#68 Above the Fray: Leading well in chaos

In this episode I examine the four stages of chaos—Disruption, Escalation, Fragmentation, and Disintegration (or Breakthrough)—and how leaders can identify our position within the cycle. Understanding these stages provides us with a vital advantage: it enables us to lead with intention, rather than merely react to the turmoil.

I also incorporate the work of Neil Howe and his Fourth Turning theory, which posits that history progresses in 80-to-100-year cycles. If Howe is correct, we are experiencing a period of fundamental transformation—one that will not simply “return to normal.” However, within this disruption, there is also an opportunity: to shape what comes next.