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Paul Dans, known as a chief architect of Project 2025, just announced a primary challenge to Senator Lindsey Graham in South Carolina, a significant move in a state where Graham is both well-funded and has the backing of President Trump. Dans, a former Heritage Foundation figure, is centering his campaign on calls to “deconstruct the administrative state” and on the claim that the Senate remains a major obstacle to conservative reforms. This challenge marks a notable test for loyalties within Trump’s MAGA base, as Graham has been a longtime Trump ally and also now has state heavyweights like Senator Tim Scott and Governor Henry McMaster chairing his re-election effort. Project 2025, which Dans helped develop, remains controversial even among Republicans, with Trump having previously distanced himself from its more aggressive proposals for dismantling large sections of the federal government.
Meanwhile, there’s lively debate within the party about its future leadership and the wider direction of the GOP. In Alabama, the state GOP postponed its flagship summer dinner after former RNC chair Michael Whatley, now endorsed by Trump, shifted attention toward efforts to maintain a Senate majority in 2026. These kinds of scheduling changes and endorsements highlight internal maneuvering as the party seeks to keep its coalition unified heading into the next round of crucial midterms.
Looking further ahead, JD Vance is emerging as the presumptive front-runner for the GOP’s 2028 presidential nomination. According to political analysts featured on Race to Power, Vance, now vice president, is seen as the natural successor to Trump, who will be term-limited. Notably, Senator Marco Rubio has thrown his support behind Vance’s early emergence, which some interpret as a move to preserve his own standing within the party rather than sparking a new rivalry. There’s widespread speculation that Vance will inherit the core Trump-MAGA infrastructure, though some commentators caution that a decisive outcome in the 2026 midterms could reshape the power balance, especially if Republican electoral fortunes falter.
At the state level, the Florida GOP is gearing up for its annual Red Florida Dinner, where Susie Wiles, President Trump’s Chief of Staff and 2024 campaign co-manager, will be honored as Statesman of the Year. Wiles’ recognition is a nod to her deep influence on both Florida politics and Trump’s rise. The event will include top Republicans such as Senator Rick Scott, Congressman Byron Donalds, and RNC Chairman Michael Whatley.
Public opinion metrics remain a mixed bag for the party. According to RealClearPolling data, Republican favorability is under water, with 54.3 percent viewing the GOP unfavorably compared to 42.4 percent favorable. Democrats currently hold a slight edge in generic congressional ballot polling for 2026, and these trends are closely watched by both party leadership and grassroots activists as they seek to chart the path forward.
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