"Calm Before the Storm: Tracking Atlantic Tropical Waves Amid Forecasts of Above-Average Hurricane Season"

The latest updates from NOAA and the National Hurricane Center indicate there are no active hurricanes or named tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, or Central Pacific basins as of July 23, 2025. This period of relative calm follows recent forecasts, with NOAA and major weather services continuing to highlight the potential for an above-average hurricane season this year due to favorable Atlantic conditions but a slight decrease in projected activity compared to previous months, mainly from increased wind shear over the Caribbean. Despite the lack of named storms, meteorologists are closely tracking several tropical waves across the Atlantic basin

A tropical wave near longitude 20 West is moving westward at five to ten knots, showing moderate convection from the coast of Africa into the eastern open Atlantic. Another wave near 36 West is producing scattered showers as it moves west. The closest system to the Caribbean islands is a tropical wave near 55 West, bringing moderate thunderstorms from 8 to 16 degrees North between 51 and 63 West, just east of the Lesser Antilles. While these waves support increased rainfall and unsettled weather for oceanic routes and some island areas, none are forecast to organize into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 to 48 hours according to the latest tropical outlooks

Meanwhile, the continental United States is experiencing other significant weather threats. NOAA has flagged extreme heat warnings across portions of the Central and Southeast US, with a high risk for severe storms in the northern Plains and Midwest through Wednesday. These storms bring threats of isolated tornadoes, damaging winds, and excessive rainfall potentially leading to localized flooding. Portions of the Southeast and Southwest US also remain under heavy rain advisories, though these are unrelated to tropical systems

Elsewhere, a tropical disturbance is expected to impact Guam and the Mariana Islands with heavy rainfall through at least Friday. While there are no formation warnings for typhoons or hurricanes in the Pacific at this time, tropical moisture may impact local conditions

Looking Ahead, the Atlantic hurricane season remains in a period of elevated risk, with the next two months typically the most active. Meteorologists continue to monitor evolving tropical waves and local ocean temperatures that could spark development. Coastal communities are reminded to remain vigilant, as rapid storm formation can occur even during relatively quiet weeks. The potential for severe US heatwaves and strong thunderstorms also warrants ongoing attention in the days to come

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
The latest updates from NOAH and the National Hurricane Center
indicate there are no active hurricanes or named tropical cyclones
in the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, or Central Pacific basins as
of July twenty th, twenty twenty five. This period of
relative calm follows recent forecasts, with NOAH and major weather
services continuing to highlight the potential for an above average

(00:22):
hurricane season this year due to favorable Atlantic conditions, but
a slight decrease in projected activity compared to previous months,
mainly from increased wind shear over the Caribbean. Despite the
lack of named storms, meteorologists are closely tracking several tropical
waves across the Atlantic basin. A tropical wave near longitude

(00:45):
twenty west is moving westward at five to ten knots,
showing moderate convection from the coast of Africa into the
eastern open Atlantic. Another wave near thirty six west is
producing scattered showers as it moves west. The closest cisas
to the Caribbean Islands is a tropical wave near fifty
five west, bringing moderate thunderstorms from eight to sixteen degrees

(01:07):
north between fifty one and sixty three west just east
of the Lesser Antilles. While these waves support increased rainfall
and unsettled weather for oceanic roads and some island areas,
none are forecast to organize into a tropical cyclone in
the next twenty four to forty eight hours, according to
the latest tropical outlooks. Meanwhile, the continental United States is

(01:30):
experiencing other significant weather threats. NOAH has flagged extreme heat
warnings across portions of the central and southeast US, with
a high risk for severe storms in the northern Plains
and Midwest through Wednesday. These storms bring threats of isolated tornadoes,
damaging winds, and excessive rainfall, potentially leading to localized flooding.

(01:52):
Portions of the southeast and southwest US also remain under
heavy rain advisories, though these are unrelated to tropical systems elsewhere.
A tropical disturbance is expected to impact Guam and the
Mariana Islands with heavy rainfall through at least Friday. While
there are no formation warnings for typhoons or hurricanes in

(02:13):
the Pacific at this time, tropical moisture may impact local conditions.
Looking ahead, the Atlantic hurricane season remains in a period
of elevated risk with the next two months typically the
most active meteorologists continue to monitor evolving tropical waves and
local ocean temperatures that could spark development. Coastal communities are

(02:35):
reminded to remain vigilant, as rapid storm formation can occur
even during relatively quiet weeks. The potential for severe US
heat waves and strong thunderstorms also warrants ongoing attention in
the days to come.