Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
President Trump works twelve plus hour days. He dns a
column lid at one pm or four pm, like Biden did. However,
The New York Times has put a fake report out
saying the President Trump seems fatigued. Where was the New
York Time on the five hundred and seventy seven vacation
(00:20):
days that Biden took, which is forty of the presidency.
Speaker 2 (00:25):
I don't know who did the Yes, I saw that
story the New York Times. We're going to talk about
another New York Times story after I finished something else
about the Tennessee election. But the story I saw they
Now you have to remember when you know the president.
It's always bugged me because in fact, there's a you
don't have to really dig for it. I've got a
(00:46):
copy of it. But Bush and I were at a
place in California where there it was the Cedar Fire,
which is a time was the largest fire in the
history of California. It was down near San Diego, and
it had taken out a lot of really high end
areas and a lot of really kind of you know,
low end areas. In fact, the high end area. Ray
(01:07):
Croc the founder of MacDonald's. His his home was one
of the areas that was you know, in danger from
the fire. In fact, I think it may have been
destroyed if I remember correctly. But speaking of watching presidents,
so the cameras. Anytime the well, anytime the president's in
public and there's a camera, there is always it's a
(01:29):
death watch. It's truly a death watch. Within the White
House Briefing room is it's really kind of cramped corners,
but there is always somebody stays twenty four hours a day,
seven days a week. It is always staffed just in
case something happens. And as a corollary to that, whenever
(01:51):
the president travels obviously there's the White House press pool
travels with him also, or when the president is having
a cabinet meeting, there's always you know, there's at least
what they call a spray where they allow the media
to come in and the media will you know, you
can hear the click click, although you know, there's not
a little like clicking anymore because most people have mirrorless
(02:12):
you know SLR cameras, their icons no longer have mirrors
in them, so you really don't hear the click click.
And of course I know you can fix your phone,
so if you're taking photos with your phone, it can
actually make a clicking noise if you want it to.
It's all fake, like the entire world is fake now.
But there is always a camera lens on the President
(02:37):
always twenty four hours a day, seven days a week
when he's out in public, so that if he just happens,
you know, you know how sometimes your nose itches and
you kind of do this, you see this, you know
this thing I'm doing.
Speaker 3 (02:47):
Here driving but you're clearly picking you know, you know,
your two knuckles deep in their minds.
Speaker 4 (02:52):
No, you're you lie in tacka you know what.
Speaker 2 (02:55):
I'm just kind of like, you know, rubbing the edge
of my nose because it kind of itches.
Speaker 3 (02:59):
Rube, You're so predictable, untrustworthy, predictably untrustworthy.
Speaker 2 (03:09):
Just no matter what I do, you're gonna lie about it.
So if the President were to do that the New
York Times, if somebody would get a photo of it,
and it would be exactly In fact, Dragon could get
a job at the mainstream media right now because that
would be the headline, Trump has two knuckles up his nose.
Speaker 4 (03:25):
That's exactly what you would do.
Speaker 2 (03:27):
You know the next time that you know you get
called into the you know, the principal's office, and they've
got your little severance check and your paper's assigned there.
Don't worry about it. I know lots of reporters of
Washington Post and New York Times.
Speaker 4 (03:40):
I can get you a job.
Speaker 2 (03:41):
You can be the headline writer Trump Jam's finger up nose.
Speaker 4 (03:44):
They'll love you. They'll pay you millions of dollars for that.
Speaker 2 (03:48):
So Bush and I heart this fire out in California,
and I kind of forget that he's always got the
camera on him. So he's with a survivor and we're
looking at their home, and I step away so that
they can get pictures of him and this survivor at
(04:10):
this house that has burned down. But I make a
stupid mistake by walking over to one of the windows,
and I peeked through the window to watch what they're doing,
and they get a picture of me, like I'm kind
of like Waldle, kind of peeking around looking to see
what's happening, because I'd forgotten the cameras are always on him.
(04:33):
So now let's take it back to Trump. So now
here's Trump had a cabinet meeting yesterday, and the story
that I saw they calculated it. They actually calculated. I
don't know how long the spray was in there. I
don't know how long the media was in there, but
they calculated or estimated. Maybe they used the climate model.
That's what they did. They went to Noah and they
(04:54):
used a climate model, and they somehow calculated that. They
think Trump had his eyes closed for a total of
six minutes during the meeting, and he clearly is, you know,
just worn out and can't he just cannot function anymore,
(05:14):
to which I say, how many times? I ask, how
many times have you been in a meeting, or you've
been at a conference or a convention, or the bosses called,
you know, a staff meeting and you've been called in
and you were out, you know, you were watching the
Broncos play late at night or whatever the hell you
(05:34):
were doing the night before, or you got up extra
early just shovel your driveway, which you did, right, mister Redbeard?
Speaker 4 (05:41):
Did you shovel your driveway this morning?
Speaker 3 (05:43):
I used the broom. There really wasn't that much for
me at you know, four in the morning.
Speaker 2 (05:46):
And then it was already covered back by the time
you finished. Right, No, Oh, it wasn't so it wasn't
snowing in your area. No, No, for me, I'm sure
it is now. I mean it's just continued to snow,
but will it was kind of snowing a little bit
in my area, so, you know, just warning, you know,
since I was up at four am, you know, I
decided to go ahead and go and do the driveway.
Speaker 4 (06:04):
But then when I finished, it was like.
Speaker 2 (06:05):
Well, but that's at least an inch I won't have
to deal with later, exactly exactly right. So now the
whole story is based on the fact that Trump's in
a meeting and he's listening to all these cabinet members,
you know, kiss his button, talks about how great he
is and also at the same time telling about all
the wonderful things they're doing and how the world is
(06:28):
now perfect because of everything they're doing, and how oly
you praise the you know, praise the Lord passed the
past the beer. But the story is that he's he
closed his eyes and he fell asleep, and at one
point Marco Arubio was talking about world affairs or something,
and he kind of leaned over toward Marco as if
you know, you know how you kind of lean in,
like here's out. I want you to make sure you
(06:49):
know I'm listening. But then he kind of tilted his
head back and he kind of closed his eyes.
Speaker 4 (06:54):
For a moment.
Speaker 2 (06:55):
One Mississippi too, Mississippi. Ah, there we add two seconds
to the to the calculation. He kept his eyes closed.
It is absurd, literally absurd. How and to Alexis point
on the talk back, where were you then? Where were
you during the Biden years?
Speaker 4 (07:14):
Oh?
Speaker 2 (07:14):
I know you were there, but Biden wasn't there because
Dragon used to every day, not every day, but most
days he would give us the president's schedule, and the
earliest meeting was you know normally.
Speaker 4 (07:27):
I would say, on average around ten am. Yeah, that
sounds about right.
Speaker 2 (07:30):
Yeah, and the average lid was closed around three or
four o'clock in the afternoon.
Speaker 4 (07:34):
Yep, yeah, accurate. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (07:36):
Now, that doesn't mean that between the hours of ten
am and four pm that he was actually the Oval
doing anything. It just means that they were conducting business,
which means he was up being fed putting by Jill
excuse me, bike.
Speaker 4 (07:52):
For Jill Biden. I have used that phrasing a long time.
Speaker 2 (07:55):
Brings back such wonderful memories of four years of the
Biden did ministry, and now we got this going on
last night.
Speaker 4 (08:04):
Last night.
Speaker 2 (08:05):
I know you don't care about this, but I'm going
to tell you why you need to care about this.
Republican Matt Van Epps prevailed over a really truly mondami
like I'm sorry, Zoe fram like, radical left wing feminist
named Efton Baine. She's a Democrat state legislator in Tennessee.
This was a special election to fill Mark Green's vacant
(08:28):
Tennessee Congressional District seven seat in the US House.
Speaker 4 (08:32):
Now here's a little fun fact. Van Epps is.
Speaker 2 (08:36):
A veteran of the fourth Combat Aviation Brigade, formerly of
fourth of Texas. That just happens to be the same
brigade of which two of my buddies happen to be
or still are, I guess members of They were served
at the same time, but in different battalions. The election
results and now the numbers are, you know, they're still
(08:56):
because we're a third world country, we don't have final
numbers yet, but the numbers I have as of they
do have a time stamp on this. I don't see
a timestamp, but Van Epps got almost ninety seven thousand
votes and often got eighty one thousand votes, So the
percentage difference was about fifty three point nine. Let's just
(09:17):
say sixty percent, and I'm sorry fifty four percent. Can
we just say fifty four percent? Thank you to her
forty five percent. Now, I did not talk about, nor
did I make a formal prediction for this particular race,
but I privately anticipated, despite all the onslaught of the cabal,
(09:38):
that this was a close race. This was a horribly
close race. And in fact, this woman who said that,
who said in past interviews, Now remember this is a
district that she represented as a state legislator, and she
despised country music, and she despised Nashville, She despised Brentwood,
she despises all of that area Aroundville, and she makes
(10:03):
no moans about it. Yep, please vote for me. So
everybody on both sides of the aisle poured in buckets
and buckets of money because this was going to be
a test. This is going to be a test to
see if Democrats could win outside New York and Seattle
running on this kind of Marxist socialist agenda of free everything. Now,
(10:27):
unless this seat becomes vacant again and requires another special
election under Republican president. You won't see a margin this
close in the future, so it's about at least I
think it's narrowly somewhere between six and nine percent. That's
the difference, and that will change as you know the
(10:48):
vote talities roll in, but it's too out of a
margin right now for the Democrats to cheek much more,
so it will remain in Republican hands. My point is
that Matt Van Epps will will represent this district because
Trump won this district by twenty two percent. Twenty two percent,
keep that number in mind. Van Epps won this district
(11:13):
by nine percent six percent, So yes, it's a margin,
but it's a margin that you won't see that close
in the future, and I think the Van Epps will
become one of these congressional critters that will represent this
district as long as he wants to, and in future elections, again,
(11:34):
assuming that it's not a vacant seat, the margins will
zoom back out well into the double digits beginning next fall.
Republicans can count Tennessee District seven in the bag for
twenty twenty six, although or I might say, but they
may need to handle different boundaries if Tennessee read districts
(11:56):
and tries to knock off Tennessee nine, Emphis, Emphis. The
pro Maga internet circles have expressed and I've heard I
heard it on Fox News coming in this morning. By
the way, congratulations Colorado drivers. I was shockingly surprised at
how well they were driving this morning. I thought I
(12:19):
was in a different town, a different city. I didn't.
Speaker 4 (12:22):
I was shocked.
Speaker 2 (12:25):
The pro Maga internet. You know, people out there are
expressing relief, and the Democrat counterparts are coping by talking
about how Bain was able to cut off twelve point
six percent off Green's twenty twenty four margin. Let's get
the party started with the top three takeaways from that
(12:50):
election last night. And I think the specificity matters. Off year,
midterm and special elections suck for the president's party.
Speaker 4 (13:04):
For the president that's in power.
Speaker 2 (13:06):
The off year, mid term and special election will always suck.
I'm so adamant about driving that point home, especially after
the November panicfest that we've talked about it quite a bit.
Back in November, we talked about how midyear and special
(13:26):
elections sucked, and it's still the problem with.
Speaker 4 (13:29):
Mail in voting.
Speaker 2 (13:32):
Had this election taken place under President Harris, I think
Van Epps would have won and still would have won,
but more along the lines of Green's margin. The performacy
candidate's the special elections that particularly of the president empowers party,
is not directly related to voters' opinions on the president's performance.
Speaker 4 (13:53):
For example, Reagan's.
Speaker 2 (13:54):
Republicans lost the nineteen eighty six midterms when Reagan himself
had a sixty three approval rating. In April, while still
in the honeymoon phase, Trump's Republican candidates Jimmy Patronas and
Randy Fine won by drastically reduced margins from just five
months earlier in two special elections for US House seats
(14:16):
down in Florida. Now, I'm telling you this is easily
predictable because the party out of power has voters that
are much more pissed off, and with lower turnout across
the board, the dominant party will be the one lagging
because voters are more content and therefore they're less motivated
to show up and let you know, kind of you know,
(14:37):
give a mental finger to the administration and doing that
by expressing.
Speaker 4 (14:41):
It at the ballot.
Speaker 2 (14:43):
Now, granted, with everything considered, Republicans should be happy with
last night's outcome. Van Epps went from being a two
to three point favored according to More Pundits to winning
by almost nine points. In a year where the Republicans
has dropped the blowout state house seats in Pennsylvan and Iowa.
Republicans have got smoked in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race,
(15:04):
just to name a few. And after last month's ikey results,
I mean truly ikey results, the Democrats were itching to
get a huge narrative boost against Trump going into twenty
twenty six in a deep red seat, even if they
were only going to hold the seat for a year
because they have to have an election next November. So
(15:25):
why did Tennessee host hold straw? Why do Republicans in
the Midwest have a hard time holding Trump's decade long gains.
But here's Van Epp writing to a comfortable win last
night in Tennessee. Well, I think there are three factories. Geography, geography, geography.
That's the first one. States like Tennessee, Texas, Florida, they've
(15:49):
got what I would refer to as an Alamoy effect
that makes Republican voters show up even if they don't
like the candidate. They aren't getting turned blue by a
bunch of transplants.
Speaker 4 (15:59):
Come hallahiwa. They are.
Speaker 2 (16:00):
They're going to take their final stand at the Alamo.
In the Upper Midwest, in particular, they don't have a
transplant problem forcing Republicans to show up and try to
keep their states.
Speaker 4 (16:11):
From turning blue. Look at us, look at Colorado.
Speaker 2 (16:16):
Republican candidates have to win on the merits of their campaigns,
and then they have to overcome the lacks male imbaloting
laws giving Democrats an advantage that they lack elsewhere. And
then you got Yahoo's like our stupid secretary of state. Oh,
I heard the news. I heard that news report before
I came in here about how oh you know, they
(16:38):
they can suck wind or whatever. And I'm not going
to give that stuff over. Of course, you're not a sweetheart,
because you don't want us to see exactly how Democrats
are cheating in Colorado. So the first thing about Tennessee
and the states like this were geography, geography, geography. Next
I'll tell you about the Tennessee and their control over
(16:59):
male and ballancing. Hey, let's go to Jeris over the
retirement planning. Start of the Rocketers. Jiff, I have a
simple question for you I think applies to a lot
of my listeners. Why if people fear that they haven't
said enough money as they go into retirement.
Speaker 5 (17:16):
Yeah, Michael, great to talk to you today. We've had
experiences like this where most people will ask that question,
have I done enough? Am I going to be okay?
And this question really came full circle to us recently
when we visited with a couple who originally started meeting
with us back in twenty nineteen. They had done really
well financially up to that point, but in the midst
of raising kids and putting them through college, giving them
(17:36):
a nice quality of life, they hadn't put a lot
of focus on their retirement planning. And so they sat
down said, we know we haven't done enough, but we're
ready to get serious. We'll do what you say, and
when the day comes that you tell us we've done enough,
it's going to be a day we celebrate. So, Michael,
that day came two weeks ago when we sat down
with them. They came in for their review. We sat down,
walked them through their planet, said hey, guess what, guys,
(17:59):
You've done enough.
Speaker 4 (18:00):
You're there.
Speaker 5 (18:00):
You can retire now and Michael almost immediately, this man
broke down into tears because there was a tremendous feeling
of joy and of pride, but most of all, he
had this relief from the anxiety that he had been
gripped with for so long. And frankly, I think that's
an anxiety that grips a lot of people who are
preparing for retirement. They really don't know if they've done enough,
(18:21):
if they're going to be okay.
Speaker 2 (18:23):
And the easiest way to find out is to come
to you. Because it's, as I say, it's never too
late to you know, start a play. So they need to.
Speaker 5 (18:30):
Reach out to you right ically, Yeah, yeah, precisely, and
we want to make sure you're going to be okay,
and most importantly, we want to make sure they're ready
for the adventure that retirement can be, because it really
can be if you're prepared.
Speaker 4 (18:40):
I love that attitude.
Speaker 2 (18:41):
So if you haven't started your retirement plan, or you're
worried about it, or even if you have one, get
a second opinion. Call the guys at the retirement plannings
of the Rockies. I love these guys and they do
great work, and I think you'll enjoy working with them.
Speaker 4 (18:54):
So pick up the phone.
Speaker 2 (18:55):
I'm call telling Michael Brown sent you nine to seven
zero six thirty to eleven ninety seven zero sixty sixty
three thirty two eleven. Or you can go online to
their website rpcenter dot com. So we're talking about this
special election in Tennessee and how I think we need
to put it in perspective. And the first perspective is
(19:17):
one it's yes, the margin, the winning margin was somewhere
between sixty nine percent, depending where the final numbers come out.
And that's fine. I mean, a win is a win, right.
You care whether the Broncos win by one point or
twenty points as long as they win. And in Tennessee,
we won, and we won in a district where Trump
had carried it in both Trump one point oho and
(19:37):
Trump point two at two point zero by double digit margins.
But there were several factors here, and the first one
was geography, because I do believe that geography matters, particularly
in places like Tennessee, Texas and Florida. I wish it
mattered in Colorado, but it really doesn't anymore. And it's
what I call the Alamo effect. We're not going to
(19:58):
let these outsiders come in un fundamentally transform our state.
That's the mistake we made in Colorado. They fundamentally transformed us,
and they had a plan called the Blueprint by which
they did so. But there's a second reason Tennessee has
gobs and gobs, and that's, by the way, that's a
legal term. Gobs and gobs of control over mail in balloting.
(20:23):
Unlike Virginia or New Jersey or Pennsylvania, and to some
degree Colorado, although it doesn't fit exactly right, six or
more weeks are not available for Democrats to pile up
insurmountable mail in leads that ride out the election day
surge from Republican voters. That's something that we've got to
(20:45):
get a handle on and recognize that mail in balloting
allows people to manipulate the system so that they can win.
Tennessee doesn't allow that. And I think the third point
is you have to understand voter types and precinct classification
tells the tale. And I fear that this is what
(21:07):
the Republican muckety MUCKs that are planning for the midterms
don't understand. Tennessee, for example, is full of white evangelicals
and those white evangelicals are much more rigid in their
affiliation and less likely to change sides, especially when they're
(21:28):
given the choice between a what I would consider to
be a relatively harmless Republican. He's kind of just a
you know, don't get me wrong. He's a wonderful person.
He's a nice guy. He is a conservative, but he's
not a firebrand, not what I would consider to be
a fire brand. So white evangelicals, who are much more
(21:49):
rigid in their affiliation, they're less likely to change sides.
And the choice here was what I would describe as
a relatively harmless Republican against a rabid abortion loving crazy
who actually hates the district and the state. Now, my
precinct classification matrix represents an overwhelming share of super maga
(22:14):
precincts that are filled with any elastic electorates, and she never.
Speaker 4 (22:18):
Had a chance of flipping them in Tennessee.
Speaker 2 (22:22):
So when she ran short of the needed margins in
particular counties, the race was over. I would add, you know,
thinking about i'ved add one more thing. Midwestern states have
enough purple and yellow precincts filled with trade focused swing
voters that they can cause major issues and special elections.
(22:42):
But in evangelical Tennessee that doesn't exist, and neither does
it exist say in the Florida Panhandle or the Space Coast,
which is you know, we kind of screwed the pooch
and nose down in Florida. So what does this mean
for twenty twenty six? In the most direct way, Tennessee
(23:04):
Congressional District seven remains safe for the Republicans in twenty
twenty six, and probably by a substantially higher margin than
it was last night. Now, had the Democrat, had this
socialist won the race, any Republican could have unseated her
next fall, and could have done it by double digits.
Just give her a year in office to you know,
mouthed off about her, you know, Zoefram Mom, Donnie at like,
(23:28):
you know, policies and Tennessee's would have Tennesseans would have
revolted against that. But that doesn't mean the Republicans are
safe to hold every seat, especially in regions that are
not dominated by white evangelicals who are not rigid in
their partisan affiliations. So van App's margin arguably finished higher
(23:50):
because there is a growing sentiment that the economy is
on the men. It's not where it needs to be,
but it is on the men and boom next year. Now,
I believe that if the economy really does take off,
or people start filling out their tax returns, or they're
(24:11):
able to adjust their W two's, whatever it might be,
that's going to give a baseline boost to the Republican
ticket and perhaps perhaps persuades some swing voters who actually
disapprove of the personality in the style of Donald Trump
to break in a more pro Trump, pro Republican manner.
(24:35):
So that's my optimism about twenty twenty six. It's not
it's not rainbows and pollylop lollipops, but it is enough
optimism that I think there's a possibility that we might
reverse the historical trend, which we've done occasionally over the
past four decades. We might do it again this year.
(24:57):
And I think a lot of that depends upon the economy,
and of course part of that also depends upon the
Federal Reserve. So Van app winning by nine points in
Tennessee in a special election between the holidays during the
holiday period doesn't mesh with any of the posters that
(25:18):
you heard about, such as the Maris poll telling you
that there is a Democrat plus fourteen generic ballot mid
term on the way or in the Economist magazine, which
you know I'm not encouraged. Don't, don't, don't spend your
money on it like I do. But the Economists suggests
a plus democrat a plus six democrat in last week's
(25:40):
poll in Tennessee. I you know, lots can change in
ten months, and in ten months we'll be in full
swing with early mail in and early voting. But we're
much more likely to have something in the neighborhood of
maybe Democrat plus one, Democrat plus two than we are
anything resembling what the media are telling you today. And
(26:03):
if that's the case, and if the Republicans play their
cards right, there is a narrow pathway to keeping the majority.
It gives the grain of nine decades of midterm outcomes.
I think we have the chance to keep the majority
in the House. I think if you'd asked me this
question six weeks ago, a couple of months ago, I
(26:26):
would say no. I think the historical trends is probably
enmeshed in the outcome and that's where we'll end up.
But I don't think that's the case, based on what
I watched in Tennessee last night.
Speaker 6 (26:38):
Hey Mike or Michael and Dragon. So since you guys
have moved over to the K zero A, my life
has been a little turned upside down because you know,
I listened to a lot of radio and I'm used
to that into the show top of the hour song
at like six minutes before the top the hour, and
(27:01):
now it plays at twenty three minutes before the top
of the hour. Is freaking me out?
Speaker 4 (27:04):
Anyways, bye, and how did that feel? Okay?
Speaker 2 (27:09):
Now I get it because I saw the Traveling Mulberries,
which is my close out song. I saw it on
next Gen and I thought, what, you know, what are
you doing? And then I thought, you know, we were
basically talking about some other stuff, and so.
Speaker 4 (27:22):
I didn't say anything.
Speaker 2 (27:23):
And then you said to me, I'm going to do
something I think is funny, but just keep your mouth shut.
But then that I turned my microphone on because you
started playing Traveling Mulberries and let it play quite a while,
and I'm like, what are you doing? So you potted
me down so I couldn't be hurt anyway, which you
(27:43):
know is kind of being an ass, but you know
that's nothing unusual. So I would just say it is
amazing how we all, all of us. I don't care
whether it's radio, television, when you have lunch in her breakfast,
whatever your routine. We humans get in a routine, and
(28:06):
anything that disrupts I'm horrible about it. Anything that disrupts
our routine really business us all.
Speaker 3 (28:13):
So I wonder how that felt playing it at what
would have been the normal time at the close of
your previous show on the other station over here right now.
Speaker 2 (28:22):
Well, I can tell you now she will be completely
screwed up on her schedule and timing for the rest.
Speaker 4 (28:27):
Of the day.
Speaker 3 (28:28):
Well, not just as this. You know that maybe some
of the snow driving we're going to have fun. Oh
we are, well, you, you and me, Oh okay, we
don't care if they're.
Speaker 4 (28:40):
Having We will give about the audience. We know that.
Speaker 2 (28:45):
I've come to the conclusion that Trump is truly a
guy that cares about justice and fairness and what he
thinks is just or fair. He's announced that he's going
to pardon former Congressman Henry Quayar of Texas, who was
indicted last year on charges of I think bribery, money laundering,
(29:08):
and some other stuff, and also his wife who faces
or is facing related charges. And he's doing so because
he believes that the Biden administration weaponized the Department of
Justice against their political opponents in Kwawar was now you
(29:28):
remember Henry Quayar actually voted to impeach Donald Trump, but
supported Trump's immigration policies.
Speaker 4 (29:38):
And he is now going after.
Speaker 2 (29:41):
He's not going after, He's now pardoning whom he could
have considered to be one of his enemies. I find
that politically fascinating.