Makhachev vs Tsarukyan: Betting Odds Shift Significantly Ahead of UFC 311 Showdown

**Current MMA Betting Landscape Analysis**

**Line Movement Analysis:**
- Significant shifts in fight odds are seen in UFC 311, with Makhachev moving from -217 to -380 and Tsarukyan from +185 to +310 in the past 24 hours[1].
- Early money favored Makhachev, causing a significant shift in odds.
- International sportsbooks show similar trends, with slight variations in odds.

**Key Influencing Factors:**
- Weight cut reports and updates have not significantly impacted current lines.
- Training camp news and footage have influenced public perception, particularly for Tsarukyan, who has been preparing for this rematch[1].
- No last-minute injury concerns have been reported.
- Venue and location considerations are standard for UFC events.
- Rule set and cage size impacts are consistent with UFC regulations.
- Commission doctor checks have not revealed any issues.

**Prop Market Analysis:**
- Method of victory odds have seen slight changes, with Makhachev favored for a submission or decision win.
- Round totals have moved, with the over 4.5 rounds now at -175, indicating a likely long fight[1].
- Distance props and first minute/round finishing props have seen moderate action.
- Significant parlay combinations are drawing action, particularly those involving method of victory and round totals.

**Style Matchup Considerations:**
- Striking vs. grappling dynamics favor Makhachev’s well-rounded skills.
- Southpaw/orthodox dynamics are not a significant factor in this matchup.
- Reach and height advantages slightly favor Makhachev[1].
- Pace and cardio factors are crucial, with both fighters known for their endurance.
- Weight class historical finishing rates suggest a likely decision or late-round finish.

**Sharp Money Indicators:**
- Professional bettors are leaning towards Makhachev, contributing to the line movement.
- Steam moves across books have been observed, further indicating sharp money on Makhachev.
- Reverse line movement spots are minimal, suggesting public and sharp money are aligned.
- Notable large wagers have been reported on Makhachev.

**Contextual Factors:**
- Fighter camp changes and corner team adjustments have not been significant.
- Recent sparring reports suggest both fighters are well-prepared.
- Social media and interview impacts have been minimal on the lines.
- Weigh-in interactions have not influenced betting patterns.

**Historical Pattern Analysis:**
- Similar style matchups have favored fighters with strong grappling backgrounds, like Makhachev.
- Fighter’s previous betting patterns show Makhachev often being favored.
- Championship fight trends indicate favorites often win by decision or late-round finish.
- Underdog/favorite performance history suggests underdogs like Tsarukyan can pull off upsets, but it’s less likely.
- Referee assignment impacts are not a significant factor in this matchup.