Calculated Risk: CFB By the Numbers

Calculated Risk: CFB By the Numbers

Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford have made names for themselves in the online analytics space with their college football power ratings (TShoe Index and KFord Ratings, respectively) and now they are putting their brains and their power ratings together for debate and discussion of college football from an analytical perspective. If you like to bet on college football or just like talking numbers, this is the show for you!

Episodes

December 1, 2023 32 mins
it's championship week, which means there are trophies to be hoisted, CFB berths to clinch, and bowl destinations to finalize. Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the full championship week slate through the lens of the T Shoe Index and the KFord Ratings to give you the best analytical perspective on these matchups. What do the numbers have to say about underdog Alabama taking on the 2x defending champs? Who will survive and...
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In this episode of Calculated Risk, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford briefly recap what transpired across a nearly-chaotic rivalry week in college football, and discuss where teams' résumés stand heading into conference championship weekend. KFord's Most Deserving Rankings still have Ohio State in the top 4, while the T Shoe Index dropped the Buckeyes to number 6, needing quite a bit of help this weekend for a backdoor playoff spot....
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It's finally here: Rivalry Week.
Join Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford as they break down the biggest, most impactful matchups of this highly-anticipated week.
Get analysis from the numbers perspective on The Game, the Iron Bowl, the Apple Cup, the Civil War, and the rest of the rivalries duking it out this weekend.
Some are playing for bragging rights, some are playing for conference title implications, and some are playing to ruin th...
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The SEC/FCS invitational week is behind us, and all eyes are on rivalry week. But first, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down how week 12 impacted power ratings and résumé rankings, which gives a good preview of what the CFP committee might do and/or think regarding the teams at the top, based on the metrics. The headliner this week was Washington going into Corvallis and coming out with a résumé-boosting win that has propell...
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Rivalry Week is almost upon us, but first, we have an appetizing slate of college football games that could have major ramifications on the College Football Playoff and some conference title games.
Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down Washington's trip to Corvallis to take on Oregon State, Tennessee looking to bounce back against #1 Georgia, and SMU and Memphis battling it out at the Liberty Bowl to keep AAC conference title h...
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Week 11 of the college football season provided a little more clarity into which teams are rounding into form while others are holding on for dear life. Georgia, Michigan and Ohio State all had convincing wins and passed the "eye test", while Washington, Oregon and Florida State all survived scares to keep their CFP hopes alive. How did the ups and downs of the weekend affect the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings from a power rating a...
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It's time for week 11 of the college football season, and Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford are back to break down the week's biggest matchups from the power rating perspective. What do the numbers have to say about the clash between Michigan and Penn State in Happy Valley? Can USC muster enough motivation to stay competitive against red-hot Oregon? Will Michael Penix and the Washington Huskies remain unbeaten taking on a pesky Stanf...
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November 9, 2023 28 mins
Week 10 was anticipated to be one of the most entertaining and impactful slates of the college football season and it did not disappoint. Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford are back on "Calculated Risk" to break down the impact of Alabama's statement win over LSU, Clemson's takedown of Notre Dame, Washington's survival in a shootout at USC and the rest of the week that was in college football. The guys explain their updated power rati...
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November 2, 2023 33 mins
With a loaded week 10 slate on deck, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the weekend's biggest matchups and give their predictions and analysis from the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings, respectively. Can Alabama avoid CFP elimination at home against LSU? Will Texas keep its Big 12 and CFP hopes alive despite not having starting QB Quinn Ewers against a surging Kansas State team? Has USC quit on the season or do they still hav...
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October 31, 2023 36 mins
In this episode of "Calculated Risk", Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford give an update on where teams stand after a tumultuous week 9 of the college football season that saw Oklahoma take its first loss, Washington look mortal for the second consecutive week, and Oregon throttle Utah at Rice-Eccles stadium in a rare home loss for the Utes. What effect did these results have from the power rating standpoint moving forward? Tyler and K...
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October 26, 2023 31 mins
In this week 9 preview, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford give their power ratings and projections on the weekend's biggest matchups, including *Florida/Georgia, *Ohio State/Wisconsin, *and Oregon/Utah. How do the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings indicate these titan clashes should play out from the numbers perspective? The guys also give their rapid fire picks for Kansas/Oklahoma, Cal/USC, Boise State/Wyoming, Louisville/Duke and Notr...
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Tyler Shoemaker and Kelly Ford are back with "Calculated Risk: CFB by the Numbers" to recap week 8 and break down what went down on the field and how those performances impact the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings. How high did Ohio State climb after its massive win at home vs Penn State? Conversely, what did the loss for the Nittany Lions mean for James Franklin's team? Is Alabama a legitimate CFP and title contender, according to th...
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October 19, 2023 34 mins
In this episode of Calculated Risk: CFB By the Numbers, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the week's biggest matchups: from Mike Elko's Duke Blue Devils taking on Florida State to Tennessee visiting Alabama, and the weekend's biggest matchup featuring the Penn State Nittany Lions traveling to Columbus to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes.

How do the T-Shoe Index and KFord Ratings see these monumental matchups playing out? The...
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October 16, 2023 21 mins
Week 7 of the college football season did not disappoint;
Washington survived Oregon in an instant classic,
Notre Dame detonated Caleb Williams' repeat Heisman chances in a beatdown of USC,
Georgia looked mortal once again and the injury status of star Tight End Brock Bowers remains up in the air.
Hear how the on-field performances translated to the spreadsheets as Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford share their updated power ratings from ...
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Week 7 of the college football season features some of the most impactful matchups of the season that will shape conference title races, as well as the College Football Playoff hunt.
Can Oregon slow down Michael Penix and Washington on the road in a battle of the T Shoe Index's top two teams in the Pac 12?
Will Miami and Mario Cristobal bounce back from the unforgivable loss last week to Georgia Tech as they take on Drake Maye and th...
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Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford return for another episode of Calculated Risk: CFB by the Numbers to take a couple of well-earned victory laps about their models correctly predicting some outright underdog wins
-- Oklahoma, Utah State and Wyoming, to name a few
-- and recap the week that was in college football, while giving their updated power ratings in the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings, respectively.
Oklahoma still reigns supreme ...
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October 5, 2023 24 mins
Week 6 of the college football season is here with some monstrous matchups that will have major impacts on the polls, perception, and the College Football Playoff. Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the weekend's biggest games from the perspective of the T Shoe Index and the KFord Ratings. Will there be upsets in the Red River Rivalry and at Kyle Field on Saturday? Can Louisivlle continue its undefeated run at the expense o...
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Week 5 is in the books, so Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford are back to break down what an eventful week of college football means from a predictive standpoint as we look ahead to the rest of the season. As usual, there are discrepancies in the guys' models about who the top teams are and aren't. Oklahoma is now a consensus top-two team for the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings heading into the Red River Rivalry this week, while Duke e...
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Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford are back to look ahead to the week 5 college football slate, featuring marquee matchups like * Oregon State vs Utah * Syracuse vs Clemson * Duke vs Notre Dame. * Where is the struggling Utah offense in the guys' ratings? * How about 2-2 Clemson? * Can Notre Dame mentally bounce back from the Ohio State loss? Get the full analytical breakdown from the T Shoe Index and the KFord Ratings every week, onl...
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September 25, 2023 29 mins
The highly-anticipated week 4 slate of college football did not disappoint; beginning with Clemson vs Florida State and culminating with a last-second Ohio State win over Notre Dame.
Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down how the action-packed week shakes up the college football landscape through the lens of their power rating models, the T Shoe Index and the KFord Ratings.
How far did Oregon climb after throttling Colorado?
Where...
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