"Calm Before the Storm: Tracking Tropical Weather Trends for 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season"

Over the past 24 hours, there are no active tropical cyclones currently threatening the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, or Central Pacific basins, according to the latest updates from the National Hurricane Center and NOAA. Their newest tropical weather outlooks confirm that, as of July 11, 2025, no named storms are present in these regions, and none are expected to develop in the immediate future. This lull comes after a notably active early start to the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, with three named tropical storms already recorded by early July. Nonetheless, none are currently active or affecting land or marine interests.

Despite the calm, forecasters continue to monitor several tropical waves across the Atlantic. The NOAA and NHC analyses track multiple waves, including one near 24W and another near 38W longitude, both moving westward across the eastern and central Atlantic. These waves are producing scattered moderate convection but, as of now, do not exhibit signs of imminent tropical cyclone development. Another wave near 60W is noted, although its convection is being limited by Saharan dust, a common inhibitor in the region at this time of year. Additional disturbances are being tracked across Central America and northern South America, with Honduras, El Salvador, and Venezuela experiencing heavier showers and possible thunderstorms, but risks currently remain localized and below tropical storm criteria.

Looking at the broader season, both NOAA and Colorado State University project above-normal hurricane activity for 2025, though CSU recently adjusted its outlook slightly downward due to persistent wind shear in the Caribbean, a factor historically linked to reduced storm development. Nevertheless, the probability of major hurricanes making landfall in the U.S. and Caribbean remains slightly above average for the season. Sea surface temperatures are somewhat warmer than average but not as elevated as the previous year, and forecasters expect ENSO-neutral conditions to persist, generally favoring a more active environment for hurricane development.

Recent severe weather was reported earlier in July, particularly in the Carolinas. Torrential rains led to significant flooding in North Carolina, resulting in emergency declarations, flash flooding, and dozens of water rescues, especially in Orange and Durham counties. A tornado caused damage at Raleigh Executive Jetport, while rivers such as Haw and Deep reached near-record levels. These events serve as reminders that even outside of named storm threats, the region remains vulnerable to severe weather linked to tropical moisture surges.

Looking Ahead, meteorologists recommend continued vigilance as the hurricane season progresses toward its statistical peak in August and September. Coastal residents and those in flood-prone regions should review emergency plans and stay alert for updates on developing tropical waves, especially as Atlantic and Caribbean conditions remain primed for possible cyclone formation in the weeks ahead.

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Over the past twenty four hours. There are no active
tropical cyclones currently threatening the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, or Central
Pacific basins. According to the latest updates from the National
Hurricane Center and NOAH, Their newest tropical weather outlooks confirm
that as of July eleventh, twenty twenty five, no named
storms are present in these regions and none are expected

(00:23):
to develop in the immediate future. This lull comes after
a notably active early start to the twenty twenty five
Atlantic hurricane season, with three named tropical storms already recorded
by early July. Nonetheless, none are currently active or affecting
land or marine interests. Despite the calm, forecasters continue to

(00:44):
monitor several tropical waves across the Atlantic. The NOAH and
NHC analyzes track multiple waves, including one near twenty four
watts and another near thirty eight bodist longitude, both moving
westward across the Eastern and Central Atlantic. These waves are
producing scattered moderate convection, but as of now do not
exhibit signs of imminent tropical cyclone development. Another wave near

(01:08):
sixty bots is noted, although its convection is being limited
by saharan dust, a common inhibitor in the region at
this time of year. Additional disturbances are being tracked across
Central America and northern South America, with Honduras, El Salvador,
and Venezuela experiencing heavier showers and possible thunderstorms, but risks

(01:28):
currently remain localized and below tropical storm criteria. Looking at
the broader season, both NOAH and Colorado State University project
above normal hurricane activity for twenty twenty five, though CSU
recently adjusted its outlook slightly downward due to persistent wind
shear in the Caribbean, a factor historically linked to reduced

(01:49):
storm development. Nevertheless, the probability of major hurricanes making landfall
in the US and Caribbean remains slightly above average for
the season. Surface temperatures are somewhat warmer than average, but
not as elevated as the previous year, and forecasters expect
enso neutral conditions to persist, generally favoring a more active

(02:11):
environment for hurricane development. Recent severe weather was reported earlier
in July, particularly in the Carolinas. Torrential rains led to
significant flooding in North Carolina, resulting in emergency declarations, flash
flooding and dozens of water rescues, especially in Orange and
Durham Counties. A tornado caused damage at Raleigh Executive Jetport,

(02:35):
while rivers such as Haw and Deep reached near record levels.
These events serve as reminders that even outside of named
storm threats, the region remains vulnerable to severe weather linked
to tropical moisture surges. Looking ahead, meteorologists recommend continued vigilance
as the hurricane season progresses toward its statistical peak in

(02:56):
August and September. Coastal residents and those those in flood
prone regions should review emergency plans and stay alert for
updates on developing tropical waves, especially as Atlantic and Caribbean
conditions remain primed for possible cyclone formation in the weeks ahead.