Prediction Market News

Prediction Market News

Stay ahead of the markets with 'Prediction Bets,' a daily podcast that dives into the latest trends in prediction markets like Polymarket. Get expert insights on the best prediction bets, trades, and strategies to help you make informed decisions. Whether you're new to the world of prediction markets or an experienced trader, 'Prediction Bets' brings you the latest market movements, forecasts, and tips to maximize your success. For more https://www.quietperiodplease.com/

Episodes

"Prediction Markets Shift Ahead of 2024 Election: Trump Leads Biden, AI Pause Doubts Grow"

August 17, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have been buzzing this week, with strong movements across Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus. Right now, Polymarket is dominating both in volume and in setting the tone for expectations ahead of the U.S. presidential election. The top market by far is the one asking who will win the 2024 U.S. presidential race. Donald Trump currently holds a 56 percent probability, while Joe Biden has slipped to 38 percent, dow...
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Prediction Markets Reflect Volatility Ahead of US Election, Global Conflict Risks, and AI Developments

August 14, 2025 • 3 mins
The last two days in prediction markets have been anything but quiet. Across Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus, massive shifts in sentiment are painting a picture of increasing volatility ahead of the US election, global conflict potential, and emerging tech breakthroughs.

Starting with Polymarket, the platform remains dominant in terms of volume. The most traded market by a wide margin is still the 2024 US presidential election....
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Prediction markets see volatility as Trump surges, Gaza ceasefire prospects rise, and AGI likelihood grows

August 12, 2025 • 3 mins
It has been a busy few days in the world of prediction markets, with some big swings across platforms like Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus. The most active market by volume over the past 48 hours has once again been the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with Donald Trump's contract on Polymarket jumping to 56 cents as of this morning, up from 51 cents just two days ago. That move appears to have been triggered by the announceme...
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Prediction Markets Volatile as 2024 Race Heats Up

August 10, 2025 • 3 mins
The past forty-eight hours have brought a flurry of unexpected movement across key prediction markets, as traders and forecasters adjust to fast-breaking news in both politics and global events. On Polymarket, one of the fastest-growing decentralized platforms, volume remains heavily concentrated on the 2024 US presidential race, with the market asking who will win the general election trading at over two million dollars in open in...
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"Prediction Markets React Rapidly to Tech Rumors and Political Shifts"

August 7, 2025 • 3 mins
The biggest headlines in prediction markets right now are all about political probability swings and a major tech-related surprise that caught many traders off guard. On Polymarket, which continues to dominate in daily trading volume, the top market remains the question of who will win the 2024 United States presidential election. As of this morning, Donald Trump is trading at 58 cents, while Joe Biden holds at 36 cents. Notably, B...
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Prediction Markets Fluctuate Wildly Amid Shifting Political Narratives

August 5, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have been especially active this week as traders respond to shifting political, economic, and technological signals across platforms like Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus. The big headline over the past 48 hours has been the rapid pricing change in markets related to the first presidential debate and whether Joe Biden will remain the Democratic nominee through November.

On Polymarket, the contract asking “Will...
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Prediction Markets Reflect Evolving Trends Ahead of 2024 US Election

August 3, 2025 • 3 mins
In the world of prediction markets, the past 48 hours have delivered some unexpected movements and pointed to intriguing emerging patterns. Polymarket continues to dominate in terms of volume, particularly around the 2024 United States presidential election. As of this morning, the market answering "Will Trump win the 2024 Election?" is leading in total volume with over 14 million dollars wagered. His price dipped from 59 cents to ...
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Prediction Markets See Surge in Activity Amid Biden Replacement Speculation and Other High-Profile Events

July 31, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have seen a burst of unexpected movement over the past forty-eight hours, especially across Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus. On Polymarket, the largest surge in trading volume has centered around the question of whether Joe Biden will be replaced as the Democratic presidential nominee before November. As of this morning, that market had over 2.2 million dollars in volume and saw a sharp spike, rising from 21...
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Prediction Markets Abuzz with Political and Tech Speculation

July 29, 2025 • 3 mins
Right now, the prediction markets are unusually vibrant, with a mix of political tension and tech speculation driving trading volumes across the main platforms. Over the past seventy-two hours, Polymarket has seen its biggest activity around the question of whether Joe Biden will remain the Democratic nominee through Election Day. As of this recording, that market is trading at 65 cents for yes, down from 74 just two days ago. This...
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Prediction Markets Surge Amid Rapid Geopolitical and Political Shifts

July 27, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have kicked into high gear this week as several major geopolitical and political storylines shift rapidly. Across Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus, traders and forecasters are reacting in near real-time to developments around the U.S. presidential race, Russian internal dynamics, and economic outlooks in the second half of 2024. As of this morning, the top three markets by volume on Polymarket are the 2024 U....
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Prediction Markets Favor Trump Comeback Despite Polling Headwinds

July 24, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have been buzzing with activity over the last 48 hours, especially on Polymarket, which continues to dominate in volume. Currently, the top market there is the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, specifically whether Donald Trump will win. As of this morning, that market is pricing Trump at 57 cents, translating to a 57 percent chance, up from 53 percent just two days ago. The surprising upward movement comes despit...
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Headline: Prediction Markets Reflect Shifting Political Landscape Ahead of 2024 Election

July 22, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have been anything but quiet over the past 48 hours, especially as we get deeper into election season and closer to key international developments. On Polymarket, the top volume markets remain heavily dominated by U.S. political questions. As of this morning, the "Will Trump win the 2024 Presidential Election" market had over 8 million dollars in volume, with Trump's probability currently sitting at 56 percent, a...
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Political Prediction Markets See Flurry of Activity Amid Shifting Dynamics

July 20, 2025 • 3 mins
Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus have all seen significant action in the last 48 hours, with several markets experiencing sharp movements driven by breaking news and shifting public sentiment. On Polymarket, the highest volume continues to come from political forecasting, particularly the presidential election contracts. The market asking who will win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election saw major action after the first televise...
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Prediction Markets Shift Ahead of Key Events: Trump Surges, Ceasefire Speculation Grows

July 17, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have been buzzing this week with sharp swings across several major platforms. At Polymarket, the top contract by volume remains the U.S. Presidential race, with over 13 million dollars traded on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will win in November. As of this morning, Trump has pulled ahead, trading at 57 cents to Biden's 38. That’s a five-point jump for Trump in just under 48 hours, driven by increasing attent...
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Headline: Prediction Markets See Volatility Amid Political Tensions and Corporate Events

July 15, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have seen some volatile and surprising shifts over the past 48 hours, especially as global political tensions and major corporate events dominate headlines. On Polymarket, the top market by volume has been the question of whether Biden will be the Democratic nominee by November. Trading volume exceeded two million dollars yesterday, and in just the past day, his chances fell from 78 percent to 65 percent. The sha...
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Prediction Markets Reflect Shifting Sentiment on Trump, Harris, and AI Breakthroughs

July 13, 2025 • 3 mins
The last forty-eight hours have brought some unexpected twists across the top prediction markets, signaling shifting public sentiment and perhaps early clues about what's coming next in global politics, tech, and science. On Polymarket, the top market by volume has once again been the one asking whether Donald Trump will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election. After hovering around 58 cents most of the past week, his contract pric...
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Prediction Markets Roiled by Shifting Sentiment on Biden and 2024 Race

July 10, 2025 • 3 mins
The last forty-eight hours have brought a flurry of unexpected shifts across the major prediction markets, with Polymarket once again leading in trading volume. Among its top markets is the one asking whether Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee by election day. That market saw significant turbulence starting late Tuesday evening, when Biden’s chances dipped from 76 percent to just under 68 percent before rebounding slightly to...
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Prediction markets see volatility ahead of 2024 U.S. election

July 8, 2025 • 3 mins
The past couple of days have brought fresh volatility across prediction markets, with traders recalibrating odds in real time as new polls, headlines, and events unfold. Polymarket continues to dominate in terms of volume, with its 2024 U.S. presidential election markets pulling in roughly 2.6 million dollars in trading just in the past 48 hours. As of this morning, the market for "Will Donald Trump win the 2024 election?" climbed ...
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Prediction Markets Abuzz with Election Speculation, Tech Bets

July 6, 2025 • 3 mins
The prediction markets have been buzzing this week, with a flurry of activity around global elections, tech breakthroughs, and unexpected geopolitical shifts. Let’s dive into the latest trends driving the sharpest market moves across platforms like Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus.

On Polymarket, the highest volume market remains the 2024 US presidential election, where the question of whether Donald Trump will win has surged in...
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Prediction Markets Buzzing with Activity on Politics, AI and Geopolitics

July 3, 2025 • 3 mins
Prediction markets have been heating up over the past 48 hours, with a flurry of activity across major platforms like Polymarket, PredictIt, and Metaculus. The biggest headlines are still dominated by politics and geopolitics, but there were some surprising price movements that hint at growing uncertainty in places we hadn’t been watching as closely.

Polymarket continues to lead with the most dollar volume traded. The "Will Trump be...
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