"Calm Before the Storm: Atlantic Hurricane Season Poised for Potential Surge"

In the past 24 hours, hurricane and tropical alerts have focused primarily on the Eastern Pacific, while the Atlantic basin is currently quiet. According to the latest updates from the National Hurricane Center, there are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico. The outlook notes no immediate threats for these regions and emphasizes routine monitoring as the season approaches its statistical peak in early September. The next Atlantic named storm will be called Erin, but as of this morning, no systems are expected to reach tropical storm strength in the next two days. This lull comes as both NOAA and Colorado State University reiterate their forecasts for an above-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic, with NOAA predicting between 13 and 19 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes, and up to 5 major hurricanes—defined as Category 3 or higher. The atmosphere and sea surface temperatures remain favorable, so attention is likely to turn to disturbances emerging off the African coast soon, a typical prelude to increased activity as mid-August and September arrive. Forecasters highlight the importance of this period, noting that the majority of high-impact storms historically form from late August into October.

In the Eastern Pacific, tropical storm activity is more pronounced. The National Hurricane Center is currently issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ivo, which is maintaining strength over open waters with maximum sustained winds around 50 mph. Ivo is expected to move northwest and likely transition to an extratropical cyclone within the next day or so, posing minimal risk to coastal communities. Marine warnings remain in effect for certain areas of the Eastern Pacific, and mariners are advised to exercise caution. The final advisories for former storm Henriette were also released within the past day, as the system has dissipated.

Meteorologists stress that the threat from tropical systems is not limited to wind damage. Hazards such as storm surge, inland flooding from rain, and tornadoes often extend far beyond a storm’s immediate track. The National Weather Service continues to provide hazard-specific graphics to help coastal residents understand the range and extent of potential impacts during active systems. Despite the current calm in the Atlantic, both officials and experts remind the public that preparedness is crucial given the above-normal forecasts and the season’s most likely period for major hurricanes is just weeks away.

Looking Ahead, attention will focus on the tropical Atlantic for possible new disturbances as atmospheric conditions remain favorable for storm development. Regular updates from NOAA, the National Hurricane Center, and major weather sources will be critical in the coming days as tropical waves continue to move off Africa and as the Eastern Pacific storms progress. Coastal communities are urged to review preparedness plans and stay informed as the season enters its most active phase.

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
In the past twenty four hours, hurricane and tropical alerts
have focused primarily on the Eastern Pacific, while the Atlantic
basin is currently quiet. According to the latest updates from
the National Hurricane Center, there are no active tropical cyclones
in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico. The
outlook notes no immediate threats for these regions and emphasizes

(00:23):
routine monitoring as the season approaches its statistical peak in
early September. The next Atlantic named storm will be called Erin,
but as of this morning, no systems are expected to
reach tropical storm strength in the next two days. This
lull comes as both NOAH and Colorado State University reiterate
their forecasts for an above normal hurricane season in the Atlantic,

(00:46):
with NOAH predicting between thirteen and nineteen named storms, six
to ten hurricanes and up to five major hurricanes defined
as category three or higher. The atmosphere and sea surface
temperatures remain favorable, so attention is likely to turn to
disturbances emerging off the African coast soon, a typical prelude

(01:07):
to increased activity as mid August and September arrive. Forecasters
highlight the importance of this period, noting that the majority
of high impact storms historically form from late August into October.
In the Eastern Pacific, tropical storm activity is more pronounced.
The National Hurricane Center is currently issuing advisories on tropical

(01:29):
Storm Evo, which is maintaining strength over open waters with
maximum sustained winds around fifty miles per hour. Evo is
expected to move northwest and likely transitioned to an extratropical
cyclone within the next day or so, posing minimal risk
to coastal communities. Marine warnings remain in effect for certain

(01:49):
areas of the Eastern Pacific, and mariners are advised to
exercise caution. The final advisories for former storm Henriette were
also released within the past day as the system has dissipate.
Meteorologists stress that the threat from tropical systems is not
limited to wind damage. Hazards such as storm surge, inland,
flooding from rain, and tornadoes often extend far beyond a

(02:12):
storm's immediate track. The National Weather Service continues to provide
hazard specific graphics to help coastal residents understand the range
and extent of potential impacts during active systems. Despite the
current calm in the Atlantic, both officials and experts remind
the public that preparedness is crucial given the above normal

(02:33):
forecasts and the season's most likely period for major hurricanes
is just weeks away. Looking ahead, attention will focus on
the tropical Atlantic for possible new disturbances as atmospheric conditions
remain favorable for storm development. Regular updates from Noah, the
National Hurricane Center, and major weather sources will be critical

(02:55):
in the coming days as tropical waves continue to move
off Africa and as the Eastern Pacific storms progress. Coastal
communities are urged to review preparedness plans and stay informed
as the season enters its most active phase.