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Speaker 1 (00:11):
You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast, make sure
you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app or
wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, everybody, welcome to the
Buck Brief Today. We're doing a debate preview. Now. For
those of you who are going to say, I'm not
even watching the debate, I don't care, well, let's talk
about that. Why don't people care? Why isn't this more
(00:33):
of a thing. Usually a presidential debate would for those
who follow politics, be a really big deal. So we'll
discuss that and what it means about the general election
of the twenty twenty for election, and some other very
important topics as well. Let me start with this. Okay,
you've got four people though, on this stage, so let's
(00:54):
have this discussion, shall we? Four? Thanks to watch in
tonight's primary debate. And if you're listening to this on
Thursday or Friday, just note that my analysis I'm sure
will prove to be incredibly astute and prescient and even predictive.
I'll throw that out there, predictive analysis. With all this,
so we've only got four candidates on the stage. You
(01:17):
are going to have vivek Ramaswami Nicki Haley, Ron DeSantis,
and Governor Chris Christi. Now here's what I think. First
of all, Governor Christi even making it to the stage
is interesting in and of itself. What really is he
(01:39):
trying to do at this point? And I mean that
I'm starting with him because to me, Governor Chris Christy
has no serious plan to be the next president. I
don't think he thinks he's going to be president. I
don't think anyone thinks he's going to be president. And
he hasn't been able to do anything to really knock
(02:03):
down Trump's support in any meaningful way, which I thought
was really the primary reason he was even in this game, right,
He was trying to throw his weight around, so to speak,
and show that he could stand up to Trump, who
he says is a bully and all this other stuff. Okay, Well,
with that in mind, the polls for Trump have actually
(02:28):
shown that in recent months, not only has his uh
not not only hasn't he lost votes, but Trump's ceiling
so to speak, has been expanding. His ceiling has been
of support has been increasing. People have been falling toward Trump,
not away from him. And that's just what the poll
(02:51):
show you he's at over fifty percent support now in
the GOP. A lot of people have been saying earlier
on oh, he's at forty something percent. He's And here's
the thing. I don't recall Chris Christie in recent memory,
at least taking anywhere near the kind of long position
(03:12):
against some Democrats that he has in this case against
Donald Trump. Right. I mean, Christy is known for being
a brawler, but he only wants to brawl with a
Republican that he has no chance of beating. That strikes
me as a little bit strange. Okay, Now, Viveke Ramasswami,
why is he still in this thing? Well, Viveke is
(03:35):
a smart guy. He likes the media attention. That is true.
That is clear. I think anybody who's running for president does.
But I think Vivike likes it more than others. And
for him, it's just a brand building exercise. For Viveke,
this is getting more time on this stage to show
people his stuff, to show people what he's got, and
(03:59):
perhaps this is an audition for a cabinet role in
a Trump administration, or really it's meant to put him
in a senior role going forward. For twenty twenty eight right,
or a top position among the possible contenders for all
of this. Okay, that's all what I see with the
(04:20):
vag Ramaswami. Nicki Haley the choice of the donor class.
You remember, remember what it was? Was it? What was it?
The choice? What was pepsi? The choice of the next generation? Right?
Nicki Haley the choice of the super rich plutocrats, the GOP.
She's the donor class candidate, that is obvious. She's the
(04:44):
GOP candidate from twenty something years ago. She seems to
think that forever wars are actually a good idea, which
is I think disqualifying in and of itself, at least
in terms of who would be best to run the country.
But you know, Nicki Haley is certainly making her making
(05:07):
her moments happen here by getting to the place where
she's pretty much tied with Ron DeSantis. She's pretty much
neck and neck with Ron DeSantis in some of the polls.
I should say, and then we'll get into de Santis.
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(06:33):
Check this out today, all right now. Ron DeSantis rondas sanctimonious,
as Trump calls him, dysanctimonius is a better nickname, but
neither of them are particularly good nickname. Sleepy Joe was
an all time great, and low energy Jeb was probably
the best of the although Crooked Hillary, okay, Crooked Hillary
(06:56):
might have won him the presidency. But the da sanctimonious
nickname is not It's not a good nickname. I just objectively.
I'm not saying I'm Fortis or for Trump. I'm just
saying I don't think that's Trump's best nickname work. That's all.
But ro Is in this one. And here's what I see,
as you all know, and I don't try to hide
(07:17):
any of my feelings on this. I think Ron, to
say this, is a fantastic governor. I think he set
the standard for Republican governor in this country. And it
is possible to really like and support multiple people in
the Republican Party at any given time. So I have
nothing but good things to say about Ron as governor.
(07:38):
The candidacy for president, just based on the numbers, has
not been where we want it to be. If you're
a Just Santa supporter, if you're a Trump supporter, you
love it right. And if you hear, by the way,
a dog barking in the background, we are a great
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(08:01):
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hear anything to do worthy, dog's fine, she's just whining because
she doesn't like being in her creat all. Right back
(08:22):
to Ron. Ron hasn't had the campaign that he was
hoping to that he thought he would. So when you
look at what the future is here, it's either Iowa
or bus. I think, right he either wins in Iowa
or else. What is he really staying in this presidential
(08:43):
contest for? I mean, I don't think that he's going
to get momentum after Iowa, in New Hampshire and going
into Super Tuesday. I just don't see that happening. So
it's all or nothing for Ron DeSantis. He has to
win Iowa. Maybe then some dominoes start falling and things
change dramatically. But right now, I mean, you just look
at the betting odds. The betting odds or that Donald
(09:03):
Trump is going to be the next Republican nominee but
let's talk about expectations for tonight on how these candidates
I think will try to make a moment for themselves,
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Get the my Towel set. All right, now, where are
we with what's going to happen tonight? The Veke and
Haley are going to be going after each other on
that stage, that is for sure. They don't like each other,
Ron DeSantis, I think so. I mean that, by the way,
that's just I think that's clear at this point. They
(10:49):
don't like each other truly, and I'm not really sure
where that comes from, other than I think they both
have convinced themselves that the other is a phony. I
think that Vivek thinks Nikky Haley is a you know
Boeing Lockheed forever war donor class Hill. And I think
Haley thinks that Vivak is a disingenuous, smarmy say anything
(11:16):
at any moment in time so that he can try to,
you know, swindle some Trump voters into supporting him because
he's like Trump, but he's not Trump. So she thinks
that that's really distasteful and they don't like each other.
Chris Christy, as I was really started out, I started
out talking about him beause I'm surprised he's even on
the stage. He's just gonna take big shots at Donald
(11:36):
Trump and see how that goes. He's just going to
do everything that he can to make a mark by
going after Donald Trump. And then there's DeSantis. What is
DeSantis's pathway here or what are you gonna hear from DeSantis?
Because really this is more about connecting with the audience
than it is any policy, right. This is more about
(12:00):
what is the audience perception of the individual as they
sort of finish up the night or if they only
watch for a few minutes, do they like this guy
or gal? And that's where Ron DeSantis I think really
has to make an effort because he's very strong. If
you're a conservative of Ronda Santis is fantastic on policy
and if you care about results, He's been a phenomenal governor.
(12:23):
But sometimes he lacks that connectivity with the folks. I
don't know how else to say it. I think that's
where it is. And so when you start to factor
in that, or either if you could factor that in
and if you could see some movement in the polls
for Ron DeSantis, that would be helpful, or that would
be moving in the right direction, that would be a
(12:45):
place where he could probably pick up some ground. There
are people who think he should really go after Trump
and make his case that way. I don't know if
that's a wise move at this point. It's but it
is make or break time. So maybe Ron decides to
take a page from the Chris Christie book and just
say Donald Trump won't show up the debate, isn't able
(13:07):
to beat Joe Biden. I mean, he's I think if
he really wants to be president, he probably has to
make that case tonight, even if it doesn't do very
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(13:30):
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AI project dot com. So here's my prediction. I guess
I started save the best for a last I don't
(14:15):
think you'll see any movement in any of the polls
that are meaningful after Tonight's Republican debate. I think that
a lot of people are just going to tweet out
Trump one in the middle of it, because it's just
too much of a golf at this point. It's too
much of a of a distance for the candidates to
make up. And we'll see if I'm wrong. If I'm
not wrong, it's all Iowa or it's Trump right, meaning
(14:38):
that it's all in on Iowa. I for Ronda Santis
or else Donald Trump becomes the next nominee. And I
think Donald Trump can be Joe Biden. So the good
news is, no matter what, if you're a Republican, there
are reasons to be optimistic going forward. That's it for
today's buck brief on the debate specifically, we'll have more
for you, so check the check out. These buck briefs
(14:58):
chields high