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December 18, 2024 3 mins
The US housing industry is currently experiencing a dynamic shift, influenced by recent market movements, regulatory changes, and emerging trends. As of December 2024, the housing market is showing signs of gradual improvement, despite challenges such as high mortgage rates and inventory shortages.

Mortgage rates, which have been elevated for years, are beginning to ease. The 30-year fixed rates have averaged around 6.69% in December 2024, with projections suggesting they could fall to 6.34% by the end of 2025. This decline is expected to improve affordability and boost home sales[1].

Home prices have continued to appreciate, albeit at a slower pace. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), U.S. house prices rose 4.3% between the third quarter of 2023 and the third quarter of 2024, indicating a trend of steady growth[2].

Inventory levels are improving slowly, with new listings and pending sales showing slight increases. However, inventory remains 59% below pre-pandemic levels in states like New Jersey, contrasting with gains in places like Florida[1].

The national housing market is projected to end 2024 at approximately 4.6 million units, among the lowest in recent years. However, experts anticipate a modest rebound in 2025 as rates decline and inventory grows[1].

The housing shortage remains a significant issue, with an estimated 3.7 million units needed to meet long-run housing demand. Despite adding 5.8 million housing units over four years, the housing stock is still dramatically undersupplied relative to historical levels[4].

Homeownership rates have been impacted by high mortgage rates and low affordability. The homeownership rate was slightly lower at 65.6% in Q3 2024 compared to 66% in Q3 2023, according to the Residential Vacancies and Homeownership Report by the U.S. Census Bureau[4].

In response to current challenges, builders are using sales incentives to make new homes more attractive for potential buyers. Homebuilder confidence has inched up for the second consecutive month, though it remains below 50, indicating poor building conditions in the near term[4].

The US housing industry is also leveraging technology for market analysis, using tools such as foot traffic analysis, benchmarking reports, AI-powered predictive insights, demographic data, and market trend reports to identify new opportunities and evaluate performance[3].

In conclusion, the US housing industry is navigating through a period of gradual recovery, influenced by easing mortgage rates, improving inventory levels, and steady price appreciation. However, challenges such as high mortgage rates and inventory shortages continue to impact the market. Industry leaders are responding by using sales incentives and leveraging technology for market analysis. As the market moves into 2025, a modest rebound is anticipated, driven by declining rates and growing inventory.
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is Your US Housing podcast. The US housing industry
is currently experiencing a dynamic shift, influenced by recent market movements,
regulatory changes, and emerging trends. As of December twenty twenty four,
the housing market is showing signs of gradual improvement, despite
challenges such as high mortgage rates and inventory shortages. Mortgage rates,

(00:22):
which have been elevated for years, are beginning to ease.
The thirty year fixed rates have averaged around six point
sixty nine percent in December twenty twenty four, with projections
suggesting they could fall to six point three four percent
by the end of twenty twenty five. This decline is
expected to improve affordability and boost home sales. One home
prices have continued to appreciate, albeit at a slower pace.

(00:46):
According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency FHFA, US three
house prices rose four point three percent between the third
quarter of twenty twenty three and the third quarter of
twenty twenty four, indicating a trend of steady growth. Inventory
levels are improving slowly, with new listings and pending sales
showing slight increases. However, inventory remains fifty nine per cent

(01:09):
below pre pandemic levels in states like New Jersey, contrasting
with gains in places like Florida. The national housing market
is projected to end twenty twenty four at approximately four
point six million units, among the lowest in recent years. However,
experts anticipate a modest rebound in twenty twenty five as
rates decline in inventory grows one. The housing shortage remains

(01:33):
a significant issue, with an estimated three point seven million
units needed to meet long run housing demand. Despite adding
five point eight million housing units over four years, the
housing stock is still dramatically undersupplied relative to historical levels.
Home Ownership rates have been impacted by high mortgage rates
and low affordability. The home ownership rate was slightly lower

(01:55):
at sixty five point six per cent in Q three
twenty twenty four, compared to sixty six percent in Q
three twenty twenty three, according to the Residential Vacancies and
home Ownership Report by the US Census Bureau. In response
to current challenges, builders are using sales incentives to make
new homes more attractive for potential buyers. Home Builder confidence

(02:17):
has inched up for the second consecutive month, though it
remains below fifty indicating poor building conditions in the near term.
The US housing industry is also leveraging technology for market analysis,
using tools such as foot traffic analysis, benchmarking reports, AI
powered predictive insights, demographic data, and market trend reports to

(02:40):
identify new opportunities and evaluate performance. In conclusion, the US
housing industry is navigating through a period of gradual recovery,
influenced by easing mortgage rates, improving inventory levels, and steady
price appreciation. However, challenges such as high mortgage rates and
inventory SAPT shortages continue to impact the market. Industry leaders

(03:03):
are responding by using sales incentives and leveraging technology for
market analysis. As the market moves into twenty twenty five,
a modest rebound is anticipated, driven by declining rates and
growing inventory. And that is it for today. Make sure
you hit the subscribe button and never miss out. Thanks
for listening.
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