Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome back to the depth Dive. Today, we are taking
a bit of a sledgehammer to the traditional idea of retirement.
We're asking that kind of uncomfortable question, why wait, why
wait until you're sixty five to start living the life
you really want. We have spent a lot of time
digging through this comprehensive guide to the Fire movement that's
financial independence, retire early, and we're here to basically pull
(00:24):
out the absolute best insights, the strategies, the core ideas
for you. So this deep dive, it's really tailor made
for you, the curious learner maybe looking for a shortcut
to understand this well frankly transformative approach to personal finance.
We're not just summarizing here. We're going to unpack the
origins which are pretty radical, the critical math behind it,
the aggressive strategies people use, and yeah, the inevitable critiques too.
(00:46):
Wanting to check out of the rat race decades early
definitely comes with some pushback.
Speaker 2 (00:50):
Absolutely, and I think we have to frame it right
from the start. Fire isn't just a savings plan. It's
much bigger. It's a profound financial and lifestyle strategy. It's
really built on these three pillars, aggressive saving like really
aggressive saving, intense frugal living, but intentional frugal living, and
strategic investing. The whole point is to get to financial
independence at a point where your investments basically generate enough
(01:12):
passive income to cover your life expenses, and the goal
is usually to hit that in your thirty or forties.
But here's the thing, the immediate clarification that often gets missed.
Speaker 3 (01:20):
Retire early.
Speaker 2 (01:22):
It very seldom means just stopping all work, all productive
activity forever. For almost everyone doing this, it really means
gaining the absolute freedom to choose, freedom to pursue passions,
maybe start a low streuss business you always dreamed of,
travel the world, or just work on things you genuinely
care about, without that you know, that paralyzing need for
a paycheck every two weeks.
Speaker 3 (01:42):
It's really about.
Speaker 1 (01:43):
Optionality, optionality, Okay, freedom, flexibility, and it sounds like the
self discipline of a monk. Maybe, Okay, let's unpack this then,
because it feels like a very modern thing, right, Like
it's fueled by the Internet, maybe high earning tech jobs.
But the sources we looked at insist the philosophical roots
go well way deeper than just twenty first century blog culture.
(02:03):
So where did this concept of escaping that traditional work
till your sixty five model actually start?
Speaker 3 (02:10):
Yeah, it absolutely predates the digital age. I mean the
Internet definitely accelerated it, no question. But the seminal starting point,
the real ground zero, is often cited as the nineteen
ninety two book Your Money or Your Life by Vicki
Robin and Joe Dominguez. That book really laid the philosophical groundwork.
It shifted the whole conversation around saving and spending. Their
key concept wasn't just about socking away more money, was
(02:32):
about fundamentally redefining your relationship with money and time. They
introduced this powerful idea, every dollar you spent actually costs
you a piece of your life energy life energy, Yeah,
the hours, the days, maybe even weeks you spent working
to earn that specific dollar. So they argued you should
calculate your expenses not just in dollars, but in hours
of life wasted to acquire that thing. Time, they said,
(02:55):
is far more valuable, far more finite than just accumulating
material wealth. And really the whole fire philosophy kind of
flows from that core idea maximizing your free time by
achieving financial independence as quickly as you possibly can.
Speaker 1 (03:07):
Wow, that is a brutal but really clear way to
reframe consumerism, isn't it. They basically weaponized opportunity cost against
well buying stuff. But okay, that was ninety two. It
seems like it took a while for this sort of
niche idea to really ignite into the global movement we
see today. What flip the switch.
Speaker 3 (03:26):
That's exactly where the digital acceleration comes in. They're early
two thousands, you see the rise of personal finance blogs,
and these blogs started popularizing the idea, but in a
really practical, step by step, in importantly highly transparent way.
So instead of just philosophical concepts, suddenly you had real
people sharing their actual spreadsheets, their budgets, their investment in us,
showing the nitty gritty.
Speaker 1 (03:45):
Right, And we absolutely have to mention some of those
early pioneers, the heavy hitters, who kind of became the
living proof of concept for a whole generation, didn't They
People like Pete Adney better known as mister money Mustache,
and Jacob Lunn Fisker from early retirement extreme. These guys
weren't just talking theory. They were documenting their specific journeys
(04:06):
retiring decades early. Through this combination of frankly extreme frugality
and really disciplined investing, they showed the math wasn't just theoretical,
it was actually achievable for well, for some.
Speaker 3 (04:16):
People at least exactly. They proved it could be done.
And then the community aspect, that was like pouring jet
fuel on the fire, pardon the pun. Online communities, especially
forms like reddits, are financial independence. These spaces just transformed it.
It went from being specialized financial advice shared by a
few bloggers to this massive global crowd sourced knowledge of
(04:39):
people sharing tips on everything from tax optimization strategies to
geographical arbitrage moving somewhere cheaper and critically, these communities provided
the motivational support. I mean, maintaining an extremely restrictive lifestyle
for ten fifteen years, that's hard. Knowing others are on
the same journey, sharing struggles and successes. That makes it
feel collect not just lonely and isolating.
Speaker 1 (05:02):
Yeah, that radical transparency seems to be a really core feature. Okay,
so let's drill down into these core principles then, the
things that actually define the movement, because, like you said,
they often fly directly in the face of conventional financial advice, right,
the stuff you learn in school or from a typical broker.
Speaker 3 (05:15):
Right. The whole movement really hinges on those twin goals
we mentioned. Yeah, financial independence or FRI. That's where your
passive income sustainably covers all your living expenses and then
retiring early. Are which is gaining the freedom to stop
that conventional nine to five grind.
Speaker 1 (05:29):
Okay, But the engine, the mechanism to actually achieve this
is that high savings rate. And this seems like the
most radical departure. If traditional advice says, you know, save ten,
maybe fifteen, twenty percent over a forty year career, what
are firefolks actually aiming for.
Speaker 3 (05:44):
We're talking fifty to seventy percent or even more in
some cases. It's incredibly aggressive. And this rate, this is
what compresses, you know, four decades of traditional saving into
maybe just ten or fifteen years. And the key insight here,
something that source material really stresses is that the time
it takes you to reach FI it's dictated primarily not
by how much you earn, but by your savings rate.
Someone earning say fifty thousand dollars a year, but saving
(06:06):
fifty percent of it will actually reach FI faster than
someone earning two hundred thousand dollars but only saving ten percent.
Speaker 1 (06:11):
That's counterintuitive but makes sense mathematically, Okay, And that high
savings rate leads us directly to the next pillar, frugal living. Now,
this often gets portrayed as like extreme deprivation right eating
beans and rice forever, But it sounds like you're saying
it's more nuanced, maybe intentional resource allocation.
Speaker 3 (06:31):
That's a much better way to put it. Yes, frugality,
it's absolutely central, but it's intentional frugality. It generally involves
adopting a more minimalist lifestyle to consciously minimize unnecessary spending,
which then maximizes that savings rate. It's usually not about
obsessively clipping coupons for groceries, though some might do that.
It's more about making really deliberate, high impact choices on
(06:53):
the biggest expenses, things like radically reducing housing costs, fundamentally
changing transportation habits, maybe giving up new cars altogether. It's
about prioritizing long term freedom over immediate consumption.
Speaker 1 (07:04):
Okay, So this high savings rate creates this pool of money,
this investment gap, and that saved income. It has to
be put to work right, invested for growth. What kinds
of assets are typically favored when I mean your entire
future financial freedom hinges on how well that portfolio performed.
Speaker 3 (07:20):
Yeah, the focus here is overwhelmingly on a few key
things simplicity, keeping costs incredibly low, and broad diversification. So
overwhelmingly you see people favoring low cost index funds and ETFs.
These are funds that just track the broad market, like
the S and P five hundred or a total US
Stock Market index or even a total world index. They
(07:41):
generate passive income through dividends and of course long term
capital appreciation. Reliability and consistency are absolutely paramount here because
these fiery plans depend on achieving steady market matching returns
over a very long time. Horizon fees are the enemy.
Speaker 1 (07:54):
Makes sense, Keep it simple, keep it cheek, let the
market do the work.
Speaker 3 (07:57):
Okay, Now we get to the absolute cornerstone math of
the entire movement, the calculation that basically underpins whether this
whole audacious plan is statistically viable or just wishful thinking.
The four percent rule. Now, this isn't just a random
number someone picked is it. It's based on actual historical data.
Speaker 1 (08:17):
Oh, absolutely, it is the bedrock. We really need to
understand where it comes from. The four percent role is
derived primarily from a study often called the Trinity Study,
which was published back in nineteen ninety eight. What they
did was analyze historical market data. They looked at the
success rates of different withdrawal strategies from diversified investment portfolios,
typically something like a mix of seventy five percent stocks
and twenty five percent bonds over various thirty year periods
(08:39):
throughout history. And what the study suggested basically is this,
if you would draw a four percent of your total
initial portfolio value in your first year of retirement and
then adjust that dollar amount upward for inflation each following year, statistically,
that money had an extremely high probability, like over ninety
five percent success rate in their models of lasting for
at least thirty years without running out. Okay, so that's
(08:59):
the magic calculation. That's what connects the how much do
I need question to the actual goal. You figure out
your desired annual spending and retirement, and then you can
work backward to calculate your required nest egg. The famous
fire number precisely.
Speaker 3 (09:13):
It's simple but powerful multiplication. You just take your required
annual expenses and multiply by twenty five.
Speaker 1 (09:19):
Because four percent is one hundred and twenty fIF exactly.
Speaker 3 (09:22):
So if you figure out you need, say forty thousand
dollars per year to live comfortably in retirement, your required
nest egg, your fire number is one million dollars. Simple
as that forty thousand dollars times twenty five. If you
had one hundred thousand dollars per year for a more
lavish lifestyle, well, then your target is two point five
million dollars. That number, that fi yury number. It provides
(09:42):
the concrete structure. It's the goalpost. It defines what financial
freedom actually looks like in dollar terms for you personally.
Speaker 1 (09:48):
Right, the math is brutal in its clarity, but it's clear. Okay,
But let's say you do it. You hit that number
in your late thirties, maybe early forties, what do you
actually do with all that reclaimed time? That brings us
back to that philosophical side you mentioned earlier. Intentional living.
Speaker 3 (10:01):
Yes, absolutely, because if the initial drive is just to
escape the rat race, the nine to five grind, the
real goal, the deeper goal for most people is actually
aligning their lifestyle, their daily activities, with their deeply held
personal values. It's about being deliberate with your time, your
most precious resource. The movement, or at least the thoughtful
(10:22):
parts of it, really stresses that the sacrifice involved in
achieving that high savings rate for say, ten or fifteen years,
it's only truly worth it if you've clearly defined what
you're buying back those next forty or fifty years for.
Is it more family time, is it pursuing creative work,
philanthropic projects, starting a passion business, or maybe just deep
rest and recovery. You need to know.
Speaker 1 (10:42):
That's a really powerful distinction. It's not just about not working,
it's about having the freedom to do something else meaningful. Okay, now,
if we connect this to the bigger picture. You mentioned
earlier that the Fire movement isn't just one rigid dogma, right,
It's actually quite flexible. It seems to have splintered into
various subcommunities, different flavors, showing that the journey looks different
(11:04):
for different people. Let's maybe unpack some of those variations.
It seems like they mostly differ based on two critical factors,
how big your nest egg needs to be, and what
kind of lifestyle you want in retirement.
Speaker 3 (11:16):
Yeah, it's really essential to understand this spectrum because, frankly,
most people who get interested in fire probably find themselves
landing somewhere in the middle, not necessarily at the extreme ends.
Speaker 1 (11:26):
Okay, so let's start with those extremes. Then lean fire
versus fat fire, what's the difference there?
Speaker 3 (11:32):
So lean fire is all about achieving financial independence with
the smallest possible nest egg. We're talking about supporting minimal
annual expenses, often aiming to live on less than say
forty thousand dollars a year, maybe even closer to twenty
five thousand dollars in some cases. Now, this path requires continuous,
often pretty extreme frugality. Even after you retire. You might
(11:52):
see people pursuing lean fire relocating to very low cost
of living areas maybe internationally, or embracing unconventional lifestyles van
living or homesteading to drastically cut those core living costs.
The absolute priority here is achieving independence as quickly as possible,
sometimes sacrificing comfort or convenience to do it.
Speaker 1 (12:10):
Speed over comfort, got it, And then fat fire is
basically the opposite end of that spectrum, the luxury version.
Speaker 3 (12:15):
Pretty much yeah, fat fire, involves saving a significantly larger
nest egg. Often we're talking multiple millions, maybe two million dollars,
three million dollars even more. The goal here is to
support a much more comfortable, maybe even luxurious retirement lifestyle,
often requiring one hundred thousand dollars or more in annual spending.
This is the path you often see pursued by high earners, doctors, lawyers,
(12:39):
successful entrepreneurs, people who want to maintain a high standard
of living after they stop working. They want to keep
traveling comfortably, enjoy expensive hobbies, maybe live in a high
cost a living city, but without needing the job to
fund it. Obviously, it takes much longer to save that much,
but the resulting post work life is far less restrictive financially.
Speaker 1 (12:58):
Okay, lean and fat the extremes. But then you mentioned
these hybrid or gradual approaches, and honestly, these sound like
they might be much more attainable, maybe more sensible, for
the majority of people, especially folks who maybe can't stomach
that seventy percent savings rate or just don't want to
live quite that leanly exactly.
Speaker 3 (13:15):
These hybrid models are really interesting because they acknowledge that,
you know, life happens, circumstances change, personal comfort levels differ,
Maybe you actually like parts of your job, or you
just want a better work life balance now, not just
in fifteen years. These models don't always align with that
super aggressive sprint to the finish line path. So take
(13:36):
coast fire for example. This is a fantastic middle ground concept.
The idea here is that individuals save aggressively early in
their careers, maybe by their mid thirties, let's say enough
so that their investments, just through the power of compounding
and expected market growth over decades, can grow entirely on
their own to reach a full traditional retirement nest egg
by age sixty five without any further contributions from the person.
Speaker 4 (13:58):
Ah.
Speaker 1 (13:58):
Okay, so you hit a certain early and then you
can just let it ride, let it coast.
Speaker 3 (14:03):
Precisely, once they hit that coast number, they can effectively
stop actively saving for retirement. They can then coast maybe
take a less demanding job, they enjoy more work part time,
take many retirements, pursue creative projects. They still need to
cover their current living expenses, usually through some form of work,
but the heavy lifting of retirement saving. That's done. They've
(14:25):
bought back some freedom and reduced career pressure immediately.
Speaker 1 (14:28):
Okay, So they get freedom from the high pressure career
right away, even if they still need to work in
some capacity, maybe low stress jobs until they're older, like
fifty or sixty. That makes a lot of sense. And
then there's another one you hear about, Barista faire. What's that?
Speaker 3 (14:41):
Barista fire is another really popular hybrid model. Here, people
aim to achieve partial financial independence. They save enough so
that their passive income from investments covers maybe their core
essential expenses thing housing, basic food utilities. But then they
supplement that passive income with part time work, hence the
(15:01):
somewhat stereotypical briasted job name to cover the rest things
like health insurance premiums, which are a huge deal where
discretionary spending, travel, hobbies. It provides immediate freedom from full
time career stress while still offering a structured way to
pay for those non negotiable costs or desired extras. You work,
but on your own terms, maybe just fifteen twenty hours a.
Speaker 1 (15:20):
Week, okay, another way to dial back the intensity without
stopping work completely. And finally, you mentioned slow fire.
Speaker 3 (15:27):
Right, slow fire is exactly what it sounds like, a
more deliberate, gradual approach. This also appeals to people who
frankly genuinely enjoy their careers, or maybe they just need
more time due to things like starting a family later,
having significant student debt, or caring for aging parents. They
still embrace the core fire principles saving intentionally, investing wisely,
(15:47):
being mindful of spending, but they work toward financial independence
over a longer timeframe, maybe twenty or twenty five years,
instead of that intense ten year sprint. They prioritize maintaining
a good work life balance throughout the entire journey. Make
you sure they don't burn out chasing an arbitrary early
retirement date. It's basically fire adapted to a more sustainable
human pace for many.
Speaker 1 (16:07):
That spectrum really shows how customizable this whole concept can be,
doesn't it. It's clearly not a rigid, one size fits
all dogma. Okay, so that's the what and the why.
Now let's get into the how, the execution. How do
people actually manage to save fifty sixty seventy percent of
their income? The guide we looked at suggests it really
boils down to relentlessly optimizing three key levers, boosting income,
(16:29):
slashing expenses, and investing wisely. Let's dig into the practical
strategies for each.
Speaker 3 (16:34):
Right, these are the three legs of the stool, and
you really need to work all three. First. Maximizing income
this is the accelerator.
Speaker 1 (16:40):
Right.
Speaker 3 (16:41):
The more you bring in, assuming you control spending, the
faster you fill up that investment bucket, and the dramatically
shorter your timeline to FI becomes.
Speaker 1 (16:48):
And the sources really emphasized that for many people, especially
younger professionals, the single greatest lever isn't necessarily fancy investment
strategies initially, but actively improving your human capital you're earning potential.
So strategies here include things like, well, getting good at
rigorous salary negotiation every time you change jobs, every time
(17:08):
you get promoted, not being afraid to switch to higher
paying industries or companies if your skills are transferable, and
of course continuous skill development, getting additional education certifications. Things
that directly boost your market value. I mean, if you
can negotiate even just a fifteen percent raise and you
funnel that entire raise into investments. That has a massive
(17:29):
immediate impact on your savings rate.
Speaker 3 (17:30):
Absolutely critical, and alongside maximizing your main career income, you
absolutely have to leverage side hustles. This is such a
common fire tactic, things like freelance work in your field,
consulting on the side, starting an online business, driving for Huber,
whatever fits your skills in time, Adherence often adopt a
rule where one hundred percent of any income earned from
side hustles goes directly into investment accounts. It doesn't touch
(17:53):
the regular budget. This supercharges their savings rate far beyond
what their primary salary alone could achieve.
Speaker 1 (17:59):
Okay, boost the income stream. Then you hit the second lever,
which arguably has the most immediate tangible impact because every
single dollar you cut from spending bypasses taxes and is
instantly available to save and invest. That's minimizing expenses.
Speaker 3 (18:13):
Yeah, this is where the intense focus comes in, and
the single biggest target, almost without question, especially in places
like the US or UK, is housing. It's usually the
largest line item in anyone's budget, So the tactics here
get pretty creative, sometimes aggressive, opting for significantly smaller homes
or apartments than you might otherwise be able to afford.
(18:33):
Deliberately choosing to rent in a modest place instead of
buying to avoid property taxes, maintenance and transaction costs, relocating
entirely to lower cost of living areas sometimes drastically lower
or as you see, increasingly popular, this strategy called house hacking.
Speaker 1 (18:49):
Okay, let's pause on house hacking. That's definitely fire community jargon.
Can you unpact that? How does that actually work in practice?
Speaker 3 (18:55):
Sure? House hacking basically involves buying a property, usually a
multi unit property like a dupe place X triplex or
maybe four plex, or even just a regular single family
house with several extra bedrooms. You live in one unit
or one part of the house yourself, and then you
rent out the remaining units or rooms to tenants. The
goal is that the rental income generated by your tenants
(19:15):
covers most or ideally all, of your mortgage payment, property taxes,
and insurance, so it effectively reduces your personal housing cost
down to near zero or maybe even generates a small profit.
It's pretty aggressive move required as being a landlord, but
it essentially turns your largest expense into a small side business.
Speaker 1 (19:33):
Genius, but definitely sounds intensive. Okay, Beyond housing, transportation is
usually the next huge cost center that gets targeted immediately
in fire plans.
Speaker 3 (19:40):
Right, oh yeah, Big time transportation shifts often mean consciously
moving away from that expensive model of constantly buying new cars,
dealing with depreciation, high insurance, and financing costs. Instead, the
focus is on buying reliable, fuel efficient used cars and
driving them for a very long time, or even better,
strategically using public transit, biking, walking, whatever possible. You think
(20:03):
of someone like mister money Mustache, who famously embraced biking
almost everywhere and using older, practical cars. He basically turned
that huge transportation expense category into massive savings year after year.
Speaker 2 (20:15):
Right.
Speaker 1 (20:16):
And then, of course, there are the more general food
and lifestyle cuts we associate with frugality.
Speaker 3 (20:20):
Exactly cooking almost all meals at home, meticulous meal prepping
to avoid impulse bis or eating out, minimizing or eliminating
dining out and expensive entertainment, ruthlessly cutting unnecessary subscriptions, straining
services gym memberships you don't use subscription boxes, and maybe
most critically, strictly avoiding that phenomenon known as lifestyle inflation,
(20:42):
that natural tendency to increase your spending every time your
income goes up. Fire adherents try to keep their spending
level constant or even decreasing, regardless of raises, so that
extra income goes straight to savings.
Speaker 1 (20:53):
Okay, So these deliberate often deep cuts across housing, transport, food,
and lifestyle. They create that massive investment gap, and that
gap that's the fuel for the third leg, the stool,
the engine investing wisely.
Speaker 3 (21:05):
Right, And as we touched on, the preferred method, really
favored for its simplicity and effectiveness, is using low cost,
broadly diverside index funds or ETFs, passively managed funds that
just aim to replicate the performance of a major market
index like the S and P five hundred or a
total stock market fund. They offer that reliability, consistent market
level returns over long haul, and crucially, minimal management fees,
(21:28):
because every fraction of a percent you pay in fees
directly eats into your compound growth, especially over decades. Low
cost is king.
Speaker 1 (21:35):
Here makes sense. But what about folks who want to
diversify beyond just simple index funds? Do they use other assets?
Speaker 3 (21:41):
Yeah? Many do. You definitely see people leveraging alternative assets,
primarily real estate, often through owning physical rental properties for
direct cash flow, or sometimes through real estate investment trusts
or uts, which are like mutual funds for real estate.
The appeal there is often steady, predictable cash flow that
can help cover living expenses immediately in retirement. Dividend paying
(22:02):
stocks are also sometimes used specifically for their consistent passive
income streams, although many prefer the total return approach of
index funds, but the overarching theme is usually diversification across
asset classes, but always with that intense focus on keeping
costs slow and aiming for reliable, sustainable income generation or growth.
Speaker 1 (22:21):
And the really savvy fire planner, especially someone aiming to
retire decades early, also has to become an expert in
tax optimization. Right. You absolutely need to keep the tax
authorities hands off your compound in growth for as long
as legally possible, especially since you plan to access the
money way before traditional retirement age.
Speaker 3 (22:38):
This is absolutely essential, particularly in a complex tax system
like the US. It involves ruthlessly strategically utilizing every available
tax advantaged to account. We're talking about maximizing contributions to
things like four to one k's or similar workplace plans,
traditional and roth iras, and increasingly health savings accounts hsas,
(22:59):
which have incredible triple tax advantages. Maximizing these accounts minimizes
the tax drag on your investments while they're growing, allowing
them to compound much faster. But crucially, you also have
to structure these accounts very intentional so that you can
actually access the funds penalty free during your early retirement years,
long before that traditional access age of fifty nine and
(23:20):
a half kicks in. That requires some specific planning, right,
which leads perfectly into the next point. Achieving this level
of financial freedom, especially decades early, it seems to require
meticulous tracking, ongoing optimization, and some very specialized early retirement planning.
Speaker 4 (23:35):
You really can't.
Speaker 3 (23:35):
Afford to just wing it when the timeline is so
compressed and the stakes are so high. You can't hit
a complex target like this without precision measurement, can you?
Absolutely not? Fire? Adherents are often well famously meticulous about tracking.
They typically use detailed spreadsheets they build themselves, or sophisticated
budgeting apps like Y and B. You need a budget,
or maybe MINT or personal Capital. They track every dollar
(23:58):
coming in, every dollar going out out and monitor their
investment balances constantly. But it's not just passive reporting like
looking at a bank statement once a month. It's active optimization.
They're constantly reviewing their spending, looking for leaks, identifying areas
where they can cut further or allocate resources more effectively
towards that savings goal, an ongoing process of refinement.
Speaker 1 (24:21):
And then, as you alluded to, when you're planning to
retire at say forty instead of sixty five, you face
some very specific, very significant early retirement hurdles that someone
following the traditional path just doesn't have to worry about
as much.
Speaker 3 (24:33):
We definitely need to discuss the two biggest logistical nightmares
that come up again and again in the fire community.
Healthcare and figuring out how to actually get your retirement
money out early without massive penalties. Yeah, these are the
big ones. Let's start with healthcare. For US based early retirees,
this is arguably the single biggest logistical challenge, the biggest
source of anxiety. Figuring out how to secure affordable, reliable
(24:56):
health insurance before you become eligible for Medicare at age
sixty five. That's a major sticking point, requires very careful planning.
It often involves potentially high out of pocket costs or
learning how to navigate the public marketplaces effectively.
Speaker 1 (25:09):
Right, Because you lose your employer sponsored health insurance when
you quit your job, So what specific mechanisms do early
retirees typically use to bridge that potentially twenty or twenty
five year gap until Medicare kicks in.
Speaker 4 (25:20):
Well. Many rely heavily on the Affordable Care Act ACA marketplace,
also known as Obamacare. Now here's the critical link back
to fire strategy. Because early retirees are often intentionally engineering
are very low or sometimes even zero taxable income. They
might be selling assets strategically to stay below certain income thresholds,
or living off contributions from a roth IRA which aren't
taxed in. They often qualify for significant government subsidies premium
(25:44):
tax credits on the ACAM marketplace. These subsidies can make
the monthly premiums for health insurance surprisingly affordable, even though
the sticker price of the plans might be very high.
So managing their taxble income to maximize these subsidies is
a key part of the financial planning for healthcare retirement.
It's counterintuitive having millions in assets but qualifying for subsidies
based on low income.
Speaker 1 (26:05):
That's fascinating. So controlling taxbile income becomes a strategy in itself. Okay,
that's healthcare. What about the second major hurdle withdrawal strategies
figuring out how to actually access the funds locked away
in those tax advantaged retirement accounts four one K traditional iras,
which are generally intended for use after age fifty nine
and a half without getting hit by early withdrawal penalty.
Speaker 3 (26:27):
Right, You've spent years diligently saving into these accounts, maximizing
the tax benefits. Now you need to get the money out,
maybe at age forty or forty five. This is where
a few key strategies come into play, the most famous
probably being the Roth IRA conversion ladder.
Speaker 1 (26:42):
Okay, the roth conversion ladder. You hear this term thrown
around a lot in fire circles, but it's often not
well explained. How does this mechanism, this sort of loophole
actually allow early retirees to access funds that are technically
locked up until age fifty nine and a half.
Speaker 3 (26:56):
It's a really clever strategic maneuver allowed by the US
tax code. Basically, it works like this, You take funds
from a tax deferred retirement account like your traditional four
O one K after rolling it over to a traditional
ira when you leave your job or a traditional ira,
you then convert a certain amount of that money each
year into a wrath ira. Now, when you do this conversion,
(27:18):
you have to pay ordinary income tax on the amount
you converted in that specific year. That's the cost. However,
and here's the crucial loophole, once that money has been
converted and is inside the wroth ira, the principal amount
of that conversion, not any subsequent earnings on it, can
be withdrawn completely tax free and penalty free after a
mandatory five year waiting period has passed from the date
(27:38):
of the conversion. So by doing these conversions systematically year
after year, you effectively create a recurring ladder of accessible funds.
For example, if you retire at age forty, you convert
a chunk of your traditional IRA money in your forty
you pay tax on it. Then five years later, at
age forty five, that specific chunk becomes accessible tax and
penalty free. Then at age forty one you convert another chunk,
(28:00):
which becomes accessible at age forty six. You continue this
process each year, creating a rolling five year pipeline of
funds you can tap into. You keep doing this until
you reach age fifty nine and a half, at which
point all your traditional retirement accounts become accessible penalty free. Anyway,
it requires very precise planning, calculating how much to convert
each year based on your spending needs five years out,
(28:22):
managing your tax bracket during the conversion years. But it
effectively solves that problem of accessing your tax advantage money early.
Speaker 1 (28:28):
Wow, that is some seriously advanced tax choreography. It really
highlights the level of dedication and planning required for this path. Okay,
and finally there's one more hurdle the guide mentioned, maybe
the most overlooked one lifestyle design. If you've spent say,
fifteen years obsessively focused on tracking expenses, maximizing savings, hitting
that f firey number, what actually happens the day after
(28:49):
you hit it and quit your job.
Speaker 3 (28:51):
Yeah, that's often described as the potential crisis of structure
and purpose. It's a real thing. You absolutely must define,
preferably well in advance, what you're retired life is actually
going to look like. What will you fill your days with,
Whether it's extensive travel, pursuing creative projects, volunteering, starting a
passion business, spending more time with family, or even just
(29:11):
embracing part time work you enjoy. You need a plan
otherwise you risk facing the profound loss of structure, identity,
and purpose that can hit early retire you surprisingly hard.
Many people find they were so focused on running from
the corporate ladder or the stressful job that they didn't
spend enough time defining the equally fulfilling thing they were
running toward, and that can lead to boredom, dissatisfaction, even depression.
Speaker 1 (29:33):
That makes a lot of sense. It's not just a
financial equation, it's a life design equation. Okay, So what's
really fascinating here is that while the benefits of fire,
that incredible freedom, the flexibility, the potential for reduced stress,
are obviously clear and very attractive, the movement also faces
some really significant structural criticisms, some practical challenges, and we
(29:55):
need to address those impartially give listeners the reality check.
Let's start, maybe so with recapping the core benefits first, right, The.
Speaker 3 (30:02):
Tangible benefits are powerful motivators, no doubt. The primary one,
as we've said, is that incredible freedom and flexibility, just
the ability to choose how you spend your time day
in and day out, without being dictated by the needs
of an employer. That freedom often leads directly to healthier
lifestyle choices, more time for exercise, sleep, cooking healthy meals,
and generally less daily stress.
Speaker 1 (30:23):
And that freedom, that reduction in stress, seems to translate
directly into significant mental health benefits too, doesn't it. I
mean eliminating the dependence on a job you might dislike,
getting rid of that constant financial pressure or anxiety about layoffs.
That has to be a massive, although maybe non monetary
return on investment for many people.
Speaker 3 (30:43):
Absolutely it's huge, and beyond the personal benefits, we also
find that the movement often aligns, maybe unintentionally, sometimes with
broader societal trends that many people value. For instance, rugal
living almost by definition, means reduced consumption, less waste generation,
maybe the lower carbon footprint because you're driving less or
flying less, So there could be an environmental upside which
(31:04):
is often overlooked. And just on a personal level, the
financial discipline required to pursue fire budgeting, the goal setting,
the delayed gratification. These skills foster significant personal growth. They
benefit almost every area of your life, even if you
never actually fully reach FI or decide to retire super early,
learning to manage money intentionally is always valuable.
Speaker 1 (31:23):
Okay, those are compelling benefits, but let's definitely turn to
the criticisms now, because they really highlight the tough economic realities,
the systemic barriers that can make the fiery journey much
harder or maybe even impossible for a significant chunk of
the population. Where do the critiques usually start well, Probably.
Speaker 3 (31:40):
The biggest and most persistent critique revolves around accessibility and equity.
The core argument here is that fire, especially the more
aggressive forms like lean or fat fire achieved in ten
fifteen years, disproportionately benefits those who already start with significant advantages.
People with high incomes stable careers often are those in
high earning fields like tech or finance, maybe those without
(32:04):
significant student loan debt or without dependence early on, or
perhaps those who receive family help with things like a
down payment. And to ground this in reality, just think
about someone earning the media and US income or maybe
even a bit above, say sixty thousand dollars a year,
but living in a major metropolitan area where housing costs
are sky high. If forty or fifty percent of their
gross income is required just for rent or mortgage. Plus
(32:27):
they have student loan payments, maybe childcare costs. Achieving a
fifty to sixty or seventy percent savings rate on their
after tax income, it's just not mathematically feasible. It becomes
a fantasy. So for individuals burden with high debt, lower wages,
maybe facing job instability, or living in very high cost areas,
the extreme versions of fire can feel completely unattainable due
to these powerful structural economic pressures, regardless of how disciplined
(32:50):
or frugal they try to be.
Speaker 1 (32:51):
That's a really crucial point about privilege and starting conditions. Okay,
Another major critique seems to focus on the underlying assumptions.
The entire plan rests heavily on the idea that the
stock market will continue to perform reasonably well and somewhat
stably for potentially half a century or more of retirement.
That brings us to market risks. That four percent rule
(33:13):
sounds solid based on the Trinity study, but that study
primarily looked at thirty year retirement periods, right, not necessarily
the fifty or sixty year retirements. Some fire adherents are
planning for.
Speaker 3 (33:24):
That is a major point of vulnerability. Absolutely, extending that
withdrawal period from thirty years to fifty or sixty years
significantly increases the exposure to one of the most dangerous
market phenomena for retirees, sequence of returns risk or assisted
r oh.
Speaker 1 (33:36):
Okay sequence of returns risks sir are What exactly is
that and why is it such a particular threat to
early retirees specifically so sores.
Speaker 4 (33:44):
Basically, the risk that you experience poor market return, like
a major crash or a prolonged bear market, happening early
in your retirement withdrawal phase, maybe in the first five
to ten years after you stop working. Think about it.
If you retire and start withdrawing your four percent adjusted
for inflation during a period of good market return burns,
your portfolio might continue to grow or stay stable, no problem.
(34:04):
But if the market crashes, say thirty or forty percent,
right after you retire, and you still need to withdraw
that same inflation adjusted four percent amount to live on,
you're forced to sell assets at rock bottom prices. This
dramatically accelerates the depletion of your remaining funds, making it
much harder for the portfolio to recover later. For a
traditional retiree, maybe retiring at sixty five, things like social
(34:24):
security pensions, perhaps having paid off their mortgat already, can
act as a buffer during bad market years. They might
be able to reduce withdrawals temporarily. Early retirees, however, often
lack those safety nets. They are much more dependent on
their portfolio from day one, so a bad sequence of
returns early on can be potentially catastrophic. For a fifty
plus year plan.
Speaker 3 (34:43):
It's a much bigger risk factor than for traditional retirement.
Speaker 1 (34:46):
That sounds genuinely scary, a major vulnerability. Okay, what about
the non financial costs we touched on lifestyle, But they
are also potentially profound social costs to consider. Aren't there
that extreme brorgality needed for a high savings rate? It
doesn't just mean cutting streaming subscriptions. It can sometimes mean
(35:07):
cutting social ties or experiences.
Speaker 3 (35:09):
Yeah, that is definitely the challenge of potential social isolation.
Maintaining that extreme level of frugality, especially for a decade
or more, often means consistently saying no to social activities
that involve significant costs, things like group vacations, destination, weddings,
frequent dining out with friends, maybe expensive hobbies that your
peer group enjoys. If your partner, your family, or your
(35:31):
close friends aren't equally bought into the fire goal, this
can definitely strain relationships. It can lead to feelings of
missing out on important life experiences or just feeling disconnected
and isolated. If your lifestyle becomes too different from those
around you, it requires careful communication and maybe finding a
like minded.
Speaker 1 (35:46):
Community right finding your tribe becomes even more important. And
we also revisited the need for structure after leaving work.
But the guide we use notes that this purpose problem
isn't just an individual issue. It's sometimes framed as a
more widespread, almost systemic critique of the movement itself.
Speaker 3 (36:03):
Yes, that retirement reality issue comes up a lot. Many people,
especially high achievers who pursue fire aggressively, has spent their
entire adult lives defining themselves largely by their careers, their
professional accomplishments, the structure of work. When that entire framework
is suddenly removed, sometimes quite abruptly, they can struggle significantly
(36:24):
with a lack of purpose, a loss of identity. They
might feel bored, adrift, maybe even experienced depression. Some actually
end up returning to work, not necessarily for the money,
but just for the structure, the social interaction, the sense
of contribution. It highlights that potential pitfall we talked about
chasing freedom from something work without having clearly established sufficient
(36:44):
intrinsic value and structure in what they were running toward.
Speaker 1 (36:47):
It's a really interesting psychological dimension. Okay. The guide also
raises that fundamental question of who can realistically pursue it.
We talked about the accessibility issue for lower earners. While
a fiery is often associated with say, tech bros or
finance types, the source material does note success stories among
people in more average paying professions teachers, nurses, small business owners,
(37:08):
but it also seems to acknowledge the significant barriers pretty clearly.
Speaker 3 (37:11):
Yeah, it's crucial to understand the nuance here.
Speaker 4 (37:14):
Well.
Speaker 3 (37:14):
The core principles of fire, living below your memes, saving, intentionally,
investing consistently are universally applicable and beneficial for almost everyone.
The aggressive timeline associated with retiring in your thirties or
forties that is heavily dictated by your starting point and
income level. The sources are pretty clear if you're trying
to navigate significant student loan debt, maybe raise a family
(37:36):
in a high cost of living area, or if you
have an unstable or unpredictable income stream, Achieving lean fire
or rapid fat fire timeline is highly improbable, maybe impossible
for most people in those situations. For those individuals pursuing
something like coast fire, getting the heavy lifting done early
and then easing off or maybe slow fire extended timeline,
(37:57):
but still benefiting from the principles, those become more realistic
and attainable goals. So using the fire mindset to maximize
financial flexibility and security within your own circumstances, rather than
necessarily aiming for that extreme outcome of total work cessation
decades early.
Speaker 1 (38:12):
That framing makes a lot more sense applying the principles
universally but adjusting the specific goal based on reality. Okay, So,
wrapping this all up, what does this mean for you
the listener? Maybe you're feeling inspired by the idea of
financial independence, but also grounded by the challenges and criticisms.
If the goal appeals, let's look at the actionable first
(38:33):
steps laid out in the guide we reviewed. How does
someone actually start right?
Speaker 3 (38:38):
The journey always begins with well, radical honesty and a
really deep assessment of where you are right now.
Speaker 1 (38:44):
So step one seems to be define your goal clearly,
and that starts with hard numbers, calculating your current net
worth what you own minus what you owe, meticulously tracking
your income from all sources, and crucially figuring out exactly
where your money is going by tracking your expenses for
a month or two. Creating that baseline. The focus here
isn't just tracking, it's identifying those immediate, maybe large areas
(39:06):
for potential improvement, like finding those recurring subscription costs you
forgot about, or realizing how much you actually spend on
dining out or impulse purchases. Finding the low hanging fruit first.
Speaker 3 (39:17):
Exactly and having that expense data is what allows you
to do the next critical piece, set your specific fire
number using that simple formula we discussed your desired to
annual expenses in retirement twenty five. So if you track
your spending and figure out you could live comfortably, maybe
even happily, on fifty thousand dollars a year, then your
target fire number is one point two five million dollars.
(39:38):
Having that tangible number is incredibly important. It turns the
goal from some vague abstract wish I want to retire
early into a measurable, concrete project you can actually work towards.
Speaker 1 (39:48):
Okay, know your starting point, know your target number. Then
we move into the actual work, execution, and action. How
do you start implementing that aggressive savings mindset without just
completely burning out or feeling deprived immediately?
Speaker 3 (40:00):
Generally start with budgeting for high savings. Many people might
be familiar with basic budgeting rules like the fifty to
thirty twenty rule fifty percent needs, thirty percent wants twenty
percent savings. The fire approach basically takes that model and says, okay,
how can we aggressively shrink the needs and especially the
wants categories to push that savings percentage much much higher
towards that fifty percent or more target. It requires reframing
(40:22):
how you look at spending, looking at that wants category
not just as things you can afford to buy now,
but as representing future freedom, future time that you can't
buy back later if you spend the money today. It's
about making conscious trade offs.
Speaker 1 (40:35):
And critically before you even think about investing a single
dollar you save. The advice is almost always deal with
high interest debt. First, Oh, absolutely, without exception. You have
got to eliminate high interest debt, especially things like credit
card debt, payday loans, maybe high interest personal loans. Why
because the interest rate you are paying on that debt,
maybe fifteen percent, twenty percent, twenty five percent or even higher,
(40:56):
is almost certainly far greater than any realistic, a reliable
return you could expect to get from investing in the
market over the long term. Paying off that high interest
debt provides a guaranteed risk free return equal to the
interest rate. It frees up significant cash flow each month
once it's gone. That cash flow is the paramount first
step before you start seriously fueling the investment engine, get
(41:18):
rid of the bad debt anchor first.
Speaker 3 (41:20):
Makes total sense. Okay, so the high interest debt is gone.
Now it's finally time to put that save money to
work start investing. Yes, and the key here is to
start immediately. Don't wait until you have a large lump sum.
Don't try to time the market. Open the necessary accounts,
likely in IRA raw th or traditional participating fully in
any workplace retirement plan like a four to one K,
especially if there's an employer match, and possibly a taxable
(41:42):
brokerage account for additional savings and just begin investing, even
if the amount feels small at first. As we discussed,
prioritize those low cost, broadly diversified index fens aim for simplicity, reliability,
and capturing broad market returns. The guide really emphasizes that
consistency investing regularly month after month, year after year, regardless
(42:03):
of market noise, is infinitely more important than trying to
perfectly time your entry or pick winning stocks. Just get
started and stay consistent.
Speaker 1 (42:10):
Consistency over timing, got it, And finally recognizing that maintaining
a highly frugal lifestyle and aggressive savings rate for potentially
a decade or more is challenging. You need support, You
need motivation. This is where leveraging those community tools and
resources comes in right.
Speaker 3 (42:25):
Absolutely, you almost have to join the community in some way,
engage you with established fire blogs names like chooser fi,
the Mad Fietist Physician on Fire come up often, or
participating actively in online forums like the reddit subreddits Financial Independence,
RFI or e etc. Or other online groups. This connection
helps you stay motivated by seeing others succeed. It allows
(42:46):
you to troubleshoot specific challenges like figuring out healthcare options
or optimizing withdrawal strategies. You could share your own learning experiences,
get feedback, and tap into this huge pool of collective
global knowledge on strategies for saving, investing, and optimizing everything.
It makes the journey feel less solitary, and crucially, remember
to reevaluate regularly. Life isn't static. Your income will likely
(43:08):
change over time, your expenses might fluctuate, maybe your goal shift,
and certainly market performance will vary. You need to review
your progress, probably at least once a year, maybe more often.
Check if you're still on track for your fire number,
see if you're spending, alignance with your budget, rebalance your
investments if needed, and adjust your strategies based on these
shifting realities.
Speaker 4 (43:26):
You need to make sure that four percent rule or
whatever rate you're planning for still looks viable based on
your actual portfolio performance and updated expense projections. It's a
dynamic process.
Speaker 1 (43:36):
That makes sense continuous course correction. And one thing we
really love seeing in the source material was the sheer
diversity in the PABs people have taken to reach fire.
It really proves it's not some kind of monoculture where
everyone follows the exact same script.
Speaker 3 (43:49):
Oh, definitely, we have those really inspiring, often well documented,
real life inspirations. You consider someone like mister money mustache
Pete aden E leverage to high salary as a software engineer. Yes,
but the key was achieving early retirement around age thirty,
primarily by maintaining extreme frugality alongside that income. It really
(44:11):
proves that even high earners have to be hyper disciplined
on the expense side to achieve fire quickly. Then you
looked at the frugal Woods Elizabeth and Nate Thames. They
achieved financial independence largely through a different route, embracing homesteading
and world fromond radically cutting their expenses. Through that lifestyle shift,
combined with diligent index fund and some real estate investment,
they really prove the viability of a lean fire path
(44:33):
using geographical arbitrage and serious expense compression.
Speaker 1 (44:36):
Right very different paths. And then someone like Physician on Fire.
He demonstrates the incredible power of leveraging a very high
income strategically by combining that large position salary with reasonably
frugal habits, not necessarily extreme deprivation, but conscious spending. He
was able to rapidly accumulate enough assets to transition relatively
early to part time work, enjoying more freedom long before
(44:59):
trade retirement age. It shows how income acceleration, when coupled
with discipline, is often the absolute fastest route to FI,
even if extreme frugality isn't your main focus.
Speaker 3 (45:09):
So, summarizing the future of the movement, where does Fire
go from here? Well, the core principles intentional saving, mindful spending,
maximizing your time, they remain incredibly powerful and relevant, maybe
more relevant than ever in today's economy. But the movement
itself isn't static. It continues to adapt. We see ongoing
(45:29):
discussions about how to handle rising living costs, how to
navigate increased market volatility, and importantly, growing conversations about inclusivity.
How can Fire principles be adapted and applied more effectively
to diverse communities, people who don't necessarily start with high
incomes or other advantages. The strategy is evolving, becoming more nuanced.
Speaker 1 (45:48):
So perhaps the ultimate takeaway from this deep dive for
you listening is that Fire, in its various forms, offers
a powerful blueprint, a blueprint for intentional living, for designing
a life that's truly aligned with your deep values. And
that's valuable regardless of whether you actually aim to retire
in your thirties or maybe you just want more control
over your time and finances right now. Even if you
only achieve say cost FI or brista FI, that discipline
(46:12):
the intentionality, it pays off an increased freedom and reduce stress.
Speaker 3 (46:15):
And perhaps given the movements relentless focus on intentional living,
the ultimate question this raises for anyone pursuing Fire or
even just inspired by it isn't just when you might
stop working, but maybe more profoundly, what passion, project, what purpose?
What meaningful activity? Are you actually saving all this time
(46:36):
and all these resources for starting right now? Because if
you don't have a compelling answer to that what for question?
The financial independence number alone, hitting that million dollars or
whatever it is, it probably won't be enough to make
you truly happy or fulfilled.
Speaker 1 (46:49):
Something to definitely think about as you maybe adjust your
own financial blueprint this week. Thanks so much for joining
us for this deep dive into financial independence and the
Fire movement,