Prediction Market News
Stay ahead of the markets with 'Prediction Bets,' a daily podcast that dives into the latest trends in prediction markets like Polymarket. Get expert insights on the best prediction bets, trades, and strategies to help you make informed decisions. Whether you're new to the world of prediction markets or an experienced trader, 'Prediction Bets' brings you the latest market movements, forecasts, and tips to maximize your success. For more https://www.quietperiodplease.com/
Episodes
July 20, 2025 • 3 mins
Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus have all seen significant action in the last 48 hours, with several markets experiencing sharp movements driven by breaking news and shifting public sentiment. On Polymarket, the highest volume continues to come from political forecasting, particularly the presidential election contracts. The market asking who will win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election saw major action after the first televise...
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July 17, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have been buzzing this week with sharp swings across several major platforms. At Polymarket, the top contract by volume remains the U.S. Presidential race, with over 13 million dollars traded on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will win in November. As of this morning, Trump has pulled ahead, trading at 57 cents to Biden's 38. That’s a five-point jump for Trump in just under 48 hours, driven by increasing attent...
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July 15, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have seen some volatile and surprising shifts over the past 48 hours, especially as global political tensions and major corporate events dominate headlines. On Polymarket, the top market by volume has been the question of whether Biden will be the Democratic nominee by November. Trading volume exceeded two million dollars yesterday, and in just the past day, his chances fell from 78 percent to 65 percent. The sha...
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July 13, 2025 • 3 mins
The last forty-eight hours have brought some unexpected twists across the top prediction markets, signaling shifting public sentiment and perhaps early clues about what's coming next in global politics, tech, and science. On Polymarket, the top market by volume has once again been the one asking whether Donald Trump will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election. After hovering around 58 cents most of the past week, his contract pric...
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July 10, 2025 • 3 mins
The last forty-eight hours have brought a flurry of unexpected shifts across the major prediction markets, with Polymarket once again leading in trading volume. Among its top markets is the one asking whether Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee by election day. That market saw significant turbulence starting late Tuesday evening, when Biden’s chances dipped from 76 percent to just under 68 percent before rebounding slightly to...
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July 8, 2025 • 3 mins
The past couple of days have brought fresh volatility across prediction markets, with traders recalibrating odds in real time as new polls, headlines, and events unfold. Polymarket continues to dominate in terms of volume, with its 2024 U.S. presidential election markets pulling in roughly 2.6 million dollars in trading just in the past 48 hours. As of this morning, the market for "Will Donald Trump win the 2024 election?" climbed ...
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July 6, 2025 • 3 mins
The prediction markets have been buzzing this week, with a flurry of activity around global elections, tech breakthroughs, and unexpected geopolitical shifts. Let’s dive into the latest trends driving the sharpest market moves across platforms like Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus.
On Polymarket, the highest volume market remains the 2024 US presidential election, where the question of whether Donald Trump will win has surged in...
On Polymarket, the highest volume market remains the 2024 US presidential election, where the question of whether Donald Trump will win has surged in...
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July 3, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have been heating up over the past 48 hours, with a flurry of activity across major platforms like Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus. The biggest headlines are still dominated by politics and geopolitics, but there were some surprising price movements that hint at growing uncertainty in places we hadn’t been watching as closely.
Polymarket continues to lead with the most dollar volume traded. The "Will Trump be...
Polymarket continues to lead with the most dollar volume traded. The "Will Trump be...
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Welcome back and thanks for joining. Over the past 48 hours, prediction markets have been buzzing with activity, driven mostly by political volatility and unexpected developments in tech regulation. Polymarket continues to lead the pack in terms of volume, with over 4.2 million dollars traded across its markets just this weekend. The most active remains the market predicting whether Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee in Novem...
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June 29, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have become faster and more responsive in the past two days, with several top platforms showing sharp shifts that suggest new momentum in the world's most watched stories. On Polymarket, where traders bet in real time on everything from politics to pop culture, the U.S. presidential election remains dominant by volume. As of this morning, the market for "Trump to win 2024" is leading with over 12 million dollars ...
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June 26, 2025 • 3 mins
It has been an unusually active stretch on the prediction markets, with several major shifts reshaping expectations across politics, tech, and global conflict. Trading volumes surged on Polymarket in particular, where the top question by volume remains the U.S. presidential election, specifically whether Donald Trump will win in November. As of this morning, the market places Trump at 56 cents and Joe Biden trailing at 37, with thi...
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June 24, 2025 • 3 mins
Over the past 48 hours, prediction markets have been buzzing with activity, fueled by shifting political landscapes, tech developments, and unexpected global events. On Polymarket, the hottest market by far is whether Joe Biden will remain the Democratic nominee through election day. That market surged to the top in trading volume, clearing over 2.1 million dollars in open interest. As of this morning, the probability that Biden re...
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Prediction markets have been bustling over the last 48 hours, fueled by both political uncertainty and a few unexpected developments in global events. On Polymarket, the current top market by volume is the one asking whether Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee in 2024. It has traded over 2.3 million dollars in the past week alone. As of last night, the market is giving Biden a 63 percent chance, which is down from 71 percent j...
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June 19, 2025 • 3 mins
In the last 48 hours, prediction markets have been buzzing with sharp movements and surprising reversals, most notably across Polymarket and PredictIt, while Metaculus continues to wrestle with long-range forecasting around emerging technologies and global events. The top market by volume right now on Polymarket is the one asking whether Donald Trump will be convicted of a felony before the 2024 election. The probability surged fro...
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April 21, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have been buzzing this week, and some unexpected moves over the past 48 hours have shifted sentiment in ways even seasoned watchers didn’t see coming. Among the leading platforms—Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus—activity remains high as traders and forecasters react to breaking political developments, tech news, and economic indicators.
On Polymarket, the highest-volume contract by far remains the "Who will wi...
On Polymarket, the highest-volume contract by far remains the "Who will wi...
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April 18, 2025 • 3 mins
Over the past 48 hours, prediction markets have seen a flurry of activity, particularly around U.S. political developments and global conflict scenarios. Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus continue to lead the way in volume, but it's Polymarket that's currently dominating attention with highly liquid markets around the 2024 U.S. presidential election and geopolitical flashpoints.
The most active market on Polymarket remains "Will ...
The most active market on Polymarket remains "Will ...
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April 16, 2025 • 3 mins
The world of prediction markets has been unusually dynamic over the past two days, with volume surging on politically charged events and a few markets taking traders by surprise. On Polymarket, which continues to lead in daily activity, the most heavily traded market remains the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. As of this morning, "Trump to win in 2024" is trading at 54 cents, up from 49 cents two days ago, reflecting a noticeable ...
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April 11, 2025 • 3 mins
It’s been a lively few days in the world of prediction markets, with several major platforms—Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus—showing sharp movement in key political and geopolitical markets. As always, these markets offer a real-time snapshot of public sentiment mixed with probability, and right now, traders are rethinking more than a few major assumptions.
One of the top-volume markets on Polymarket remains the 2024 U.S. presi...
One of the top-volume markets on Polymarket remains the 2024 U.S. presi...
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April 9, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have had a lively couple of days, with surprising shifts across several platforms hinting at deeper undercurrents in politics, technology, and finance. The biggest story right now comes from Polymarket, where the “Trump to Win 2024 Presidential Election” market surged to 62 cents, up from 58 just two days ago. That four-point jump follows the news of President Joe Biden’s softer-than-expected debate showing and i...
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April 7, 2025 • 3 mins
In the world of prediction markets, the last 48 hours have been anything but dull. A flurry of activity, some surprising price swings, and a few emerging trends are reshaping the landscape across major platforms like Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus.
As of this morning, one of the highest-volume markets on Polymarket is "Will Trump be the Republican nominee in 2024?" which has traded over $9 million to date. It's currently prici...
As of this morning, one of the highest-volume markets on Polymarket is "Will Trump be the Republican nominee in 2024?" which has traded over $9 million to date. It's currently prici...
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