2025 NFL Season Betting Preview | Early Betting Looks & Season Win Totals Predictions

With training camps set to begin next month, how has the NFL betting market evolved since the Eagles lifted the trophy in February? Join Drew Martin and Teddy Covers for The Opening Line Report as we dissect the NFL betting market with the 2025 NFL preseason right around the corner.

Introduction 00:00
NFL Coaching/Coordinator Changes 2:09
Why do we talk NFL in June? 7:20
NFL Season Win Totals Overview 8:44
Why is there less movement betting in offseason? 22:00
What NFL Teams are getting bet on or bet against?
How does last season impact this season when betting NFL? 28:19
Least injured/most injured NFL Teams 35:22
2025 NFL Strength of Schedule 39:32
NFL Rest Differential 44:00
Q&A 47:38

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome into the NFL Opening Line Report Show number one
of twenty twenty five. It is the month of June.
We're getting you ready for the NFL season. I am
Drew Martin, joined as always by Teddy Covers. We've got
the preview show here, guys. We got coaching changes, coordinator
changes coming your way. Season win Total Analysis, but without
further ado TC Teddy Covers himself, Welcome on Inbud. Happy

(00:24):
Monday morning to you.

Speaker 2 (00:25):
Great to be here, Drew. You know what this day is.
You know, it's a red jacket day. You know, the
salmon only comes out when it's like some kind of celebration.
You know, we get it on for Super Bowl. If
I have a big weekend, I might throw the salmon on,
but mind, this is the celebratory jacket. So this is
the first show. We're gonna do a show every Monday
this month. Today's an overview and then we'll go through

(00:47):
two divisions a week next Monday for the following four
Mondays in lou in preparation for the NFL Win Total Report.
My season Win Report will come out. I think it's Wednesday,
July second, check that date, but yes, it's on.

Speaker 3 (01:02):
It's on the horizon. Uh and obviously five shows.

Speaker 2 (01:05):
Between now and then, and uh yeah when the July
second Winter Report new Pacific time. So we're in preparation
for that now, and I'll give you guys a ton
of info loaded show for week one.

Speaker 1 (01:21):
Sure, Teddy And yeah, guys, like Teddy said, the preview show,
the uh the division previews coming up over the next
four shows, and then right into the preseason and NFL
regular season, followed by of course the playoffs all the
way through the Monday after the super Bowl. So we
are right here on the weed to talking YouTube channel.
Come in the comments below, guys, Any comments are more

(01:42):
than welcome. What you're looking to bet, any questions as
well as we go through uh uh this season, we'll
be answering questions on the show and on on Twitter
as well. So whatever avenue you're using to join us,
welcome on in Teddy, we got uh let's uh not
push it anymore here, we got a rundown to follow

(02:03):
for today's show, and I see at the top coaching
coordinator changes. So where do you want to go with this?

Speaker 2 (02:08):
But let's talk about what's new, all right, and it
starts with seven new head coaches. The Chicago Bears, Matt
ebra Fluss was gone early last year. Ben Johnson, formerly
the Lions offense correator, is now the Bears new head coach.
Dallas replaced Mike McCarthy with Brian Schottenheimer, formerly their offensive corninator.
Jacksonville replaced Doug Peterson with Liam Cohen, formerly the Buccaneers

(02:32):
offensive coordinator. The Raiders replaced Antonio Pierce with Pete Carroll,
former Seahawks head coach. The New England Patriots, Jared Mayo
was one and done. Mike Rabel, the former Titans coach,
is coaching in New England this year. New Orleans Dennis
Allen went Bye bye. Kellen Moore, the former Eagles offensive cornator,
will be their head coach this year, and the Jets

(02:52):
replaced Robert Sala early last year. Aaron Glenn, former Lions
defensive coordinator, will be the Jets head coach this year.
When it comes to coordinator change and again, the coaches
are going to get the headlines, all right, the head coaches,
because in most of these scenarios it's a head coach
and a pair of new coordinators, you know. But they're

(03:13):
not the only guys who have changed, and we talk
about coaching changes. Obviously, a head coach and two new
coordinators complete is a complete reset. When you have a
new coordinator on offense or defense, it's not a complete reset.
But we don't expect the same level of continuity as
if you have the same offense.

Speaker 3 (03:32):
Or defense two years in a row.

Speaker 2 (03:34):
So we talk about the coaching changes. They tend to
be a little bit positive, the coordinator changes tend to
be a little bit negative. We're thinking about how a
team's going to produce, what teams results are going to
be in twenty twenty five, So Atlanta a new defense
creator and Jeff Albrick.

Speaker 3 (03:53):
All right, that's one coordinator.

Speaker 2 (03:55):
Chicago new head coach and two new coordinators, right, including
Tennis Allen on the defensive side of the football, Techlan
Doyle on the office side of the football. For Cincinnati,
a new defense creator and al Golden guy who's been
around for a while. Cleveland, Kevin Stefanski remains head coach,
Jim Schwartz remains DC, but Tommy Reese will be on

(04:15):
the offensive side of the football this year for Cleveland.
So a franchise that's in disarray has a first year
first time offensive coordinator this year. Know, Stefanski's probably gonna
call a fair if he plays. Brian Schottenheimer's supposed to
call the plays In Dallas. Eberflus is supposed to be
the defensive coordinator there. So it's a new head coach
and two new coordinators. Detroit's interesting to talk about right here.

Speaker 3 (04:37):
You know, there's a lot of pressure on win now
for Detroit.

Speaker 2 (04:40):
Detroit doesn't get it done this year, They're gonna have
enormous salar cap implications next year.

Speaker 3 (04:44):
This is their window basically right now.

Speaker 2 (04:46):
They've got two new coordinators, Sean Morton on the officive side,
Kevin Kelvin Sheppard on the defensive side.

Speaker 3 (04:52):
Both of last year's coordinators for Detroit now head coaches.

Speaker 2 (04:56):
Elsewhere Houston a new offense creator in Nick Indianapolis a
new defense creator in lou Anarumo he was in Cincinnati
four many years. Jacksonville new head coach and Cohen new
OC and new d C for the Jags. Complete reset there.
The Raiders new offense greator and Chip Kelly. Patrick Graham

(05:17):
is back on the defensive side of the football, So
it's Pete Carroll and Chip Kelly on the offensive side.
For Detroit, Sorry for the Vegas this year, everybody's new
In New England, Vrabel as the head coach. Josh McDaniels
gets another gig as offense creator. Terrell Williams as a
defense creator for the Patriots. Similar story in New Orleans.

(05:38):
Kellen Moore the new head coach. He's suspected to call
the plays on the offsive side. Brandon Staley the new
defense creader. There the Jets, another team knew everything. Aaron
Glenn Tanner Engstrand as the O C, Steve Wilkes as
the DC. Wilkes had some struggles in his last stop,
which is worth noting. Although there are a lot of

(05:58):
by signs I see on the Jets early on, at
least sort of teams lyned in the five and a
half six win range.

Speaker 3 (06:02):
We'll talk about that in a minute.

Speaker 2 (06:04):
Eagles with a new offense, Wuinner and Kevin Pittulo Pangio
back on defense for them. San Francisco. Robert Salah back
on defense for the forty nine Ers. He's been a
coordinator under Kyle Shanahan before, and now he's no longer
the coach of the Jets, so he's back in his
former stopping grounds. I do that as a positive for
San Francisco, Seattle, Clint Kubiek. It will be the offense

(06:28):
quinter this year for Mike McDonald Tampa Bay. John Grizzard
is going to be the offense cointor this year for
Todd Bowls. So that's a list of the coaching and
coordinator changes. Again, if your team's not on this list,
that tends to be a good thing. More continuity. If
your team is everyone on this list, well, it doesn't
necessarily bode well for success in the current campaign.

Speaker 1 (06:52):
Sure, Teddy, great stuff there. I mean I heard positive
towards San Francisco, the forty nine ers. Is there anything
else that kind of jumps out at you with the changes?
Maybe with looking to better team over or under meaning
going faster or slower offensively, anything else you want to
throw out there in terms of coordinator changes. And I

(07:15):
love the analysis in terms of if you're not on
the list, that's actually a good thing in looking to
better team.

Speaker 2 (07:20):
Sure when it comes to pace of play type of stuff.
Yet I'm not ready. I can't give you guys that
you know well and the advantage of doing this work now,
all right, why do we talk about the NFL, and
we talked about the NFL in June because the betty.

Speaker 3 (07:34):
Markets are real quiet this time, this time of the year.

Speaker 2 (07:37):
All right, can you have time to do your work
and get your bets down before the betting markets start
to pay attention. And that'll come after the All Star
break when the NFL training camps open. That's why we
put out the Wind Report at the beginning of July.
So I'm just starting my work when it comes to
what's the pace going to be, which these teams are
actually going to be good and bad? Et cetera, et
cetera for the purposes of the beginning of the annalys

(08:01):
And this show today is more about how I'm going
to like the process. How do we get to these
season win totals? And I know that there's a pretty
good audience out there that's interested in the process. For
here it is the first week of June. How do
we figure out what teams are going to be good
in bad? How do we know?

Speaker 3 (08:19):
Let's talk about it.

Speaker 1 (08:21):
Absolutely And one way to do that, guys, in terms
of pace of play is kind of reading the clip,
reading the quotes, you know, from the beat writers, things
of that nature. That's one thing I've had success in
terms of betting totals in the NFL in years past.
That's one thing I recommend. So Teddy, you bring up
win totals here, you want to run through the win
totals ABC Order and Arizona Cardinals on the top.

Speaker 3 (08:43):
Absolutely, And I know you know this.

Speaker 2 (08:45):
The first five shows today and then these of the
four division shows are all going to be based on
I mean not based. The focus is on win totals
much more than week one lines. Why the week one
lines aren't doing anything? I just went and checked through
every line, and there's one where there's urgency and it's
pretty much already gone. When he talks about if you
want Carolina plus three or three and a half against

(09:08):
Jacksonville week one around the key number, that line's moving.
So if you can find the Panther is still a
plus three or plus three and a half, I would
grab it now.

Speaker 3 (09:16):
I don't think he'll be there in a couple of weeks.

Speaker 2 (09:19):
Carolina has been a team that's been getting some positive
buzz this offseason. Other than that, the Week one numbers
aren't doing squat right now, So we're not going to
focus too much on that. We'll talk about more about
the week one numbers when we break down the teams
next week. For now, let's talk about the win totals
and where the early money has come.

Speaker 3 (09:37):
And frankly, not a ton of early money. Arizona line
eight and a half wins, and I saw m take.

Speaker 2 (09:48):
The broader market has not moved towards Arizona at a
you know, at a handful of books they've taken. It
looks like a single bet, a single limit bet. But
Arizona eight and a half. You know, you can find
over plus one hundred, You can find over plus minus
one thirty if you're interested, whichever way you want to
go with Arizona Atlanta. I saw a split line on Atlanta.

(10:09):
You know, there was a seven and a half and
now it's juice to the over. The eight is now
juice to the under. So the betting markets did not
make a statement, oh, let's bet we love Atlanta. They said,
we're gonna bet under eight and over seven and a half.
That's the opinion for the Falcons. Early on seven and
a half. The prevailing number early Baltimore aligned eleven and
a half wins. They really haven't taken any money one

(10:31):
way or the other so far ravens eleven and a half.

Speaker 3 (10:34):
Buffalo lined also at eleven and a half.

Speaker 2 (10:37):
They have the single highest win total for the upcoming
season based on juice, and juice is a factor in play,
and eleven and a half minus one sixty is a
twelve minus one ten right, approximately fifty cents for each
half win, although on the outliers when we talking about
eleven and a half versus twelve, probably worth a little

(10:57):
bit more than fifty cents, more like sixty or seventy cents.

Speaker 3 (10:59):
Same thing. On the lower you know that the team's
are four and a.

Speaker 2 (11:02):
Half five five and a half, that extra half win
on the outliers is worth a little bit more than
something in the middle. That being said, Buffalo minus one
fifty five minus one sixty on the eleven and a half,
that's the highest that we see out there. It equates
to a twelve for the Bills when you break it
down mathematically. So Buffalo, based on schedule and based on results,

(11:27):
the Bills are, but from the markets Parade is a
single best team in the league right now. Buffalo Carolina
line at six and a half. They're taking a little
bit of over money. You've seen not a ton of
over money, but we have seen over money for Carolina.
That's why I talked about Carolina as a team. If
you want them against the Jags, the only line that
has a chance to you a chance to get the

(11:49):
best of it.

Speaker 3 (11:50):
Still, there are a couple of threes out there. Even
saw three and a half out there.

Speaker 2 (11:53):
I'm not sure if it's real or not for the
Panthers in Jacksonville in Week one, but that line's not
closing three.

Speaker 3 (12:00):
I'll line close two and a half or lower.

Speaker 2 (12:02):
There is some buzz around the Panthers in a way
that there isn't around the Jaguar.

Speaker 3 (12:07):
Chicago lined at eight and a half.

Speaker 2 (12:09):
They're not taking really any money early on one way
or the other. Nothing certainly across the board when it
comes to yeah, this team's taking money at multiple books,
because that's what we're looking for here. We're I'm talking
for one book having an opinion. We're I'm looking for
one book that's taken action. We're looking for lines. You know, hey,
this team is moving across the board. Cincinnati line nine

(12:31):
and a half. There are tens out there for the Bengals.
The nine and a half's minus one fifty the ten
even money, which is telling you exactly that fifty cents
worth of juice that I was talking about for a
half a win on full display for Cincinnati. If you're
shopping at Westgate, for example, versus DK, we'll get nine
and a half versus ten for the Bengals. Cleveland is

(12:53):
a team that is taking under money. Cleveland lined in
five and a half wins, and I don't think anyone
has bet the over five and a half wins. I'm
seeing four and a half now over minus one sixty
at DK.

Speaker 3 (13:05):
And these are all numbers from yesterday.

Speaker 2 (13:06):
They're all updated numbers within the last twenty four hour,
less than twenty four hours they did last night.

Speaker 3 (13:12):
But we're certainly not sitting, you know.

Speaker 2 (13:14):
Cleveland isn't taking a lick of nobody's betting the Browns over,
at least not yet.

Speaker 3 (13:19):
Dallas seven and a half.

Speaker 2 (13:21):
They have taken a little bit of over money, seven
and a half over minus one thirty now seven and
a half over minus one sixty at DK for example,
Westgate moved them from seven and a half even money
to eight even money. So that's a fifty cent worth
of move on Dallas. So Dallas is one team at
seven and a half. They're taking action on the over.

(13:43):
That's a clear you know, Carolina Dallas. That's two teams
we're talking about taking action on the over early. Denver, Nah,
when you talk about the lines that are disappointing, I
was hoping i'd get like an eight eight and a
half in the Broncos.

Speaker 3 (13:58):
No, it's nine to nine and a half in the Broncos.
Markets are ready no and nine.

Speaker 2 (14:03):
Really, you know, we've seen a little bit of under
money at that number nine and a half. Even the
nine took some under money for Denver. It seems a
little bit rich in a competitive division, a division where
all the teams are good.

Speaker 3 (14:17):
Denver on paper looks pretty doune good.

Speaker 2 (14:18):
See a boat Knicks can have as good as sophomore
year as he had as a rookie. Detroit ten and
a half really hasn't taken a whole lot of action
one way or the other. Green Bay nine and a
half another team not taking any action in early betting.
Houston nine and a half. We've seen a little bit
of under money for the Texans. And when I say
a little bit again, it's probably a couple of bets

(14:39):
one or two guys betting the Texans under across the board.
That being said, the Texans at nine and a half
has taken a little bit of under money. Indy seven
and a half doesn't look like anyone's bet the Colts
over or under. No action one y seven and a
half minus one ten just about across the board. Jacksonville
another team that hasn't really taken any over money seven
and a half minus a quarters twenty at various books.

(15:01):
I'm not seeing that line moving at all. Kansas City
another team with the line's not moving at all. Eleven
and a half across the board. You get that at
plus money plus one ten plus one x fifteen available four.
The Chiefs, the Super Bowl loser hangover Casey's been at,
are near the top of the NFL for the last

(15:22):
five years. The market's not expecting significant rebreshion again. Eleven
and a half wins with an elite QB. That being said,
we're not seeing the over money for the Chiefs that
we have in some recent years. Las Vegas six and
a half slash seven. There is a split number on
the Raiders out there. You can and the seven. There

(15:42):
was six and a half minus one fortynouncing seven minus
one ten for example, at the West Gate they taken
over six and a half minus one forty five for
DK right now. And you know, Vegas is a team
certainly from I'm a coaching standpoint, from a quarterback standpoint,
they're better than they were a year ago.

Speaker 3 (16:05):
Schedule wise, is still brutal for the Raiders. They don't
get any favors from the NFL.

Speaker 2 (16:09):
And just because their coach and their quarterback is improved,
the Raiders to me or a team that stills the
fair few holes. That being said, a little bit of
over money for Las Vegas along with Dallas, along with Carolina.
The Chargers nine and a half really hasn't moved a
whole lot, the Rams nine and a half, There are

(16:30):
some tens out there for La with juice on the
nine and a half, that really hasn't moved a whole lot.
Miami's a team that's gotten some a lot of negative publicity,
but the markets haven't moved against the Dolphins yet. They
were eight and a half plus money to the over
and they're still eight and a half.

Speaker 3 (16:45):
Plus money to the over and not sing eights.

Speaker 2 (16:46):
I'm seeing all eight and a half's with a big
plus price on Miami plus one thirty if you like
them over eight and a half plus one thirty five
at some books for the Dolphins. Minnesota is a really
interesting team. I've got mixed feelings about the Vikings. There
are things I really like about Minnesota. You have to
worry about the QB position. You have to worry about
a team that everything broke right for last year. That

(17:09):
being said, I'm already tempted by Vikings over I'll tell
you that right now. Eight and a half minus forty five,
minus thirty at a couple of books, not nine. I
haven't seen any nine, and I haven't seen any significant
market moves towards Minnesota over their win total. Giants five
and a half. No on's betting the Giant Giants are

(17:30):
one team that's taking some under money. You know, there
were plus one tens. Now it's plus one twenty five
to the over minus one twenty at west Gate of
the Open. Now with plus one hundreds, that's a couple
of bets, significant bets on the Giants under their win total.

Speaker 3 (17:49):
New England's a team that's attracting over money.

Speaker 2 (17:51):
Absolutely, they were eight and a half even money now
they're eight and a half minus one twenty. They were
eight and a half plus one thirty at the West
gate of the Open. Now they're eight and a half
minus one ten. New England schedule wise looks much easier
than it was a year ago. Talent wise, they appear
to have made significant upgrades, and coaching wise, we'll just
say that the Jared Mayra didn't work. Mike Rabil certainly

(18:14):
has been there and done that. So New England as
a team that's expected to be much better this year
than they were last year, and they're still taking over money.

Speaker 3 (18:23):
So Patriot the team that's moving in the markets.

Speaker 2 (18:26):
When it comes to New Orleans, there are six and
a half's out there and they're five and a halfs
out there for New Orleans, which is interesting. Five and
a half the overs minus won twenty six and a
half the overs plus one sixty. So, but the broader
market for the Saints isn't doing anything right now. They
really haven't taken any over money as of yet, and
the unders already, you know, they haven't taken any money,

(18:49):
any significant money early on the Jets, I'm seeing five
and a half as high as minus won sixty six
at even money.

Speaker 3 (18:57):
The Jets haven't taken any real.

Speaker 2 (18:58):
Money yet line in the markets, Philadelphia eleven and a
half minus one ten. No significant move on Philadelphia. Pittsburgh
eight and a half plus one ten to the over.
And by the way, i'm saying minus one ten, I'm
referring to the over as the first So plus one
ten of the over minus one ten of the over.

Speaker 3 (19:18):
You assume a twenty cent line for the shorter spreads.

Speaker 2 (19:21):
When you start getting into minus one sixty or minus
one eighty the spreads ten, you get a little bit
higher between one side and the other. But Pittsburgh eight
and a half plus one ten the prevailing number, not
seeing a whole lot of money there. San Francisco, there's
tens and ten and a halfs out there for the
forty nine ers, minus one twenty on the over ten

(19:42):
plus one ten on the over ten and a half,
so about a thirty cent move for that team. But
the markets as a whole have not moved on San
Francisco in a broader since Seattle, another team that's split.
There's a seven and a half's out there, there's eight
and a half's out there, seven and a half juice
to the over eight and a half juice to the under.
That's a legis split line and a split line with

(20:04):
eight and a half seven and a half, which means
that's advantage for betters. You know, you can even with
the juice factor as advantager better. Is that being said?
The markets haven't decided they like the seven and a
half the eight and a half better for Seattle, yet
we're calling it no legit movement in the markets for
the Seahawks.

Speaker 3 (20:22):
Tampa Bay nine and a.

Speaker 2 (20:24):
Half minus one oh five minus one ten really hasn't
moved from the open. Tennessee five and a half minus
one fifty pretty much across the board, that's prevailing number,
that's the current number, that's the opening number. We haven't
seen the Titans move a whole lot. Washington's a fascinating team.
I can't wait to talk about Washington. Next week we
break down the two easts, and if I have a
chance today at the end of the show, we'll talk

(20:45):
a little bit about Washington today.

Speaker 3 (20:47):
They're a really interesting team to talk about. The markets
haven't moved on the Commanders nine and a half, A
little bit of juice to the over minus one twenty
minus one twenty five for the market.

Speaker 2 (20:58):
So we talk about the teams that have moved in
a significant way or in a real way. The Giants
have taken under money, Dallas, Carolina and what was the
third team, Vegas. I've taken some over money. That's mostly it,
you know, light action, you know, and we talk about

(21:19):
what's going to happen in May. Yeah, the numbers come out,
the numbers get pounded into shape. In terms of this book,
the outlier number it gets the gets brought to the market.
But in terms of opinions, that's you know, light opinions
and early betting action at this time of the year.
And that's why we do our work right now, because
we can still get our opinions and our bets down

(21:42):
before the markets kind of catch up to what we're
going to do.

Speaker 1 (21:45):
Great stuff, Teddy jam pack there and but yeah, yeah, absolutely,
But before we get into what really happened last year,
and we're talking strength to schedule, turnovers, injuries, one score games,
which we're gonna dig into, Teddy, I want to ask
you a question. You up, you know, kind of a
little bit light movement. Do you think that that or
in your opinion, is that kind of from year to

(22:07):
year changing in terms of less action on the full
season or is that something that you've noticed in years past?

Speaker 2 (22:17):
So the books are better at putting out numbers now
than they were even five years ago.

Speaker 3 (22:21):
Certainly, you know they are.

Speaker 2 (22:23):
You know, I find less to choose from at this stage,
and it took took a long time for the books
to kind of to recognize the outlier seasons are going
to bounce back, you know. Uh, you know in five
years ago you would see New England line at six
and a half or seven or seven and a half,
not eight and a half. You know, the books are
willing to make those adjustments for the teams that they

(22:43):
know they are going to be popular this year. So
the market's always changed. It's always a dynamic marketplace. But
now I forgot the question I'm answering. You're like, the
is it changed or is it normal? I mean, so
answer yeah to what we see in May and June
is very normal. You see, you know, the lines come out,

(23:06):
you see a flurry of activity right after the draft,
and a flurry of activity as the as the betters
assess MGM hung this and Caesars hung that and DK
hung that and vandual hung that and then let's let's
you know, and I get an eight and a half
here and it's only eight over there. Once that's done,
the markets tend to sit until the training camps open,

(23:29):
and that's the situation that we're in right now.

Speaker 1 (23:32):
Sure, And uh, guys, you know with the NFL opening
line report, if you've been watching for years, I'm just
kind of the frame. Teddy's obviously the portrait here, he's
bringing the knowledge, But do you want to bring in
a new segment a little bit, just real quickly hot
takes and Teddy, My hot take for this show is,
I think there's correlation here with the bigger money not

(23:53):
doing the the full season bets as much. And I
bring in a different aspect to life into markets in
that interest rates are higher, so the opportunity cost of
what you could do with the money changes the equation
a little bit, where if you've got a bunch of money,
you can get more money kind of risk free or
almost risk free just by the interest rates being higher,

(24:17):
and that makes it more I guess appetizing to only
place your bet for like one week or two weeks
rather than for six months. I don't know. If you
have any takes to that, but interested in your take.
Also interested in the comments below, guys if you think
there's anything too. My hot take in interest rates actually
affecting full season bets, so.

Speaker 3 (24:38):
I'll take the under.

Speaker 2 (24:40):
John just in this sense is that the betters who
are moving the market are bankworld, so the interest rates
are going to affect them less an interest rate increase.
They're not putting on their credit card, you know. You
see what I'm saying. The guys that are moving the
number a casual better very much though. But when it

(25:06):
comes to the pros the the interest rates, it could.

Speaker 3 (25:13):
Be a factor.

Speaker 2 (25:13):
And I've been wrong plenty of times before due but
I don't think. I don't see it as being there's
much less action this year than there's ever been.

Speaker 3 (25:22):
You know, there's not. And the guys who move markets
are bankrolled.

Speaker 1 (25:28):
Plain and Zimo fair enough, just throwing it out there.
Let us know in the comments below. Guys, going weekly
here on Monday's new start time a little bit earlier,
trying to get ahead of these these line moves. But
the NFL opening line report, he's Teddy covers Andrew Martin.
Make sure to check out Teddy covers season win total report.
If you've gotten it before, you've made some money money.

(25:48):
I mean the five percent ones man up in the
eighty percent range that overall in terms of the picks
up there in the upper sixties. So Teddy bringing the
heat here with the NFL Opening line report and tc.
What we got to coming out in under a month
or actually exactly a month from today, exactly.

Speaker 2 (26:05):
So I need deadlines, plain and simple. You know, I
work best under deadline. I need all right, my report
is gonna be done this day, So I give myself
a deadline before I start, you know, all right, Uh,
and we like to do it kind of before the
fourth of July weekend.

Speaker 3 (26:20):
Everyone can get their bets down.

Speaker 2 (26:22):
It gives me a chance to relax that weekend and
you know this month we haul you know, and then
from a betting standpoint, you know, uh, NBA Finals, Yeah,
you know, it's it's it's a potential of seven games
over two and a half weeks. You know, it'll be okay,
I get my NFL work done until Handy got the
NBA Finals. Baseball is what baseball is. You know, it's
a couple hours in the morning, It's a couple hours

(26:43):
at night. The rest of the day. This time of
the year for me is all NFL.

Speaker 3 (26:46):
I try.

Speaker 2 (26:46):
I like to do about you know. I try to
do a team or two every day. Some days I
get more done, and I try to do it seven
days a week. So we're you know, you're just thinking NFL.
You're thinking NFL. And of course I like to share
all my knowledge or much of my dolarge with you guys.
We talk about the season win Report. The numbers are
The numbers are pretty good. Long term, guys, let me

(27:10):
pull them out.

Speaker 3 (27:12):
One oh three and fifty two.

Speaker 2 (27:14):
My first season Winter Report came out in two thousand
and one, so this will be my twenty fifth lifetime
one O three and fifty two, sixty six percent, long term,
seventeen and four eighty one with them, with the eighty
one percent, with the five percent big tickets. We won
again last year. We won again with a big ticket
last year with New Orleans over. We won with the
four star sorry New Orleans under. One with the four

(27:34):
star Arizona over. And this report isn't just about season wins.
The info that you get will help you with a
bunch of bets throughout the course of the season. So again,
you lock in pre order right now on my homepage
wt Dot Buzz Backslash TC.

Speaker 4 (27:54):
You get it for free if you sign up for
an NFL season pass, Teddy.

Speaker 1 (28:05):
Let's get into what really happened last year's strength of schedule, turnovers, injuries,
one score games.

Speaker 3 (28:10):
What do you want to throw out here?

Speaker 1 (28:11):
This sounds like an interesting one.

Speaker 3 (28:13):
So the key for starting my process.

Speaker 2 (28:19):
Is fully comprehending what happened last year, all right, because
everything's coming from a focus of, well, this is how
they did last year. Are they gonna improve or they
gonna are they gonna decline? So to go into the offseason,
To go into the process, we want to accurately assess

(28:39):
which teams have arrows pointed up, which teams have arrows
pointed down. And there are four factors you talked about,
strength to schedule, turnovers, injuries, and one score games.

Speaker 3 (28:53):
Let's just start with one score games, all right.

Speaker 2 (28:56):
It's not like Kansas City is going to we expec
Kansasity lose all the one score games this year, but
the Chiefs went eleven to zero in one score games
last year. We know they have a good defense and
know they have a quarterback we expect them to have
a winning record in these type of games. Eleven and
oh is.

Speaker 3 (29:10):
A little bit high. Kansas City expected for some regression.

Speaker 2 (29:13):
Minnesota eight and one in one score games last year,
expect a little regression. The Eagles seven and two, the
Lions six and two, the Bills five and two, the
Steelers six and three, the Rams seven and four. All
playoff teams, all teams that won ten games or more,
and all poised at least for a little bit of
regression when it comes to success in one score games.

(29:35):
And we look at the quarterbacks for these teams, Kansas
City Elite QB, Philadelphia Elite QB, Detroit Elite QB, Buffalo
Elite QB, LA Elite QB, Pittsburgh, Minnesota stand out in
that regard not so much. We look at the teams
that struggled in one score games last year. The Bengals

(29:55):
three and seven, the Jets three and seven. The Bucks
made the playoffs, they went two and five and one
score games. The Niners two and five, the Saints the
Titans also two and five. The Bears went two and six,
the Jags went two and nine. The Broncos made the playoffs,
only went one and five and one score games, the
Giants one and seven. We expect from all of these

(30:17):
teams at least a little bit of a better result
when it comes to one score games, as long as
they have a quarterback. Giants, we're not so sure about that.
But the rest of the teams appear to have a
qv this year, and we would expect some improvement when
it comes to one score game. So Sincy, the Jets,

(30:37):
the Bucks, the Niners, the Saints, the Titans, the Bears,
the Jags, the Broncos, the Giants. Again, you put a
little arrow pointed out for those teams just for natural
regression turnovers last year Giants minus eight, San Fran minus ten,
New England minus eleven, Jacksonville minus fifteen, Las Vegas minus sixteen,

(30:58):
Tennessee minus sixteen, Cleveland minus twenty two. Even a team
like the Browns with no quarterback, we still expect an
improvement off the minus twenty two from last year. The
defense to create a few more their offense won't lose
as many fumbles. In theory, Tennessee, Vegas, Jacksonville. You know,
Titans have a QB this year. In theory, Vegas has

(31:20):
a QB in theory, this year. Jacksonville has a healthy
tribor Lawrence this year. It wasn't healthy a year ago.
San Frana healthy QB this year. Giants another story entirely,
but we expect again. You're looking for little arrows the
teams with the negative turnover differential last year, but a
little arrow pointed up towards those seven teams. On the

(31:40):
other side, Bears had an awful year, and yet they
still finished plus eight and turnovers. Detroity was plus nine,
Houston was plus ten, Philly plus eleven, Minnesota plus twelve.

Speaker 3 (31:49):
They made a quarterback change.

Speaker 2 (31:52):
The Chargers plus twelve, green Bay plus twelve and turnovers,
Pittsburgh plus sixteen. They don't have a QB this year.
Buffalo plus twenty. I shouldn't say that they have Mason Rudolph,
who was okay. It's been okay with them, and if
Mason Rudolph ends up being their starter, I think he'll
be better than.

Speaker 3 (32:08):
That one guy you've started for the Jets last year.
I really do that.

Speaker 2 (32:13):
I honestly think Pittsburgh's better off with Rudolph than Rogers.
If Pittsburgh goes to Rogers, we're gonna let the markets
adjust and we're gonna bet Steelers under he wasn't good
last year and his team chemistry is a pretty big negative.
But for all these teams, Chicago, Detroit, and again we

(32:34):
try to say what is systemic and what is luck.
Buffalo's got an elite QB, Green Bay's got a really
good quarterback.

Speaker 3 (32:43):
So to the Chargers, so to the Eagles, so to
the Lions.

Speaker 2 (32:46):
Those are teams we expect again to have a positive
turn of rerential, but not perhaps as big as they
had last year. Detroit, of course, with the two coordinator
changes as a concern as well. Teams like the Bears
and the Texans that weren't elite last year, Teams like
Minnesota that has the big QB change, Those are the
teams that you pay most attention to with this stuff.
And the team's on the outlier. You know, the Bills

(33:08):
plus twenty four, you know that's a turnover and a
half per game positive for Buffalo.

Speaker 3 (33:14):
That ain't happening. That's an outlier number.

Speaker 2 (33:16):
We expect some regression in that regard, so strength to schedule, turnovers, injuries,
one score games, So got sos and injuries to talk about.
Let me talk about injuries real quick drew or you
wanted to jump in here for a minute ask me
a question.

Speaker 1 (33:35):
I'm okay talking injuries. I mean, I'll just bring up
the point. You know, you talk about luck and turnovers,
and there is some of that, but I'm a proponent
of a quarterback that is prone to throw interceptions that
carries over a year years, so it's not just luck.
I like what you said there, yeah, very much.

Speaker 2 (33:51):
And you'll often I often hear from sharp betters, and
I know you know all that team is twentth plus
twenty four last year. It's ridiculous they can't do that again. Well,
Buffalo is designed to win turnover battles, all right. When
you have a when you have a quarterback who doesn't
make mistakes, an experienced quarterback who avoids mistakes, and you

(34:12):
have a defense that could create turnovers and create pressure,
and you're putting teams in position where you're scoring first,
they're playing from behind, you can absolutely project a positive
turnover rential. Now, the difference between a plus twenty four
and a plus twelve and a plus six and a
plus three, you know, but in general, we would expect

(34:32):
teams like Buffalo, like Kansas City to continue like Philadelphia
to have positive turnover differentials again this year.

Speaker 3 (34:38):
The question is how positive?

Speaker 1 (34:41):
Absolutely, Teddy, So, Yeah, injuries would be a big one
and how they affected each team last year and how
it might change this year.

Speaker 2 (34:48):
Sure, so talk about teams that didn't have a lot
of injuries last year. You know, Green Bay started sixty
guys all year or played sixty guys all year, Atlanta,
Denver sixty five, Indians sixty six, affiliate sixty six, and
these number. Ralph Michaels puts together some amazing stuff. I
encourage you check out his page, and I appreciate all

(35:09):
the help that Ralph does for me when it comes
to putting together some of these charts. He's unbelievable in
terms of the NFL offseason content. I'm sure he's going
to be start kicking it out pretty soon, but I
was privy to this one and it's super helpful. Anyhow,
The least injured teams green Bay, Atlanta who had a
losing season anyway, Denver, India had a losing season anyway, Philly, Minnesota,

(35:32):
Chicago and the La Rams Raiders Cowboys just behind them, Washington, Baltimore, Pittsburgh.
But again, these teams are there's a group together. The
Packers really stand out as having the fewest injuries. They're
kind of lapped the league in that regard when it
comes to the most injuries.

Speaker 3 (35:49):
Well, look who you got. You got Carolina, Cleveland, and
the Giants all at the bottom.

Speaker 2 (35:55):
Right above them, Detroit who had a great year despite
all the injuries, and it's getting a bunch of guys back.
New England, San Francisco, Tennessee. Also on that list, Houston
and the Jets and the Dolphins right below them. So again,
teams that had a ton of injuries last year, we
would expect to be a little bit better in that
regard this year. Teams that had fewer injuries last year

(36:17):
and turn through fewer players, we would expect to have
a few more that in that regard this year. So again,
arrow's pointed up, arrows pointed down. It's not one arrow.
We're looking for multiple arrows, and that will give us
an assessment of where we want to start this team.

Speaker 3 (36:34):
With these teams.

Speaker 2 (36:36):
Now, strength is schedule, and we're going to talk about
twenty twenty five strength of schedule in.

Speaker 3 (36:41):
Just a minute. But I'm going to.

Speaker 2 (36:42):
Start, and my handicap starts with my twenty twenty four
strength of schedule. That's the very first thing I do,
and I go through every team the power rating number
for their opponent on the week the game was played.
And that's going to give me some very numbers, different
numbers from the mainstream numbers, because I'm not looking at

(37:04):
the end of the year and going, oh, they beat
this team they had eleven wins. No, they beat this
team when they were one and three and they had
a backup quarterback that week.

Speaker 3 (37:12):
You don't get the same credit for that.

Speaker 2 (37:15):
Or oh, yeah, well they beat so and so week
eighteen when they were resting all of their starters. You
don't get credit for that. You know, the same way.
So we look for outliers when it comes to strength
of schedule. Last year, let's talk about the outliers very
easy Chargers, Colts, Dolphins, Commanders, and that's in backwards order.

(37:41):
The Commanders had the easiest schedule last year by a
wide margin. Miami was right behind them, and then Indy
and the Chargers. So those are the very easy schedules
from last year. Those teams we would expect, and again
that's an arrow pointed downward for this year. The basically easy, Philadelpha, Cincinnati, Tampa, Denver,

(38:05):
Atlanta all notably easier than average schedule last year based
on my powering numbers, the game, the week was played,
and these numbers. I spent a ton of time with
these numbers. I think they're important and that's where I
start my process. So these are teams Chargers, Colts, Dolphins, Commanders, Falcons, Broncos, Bucks, Bengals, Eagles.

Speaker 3 (38:28):
To narrow point it down.

Speaker 2 (38:30):
Hard schedules last year, all right, very hard, the hardest. Cleveland,
no talent, no quarterback, in the hardest schedule in the league.
You can understand why they had problems. San Fran was second,
Pittsburgh third. Despite it, they had a great season. Carolina
and Baltimore round out the top five. Arizona and Dallas

(38:52):
also deserved some honorable mention for harder than average schedules.
So Cleveland, San Fran, Pittsburgh, Carolina, Baltimore, Arizona, Dallas. In theory,
I'm supposed to be pointed up for twenty twenty five.
So again we talk about what really happened last year, strength,

(39:13):
the schedule, turnovers, injuries, one score games. You take last
year's records, you filter them to these factors, and you
start to get some ideas of what teams might get better,
what teams might get worse.

Speaker 1 (39:28):
Like it, Teddy, And that's a segue to our next
segment here, this year's strength the schedule and rest differential.
And I'll tell you this, just by going through the
season win totals, you had, well not you, the market
had the Buffalo Bills as.

Speaker 3 (39:41):
The most turns.

Speaker 1 (39:45):
Of season win totals, and just doing comparison with their division,
the rest of the division is at least projected by
the season win totals to go under five hundred. So
obviously you know it's not rocket science. That's somewhat implemented
into their season win total. But I'll rode over to
your strength of schedule and rest differential for this season DC.

Speaker 3 (40:05):
Let's start with strength to schedule.

Speaker 2 (40:07):
I're gonna look at the teams that, again based on
this year's win totals, have the easiest and the hardest.
Top five easiest schedules this year. San Francisco, New England,
New Orleans, Atlanta, Buffalo, Carolina is fairly easy as well.

(40:31):
They're certainly deserve honorable mentioned. Tennessee's fairly easy as well.
Jacksonville and Miami also on the list. Nope, these tend
to be teams from a couple of divisions that we're
talking about. The AFC East appears to have a relatively
easy slate this year, as does the NFC and AFC South.
Those two divisions largely, or really all three of those

(40:51):
divisions they're playing each other, and those are expected.

Speaker 3 (40:55):
To be the three weakest divisions in the league.

Speaker 2 (40:58):
Hence the strength of schedule numbers for this year again,
San fran New England, New Orleans, Atlanta, Buffalo, Jacksonville, Carolina, Tennessee.
That's the top quartile when it comes to easiest schedules
this year based on this year's season win total. For

(41:19):
the love of God, do not look at any I
would encourage you to avoid any strength of schedule adjustments
based on last year's records.

Speaker 3 (41:29):
Last year was last year.

Speaker 2 (41:30):
We filter in last year based on all this stuff
we just talked about, and then create appropriate numbers for
this year. When it comes to the toughest schedules in
twenty twenty five, well, you say, how is it possible
the Giants and the Browns are facing the two toughest schedules.
It's possible because their last place teams all your other

(41:53):
team in the division is really good. So when you
have multiple other good teams in your division and you're
in the bottom feet you're in that division, it tends
to give you problems when it comes to strength of schedules.
So that's why, even though they're facing the you know,
the three extra games are all against last place opponents,
Cleveland and the Giants are still the two toughest strength

(42:13):
of schedules for this year.

Speaker 3 (42:15):
Detroit's not far behind. They've got a pretty brutal slate.

Speaker 2 (42:19):
Minnesota, another team much tougher than it was last year, Chicago,
And note that NFC North where all the teams are
facing each other. That makes it a little bit difficult.
There's one more I know, I had one more than
oh Philly. Philly is a team that has a particularly

(42:39):
tough schedule this year. So when you put the arrows up,
when you put the arrows down, the teams with the
toughest schedules Philly, Minnesota, the Giants, Detroit, Cleveland, these are
teams that you now you know, the arrows pointed down.
The teams with the weaker schedule, the arrows pointed up
and when you find teams with the arrows pointed up

(43:00):
three four or five different things, you know, those are
teams you're interested in betting overs. When you find the
team is arrows down three four or five different things,
those are teams you tend to look at honders. And
when you find a team that's mixed, well, then you're
handicapping come into play, or it's a team that you
don't get involved with when it comes to these season totals.
But for strength to schedule for twenty twenty five, and

(43:21):
note strength to schedule overall is only one piece of
the equation from analyzing a schedule. All right, this year's
strength of schedule based on this year's ten total. But
there are two other factors that I consider to be
extremely important when it comes to breaking down the schedule,
rest differentials and the composition of the schedule.

Speaker 3 (43:44):
And we'll talk about those two things here, Drew.

Speaker 1 (43:47):
Yeah, I was going to tee it up for you.
Rest differentials. This is a big one TC in terms
of season win totals. So what we got here, I
know this takes a lot of work, Teddy, So what
do you want to throw out in terms of rest differentials?
Positives and negatives.

Speaker 3 (44:00):
Oh, I play your ium on this. I have no
problem with that.

Speaker 2 (44:03):
You know, M'll say, well, you know, from a rest
differential standpoint, Warren Shark.

Speaker 3 (44:09):
Puts out good info. I'm happy to I'm happy to
use his stuff.

Speaker 2 (44:13):
And the teams again, teams with the biggest edge in
net rest advantage Detroit, Miami, the LA Rams, the forty
nine Ers, and the Seahawks.

Speaker 3 (44:28):
These are all teams again.

Speaker 2 (44:29):
You put that little arrow pointed up Detroit, Miami, Rams, Niners, Seahawks,
biggest disadvantage Raiders, Saints, Commanders, Bills, and Browns.

Speaker 3 (44:42):
All right, and we.

Speaker 2 (44:44):
Talk about, you know, some of this stuff is so
Detroit has this huge rest edge, all right. Detroit was
number one on the list. Week two, they play the Bears,
who are off Monday Night football.

Speaker 3 (44:55):
Week one.

Speaker 2 (44:56):
Week five they played the Bengals, who are off Monday
Night football. Week four plus one plus one. Week six,
they played the Chiefs, who were off Monday Night football.
In week five another plus one, Lions get off a bye.
In week nine played the Vikings, who are not off
a bye another plus Week eleven, the Lions played the Eagles,
who are off Week ten Monday Night football, Lions get

(45:17):
another plus one.

Speaker 3 (45:18):
Lions off of mini buy.

Speaker 2 (45:19):
In Week fifteen played the Rams who were not off
of many by they mean they played the previous Thursday,
and now they have Sunday off a plus three for
the Lions. Week sixteen, guess what Steelers play Monday night
football in Week fifteen before playing Detroit and week eighteen
another off of mini by they get the Bears, who
are not off of anybody when it comes to week eighteen.

(45:40):
So that's eight different weeks where the Lions have a
legit rest advantage over their opponent and they play what
five different teams coming off Monday night football. That's an
advantage for Detroit. It's legit advantage, you know. Meanwhile, Washington,
they got the most teams off of bye, get the Bear, Seahawks,

(46:00):
and Giants, three teams coming off of bye, which you know,
again you don't want to overemphasize how well teams do
off of by.

Speaker 3 (46:08):
They don't do the incredibly well, but they're certainly fresher and.

Speaker 2 (46:11):
Focused off of buy, especially when they go into that
buy with a loss. So that's some things to talk
about when it comes to the rest edges, and there's
plenty more, you know, but I really try to focus
on the teams that are the very outliers, you know,
really on the eye, that stand out as big rest advantage,

(46:34):
and of course the Raiders. I mean, the league finds
one way or another the Raiders year in year out,
whether it's the Raiders get six different flights back East
because they don't get back to back games and then
ten am starts for a Pacific time that's happened and
they already have the you know, to the year like
this year where they have the single biggest disadvantage when

(46:57):
it comes to rest differential, where they are multiple weeks
where opposing teams will have extra rest and the Las
Vegas Raiders will.

Speaker 1 (47:07):
Great stuff. Teddy. I mean, I guess we got questions
coming in and then maybe some early team thoughts, but
it's a little tough for me to see the live
questions and of course for weeks coming up, feel free
to comment below any questions will hit him. On next
week's show, We're seeing howve cash in the house. He's

(47:27):
a VIP welcome Injave Falcons to win division, Teddy, any
thoughts here on the Dirty Birds and are you a
big proponent of betting, you know, futures to win the division.

Speaker 2 (47:41):
So first of all, thank you guys for all the comments.
We appreciate everyone watching live. We appreciate all the follows.
What we have two hundred thousand of you who are
now following way you talk TV on YouTube, which is insane,
and that number is only going up. I haven't done
so click the bell. You get instant alerts every time
we go live. And again we switched this, Joe. We're

(48:01):
going earlier at eight am Pacific eleven am Eastern every Monday.
And we did it for one reason and one reason only,
emergency betting alerts. By ten am when we used to
do it, most of the markets had already moved at
eight am. We're gonna be able to get you, guys,
emergency betting alerts every week, and they're gonna be right
because we're gonna see the market start to move. We're

(48:23):
going to talk about it live on air. So that's
eleven o'clock on the East Coast. But if you're not
watching live, you can still take advantage of the emergency
betting alerts if you watch it soon enough after when
we have those opportunities to do so. And a boy
We appreciate those comments. We appreciate the follows very very much.
And now I forgot the question, drew what we were

(48:43):
asking me.

Speaker 1 (48:44):
I got sidetracked the Atlanta Falcons to win the Diviense.

Speaker 2 (48:48):
Yeah, so realistically, I haven't done my work on the
Atlanta Falcons or the division well enough to do that. Yeah,
I can't. I can't give you guys a good answer, can't.
I know that I don't like the Saints, but give
me a couple of weeks. We'll get there. That's what
this process is for me.

Speaker 3 (49:10):
And for you. I'm not gonna have all the answers
right now.

Speaker 2 (49:13):
I'll give you everything that I've done so far, but
I can't give you you know, I haven't. I haven't
properly worked Atlanta inder the sense of, oh, yeah, I
know I'm playing them on the division or over or
under yet I.

Speaker 3 (49:23):
Don't know yet. We're working on it.

Speaker 2 (49:26):
When it comes to division bets versus season win bets,
the disadvantage with odds to win the division bets is
now you have four four teams and you don't get
true odds on that kind of stuff. The advantage is
sometimes you get on with some nice plus prices on
teams that you expect to win division. So I'm not
opposed at all to the concept of And one of

(49:48):
the things we do in the win report is we say,
all right, I'm betting this team over whatever eight and
a half wins.

Speaker 3 (49:54):
And here's how I bet it. I talk about it.

Speaker 2 (49:56):
I bet this team to make the playoffs with a
half unit, or I bet the team to win the
divis with a half unit. The rest of it was
on the over. But those are certainly things that I
will do. I like better than will won't make playoffs
because I like the juice is less when it comes
to yes, no options. Yes they'll make the playoffs, No,

(50:16):
they won't make the playoffs. You're giving less to the
books than you are.

Speaker 3 (50:20):
These are the.

Speaker 2 (50:21):
Four teams live to win this division. Only one of
them is gonna win. The other three are gonna lose.
So not say that division bets aren't in the portfolio.
They are, but they're not the preferred choice in the
portfolio from any of these teams. I'm much more likely
to look at division bets says, hey, let's take a shot.

Speaker 3 (50:41):
I like this team over seven and a half wins.
Let's take a shot, maybe they'll win the division. I
get a nice plus price on it. That tends to
be the way I look towards the division.

Speaker 2 (50:49):
But I mean the other a couple years ago, I
had the Jags to win the division, you know, minus
nine and a half minus one fifty, and then they
pursued it to absolutely collapse down the stretch and cost
me a bunch of money.

Speaker 3 (51:00):
And come up a half game or whatever. I don't
even want to talk about.

Speaker 2 (51:02):
It was a really frustrating loss, and that can and
will happen, you know, with a division bet and with
any bet you know here when a team, you know,
if the team can't win in December, it doesn't help
you if they had a great September, October or November.
But that's a part of the process, you know. We
don't freak out over this stuff. And the good news
is that you have all summer to.

Speaker 3 (51:24):
To anything that went bad.

Speaker 2 (51:26):
You have also to calm yourself down to be able
to look at that team without the emotions as the
as the next season begins.

Speaker 1 (51:34):
Yeah, I'm picking up what you're laying down there. Teddy
and Hoave. Thanks for the question team specific questions. I mean,
we're going to get into as the show goes on
with the division previews, just so you guys know. But
the second what Teddy said, in terms of like profile
of betting the season win total, where there's only two options,
you know, they're either going to go over or under,
tend to be better bets, smarter bets in terms of

(51:57):
they're less expensive to the sports better if you're new
to sports betting, the sports books charge you more for
like a future's bet, like to win the division, to
win the super Bowl, it costs more money. So that's
another way to put it. What what TC is talking
about there, Teddy? I got one question for you. Have
you seen a sports book out there a market for

(52:18):
division win totals, say like the AFC East number of
wins or you know, for any division. Is that a
market out there that sounds interesting?

Speaker 2 (52:28):
I haven't looked for it, but I haven't seen it.
It hasn't it hasn't popped me. You know.

Speaker 3 (52:32):
I got I got all.

Speaker 2 (52:33):
I mean, I went and got a hold, I went
around town, got a whole bunch of hard copies of
everything with division totals and odds to win this, and
then I just look with the falcons by the way,
what am I seeing? Plus two thirty Bucks minus one
oh five Panthers plus three ninety five Saints aren't getting there.

Speaker 3 (52:52):
I forget what it so.

Speaker 2 (52:54):
Just a gut reaction is Yeah, sure Atlanta might be
live there, you know, but there's gonna be some market
support for Carolina. And Caroline is certainly a team that
has has enough talent that they could make a jump
this year. And Tampa is a team to be so
you know, in that division they have been and they
continue to be. I don't think that changes in twenty

(53:16):
twenty five, So the Falcons could be could be live there, all.

Speaker 1 (53:22):
Right, Teddy champact show here. Yeah, we're up against it
a little time wise, guys, but but love you chiming
in and again a reminder if you comment below any questions,
we'll answer them next week's show the weeks after things
of that nature. But Teddy, did you want to throw
out any early team thoughts here?

Speaker 2 (53:40):
But yeah, I mean we're short on time and it'll
all hold. I was gonna I was gonna break down
some of the stuff that I talk about with the
Lions and the Commanders that are really a fascinating team
to talk about I'm gonna save that for next week
because next week we have the NFC East and the
AFC East that will break down and uh just uh
believe a little leave me a little extra time for Washington.

(54:00):
Dallas as worth talking about too again Dallas taking over money.
I haven't seen Dallas taking over money in like a decade,
you know, But then again, I haven't seen him mine
at seven and a half wins every year either.

Speaker 3 (54:10):
We cashed under with Dallas last year, Thank you Cowboys.

Speaker 1 (54:14):
Yeah, guys, we got the East previews, the AFC East,
the NFC East on next week show eight a m.
Pacific New Time here, guys. To get those emergency betting
alerts a little bit more efficient this season, guys, check
out Teddy covers season win total report wager talk dot com.
You can get his full season NFL as well in
that win win total report. Teddy, I mean, what seventeen

(54:37):
and four with the five percent plays, you got upper
sixties and certain in terms of wins there. So also
I'll add it in great analysis that helps you, you know,
early in the season betting these teams as well. But
Teddy throw it over to you for any final thoughts
before we shut it down.

Speaker 3 (54:54):
Yeah.

Speaker 2 (54:55):
I mean, look, he's been it's been a good run
in the NBA. It has been a good run in MLB.
At the website Waitterertalk dot com. Is it my page,
WT dot buzz backslash TC, is it drews paigewt dot
Buzz backslash DM and check out some of the patches
over the summer. Obviously you're watching this because you're into football.
We're all in NFL. NFL is just around the corner,

(55:15):
winterports just around the corner. You can sign up and
get on board right now if you so choose, And
we appreciate I really appreciate the audience.

Speaker 3 (55:22):
I've been doing this for twenty five years.

Speaker 2 (55:24):
This shows the longest show that I've been doing NFL
Opening Line Report. Drew's like my third co host or
fourth co host during that span, and he's been doing
it with me for a decade, more than a decade,
so you know, it's something that we're familiar with. I
genuine believe the information on this show is as good
as any that can find anywhere, and we bring it

(55:45):
out Monday morning. We bring the heat every Monday morning.
Tell you friends, that's all we ask this year we
got to grow this bitch, so please tell your friends
we appreciate it very much and good luck this week.
We'll talk again next Monday, and Drew and I will
both be in the common events on YouTube, so if
you have comment, lead below and Drew and I will
both have the opportunity to respond. Thanks for watching, and

(56:09):
good luck with your baseball and or basketball betting this
week and whatever else.

Speaker 3 (56:13):
Did you do.

Speaker 1 (56:15):
On YouTube? On Twitter as well on x there at
Teddy Underscore covers at Drew Martin, Betts and guys, we'll
be back next week, so comment below. Will both be
in there. Any questions what you're looking to bet all
is well welcome on the YouTube comments below for Teddy
covers on Drew Martin you shout out to Dan Alexander
behind the scenes as well. Guys, we'll be back next Monday.
Come back and join us until then, cash those tickets.

(56:37):
Thanks for tuning in.