11-20-24 - 9am - Hurricane Season and Plastics

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hey, Mike, it's possible that you might be right about
Mitt Gates, but you are dead wrong about how smart
your audience is.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
And I am proof of that. Love the show, buddy,
I'm just glad somebody finally said it.

Speaker 3 (00:17):
Yeah, I mean, you know we we come in here
every day and you know that you don't how hard
Dragon and I work to to just kind of dumb
down everything that's in our heads so that Goober's like
you can can try to comprehend our intellectual stupendocy stupendacy. Yeah,

(00:39):
I just made that word up. We're stupidous. We have stupidacy,
the plural of stupendous. Yes, it's very close to stupidity. Yeah,
be careful that you pronounce it correctly, our stupidous exactly,
It's exactly right. So something that's near and near to

(01:01):
my heart is hurricane season, and hurricane season is rapidly
coming to a close. Feel like, if we got about
ten days left and mad does it have to get
It's got to crank up and get busy for the
next ten days. It has essentially concluded, essentially concluded. Now
again for the for the for the stupid people, for

(01:21):
the talk back, for the stupid people in the audience.
It doesn't technically end until November thirtieth, So maybe I
should wait till November. Maybe I should wait till December
first to do this story. But I can't because I'm
want to do it now. Eighteen named storms. Now, a
name storm doesn't really mean anything. A name storm means

(01:44):
that you've got a tropical depression coming across from the
Horn of Africa, you know, crossing the Atlantic. Uh, you know,
the pressure reaches a certain level of mill of bars,
and and so they'll they'll name the storm Henrietta Dragon.
Here comes Dragon Redbeard. That doesn't mean it's gonna be
a hurricane or even a tropical storm. It's just it's

(02:06):
a it's a tropical depression, but it's it's a name storm.
We've had ten hurricanes, We've had three major hurricanes. Guess
what those numbers align with the historical averages and fall
short of all the preseason forecasts that portrayed. Oh, this

(02:27):
hurricane season is going to be potentially record breaking every year,
it's going to be record breaking. Let's see, we've had
I have a chart here, Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debbie Ornesto, Francine, Gordon, Helen,
Isaac Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Milton, Nadine, Oscar, Petty, Raphael, and Sarah.

(02:52):
I don't see a dragon in.

Speaker 2 (02:53):
Here at all, not darn Maybe next year.

Speaker 3 (02:56):
Yeah, you gotta keep trying. Doctor Michael Mann, who publicly
predicted and astonishing thirty three named storms. He predicted we
would have thirty three named storms. We had eighteen, by
the over half of what he predicted. By the way,

(03:18):
doctor Michael Mann, Well.

Speaker 2 (03:20):
See, isn't that good news? Then we had less?

Speaker 3 (03:25):
Well, I think that it's good news in that it
proves there's a direct causation between his prediction of thirty
three named storms we only had eighteen, and that's solely
due to Jared Polus's plan to get us out of

(03:47):
our cars. Oh, we drove less, We used public transport
more other than you and me. Other people ate less meat,
so fewer cows were slaughtered. And I kept the lights
off in the house. I didn't use the I didn't
use any natural gap. I mean, our house is freezing

(04:08):
cold right now, and in the summer it was boiling
over because I just refused to use the air conditioner
of the heater. Because I wanted to study the planet.

Speaker 2 (04:15):
I could walk to work, or I could take the RTD,
still going to take me four hours either way. Or
I could take a twenty minute drive.

Speaker 3 (04:22):
And during that time you could be by yourself, having
a cup of coffee or doing whatever you want to do,
talking to yourself, preparing yourself to be in the aura
of your host of the talent.

Speaker 2 (04:33):
I better not swear, Yeah, just don't.

Speaker 3 (04:37):
Cuss in your car. Doctor Michael Mann is also the
pimatologist that finally blocked me on Twitter because he didn't
want to debate me, little o me. I don't understand
why anyway. The thirty three that doubled the long term

(04:59):
average and of course obviously overshot the eventual total. Meanwhile,
over at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NOAH, they
generally considered a more measured and authoritative source by most people.
I would think, forecasted. I love this range. They forecasted

(05:24):
anywhere from seventeen to twenty five named storms. How can
you go wrong? How can you go wrong? If the average,
you know, average is you know, you might get you
on average, you might get you know, a couple of
major hurricanes, and you might get you know, half a

(05:46):
dozen or fewer, just actual just regular run of the
mill hurricanes. Well, how can you go wrong if you
predict anywhere from oh, you know, you might have anywhere
from ten to thirty. So you encompass the minimum number
we've ever had versus the maximum number we ever had,
and we and that, and that's your prediction for the

(06:07):
new year. Wow, don't buy a lottery taken on that genius,
genius toll a genius. Now, so Noah's predictions, because they're there.
It was a wider spread. They were closer to the
actual observed values, but they even leaned toward an overestimation
of storm activity, particularly in the number of actual hurricanes. Now,

(06:29):
these for these these forecasts aren't just statistical guesses. What
happens is once and you know, go back to the spring.
Usually sometime in in March or April, we'll start getting
all of the predictions, all of the models. Oh my gosh,

(06:50):
and and and the sky is falling reports. You get
these sensational headlines. Weather Tracker US experts predict one of
the most active hurricane seasons on record. That was the Guardian.
Connecting the forecasts obviously to anthrobrginny climate change and never

(07:13):
adequately discuss any sort of scientific uncertainties because well, there
are there for them, there are no uncertainties. There is
a direct causal link between their predictions and the number
of hurricanes and the fact that there is anthrobrginny global
warming or climate change or whatever the hell we call it.

(07:35):
Going back to the Guardian, the subhead on that weather
track or US experts predict one of the most active
hurricane seasons on record. The subheading was first warning of
twenty twenty four, issued more than a month before the
start of the official season, as parts of Europe are
engulfed and African dust So now we're going to include
African dust storms haboobs what we call them in Arizona,

(07:59):
were to include those dust storms that come up up
out of the Sahara, come up up out of Africa.
We're gonna include those in our in our predictions too.
So we have a tendency, not not we, but they
they have a tendency to emphasize every worst case scenario,

(08:19):
which raises questions about how the media and the scientific
institutions actually communicate legitimate real world risks to you and me.
Have you ever thought about again, pay attention to the
language now. I haven't noticed of late, but earlier in
the hurricane season, how many times did we talk about

(08:43):
on this program the Network News starting out with a
weather report I don't need. If I want to know
what the weather is, I'll go to Dave Frasier, obviously,
because they have Colorado's most accurate forecast, as determined by

(09:03):
some third party objective measurement. I don't know who it is,
but I do believe they are the most objective, and
they're the most thorough forecasts on local television too. So
if I want to know what the forecast is going
to be for the Denver metro area or just Colorado
in general, I'll go over to Channel thirty one to KDVR. Now,
if I'm traveling to Honolulu. When Tarada I went to

(09:24):
Honolulu for a birthday back in October, guess what I did.
I didn't watch KDVR to find out what the weather
was going to be in Honolulu. I know that comes
as a shock to you, but guess what I did.
I went to the Weather Channel. I don't mean the
TV station. I went to the Weather Channel app, and

(09:45):
then I went to a couple of others, and I
checked the weather for what was predicted for that week
in Honolulu to know whether or not I needed to
wear my speedo or I needed to wear, you know,
like a tank top. And of course, luckily for everybody
in the beach, I wore a speedo, so it made
everybody happy. I that paparazzi was just awful. I had
to fight the paparazzi off like crazy dragon. Everywhere I turned,

(10:08):
people were trying to take photographs, and I know it
was because of my manly physique, and I know that's
what they were doing. So go back to doctor Mann
for a moment. His prediction of thirty three named storms,
I think deserves screwtiny, not just because it was inaccurate,
but for how was presented. Because we're now living in

(10:32):
a world where, in order to push this climate change agenda,
it's not just enough to make these wildly inaccurate forecasts,
but it's also how you present the wildly inaccurate forecasts.
Some of these warnings. You know, he uses his platform

(10:56):
to issue these dire climate warnings warnings and they regularly
routinely get criticized as over speculative. It's called the Man
Research Group. You can go google it. I forget it's
the universe, It's it's a Penn State University of Pennsylvania's

(11:23):
scientist doctor Michael Mann and Shannon Christensen and Penn State
alumnus doctor Michael Kozar have released their seasonal prediction for
the twenty twenty four North Atlantic hurricane season, which only
officially starts on one June and runs through thirty November.
To prediction, the prediction is for thirty three plus one

(11:44):
thirty three point one plus or minus five point eight
total name tropical cyclones, which corresponds to a range between
twenty seven and thirty nine storms, with the best estimate
of thirty three named storms. This prediction was made using
the statistical model of Kozar from twenty twelve. This statistical

(12:06):
model builds upon the past work Sabatelli and Man from
two thousand and seven by considering a large number of
climate predictions, including corrections for the historical undercount of events
sea footnotes below which we will not, but let me
give him example. He tied this year's hurricane forecast to

(12:31):
climate change induced record high sea surface temperatures, suggesting that
that alone could drive unprecedented storm activity. Now, while high
see surface temperatures are indeed one single factor in hurricane development,
I mean, there's a lot of things that go into

(12:53):
the development of a storm. To reach seventy five mile
plus hour winds to actually become a named hurricane, it
ignores the role just SSTs the surface temperatures. That ignores
the role of all the other critical elements such as
vertical windshear, dry air intrusion, and atmospheric stability, every single

(13:14):
one of which is prominent in suppressing storm formation this year.
So the very factors which he used to predict a
record storm season, in fact were prominent in suppressing the
formation of storms this year. They don't care. They don't

(13:38):
care what. Let me ask you, why do you think
they don't care? Because they got the headlines they wanted,
and for the useful idiots among us, they got the
point to point correlation that First of all, most people
don't understand causation, but they'll get correlation. Oh, you predicted this,

(14:00):
We got that. Therefore, there must be a correlation between
climate change and these storms that you named. Because we
never pay attention to what really happened. We only pay
attention to what the prediction was. But Noah does the
same thing. Look the fake elon. You want to figure
out a way to start saving some money, look at Noah.

(14:24):
Noah predicts above normal twenty twenty four Atlantic hurricane season.
The Nina and warmer than average ocean temperatures are a
major driver of tropical activity. But wait a minute, it
turned out to be just the opposite. And then you
got the kabbal because the cabal still has an agenda,
and that agenda is climate change. And we have climate
change and as an agenda. Why because it is a

(14:47):
wealth transfer mechanism and it is also a control mechanism.
So the media outlets amplify these dire predictions, these dire forecasts,
and how much critical analysis do you think they do?
For example, let's go back to the networks. So during
that time period back in the spring, when we're talking

(15:10):
about all of you know, every day David Muir World
News tonight, Well we got a horrible heat wave coming up,
and we've got you know, thirty four million Americans. Well
that's not enough. Eighty five million Americans are going to
be affected by this rain storm, this front that's moving
through from the northwest down to the southeast and we're

(15:30):
going to have just a boatload of rain hit this area.
That's all people here. And then they tie it to
climate change, and then the useful idiots among us go,
oh my gosh, these storms are getting worse and worse
and worse. Look at all the damage they're causing, and
oh my gosh, we gotta be scared. We got we

(15:51):
gotta go. Look, let's go trade in. Let's go trade
in that jeep Grand Cherokee. Let's let's get us. You know,
here's what they'll do. Well, they won't downsize. They'll trade
in the gas guzzling jep Grand Cherokee and they'll buy
an electric Grand Grand Cherokee, although instead of you know,
they'll trade in their gas guzzling Ford f one fifty

(16:13):
and trade it in for a Ford f one fifty
E or whatever they call them, and think they're doing
something good to save the planet. All right, I want
to say, if you want to save the planet, I
don't have the SoundBite in front of me, but I

(16:33):
ran into a sound bite earlier in the week Bill
Gates talking about how, you know, we could just lose
a third of the of the population in the world,
and nobody would notice. I mean, it would do so many,
so much good. Wait, you know, fewer hungry people, less
pollution we would need, we would need he literally says

(16:55):
somebody to the effect that we would need fewer cows
and all that's supposed to be good. So who's gonna
choose the third of the world population to eliminate? How
about I do it? Okay, let me do it. Communists, Democrats,
But I repeat myself, Communists, Democrats and stupid people. They

(17:19):
might actually get us more than a third of the
popular That might just that might give us up the
half Rodnie.

Speaker 4 (17:25):
I don't give two folks if one of them asked,
bureaucrats in DC don't want me talking in my car, you.

Speaker 3 (17:39):
Know, I think I think probably driving in that car,
driving in that truck would be like sitting at you know,
at some bar on a marine base or a Navy
seal bar somewhere, you know, San Diego, and listening to
them about half drunk and cussing and yelling and screaming
at each other and telling lies to each other. And

(18:00):
can you imagine we should do remote from that truck?

Speaker 2 (18:04):
Oh boy, just have the permanent beat button going on
all people would hear for four hours of beating, and
then I had to do it. Nope, those were real bleeps.
I had to put those in there. Oh you put
those in there.

Speaker 3 (18:20):
Oh that that Now I feel better because, for a
moment I was impressed.

Speaker 2 (18:26):
That he did it, not a chance.

Speaker 3 (18:29):
Yeah, well that's why I'm saying, for a moment, I
was impressed that he had done it. But clearly, as
you've told me before, he's not nearly smart enough to
do that. So I don't know why you have to
be I don't know why you have to be so
negative about our listeners. You're just you're You're a horrible
human being. So let's go from hurricanes to plastics. How

(18:52):
about that, because that's the other bad thing, right, plastics?
How much plastic are you going to use today? You know,
I actually thought about this last night because I knew
this was on my list of things to talk about today.
So our refrigerator showed up yesterday. I had a scheduled dragon. However,
it did have a dent.

Speaker 2 (19:12):
In it, surprising.

Speaker 3 (19:16):
And actually we didn't see it. The delivery guy pointed
it out as he was sliding it in. He looked
down and he goes oh, you got a dent here,
And we're both Tam and I are looking like where
where He's like right here, right here, So we're going
to have a dory place.

Speaker 2 (19:31):
But anyway, it may be small, but once it has
been seen, it cannot be unseen.

Speaker 3 (19:36):
Oh you might. You might as well put a knee
on sign that says dent here, because that's that's the
way it looks now. You no matter where, you can
be in the other.

Speaker 2 (19:44):
Room and you can see that dent like the arrow
and the FedEx logo right exactly.

Speaker 3 (19:49):
It's there.

Speaker 2 (19:50):
He's always going to be there now exactly.

Speaker 3 (19:52):
But I do want to give credit to the to
the delivery guys from home Depot. They're not Home Depot guys.
They're independent contractors. But I do that dragon. Would you
do this with me?

Speaker 5 (20:05):
No?

Speaker 3 (20:05):
You and I need to take a Spanish course. We
need to learn to speak Spanish. I'm tired of every other.

Speaker 2 (20:16):
The things I need to know taco burrito, chiloupa, gordita,
those are the things I need to know.

Speaker 3 (20:25):
Do I feel Do I feel like self harm today?
Because that just makes me think taco bell for lunch.

Speaker 2 (20:34):
Hmmm, missus Radberry did that last week and regretted it immediately.

Speaker 3 (20:40):
Immediately, you don't even finish it before you regret it,
like this is awful mac donald. You can actually finish
the meal and get back in the car or you know,
drive off or something, and it takes it takes a
couple of minutes for it to set in that that
was a mistake. The taco bell, it's like with the

(21:04):
first bite. You know you made a mistake, but we
keep doing it. Yep, there is something called the United
Nations Global Plastics Treaty. Now the Biden By the way,
where's Kamala Harris? Where's she gone?

Speaker 2 (21:26):
She's clearly busy doing her job as VP.

Speaker 3 (21:29):
I heard unconfirmed that the White House, meaning that either
doctor Jill it wasn't the president, but either doctor Jill
Biden or Hunter Biden have instructed her to go to
the Naval Observatory, stay put, make no public appearances, don't

(21:53):
say anything, stay out of my way while I while
I solidify my legacy, start World War three, do everything
I can to screw up the transition for Trump. Go
to the G twenty and walk off into the rainforest,
never to be seen again.

Speaker 2 (22:14):
She needs to work on raising that twenty million dollars
that she is behind on from her campaign.

Speaker 3 (22:20):
Well, she could just send a recision letter to Oprah.
There's a million right there. To Beyonce, there's ten eleven.
She's only short nine million dollars. Now, just you know,
tell them that hey services were not performed. Send the
money back anyway. The Biden heres government has shifted its

(22:42):
stance regarding this proposed cap on plastic production. Now, don't
you love it when we enter into a treaty with
a globalist organization that is run by the characters out
of the Star Wars bar scene to dictate to us

(23:04):
about plastic production. Well, apparently this change in attitude was
communicated during a private meeting between the White House staffers
and a bunch of environmental advocacy groups from last week. Initially,
there was an August briefing that indicated that we as

(23:25):
a nation would align ourselves with countries like Norway, Peru,
the United Kingdom, all of which support limits on the
production of plastics. But representatives have now been informed that
mandatory production caps are not considered feasible for the upcoming
fifth season of the treaty negotiations. They're going to be

(23:47):
held in South Korea. I find it funny they're going
to hold these hearings, meetings, conferences, whatever. It's just a
it's a junket, is what it is. Where South Korea
manufactures a lot of stuff that we import, they get
packaged in what plastics? So instead of binding our production limits,

(24:12):
our delegation has expected is expected to advocate for some
sort of flexible framework where nations can guess what establish
their own voluntary reduction targets. So, now, in an effort
to modify all of their environmental greeny weenies, that Biden

(24:34):
Harris government now favors blacklisting certain plastic products containing harmful
chemicals rather than banning the chemicals themselves themselves, which is
obviously a weak and likely ineffectual approach likely to be
circumvented at scale. American Indian activists indigenous people are complaining

(24:57):
about the backtracking. They're stressing the neurological damage that intracon
disrupting plastic plastics can inflict on their youth. Can I
ask him, probably inappropriate question, why are Native Americans American

(25:18):
Indians indigenous people? Whatever? Is there? I don't know what
the right right word is anymore. I don't care what
the right word is. How are their youth more severely
infected or medically affected than any other youth than anybody else.

(25:41):
Viola Waigie, a Native activist in Alaska, says this, how
can we pass on our language? How can we create stories,
our songs and dances, our traditions and our cultures If
our children can't learn Wait a minute, they can't learn

(26:01):
because of plastics in Alaska? Is there more plastic in
Alaska than there is in say, Washington, or Oregon or California. Huh? Now?
Bobby Kennedy Junior has flag issues about microplastics entering the

(26:22):
human brain. He did that as recently. Is this just
this past September? And when he was running for president
as an independent, he pledged to make removing plastics from
our food and water supply a priority. Well, go ahead
and do it, I mean seriously, go ahead and do it.
That's fine with me. But don't enter into a global treaty.

(26:47):
Why don't you work with industries to figure out way.
Because here, you know what I'm for. I'm for getting
rid of the blister packs. You know, those plastic blister
packs that everything that you order from Amazon comes in,
or that you buy at the store and not.

Speaker 2 (27:06):
No, no, no, no no. I'm all for bubble wraps. Fantastic.

Speaker 3 (27:09):
We have to have bubble wrap for therapy. I'm talking
about those blister packs.

Speaker 2 (27:13):
Like for pills.

Speaker 3 (27:15):
Well no, no, So you buy a you buy a
pair of scissors and it comes in.

Speaker 2 (27:20):
That oh the clamshell packaging.

Speaker 3 (27:23):
Is that what it's called clamshell? I'm all for banning
that because that you need like a you need a
nuclear reactor to open.

Speaker 2 (27:30):
Those stupid fo box cutters to open a clamshell box
for box cutters.

Speaker 3 (27:34):
Yeah, yeah, exactly, exactly, So I'm all for banning those.
See I again, I'm not an anarchist, I'm I'm actually
and when it comes to those things, I'm a liberal.
Ban those suckers. But then they have to put them
behind the plastic, the the uh, polyurethane whatever it is

(27:55):
things in the stores, and then you'd have to ask
for a clerk to come and unlock it so you
can get your pair of scissors and then you can
walk out of the store with them. Anyway, there are
no solutions. There are no solutions all the problems in
the world.

Speaker 1 (28:12):
I'll be right back, Hey, Michael in reference to what
you were talking about, the homeless people that you were helping.
It's like President Reagan always said, a Republican trust, but
verify have a good one.

Speaker 3 (28:28):
So the uh killer of Lincoln Riley has been found guilty.

Speaker 5 (28:34):
Of Georgia versus Jose Antonio Obaram in case SU twenty
four c Are zero three two three, Count one malice murder.
I found the defendant guilty count two felony murder. I
find the defendant guilty count three felony murder. I find

(28:55):
the defendant guilty count four, felony. I find the defendant
guilty count five Kidnapping with bodily injury. I find the
defendant guilty count six, aggravated assault with intent to rape.
I find the defendant guilty count seven, aggravated battery. I

(29:19):
find the defendant guilty count eight Obstructing or hindering A nine.
I find the defendant guilty count nine, Tampering with evidence.
I find the defendant guilty count ten, peeping tom. I
find the defendant guilty.

Speaker 3 (29:41):
Well, there's one dirt bag that's going away. I don't
know whether they have the death penalty in Georgia or not,
but maybe it's time to bring back. Oh, I don't know,
maybe a firing squad. Is it? One last text message
before we go? Because back to Matt Gates. I actually

(30:03):
mentioned something like this earlier when Matt Gates was first
nominated Guber number forty seven eighteen. Michael, I think Gates
was a beautiful political pick. I don't support. I don't
think he'll be confirmed, but picking him was a brilliant
move on Trump's part. First, it removes the thorn from
the side of the Republicans in Congress. He is no

(30:24):
longer there to blow up the leadership, so one problem solved. Second,
it has shown how angry and illogical the left is.
I don't know about you, but it's been fun watching
the left lose its mind over this pick. That's what
made me do this thought process, this little project, because
I thought it was fascinating. There's so apoplectic about it.
I thought it was wonderful. And then third, this pick

(30:47):
allows Trump to pay it forward politically, but since he
isn't likely to be confirmed, it allows a favor to
be paid while costing very little. I think it's a
great political move. I think he's already I think Trump's
are he done that? Trump has appointed his personal lawyer,
the one that represented him in the Marlogo case, in

(31:08):
the evaluation case, and in the hush money trial. He's
appointed him the deputy attorney general. So if Matt Gaets's
nomination falls flat, doesn't get confirmed, oh I've got I've
got look right here, We'll just do this guy instead. Yeah. So, yeah,
I think it was a brilliant part on the uh

(31:31):
on the part of Trump.

Speaker 2 (31:32):
Real quick, want to jump in, Kelly did the research. Yes,
Georgia does have the death penalty by lethal injection.

Speaker 3 (31:37):
See, I just think there's there's something about lethal injection.
So think about what lacan lacan Riley fought for her
life for seventeen or eighteen minutes before he crushed her skull.
What about we just crush his skull, just put him
in a room with I don't know.

Speaker 2 (31:57):
Put him in one of the hydraulic presses that will
take seventeen minutes in order for it to go.

Speaker 3 (32:03):
To finally reach that Yeah point, yeah.

Speaker 2 (32:07):
Hm, I might go along with that and put it
on TV, make it a pay per view event.

Speaker 3 (32:13):
We'll see the problem. I haven't thought that just encourages people. Now,
the sickos and the cartels. Yeah, they'll watch it because
they'll think they can learn from it. Hey, guys, we
need to buy We need to buy some compression machines.

Speaker 2 (32:26):
We just don't put it on Netflix because then you
nobody'll be able to see it.

Speaker 3 (32:33):
Damn it, it's cashing. It keeps cashing. Ah. Now now
it's speculating. Dang it. Oh man, just as the skull
was beginning to.

Speaker 6 (32:42):
I wanted to see the eyes pop out.

Speaker 2 (32:47):
Uh.

Speaker 6 (32:47):
I think all manners of killing a person on death
penalty are just too easy. You've got firing squad, you
got hanging, You've got leaf injection.

Speaker 2 (33:00):
Which is probably the worst.

Speaker 6 (33:03):
Because you know, sometimes it doesn't always Do you think
it is the worst. I think lethal injection because sometimes
it doesn't always work. I mean, hanging is instant. Firing squad.
You're done, I'll.

Speaker 2 (33:14):
Bring back the electric chair in the gas chamber. Oh
that would be great.

Speaker 3 (33:19):
Yeah. The whole lethal injection thing. That's like you know,
when you when you go into surgery and they give
you the probofol and you fall asleep. You don't you
don't have a clue. I mean, they cut you open,
you don't know it. You just kind of go to
the other side,