a sloppy game, unforced errors there.
Statistically they played fine, but the eyeball test was not
very good for the Vikings. So I expect him to
play a more complete, cleaner game this week. And secondly,
I know Andy Reid at the time we're recording the
podcast has intimated that Patrick Mahomes could play. He's listed
(17:24):
as uncertain. I think there's no chance that Mahomes plays
in this game, so when I handicapped the game, I
handicapped the game believing that Matt Moore is going to
play and more was out of this world for the Chiefs,
all the planets aligned. In his debut, he was matching
Aaron Rodgers throw for throw for most of that game.
(17:46):
Some of that was, you say, beginner's luck. I do
think first time starters usually do pretty well historically after
not playing a long time. But I'm a big believer
in the purple people, eaters, defense, buy into at Vikings
are third in the NFL defensively, their tenth offensively as
far as scoring is concerned. So with no Mahomes, no
(18:09):
win for Casey, I'm taking the Vikings thirty in the
Chiefs twenty three. Penny going that way as well with Minnesota.
All right, next up the oh This is a big
game here, New York Jets one in six at the
Miami Dolphins all in seven. This is a big game. Yeah,
(18:32):
we need them to go to oh and eight the Dolphins. Yeah,
every year I root for a team to go perfect
in reverse. Yeah I like that too, That's that's I
get joy out of that. Also, so this is on CBS,
you imagine has to call this game on pigs. I'm
gonna say Spirodidas ding Nick Nick Nick Ning, Yeah, you win.
The Spirodidas game. Spirit is former voice of the Lakers
(18:53):
and the Knicks with Adam Archiletta, my old TV buddy,
and they will be calling this game. Good luck to them.
A lot of a lot of filler I'm imagining here,
but like you said, even the bad games have an
opportunity to make some money on I'm guessing a lot
of b roll from Don Shula and Joan Yeah, Joe Namath,
Mark Duper Yeah. All right, So the Jets opened up
(19:16):
a six and that point favorite. They're favorite by five.
Now typical Miami weather, thunderstorms, eighty five degrees that kickoff
at hard Rock Stadium in South Florida. I am going
to take oh boy, I'm gonna take the Dolphins here.
And now the reason I've been up, I've been bet
against the Dolphins all that the Dolphins have shown more
of a pulse lately than the Jets. They've actually covered
(19:37):
the last couple of games. And and now the way
the Dolphins playing lately, they scratched and claw for about
a half, about a half and then they go into
surrender mode like a French soldier, and they drop out
of site either in the third quarter of the fourth quarter,
like they did last week against uh Pittsburgh, where they
really only played well in the first quarter. They had
a fourteen nothing leading this that that game. But they
they've covered the last couple of games. This is I
(19:59):
would call the dysentery Bowl. I think that's a good
name for the dysenterry Bowl. Uh, there's no juice to it.
This should be broadcast on the dark web is where
it should be broadcast. Check this out. The Dolphins are
averaging eleven points per game. The Jets are averaging eleven
point one points per game, and they're the NFL's worst
(20:19):
scoring teams this season. The last time we got to
November or later and two teams averaging under twelve points
played each other was nineteen seventy two, almost fifty years ago,
when the Eagles and Oilers played About that. How perfect
(20:40):
nineteen seventy two last team that was undefeated as well.
Look at that Everything's people Patternicity by David Gista Patternicity. Uh,
Sam Donald has the yips. He's played like you know,
he's played like he's played like a cat on a
hot tin roof, anxious, unable to sit still, relax seeing
stuff that's not there. These teams both blow uh and
(21:02):
they're as good as the stuff on the floor of
a porta potty. But you gotta pick somebody. And I say,
this will just be the worst game on the world,
in the world. So I'm gonna take the points, figuring
it's a close game because the Jets also are gonna
be trying to screw this up. So Jets twelve Dolphins
ninepending going the other way with the Jets. Next up,
(21:24):
Indianapolis five and two at Pittsburgh. It's on CBS. I
An Eagle and Dan Fouts have the call. The game
opened up and pick them now a culture favored by
one and and this is a game that I went
back and forth on. Now. The weather is gonna be
mostly cloudy, thirty nine degrees at kickoff at Hines Field.
And this is one of the hardest games for me
(21:46):
to handicap. And I'll tell you what, all right, because
you look at it on the surface, you said, well,
you picked the Coals five and two Pittsburgh's three and four.
They were trailing at against the Dolphins for much of
that game. They didn't play well against Miami last week.
So it's easy, easy piece. Just take the Colts. That's it.
We're good. I'm done, see you later. Uh. And then
(22:07):
the more I looked at the numbers and I was
getting into the in the grass. Uh, not that kind
of grass, but the high grass. I said, now I
gotta go the other way. I don't, I gotta go.
I gotta take. I gotta take the Steelers here. So
I'm gonna take Pittsburgh. Now. The reason why the Colts,
they were supposed to have a top ten defense. They've
been slightly worse than that. They've won a lot of
these games. Um, Jacoby Bric has been better then I
(22:32):
thought he would be, and certainly better than Mason Root.
Rudolph As practiced systematic and competence. Certainly last week the
first half of that game against the Miami defense, he
was holding the ball for too long. He was his
throws were going all over the place. He had no
idea where the ball was going. Uh, you do that
this week and Indy will win easily. All right. Now,
(22:54):
that said, the Steelers secondary has impressed me, and I
would not have made the trade with the Dolphins. For
Macca Fitzpatrick, but he has played well. He has played well.
The other thing is the mental part of it, And
I do talk about this a lot, but I think
it's a key thing and it's been proven over the
years to work. Is that if you're a gambler, you
should know that you look for certain spots that traditionally
(23:15):
have worked out. And this is a much more important
game for Pittsburgh than it is for the Colts. The
Colts can lose this game. They're still in good shape,
they're fine, they're still in first place. Um, And so
the mental part of it for Pittsburgh, they have to
work their way back after starting horrifically and they're trying
to catch the Ravens. And the Ravens have a game
they're likely to lose this weekend against the New England
(23:36):
page which well handicapped that game later. So this is
a pretty good spot as far as the motivation factor.
And if you bet trends, you also love the Steelers.
The Colts have lost fourteen in the last fifteen games
in Pittsburgh and their last five games against the Steelers overall.
And the other thing here, the cherry on top of
the thing that pushed me over the cliff like a lemming.
(23:57):
The public has loaded up on Indie. This is one
of the most lopsided wager games as of the time
we're doing the podcast. People seem to think that this
is a Brinkx truck that was driving on the highway
and opened up and money was flying out, and you
get money, you get money, you get money, uh and
all that. I I don't trust the Colts. They've built
the tapestry of a good and bad team that lost
(24:20):
to the Raiders, barely won against Tennessee. So they're up
and down Steelers as a home dog even without Roethlisberger
and Antonio Brown and Levian Bell and all that. Steelers
twenty Colts seventeen penny going the other way, going with
Inde al right. Next up we get to the late
(24:43):
television window, the late games, the West Coast games where
you're dancing and dining pleasure, because that's how we roll
the late game. Uh. The first up, we have Detroit
three three and one and the oaklen Rights three and four.
It's on Fox with Tom Brenneman and Chris Spielman. I
thought this could be the Dick Stockton game when I
(25:03):
first looked at the card, but it was not. We
talked about that earlier. Uh, the game open to pick him.
The Raiders are a two point favorite. You know what
they call the Colisseum in Oakland now a toilet, Well
that's what they should call. They called the Ring Central Colosseum.
Did you know? I did not know that. Ye, it's
the It's the Rings Central Colosseum is what it is.
(25:24):
So I'm gonna take the the Lions in this game.
And I don't love this pick because I am going
with the public. But what looked like a promising start
has turned sour and bitter for John Gruden last couple
of weeks against Green Bay and Houston. Now the Raiders
actually have a home game, something they have not had
in like over a month, first time since the Bronze era,
(25:49):
and the other they have a quick turnaround. They played
the Thursday night game next week against the Charges. And
if you listen to this podcast and you've heard me
over the years, that's one of those things where teams
before they lay a Thursday night game often get caught
distracted looking ahead peek a boo. However, you want to say, uh,
you know, both these teams can move the ball. Both
(26:11):
these teams struggle to stop anyone, so it's very similar. Uh. Secondly,
Detroit's defense, I think we should highlight that they have
been biblically bad. They are thirty first in yards allowed
per games. Everyone is having a career day against the lines.
Derek Carr must be licking his chops right now. Only
(26:31):
the Bengals, who are oh and eight, have been worse,
and they're in a bye week this week. Only the
Bengals have been worse than the Lions. There's bad tackling,
bad fundamentals. And Matt Patricia was hired not only because
he's a rocket scientist, but he's a defensive rocket scientists.
How's that working? You got out the players. However, it's
not like the Raiders have been much better. The Raiders
(26:53):
are twenty five in total defense. So this game has
tracked meat. Might as well be played at the Olympic
Village because it's gonna be that kind of game. The Raiders. Also,
they don't play the Lions very often. They last beat
the Lions in nineteen nineties six. You know who was
the player that the Raiders stopped on the Lions to
(27:13):
win that game. I'm gonna say Barry Sanders. Yeah, they
helped Barry Sanders to thirty six yards in that game.
And you know who the Raider quarterback was in Uh,
I'm gonna say it's Jeff Hostel. Wow, you love your Raiders.
Jeff Hosteller through four touchdowns for the Raiders in that game. Anyway,
that's in the past, that's the history Channel, Lions thirty eight,
(27:37):
Writers thirty four. That's gonna be a fun game, and
I shouldn't be. Penny is going with the Oakland Raiders
fun game if you bet the over. Of course, everyone's
gonna betting the over Gascon, which means the game will
be like sixteen or something like that. It always happens,
all right. Next up on Fox, it's Tampa Bay two
and five at Seattle six and two Kenny Albert and
(28:01):
Ronde Barber. Kenny Albert friend of the show, A friend
of me. Not you guys? Can we can we do
an introduction? You know, I don't know. I think about it.
Who have you introduced me to? Uh? Introduced you to
the Chief? Yeah, but I've never actually physically met him.
I talked him on the phone one time. I've never
been to shake his hand. Yeah, it's not really a fit.
(28:23):
I talked to people on the phone all the time,
but it's not really meeting them press the flash man. Yeah,
all right. Anyway, So Kenny Albert Rodney Barber. The Seahawks
opened a five and a half point favorite. They are
favored now by six. Every body six. This is at
Century Link Field in Seattle, cloudy and fifty three degrees
(28:44):
no rain though at kickoff. Anyway, I'm gonna take the
Bucketeers in this game, and I'll tell you why. Seattle.
They gave up the back door coverage of the Falcons.
They had a twenty four nothing lead. How about this,
and I had I had Seattle. I lost that game.
Last one I lost is that at twenty four Nothingly,
they let Matt shob take a butcher knife, all right
(29:06):
and swashbuckle his way through a machete and slice them
up in garbage time. To me, that's a bad sign.
He didn't just do that. He threw for over fogs
that defense. I think it was like four sixties. I
think it was the most yards ever against the Seattle defense. Awful. Yeah,
So the last three weeks, the Seahawks have the NFL's
worst run defense. In addition, they're allowing five point six
(29:30):
yards per carry. That's not that's not the recipe to
blow a team out or at least win by a touchdown.
Now that I don't disagree that Russell Wilson should tee
off against the thirty first ranked past defense of Tampa Bay.
So I'm thinking this is gonna be similar to the
Lions and the Raiders, where it's gonna be a shootout
(29:50):
type of game. But you've also got the peak a boat.
Uh in the Seattle they got a mammoth game, especially
depending on what happened in the third day night game.
Next week Seattle plays the forty Niners. That is a
showcase jewel game. That is a big time divisional game
for them. I'm thinking, you know, a little little bit,
(30:13):
just maybe like five percent. They're looking ahead and you
don't really get up for Tampa Bay. The Buck's biggest
issue has been obviously turnovers, and when you bet on
Tampa Bay, you are you are praying and hoping that
the football gods allowed Jamis Winston to stop being the baker,
because he should open a bakery, right. He's one of
the that cooks up more turnovers than anyone but but Winston.
(30:36):
I have noticed that he rarely has back to back
stink bombs, Like he'll have a horrific game where he
gets killed on sports radio and then he will rebound
typically after that. So if this trend continues, last week
he was a ridiculously bad quarterback, I expect him to
play better. And the Buccaneers, they have. Their run defense
(30:59):
is not the problem. They can't stop the past, but
they've been number one in the NFL the last a
few weeks. It's stopping the run. Seattle is mostly a
running team. They like to say that they're a passing team,
but they're mostly a running team. And the Buccaneers have
been a better team on the road. In fact, both
their winds have come on the road. Last time they
were on the West Coast, they curb stopped the Rams.
(31:20):
Unfortunately for me and Seattle. If you look at their losses,
both their losses happened on their home field. So I
feel like this line is too big, too inflated. I'm
gonna take the Seahawks to win, but not cover. Seahawks thirty,
Buccaneers twenty six. Depending on the other way. At the
(31:41):
home team, Seattle, you're listening to Benny versus the Penny,
but you already knew that. Next up, Cleveland two and
five at Denver two and six is on CBS with
Kevin Harlan and Rich Get. I give Kevin Harlan credit.
Kevin Harland is like the Kenny Albert of CBS. He's
all over the place doing radio broadcast s on Monday
Night NBA games for T n T. He's all over me.
(32:04):
He's host. Can you give up some of those gigs,
you guest? Can Harlan give some of those up? I
think his games a little too high profile for me.
Have some confidence, you loserat JUP. I have confidence, but
just as good as Kevin Harlan, you just haven't been
given the opportunity. It's kind of a nice compliment he
paid for me. Make sure you edit that out of
the podcast. Keep in mind, though, guscan my my radio tree.
(32:26):
The Mallard Radio Tree includes an NBA play by play voice,
Alan Horton radio voice in the minist of filled in
on the Ben Maller Show before he went on to
be a big time NBA broadcaster. So I want you
to know that I have a tie to broadcasting success.
That's good. I was hoping you wouldn't say, like the
Bill Belichick tree of let's move on Cleveland two and
(32:49):
five at Denver two and six, as we said Brown's. Eventually,
the Broncos were favorite by a point. Browns are favorite
by three Parley Sonny forty seven at kickoff off at
empower Field at Mile High. I'm taking the Browns. This
is should be a show up win situation for the Browns. Uh.
They can't screw this up right now? Now? Would that
(33:10):
be something if if they did? Sure, and Baker mayfields
a mess and he leads to the NFL and interceptions
and all that stuff. In fact, he's throwing an interception
in eight straight games. No other quarterback has a streak
of more than three. Uh. That said, I do trust
Nick Chubb to to do well against the Broncos defense.
But this is let's not kid ourselves. This is more
of a bet against Brandon Allen, third string quarterback taking
(33:32):
over for Joe Flacco. I would have been on the
Browns anyway if Flacco had played. I liked the game
more because Alan is playing. I would think the Broncos,
who have a dinged up offensive line, are gonna have
night tremors from Miles Garrett, who's gonna wreck havoc on
that front line for the Broncos. Brown's twenty Broncos ten
(33:54):
homer alert for the penny. She's going with the Broncos. Alright,
Green Bay seven and one, the l A Chargers three
and I it's on CBS. Jim Nancy, Tony Romo are
going to a soccer stadium to call a game. I'm
sure they're excited about that. Packers opened up a four
point favorite, their favorite by three and a half. It'll
be sunny seventy one at kick off at Dignity Health
Sports Park. I'm gonna take the home team, which is
(34:18):
the Green Bay Packer. Is there really this is a
really home game for them? Uh? First of all, Aaron
Rodgers has jump started his season now, he's he's got
it going. He didn't get it going early, and he
got to go against the Charger defense that has struggled
to slow down in recent weeks. The likes of Ryan
Tannehill a couple of weeks ago, plus Green Bay could
it sounds like they're gonna get Davante Adams back at
least at the time we're doing this. He did practice
(34:41):
I know on Thursday, supposedly in full so it looks
like Davante Adams will come back. Secondly, the Chargers home stadium,
you know it's gonna be called Lambo by the Sea. Uh.
You got that sea breeze at that that stadium in Carson, California,
been there before for games. Uh, It's gonna be a
sea of green, pure green. This will be the ninth
home game for the Cheeseheads and the Cheese Kurds. Uh. Now,
(35:03):
l A has a lot of flaws since Melvin Gordon returned.
The Chargers are averaging thirty five rushing yards per game,
two point two yards per care. They suck and Philip
rivers right twelve touchdown passes, the fewest he's thrown in
the first eight games in almost a decade, and they're
throwing interceptions in recent games. I mean, everything indicates the
(35:26):
to go the way of the Packers. The only thing
that scares me mildly is Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram
messing up Aaron Rodgers. And that could screw you up.
But you can't handicap that Packers thirty one Chargers penny
with the Packers as well, all Right, Sunday Night Football,
New England eight and O at Baltimore five and two.
(35:47):
It's on n b C with Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth.
Now the game open Packers or Patriots rather by six
and a half. Their favored by three and a half.
So there's been a line adjustment. There'll be forty five agrees.
The House that Sports with Coleman built at M and
T Bank Stadium in Baltimore and clear, I'm taking the Patriots.
(36:07):
I'm not a dope. I'm taking the Patriots as a
small home favorite. Uh. First of all, Belichick, you know,
tortured Lamar Jackson. And I want to point out everyone
says Lamar's may become this this great quarterback. Let me
tell you something. The first two weeks, Lamar Jackson had
seven touchdowns, no interceptions, had a passer rating of forty
five against a couple of cream puffs Miami and Arizona.
(36:29):
Since then, the rest of the season, Lamar Jackson's got
four touchdowns and five interceptions, passing a passer rating below eighty.
He has been worse than Baker Mayfield in some statistics
since the first couple of games of the year, and
now He's averaged more rushing yards than passing yards the
last five weeks against mostly non playoff teams. While the
(36:50):
Patriots said listen, they played the easiest schedule in the NFL,
everyone loves to point that out. Well, spoiler alert, the
Ravens have played the fourth easiest schedule in the NFL,
so both these teams have feasted on tomato cans. Secondly,
if Baltimore had a better defense, I can make the
argument to take the pages because the Patriots are offensively challenged,
but they don't. They have the middle of the pack defense.
(37:11):
These aren't your daddy's Ravens and pretty generic generic brand
nineteenth In total defense, the key is obviously the Patriots
messing up the passing of Lamar Jackson. Tom Brady will
just do enough at this point in his forties to
get enough out of it. The Patriots have limited weaponry
and all that, I expect Mohammed Sanu to play better
(37:33):
this week. Patriots on the Road guest on twenty four
Ravens thirteen day Go with the Patriots, Well, last one,
all right? Last game? Monday Night Football Dallas four and
three at the Giants two and six is on ESPN
Joe test It tore your favorite guy and Booker McFarland
(37:54):
have the call. I know you're excited about that. And
the Cowboys opened at nine point favorite about them Cowboys
nine point favorite. Cowboys are favorite now by seven at
MetLife Stadium in Jersey. It'll be partly cloudy forty nine
at kick off on Monday night. That's the forecast. I'm
gonna take the Giants here a couple of reasons why. Hey,
(38:17):
Daniel Jones has been, as advertised rookie quarterback pretty much
terrible most of the time. He leads the NFL with
six lost fumbles seven interceptions. So I'm taking the Giants
because you gotta think that this is a peak a
booze situation as all right. The you look at the
high profile game coming up for the Cowboys, a match
(38:40):
up with the Vikings and Sunday Night Football, and even
though this is a rivalry Giants and Cowboys, and the
Giants and no A, no good. The Cowboys have a
marginal pass rush, they don't have a great secondary. There
is an opportunity here to hang around and you're getting
a touchdown in this game, which is a lot of
(39:02):
value and be the the dak Prescott thing heat t
off on the Giants back in week one, and much
like Lamar Jackson got off to a great start and
has become tumbling back to Earth like a failed satellite
and Dakota Prescott last four weeks three touchdown, five interceptions
(39:23):
of passer rating of eight six. He's right in the
middle of the bell curve. He's average almost any time
you get over seven points, almost any not always, almost
any time over seven in advisional game, you don't ask questions.
You take the points and you're like, I'm happy. I'm happy, happy, happy,
happy happy. I'm a happy hippo, and I'm gonna do
(39:44):
that right now. Cowboys will win, but will not cover.
He's surprisingly somewhat competitive. Monday night football game, Go figure
Cowboys twenty six, Giants twenty three, depending with the Giants
as well. Uh all right, that's a wrap, a shorter
version of the benny versus the penny. We were hurried up,
(40:06):
gascon kept turning me up. Giddy up, giddy up, getty up,
getty up, getty up, giddy up, getty up, getty up. Yeah.
So anyway, uh, we thank you for listening, enjoy the games,
Good luck, win a lot of money, think of us.
If you want a lot of money. If you lose
a lot of money, don't think of us at all.
Enjoy your weekend. We're back on the radio talking about
all these games and what actually happened, what not, what
we thought is gonna happen on Sunday night in the
(40:28):
Monday on the Overnight Show two am in the East
on Monday, eleven pm in the West on Sunday Night.
We'll catch you then, have a great weekend.
Welcome players, You're welcome. Are It's time now Benny Versus
the Penny? That it is. It is week nine in
the NFL. You're gambling analysis here on the Magic podcast
Box and its entirety Benny versus the Penny. Now we
(00:22):
will not talk about the Cincinnati Bengals, the Atlanta Falcons,
the Los Angeles Rams, or the New Orleans Saints. They
are all on a bye week. But everyone else either
has played like that Thursday night game earlier this week
with Santa Clara and Arizona UH, and a bunch of
games obviously coming up Sunday and Monday as well. And
(00:43):
the Penny is represented by Gascon David Gascon. And before
we look ahead, we must look back. Gascon, another winning
week for me, another plus week against the spread picking
NFL games. I believe I one no. Nine, that is correct,
nine games. You won nine. And I have to ask,
(01:05):
because this has been on the front of my mind
the last couple of weeks, but has this been the
best start you've ever had in Benny Versus the Penny? Uh?
You know you've asked me that before. I know you
have asked me that pretty much every week. You asked
me the same question because you have nothing else to ask.
But I, I, uh, I am very enthusiastic that I
(01:26):
have done this well. I am flattered. I feel like
I've finally figured it out after all these years. But
I have to say that it is my most sustained
success that I have enjoyed handicapping NFL games. I just
want to point out again I want to remind people
as a disclaimer, Gaston, since gambling is happening more and
(01:48):
more here that the way this works, I give advice
on every game. I'd spend a lot of time, way
too much time. It's one of my hobbies handicapping these games.
So the way I I designed the po podcast here
is if you you should do your own homework, and
then if you agree with what I say, if we
were on the same page and I think that's a game,
you should probably better. Um. But as with everything, money
(02:10):
management is very important. Try to avoid the sucker bets.
A lot of people love the sucker bets with the
parlay you know, seven team parlay's and all that stuff,
but I I generally do not. And so anyway, that's
that's my advice. All right, all right, we got we've
got plenty of games. I know the Santa Clara Arizona
game last night. Yeah, so let's do this thing, all right,
(02:32):
let's do it. We'll do it. We'll start with Houston
five and three at Jacksonville four and four. This is
a London game at Wembley Stadium in London, and it
will start at nine thirty in the morning Eastern Standard Time,
which means on the West Coast where we broadcast from
six thirty in the morning. Sweet baby Jesus, I hope
(02:53):
that game goes well. I will not be watching. Uh.
And it's it's not on the networks. They used to
put these games on the networks. But it's on NFL network,
not on a you know, CBS, Fox or NBC. Uh No,
it is on the NFL network. They're flying over Rich Eisen,
Kurt Warner, Steve Mariucci, and Michael Irvin. It takes four
people to brought a four man booth for Houston and Jacksonville. Now,
(03:17):
the Texans opened up a three point favorite. They're favored
by one. It's gonna be cloudy in fifty three degrees
at kickoff at Wembley Stadium in London, and the pick
is in. I'm gonna take Jacksonville this game. I feel
like the wrong team is favorite here. The Texans have
been an up and down team, but more importantly, they
have been ripped apart at their soul with injury. I'm
(03:42):
talking about not only J. J. Watt, who's out for
the year yet again stopped me if you've heard that before,
but there's other players in the second year they are
also dinged up. And and I'm looking out at Gardner
Minshew Mania and this has a set up for jackson
with the public is loading up on Houston like they're
(04:02):
the Patriots or something like that, and they're not. Uh,
Jacksonville is being underappreciated here. And you know they often
say that matchups make fights, right, Jacksonville's defensive front against
the revolving doors of the Houston Texans offensive line. You
toss in Deshaun Watson, who's like a bad water heater.
(04:23):
The water you don't know whether the hot water is
cold or hot, and it goes from hot to cold
and cold. I mean, it's just it's a week to week.
And let's not forget last time he played Jacksonville, he
passed for a hundred and fifty nine yards and lost
two fumbles and Jacksonville would have won the game on
a two point conversion they didn't convert at the end.
In addition to that, if you saw the World serious
(04:44):
this week, Deshaun Watson was invited to Game seven. He
couldn't move, couldn't go to the game. Why his eye
was so mutilated when he got stepped on in the
game against the Raiders that he had to cancel that
World Series appearance to treat his wounded eye. Good luck
on that. And it's a London game. I know, weird
things happen in London, but Jacksonville goes there every year.
(05:05):
That's their one of the home stadiums. Jags twenty four
or actually Jacks twenty six, Texans twenty Ben Penning's going
the other way, going with Houston. Yeah, it's a bad pick.
I mean one an old boom gune for me. I
don't know about that. Be sure to catch live editions
of The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern
(05:28):
eleven pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I
Heart Radio app al Right next up Washington one in
seven at Buffalo five and two, It's on Fox. Do
you want to play the Dick Stockton game. Since you
brought it up? Is this the Dick Stockton game? No,
it is not the Stockton Yeah, Chris Myers and Darryl
(05:50):
Moose Johnston have the call my former colleague are Fox
Sports Radio? No Christian? Christian? I know that now you don't? Yeah?
I forgot. And Bills opened up a ten point favorite,
their favorite by nine and a half. It'll be cloudy
in thirty nine degrees at kickoff at New Era of
Field and Orchard Park, New York. And I figured we're
getting into November this weekend. What are we a couple
(06:13):
of weeks away from possible blizzard lake Lake effects snow
hitting a Bill's home game always fun. I don't know
it's about to dip below seventy here in Los Angeles.
So I've got my jacket about you, all right, I'm
gonna take the Redskins in this game. And here's why.
First of all, the Bills to me get downgraded a
couple of notches after a rather las a fair pathetic
(06:35):
effort on all fronts against the Eagles. So contender pretender
this debate. I have them more in the pretender category.
And how many terrible games does this Josh Allen have
to play before his fair game to highlight his quarterback
in competence. Allen's the twenty eight ranked quarterback in the NFL.
(06:56):
Only Baker Mayfield has been worse among quarterbacks that have
start at all season. Now, the saving graces for Buffalo
has been the defense, and the Bills have held opponents
to under four undred yards going back nineteen consecutive games,
so that obviously predates this season, last couple of years
for that Buffalo defense, just the longest active streak in
the NFL. And we know the Redskins have some issues.
(07:18):
And the Redskins haven't even generated four hundred yards of
offense in twenty three straight games. I believe that is
the longest for that franchise in like fifteen plus years
or something like that. But anyway, I am taking the
Redskins here, and this game is about running backs. You know,
the game is not at that attractive when the marquis
says that this is gonna this game is gonna pick
(07:39):
two of the top six rushers all time in NFL history,
Frank Gore and Adrian Peterson. This is the first time
in NFL history that two players over thirteen thousand, five
hundred career rushing yards have gone head to head. Uh,
and that tells you there's nothing else to talk about.
But as long as case Keenom's playing, and the word
is he's going to play from what I heard, So
as long the Keendom's playing over the compass, I'll take
(08:03):
him over the compass, Rose Josh Allen uh. And so
all the Redskins have to do is kind of keep
it close. The Bills aren't gonna score a lot of
points even against a bad Redskins defense. The Redskins have
actually been playing better of late than the team in Buffalo.
Think about that for a second. I mean they won one. Uh,
they did beat the Dolphins, but they played the forty
(08:25):
niners and even though it's a rain game, they only
lost that game nine and nothing. That the Vikings were
the appointed last week, the Redskins matched them punch for
punch until case Keendom got hurt, and that was in Minnesota.
So I'm gonna take the road team Buffalo. I love
getting the points. Certainly in this spot, you gotta take it.
(08:46):
Bills will win, but they won't cover. Bills twenty, Redskins thirteen.
Penny's going with the Bills. Here we go, Buffalo, Here
we go Buffalo. All right, NFC four and four at
Carolina four and three. It's on CBS with Greg Gumble
(09:06):
and Trent Green on the call. The Panthers opened a
four and a half point favorite. They are favored by
three and a half. This game will be played at
Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. It will be sunny
in fifty five degrees in the Carolinas at kickoff. I'm
gonna take the home team here, Carolina, and I don't
love it because of the hook, but I'm gonna take Carolina.
(09:26):
The Panthers, I would think, are still suffering from PTSD
after that horror show against the forty Niners last week.
It was a death plunge off a cliff of of
competition and they were right there in the slaughterhouse for
Kyle Allen to be that baffle. I know the Niners
have a good defense, but Kyle Allen was completely thunderstruck
(09:50):
in that game. That is I mean, that was his chance.
That was a chance. Now, I believe this week for
Carolina this is a redemption situation in the Titans are
not that great. They're an average NFL team. If Carolina
is an average NFL teams, I think there's an even matchup.
The Panthers have had nine touchdown drives that have lasted
under two minutes this season. That's that's more than any
(10:12):
other team in the NFL, which shows you are able
to quickly move the ball. They've also had some benefit
of turnovers, so it certainly helps when you don't have
to take that much time off the clock and go
down to score. Now, Tennessee got a gift a couple
of weeks ago against the Chargers when Melvin Gordon fumbled
at the goal line. And I understand they're not as
wretched with Ryan Tannehill under center. But let's not call
(10:36):
him some kind of virtuoso, some kind of genius quarterback.
He does not tip the scales from me. He's had
some beginner's luck against the Chargers and Buccaneers. You would
think Carolina is gonna be a more difficult game here.
I expect Kyle Allen to bounce back. I don't trust Tannehill.
It's gonna be a close game. I realized the Panthers
(10:58):
of the favorite here, but I say they get a
late touchdown and that's enough. Panthers Titans one Penny going
with Caroline as well. Be sure to catch live editions
of The Ben Miller Show weekdays at two am Eastern
eleven pm Pacific. Spenny Versus the Penny. Next up, Chicago
(11:19):
three and four at phil Delphia four and four. Alright,
guess n we're playing the Dick Stockton game. Is this
the Dick Stockton game? No, I don't think he Oh,
he can't be on this game? Is that your final
answer is? Yeah, it's my final answers. Not on this game.
You have failed the Dick stoctor. Dick Stockton and Mark
slay Wrath have the call on Fox from Philly, and
(11:41):
so Stockton will be eating a tasty cake in one
hand and a cheese steak and the other checking this
game out. The Eagles opened a three point favorite. You
see what the line is now, Yes, it's not it's
not pretty. It's well, it's gone up. It's if Philly
is favored by five? Why I know it mostly sunny
fifty one degrees at kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday.
(12:03):
I I'm taking the Bears here. I don't I don't
get this line. This is no. One of those points spreads.
I look at us and what they have for these people? Think? Now,
I understand Mitch Drabinsky is deep in the in the
weeds here and he's he's so upside down that did
you see the story the other day? He's decided to
study his game tape from the TV broadcast rather than
the All twenty two, which they normally watch. Maybe it's
(12:25):
because he wants to listen to a guy like Tony
Romo who's predicting plays and assignments, and he needs some
some extra help along the way. Shouldn't every quarterback know
that stuff? I mean, isn't that If you're a pro quarterback,
you should know that right thing? But there are certain
quarterbacks in the NFL that need the extra help. Well,
you do not have to be Adam Schefter, J Glazer
any in any other NFL insider to know that. This
(12:46):
tells you how out of whack the Bears quarterback is.
And Matt Naggy who gets shots thrown at him deservedly so,
and the rest of that Bears team they deserve better.
That franchise traded a hunch to get Mr Dbiski as
he highly ranked quarterback, and he has not lived up
to his end of the bargain. He is not. Now
(13:07):
that said, the reason, the real reason I'm taking the
Bears here is that defense, the defense of the real deal.
And Philadelphia. Here's a fun fact about the Eagles. Eagles
are four and oh this season. When they score at
least thirty points, they're oh and four when they don't
get to that mark. Do you think they're gonna score
thirty against the Chicago Bears. I do not. I do not.
And and and then there's also a lot of money on
(13:29):
Philly and I generally, when I can, I like to
be on the side of the bookmaker. I like to
be the side of the house. I think it's a
better side to be on. And the Eagles, I don't
trust them. They have been one of these teams so
far the five hundred. They'll take a step forward, take
two steps back, take two steps forward, take two steps back.
Helter skelter underperformers. He played spineless football against the Cowboys.
(13:51):
Then they come back to the thrown haymakers against the Bills.
It's been that kind of a jitterbug for them all
season long. So my theory is that they cannot handle
any prolonged sustained success. Uh you have a lot of
noise from the locker room. Carson wains is the he's
a better quarterback, but that in this Chicago's defense kind
(14:13):
of equals that out. Plus, this is a revenge you
look at the mental part of game. This is a
revenge spot for Chicago. How did they their season end
last year? They lost to Philadelphia in a double joint
kick in the playoffs. So there's a chance a little redemption.
Uh So I'm gonna take the Bears plus the points.
I think the Eagle's actually win it, but I'm gonna
take the Bears and the points. Eagles twenty seven, Bears
(14:34):
twenty six. This goes against everything you mentioned the earlier
podcast about momentum. There's no such thing. Pain is going
with the Philadelphia Eagles. Book it. Okay, you want to
bet like between us is men. Yeah we can like
the Bears plus five done Philidel Philadelphia wins. You owe
(14:56):
me a Phillip cheesteak. Yeah, all right, you coming to
the Mallar Mansion. No no, no no, no, no, no, I
actually want like something edible, something that's dead, not alive.
Let me tell something stupid. Okay, let me tell something
My homemade Philly cheese steak is better than a restaurant
Philly cheese. I don't live in South Philly, but I
(15:16):
have mastered you on many YouTube videos. I've watched people
making cheese steak authentic places in Philly. I will challenge
my cheese steak against any man, woman, or child in
the kitchen. So I would have to drive to Siberia
to Arizona to eat a Philly cheese steak. No, what's
wrong with that? I'll even give you one in a
(15:36):
doggie bag. No, you like dog food, We'll do you
Philly cheese steak from Fat Seals. How about that? Ye
wad like you just lost your bets? Wow. Fox Sports
Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation.
Catch all of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot
(15:58):
com and when in the I Heart Radio app, search
f s R to listen live. Wow. Wow. Alright, Minnesota
six and two at Canesa City five and three's on Fox.
You better watch. Kevin Burkhardt and Charles Davis, the voice
of Madden, have the call now. The Chiefs opened up
(16:18):
a three and a half point favorite. They are favorite
by two at this time. Kansas City, Everybody two it's
at Arrowheads, Sonny and fifty two kickoff in one of
my favorite cities, can Is City. So first of all,
I'm I'm gonna take the Vikings. This is a week
for Dalvin Cook to star, to be the leading man
the Chiefs run defense. To say it's bad isn't understand.
(16:40):
It's an abomination. Kansas City is thirtieth in yards allowed
per carry, So I would imagine since Mike Zimmer is
not a moron and at Dingleberry, he's gonna mix and
match a balanced offense, but a lean towards the running game.
And the Vikings have had some extra time to get
They played last Thursday against Washington, so a couple extra
(17:03):
days to get those cracks out of the body and
all that. It was a sloppy game, unforced errors there.
Statistically they played fine, but the eyeball test was not
very good for the Vikings. So I expect him to
play a more complete, cleaner game this week. And secondly,
I know Andy Reid at the time we're recording the
podcast has intimated that Patrick Mahomes could play. He's listed
(17:24):
as uncertain. I think there's no chance that Mahomes plays
in this game, so when I handicapped the game, I
handicapped the game believing that Matt Moore is going to
play and more was out of this world for the Chiefs,
all the planets aligned. In his debut, he was matching
Aaron Rodgers throw for throw for most of that game.
(17:46):
Some of that was, you say, beginner's luck. I do
think first time starters usually do pretty well historically after
not playing a long time. But I'm a big believer
in the purple people, eaters, defense, buy into at Vikings
are third in the NFL defensively, their tenth offensively as
far as scoring is concerned. So with no Mahomes, no
(18:09):
win for Casey, I'm taking the Vikings thirty in the
Chiefs twenty three. Penny going that way as well with Minnesota.
All right, next up the oh This is a big
game here, New York Jets one in six at the
Miami Dolphins all in seven. This is a big game. Yeah,
(18:32):
we need them to go to oh and eight the Dolphins. Yeah,
every year I root for a team to go perfect
in reverse. Yeah I like that too, That's that's I
get joy out of that. Also, so this is on CBS,
you imagine has to call this game on pigs. I'm
gonna say Spirodidas ding Nick Nick Nick Ning, Yeah, you win.
The Spirodidas game. Spirit is former voice of the Lakers
(18:53):
and the Knicks with Adam Archiletta, my old TV buddy,
and they will be calling this game. Good luck to them.
A lot of a lot of filler I'm imagining here,
but like you said, even the bad games have an
opportunity to make some money on I'm guessing a lot
of b roll from Don Shula and Joan Yeah, Joe Namath,
Mark Duper Yeah. All right, So the Jets opened up
(19:16):
a six and that point favorite. They're favorite by five.
Now typical Miami weather, thunderstorms, eighty five degrees that kickoff
at hard Rock Stadium in South Florida. I am going
to take oh boy, I'm gonna take the Dolphins here.
And now the reason I've been up, I've been bet
against the Dolphins all that the Dolphins have shown more
of a pulse lately than the Jets. They've actually covered
(19:37):
the last couple of games. And and now the way
the Dolphins playing lately, they scratched and claw for about
a half, about a half and then they go into
surrender mode like a French soldier, and they drop out
of site either in the third quarter of the fourth quarter,
like they did last week against uh Pittsburgh, where they
really only played well in the first quarter. They had
a fourteen nothing leading this that that game. But they
they've covered the last couple of games. This is I
(19:59):
would call the dysentery Bowl. I think that's a good
name for the dysenterry Bowl. Uh, there's no juice to it.
This should be broadcast on the dark web is where
it should be broadcast. Check this out. The Dolphins are
averaging eleven points per game. The Jets are averaging eleven
point one points per game, and they're the NFL's worst
(20:19):
scoring teams this season. The last time we got to
November or later and two teams averaging under twelve points
played each other was nineteen seventy two, almost fifty years ago,
when the Eagles and Oilers played About that. How perfect
(20:40):
nineteen seventy two last team that was undefeated as well.
Look at that Everything's people Patternicity by David Gista Patternicity. Uh,
Sam Donald has the yips. He's played like you know,
he's played like he's played like a cat on a
hot tin roof, anxious, unable to sit still, relax seeing
stuff that's not there. These teams both blow uh and
(21:02):
they're as good as the stuff on the floor of
a porta potty. But you gotta pick somebody. And I say,
this will just be the worst game on the world,
in the world. So I'm gonna take the points, figuring
it's a close game because the Jets also are gonna
be trying to screw this up. So Jets twelve Dolphins
ninepending going the other way with the Jets. Next up,
(21:24):
Indianapolis five and two at Pittsburgh. It's on CBS. I
An Eagle and Dan Fouts have the call. The game
opened up and pick them now a culture favored by
one and and this is a game that I went
back and forth on. Now. The weather is gonna be
mostly cloudy, thirty nine degrees at kickoff at Hines Field.
And this is one of the hardest games for me
(21:46):
to handicap. And I'll tell you what, all right, because
you look at it on the surface, you said, well,
you picked the Coals five and two Pittsburgh's three and four.
They were trailing at against the Dolphins for much of
that game. They didn't play well against Miami last week.
So it's easy, easy piece. Just take the Colts. That's it.
We're good. I'm done, see you later. Uh. And then
(22:07):
the more I looked at the numbers and I was
getting into the in the grass. Uh, not that kind
of grass, but the high grass. I said, now I
gotta go the other way. I don't, I gotta go.
I gotta take. I gotta take the Steelers here. So
I'm gonna take Pittsburgh. Now. The reason why the Colts,
they were supposed to have a top ten defense. They've
been slightly worse than that. They've won a lot of
these games. Um, Jacoby Bric has been better then I
(22:32):
thought he would be, and certainly better than Mason Root.
Rudolph As practiced systematic and competence. Certainly last week the
first half of that game against the Miami defense, he
was holding the ball for too long. He was his
throws were going all over the place. He had no
idea where the ball was going. Uh, you do that
this week and Indy will win easily. All right. Now,
(22:54):
that said, the Steelers secondary has impressed me, and I
would not have made the trade with the Dolphins. For
Macca Fitzpatrick, but he has played well. He has played well.
The other thing is the mental part of it, And
I do talk about this a lot, but I think
it's a key thing and it's been proven over the
years to work. Is that if you're a gambler, you
should know that you look for certain spots that traditionally
(23:15):
have worked out. And this is a much more important
game for Pittsburgh than it is for the Colts. The
Colts can lose this game. They're still in good shape,
they're fine, they're still in first place. Um, And so
the mental part of it for Pittsburgh, they have to
work their way back after starting horrifically and they're trying
to catch the Ravens. And the Ravens have a game
they're likely to lose this weekend against the New England
(23:36):
page which well handicapped that game later. So this is
a pretty good spot as far as the motivation factor.
And if you bet trends, you also love the Steelers.
The Colts have lost fourteen in the last fifteen games
in Pittsburgh and their last five games against the Steelers overall.
And the other thing here, the cherry on top of
the thing that pushed me over the cliff like a lemming.
(23:57):
The public has loaded up on Indie. This is one
of the most lopsided wager games as of the time
we're doing the podcast. People seem to think that this
is a Brinkx truck that was driving on the highway
and opened up and money was flying out, and you
get money, you get money, you get money, uh and
all that. I I don't trust the Colts. They've built
the tapestry of a good and bad team that lost
(24:20):
to the Raiders, barely won against Tennessee. So they're up
and down Steelers as a home dog even without Roethlisberger
and Antonio Brown and Levian Bell and all that. Steelers
twenty Colts seventeen penny going the other way, going with
Inde al right. Next up we get to the late
(24:43):
television window, the late games, the West Coast games where
you're dancing and dining pleasure, because that's how we roll
the late game. Uh. The first up, we have Detroit
three three and one and the oaklen Rights three and four.
It's on Fox with Tom Brenneman and Chris Spielman. I
thought this could be the Dick Stockton game when I
(25:03):
first looked at the card, but it was not. We
talked about that earlier. Uh, the game open to pick him.
The Raiders are a two point favorite. You know what
they call the Colisseum in Oakland now a toilet, Well
that's what they should call. They called the Ring Central Colosseum.
Did you know? I did not know that. Ye, it's
the It's the Rings Central Colosseum is what it is.
(25:24):
So I'm gonna take the the Lions in this game.
And I don't love this pick because I am going
with the public. But what looked like a promising start
has turned sour and bitter for John Gruden last couple
of weeks against Green Bay and Houston. Now the Raiders
actually have a home game, something they have not had
in like over a month, first time since the Bronze era,
(25:49):
and the other they have a quick turnaround. They played
the Thursday night game next week against the Charges. And
if you listen to this podcast and you've heard me
over the years, that's one of those things where teams
before they lay a Thursday night game often get caught
distracted looking ahead peek a boo. However, you want to say, uh,
you know, both these teams can move the ball. Both
(26:11):
these teams struggle to stop anyone, so it's very similar. Uh. Secondly,
Detroit's defense, I think we should highlight that they have
been biblically bad. They are thirty first in yards allowed
per games. Everyone is having a career day against the lines.
Derek Carr must be licking his chops right now. Only
(26:31):
the Bengals, who are oh and eight, have been worse,
and they're in a bye week this week. Only the
Bengals have been worse than the Lions. There's bad tackling,
bad fundamentals. And Matt Patricia was hired not only because
he's a rocket scientist, but he's a defensive rocket scientists.
How's that working? You got out the players. However, it's
not like the Raiders have been much better. The Raiders
(26:53):
are twenty five in total defense. So this game has
tracked meat. Might as well be played at the Olympic
Village because it's gonna be that kind of game. The Raiders. Also,
they don't play the Lions very often. They last beat
the Lions in nineteen nineties six. You know who was
the player that the Raiders stopped on the Lions to
(27:13):
win that game. I'm gonna say Barry Sanders. Yeah, they
helped Barry Sanders to thirty six yards in that game.
And you know who the Raider quarterback was in Uh,
I'm gonna say it's Jeff Hostel. Wow, you love your Raiders.
Jeff Hosteller through four touchdowns for the Raiders in that game. Anyway,
that's in the past, that's the history Channel, Lions thirty eight,
(27:37):
Writers thirty four. That's gonna be a fun game, and
I shouldn't be. Penny is going with the Oakland Raiders
fun game if you bet the over. Of course, everyone's
gonna betting the over Gascon, which means the game will
be like sixteen or something like that. It always happens,
all right. Next up on Fox, it's Tampa Bay two
and five at Seattle six and two Kenny Albert and
(28:01):
Ronde Barber. Kenny Albert friend of the show, A friend
of me. Not you guys? Can we can we do
an introduction? You know, I don't know. I think about it.
Who have you introduced me to? Uh? Introduced you to
the Chief? Yeah, but I've never actually physically met him.
I talked him on the phone one time. I've never
been to shake his hand. Yeah, it's not really a fit.
(28:23):
I talked to people on the phone all the time,
but it's not really meeting them press the flash man. Yeah,
all right. Anyway, So Kenny Albert Rodney Barber. The Seahawks
opened a five and a half point favorite. They are
favored now by six. Every body six. This is at
Century Link Field in Seattle, cloudy and fifty three degrees
(28:44):
no rain though at kickoff. Anyway, I'm gonna take the
Bucketeers in this game, and I'll tell you why. Seattle.
They gave up the back door coverage of the Falcons.
They had a twenty four nothing lead. How about this,
and I had I had Seattle. I lost that game.
Last one I lost is that at twenty four Nothingly,
they let Matt shob take a butcher knife, all right
(29:06):
and swashbuckle his way through a machete and slice them
up in garbage time. To me, that's a bad sign.
He didn't just do that. He threw for over fogs
that defense. I think it was like four sixties. I
think it was the most yards ever against the Seattle defense. Awful. Yeah,
So the last three weeks, the Seahawks have the NFL's
worst run defense. In addition, they're allowing five point six
(29:30):
yards per carry. That's not that's not the recipe to
blow a team out or at least win by a touchdown.
Now that I don't disagree that Russell Wilson should tee
off against the thirty first ranked past defense of Tampa Bay.
So I'm thinking this is gonna be similar to the
Lions and the Raiders, where it's gonna be a shootout
(29:50):
type of game. But you've also got the peak a boat.
Uh in the Seattle they got a mammoth game, especially
depending on what happened in the third day night game.
Next week Seattle plays the forty Niners. That is a
showcase jewel game. That is a big time divisional game
for them. I'm thinking, you know, a little little bit,
(30:13):
just maybe like five percent. They're looking ahead and you
don't really get up for Tampa Bay. The Buck's biggest
issue has been obviously turnovers, and when you bet on
Tampa Bay, you are you are praying and hoping that
the football gods allowed Jamis Winston to stop being the baker,
because he should open a bakery, right. He's one of
the that cooks up more turnovers than anyone but but Winston.
(30:36):
I have noticed that he rarely has back to back
stink bombs, Like he'll have a horrific game where he
gets killed on sports radio and then he will rebound
typically after that. So if this trend continues, last week
he was a ridiculously bad quarterback, I expect him to
play better. And the Buccaneers, they have. Their run defense
(30:59):
is not the problem. They can't stop the past, but
they've been number one in the NFL the last a
few weeks. It's stopping the run. Seattle is mostly a
running team. They like to say that they're a passing team,
but they're mostly a running team. And the Buccaneers have
been a better team on the road. In fact, both
their winds have come on the road. Last time they
were on the West Coast, they curb stopped the Rams.
(31:20):
Unfortunately for me and Seattle. If you look at their losses,
both their losses happened on their home field. So I
feel like this line is too big, too inflated. I'm
gonna take the Seahawks to win, but not cover. Seahawks thirty,
Buccaneers twenty six. Depending on the other way. At the
(31:41):
home team, Seattle, you're listening to Benny versus the Penny,
but you already knew that. Next up, Cleveland two and
five at Denver two and six is on CBS with
Kevin Harlan and Rich Get. I give Kevin Harlan credit.
Kevin Harland is like the Kenny Albert of CBS. He's
all over the place doing radio broadcast s on Monday
Night NBA games for T n T. He's all over me.
(32:04):
He's host. Can you give up some of those gigs,
you guest? Can Harlan give some of those up? I
think his games a little too high profile for me.
Have some confidence, you loserat JUP. I have confidence, but
just as good as Kevin Harlan, you just haven't been
given the opportunity. It's kind of a nice compliment he
paid for me. Make sure you edit that out of
the podcast. Keep in mind, though, guscan my my radio tree.
(32:26):
The Mallard Radio Tree includes an NBA play by play voice,
Alan Horton radio voice in the minist of filled in
on the Ben Maller Show before he went on to
be a big time NBA broadcaster. So I want you
to know that I have a tie to broadcasting success.
That's good. I was hoping you wouldn't say, like the
Bill Belichick tree of let's move on Cleveland two and
(32:49):
five at Denver two and six, as we said Brown's. Eventually,
the Broncos were favorite by a point. Browns are favorite
by three Parley Sonny forty seven at kickoff off at
empower Field at Mile High. I'm taking the Browns. This
is should be a show up win situation for the Browns. Uh.
They can't screw this up right now? Now? Would that
(33:10):
be something if if they did? Sure, and Baker mayfields
a mess and he leads to the NFL and interceptions
and all that stuff. In fact, he's throwing an interception
in eight straight games. No other quarterback has a streak
of more than three. Uh. That said, I do trust
Nick Chubb to to do well against the Broncos defense.
But this is let's not kid ourselves. This is more
of a bet against Brandon Allen, third string quarterback taking
(33:32):
over for Joe Flacco. I would have been on the
Browns anyway if Flacco had played. I liked the game
more because Alan is playing. I would think the Broncos,
who have a dinged up offensive line, are gonna have
night tremors from Miles Garrett, who's gonna wreck havoc on
that front line for the Broncos. Brown's twenty Broncos ten
(33:54):
homer alert for the penny. She's going with the Broncos. Alright,
Green Bay seven and one, the l A Chargers three
and I it's on CBS. Jim Nancy, Tony Romo are
going to a soccer stadium to call a game. I'm
sure they're excited about that. Packers opened up a four
point favorite, their favorite by three and a half. It'll
be sunny seventy one at kick off at Dignity Health
Sports Park. I'm gonna take the home team, which is
(34:18):
the Green Bay Packer. Is there really this is a
really home game for them? Uh? First of all, Aaron
Rodgers has jump started his season now, he's he's got
it going. He didn't get it going early, and he
got to go against the Charger defense that has struggled
to slow down in recent weeks. The likes of Ryan
Tannehill a couple of weeks ago, plus Green Bay could
it sounds like they're gonna get Davante Adams back at
least at the time we're doing this. He did practice
(34:41):
I know on Thursday, supposedly in full so it looks
like Davante Adams will come back. Secondly, the Chargers home stadium,
you know it's gonna be called Lambo by the Sea. Uh.
You got that sea breeze at that that stadium in Carson, California,
been there before for games. Uh, It's gonna be a
sea of green, pure green. This will be the ninth
home game for the Cheeseheads and the Cheese Kurds. Uh. Now,
(35:03):
l A has a lot of flaws since Melvin Gordon returned.
The Chargers are averaging thirty five rushing yards per game,
two point two yards per care. They suck and Philip
rivers right twelve touchdown passes, the fewest he's thrown in
the first eight games in almost a decade, and they're
throwing interceptions in recent games. I mean, everything indicates the
(35:26):
to go the way of the Packers. The only thing
that scares me mildly is Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram
messing up Aaron Rodgers. And that could screw you up.
But you can't handicap that Packers thirty one Chargers penny
with the Packers as well, all Right, Sunday Night Football,
New England eight and O at Baltimore five and two.
(35:47):
It's on n b C with Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth.
Now the game open Packers or Patriots rather by six
and a half. Their favored by three and a half.
So there's been a line adjustment. There'll be forty five agrees.
The House that Sports with Coleman built at M and
T Bank Stadium in Baltimore and clear, I'm taking the Patriots.
(36:07):
I'm not a dope. I'm taking the Patriots as a
small home favorite. Uh. First of all, Belichick, you know,
tortured Lamar Jackson. And I want to point out everyone
says Lamar's may become this this great quarterback. Let me
tell you something. The first two weeks, Lamar Jackson had
seven touchdowns, no interceptions, had a passer rating of forty
five against a couple of cream puffs Miami and Arizona.
(36:29):
Since then, the rest of the season, Lamar Jackson's got
four touchdowns and five interceptions, passing a passer rating below eighty.
He has been worse than Baker Mayfield in some statistics
since the first couple of games of the year, and
now He's averaged more rushing yards than passing yards the
last five weeks against mostly non playoff teams. While the
(36:50):
Patriots said listen, they played the easiest schedule in the NFL,
everyone loves to point that out. Well, spoiler alert, the
Ravens have played the fourth easiest schedule in the NFL,
so both these teams have feasted on tomato cans. Secondly,
if Baltimore had a better defense, I can make the
argument to take the pages because the Patriots are offensively challenged,
but they don't. They have the middle of the pack defense.
(37:11):
These aren't your daddy's Ravens and pretty generic generic brand
nineteenth In total defense, the key is obviously the Patriots
messing up the passing of Lamar Jackson. Tom Brady will
just do enough at this point in his forties to
get enough out of it. The Patriots have limited weaponry
and all that, I expect Mohammed Sanu to play better
(37:33):
this week. Patriots on the Road guest on twenty four
Ravens thirteen day Go with the Patriots, Well, last one,
all right? Last game? Monday Night Football Dallas four and
three at the Giants two and six is on ESPN
Joe test It tore your favorite guy and Booker McFarland
(37:54):
have the call. I know you're excited about that. And
the Cowboys opened at nine point favorite about them Cowboys
nine point favorite. Cowboys are favorite now by seven at
MetLife Stadium in Jersey. It'll be partly cloudy forty nine
at kick off on Monday night. That's the forecast. I'm
gonna take the Giants here a couple of reasons why. Hey,
(38:17):
Daniel Jones has been, as advertised rookie quarterback pretty much
terrible most of the time. He leads the NFL with
six lost fumbles seven interceptions. So I'm taking the Giants
because you gotta think that this is a peak a
booze situation as all right. The you look at the
high profile game coming up for the Cowboys, a match
(38:40):
up with the Vikings and Sunday Night Football, and even
though this is a rivalry Giants and Cowboys, and the
Giants and no A, no good. The Cowboys have a
marginal pass rush, they don't have a great secondary. There
is an opportunity here to hang around and you're getting
a touchdown in this game, which is a lot of
(39:02):
value and be the the dak Prescott thing heat t
off on the Giants back in week one, and much
like Lamar Jackson got off to a great start and
has become tumbling back to Earth like a failed satellite
and Dakota Prescott last four weeks three touchdown, five interceptions
(39:23):
of passer rating of eight six. He's right in the
middle of the bell curve. He's average almost any time
you get over seven points, almost any not always, almost
any time over seven in advisional game, you don't ask questions.
You take the points and you're like, I'm happy. I'm happy, happy, happy,
happy happy. I'm a happy hippo, and I'm gonna do
(39:44):
that right now. Cowboys will win, but will not cover.
He's surprisingly somewhat competitive. Monday night football game, Go figure
Cowboys twenty six, Giants twenty three, depending with the Giants
as well. Uh all right, that's a wrap, a shorter
version of the benny versus the penny. We were hurried up,
(40:06):
gascon kept turning me up. Giddy up, giddy up, getty up,
getty up, getty up, giddy up, getty up, getty up. Yeah.
So anyway, uh, we thank you for listening, enjoy the games,
Good luck, win a lot of money, think of us.
If you want a lot of money. If you lose
a lot of money, don't think of us at all.
Enjoy your weekend. We're back on the radio talking about
all these games and what actually happened, what not, what
we thought is gonna happen on Sunday night in the
(40:28):
Monday on the Overnight Show two am in the East
on Monday, eleven pm in the West on Sunday Night.
We'll catch you then, have a great weekend.
Host
Ben Maller
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