September 3, 2025 • 32 mins
In this week's episode of Bet On It direct from Las Vegas: Kelly Stewart, Marco D'Angelo and Gianni the Greek break down College Football Week 2 from a sports betting perspective, and share their personal college football picks and predictions.
Intro 00:00
Iowa vs Iowa State 1:20
Ole Miss vs Kentucky 3:09
Michigan vs Oklahoma 4:37
Steam Report with Gianni the Greek 7:20
Barking Dogs 9:20
Marco Barko 9:45
VR’s Dog 12:25
Explanation on “dummying up” in sports betting 14:30
KIV Dog 17:08
Goldsheet Deal 19:22
Marco D’Angelo’s Sandwich Game of the Week 20:04
Best Bets 22:29
VR’s Best Bet 22:49
Marco’s Best Bet 25:57
KIV’s Best Bet 29:58
Recap 31:47
Intro 00:00
Iowa vs Iowa State 1:20
Ole Miss vs Kentucky 3:09
Michigan vs Oklahoma 4:37
Steam Report with Gianni the Greek 7:20
Barking Dogs 9:20
Marco Barko 9:45
VR’s Dog 12:25
Explanation on “dummying up” in sports betting 14:30
KIV Dog 17:08
Goldsheet Deal 19:22
Marco D’Angelo’s Sandwich Game of the Week 20:04
Best Bets 22:29
VR’s Best Bet 22:49
Marco’s Best Bet 25:57
KIV’s Best Bet 29:58
Recap 31:47
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
We saw an exciting Week one of college football.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
Bat on It crew, Kelly and Vegas.
Speaker 1 (00:05):
Here back for week two, we got those top twenty
five games, some barking dogs. Of course, we're gonna see
if that Deli's open with Marco D'Angelo, we're gonna get
ran over by that steam engine with VR and.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
All of that gold.
Speaker 1 (00:20):
Finally, some best bets helpe you guys win some of
that extra coin.
Speaker 2 (00:26):
This is bad on it.
Speaker 1 (00:43):
Welcome in Kelly Stewart here. You guys know me as
Kelly in Vegas. We got VR there in the middle,
Yann and the Greek and Marco di'angelo to my right
at Marco and Vegas. If you guys are not following
him on Twitter, quite the creative name. Yes, I waited
in a whole three weeks Marco before I brought that up.
Once again, let's get into the it's out twenty five games.
I'm going to you first one game that I really like.
(01:04):
We've got the Iowa Hawkeyes headed to Ames to take
on the two and zero, also number twenty two team
in the country Iowa State total forty one and a half.
Speaker 3 (01:14):
Well, Kelly, right now, the stock can't be any higher.
In Iowa State. You know, they went to Ireland for
that Big twelve showdown with your Kansas State Wildcats. They
beat Kansas State in a dogfight. Return home what could
have been a flat spot considering all of the travel
that they had to endure the week before, they took
(01:35):
care of business against South Dakota fifty five to seven.
Now they face in state rival Iowa at home. And
here's the problem for me. They're only minus three. I'm
gonna be honest with you, this almost was my trap
game for this week. I could have very easily slid
this play in. There. You've got a ranked team versus
(01:55):
an unranked team playing at home. They're a favorite, and
they're under a touchdow down favorite. That's always a red
flag for me to look deeper into that game. Then
you look at this is a rivalry game between these
two teams, and it's got a low total. That means
points are going to be at a premium. And if
you've watched these games in the past, that's exactly what
(02:17):
it's been. They've been absolute dog fights. Now you consider
Iowa State already playing their third game three weeks into
the season, because they played in that week zero as
we said in Ireland, you had all of the travel.
You have another physical game with Iowa here. I just think,
come fourth quarter, this is going to be a spot
(02:38):
where concerns for Iowa state and fatigue issues because it
is going to be a physical game. And then Kelly,
my last golden rule, give me the better defense getting points.
I'm there, give me Iowa in this one. I'm calling
for the outright upset. We've got Iowa plus the three.
Speaker 1 (03:00):
With you, Marco, Iowa six to oh their last six
games there in Ames.
Speaker 2 (03:05):
I'm going to the SEC with my TV game here.
That's right.
Speaker 1 (03:09):
We're gonna back a team that we bet against last
week Saturday, three thirty pm Eastern, Number twenty one Old
Miss is a ten point favorite at Kentucky fifty and
a half. I mentioned I bet against Kentucky last week,
kind of look ahead spot if you will, and I
took the worst of.
Speaker 2 (03:25):
The number of VR would have been very disappointed in me.
That's a right.
Speaker 1 (03:28):
I took the eight with Toledo went back up to
ten and a half, and of course that ultimately ended
up being a push for me. The reality was Kentucky
got out gained in that game. If you kind of
want to break it down a little bit further. The
final score was a little misleading. Now that being said,
there's not a seventh year transfer quarterback to playing against
(03:48):
this week in the ReBs. I understand a lot of
people love Lane Kiffen and this Old Miss team, ready
to put them back in the college football playoff once again.
The lots of hypes arounding this defense, Well, they played
Georgia State.
Speaker 2 (04:01):
I like Mark Stoops.
Speaker 1 (04:02):
A lot, have always since his days at Kansas State.
And what he's gonna do defensively is try to slow
down this pace, and I think that he is going
to be successful in doing so. Ten points is too
many here in this one for a Wildcats team. That
wouldn't shock me if they had a defensive score. I
know a lot of people are gonna like the over.
(04:24):
That does bode well for that as well. I like
the Kentucky Wildcats. We're gonna see if they end up
making my three team money line parlay VR Saturday night,
seven thirty pm Easter Number fourteen Michigan is a five
point dog. Number eighteen. Oklahoma total sitting here at forty six.
Speaker 4 (04:44):
Yeah, and at one point Oklahoma got as high as
a six point favorite, got a little Michigan money, and
I think you'll get more Michigan money as we head
into the weekend. Bottom Line, I have Michigan as a
top ten power rated team, so being ranked fifteenth, that
tells me they're a little bit under bound. The problem, though,
is Oklahoma's even more undervalued. They're currently ranked eighteenth in
(05:06):
the poll and they're top fifteen, a little bit behind Michigan.
But you add in the home field advantage and the
way this game sets up, and I really think Oklahoma
should be a touchdown favorite here. And more importantly, I
think they offer value on the money line anything minus
two hundred or less, where they just got to win
the game two out of three times. I think they're
(05:27):
able to do that at home. All the talk is about,
you know, Michigan head coach going back to Oklahoma his
alma mater, and you know, all the hype behind Michigan's
Bryce Underwood at quarterback. Bottom line, if you look into
that first game they played last week, and you don't
want to put too much stock in that first game,
(05:48):
but they needed three turnovers, three interceptions by the New
Mexico quarterback. New Mexico actually had one more first down
then Michigan. New Mexico actually won the time of possession
battle by more than five minutes. I think they're gonna
have a lot of problem with this Oklahoma team, who
just came into the season under Vounde because of the
(06:11):
disappointment last year. But they have a study quarterback who
transferred from Washington State. He looked phenomenal in his first game.
Obviously it was against weak competition, but I liked what
I saw out of him. And as tough as Michigan
is in the trenches, you know, that's where their bread
and butter is. I think they're gonna have a lot
of problems against this Texas defense. I mean Oklahoma defense,
(06:34):
Texas defense, Oklahoma d they're elite, man. They really aren't
what they've been able to do there in the last
two seasons. I just think they're gonna improve off of
so anything less than a touchdown, I think Oklahoma is
the right side. And like I said, I like Oklahoma
on the money line even more. I think they get
to win at home, force some turnovers, get the w
(06:57):
give me Oklahoma minus the five for the pick.
Speaker 1 (07:00):
All right, guys, help you have your odds Logic screens
open because you're gonna need them.
Speaker 2 (07:04):
Here for the.
Speaker 1 (07:05):
Steam report with Vroddslogic dot Com backslash ace Ace get
you guys a one week free trial from our guy
with the locomotive VR. Let's bring in all of that
steam for college football Week two.
Speaker 4 (07:21):
Yeah, and not as heavy as last week, which is expected.
Those lines were up for months and pretty much every
game got dissected.
Speaker 3 (07:31):
So far.
Speaker 4 (07:31):
We do have some moves, but I think the majority
are gonna come later in the week, and I think
even a lot on game day as you get a
lot of that recreational money moving a lot of these lines.
Let's start off with one Friday total James Madison, Louis.
They'll go over fifty seven, go over fifty eight. Then
Saturday three three three Bailer plus the four all the
(07:53):
way down the plus three. That's why it's off that
key number right now, three thirty five Illinois on the
money line. On the money line, up the good to
minus one fifty three forty six laying the chalk with
Navy nineteen and a half and twenty three seventy six
Charlotte plus sixteen. I think they now have gone under
that four plus fourteen number as well. So multiple groups
(08:14):
hit that Charlotte sign three fifty six, Cincinnati minus eighteen,
Good minus one excuse me, good to minus twenty three
eighty one two Lane minus ten, three seventy one Sam Houston.
I gave them out to subscribers. I think four percent
play at plus ten. They hit him again at plus nine,
they hit him again at plus eight. I don't I'm
thinking you'll have trouble getting plus seven right now. But
(08:37):
Sam Houston a lot of steam against ha why three
sixty two, Colorado minus twenty three and a half, four
oh five, Ucla minus one and a half and minus
two three point fifty, Oregon State minus two and two
and a half, three ninety eight Mississippi State plus the
touchdown public on Mississippi State as well, and finally fort
eleven San Diego State plus the three. That's what we
(08:59):
got in college football so far. Whether you follow a faith,
hope casham, don't trash them do some damage with the information.
Speaker 2 (09:07):
Yes, I love to hear a couple of those things
going my way.
Speaker 1 (09:10):
Another game that's going my way because we're headed towards
the barking dogs.
Speaker 2 (09:14):
I don't know if this is good or bad news
for you, Marco.
Speaker 1 (09:17):
I had think ended up three six and one last
week when it was all said and done, thank you
for LSU and br thank you for FSU because I
had to live bett it to try to save some face.
That being said, we're looking for underdogs that have a
chance to win outright, and Marco is up first.
Speaker 2 (09:34):
With a dog.
Speaker 1 (09:36):
I went to put it in the script and it
was already there, and I said, Derek Marco, I too
liked the Yukon Huskies this week.
Speaker 3 (09:44):
Well, Kelly, the knee jerk reaction here is to grab
Syracuse at home to bounce back as they're stepping way
down in class coming off losing to Tennessee last week
on the road actually was a neutral site they played
in Atlanta. But this is that was a big game
for Syracuse to play you an SEC school in week one.
(10:06):
For them to come off that game and come back
home and to think automatically they're going to bounce back,
I'm not buying at And I'm going to quote our
old friend Dave Cochin who used to say, you know,
a team can lose a game twice, and I think
that's what we're looking at here with Syracuse. They went
into that game last week, they gave up nearly five
hundred yards to Tennessee offensively, Syracuse decided to go for
(10:30):
whatever reason, with an up tempo offense. They ran eighty
four offensive plays against Tennessee last week, they only had
three hundred and seventy seven yards. That's four point four
yards per play. That's not good. Now, granted it's going
against an SEC school this week. They're stepping way down
in class Connecticut. They're coming off a blowout win last week.
(10:52):
But what did that really prove because they played a
little sister of the poor Central Connecticut state. But you
know what, we don't know how good or bad they are.
I'm not sold on Syracuse. I'm not sold on them
laying the number. And speaking of that number, here's one
where we saw early movement in this game. This line
(11:13):
opened up over a touchdown and it was immediately bet
down to six and a half. They went through that
key number of seven pretty quickly. And you don't have
recreational players betting early in the week. So that also
confirms that I did the sharp guys like the side
that you and I are on, Kelly, I'm gonna say
(11:33):
to take Connecticut. I think they can pull an upset here.
They're plus six and a half right now. Usually I
tell you get down on a game right now, because
the line's gonna move. In this case, I'm gonna tell
you to hang on because if we lose the half
a point on the six and a half and it
goes to six, we really didn't lose that much. But
if we gain the half a point and it goes
(11:55):
back to seven, we gain a ton. And I think
when the record, when the recreation players get involved on
Saturday morning, they're not betting Connecticut, they're betting Syracuse. So
we can find some sevens. I think on Saturday, take Connecticut.
I like them at six six and a half, like
them even better at seven.
Speaker 1 (12:15):
Yeah, there's a pretty good chance they're gonna be in
my three team underdog money line parlay VR. You're gonna
dig in a little deep here with the smaller dog.
Why do you like New Mexico State plus three.
Speaker 4 (12:25):
And a half Because if you watch the Odds logic screen,
you have seen this one get dummied off through that
key number of three. It happened on Sunday night, day
after Saturday. College football limits extremely low on those openers,
and it's the offshore books first to go to market,
ones like bet online that opened it around two too
(12:46):
and a half and saw some money come in on Tulsa.
Because Tulsa, you know, getting it don looking good against
Abilene Christian, big deal. They're gonna have a lot of
problems against this New Mexico State defense. I like what
I saw out of New Mexico State. Again, you can't
put too much stock in one game, but that's exactly
(13:07):
their strength was the defensive side of the ball, and
they were able to shut down Bryant only to three points.
I get it, it's Bryant, but it's that defense that
you rely on for New Mexico State, and I think
that's what's going to have the problem for Tulsa because
they're an offensive juggernaut. I mean, that's what Tulsa wants
to do, put up points, and I just don't think
(13:29):
they're going to be able to do that against New
Mexico State. You're even looking at a low total. If
you look at the first game four Tolsa, that total
was like fifty nine. Look at last season, so many
of those totals up in the sixties. I think the
market's letting you know they're not going to have an
easy gull of it on the offensive side of the ball.
(13:51):
And give me New Mexico State. I think they'll be
able to do a little better running the football, that's
the offense. If they could just take a little step
forward on the offensive side of the ball, be able
to rush, eat up some clock. Their defense is going
to keep them in the game, and I think they'll
be able to win on the money line at home.
I won't go as far as saying wrong teams favored
(14:12):
like with Cal, but I don't think they should have
been up over that field goal range. I took the
plus four. I think it's worth the money line sprinkle
as well. Giving New Mexico State as my dog for
this week.
Speaker 2 (14:23):
There are just a little backup here.
Speaker 1 (14:25):
I want to talk about what dumbing up means, just
for those that don't know. Can you kind of explain
how groups like to set up certain games, just so
our audience maybe some newer viewers understand.
Speaker 4 (14:36):
Yeah, and it's not even really I mean, we call
it dummying up because in some markets that's exactly what
you're doing when you're able to manipulate a line, Why
would it you? So I have an account that's a
skin of Pinnacle. Okay, they the only stuff I put
in there is sharp stuff, so they already have that
label as a sharp account. My limit is only five
(14:57):
hundred dollars. But the group I work with knows that
I could bet into that account. They're going to see it.
Assume it's a you know, steam move. They're going to adjust,
and everyone's going to follow the screen because if Pinnacle
moves that a half a point, everyone else is pretty
much going to move at a half a point in
most markets. And what I do a lot with their
(15:18):
is MMA. So I could move a money line on
Fighter A from minus one fifty up to minus one
sixty minus one seventy with with maybe two limit bets,
and then as the limits get bigger, my real bet
was on Fighter B or Team B. Now I come
in on the other side with a two x three
(15:40):
x four x five x size of my bet as earlier,
and I have an even better number than before. But
here's the best part about it. Because if you have
the power to minute late markets, you know, why.
Speaker 3 (15:51):
Would it you?
Speaker 4 (15:52):
It's harder to do in these bigger ones. College football NFL.
But worst case scenario for these groups is they're going
to have a better ticket in their pocket than what
the line closes at. So even their initial bet, though
it wasn't a move they wanted to take a position on,
it puts them.
Speaker 3 (16:12):
On a good bet.
Speaker 4 (16:13):
They're laying the two two and a half on Tulsa,
they're not laying the field goal. So now even though
the big money's on New Mexico State at plus four,
that game lands three, which you know is three key number.
They hit both bets. But worst case scenario is, you know,
they have more on the New Mexico State side at
a better number than if they beted early at plus
(16:36):
two and a half or even at plus three. Now
we were able to get plus four, which matters. You know,
every point matter is, let alone, every half point matters.
So when I see that, I pay very close attention
because it lets me know they already liked the New
Mexico State side and wanted to take a bigger position,
so wanted to get a little better number. Give me
(16:58):
this New Mexico's eighteen to get it done for us
this week, all.
Speaker 1 (17:02):
Right, And for my marking dog, this says what I
do during the summer, I start looking at some of
the scheduling spots. I start looking at some of the
teams that I want to start backing as underdogs, and
I've had the University of Kansas circle since probably mid
July for the spot. This is a game that hasn't
been played since twenty twenty one.
Speaker 2 (17:22):
They call it the Border War.
Speaker 1 (17:24):
I feel like there is so much hate between Kansas
and Missouri growing up in Kansas.
Speaker 2 (17:29):
At the rest of the world just doesn't know.
Speaker 1 (17:32):
Go dig yourself read about the history lesson Bleeding Kansas
and it explains so much. I think it's a fun
little history lesson. That being said, I was setting down
on the Jayhawks to start the season in terms of
Fresno State. Maybe I wasn't down on the Jayhawks, but
I was higher on Kurt Warner's kid.
Speaker 2 (17:50):
My bad.
Speaker 1 (17:52):
The reality was Kansas with a healthy Jalen Daniels is
a much better team, and I think we knew that
he's been hurt over the last two seasons. Last week
they got to play a well Wagner team. Didn't think
that they would show too much, but they did have
two Two times they turned the ball over in the
(18:13):
red zone, that was nice to see them get them
out of the system. Before going to Miszoo, you guys
saw Sam Horn got hurt against Central Arkansas and they
brought in a Penn State transfer who proceeded to light
the board up. I did miss the seven and a
half here, which was not available for very long. But
the reality is I expect Kau to be able to
(18:34):
air the ball out. I expect Miszoo to be able
to air the ball out in the Frankly, whoever has
the ball last is.
Speaker 2 (18:41):
Probably going to win this game. But give me the
six points here.
Speaker 1 (18:44):
With the Kansas Jayhawks, I think they are much improved again,
much healthier than they were last year, and positive regression
is coming for this team. I think KU got to start,
got to rescues me most of their starters after you know,
forty six seven lit up the scoreboard, so they are
ready for this Missou team. I like Kansas plus the points.
(19:06):
I like Kansas to sprinkle a little bit there on
that money line. If you guys are looking for a
copy of the gold Cheat WT Dot buzz Backslash GTS,
you can get the entire season for one hundred and
ninety nine bucks right now over there on the gold
Cheat website WT Dot Buzz backslash GC that comes out.
Speaker 2 (19:30):
It's about ten bucks a week.
Speaker 1 (19:31):
You're gonna get analysis on every NFL and of course
every FBS level college football game from the country's longest
running sports betting newsletter right now through the Super Bowl
for about ten bucks a week. One ninety nine there
on WT dot Buzz backslash GTS Marco DiAngelo with your
specially segment here it is week two.
Speaker 2 (19:55):
Is the deli back open?
Speaker 3 (19:57):
Yeah, the deli is open, Kelly. We've got a sandwich
game for you this week, and it's a sandwich out
of my hometown. We're heading to Pittsburgh this week, and
on paper, pitt looks like they should blow out Central Michigan.
After all, pits a Power five conference playing a MAC school.
(20:17):
But Pitt's coming off a sixty one to nine blowout
over Duquine. For those of you that don't know who
Duquine is, they're a smaller school in Pittsburgh. So even
though it was a blowout, the pitt players had a
good They felt pretty good about it, beating up on
their little brother across town in Pittsburgh. They enjoyed that
(20:40):
baby a little bit too much. Now they've got the
Mac School coming in, but it's who's coming in next
week that's got my attention. Pitt plays West Virginia, and
if you know the history, these two were rivals. They
used to play every year. It was known as the
backyard Brawl. Because of different conference and affiliations, they hadn't
(21:01):
been playing this series anymore, but they renewed it. They
played last year and it was a barn burner. Pitt
came from behind to win thirty eight to thirty four.
So definitely they are looking ahead to next week's game
Central Michigan. They played a game last week and I
got to give them credit. You got a Max Schull
(21:22):
went west. Granted they played San Jose State, not a powerhouse,
but for the first week of the season to go
cross country play on the West coast pull an upset
as a fourteen point underdog. I will note they were
aided by three turnovers by San Jose State, but still
they got the win. I think this team can stay
(21:43):
with Pitt, especially if Pitt is looking ahead. And even
if Pitt does come focus, how much of the playbook
do they want to show this week against Central Michigan
with West Virginia on deck, I think they'll run a
pretty vanilla offense most of the game just to pound
out a win. Pitt will get the win. I don't
(22:03):
see them covering this huge number of twenty three points.
I'm gonna go ahead and take Central Michigan to keep
this one close enough to cover that huge number Pit wins.
But Central Michigan covers the spread, all right.
Speaker 2 (22:18):
I hope you guys are hungry.
Speaker 1 (22:19):
That is a big sandwich spot there from Marco DiAngelo,
and that is the end of our specially segment, So
that means it is time for best bets VR.
Speaker 2 (22:29):
You are up first.
Speaker 1 (22:30):
Please let everybody know what you've got going on over
at wager talk dot com before you tell me why
I need to not be taking Western Kentucky here. I
had them circled on my long list, possibly for my parlay,
and you may have just gotten me to cross them
off my list.
Speaker 4 (22:49):
Don't do it. Don't do it first, head on over
to wage talk dot com. I have my Saturday Conege
football package off, my Sunday NFL package up. The numbers
speak for themselves, I said, coming into the sea, and
I'm more prepared for this NFL in college football season
than I've been in a number of years. Based on
the groups that I'm working with. You're seeing the stuff
that's going into the subscription. If you're a subscriber, you're
(23:11):
getting everything, all the college football. I'm not afraid to
throw volume. We're getting extra games in there, We're getting
first quarters in their first halfs. We are firing because
it's winning stuff. Also in the past, I'm going to
limit it be selected for you, and I'm choosing the strongest.
But still there'll be enough in there for Saturday and
again NFL Sunday. We'll have this steam room leading up
(23:33):
to kickoff of the first NFL games. So we'll have
a two hour steamroom. We go over each and every
NFL game, sign total player prompts, answer all your questions,
and fifteen minutes before kickoff, we will put together those
teasers that did a lot of damage for us last year.
So jump on board, head on over towageertalk dot com,
(23:55):
and like I said, numbers tell the story. With that
said total lead dough, we should be laying so many
point more points than this. They win this game call
by two touchdowns. Phill Toppers pony is a three dollars bill.
They're offensively, they look phenomenal right, throwing the football, throwing
(24:16):
the football. The weakness for Toledo is against the run.
You got to run on them to beat this team.
That's where their weakness is. That's what they came into
the season having the fix. That's where their problems are.
Against the past, they're just fine. This is a decent
defense in the secondary, more importantly, offensive side of the ball.
(24:37):
Western Kentucky's gonna have a lot of problems they give
up the bit. You saw in their first two games.
They played absolutely nobody's but they were giving up some
big plays. Those teams can't sustain drives, they can't put
game plans together to beat a superior opponent. But you
just saw how vulnerable Western Kentucky was even against these
(24:57):
bad teams by giving up those kind of points. And
you saw with Kentucky just how well Toledo played. Like
I said, they limited them. Again, Kentucky wants to run
the football, but just how they limited that That quarterback
that eighty five yards passing like forty percent completion rate. Again,
(25:18):
Kentucky not an offensive juggernaut by any stretch, but still
liked what I saw against the pass. Take Toledo, lay
the points. This offense will start to get margin once
the Hilltoppers are forced to just you know, throw the ball,
throw the ball, throw the ball against this defense won't
have success. It turns into a two touchdown win. At
(25:39):
least give me Toledo at home, laying this small spot.
Speaker 1 (25:43):
All right, Marco DiAngelo, you're up next, and wow, wow,
wow wow. Before you get into your best bet, and
why you haven't given up on this team even though
I have, Please let everybody know what you have.
Speaker 2 (25:56):
Going on over at wagertalk dot com.
Speaker 3 (25:59):
All right, Kelly, Well, last week we told you about
grabbing that seven day all access package. You know, we
don't go high volume. We're different. I try to be
more selective and it paid off last week for us.
It's my style, not saying either style is better than
the other. You have to do what you're comfortable with.
We had four plays last week in football, we won
(26:20):
all four of them. Good start to the season. Last
year we were number two in college and pro money
one combined. So you've got last year's stats, you've got
a good start this year, so why not let's run
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You can get any cap or seven days for seventy
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five percent plays sell for thirty five dollars by themselves.
All right, let's get to the play the Kelly.
Speaker 4 (27:00):
Wow, Wow Wow, And.
Speaker 3 (27:02):
I'm gonna go while not Kelly, you're giving up too
soon here, and I am totally throwing out last week's
game and we're talking about Kansas State. They were life
and death last week Kelly's Kansas State Wildcats thirty eight
thirty five against North Dakota. Are you kidding me? Twenty
(27:24):
seven and a half point favorite, and they were life
and death. Well, what did we say earlier is Dave
Cochin always like to say you can you can lose
the same game twice. That was a horrible spot for
Kansas State to return from Ireland after a hard fought
game which you know, could you know, have a deciding
factor for the Big twelve. Everybody you know built that
(27:47):
game up all summer to start the Big twelve season
over in Ireland in a key game like that, and
to come up short and then travel back off of that.
How was your flight back, Kelly off of that wasn't enjoyable?
Then you play a team that you're a twenty seven
and a half point favorite, you figure we just got
to show up and we're gonna win the game. Well,
(28:09):
it almost cost them. I love taking teams the week
after they had a major scare like that because it
is an absolute wake up call. It's also a license
for the coaches to drill these team, these players in
practice and get their attention, and they're gonna be focused
this week. They're playing an Army team. Now, on surface,
(28:31):
you look at Army and you remember Army, you know,
maybe from the last couple of years. This is not
that Army team. They had a lot of turnover from
last season. Last week they gave up thirty points to
Tarlington State. Are you kidding me? What's Kansas State gonna do? Focused?
They should put up forty forty five to fifty points
(28:52):
in this game. And how's Army gonna be able to
score consistently against Kansas State? I know the Kansas State defense.
There's concerns, but we're the concerns Kelly. You said it
early in the year. It's in the secondary. It's not
the run defense. What's Army do. That's all they do
is run. They'll throw a few passes, they might, you know,
(29:13):
catch them by surprise on a broken play, but consistently,
Army's not going to be able to move the ball
through the air because that's not what they do. And
they're gonna fall behind in this game, and they're gonna
fall behind early and have to force the issue. I
like Kansas State. This is a get right game for them.
It's blowout city. In my opinion, lay the seventeen. I
(29:35):
think we're getting a break on the number as well.
I have this should be more closer to twenty twenty
and a half, but because of last week's over reaction,
we're getting value.
Speaker 2 (29:46):
Overreaction is an understatement. Marco. I will be cheering for you,
but I am very.
Speaker 1 (29:51):
Close to giving up on that team. It's better for
my mental well being. All right, guys, my best bet
and it looks like we're all going for best bets
this week is a little chalky, but I do like
the Florida Gators minus seventeen Here and look, South Florida.
We all saw it last Thursday night. What did they do?
They got the outright win versus Boise State. I of
(30:14):
course played them in the contest, not in real life,
and that was a frustrating one for me. But they
won a twenty seven point home win over Boise State
as a six and a half point underdog. Pretty pretty impressive.
Brown went sixteen to twenty four two hundred and ten
yards and then forty three yards on the ground.
Speaker 2 (30:32):
Hey great, why not? You gotta love to see it.
Speaker 1 (30:37):
They snuck in a backup quarterback for a fake punt
for a touchdown.
Speaker 2 (30:42):
They won the turnover battle three nothing. Again, they looked great.
Speaker 1 (30:46):
If you guys remember I took South Florida plus twenty
three and a half in twenty twenty two, I sat
right there on the fifty yard line in Gainesville. Cheer
for USF who almost won the game outright. This is
a much better Florida team than we saw in twenty two,
twenty two and Billy Napier's first season. Last week, Florida
got to beat the breaks off of Long Island in
(31:07):
FCS School fifty five to nothing as a forty seven
point favorite. So that's what they got to do. They
got to put in lots of backups who are very rested.
You got Dallas Wilson coming back this week, Caleb Banks.
I think we're gonna see a much better Gators team
than we even saw last week, with fresh legs to
(31:27):
work with. I think seventeen is a bi low spot
here in an overreaction to what we saw usf do
last week in prime time.
Speaker 2 (31:35):
All right, guys, that is the show.
Speaker 1 (31:38):
I hope everybody enjoyed it, the new faster edition of
the college football show, so everybody has time to watch.
If you love it, tell us in the comments. If
you hate it, tell us in the comments. We're gonna
get up that recap graphic for everybody that they all
love so much. And of course, if you guys are
looking for the NFL edition of bet On, you guys
(31:59):
can watch it right here. And if you guys are
missing Ralph Michaels TNA, don't worry.
Speaker 2 (32:04):
We've got you guys covered
We saw an exciting Week one of college football.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
Bat on It crew, Kelly and Vegas.
Speaker 1 (00:05):
Here back for week two, we got those top twenty
five games, some barking dogs. Of course, we're gonna see
if that Deli's open with Marco D'Angelo, we're gonna get
ran over by that steam engine with VR and.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
All of that gold.
Speaker 1 (00:20):
Finally, some best bets helpe you guys win some of
that extra coin.
Speaker 2 (00:26):
This is bad on it.
Speaker 1 (00:43):
Welcome in Kelly Stewart here. You guys know me as
Kelly in Vegas. We got VR there in the middle,
Yann and the Greek and Marco di'angelo to my right
at Marco and Vegas. If you guys are not following
him on Twitter, quite the creative name. Yes, I waited
in a whole three weeks Marco before I brought that up.
Once again, let's get into the it's out twenty five games.
I'm going to you first one game that I really like.
(01:04):
We've got the Iowa Hawkeyes headed to Ames to take
on the two and zero, also number twenty two team
in the country Iowa State total forty one and a half.
Speaker 3 (01:14):
Well, Kelly, right now, the stock can't be any higher.
In Iowa State. You know, they went to Ireland for
that Big twelve showdown with your Kansas State Wildcats. They
beat Kansas State in a dogfight. Return home what could
have been a flat spot considering all of the travel
that they had to endure the week before, they took
(01:35):
care of business against South Dakota fifty five to seven.
Now they face in state rival Iowa at home. And
here's the problem for me. They're only minus three. I'm
gonna be honest with you, this almost was my trap
game for this week. I could have very easily slid
this play in. There. You've got a ranked team versus
(01:55):
an unranked team playing at home. They're a favorite, and
they're under a touchdow down favorite. That's always a red
flag for me to look deeper into that game. Then
you look at this is a rivalry game between these
two teams, and it's got a low total. That means
points are going to be at a premium. And if
you've watched these games in the past, that's exactly what
(02:17):
it's been. They've been absolute dog fights. Now you consider
Iowa State already playing their third game three weeks into
the season, because they played in that week zero as
we said in Ireland, you had all of the travel.
You have another physical game with Iowa here. I just think,
come fourth quarter, this is going to be a spot
(02:38):
where concerns for Iowa state and fatigue issues because it
is going to be a physical game. And then Kelly,
my last golden rule, give me the better defense getting points.
I'm there, give me Iowa in this one. I'm calling
for the outright upset. We've got Iowa plus the three.
Speaker 1 (03:00):
With you, Marco, Iowa six to oh their last six
games there in Ames.
Speaker 2 (03:05):
I'm going to the SEC with my TV game here.
That's right.
Speaker 1 (03:09):
We're gonna back a team that we bet against last
week Saturday, three thirty pm Eastern, Number twenty one Old
Miss is a ten point favorite at Kentucky fifty and
a half. I mentioned I bet against Kentucky last week,
kind of look ahead spot if you will, and I
took the worst of.
Speaker 2 (03:25):
The number of VR would have been very disappointed in me.
That's a right.
Speaker 1 (03:28):
I took the eight with Toledo went back up to
ten and a half, and of course that ultimately ended
up being a push for me. The reality was Kentucky
got out gained in that game. If you kind of
want to break it down a little bit further. The
final score was a little misleading. Now that being said,
there's not a seventh year transfer quarterback to playing against
(03:48):
this week in the ReBs. I understand a lot of
people love Lane Kiffen and this Old Miss team, ready
to put them back in the college football playoff once again.
The lots of hypes arounding this defense, Well, they played
Georgia State.
Speaker 2 (04:01):
I like Mark Stoops.
Speaker 1 (04:02):
A lot, have always since his days at Kansas State.
And what he's gonna do defensively is try to slow
down this pace, and I think that he is going
to be successful in doing so. Ten points is too
many here in this one for a Wildcats team. That
wouldn't shock me if they had a defensive score. I
know a lot of people are gonna like the over.
(04:24):
That does bode well for that as well. I like
the Kentucky Wildcats. We're gonna see if they end up
making my three team money line parlay VR Saturday night,
seven thirty pm Easter Number fourteen Michigan is a five
point dog. Number eighteen. Oklahoma total sitting here at forty six.
Speaker 4 (04:44):
Yeah, and at one point Oklahoma got as high as
a six point favorite, got a little Michigan money, and
I think you'll get more Michigan money as we head
into the weekend. Bottom Line, I have Michigan as a
top ten power rated team, so being ranked fifteenth, that
tells me they're a little bit under bound. The problem, though,
is Oklahoma's even more undervalued. They're currently ranked eighteenth in
(05:06):
the poll and they're top fifteen, a little bit behind Michigan.
But you add in the home field advantage and the
way this game sets up, and I really think Oklahoma
should be a touchdown favorite here. And more importantly, I
think they offer value on the money line anything minus
two hundred or less, where they just got to win
the game two out of three times. I think they're
(05:27):
able to do that at home. All the talk is about,
you know, Michigan head coach going back to Oklahoma his
alma mater, and you know, all the hype behind Michigan's
Bryce Underwood at quarterback. Bottom line, if you look into
that first game they played last week, and you don't
want to put too much stock in that first game,
(05:48):
but they needed three turnovers, three interceptions by the New
Mexico quarterback. New Mexico actually had one more first down
then Michigan. New Mexico actually won the time of possession
battle by more than five minutes. I think they're gonna
have a lot of problem with this Oklahoma team, who
just came into the season under Vounde because of the
(06:11):
disappointment last year. But they have a study quarterback who
transferred from Washington State. He looked phenomenal in his first game.
Obviously it was against weak competition, but I liked what
I saw out of him. And as tough as Michigan
is in the trenches, you know, that's where their bread
and butter is. I think they're gonna have a lot
of problems against this Texas defense. I mean Oklahoma defense,
(06:34):
Texas defense, Oklahoma d they're elite, man. They really aren't
what they've been able to do there in the last
two seasons. I just think they're gonna improve off of
so anything less than a touchdown, I think Oklahoma is
the right side. And like I said, I like Oklahoma
on the money line even more. I think they get
to win at home, force some turnovers, get the w
(06:57):
give me Oklahoma minus the five for the pick.
Speaker 1 (07:00):
All right, guys, help you have your odds Logic screens
open because you're gonna need them.
Speaker 2 (07:04):
Here for the.
Speaker 1 (07:05):
Steam report with Vroddslogic dot Com backslash ace Ace get
you guys a one week free trial from our guy
with the locomotive VR. Let's bring in all of that
steam for college football Week two.
Speaker 4 (07:21):
Yeah, and not as heavy as last week, which is expected.
Those lines were up for months and pretty much every
game got dissected.
Speaker 3 (07:31):
So far.
Speaker 4 (07:31):
We do have some moves, but I think the majority
are gonna come later in the week, and I think
even a lot on game day as you get a
lot of that recreational money moving a lot of these lines.
Let's start off with one Friday total James Madison, Louis.
They'll go over fifty seven, go over fifty eight. Then
Saturday three three three Bailer plus the four all the
(07:53):
way down the plus three. That's why it's off that
key number right now, three thirty five Illinois on the
money line. On the money line, up the good to
minus one fifty three forty six laying the chalk with
Navy nineteen and a half and twenty three seventy six
Charlotte plus sixteen. I think they now have gone under
that four plus fourteen number as well. So multiple groups
(08:14):
hit that Charlotte sign three fifty six, Cincinnati minus eighteen,
Good minus one excuse me, good to minus twenty three
eighty one two Lane minus ten, three seventy one Sam Houston.
I gave them out to subscribers. I think four percent
play at plus ten. They hit him again at plus nine,
they hit him again at plus eight. I don't I'm
thinking you'll have trouble getting plus seven right now. But
(08:37):
Sam Houston a lot of steam against ha why three
sixty two, Colorado minus twenty three and a half, four
oh five, Ucla minus one and a half and minus
two three point fifty, Oregon State minus two and two
and a half, three ninety eight Mississippi State plus the
touchdown public on Mississippi State as well, and finally fort
eleven San Diego State plus the three. That's what we
(08:59):
got in college football so far. Whether you follow a faith,
hope casham, don't trash them do some damage with the information.
Speaker 2 (09:07):
Yes, I love to hear a couple of those things
going my way.
Speaker 1 (09:10):
Another game that's going my way because we're headed towards
the barking dogs.
Speaker 2 (09:14):
I don't know if this is good or bad news
for you, Marco.
Speaker 1 (09:17):
I had think ended up three six and one last
week when it was all said and done, thank you
for LSU and br thank you for FSU because I
had to live bett it to try to save some face.
That being said, we're looking for underdogs that have a
chance to win outright, and Marco is up first.
Speaker 2 (09:34):
With a dog.
Speaker 1 (09:36):
I went to put it in the script and it
was already there, and I said, Derek Marco, I too
liked the Yukon Huskies this week.
Speaker 3 (09:44):
Well, Kelly, the knee jerk reaction here is to grab
Syracuse at home to bounce back as they're stepping way
down in class coming off losing to Tennessee last week
on the road actually was a neutral site they played
in Atlanta. But this is that was a big game
for Syracuse to play you an SEC school in week one.
(10:06):
For them to come off that game and come back
home and to think automatically they're going to bounce back,
I'm not buying at And I'm going to quote our
old friend Dave Cochin who used to say, you know,
a team can lose a game twice, and I think
that's what we're looking at here with Syracuse. They went
into that game last week, they gave up nearly five
hundred yards to Tennessee offensively, Syracuse decided to go for
(10:30):
whatever reason, with an up tempo offense. They ran eighty
four offensive plays against Tennessee last week, they only had
three hundred and seventy seven yards. That's four point four
yards per play. That's not good. Now, granted it's going
against an SEC school this week. They're stepping way down
in class Connecticut. They're coming off a blowout win last week.
(10:52):
But what did that really prove because they played a
little sister of the poor Central Connecticut state. But you
know what, we don't know how good or bad they are.
I'm not sold on Syracuse. I'm not sold on them
laying the number. And speaking of that number, here's one
where we saw early movement in this game. This line
(11:13):
opened up over a touchdown and it was immediately bet
down to six and a half. They went through that
key number of seven pretty quickly. And you don't have
recreational players betting early in the week. So that also
confirms that I did the sharp guys like the side
that you and I are on, Kelly, I'm gonna say
(11:33):
to take Connecticut. I think they can pull an upset here.
They're plus six and a half right now. Usually I
tell you get down on a game right now, because
the line's gonna move. In this case, I'm gonna tell
you to hang on because if we lose the half
a point on the six and a half and it
goes to six, we really didn't lose that much. But
if we gain the half a point and it goes
(11:55):
back to seven, we gain a ton. And I think
when the record, when the recreation players get involved on
Saturday morning, they're not betting Connecticut, they're betting Syracuse. So
we can find some sevens. I think on Saturday, take Connecticut.
I like them at six six and a half, like
them even better at seven.
Speaker 1 (12:15):
Yeah, there's a pretty good chance they're gonna be in
my three team underdog money line parlay VR. You're gonna
dig in a little deep here with the smaller dog.
Why do you like New Mexico State plus three.
Speaker 4 (12:25):
And a half Because if you watch the Odds logic screen,
you have seen this one get dummied off through that
key number of three. It happened on Sunday night, day
after Saturday. College football limits extremely low on those openers,
and it's the offshore books first to go to market,
ones like bet online that opened it around two too
(12:46):
and a half and saw some money come in on Tulsa.
Because Tulsa, you know, getting it don looking good against
Abilene Christian, big deal. They're gonna have a lot of
problems against this New Mexico State defense. I like what
I saw out of New Mexico State. Again, you can't
put too much stock in one game, but that's exactly
(13:07):
their strength was the defensive side of the ball, and
they were able to shut down Bryant only to three points.
I get it, it's Bryant, but it's that defense that
you rely on for New Mexico State, and I think
that's what's going to have the problem for Tulsa because
they're an offensive juggernaut. I mean, that's what Tulsa wants
to do, put up points, and I just don't think
(13:29):
they're going to be able to do that against New
Mexico State. You're even looking at a low total. If
you look at the first game four Tolsa, that total
was like fifty nine. Look at last season, so many
of those totals up in the sixties. I think the
market's letting you know they're not going to have an
easy gull of it on the offensive side of the ball.
(13:51):
And give me New Mexico State. I think they'll be
able to do a little better running the football, that's
the offense. If they could just take a little step
forward on the offensive side of the ball, be able
to rush, eat up some clock. Their defense is going
to keep them in the game, and I think they'll
be able to win on the money line at home.
I won't go as far as saying wrong teams favored
(14:12):
like with Cal, but I don't think they should have
been up over that field goal range. I took the
plus four. I think it's worth the money line sprinkle
as well. Giving New Mexico State as my dog for
this week.
Speaker 2 (14:23):
There are just a little backup here.
Speaker 1 (14:25):
I want to talk about what dumbing up means, just
for those that don't know. Can you kind of explain
how groups like to set up certain games, just so
our audience maybe some newer viewers understand.
Speaker 4 (14:36):
Yeah, and it's not even really I mean, we call
it dummying up because in some markets that's exactly what
you're doing when you're able to manipulate a line, Why
would it you? So I have an account that's a
skin of Pinnacle. Okay, they the only stuff I put
in there is sharp stuff, so they already have that
label as a sharp account. My limit is only five
(14:57):
hundred dollars. But the group I work with knows that
I could bet into that account. They're going to see it.
Assume it's a you know, steam move. They're going to adjust,
and everyone's going to follow the screen because if Pinnacle
moves that a half a point, everyone else is pretty
much going to move at a half a point in
most markets. And what I do a lot with their
(15:18):
is MMA. So I could move a money line on
Fighter A from minus one fifty up to minus one
sixty minus one seventy with with maybe two limit bets,
and then as the limits get bigger, my real bet
was on Fighter B or Team B. Now I come
in on the other side with a two x three
(15:40):
x four x five x size of my bet as earlier,
and I have an even better number than before. But
here's the best part about it. Because if you have
the power to minute late markets, you know, why.
Speaker 3 (15:51):
Would it you?
Speaker 4 (15:52):
It's harder to do in these bigger ones. College football NFL.
But worst case scenario for these groups is they're going
to have a better ticket in their pocket than what
the line closes at. So even their initial bet, though
it wasn't a move they wanted to take a position on,
it puts them.
Speaker 3 (16:12):
On a good bet.
Speaker 4 (16:13):
They're laying the two two and a half on Tulsa,
they're not laying the field goal. So now even though
the big money's on New Mexico State at plus four,
that game lands three, which you know is three key number.
They hit both bets. But worst case scenario is, you know,
they have more on the New Mexico State side at
a better number than if they beted early at plus
(16:36):
two and a half or even at plus three. Now
we were able to get plus four, which matters. You know,
every point matter is, let alone, every half point matters.
So when I see that, I pay very close attention
because it lets me know they already liked the New
Mexico State side and wanted to take a bigger position,
so wanted to get a little better number. Give me
(16:58):
this New Mexico's eighteen to get it done for us
this week, all.
Speaker 1 (17:02):
Right, And for my marking dog, this says what I
do during the summer, I start looking at some of
the scheduling spots. I start looking at some of the
teams that I want to start backing as underdogs, and
I've had the University of Kansas circle since probably mid
July for the spot. This is a game that hasn't
been played since twenty twenty one.
Speaker 2 (17:22):
They call it the Border War.
Speaker 1 (17:24):
I feel like there is so much hate between Kansas
and Missouri growing up in Kansas.
Speaker 2 (17:29):
At the rest of the world just doesn't know.
Speaker 1 (17:32):
Go dig yourself read about the history lesson Bleeding Kansas
and it explains so much. I think it's a fun
little history lesson. That being said, I was setting down
on the Jayhawks to start the season in terms of
Fresno State. Maybe I wasn't down on the Jayhawks, but
I was higher on Kurt Warner's kid.
Speaker 2 (17:50):
My bad.
Speaker 1 (17:52):
The reality was Kansas with a healthy Jalen Daniels is
a much better team, and I think we knew that
he's been hurt over the last two seasons. Last week
they got to play a well Wagner team. Didn't think
that they would show too much, but they did have
two Two times they turned the ball over in the
(18:13):
red zone, that was nice to see them get them
out of the system. Before going to Miszoo, you guys
saw Sam Horn got hurt against Central Arkansas and they
brought in a Penn State transfer who proceeded to light
the board up. I did miss the seven and a
half here, which was not available for very long. But
the reality is I expect Kau to be able to
(18:34):
air the ball out. I expect Miszoo to be able
to air the ball out in the Frankly, whoever has
the ball last is.
Speaker 2 (18:41):
Probably going to win this game. But give me the
six points here.
Speaker 1 (18:44):
With the Kansas Jayhawks, I think they are much improved again,
much healthier than they were last year, and positive regression
is coming for this team. I think KU got to start,
got to rescues me most of their starters after you know,
forty six seven lit up the scoreboard, so they are
ready for this Missou team. I like Kansas plus the points.
(19:06):
I like Kansas to sprinkle a little bit there on
that money line. If you guys are looking for a
copy of the gold Cheat WT Dot buzz Backslash GTS,
you can get the entire season for one hundred and
ninety nine bucks right now over there on the gold
Cheat website WT Dot Buzz backslash GC that comes out.
Speaker 2 (19:30):
It's about ten bucks a week.
Speaker 1 (19:31):
You're gonna get analysis on every NFL and of course
every FBS level college football game from the country's longest
running sports betting newsletter right now through the Super Bowl
for about ten bucks a week. One ninety nine there
on WT dot Buzz backslash GTS Marco DiAngelo with your
specially segment here it is week two.
Speaker 2 (19:55):
Is the deli back open?
Speaker 3 (19:57):
Yeah, the deli is open, Kelly. We've got a sandwich
game for you this week, and it's a sandwich out
of my hometown. We're heading to Pittsburgh this week, and
on paper, pitt looks like they should blow out Central Michigan.
After all, pits a Power five conference playing a MAC school.
(20:17):
But Pitt's coming off a sixty one to nine blowout
over Duquine. For those of you that don't know who
Duquine is, they're a smaller school in Pittsburgh. So even
though it was a blowout, the pitt players had a
good They felt pretty good about it, beating up on
their little brother across town in Pittsburgh. They enjoyed that
(20:40):
baby a little bit too much. Now they've got the
Mac School coming in, but it's who's coming in next
week that's got my attention. Pitt plays West Virginia, and
if you know the history, these two were rivals. They
used to play every year. It was known as the
backyard Brawl. Because of different conference and affiliations, they hadn't
(21:01):
been playing this series anymore, but they renewed it. They
played last year and it was a barn burner. Pitt
came from behind to win thirty eight to thirty four.
So definitely they are looking ahead to next week's game
Central Michigan. They played a game last week and I
got to give them credit. You got a Max Schull
(21:22):
went west. Granted they played San Jose State, not a powerhouse,
but for the first week of the season to go
cross country play on the West coast pull an upset
as a fourteen point underdog. I will note they were
aided by three turnovers by San Jose State, but still
they got the win. I think this team can stay
(21:43):
with Pitt, especially if Pitt is looking ahead. And even
if Pitt does come focus, how much of the playbook
do they want to show this week against Central Michigan
with West Virginia on deck, I think they'll run a
pretty vanilla offense most of the game just to pound
out a win. Pitt will get the win. I don't
(22:03):
see them covering this huge number of twenty three points.
I'm gonna go ahead and take Central Michigan to keep
this one close enough to cover that huge number Pit wins.
But Central Michigan covers the spread, all right.
Speaker 2 (22:18):
I hope you guys are hungry.
Speaker 1 (22:19):
That is a big sandwich spot there from Marco DiAngelo,
and that is the end of our specially segment, So
that means it is time for best bets VR.
Speaker 2 (22:29):
You are up first.
Speaker 1 (22:30):
Please let everybody know what you've got going on over
at wager talk dot com before you tell me why
I need to not be taking Western Kentucky here. I
had them circled on my long list, possibly for my parlay,
and you may have just gotten me to cross them
off my list.
Speaker 4 (22:49):
Don't do it. Don't do it first, head on over
to wage talk dot com. I have my Saturday Conege
football package off, my Sunday NFL package up. The numbers
speak for themselves, I said, coming into the sea, and
I'm more prepared for this NFL in college football season
than I've been in a number of years. Based on
the groups that I'm working with. You're seeing the stuff
that's going into the subscription. If you're a subscriber, you're
(23:11):
getting everything, all the college football. I'm not afraid to
throw volume. We're getting extra games in there, We're getting
first quarters in their first halfs. We are firing because
it's winning stuff. Also in the past, I'm going to
limit it be selected for you, and I'm choosing the strongest.
But still there'll be enough in there for Saturday and
again NFL Sunday. We'll have this steam room leading up
(23:33):
to kickoff of the first NFL games. So we'll have
a two hour steamroom. We go over each and every
NFL game, sign total player prompts, answer all your questions,
and fifteen minutes before kickoff, we will put together those
teasers that did a lot of damage for us last year.
So jump on board, head on over towageertalk dot com,
(23:55):
and like I said, numbers tell the story. With that
said total lead dough, we should be laying so many
point more points than this. They win this game call
by two touchdowns. Phill Toppers pony is a three dollars bill.
They're offensively, they look phenomenal right, throwing the football, throwing
(24:16):
the football. The weakness for Toledo is against the run.
You got to run on them to beat this team.
That's where their weakness is. That's what they came into
the season having the fix. That's where their problems are.
Against the past, they're just fine. This is a decent
defense in the secondary, more importantly, offensive side of the ball.
(24:37):
Western Kentucky's gonna have a lot of problems they give
up the bit. You saw in their first two games.
They played absolutely nobody's but they were giving up some
big plays. Those teams can't sustain drives, they can't put
game plans together to beat a superior opponent. But you
just saw how vulnerable Western Kentucky was even against these
(24:57):
bad teams by giving up those kind of points. And
you saw with Kentucky just how well Toledo played. Like
I said, they limited them. Again, Kentucky wants to run
the football, but just how they limited that That quarterback
that eighty five yards passing like forty percent completion rate. Again,
(25:18):
Kentucky not an offensive juggernaut by any stretch, but still
liked what I saw against the pass. Take Toledo, lay
the points. This offense will start to get margin once
the Hilltoppers are forced to just you know, throw the ball,
throw the ball, throw the ball against this defense won't
have success. It turns into a two touchdown win. At
(25:39):
least give me Toledo at home, laying this small spot.
Speaker 1 (25:43):
All right, Marco DiAngelo, you're up next, and wow, wow,
wow wow. Before you get into your best bet, and
why you haven't given up on this team even though
I have, Please let everybody know what you have.
Speaker 2 (25:56):
Going on over at wagertalk dot com.
Speaker 3 (25:59):
All right, Kelly, Well, last week we told you about
grabbing that seven day all access package. You know, we
don't go high volume. We're different. I try to be
more selective and it paid off last week for us.
It's my style, not saying either style is better than
the other. You have to do what you're comfortable with.
We had four plays last week in football, we won
(26:20):
all four of them. Good start to the season. Last
year we were number two in college and pro money
one combined. So you've got last year's stats, you've got
a good start this year, so why not let's run
it back. Get seven days this week, they're running it sitewide.
You can get any cap or seven days for seventy
(26:40):
seven dollars, so you don't have to use a coupon
code to get it. Just head over to my page
get seven days for seventy seven dollars. That would include
any and all five percent plays, and you know the
five percent plays sell for thirty five dollars by themselves.
All right, let's get to the play the Kelly.
Speaker 4 (27:00):
Wow, Wow Wow, And.
Speaker 3 (27:02):
I'm gonna go while not Kelly, you're giving up too
soon here, and I am totally throwing out last week's
game and we're talking about Kansas State. They were life
and death last week Kelly's Kansas State Wildcats thirty eight
thirty five against North Dakota. Are you kidding me? Twenty
(27:24):
seven and a half point favorite, and they were life
and death. Well, what did we say earlier is Dave
Cochin always like to say you can you can lose
the same game twice. That was a horrible spot for
Kansas State to return from Ireland after a hard fought
game which you know, could you know, have a deciding
factor for the Big twelve. Everybody you know built that
(27:47):
game up all summer to start the Big twelve season
over in Ireland in a key game like that, and
to come up short and then travel back off of that.
How was your flight back, Kelly off of that wasn't enjoyable?
Then you play a team that you're a twenty seven
and a half point favorite, you figure we just got
to show up and we're gonna win the game. Well,
(28:09):
it almost cost them. I love taking teams the week
after they had a major scare like that because it
is an absolute wake up call. It's also a license
for the coaches to drill these team, these players in
practice and get their attention, and they're gonna be focused
this week. They're playing an Army team. Now, on surface,
(28:31):
you look at Army and you remember Army, you know,
maybe from the last couple of years. This is not
that Army team. They had a lot of turnover from
last season. Last week they gave up thirty points to
Tarlington State. Are you kidding me? What's Kansas State gonna do? Focused?
They should put up forty forty five to fifty points
(28:52):
in this game. And how's Army gonna be able to
score consistently against Kansas State? I know the Kansas State defense.
There's concerns, but we're the concerns Kelly. You said it
early in the year. It's in the secondary. It's not
the run defense. What's Army do. That's all they do
is run. They'll throw a few passes, they might, you know,
(29:13):
catch them by surprise on a broken play, but consistently,
Army's not going to be able to move the ball
through the air because that's not what they do. And
they're gonna fall behind in this game, and they're gonna
fall behind early and have to force the issue. I
like Kansas State. This is a get right game for them.
It's blowout city. In my opinion, lay the seventeen. I
(29:35):
think we're getting a break on the number as well.
I have this should be more closer to twenty twenty
and a half, but because of last week's over reaction,
we're getting value.
Speaker 2 (29:46):
Overreaction is an understatement. Marco. I will be cheering for you,
but I am very.
Speaker 1 (29:51):
Close to giving up on that team. It's better for
my mental well being. All right, guys, my best bet
and it looks like we're all going for best bets
this week is a little chalky, but I do like
the Florida Gators minus seventeen Here and look, South Florida.
We all saw it last Thursday night. What did they do?
They got the outright win versus Boise State. I of
(30:14):
course played them in the contest, not in real life,
and that was a frustrating one for me. But they
won a twenty seven point home win over Boise State
as a six and a half point underdog. Pretty pretty impressive.
Brown went sixteen to twenty four two hundred and ten
yards and then forty three yards on the ground.
Speaker 2 (30:32):
Hey great, why not? You gotta love to see it.
Speaker 1 (30:37):
They snuck in a backup quarterback for a fake punt
for a touchdown.
Speaker 2 (30:42):
They won the turnover battle three nothing. Again, they looked great.
Speaker 1 (30:46):
If you guys remember I took South Florida plus twenty
three and a half in twenty twenty two, I sat
right there on the fifty yard line in Gainesville. Cheer
for USF who almost won the game outright. This is
a much better Florida team than we saw in twenty two,
twenty two and Billy Napier's first season. Last week, Florida
got to beat the breaks off of Long Island in
(31:07):
FCS School fifty five to nothing as a forty seven
point favorite. So that's what they got to do. They
got to put in lots of backups who are very rested.
You got Dallas Wilson coming back this week, Caleb Banks.
I think we're gonna see a much better Gators team
than we even saw last week, with fresh legs to
(31:27):
work with. I think seventeen is a bi low spot
here in an overreaction to what we saw usf do
last week in prime time.
Speaker 2 (31:35):
All right, guys, that is the show.
Speaker 1 (31:38):
I hope everybody enjoyed it, the new faster edition of
the college football show, so everybody has time to watch.
If you love it, tell us in the comments. If
you hate it, tell us in the comments. We're gonna
get up that recap graphic for everybody that they all
love so much. And of course, if you guys are
looking for the NFL edition of bet On, you guys
(31:59):
can watch it right here. And if you guys are
missing Ralph Michaels TNA, don't worry.
Speaker 2 (32:04):
We've got you guys covered
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