Noche UFC Preview

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Greetings. I'm Luca Fury, and welcome to my free main
event preview for not Che UFC going down this Saturday,
headlined by Diego Lopez against John Silva. That's the fight
that I'll be covering here on the free edition of
the podcast. It's a pretty fun one there in the

(00:20):
main event. There's some fun fights in the card as well.
We have actually a pretty good streak of UFC fight
nights coming up, leading into a very good pay per
view with the on Calia versus Poeton rematch. So nice
UFC schedule coming up. Had some fun fight nights over
the recent weeks as well, also had some great betting
results too, up around thirty units over the last few weeks,

(00:43):
made almost twenty units on the last UFC alone, So
hopefully the hot streak that we've been on now over
the last What's at eighteen events continues on this week
as well with Notcha UFC as well as ACA and
some other action as well official bets. A reup now
over on paidon dot Com Slash Furies Fight Picks, along

(01:03):
with a bunch more content for it this week and more.
You can find more fight breakdowns and podcast form as
well as written form, including some prelim coverage as well,
tape study and weigh in analysis, post fight shows and more.
That's for every single week, for every single UFC card,
so check it all out if you have not already.

(01:25):
Again Patreon dot com slash Furies Fight Picks. That's also
the place where you can get this podcast the Freemine
Event preview the earliest. It's also sometimes the only place
where it ends up going up, so even if you're
not interested in the paid version of the Patreon, it's
still worth checking out for the free content that goes
up there every week as well. Speaking of that free content,

(01:47):
let's get to the Freemine Event breakdown here again, Diego
Lopez against Jean Silva. As for the odds minus two
twenty five for Silva plus two oh five for Lopez.
I don't think that Silva is actually that great of
a prospect, at least not as great as some other
people think. I also don't think he's any kind of
fraud or bum or anything like that. But I'll ask

(02:08):
sometimes on the podcast, when talking about fighters who really
just aren't good at anything, I'll go, well, what is
his fighter genuinely good at? And we'll be fighters where
it's like, Okay, they're better at one area than the other,
but they're still not actually good at it. They're just
terrible in the other areas. In the case of John Silva,
I would ask the question, what is he great at?
He's good at some areas, but what is he great at.
He's very close to a title shot here, but what

(02:30):
is he legitimately great at? His striking? It's kind of
not the best fundamentally. He has some power, obviously, which
is good, and he's aggressive, and he has like weaponized
mental illness in the cage, he's very emotional, crying, getting
angry just all over the place. Yes, obviously he's had
a very traumatic life. I'm not trying to say that

(02:52):
he doesn't have an excuse to be the way that
he is or something like that. But when we're talking
about a sport, a petition, a field where yes, obviously
aggression and machismo can certainly take you a long way,
it's also good to be calculated overall too, just in

(03:13):
a general sense, and he just doesn't really seem like
a calculated guy. So technically speaking, not all that sharp,
not all that calculated from a tactical standpoint, either he
wins fights kind of by being just kind of a bully,
and that works against the lower level, mid level guys,
and it's probably gonna work against the Diego Lopez too,

(03:34):
just because stylistically it's just not a great matchup for Lopez.
But we're talking about against real championship caliber opposition. I
don't see that working out for him long term. Now.
Volkanovski the current champion, Obviously he's had some chin issues
in recent times. That was even the case when he
did look better than some people expected. I don't necessarily

(03:55):
think he looked better than expected in terms of how
I thought he would look against Lopez, but in terms
of his regression, he looked better. I thought he would
win the fight, So that's why I say it wouldn't
say he looked better that expected there Volkanovski, But at
least there was concerns of been being totally washed and
that was not the case. So that's where he looked better.
But his chin, which is the biggest concern, well still

(04:17):
got tested there and he still got hurt recovered which
is good, but still got hurt, which is bad. So
in the case of Jean Silva, he might actually be
able to go out there and just lamp Volkanovsky put
him out and end up winning the belt, but really
raining over the division. I haven't seen enough from him
skill wise to think that's actually a real possibility here.

(04:39):
There's an outside shot, I suppose, but not a real possibility. Now,
maybe he changes that, maybe he shows some rapid improvement,
but right now I look at him as more of
a guy who can capably fight in basically all areas,
but has some good power, has some good intangibles, but
not the most technically sound. And there's some very technically

(05:02):
sound fighters in this division. Diego Lopez, he's not super
technically sound himself, at least not on the feet, of course,
and in terms of his jiu jitsu that is where
he's more technically sound. But he doesn't have technically sound wrestling,
or really kind of any wrestling as a matter of fact,
And so he's a capable but not great striker who

(05:23):
doesn't really have any great intangibles like speed, explosiveness, or
power or counters or sharpness there and in terms of
his best area jiu jitsu, he has to rely on
either facing guys who can't wrestle at all or guys
who take him down, or guys we can somehow hurt
and then get to the ground in that way. So
he has one of these, as I call it, a
disjointed game where he has certain skills that are legitimately good,

(05:47):
but he doesn't have a consistent way to apply them,
and he has to rely on either mistakes from his
opponent or kind of flucishy circumstantial outcomes like rocking them,
dropping them, etc. And I think that is going to
be his issue here against Jean Silva. John Silva is
I will admit, at risk of maybe getting out volumed

(06:09):
at times here with Lopez, but he is the more powerful, damaging,
dangerous striker, and I think Lopez will be concerned about that,
and he won't be unloading with the volume as much
as we've seen him from him in some other fights,
and so I think the story of it will be
Lopez will want to get it into the ground, he
will fail to do so, and he will ultimately overall
get outstruck, maybe hurt, maybe rocked, maybe stopped. But I

(06:30):
think probably a decision where he does get just simply outstruck.
Also worth noting Lopez, we have seen cardio issues from
him in the past. So I don't think that Jehan
is a great fighter. Like I said, I don't think
he is. I shouldn't say he's not a great fighter.
He's a very good fighter. At least maybe he's a
great fighter. I'm not convinced he's a great fighter, yet,

(06:52):
I should say I think he's very good though. I
also think it's worth noting with the camp. I have
already been ahead of the curve on saying that I
think the Fighter Nerds is very overrated in the sense that,
oh man, they're these masterminds that are doing these things
that have never before been seen in terms of their
tactical approaches. No, it's not at all. They're doing what
basically every other camp is doing. They're just much better

(07:13):
at branding and marketing in it, marketing it. I said
this before they lost the two big fights last week
in the main and comin event of a UFC Paris
with Rufie and then Bihalio. We actually bet against both
of them as underdogs on the other side, which is
great Imavov plus one ten and then Saint Denis like

(07:33):
plus two hundred ish, So it was nice to be
able to fade the hype there and behead of the curve.
But I also see now people kind of going too
far in the other direction. Were now they're like, oh man,
they're actually that whole camp has been fraud checked. No,
it's just that they were overrated in the sense that
people thought they had this special sauce that they were
applying when no, it was just that they were again

(07:55):
better at branding. They're a fine camp. It's nice to
know that they do the proper things like that, but
there haven't shown to me to be anything special yet.
They faced lower level competition pretty much across the board,
some mid level guys, some kind of washed guys who
are on the way out. So we know some of
the fighters were not you know, low level guys or

(08:16):
at least mid level, but none of them, for the
most part, had shown to be elite. I shouldn't say
none of them, but for the most part they should
hadn't shown to be elite or even really deserving of
being In that conversation, like, what had Kyle done to
be deserving of being called elite? Absolutely nothing? What has
Jean Silva done to deserve that? Absolutely nothing. Now, most

(08:39):
people aren't saying that they deserve that, but there are
some people already like been ready to anoint them. Now
again after last week's results, seems like again people have
been kind of gone in the opposite direction, are now
been like, oh now, Jean Silva, he's a bum. He's
gonna get exposed to and just like, like, it's wild
to see people just just change in a week when

(08:59):
it it's not even him who was fighting last week.
Now again it's just most people saying that. No, but
there's people who aren't still saying it. And it's funny
because no one was saying this just a week ago.
So again, dude hasn't fought, and suddenly people are already
just completely off the hype trade. So point being, if
he loses the Fighting Nerds, oh my goodness, this might

(09:21):
be the biggest downfall in terms of the speed of
any camp in MME history. If he loses, like Fighting
Nerds will be completely completely done in terms of the hype.
And there's been camps before where they were undeserving of hype,
like when Connor went and trade under Cavanaugh at Straight

(09:42):
Blast Gym and you know SPG and Gunnan Nelson was
there training part time, and people are like oh Man
Connor McGregor, he's so great and Gunnan Nelson and this
is such a great camp and they have Patty Hulahan
and like like no one else but but like, oh,
there's a few guys were pretty good, and like people
actually thought of it as an elite camp and it

(10:03):
was just like, what are you guys talking about? Your
delusional And then that quickly got proven to be the
case where it was, yeah, delusion and they were not
actually a great camp and actually kind of won in
spite of the gym, not because of it. And I
don't think Fighting Nerds is going to go through that
kind of get sort of fraud check as the cool
kids would call it. But if he loses Silva here,

(10:26):
like this is just gonna be like the quickest turn
from people thinking so highly of a camp to so
lowly now again, MMA fans generally tend to go too
far with the towards the extreme one way or another.
Either you know you are the best fighter the future goat.
Ever then you lose one fight and you were never
that good in a bum and you're horrible and are
just a complete fraud who shouldn't even be in the

(10:46):
UFC at all, and this is kind of what we
have to deal with. Now. That's kind of life in general.
A lot of times people tend to deal with the extremes.
But it seems to be even more exaggerated extremes THANMA
may like. It's just it's binary them and may fans
either you're amazing or you suck. And so in the
case of Jean Silva, in the case of the fighting nerves,

(11:08):
I think that they are both very good. I just
don't think they are truly great or elite, or at
least have not proven it yet. Maybe Jean can be
the guy to really show that it is the case,
but time will tell. I do think he goes out
there and wins his fight. That said, I don't think
it's going to be smooth sailing. I don't think it's
going to be super easy for him. I think that Lopez,

(11:28):
because he does throw volume, because he does kind of
bite down on the mouthpiece, plan his feet and throw combinations,
he is going to give this, give Silva a fight here,
and I think we are going to see him have
some moments where he has some success. But I just
think overall, Jean is going to be keep onting to say, Gene,
I don't know why Jean is going to be the

(11:49):
more successful, more damaging striker, also the one of the
higher chances of finishing on the feet, also the fighter
who more likely will be able to get the fight
into his realm, or more specifically, just keep it in
his realm, stay and prevent Lopez from taking it to
his realm, which would be on the ground. Obviously, and
in terms of Cardio, obviously, I'm not ready to say
that Gene has again Jean, goddamn it has super laated

(12:12):
Cardio here, But at least we know that Lopez does not,
and we'll see maybe Jean when he's facing you know,
a tough guy in a five round right here, and
it actually goes potentially four or five rounds, maybe he'll
be one of those guys who does get a chance
to flex that Cardio. So I see just at more
being not so much that Jean is actually a cut

(12:32):
above Diego Lopez or a tier above him, that he's
you know, a real contender and Diego is just a
bit below that. These are different levels. I actually think
they're on basically about the same level fringe failed title
contender types. I'm just think Stylistically it's striker versus grappler,
and Jean the striker should have the better wrestling here,

(12:54):
What should allow him to keep it on the feet?
What should allow him to win the fight? So not
super confident in him, don't love him in the mashup,
but I do like him and I think he will
get his hand raised, probably by a decision, and that
will do it for the free episode here the main
event preview. Remember a bunch more content on the Patreon,
including more podcast and written breakdowns including prelim coverage and

(13:16):
picks and analysis. Also, most importantly, the official bets on
an absolute heater. Over the last eighteen events made almost
twenty units on the last UFC card was at eighteen something,
and then of course made around thirty units over the
last few weeks. Now all third party tracked and verified,
made almost one hundred units the last year, up hundreds

(13:37):
of units long term. Again all third party tracked and verified,
so it could be no fudging those results. Check it
all out Patreon dot com, Slash Furies Fight Picks and
remember that's also the first place that the free podcast,
this one goes up every single week, so even if
you just want free content it's still worth checking out again.
Patreon dot com Slash Furies Fight Picks. Hopefully I see

(13:59):
over there for the US. The rest of the content
for Noche UFC this week. Until next time, I'm looking
fury and thank you for listening.